Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Agenda
Objectives
Challenges
Complexity in IT
Complexity is emerging as Security Risk
Where to find it, how to tame it
Strange New World, Strange New Words
Objectives
Challenges
Challenges
Data scientists to CEOs:
YOU CANT HANDLE THE TRUTH
- VentureBeat.com, 01 Aug 2015
Source: about.com
Background
Moku O Loe
Source: http://
Source: hawaii.edu
Source: about.com
Complexity
Source: reefbuilders.com
Complexity
Questions of interest:
Logistic Growth
(Verhulst, Lotka/Volterra, Kolmogorov)
dN
rN( K N )
=
dt
K
where
K = the carrying capacity of the environment,
r = the intrinsic rate of growth
Complexity
Claude Shannon
From Petoskey, Michigan (yay)
Father of Information Theory
Office down the hall from Einstein
Looked at the information in a system
Developed a model of Information
Diversity that works in scores of fields
Complexity
Shannons Diversity Index
Lets assume we have a community with six types:
A
B
C
D
E
F
6
individuals
13 individuals
19
How Diverse is this
129
system? How much
372
information does it
1187
contain?
Complexity
Complexity
(i)
6
13
19
129
372
1187
p(i)
0.003, 0.008, 0.011, 0.075, 0.216, 0.688
log(p(i))
-2.46 -2.12 -1.96 -1.13 -0.67 -0.16
p(i)[log(p(i))]
-0.009 -0.015 -0.02 -0.08 -0.14 -0.11
(N = 1726)
dN rN( K N )
=
dt
K
Source:
memrise.com
Complexity models
Monoculture (the trivial case): 100% A
Complexity models
Haphazard, Unmanaged (real world)
CANNOT
predict the
overall state
from one
time (t) to
the next
Expensive!
Highest TCO
we can have
Complexity models
Step-wise
Consolidation
This is what were after!
Reducing Complexity
Reduces Costs!
N = 240
The FOUR Vs
Velocity
- Its coming fast
Volume
- Theres a lot
Variety
Veracity
~ 4 petabytes
Questions Welcome
PAUL GROLL
GROLLP @ Michigan.gov
517.373.9578