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CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

NRB Bearings Ltd

Initiating Coverage

Enhancing investment decisions

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Explanation of CRISIL Fundamental and Valuation (CFV) matrix


The CFV Matrix (CRISIL Fundamental and Valuation Matrix) addresses the two important analysis of an investment making process Analysis
of Fundamentals (addressed through Fundamental Grade) and Analysis of Returns (Valuation Grade) The fundamental grade is assigned on a
five-point scale from grade 5 (indicating Excellent fundamentals) to grade 1 (Poor fundamentals) The valuation grade is assigned on a fivepoint scale from grade 5 (indicating strong upside from the current market price (CMP)) to grade 1 (strong downside from the CMP).

CRISIL
Fundamental Grade

Assessment

CRISIL
Valuation Grade

Assessment

5/5

Excellent fundamentals

5/5

Strong upside (>25% from CMP)

4/5

Superior fundamentals

4/5

Upside (10-25% from CMP)

3/5

Good fundamentals

3/5

Align (+-10% from CMP)

2/5

Moderate fundamentals

2/5

Downside (negative 10-25% from CMP)

1/5

Poor fundamentals

1/5

Strong downside (<-25% from CMP)

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Last updated: May, 2013

Analyst Disclosure
Each member of the team involved in the preparation of the grading report, hereby affirms that there exists no conflict of interest that can bias
the grading recommendation of the company.

Disclaimer:
This Company commissioned CRISIL IER report is based on data publicly available or from sources considered reliable. CRISIL Ltd.
(CRISIL) does not represent that it is accurate or complete and hence, it should not be relied upon as such. The data / report is subject to
change without any prior notice. Opinions expressed herein are our current opinions as on the date of this report. Nothing in this report
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purpose.

NRB Bearings Ltd


Supplier of precision engineering bearings to leading OEMs
Fundamental Grade

4/5 (Superior fundamentals)

January 02, 2014

Valuation Grade

5/5 (CMP has strong upside)

Industry

Auto Components

Fair Value
CMP

Tapping global OEMs


NRB Bearings exports to global OEMs such as Renault Volvo and Daimler Trucks.
Association with global OEMs helps the company enhance its engineering capabilities and
benchmark its quality against global standards. The companys exports constituted 21.7% of
total revenues in FY13; exports grew at a CAGR of 66.3% during FY11-13. Strong focus on
exports has enabled NRB Bearings to combat the current slowdown in the domestic
automobile industry, which we expect to recover marginally in FY15.
Key risk: Dependence on domestic auto (OEM) industry
NRB Bearings is dependent on the domestic auto market (64% of FY13 revenues) which is
susceptible to cyclicality. However, its diversified presence across various sectors (such as
two-wheelers, three wheelers, four-wheelers and commercial vehicles, etc.) within the
domestic auto market partially mitigates this risk.
Revenues to increase at a CAGR of 10.3% over FY13-16
We expect revenues to increase at a CAGR of 10.3% to 7.9 bn during FY13-16 led by a
likely recovery in the domestic auto market in FY15 coupled with growth in exports. We
estimate EBITDA margin to improve in FY15 - after dropping in FY14 - following recovery in
demand. We expect PAT CAGR of 11.9% as we expect operational efficiencies to kick in.
Valuations: CMP has strong upside
CRISIL Research has used the discounted cash flow method to value NRB Bearings and
arrived at a fair value of 46. At the current market price of 36, the valuation grade is 5/5.

Excellent
Fundamentals
5
4
3
2
1
Poor
Fundamentals

Valuation Grade
Strong
Upside

Strong
Downside

Preferred supplier of customised bearings to leading OEMs


Indigenous engineering capabilities and a proven track record of supplying customised
bearings rank NRB Bearings as a preferred supplier to the domestic and global auto
companies. Some of its key customers include Hero MotoCorp, Bajaj Auto, Maruti Suzuki,
Renault Volvo, ZF Friedrichshafen AG, Getrag Transmissions Corporation and GKN
Driveline. It works with many OEMs directly and indirectly from the conceptualisation stage to
provide anti friction solutions. This helps it generate better EBITDA margin though it leads to
lower asset turnover.

CFV MATRIX

Fundamental Grade

NRB Bearings Ltd, the fourth largest organised bearings player in India, manufactures
customised bearings for leading domestic and global auto companies. Its strong engineering
capabilities and customised product offering have ensured a steady relationship with its
clients. Being positioned in the niche customised bearings segment, the company faces less
competition from global bearing manufacturers such as SKF (Sweden), Timken (the US), who
largely produce off-the-shelf bearings. As needle roller bearings constitute 50% of NRB
Bearings revenues, it faces competition from the Schaeffler Group as the latter also
produces needle roller bearings. We assign NRB Bearings a fundamental grade of 4/5,
indicating its fundamentals are superior relative to other listed securities in India.

46
36

KEY STOCK STATISTICS


NIFTY/SENSEX
NSE/BSE ticker
Face value ( per share)
Shares outstanding (mn)
Market cap ( mn)/(US$ mn)
Enterprise value ( mn)/(US$ mn)
52-week range ()/(H/L)
Beta
Free float (%)
Avg daily volumes (30-days)
Avg daily value (30-days) ( mn)

6221/20888
NRB
2
96.9
3,488/57
6,180/102
42/29
0.9
37.2%
25,252
0.9

SHAREHOLDING PATTERN
100%
80%

14.6%

14.8%

17.3%

5.1%
7.9%

5.0%
7.9%

1.2%

1.2%

18.7%

19.0%

72.4%

72.4%

62.8%

62.8%

Dec-12

Mar-13

17.1%

60%
40%
20%
0%

KEY FORECAST (CONSOLIDATED)


( mn)

FY12

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

Operating income
EBITDA
Adj net income
Adj EPS ()
EPS growth (%)
Dividend yield (%)
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
PE (x)
P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)

5,600
1,156
500
5.2
(13.0)
5.6
21.2
22.7
7.0
1.5
4.8

5,912
1,071
449
4.6
(10.3)
4.7
15.6
20.7
7.8
1.7
5.8

6,211
1,084
374
3.9
(16.7)
3.6
15.9
17.7
9.3
1.6
5.4

7,017
1,274
508
5.2
35.9
5.1
18.9
21.4
6.9
1.4
4.4

7,942
1,466
629
6.5
23.8
6.7
20.7
23.2
5.5
1.2
3.9

Promoter

Jun-13

FII

DII

Sep-13
Others

PERFORMANCE VIS--VIS MARKET


Returns
1-m

3-m

6-m

12-m

NRB Bearings

9%

22%

6%

10%

CNX 500

1%

10%

7%

1%

ANALYTICAL CONTACT
Mohit Modi (Director)
Elizabeth John
Vishal Rampuria

NM: Not meaningful; CMP: Current market price

Client servicing desk

Source: Company, CRISIL Research estimates

+91 22 3342 3561

mohit.modi@crisil.com
elizabeth.john@crisil.com
vishal.rampuria@crisil.com
clientservicing@crisil.com

For detailed initiating coverage report please visit: www.ier.co.in


CRISIL Independent Equity Research reports are also available on Bloomberg (CRI <go>) and Thomson Reuters.

