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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................................. 3
BACKGROUND............................................................................................................ 4
MARKET ANALYSIS...................................................................................................... 5
1.1 COLLECTION OF SECONDARY INFORMATION.......................................................5
1.2 CONDUCT OF MARKET SURVEY.............................................................................5
1.3 MARKET OVERVIEW:........................................................................................... 7
1.4 MARKET SEGMENTATION...................................................................................... 8
1.5 DEMAND FORECASTING........................................................................................ 8
1.6 MARKETING PLAN................................................................................................. 9
1.6.1Market Entry Timing........................................................................................ 9
1.6.2 Existing Competition...................................................................................... 9
1.6.3 Consumer demand....................................................................................... 10
1.6.4 Target Market............................................................................................... 10
1.6.5 Market Size and trends.................................................................................10
1.6.6 Chocolate Distributors.................................................................................. 10
1.6.7 Advertising /Promotional Activities and Demand Creation...........................11
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS............................................................................................... 12
2.1 Proposed Chocolate Manufacturing Plant Capacity...........................................12
2.2 Project Cost........................................................................................................ 12
2.3 Project Investment.............................................................................................. 12
2.4 Raw Material / Inventory..................................................................................... 12
2.5 PROCESS FLOW OF MANUFACTURING CHOCOLATE............................................14
2.6 Technology Options............................................................................................ 15
2.7 Product Mix and Innovation Parameters.............................................................15
2.8 Proposed Location.............................................................................................. 16
2.9 Land Requirement.............................................................................................. 16
2.10 MANPOWER REQUIREMENT.............................................................................. 16
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS................................................................................................. 19
3.1 COST OF PROJECT............................................................................................... 19
3..1.1 LAND & BUILDING...................................................................................... 19
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This pre-feasibility report is prepared for the course of PROJECT MANAGEMENT, fully guided
by Professor A. R. ZAKI. This is a comprehensive report on the establishment of a Chocolate
Company. A complete analysis of manufacturing of chocolate is given which includes marketing
analysis, technical analysis, financial analysis & socio-economic analysis. The chocolate which
will be manufactured is segmented into different flavors like dark chocolate , milk chocolate and
white chocolate. First the market survey was conducted through questionnaires which was filled
mostly by young generation. The marketing and promotion will be accomplished by placement
of bill boards and advertisement in television . The target market is chosen upper middle and
middle classes. All the machinery will be procured from Pakistan but some of the equipments
which are not available in Pakistan can be imported. The basic raw material required for making
chocolate is Sugar, Full Cream or Skimmed Cream, Skimmed Milk Powder, Cocoa Butter,
Cocoa Mass, Vegetable Fat, Emulsifiers and Flavors. For our chocolate we will import high
quality cocoa from Asian Countries. A complete organizational setup has been defined. Building
will be rented and it will be in industrial area of Karachi. The project cost is 13.94 million. The
business is based on partnership, there will be 2 partners. Debt to equity ratio is 50:50 so 50% of
investment will be done by both partners & 50% loan will be taken. So a loan has been applied
from bank for 3 years payback period at 16% interest rate. Finally, 5 year projections of income
statements cash flows and balance sheet has been performed. Then some financial ratios have
also been calculated to evaluate the financial position of company for 5 years. Internal rate of
return calculated is 35% Net present value is Rs, 14,385,386. The thorough and comprehensive
projections along with income statement and balance sheet assumptions and other financial
summary show that project is a viable and practical business to be run
BACKGROUND
Products like candies, toffees, chew jellies, fudges, lollypops, chocolates and bubble gums are
considered to be the part of confectionery industry which also includes all kind of biscuits,
cookies and sweet meats. However, this pre-feasibility provides details on chocolate, its
manufacturing, packaging, marketing and distribution.
Chocolate is loved by every age group & chocolate industry is growing day by day. Chocolate
enjoys about 30% of total candy market and its manufacturing is easy and could be done using
home recipes. Many industrial producers of chocolate and other confections are manufacturing
chocolates on large scale for the local market and export purposes. This project envisages the
production of chocolate using local plant and machinery. We are starting a business of
manufacturing chocolates. Our company name is FRIVOLOUS which means (made or done
with extreme care & accuracy) & with respect to the meaning our company objective is similar
to its name. The objective of our industry would be to manufacture & provide our customers
with the quality products to the best interest of the customers. To create price competitive
products, To ensure hygiene & clean working environment. Our target market would be all
people of all age group & we will be launching chocolate of three types
MARKET
ANALYSIS
1.1 COLLECTION OF SECONDARY INFORMATION
Information may be obtained from secondary or primary sources. Secondary information is some
information that has been gathered with some context. Secondary source of our project is the
annual report on CHOCOLATE INDUSTRY ANALYSIS 2015 Cost & Trends.
