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PROBABILITY
Objectives of Sampling.
tallrng as
o
.
,utio,
m+n
n
.
m+n
Ifprobability
- ofthe happening is denoted byp and
not happening by q, then p + q = l.
Sampling Distribution.
Consider all possible sample of size n which can be
drawn from a given population at random. For each
SAMPLING
A small section selected from the population is called
a sample and the process of drawing a sample is called
samplirug.
Random sampling.
It is essent
e must be a random
STANDARD ERROR.
The standard error is used to assess the difference
between the expected and observed values. The
selection so
ofthe population has
the same chance of beingincludes in the sample. Thus
sampling is random sampling
Simple sampling.
A special case of random sampling in which each event
has the same probability p of success and the chance
ofsuccess ofdifferent events are independent whether
previous trials have been made or not, is called simple
sampling.
Parameters.
The statistical constants of the population such as mean
( p), standard deviati
on (o) etc. are called th e p arameters.
Statistics.
Constants for the sample drawn from the given
population i.e. mean (x ), standard deviation (S) etc.
are called statistic. The population parameters are in
general, not known and their estimates given by the
corresponding sample statistic are used. We use the
Greek letters to denoted the population parameters
and Roman letters for sample statistic.
POPUI,ATION.
Collection of all possible samples is population. It is
impractical to collect data on each sample of a
population. Statistics helps to determine the best
estimate of the population parameter from randomly
selected samples. Because random erros are involved
in determination of parameters, the estimate will
represent a parameter with a given probability only.
3.2
<nn
*"-1N Y4",,whereN=In
?=t'
r.=r
Median.
Median divides the collection of data into two equal
parts. Hence this is a positional average.
Mode.
Mode is the value which occurs most frequently.
,times).
i.e.. if the data is 3, 1, 3, 3, 2, I, 3, 2,2, then
x, = 1, xz= 2 and xs = 3,and /, = fz= 3 andf,, = 4.
Mode =o+
Arithmetic mean(.).
,_= ;
i\tt
i=
*-{11x1
c(fi- ft-)
2fi-fi-t-fr*r
f2x2+....+fnxr)
Items in a group:
r0-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
Solution.
Cost
Cumulative frequency
10-20
20-30
L2
18
30- 40
40-50
50-60
L2
Here. lN=21.
Hencc
N
^
Solution.
Maximum frequency = 2g
.'.
Modal class = 40 _ b0
Mode=
Er"
o*-9!t-tr)-=40+
2fi
- [i-t - fi -t
10(28
- 12)
(2 x 28) -12-20
= 4O + 6.666
46.G7
Nlonthly Expenditure
0-10
t0 -20
(in hundreds of rurreesr
Number of families
,
I4
If mode for the distribution is 24, calculate the missing
20
-30
27
f."q""*t""
30-40
40-50
15
Solution.
Let missing frequencies for the classes 10
20 and 30
40 be
f, and I respectively.
Expenditure
Number of families
Cumulative frequency
0-10
L4
l4
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
t4
4I
Il
27
4l+f,+f,
56+t+f,
f,
15
N = 100 =86+fr+fz
fr+f" = 1gg-5$=44
Mode is given tobe24, which lies in the class 20
Mode = o+
24 =20
C(fi
- 30. So 20 - fi:,)
2fi-fi;-fi*t
10(27
-ft)
(2x27)-ft-fz
270 -r0f1
54-tr-li =
a'ri _()A
(')
2t0 -r0f1
('.'fr+fr= 44)
54-44
fr=23
"'
in (r) , we get
Substituting
fz
21.
-
Harmonicmean.
It is the reciprocal of mean
H=
Mode=3Median-02Mean.
Mean-Mode = 3 (Mean-Medain)
-----l---Ir n
I
and for a
of reciprocals, i.e.
'F(tlr,)
[";i
frequency distribution,
.I
|
)
n
where N =
ir,
i=1
Skewness.
Skewness is defined as lack of symmetry.
1n
a)log(r;)
n-
Coeffrcient of skewness =
logG=
= tfi
,*r))
IogG=
where N
Mean-Mode
Standard deviation
1+"
*ltloe(ri)
logG= ntlogGt+nzlogGz
n1+n2
Geometric mean is used to find the rate of
population growth and the rate ofinterest and it is
also used in the construction of index numbers.
Negatively skewed
Positively skewed
5.4
MEASURES OF DISPERSION.
The set of constant which would in a concise way explain
the "variability" or "spread" in a data is known as
"measures of dispersion or variability".
value)
(smailest
r value).
