IS HIGH BIRTH RATE IS A PROBLEM

Now a day on a private TV channel GEO there is a debate conducted in which they call every political
party and question them how they will get rid of high birth if they came in power. First of all we have to
analyze the validity of this question. Is it right to accuse the high birth for the problem of a country? In
my opinion it is not. I will try to avoid any religious quotations in order to prove my argument because I
know that it is difficult to convince the liberal fascists through religious teachings.

My main focus will be on Russia as it is seriously facing the negative

growth rate problems
In a speech to parliament on May 10, 2006, Putin called the problem of Russia's dramatically declining
population, "The most acute problem of contemporary Russia."

Russia's population (at the time of the end of the Soviet Union)
In Year 1990 population was 148 million.

Today Russia populations is 143 million.

USCB (United States of census bureau) reports that by 2050 Russias population will continue to
decrease to 111 million that is 20% of the present population will be swept.
7 to 8 million people die per year.

Main causes of decline in Russias population.

High death rate:
15 people die from every 1000 per year, which is very high as compared to world average death rate
which is 9 people die from every 1000 per year. Mostly Russians are alcohol drinkers which is the main
of high death rate in Russia. There is another thing life expectancy of male in 59 years while for women
it is 72 years. The problem is males are mostly alcohol drinker
Low birth rate:
Due to economic hard ships and high rate of alcoholism, women do not want to have a baby. In Russia
the fertility rate is 1.3 births per women, in order to have a stable population the fertility rate must be
2.1 births per women. Birth rate in the country is 10 births per 1000 people. While in rest of the world it
is over 20 births per 1000 people.
Abortion:
It is very common in Russia that according to online news source in 2004 1.6 million women had
abortions in Russia while 1.5 million gave birth. In 2003, bbc reported Russia had 13 termination for
every 10 live birth.

Immigration:
Poor economic, health and security conditions also forces people to move from Russia and settle
somewhere else. Certain threats are always present in Russia low incomes, a lack of normal housing,
doubts about the level of medical services and quality education. At times, there are doubts about the
ability to provide enough food."
Rest of the countries:

Armenia
Armenia's population peaked at 3,604,000 in 1991 and declined to 3,018,854 in the October 2011
Census. This represents a 16.2% decrease in total population since the peak census figure.

Belarus
Belarus' population peaked at 10,151,806 in 1989 Census, and declined to 9,457,500 in July 1,
2012. This represents a 7.3% decline since the peak census figure.

Bulgaria
Bulgaria's population declined from a peak of 9,009,018 in 1989 and since 2001, has lost yet another
600,000 people, according to 2011 census preliminary figures to no more than 7.3 million. This
represents a 23.4% decrease in total population since the peak, and a -0.82% annual rate in the last 10
years. Bulgaria is the country with the smallest population growth since 1950, at 0.5%.

Latvia
When Latvia split from the Soviet Union, it had a population of 2,666,567, which was close to its peak
population. The latest census recorded a population of 2,067,887 in 2011. This represents a 22.5%
decline since the peak census figure. The decline is caused by both a negative population growth
rate and a negative net migration rate.

Lithuania
When Lithuania split from the Soviet Union, it had a population of 3.7 million, which was close to its peak
population. The latest census recorded a population of 3.05 million in 2011, down from 3.4 million in
2001., Further falling to 2,988,000 in September 1, 2012. This represents a 23.8% decline since the peak
census figure, and some 13.7% since 2001.

Ukraine
Ukraine census in 1989 resulted in 51,452,034 people, the closest known data to the peak, however than
number has plummeted to 45,539,000 as of Feb 1, 2013. This represents a 12.9% decrease in total
population since the peak census figure, but 23.9% above the 1950 population.

Albania
Albania's population in 1989 recorded 3,182,417 people, the largest for any census. Since then, its
population declined to 2,831,741 in the October 2011 census figures. This represents a decrease of
12.4% in total population since the peak census figure.

Croatia

Croatia's peak census population was 4,784,265 in 1991 and has since shrunk to 4,290,612 as of 2011.
This represents a 11.5% decrease since the peak census figure.

Greece
Greece's latest census reported its population fell to 10,787,690 in 2011 from 10,934,097 in 2001 census.

Japan
Though Japan's population has been predicted to decline for years, and its monthly and even annual
estimates have shown a decline in the past, the 2010 census result figure was slightly higher, at just
above 128 million than the 2005 census and its population has yet to register a decline between census
periods. Factors implicated in the higher figures were more Japanese returnees than expected as well as
changes to the methodology of data collection. Population estimate as of December 2012 is 127,520,000,
or a return to 2004 levels. This is still 53% above 1950 levels.

Hungary
Hungary's population peaked in 1980 at 10,709,000, far earlier than its Soviet cousins, and has continued
its decline to under 10 million as of August 2010. This represents a decline of 7.1% since its peak,
however, compared to neighbors situated to the East, the rate has been far more modest, averaging 0.23% a year over the period.

Romania
Romania's 1992 census showed 22,810,035 people, by the October 2011 census it had recorded only
19,042,936 people, a decline of over 2.6 million from the 21.68 million in 2002. It represents a decline of
nearly 19.8% from the peak census figure, and a total population loss only exceeded by Russia and
Ukraine. It is only 16.7% above 1950 population.

Serbia
Serbia recorded a peak census population of 7,576,837 in 1991, falling to 7,120,666 in the latest October
2011 census. That represents a decline of 6.4% since its peak census figure..

So u can see how the population of the Europe is decreasing rapidly. If this continues they will
considerably fall and there will be a time when old people will be more in number compared to young
ones. High Birth rate issues can be solved by having good economic conditions and good accumulation
of resources within the society.
all suggestions will be welcomed.
Researched by: Mushahid Yasin.