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Table 1: NRB Bearings - Business environment

Revenues contribution - FY13


Revenues contribution - FY16E
Sales (FY11-13) - two-year CAGR
Sales CAGR (FY13-16E)
Key products/ service offering

Key customers

Demand drivers

Key competitors
Key risks

Domestic (OEM)

Exports

64.4%
53.7%
4.1%
4.1%
Big end bearings

21.7%
32.4%
66.3%
26.5%
Needle and cylindrical bearings

Aftermarket
(Replacement)
13.9%
13.9%
-2.8%
10.6%
Ball bearings

Bush bearings

Planetary shafts

Big end bearings

Crank pins

Polyamide cages

Bush bearings

Cylindrical bearings

Crank pins

Specialised ball bearings

Steering column bearings

Rings and sleeves


Specialised ball and tapered roller
bearings

Tapered roller bearings

Ashok Leyland Ltd

Daimler Trucks

Bajaj Auto Ltd

Sold through
dealers

Hero MotoCorp Ltd

Honda Motorcycle & Scooters


India Ltd

Getrag Transmissions Corporation


(Worlds largest supplier of
transmission systems to passenger
/commercial vehicles)

Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd

Tata Motors Ltd

GKN Driveline (European automotive


and aerospace player)

Renault Volvo (European truck


manufacturer)

ZF Friedrichshafen AG (Germanybased global leader providing


driveline technology to auto OEMs )

Increased mining of existing


customers through new product
development

New client acquisitions

Deeper
penetration and
wider range of
specialised
bearings

Growth in the domestic automobile


market

Increased mining of existing clients


through new product development

New client acquisition / entry in


new segments

Unlisted player in India - INA Bearings

Listed players in India - SKF India, FAG Bearings and Timken India

Cyclicality in the automobile industry

Foreign currency risk

Note: SKF India, FAG Bearings India and global peers such as Timken (the US) and SKF have financial year ending in December.
Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Needle roller bearings (constitute ~50% of NRB Bearings revenues)


Bearing is a machine element used to support load and reduce friction in moving parts. The bearings industry is classified into a) bimetal bearings
and b) antifriction bearings (which include ball bearings and roller bearings). The rolling element acts as a differentiator in a bearing. Roller bearings
are named after the rollers shape, such as cylindrical roller bearings, needle roller bearings, tapered roller bearings, spherical roller bearings and
thrust roller bearings. The choice of bearing primarily depends on revolutions per minute (RPM) and load. Needle roller bearings are typically
customised bearings as against ball bearings which are generally off-the-shelf bearings.

Needle roller bearings are used in medium RPM, high-load requirements compared to ball bearings which are used in high RPM, medium-load
requirements.

For compact size applications, typically needle roller bearings are preferred. Two-wheeler machinery is more compact than four-wheeler
machinery; hence, needle roller bearings are largely used in two-wheelers.

NRB Bearings Ltd

Grading Rationale
Engineering capabilities rank it as a preferred supplier of
customised bearings to leading OEMs
NRB Bearings, the fourth largest (11% market share by sales) organised bearings player in
India, manufactures customised bearings for the mobility segment (automobiles, off-highway
vehicles such as construction equipment, tractors, etc.). Needle roller bearings constituted
~50% of its revenues in FY13. The company holds a dominant position in the domestic needle
roller bearings market with ~70% share (by sales).

Figure 1: Has 11% share in organised bearings market...

Figure 2: ...and around 70% share in needle roller bearings


Indian Bearing
Industry
90-95 bn

Indian Bearing Industry


(estimated at 90 bn. Out of this,40% is met through imports)

SKF India
(41% share)

FAG
Bearings*
(26% share)

Timken India
(13% share)

NRB
Bearings
(11% share)

Roller
Bearings
(52% share)

INA
Bearings*
(10% share)

Tapered
roller bearing
(42% share)

*FAG Bearings and INA Bearings are part of Schaeffler Technologies


Based on FY13 sales value
Source: Companies, CRISIL Research

Cylindrical
roller bearing
(29% share)

Ball Bearings
(48% share)

Spherical
roller bearing
(17% share)

Needle roller
bearing
(9% share)

Thrust roller
bearing
(4% share)

Source: Industry, CRISIL Research

Figure 3: Needle roller bearings dominate NRBs revenues


Others
22%

Cylinder roller
bearings
16%

NRB holds a dominant position


Ball Bearings
8%

Spherical roller
bearings
1%
Needle
bearings, bushes
, cages and
rollers
50%

in the domestic needle roller


bearing market with ~70% share
(by sales)

Taper roller
bearings
3%

Others include crank pins, hub pins, etc. (as on 9MFY13)


Source: Company, CRISIL Research
The companys Engineering and Design R&D Centre, set up in 2000, employs 40 dedicated
engineers (from reputed institutes such as Indian Institute of Technology, Birla Institute of
Technology and Science etc). As bearings are used in critical automobile applications (such
as gearbox/transmission system and steering systems), the company has laid down stringent
control over processes such as heat treatment, grinding, etc. to ensure quality of bearings. As
NRBs bearings are largely used for critical applications, the quality standards are important.

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Table 2: NRB Bearings product usage in critical applications


Products

Critical automobile application

Polyamide cages

Gearbox

Needle bushes

Gearbox / steering

Big end bearings

Engine

Crank pins

Engine

Source: Company
Technology is a significant entry barrier: Precision is required to make customised
bearings; certain crank pins and needles require 2 micron grades and 2.499 micron grades of
size, respectively, in diameter. A small variation in size could lead to rejection. This leads to
significant entry barriers for new players. The bearings industry requires technology and
technical knowhow.
Engagement with the clients from the conceptualisation phase itself has ensured a steady
relationship with leading OEMs across the automobile industry two/three-wheelers,
commercial vehicles, passenger cars, off-highway vehicles, etc. It strategically targets the
leading automobile OEMs. It is a tier I (direct supplier) supplier to leading domestic OEMs
such as Hero MotoCorp, Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki and Ashok Leyland; and tier
I/II (direct and indirect supplier) supplier to reputed global players such as Renault Volvo,
Daimler Trucks, ZF Group, and Getrag Group.