O=
/1 .,^-
\i't*'
Q,=/+
rC;
I
where we locate Q, - class and Q" - class properly
I = lower limit of the quartile class
C = cofirrnon factor
Q.D.=
re,_Q,l
3. Average deviatiorJ(l).
Ifaverage chosen is A (say), then average deviation
about A is A.D.
il
disiribution.
v = oz =
fr>f,tr,
-t)'
Calculation of V or o.
fy
rsz _\z-tiul
t\ rs2Pl
Ltivl
t
v _ |
lrg2
LN
!-2
v=--t-l
or V=
/l-.\2
l4*l
\N/
5"-2
4 - @)'
.n
,r
dr= i -11
al)
dr= x-x2,
result
can be
Coefficients to Dispersion.
When two series of measurements have to be
compared, then averages nray be different and the
units which the measurements are recorded may
also be different. Hence, coefficients of dispersion
are provided as
. Ranse
n;,lj
A+
wltere
the ualues.
n.-
I f, (" i - i)'
./li1\
Quartile deviation.
Median bisects the distribution. If we divide the
distribution, into four parts, we get what are called
quartiles, Q' Q, = median and Q.. The frrst quartile
Q,, would have 25 percent of the values below it
and the rest above it;the third quartile would have
75 percent ofvalues below it and the rest above it.
The method of calculation of quartiles is similar to
that of the median with slight variations.
N!:
lQt
In -
.9
-xl
'
.
.
Qs-Qr
Qs *Qr
Average deviation aboutA
A
Eaclt of these is free from units of measurement
and is a pure number.
Coefficient of variation (C.V) = 9 , 100
Thus coeffrcient of variation is r Our""rrf"*".
5.5
ELENIENTS OF PROBABILITY
Experiment.
A sample space
Sample space.
if
is a frnite set.
a, in S we can assign
number p,, called probability of a such that
(t) p,2 , for each i
real
Event.
P(o).
\qu\1ro\r\\eslace.
A finite probability space S in which
each sample point
has the same probability is called an
equfprobable
spctce.
IfE
is an event, then
P(E)
(iii) 6c or
4^,the co.mqlement of A, is the event that
occurs ifand only ifA does notoccur.
mutually exclusive
simultaneously, i.e.
if
= lp(S) |
wherep(S) is power set of S 2,,.
=
Example. In_ an experiment, a fair coin
is tossed 4
timcs. Describe the sample
Solution.
The sample space S consists of 16 (=
2a) sample points.
S = IHHHH, HHHT,-HHTH, HTHH,
THHH, HHTT,
HTHT,
THHT, HTTT,
THTH,
THTT, TTHT TTTH,
TTTTI
HTTH, TTHH,
lsl
number of outcomesw favourable to
E
botal number of possible o"t.or*.
and B occurs.
_ lEl
then s=P(E) =
#=11#=r-l# =t_p
= p+e=I
Conditional probability.
.
.
P(A/B)
P(A/B)
P(AB)
P(B)
P(A)'-|{B/A),
P(B)
5.6
Mutual independence.
Let (E, : A is a positive integer) be a collection ofevents.
These events are said to be mutually independent if
for each frnite non-empty subset {E' E2, .......E,}
P (E, n E, n....n E,,) = P (Er). P(Er) ....P (E,)
Pairwise independence.
S
nE)
,(E
P(A
P(wE)=
!+f,,
p (E) = j|_i
"'3,:3'
PIEI ='o':P'
IEI
that
n E)
if P (E) > 0.
Possible independent events are not mutually
exclusive.
Solution.
Probabilitythat aman agedy years willnotmeet with
an accident
=l-p
P (none meets
with an accident)
Solution.
(t-p)(t-p)
. ..(1- pl
n times
= I(2, l), (2,2), (2,3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2,6), (I,2),
(3, 2), (4, 2), (5, 2), (6, 2))
= 36ob
36
DEPENDEIVT E\MNTS.
(1-p)''
ifP(AnB)=P(A).P(B)
alli + j.
Possible event.
p(An.E)=
P (E,
So,
= 1- (1 -p),,
P (atleast one man meets with an accident
a person is chosen)
1
=;"t1-(1-P)"1
Example. A box contains 4 white, 3 blue and 5 green
balls. Four balls are chosen. What is the probability
that aII three colours are represented ?
Solution.
Total number of balls in the box is 12.
Hence total number of wavs in which 4 balls can be
chosen
v4- -12rl
l2xl-l-x
4
x3
10 x 9
x2xl
= 495
5;7
(t)2r1
(iilL21
uii\112
.'.
=90+60+120=270
Required probability
270
=
P(E,/A)
(ii),
binomial distribution.