Chocolate Industry in 2015 at a Glance:
The chocolate industry offers a wide variety of opportunities for the small business owner,
weathers economic recession well and is growing despite increased health-consciousness and
calorie counting. Growth will be driven by population growth as well as expansion into new
markets, product innovation and rising disposable income levels leading to greater purchasing of
premium offerings.
Chocolate is wildly popular for individual consumption, gift giving and cooking. Due to the
dominance of large-scale production dynasties, franchises and small businesses tend to focus on
unique or specialty items or services. Unique chocolates may be from a region famous for a
particular technique, baked on-site or offer a different take on tradition, while specialty services
tend to focus on gift-packaging or delivery
& developed a questionnaire which is given in the last. Then the questionnaire was scrutinized
properly in order to gather the information.
Key Findings:
The information gathered through questionnaire is discussed below:
We wanted to know that what kind of chocolate people prefer to eat now days. We came
to know that most of the people like milk chocolate.
An average people buy chocolate twice in a week which gives us the idea about demand
of chocolate.
Due to high prices of other brands chocolates, people find chocolates as luxury.
People are becoming health conscious so they want sugar free chocolate to be introduced
People are not influenced with any celebrity all they want is quality and taste in a
economical price
Above area the main points which are gathered through questionnaire & this information is very
useful for making decisions while starting a new business.
So based on the information gathered we came to know that, demand of chocolate is increased.
Most of the brands are selling chocolates in high prices. People do not need big celebrities to
influence them. Chocolates are highly consumed on special occasions.
1.3
MARKET OVERVIEW:
The global chocolate market is characterized by aggressive growth in developing regions and
maturity and innovation in developed regions. Chocolate, a food preparation that has cocoa as
the key ingredient, is a popular sweet across the world in a myriad of forms. The chocolate
market has reported substantial growth in the last decade and market experts anticipate it to grow
at an even faster rate in the current decade. The global chocolate market is primarily driven by a
surging demand for dark chocolate and cocoa chocolates, and their established health benefits.
The demand for new varieties and flavors continues to drive this market ahead. However,
unfavorable factors such as an unstable supply of cocoa, spike in raw material prices, and labor
becoming costlier are likely to inhibit growth in this market. Striking a balance between quality
and pricing, however, remains a looming challenge for chocolate manufacturer.
Dark chocolate
Milk chocolate
White chocolate
Chocolate is a marketable product and its demand is stable through out the years. Population
demographic analysis indicate that more than half of the current population of Pakistan falls
under the age of 15 years1, who is, luckily, the target consumer group of confectionery products.
Considering the current population which is estimated around 161 million (United Nations
Estimates, 2014), population growth rate and percentage of under 15 age group, increase in per
capita income, reduction in poverty rate etc. opportunity for the confectionery products and its
demand appears to be attractive and growing.
The candy and confection industry remained strong through the recent recession, with the
chocolate industry in particular having strong sales despite belt tightening. Considered a luxury,
chocolate surprised many industry observers with continued sales strength over the last several
years. Though people spent less on big ticket items like vacations, consumers refused to give up
the little ways they spoil themselves at home. A chocolate bar is often considered an affordable
luxury.
but also on Eid and birthdays. There is a high and an increasing corporate demand for such
confectionery items as now people want to deviate from the traditional sweets.
Designated Wholesalers
Distribution Agents
Secondary
Wholesalers
Retailers
1. Departmental Stores 3. Supermarkets
2. Convenience/Town Shops 4. Bakeries/Staple food stores
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
2.1 Proposed Chocolate Manufacturing Plant
Capacity
Locally manufactured Chocolate manufacturing plant with 10 k.g./hr. production capacity would
be an economical size for starting chocolate business. However, due to the time required in
developing market reputation and running of the unit, it is expected that the plant would achieve
100% efficiency in the last year of the projected period.