Figure 4: Domestic automobile OEMs dominate sales


Revenue mix
100%
90%

17.1%

18.9%

19.3%

17.9%

15.3%

13.9%

80%
70%
60%
50%
40%

71.6%

65.5%

11.3%

15.6%

FY08

FY09

70.6%

72.9%

72.5%

7.8%

9.6%

14.0%

FY10

FY11

FY12

64.4%

Figure 5: Two-wheeler OEMs 48% of domestic (OEM) sales


Others - state
transport
utilities and
defence
0.2%

Two-wheeler
(2W)
47.4%

Farm
equipment off
highway
11.2%

30%
20%
10%
0%

Exports

Domestic (OEM)

21.7%
FY13

Passenger
Car
14.2%

Replacement/ After m arket

FY13 domestic sales break-up


Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Commercial
vehicles (CV)
27.0%

NRB Bearings Ltd

Reasons for high contribution from two-wheeler OEMs in domestic sales

In volume terms, the industry size of two-wheelers is 15.7 mn units whereas the size

NRB Bearings domestic two-

of four-wheelers is 2.5 mn as of FY13. In value terms, the four-wheeler industry is

wheeler sales recorded a five-

~1 trillion, almost double the 0.6 trillion two-wheeler industry. However, percentage
of needle bearings used in two-wheelers is higher than that used in four-wheelers.
Typically, the mix between needle and ball bearings in two-wheelers is 60:40,

13, in line with the two-wheeler


industry.

compared to four-wheelers where it could be 35:65.

year CAGR of 16% during FY08-

Further, the two-wheeler industry is less cyclical than the four-wheeler industry and
this has helped the company during the current slowdown.

In value terms, NRB Bearings holds ~5% share in the bearing requirement of the twowheeler industry compared to ~3% in the four-wheeler industry. However, for needle/
roller bearings, the share is much higher.

The global bearings industry is dominated by large manufacturers such as SKF, Timken and
Schaeffler Technologies; it is an oligopolistic market as these three players together have
more than 60% share. However, NRB Bearings focuses on the niche customised bearings
segment which helps it to differentiate itself from the global bearing manufacturers who largely
focus on off-the-shelf bearings. As needle roller bearings constitute 50% of NRB Bearings
revenues, it faces competition from the Schaeffler Group as the latter also produces needle
roller bearings.

Figure 6: Global bearings industry is an oligopolistic market


Global Bearing
Industry
(estimated at 3
trillion)

Automotive
segment/ mobile
industries
(0.9 trillion)

Industrial segment
( 1.3 trillion)

Af ter market
segment
(0.9 trillion)

1 Euro = 85.2; 1 US$ = 61; 1 SEK =9.44


Source: Companies, Industry, CRISIL Research
Also, as NRB Bearings produces a wide range of customised bearings, it does not face any
threat from Chinese bearing players who play the volume game with off-the-shelf products.

Diversified client base minimises concentration risk


NRB Bearings client portfolio is well diversified no client has more than 10% share; its top
customer had 9% share in FY13. Though contribution of top 10 customers increased to 49%
in FY13 from 41% in FY11 the constitution within top 10 clients has changed over the years.

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Figure 7: Diversified clientele (domestic + exports)


50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
44%

41%

20%

35%

31%

15%

49%

47%

43%
34%

33%

31%

10%
5%

10%

8%

9%

9%

9%

0%
FY09

FY10

Top customer

FY11
Top 5 custom ers

FY12

FY13

Top 10 customers

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Table 3: Key customers


Category

Based

Key Customers

Two-wheeler OEMs

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd, Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India Pvt.

Passenger/commercial vehicle/utility vehicle OEMs

India

Transmission systems for passenger vehicles/commercial vehicles

Germany

Getrag Group, ZF Group

Automotive components

British / USA

GKN Driveline, Meritor

Tractor/agriculture machinery

USA

John Deere

Ltd, Bajaj Auto Ltd, TVS Motor Co Ltd


Tata Motors Ltd, Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd, Maruti Suzuki India
Ltd, Ashok Leyland Ltd

Source: Company

Tapping global OEMs


NRB Bearings exports to global OEMs such as Renault Volvo and Daimler Trucks.
Association with global OEMS helps the company enhance its engineering capabilities and
benchmark its quality to global standards. Some of these global OEMs are potential entrants
into India going forward, while some are already established (e.g. Volvo). The company
exports to Europe, the US and Latin America. Its total exports increased at a healthy CAGR of
66.3% during FY11-13; the contribution of exports to total sales increased to 21.7% in FY13
from 9.6% in FY11.

NRB Bearings Ltd

Figure 8: Exports 66.3% CAGR in FY11-13


( mn)
1,400

70%

65%

63%

1,200
1,000

80%
60%
40%

24%

800

20%

600

0%

400

-20%

-40%

200
450

271

446

759

0
FY09

FY10

FY11

Exports

-40%

In the long term, growth of the

-60%

automotive market largely

1,234

FY12

FY13

hinges on the expected recovery

y-o-y growth (RHS)

of the Indian economy and,

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

consequently, an improvement

Exports help to reduce the impact of volatility in the domestic automobile market, which has

in consumer sentiments

been going through a difficult phase with muted sales across categories. In FY13, although
domestic sales declined by 4% y-o-y (constituting 64.4% of total sales), the companys total
revenues grew by 5.6% y-o-y because export sales increased by 63% during the same period.

Table 4: Automobile industrys volume growth and outlook


FY13

FY14E

Five-year CAGR (FY13-18)

Two-wheeler

2.8%

4 to 6%

9 to 11%

Commercial vehicles

-2%

-6 to-8%

10 to12% for MHCVs and 13 to16% for LCVs

Passenger car and utility vehicles

2%

-8 to -10%

10 to12%

Tractors

1.7%

7 to 10%

7 to 9%

Source: CRISIL Research


CRISIL Research expects growth in the automobile industry to be subdued in the short term
on the back of weak consumer sentiments, high fuel prices and high interest rates.
Accordingly, we expect NRB Bearings domestic revenues to remain muted in FY14 and
recover marginally in FY15 with a 7% growth. We forecast its export revenues to increase at a
CAGR of 26.5% during FY13-16 driven by new products and clients. The companys export
growth will help to combat the domestic slowdown in FY14.

Aftermarket segment offers opportunities to de-risk revenues


The aftermarket segment constituted 13.9% of NRB Bearings total sales in FY13. Currently,
most of its aftermarket sales are largely to the two/three-wheeler industry through a 250strong dealer network. Bearings ideally should get replaced when the vehicle completes
10,000 kms.

Typically, whenever there is any


noise in the machine, there could
be a need for bearing

NRB Bearings aftermarket revenues decreased by 3% CAGR to 791 mn during FY11-13 as


the company focussed largely on exports and domestic sales to OEMs. Since Q2FY14, the

replacement

company has been focussing on the aftermarket segment, especially on off highway segment.
It has launched various products in the aftermarket segment. We expect the companys sales
in the aftermarket segment to increase at a CAGR of 10.6% during FY13-16.

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Post demerger, NRB Bearings to cater to mobility segment

NRB Industrial Bearings was

The industrial bearings division of NRB Bearings was demerged into NRB Industrial Bearing

demerged with effect from

Ltd (NIBL) on October 1, 2012. NRB Bearings continues to be managed by Ms. Harshbeena

October 2012

Zaveri and NIBL is managed by her brother, Mr. Devesh Sahney. The demerger agreement
mandates NRB Bearings to cater to mobility segment and NIBL to the process industry
segment. However, on expiry of the demerger agreement, there will be no such restriction for
either company.
Currently, NRB Bearings focuses largely on auto OEMs and we expect this to continue in the
near to medium term. As highlighted earlier, we expect the automobile industry to post doubledigit growth in the long term following an expected recovery of the Indian economy and,
consequently, an improvement in the consumer sentiments.