Example. If four coins are tossed , find the
called
=fr,i=1,2,.,n
q = probability of a tait =
i -p
and C respectively.
I
E
... Q)
=6x
qn-t
\2) [z/
RANDONVARIABLE.
Many variables of interest in a system are not
expressible on explicit function of time, all such variable
(E/x)
=+
2
Solution.
charrce
i=r
Then
T+ 2 = #
5-5-ii
Solution.
P(A/E,)P(E,)
E'
P(E/X) =
BERNOUILLI TRIALS.
F pra / E, )p(E, )
/-,/
Let
,.
=;
given by
Bay's theorm.
Let E,, Er, ...... E" be mutualJy exclusive events such
that P(E,) > 0 for each i.
Then for any event A
4r- x3o
-ju-
Let
P(x/E3) =
From
.'.
and
P(X|E2)P(E2)
P(X / El)P(Er) + P(X I E2)P (E2) + P(X /EB)P(Es)
P(X/E2)
P(X /E1) + P(X /Ez)
+ P(X
Continuons
{from (l)}
/Es)
lC, 3C' I
"
P(X{E.)=
-'---r' -#=-'
6Cz
b'
2n
Discrete
ln
P()vE)-"ct^'cr-1
qC2
,.
l)iscrctc Probability
Ttrcory
Continu<.rus Plobabi)
Theory
ity
5.8
=X(o,)
P (o,)
,)
+X(o,,) p (o,)
E()0
rp
t-'(Qi)'
= qp (L
t)
qpqpq
(t- q)'
.J
;t)
;o
EOG)
21 7
62
i.
q = probability of failure
=p-p2
X=0 ,1,2
=p
[E(X)]'?
=(t_p)
=pq
frequency.
Absolute
Let a value x, is repeated
times, then
fi fz
- N N '""""""'
fn
fi+fz
conducted,
Solution.
Let p = probability of succes
=l_
E(X) =p
11p
.'.
Product
E(X) =
Expectation =
.'.
I
;t)
'
I
;o
P (o,)
pp
q0
4,.I
1
P-
-9-Z-
Solution.
;o
['.'(l-gf'zbyBilromialtherre.-.
;o
-Sf'
Product
1
=I+2q+3q3+....
,.
Lxq'-
Solution.
Then X= 1,2,3,4,5,6
Qi P(X = a,) =P (a,')
r)
--
r=0
l-
= )xp(X
.r=0
l,=1
failures
= qxqx.......xqxp=q.p
r times
-- YvrL'-\-t
=-N
-1
fr
fn
5.9
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION.
P(A) = P(xu)
where,
t2
= Prob"ilility of outcome A.
ne = times occur A
n = total time experiment
1+
+3
here, p(AB)
=(q+p)"
=1
Constants of the binomial distribution'
Moment generating function about the origin is
M^(0 = Bis*)
*
= I,,C, p"q,, c,*
=
In
C, (pet)*
q.
(q + Pet)"
Peqi\n
b;/
+3
=1+npqh*"oo,o-p)3t
+npq [1 + 3(n
2) Pq]
*
e
+....
joint ProbabilitY.
t4
t2
P(AB)
1. DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
(i) Binomial Distribution.
It is concerned with trials of a repetitive nature in
which only the occurrence or non-occurrence'
success or failure, acceptance or erejection, yes or
no ofa particular event is ofinterest'
If we perform a series of independent trials such
that for each trial p is the probability ofsuccess and
q that ofa failure, then the probability ofr successes
in a series of n trials is given by .C.P'Q"-', where r
takes any integral value from 0 to n.
The probabilities of 0, 1,2,......t,....-,fl successes are
therefore, given bY
*p'i**...
LOV
*.
g,t*1r"D.*frn*Un
n!
,tJ
+pq(q3
t2
lT, "o
,z
= l+pq,+pqtq'-n"o
fr+
.f\lSO,
2)pq]
.:r-2P)2
nPq
^ 1-6pq
tt2
rr
v?=-(q-p)'
P,=..3
O
.'.
p,
nPq
nPq
P;
-=.)T-
Mean = np
Standard deviation = {(ttpq)
7-2p
Skweness
r/nPq
Kurtosis = Fz
Obs. Skewess is Positive for P <
and negative for p
/r)
r1)
\t)
[;J
s
I
be sYmmetrical
efrnitelY, 0, -+ 0
i'e. ProbabilitY
5-10
of
p(a<X<b) = lf(*)d,
The probability of
successes
distribution
P(r) = nC.P'q"-'
- t) (n -
n(n
np(np
2)...(n
in a binomial
r!
p)(np
2p)..(np
-r-
1p)(t
- p)n-'
il,.