80
kg /day
HUMAN
RESOUR
CE
14
TECHNOLO
GY/
LOCATION
MACHINERY
local
machinery
Medium
Cost
industrial
area
Most of the world's cocoa is grown in a narrow belt 10 degrees either side of the Equator because
cocoa trees grow well in humid tropical climates with regular rains and a short dry season. The
trees need even temperatures between 21-23 degrees Celsius, with a fairly constant rainfall of
1000-2500mm per year.
Many countries now grow cocoa. The main producers outside the main central American
producers, Brazil and Ecuador, are:
WestAfrica
Ghana, which grows some of the best quality cocoa in the world, Nigeria and Cote D'Ivore.
Cocoa was first planted in Ghana, now a major producer, in 1879 and as in the rest of West
Africa, cocoa is grown almost entirely on small family farms. Cocoa farming is a small
unsophisticated business as the current planting patterns of cocoa trees make mechanisation
impractical.
Asia
In Asia, public and private plantations have been developed as well as small farms.
Malaysia and Indonesia, where the cocoa is a relatively new crop, are becoming increasingly
important growing areas.
For our chocolate we will import high quality cocoa from Asian Countries.
etc.
TYPE OF
NUMBE
R
MANPOWER
MONTHLY
SALARY
40,000
15000
Packers
6000
Helper / Loader
Store Keeper
2
1
6000
8000
Total
ANNUA
L
SALAR
Y
480,00
0
54000
0
14400
0
14400
0
96000
14040
00
TYPE OF
MANPOWER
NUMBE
R
MONTHLY
SALARY
OWNER
Admin/Account officer
25000
Sales Co-ordinator
Office driver
Security Guard
2
1
1
8000
5000
5000
Total
ANNU
AL
SALRY
30000
0
19200
0
60000
60000
61200
0
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
The project cost estimates for the proposed Chocolate Production Business have been
formulated on the basis of discussions with relevant stakeholders and experts. The projections
cover the cost of land, machinery and equipment including office equipment, fixtures etc. The
specific assumptions relating to individual cost components are given as under.
SIZE
LOCATION
250 yards
200yards
Construction
Cost
(approximate
)
Medium cost
Industrial Area
Office &
warehouse
Production
Facility
TOTAL COST
(RS)
RENT PER
MONTH (RS)
3 to 4
million
EXPECTED
ANNUAL
INCREASE IN
RENT
40,000
10%
600,000
800,000
This pre-feasibility assumes that the space will be acquired on rental basis. Initial contract would
be for two years with 6 month deposit and 6 month advance rent after which the rent will be
payable on a monthly basis. In addition construction and renovation will cost around Rs.
1,400,000/- which will depreciate at 10% per annum using diminishing balance method. Total
initial cash outflow for acquisition of land would be as follows:
Mont Re
hs
nt
Security
Deposit
Advance Rent
Total
240,0
00
240,0
00
480,0
00
The proposed business unit will be based in a medium cost industrial locality in a metropolitan
area like North Karachi or Federal B. Area as the business highly depends on a good distribution
network and quick access to the prospects market with less distribution cost. The expected area
required for the set up would be a single story building with two storage godown of 15ft. x 15ft.
each. One for raw material storage and other will be used for finished products. It is assumed that
all activities will be undertaken under one roof and the factory be acquired on a rental basis at
Rs. 40,000 per month for the projected period. This rent is expected to increase at a rate of 10%
per year. It is further assumed that there will be no addition or deletion during the projected
period. Furthermore, it is assumed that Rs. 480,000 will be paid in advance before possession of
premises. This will include advance rent for six months and six months security deposit.
unit
local/fore cost(r
ign
s)
capacity in kg
local
600/hr
Man power
1 Warm Mix
local
2 Press Whip
local
local
4 Extruder
local
5 Cooling Tunnel
local
6 Rope Sizer
local
7 Forming Machine
local
local
20,000
require
d2
875,00
0
2,000,0
00
700,00
0
350,00
0
800,00
0
250,00
0
700,00
0
200,00
0
600 kg/hr
Works
Synchronically
Works
Synchronically
Works
Synchronically
Works
Synchronically
Works
Synchronically
Works
Synchronically
Works
Synchronically
local
50,000
5,925,0
00
1,000,0
00
400,00
0
local
local
Local
Works
Synchronically
250
chocolate/min
1000 bags / hr
1,400,000
7,345.
000
Depreciation Treatment
The treatment of depreciation would be on a diminishing balance method at the rate of 10% per
annum. This method is also expected to provide accurate tax treatment.