Highlights of demerger and its impact on NRB Bearings financials


Under the demerger scheme, NIBL shares were allotted to all equity shareholders of NRB
Bearings in the ratio 1:4. Post the demerger of its industrial bearings division into the wholly
owned subsidiary NIBL in October 2012, NRB Bearings consolidated FY13 revenues grew
6% y-o-y, while PAT declined 10% y-o-y.

Table 5: Demerger of industrial bearings division had insignificant impact on


NRB Bearings financials
FY12 ( mn)

Industrial bearings division

NRB Bearings consolidated

Share of industrial bearings division

Revenues

347

5,600

6%

Profit before tax

57

733

8%

Source: Company
Owing to the demerger, NRB Bearings net worth has been reduced by 618 mn in FY13
which relates to the excess of assets over liabilities of the industrial bearings business. This
led to an expansion of NRB Bearings leverage to 1.4x in FY13 from 1.1x in FY12. NRB
Bearings leverage is higher than that of global bearing players.
Debt Equity Ratio

FY11

FY12

FY13

SKF (Sweden)

0.6

0.6

0.7

Timken (US)

0.3

0.3

0.2

NRB Bearings

0.6

1.1

1.4

Source: Companies

Generates healthy EBITDA margin...


NRB Bearings has better EBITDA margin than its peers because of the following:

Production of a wide range of high-margin, low-volume bearings (50% of which are


needle bearings): Margins of global bearing manufacturers such as SKF (Sweden) and
Timken (the US) are relatively lower than that of NRB Bearings because these global
players largely focus on off-the-shelf products. NRB Bearings EBITDA margin is not
comparable with that of domestic bearing players such as INA India, FAG India and
Timken India as these players also generate sales through trading operations which fetch
lower margins.

NRB Bearings Ltd

Integrated operations NRB Bearings has integrated operations - from engineering and

Loose needle

design, needle / rollers in-house manufacturing, heat treatment, testing to final assembly

rollers (000s)

of bearings. Our channel checks indicate that other players such as INA Bearings import
rollers, while SKF India produces a limited quantity indigenously.
Due to better EBITDA margin but low asset turnover, the company has moderate RoCE of

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13

Utilisation (%)

66%

53%

80%

70%

Sales/production

33%

36%

28%

27%

Captive utilisation

67%

64%

72%

73%

Source: Company

15.6% (in line with that of peers).

Figure 9: Better EBITDA margin...

Figure 10: ... but low gross asset turnover...

(%)

(x)

30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0

4.0

FY11

FY12

FY13

3.7
2.8

2.3

1.2
1.5
1.4
Timken (the US)

2.7
2.9
2.5

1.7
1.9
1.9
SKF (Sweden)

2.5
3.0
2.7

1.2
1.2
1.2

1.0

3.1
3.4
3.3

2.0

NRB Bearings

FY11

SKF India

Timken India

0.0
FAG Bearings India

INA Bearings

Tim ken India

SKF India

FAG Bearings India

Tim ken (the US)

Schaeffler
(Germ any)

17.2
16.1
14.0
9.9
16.0
18.0
22.1
21.0
18.3
18.0
19.6
16.3
13.2
13.0
11.8
15.4
13.5
10.4
6.6
13.3
SKF (Sweden)

NRB Bearings

24.1
20.6
18.1

3.0

Schaeffler
(Germany)

Most of the indigenously produced


rollers are captively consumed

FY12

FY13

Note: SKF India, Timken India and FAG Bearings India have trading sales
Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Figure 11: ... lead to moderate RoCE than peers

Figure 12: High leverage leads to better RoE

INA Bearings

4.7

17.1

Tim ken India

27.6

17.1
20.4

SKF India

30.1
30.9

FAG Bearings India

32.4
0.5

Tim ken (the US)

6.7
6.9
10.5

15.6

NRB Bearings
0.0

10.0

20.0

FAG Bearings India

30.0

15.7

23.3
23.0
22.1

0.0

20.0

(%)
FY13

FY12

30.0
28.3

20.7
22.7

NRB Bearings

40.0

47.7

36.4

2.2

SKF (Sweden)

31.2

22.2
22.4
26.8
23.9

Timken (the US)

21.2

22.8

19.1

Schaeffler
(Germany)

18.1
16.8
15.6 21.6
19.3

SKF (Sweden)

14.2
16.7

SKF India

35.8

31.5
13.5

Timken India

25.5

Schaeffler
(Germ any)

2.5

INA Bearings

15.0

30.1
40.0

60.0

(%)

FY11

FY13

FY12

FY11

Note: NRB Bearings leverage is 1.4x in FY13 compared to 0.7x and 0.2x
for SKF (global peer) and Timken (the US)
Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

... but elongated working capital cycle


NRB Bearings inventory days are relatively higher than that of other bearing manufacturers
such as FAG and SKF India on account of the following:
To provide an extensive range of products it is crucial for NRB Bearings to stock a significant
quantity of products. Our channel checks indicate that INA Bearings product range is limited
compared to that of NRB Bearings. Also, SKF Indias regular product range comprises 150160 types of bearings, whereas it NRB Bearings product range includes 500-600 types of
bearings.

10

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

FY13

53
54
INA Bearings

110
84
93
Timken India

54
51
51
SKF India

FY12

As of FY13
Source: Company, CRISIL Research

59
61
46

83
76
70
Schaeffler (Germany)

FY11

FAG Bearings India

90
86
92

140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

Tim ken (the US)

Work in
Progress
26%

(days)

102
104
103

Raw m aterial
25%

SKF (Sweden)

Finished
goods
37%

Figure 14: Higher inventory than other manufacturers

125
129
127

Stores and
spares
12%

NRB Bearings

Figure 13: Inventory break-up

NRB Bearings Ltd

Key Risks
Dependence on domestic OEMs; cyclicality of the industry
NRB Bearings is dependent on the domestic auto market. The company derives almost 64%
of its revenues from the domestic automotive industry which experiences cyclicality. However,
its diversified presence across various sectors (such as two-wheelers, three wheelers, fourwheelers and commercial vehicles to name a few) within the domestic auto market mitigates
this risk.
Though we expect the automobile industrys growth to marginally improve in FY15, higherthan-expected delays may affect financials and, consequently, the valuations. NRB Bearings
dependence on exports also provides a fillip to its revenues.

Foreign currency volatility


In rupee terms, the foreign currency loan as on March 31, 2013 was 1.1 bn, representing
46% of total borrowings. The company exported 1.4 bn of products in FY13. The company
remains a net exporter, which provides a natural hedge to the foreign currency borrowings.

Volatility in raw material prices


There could be a challenge to pass through the significant increase in raw material costs,
which is an industry-wide phenomenon. For instance, one of the factors for low profitability in
FY09 was the companys inability to pass on the sharp increase in raw material costs (steel
and oil) entirely to its customers.

11

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Financial Outlook
Revenues to rise at CAGR of 10.3% to 7.9 bn during FY13-16
We estimate consolidated revenues to increase at a three-year CAGR of 10.3% to 7.9 bn in

Revenues: CAGR of 10.3%

FY16 driven by exports and a likely recovery in the domestic automobile market. We forecast

during FY13-16

exports to increase at a CAGR of 26.5% during FY13-16 fuelled by client additions and by
mining the existing client base. We expect revenues of the domestic automobile segment to
increase over FY13-16E to 4.1 bn at 4.1% CAGR following improvement in demand scenario
from FY15 onwards. As domestic sales constitute a major portion of total sales, the growth of
the domestic automobile industry would be a key determinant of the companys performance.

Figure 15: Three-year revenue CAGR of 10.3% over FY13-16

Figure 16: Contribution of exports to sales to increase

( mn)

(%)

100%

9,000

40.0

90%

8,000

35.0

80%

7,000

30.0

70%

25.0

60%

34.7

6,000
5,000

16.3

4,000

13.0

13.2

3,000
5.6

2,000
1,000

5,600

5,912

6,211

7,017

7,942

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

Revenues

20.0

40%

15.0

72%

10%

0.0

0%

% growth y-o-y (RHS)

10%

14%

FY11

FY12

Exports

CRISIL Research expects the companys EBITDA margin to be 18.5% in FY16, following
improvement in demand scenario.

Figure 17: Trend in EBITDA margin


( mn)
1,600

30%
24.1%
25%

20.6%
18.1%

17.5%

18.2%

18.5%

1,000
800

20%
15%

600

10%

400
200

5%
1,162

1,156

1,071

1,084

1,274

1,466

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

0%

EBITDA

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

12

13%

14%

15%

13%

64%

61%

59%

56%

54%

22%

26%

26%

30%

33%

FY15E

FY16E

FY13

H1FY14 FY14E

Domestic (OEM)

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

EBITDA margin estimated to be 18.5% in FY16

1,200

71%

14%

20%

5.0

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

1,400

15%

30%

10.0

5.1

4,817

50%

18%

EBITDA margins (RHS)

Replacement/ After market

NRB Bearings Ltd

PAT to increase at 11.9% CAGR during FY13-16


We expect PAT to decline to 374 mn in FY14 compared to 449 mn in FY13 as we have
raised the tax rate to 27% from FY14 onwards compared to 20% in FY13. This is largely due
to the 30% tax exemption at the companys Pantnagar plant compared to 100% earlier. We
expect profitability to improve in FY15 and further in FY16 following a) a likely recovery in the
domestic automobile market, b) EBITDA margin improvement and c) operating leverage
starts.

Figure 18: PAT margin of 7.9% expected in FY16

Figure 19: Return ratios to improve, after declining in FY14

( mn)

(%)

(%)

700

200

35.0

164

600

150

500
36

300

30.1

-13

-10

24

0
-50

575

500

449

374

508

629

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

-100

Adjusted PAT

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Adjusted PAT margins (RHS)

21.4

20.7

50

-17

23.2

22.7

25.0

200
100

30.0

100

400

31.2

20.0

17.7

21.2

20.7
18.9

15.0
15.6

15.9

FY13

FY14E

10.0
FY11

FY12
RoE

FY15E

FY16E

RoCE

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

13

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Management Overview
CRISILs fundamental grading methodology includes a broad assessment of management
quality, apart from other key factors such as industry and business prospects, and financial
performance.

Experienced management
Mr. Trilochan Singh Sahney, Executive Chairman, is the founder promoter of NRB Bearings.
He has handed over the operational management to his daughter - Ms. Harshbeena Zaveri -

Managing Director and President

currently the Managing Director and President of the company. She has almost 26 years of

Harshbeena Zaveri featured in

experience in the bearings industry. Under her leadership, the company set up the R&D

Fortune Indias The Most

centre and increased export sales by tapping leading global automobile OEMs. She is also the

Powerful Women in Business in

chairman of the board of SNL Bearings (subsidiary).

November 2012

Strong focus on in-house R&D


NRB Bearings set up an in-house Research and Development Centre in India in 2000. The
R&D initiative has enabled the company to position itself as a customised bearings supplier
for high-end /critical applications offering a wide and diversified product range.

Strong second line of management


NRB Bearings management has a professional approach towards managing the company. It
has inducted various professionals from the industry at the senior and mid-management levels
who have significant experience in the bearings industry.

Dr. S T Salunke, MBA in Engineering Management from US and UK, is the Vice
President of the Engineering Centre, Thane. He has been associated with the company
for over 13 years. He has previously worked with FAG Bearings in the R&D, product and
process development department.

Mr Hemant Jog is Vice President, Manufacturing and heads the Waluj plant in
Aurangabad. He holds a Bachelors degree in Mechanical Engineering and Post
Graduate Diploma in Materials Management. He has 28 years of experience in the
bearings industry.

Mr Sumit Mitra, MBA from IIM Calcutta, heads the international business and supply
chain. He has 16 years of experience in bearings, precision auto component and other
industries. He has previously worked at Honeywell Automation, SRF Group, Dalmia
Cement, etc.

Ms. Tanushree Bagrodia has recently joined the company as CFO. She is an INSEAD
MBA graduate and has substantial experience in the investment banking industry.

Senior leaderships involvement in business is high


The managing director (MD) is deeply involved in decision-making on key issues. As
mentioned above, the company also has a strong second line of professional management
team that supports decision-making and subsequent execution. Even though the MD is not
near retirement age, succession planning is a monitorable as her kin are not inducted into the
business.

14

NRB Bearings Ltd

Corporate Governance
CRISILs fundamental grading methodology includes a broad assessment of corporate
governance and management quality, apart from other key factors such as industry and
business prospects, and financial performance. In this context, CRISIL Research analyses the
shareholding structure, board composition, typical board processes, disclosure standards and
related-party transactions. Any qualifications by regulators or auditors also serve as useful
inputs while assessing a companys corporate governance.
Corporate governance at NRB Bearings is good. It is supported by strong board and efficient
board practices. Further, it adheres to all regulatory requirements.

Board composition currently complying with the listing norms

Currently, the board of NRB Bearings consists of eight members, of whom one is an
executive chairman and four are independent directors, thus meeting the requirements
under Clause 49 of SEBIs listing guidelines.

Corporate governance at NRB


Bearings is good

During October 2012 to May 2013, the board composition did not comply with SEBIs
listing norms - Independent directors constituted 43% of the board instead of at least 50% as
per SEBIs requirement. This was because Mr. S.C. Rangani was appointed as an executive
director

in

October

2012

which

reduced

the

number

of

independent

directors.

In May 2013, Mr. Tashwinder Singh was appointed as an independent director and now 50%
of the board constitutes of independent directors.