ITEM
NUMB
ER
CO
ST
1
4
1
1
7,000
20,000
10,000
30,000
Waiting Chairs
Sofa Set
Curtains & Interior Decoration
Electrical Fittings & Fancy Lights
Others
6
1
Total
9,000
10,000
10,000
40,000
14,000
150,00
0
Depreciation Treatment
Factory/Office equipment and furniture is expected to depreciate at a constant rate of 10% per
annum according to the diminishing balance depreciation method.
Depreciation Treatment
The office vehicle is expected to depreciate at a constant rate of 10% according to the
diminishing balance method.
Utilities
MONTHLY
COST
Water &
Gas
Telephones
5,000
10,000
(2)
Electricity
65,000
Total
80,000
Working Capital
Amount
in Rs
504,000
450,000
75,000
2,994,871
4,023,871
Sales price of confectionery items are generally revised after every 3 to 5 years.
However, for the purpose of this pre-feasibility we have assumed 10% price growth
annually.
It has been assumed that it will take some time for the business to reach the optimal
capacity utilization point for the projected period. Therefore the first year sales are
assumed to be based on 30% capacity utilization and an annual increase of 8% in
capacity utilization is expected for the projection period. Provision for raw material
wastage is assumed to be 1% of the daily production.
premium) per annum with 60 monthly installments over a period of five years. The installments
are assumed to be paid at the end of every month.
3.2.11 TAXATION
The business is assumed to be run as a sole proprietorship; therefore, tax rates applicable on nonsalaried individual are used for income tax calculation of the business.
The weighted average cost of capital is based on the debt/equity ratio of 50:50.
PROJECT
COST
RS. 13.94
million
IRR
35%
NPV(RS
)
14,385,
386
PAY BACK
PERIOD
3years 10
months
COST OF
CAPITAL
17.50%
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
32670
54
3.64
415745
3
1.92
442588
4
1.83
60460
73
1.95
80893
08
2.07
110214
39
2.23
2%
3.10%
9.31%
9.77%
RETURN ON EQUITY
3.09%
16.21%
36.01%
35.82%
5.67%
30.02
%
34.31
%
38.21
%
6.24%
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
4.98%
23.30
%
31.72
%
37.13
%
1.56
1.39
61%
58.24%
1.03
50.78
%
0.72
42.11
%
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
WORKING CAPITAL
CURRENT RATIO
PROFITABILITY
RATIO
OPERATING INCOME
MARGIN
34.82%
34.80%
38.52%
FINANCIAL
LEVERAGE RATIO
DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO
DEBT TO ASSET RATIO
3.3.1
1.17
58.86
%
0.51
33.88%
Working capital compares current assets to current liabilities, and serves as the liquid reserve
available to satisfy contingencies and uncertainties. A high working capital balance is mandated
if the entity is unable to borrow on short notice. As we can see that working capital amount is
increasing every year that means the company is more likely able to make its payment on time.
Current Ratio provides an indication of the liquidity of the business by comparing the amount of
current assets to current liabilities. In general, businesses prefer to have at least one dollar of
current assets for every dollar of current liabilities. So, every year in projection it has 1 dollar of
current assets to current liabilities. For eg, in year 2015 it has a ratio of 3:1.
In 2015 our working capital is 3,267,054 and as our operating income margin will increase in
preceding years and debt to equity ratio decreases so our working capital is increasing in
preceding years as well. Our profitability ratios are increasing every year that means the
company profit will also increase. So we can evaluate through our financial analysis that our
business will be more stabilize in preceding years .
WATER
POLLUTION
As our factory will be build in industrial area & it is a chocolate factory so we will be very
careful about environmental aspect such as pollution, noise may occur in the area due to these
reasons company have clear policies and proper drainage system of waste materials so that no
pollution must be created
CONCLUSION
This business plan was given in order to get a loan to start a business for chocolate
manufacturing company. The whole report gives a clear view about marketing, technological,
financial and socio-economical aspects. Financial ratios are being calculated and evaluated.
Projections of income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement shows that this project is
viable and practical for business to run.
ANNEXURES
REFERNCE
Dr. Prasanna Chandra. Projects. 7th edition. Tata McGraw Hill Education Private limited,
New Delhi.
www.euromonitor.com/chocolate-confectionery-in-pakistan/report