Mr. S.C. Rangani was appointed as the executive director and company secretary on the
board in October 2012. He has worked for more than two decades with NRB Bearings
across various departments finance, IT, legal and secretarial. He has four decades of
experience in the manufacturing industry. He has been a key member of the top
management team.

The independent directors are highly qualified, have strong industry experience and have
been on the board for more than three years. Mr. Tashwinder Singh, Director at KKR, a
private equity firm, was inducted as an independent director in May 2013. Prior to joining
KKR, he worked with Citigroup for 18 years across various divisions.

There was almost full attendance in all the board meetings held in FY13.

Board processes
The company has audit and shareholders grievance committees in place to support corporate
governance practices. Both these committees are chaired by an independent director - Dr.
(Ms.) Kala Pant, who has been on the board for over a decade. Dr. Pant has conducted post
graduate doctoral research in banking and transport. Currently, she is on the board of I.F.B.
Agro as a nominee director on behalf of UTI. In the past, she has served as nominee director
on the board of various public limited companies.

15

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Valuation

Grade: 5/5

CRISIL Research has used the discounted cash flow method (DCF) to value NRB Bearings
and arrived at a fair value of 46 per share. The fair value implies P/E multiples of 8.8x and
7.1x in FY15E and FY16E EPS, respectively. At the current market price of 36, the valuation
grade is 5/5.

Key DCF assumptions


We have considered the discounted value of the firms estimated free cash flows from FY14 to
FY23. We have assumed a terminal growth rate of 3% beyond the explicit forecast period until
FY23.

WACC computation
FY14-23
Cost of equity

Terminal value

18.6%

Cost of debt (post tax)


WACC

18.6%

8.7%

8.7%

15.1%

15.1%

Terminal growth rate

3%

Terminal WACC

Terminal growth rate


1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

13.6%

49

50

53

55

58

14.6%

46

47

49

51

54

15.6%

44

45

46

48

50

16.6%

42

43

44

45

47

17.6%

40

41

42

43

44

One-year forward P/E band

One-year forward EV/EBITDA band

()

( mn)
12,000

90
80
70
60
50
40

10,000
8,000
6,000

30
20
10
0

4,000

NRB
9x

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

16

6x
12x

8x
15x

EV

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

5x

Dec-13

Apr-13

Aug-13

Dec-12

Apr-12

Aug-12

Dec-11

Apr-11

4x

Aug-11

Dec-10

Apr-10

3x

Aug-10

Dec-09

Apr-09

Aug-09

Dec-08

Apr-08

0
Aug-08

Dec-13

Apr-13

Aug-13

Dec-12

Apr-12

Aug-12

Dec-11

Apr-11

Aug-11

Dec-10

Apr-10

Aug-10

Dec-09

Apr-09

Aug-09

Dec-08

Apr-08

Aug-08

2,000

8x

NRB Bearings Ltd

P/E premium / discount to CNX 500

P/E movement
(Times)

0%

25

-10%

+1 std dev

20

-20%
-30%

15

-40%

10

-50%

-60%

-1 std dev

Premium/Discount to CNX 500


Median premium/discount to CNX 500

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

Jan-14

Jul-13

Oct-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Jul-12

1yr Fwd PE (x)

Oct-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Jul-11

Oct-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Jul-10

Oct-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Jul-09

Apr-09

Oct-09

-5

Jan-14

Jul-13

Oct-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Jul-12

Oct-12

Apr-12

Jan-12

Jul-11

Oct-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Jul-10

Oct-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Jul-09

Oct-09

Apr-09

-70%

Median PE

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

Peer valuation comparison


FY13
7.8

P/E
FY14
9.3

FY15
6.9

FY13
1.7

P/B
FY14
1.6

FY15
1.4

26
35
12

12.7
13.7
24.9
17.1
13.7

20.1
19.6
NA
19.8
19.8

15.8
16.5
NA
16.2
16.2

1.9
2.7
2.5
2.4
2.5

2.7
2.8
NA
2.7
2.7

2.3
2.5
NA
2.4
2.4

US$ bn

17.2

18.3

14.9

2.0

NA

US$ bn

12

19.5

17.0

13.3

3.4

3.0

Company
NRB Bearings Ltd*
Bearings Manufacturers
Domestic
Fag Bearings India Ltd
SKF India Ltd
Timken India Ltd
Average
Median
Global
Timken
SKF

Currency
bn

Market
cap
5

bn
bn
bn

EV/EBITDA
FY13 FY14 FY15
5.8
5.4
4.4

FY13
20.7

ROE
FY14
17.7

FY15
21.4

10.9
12.3
15.1
12.8
12.3

12.9
13.3
NA
13.1
13.1

12.9
13.3
NA
13.1
13.1

19.8
17.5
13.5
16.9
17.5

14.4
14.2
NA
14.3
14.3

17.4
15.4
NA
16.4
16.4

NA

7.9

8.1

7.2

14.1

14.1

21.4

3.4

10.8

9.2

7.6

23.3

20.1

23.8

FY13

ROE
FY14

FY15

Source: CRISIL Research estimates*, Industry sources

Auto Component sector valuation comparison


Company
Currency
Auto Component Manufacturers
Domestic
Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd bn
Mahindra Forgings Ltd
bn
Setco Automotive Ltd
bn
Sundram Fasteners Ltd
bn
Munjal Showa Ltd
bn
Automotive Axles Ltd
bn
Average
Median
Global
Delphi Automotive PLC
US$ bn
Denso Corp
JPY bn
Valeo SA
Eur bn
Average
Median

FY13

P/E
FY14

FY15

FY13

P/B
FY14

FY15

170
6
2
10
3
4

38.3
NA
7.7
10.2
4.6
29.4
18.1
10.2

19.8
NA
7.8
8.1
4.1
22.3
12.4
8.1

14.7
12.0
5.1
7.1
3.7
9.6
8.7
8.3

5.9
0.8
1.0
1.4
0.9
1.3
1.9
1.2

4.5
0.7
0.9
1.2
0.8
NA
1.6
0.9

5.9
0.8
1.0
1.1
0.7
NA
1.9
1.0

13.0
27.1
6.6
6.8
2.4
7.7
10.6
7.3

8.2
7.6
7.3
6.3
2.3
NA
6.4
7.3

6.5
5.6
4.7
6.3
2.3
NA
5.1
5.6

21.4
-14.0
16.6
18.9
29.2
17.5
14.9
18.2

32.6
43.1
13.2
16.6
20.2
6.2
22.0
18.4

33.7
58.4
18.3
16.1
18.7
13.8
26.5
18.5

19
4,907
6

13.0
24.5
11.8
16.4

14.1
16.1
14.9
15.0

12.4
15.4
12.4
13.4

6.2
1.8
2.6
3.5

4.4
1.6
2.2
2.8

6.2
1.8
2.6
3.5

8.2
10.0
4.4
7.5

8.7
7.6
5.4
7.2

7.9
7.1
4.8
6.6

49.3
8.4
17.7
25.2

48.2
11.1
18.0
25.8

43.7
10.9
18.9
24.5

13.0

14.9

12.4

2.6

2.2

2.6

8.2

7.6

7.1

17.7

18.0

18.9

Market
cap

EV/EBITDA
FY13 FY14 FY15

Source: Industry sources

17

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Company Overview
The company was incorporated in 1965 as Needle Roller Bearing Company Ltd. It was set up
as a joint venture (30% stake) with French needle bearings manufacturer Nadella SA (which

Top fourth largest bearing

was later on acquired by Timken France) which gave technological support. In 2005, NRB

company in India (organised), in

promoters bought the stake held by Timken.

terms of sales

Manufacturing facilities
NRB Bearings has eight manufacturing plants one each in Waluj, Jalna, Chikalthana

It has a product range of over

(Aurangabad) and Thane (Maharashtra), Pantnagar (Uttarakhand), Hyderabad (Andhra

3,000 different sizes of bearings

Pradesh), Ranchi (Jharkhand) and Rayong (Thailand). NRB Bearings has total capacity to
produce 144 mn pieces as of FY13. Waluj and Jalna plants constitute more than 80% of the
companys bearings production.

Bearings capacity and utilisation

Domestic sales dominates revenue mix

(mn)

Revenue mix

160
140

82%

81%

80%

120

77%

76%

85%

90%
80%
75%

80

18.9%

71.6%

65.5%

11.3%

15.6%

FY08

FY09

15.3%

19.3%

17.9%

72.9%

72.5%

7.8%

9.6%

14.0%

FY10

FY11

FY12

13.9%

80%
60%
50%

68%

70%

40%

70.6%

64.4%

30%

118

144

112

144

103

127

75

99

59

86

65

81

40
20

17.1%

70%

100

60

100%

65%
60%

FY08

FY09

Capacity

FY10

FY11

Production

FY12

FY13

Blended utilisation (RHS)

20%
10%
0%

Exports

Domestic (OEM)

Includes needle roller bushes, cages, ball and roller bearings


Excludes subsidiaries capacity and production

Based on standalone revenues

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

21.7%
FY13

Replacement/ After m arket

It has also set up four marketing offices in Pune, Delhi, Bengaluru and Kolkata with 11
warehouses in India.

Subsidiaries and demerged entity


NRB Bearings has two subsidiaries, SNL Bearings (73.7% stake) and NRB Bearings Thailand
(wholly-owned). In October 2012, NRB Bearings demerged its industrial bearings division into
a wholly owned subsidiary - NRB Industrial Bearings Ltd.

Company structure
NRB Bearings
(M Cap 3,550 mn)
73.7% holding
SNL Bearings
(M Cap 70 mn)

100% holding
NRB Bearings - Thailand
(Unlisted)

NRB Industrial Bearings got listed in April 2013


Source: Company, CRISIL Research

18

NRB Industrial Bearings


[Demerged from NRB
Bearing effective Oct 2012]
(M Cap 180 mn)

Subsidiaries contribution is
miniscule in consolidated
financials

NRB Bearings Ltd

Table 6: Subsidiaries contribution is miniscule in consolidated entity


Subsidiaries

SNL

NRB Bearings

Consolidated

Contribution of subsidiaries

Bearings

Thailand

Total

PAT

to consolidated entity

42

-25

17

449

3.8%

FY13 PAT ( mn)


Source: Company

SNL Bearings
In 2000, NRB Bearings acquired 45% stake in the DCM Shriram group-promoted Shriram
Needle Bearings (known as SNL Bearings). SNL Bearings manufactures various types of
needle roller bearings such as needle bushes, needle roller, etc. The purpose to acquire SNL
was to get its technical and machine capabilities. NRB turned around SNL Bearings which
now is a profit making company with a PAT of 39 mn in FY13.

Milestones
1965

Incorporated in Mumbai as Needle Roller Bearing Company; an Indo-French


joint venture with Nadella France (Timken)

1966

Set up first plant in Thane, Mumbai to produce needle roller bearings

1980

New plant set up in Chikalthana, Aurangabad for needle rollers

1982

New plant set up in Jalna, Aurangabad to produce cylindrical roller bearings,


ball bearings, spherical roller bearings, tapered roller bearings

1990

Name changed to NRB Bearings

1991

New plant set up in Waluj, Aurangabad

1995

NRB Bearings got listed on the BSE

2000

NRB Bearings got listed on the NSE

Acquired Shriram Needle Bearings Industries Ltd (SNL)

Set up R&D centre in Thane plant

2005

Promoters of NRB Bearings bought out the stake held by Timken

2008

NRB established a wholly-owned subsidiary NRB Bearings Thailand Ltd

New plant in Pantnagar, Uttarakhand

Demerged NRB Industrial Bearings as a part of family settlement

2012

Table 7: List of institutional investors holding >1% stake (September 2013)


Name of Shareholder

% holding

Nalanda India Equity Fund

9.99

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company

5.59

Acacia Partners

3.59

Acacia Institutional Partners

2.21

Catamaran Management Services Pvt. Ltd

1.39

Acacia Banyan Partners

1.14

HDFC Trustee Company

1.02

Total

24.94

Source: NSE

19

CRISIL IERIndependentEquityResearch

Annexure: Financials (Consolidated)


Income statement
( m n)
Operating income
EBITDA
EBITDA m argin
Depreciation
EBIT
Interest
Operating PBT
Other income
Exceptional inc/(exp)
PBT
Tax provision
Minority interest
PAT (Reported)
Less: Exceptionals
Adjusted PAT

Balance Sheet
FY12
5,600
1,156
20.6%
293
863
154
710
24
(1)
733
224
10
499
(1)
500

FY13
5,912
1,071
18.1%
321
751
206
544
35
23
603
122
9
472
23
449

FY14E
6,211
1,084
17.5%
337
747
225
522
2
524
142
9
374
374

FY15E
7,017
1,274
18.2%
366
908
205
703
5
708
191
9
508
508

FY16E
7,942
1,466
18.5%
394
1,072
212
860
14
874
236
9
629
629

FY12

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

16.3
(0.5)
(13.0)
(13.0)

5.6
(7.3)
(10.3)
(10.3)

5.1
1.2
(16.7)
(16.7)

13.0
17.5
35.9
35.9

13.2
15.1
23.8
23.8

Profitability
EBITDA margin (%)
Adj PAT Margin (%)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
RoIC (%)

20.6
8.9
22.7
21.2
18.4

18.1
7.6
20.7
15.6
15.4

17.5
6.0
17.7
15.9
13.1

18.2
7.2
21.4
18.9
15.7

18.5
7.9
23.2
20.7
17.7

Valuations
Price-earnings (x)
Price-book (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
EV/Sales (x)
Dividend payout ratio (%)
Dividend yield (%)

7.0
1.5
4.8
1.0
38.8
5.6

7.8
1.7
5.8
1.1
34.9
4.7

9.3
1.6
5.4
0.9
33.7
3.6

6.9
1.4
4.4
0.8
34.9
5.1

5.5
1.2
3.9
0.7
37.4
6.7

B/S ratios
Inventory days
Creditors days
Debtor days
Working capital days
Gross asset turnover (x)
Net asset turnover (x)
Sales/operating assets (x
Current ratio (x)
Debt-equity (x)
Net debt/equity (x)
Interest coverage

129
74
77
104
1.2
2.7
2.4
2.8
1.1
0.9
5.6

127
64
87
130
1.2
2.6
2.2
3.0
1.4
1.3
3.6

127
65
85
130
1.2
2.7
2.5
2.9
1.1
1.1
3.3

125
65
80
124
1.2
3.0
2.9
2.9
1.0
0.8
4.4

123
65
80
123
1.3
3.3
3.2
2.9
0.9
0.8
5.1

FY12
5.2
8.2
24.2
2.0
96.9

FY13
4.6
7.9
20.6
1.7
96.9

FY14E
3.9
7.3
23.0
1.3
96.9

FY15E
5.2
9.0
26.1
1.8
96.9

FY16E
6.5
10.6
29.8
2.4
96.9

Ratios
Grow th
Operating income (%)
EBITDA (%)
Adj PAT (%)
Adj EPS (%)

Per share
Adj EPS ()
CEPS ()
Book value ()
Dividend ()
Actual o/s shares (mn)

Financials have been classified as per CRISIL standards


Source: CRISIL Research

20

( m n)
Liabilities
Equity share capital
Reserves
Minorities
Net w orth
Convertible debt
Other debt
Total debt
Def erred tax liability (net)
Total liabilities
Assets
Net fixed assets
Capital WIP
Total fixed assets
Investm ents
Current assets
Inventory
Sundry debtors
Loans and advances
Cash & bank balance
Marketable securities
Total current assets
Total current liabilities
Net current assets
Intangibles/Misc. expenditu
Total assets

FY12

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

194
2,303
34
2,532
2,415
2,415
102
5,048

194
2,649
43
2,886
2,515
2,515
102
5,503

194
2,144
9
2,346

194
1,787
17
1,998

2,575
2,575
119
5,040

2,723
2,723
102
4,822

194
2,009
26
2,228
2,445
2,445
102
4,775

2,303
456
2,758
2

2,174
349
2,522
2

2,386
74
2,460
2

2,346
24
2,369
2

2,501
24
2,525
2

1,378
1,256
344
556
1
3,534
1,266
2,268
12
5,040

1,475
1,515
414
31
1
3,436
1,150
2,286
13
4,822

1,565
1,446
435
79
1
3,527
1,226
2,300
13
4,775

1,730
1,538
492
278
1
4,038
1,373
2,665
13
5,048

1,915
1,741
572
293
1
4,522
1,558
2,963
13
5,503

Cash flow
( m n)
Pre-tax prof it
Total tax paid
Depreciation
Working capital changes
Net cash from operations
Cash from investm ents
Capital expenditure
Investments and others
Net cash from investments
Cash from financing
Equity raised/(repaid)
Debt raised/(repaid)
Dividend (incl. tax)
Others (incl extraordinaries)
Net cash from financing
Change in cash position
Closing cash

FY12
734
(221)
293
(482)
325

FY13
580
(140)
321
(542)
219

FY14E
524
(142)
337
33
753

FY15E
708
(191)
366
(166)
717

FY16E
874
(236)
394
(284)
748

(1,061)
(2)
(1,062)

(86)
(0)
(86)

(275)
(275)

(275)
(275)

(550)
(550)

60
1,436
(224)
(69)
1,202
465
556

148
(192)
(614)
(658)
(525)
31

(278)
(152)
(0)
(430)
48
79

(30)
(213)
(243)
198
278

100
(283)
0
(183)
15
293

Quarterly financials (Standalone)


( m n)
Net Sales
Change (q-o-q)
EBITDA
Change (q-o-q)
EBITDA margin
PAT
Adj PAT
Change (q-o-q)
Adj PAT margin
Adj EPS

Q3FY13 Q3FY13 Q4FY13 Q1FY14 Q2FY14


1,492
1,442
1,445
1,319
1,541
8%
-3%
0%
-9%
17%
239
249
200
195
263
-13%
4%
-19%
-2%
35%
16.0%
17.2%
13.8%
14.8%
17.1%
114
147
101
69
105
114
147
101
69
105
-8%
29%
-31%
-32%
51%
7.6%
10.2%
7.0%
5.3%
6.8%
1.2
1.5
1.0
0.7
1.1

NRB Bearings Ltd

Focus Charts
Bearings capacity and utilisation

Domestic OEMs dominate revenues

(mn)

100%

160

77%

76%

80%

100

75%

80
68%

60

70%

118

144

112

144

103

127

75

99

59

86

65

81

65%

FY08

FY09

Capacity

FY10

FY11

Production

FY12

60%
50%

72%

40%

14%

15%

13%

64%

61%

59%

56%

54%

71%

22%

26%

26%

30%

33%

FY15E

FY16E

20%
0%

FY13

Blended utilisation (RHS)

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

(%)

9,000

40.0

35.0

34.7

8,000

35.0

7,000

30.0

6,000

25.0
16.3
13.0

4,817

5,600

FY11

FY12

FY12

FY13

H1FY14 FY14E

Domestic (OEM)

Replacement/ After market

13.2

15.0
10.0

5.6

5.1

5,912

6,211

7,017

7,942

FY13

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

Revenues

31.2

30.0
30.1

23.2

22.7

25.0

5.0
0.0

21.4

20.7

20.0

3,000
2,000

FY11

Return ratios to improve, after declining in FY14


(%)

4,000

14%

Exports

( mn)

5,000

10%

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Three-year revenue CAGR of 10.3% during FY13-16

20.0

17.7

21.2

20.7
18.9

15.0
15.6

15.9

FY13

FY14E

10.0
FY11

FY12
RoE

% growth y-o-y (RHS)

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

FY15E

FY16E

RoCE

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Movement in PAT margins

Share price movement

( mn)

(%)

250

200

164

200

600

150

50

100

50

-100
FY11

FY12

FY13

Adjusted PAT

FY14E

FY15E

FY16E

Adjusted PAT margins (RHS)

NRB Bearings

Dec-13

Jun-13

629

Nov-12

508

May-12

374

Apr-11

449

Nov-11

500

Oct-10

-50
575

Apr-10

-17

200

Mar-09

24

Sep-09

-13

-10

Feb-08

300

Aug-08

36

Jan-06

400

150

Jan-07

100

Aug-07

500

100

13%

70%

10%
60%

700

14%

30%

40

1,000

15%

80%

120

20

18%

90%

Jul-06

140

82%

81%

80%

85%

CNX 500

-Indexed to 100;
Note: We have taken closing price of NRB Bearings adjusting for split and
de-merger
Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

21

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