" (l- m/n)' rl
TnZ gm-tt
2\
,....
:-
*t
"-*
r\
it
,..,..
= Jft'u'
_d)
lo
l"
if;^ x<a
lx-a
,tf a< )c<b
I
.
= l-o-q if )c>b
t1
e.g.
11
. plX.o)= Jf?)dx
n(x3b
should be.
[x
'2.2
- ^ dxJto [x +
o-a
it
L,
= O, otherwise
e-m
---
br^
tt -E(x)"f(x)dxl
J
f ^r.,
f I\x)ax=L
flr)
so
n'. ,,'c.r
variance ofX=y(X)
= j-| xf(x)dx
r!
- rl
- r + 1) p"qn -'
Asn-+@,p+0(np=6;,
m' Lr (1- m / n)2 m'
p(r)=
-
a
I
Mean
o:b,
is
< 115.).
Solution.
Here.a=100.b=120
(t ^
|
110<r<120
Itx)= i120_110,
otherwise
I o,
(rl
110<r<120
=
/(r)
<
110,
otherwise
lo,
a+b 110+120
------=
Meanof X=
=115
=2=2
-
5.11
9:-9-
VarianceofX =
L2
(120
110)2
is
12
(t-p,
- o,:I
nx1 = __7e ."
-T
25
o"l2r
co <ft( o6
-@<r( 6,o)0,We write in such a situation X - N (u, o')
1 1-5
P[L2<r<115
lf{xldx
tiz
I,
r| ----4X
lra
rt2
a
10
Area =
if its probability
a being some
k)= )ae-"*'x>0
[0, otherwise
electronic components.
Also the inter-arrival time and service time in
queuing theory have exponential distributions.
ll
- i,a
Variance =
*a"-_-b^
'l
exponentially distributed^Mith paramdter i . What
.4
is the probability that his sale will exceed Rs, 10,000
assuming that sales tax is charged at the ratepf 57o
on the sales ?
It -:=,
Here,
Nor-!l
(e)
-@
y = l\x) bounded by the axis of r is 1.
=IP(x<500)=1-\0 JfG)dx
l-t
6,
1 c-;o
,-(,/i 1z1ar
^l2r
Mean of the standard normal distnbution
Variance is 1. We \mtEZ- N (0. 1).
is 0 and
z = - 2 and z = 2 is 0.9545
i.e., p (-2 <z <2) = 0.9545
(c) Betwee\ z = - 3 and z = 3 is 0.9973
i.e., p(-3 <z<3) =0.9973
(b) Betweerr
= 1+ ie-rl4)500
125
r-
z,
.
500
=e
PuL z=
otherwise
P(x>500)
-x/4
FQ)=
= Rs. 500
1-1
l"
4un
Jffrla*=7,
r>o
500
r.
bY
= 10000 * 100
Now,
curve
coincide.
(d) fk)
lU) =)*
lu ,
O.S
Solution.
)-e
density
Mean
0.5 !Y 4.."
\ /-T-V
and o.
Properties.
(o) The distribution is symmetrical.
(b) Mean - p, Variance = o2.
J10
exponential distribution
function is given by
pt
5.12
In other words,
p(p-o<x<V+o)={.6827
p0r2c <r < p +2o)= 0.9545
p(r3c<r<V+3o)=0.9973
p(p-
1.96 o
o) = 0.99
rr + 2.58
1
lxt = offi
__2
Then
0Q) =
under the
"-T
0
nor mal
'z=0antdz=2.
curve between
=" ;
.o.r"roonding
-L
a^l2r"*o- -
(x-u)2
-r;r(*)l
2o"
GAUSSIAN PROCESS.
fly) =
' where,
If mean = 0, i.e. p = 0,
then (x) =
exP
----l--u"oLo-!rf
- 2or"
"l(2xor')
!tr= mean
o 2= variance
normal distribution
in the limit.
it can be made
normal using some suitable transformation.
When a variable is not normal,
p =ElXl=[
o*t =E[(X-F*)2J=o2
We use the notation N(p ;o2) to denote that X is normal
(or Gaussian) with mean m and variance o2.
In particular, X = N (0 ; 1), i.e. X with zero mean and
unit variance is defrned as a normalized Gaussian
re,ndom uariable.
Gausslaut Pulse
(ii)
=at
n,H.
K=l
xt Dt
& STATISTICS
'ROBABILITY
If n -+ co, then
t7
-lL
-->
4",
p(x,)
= Pr"t
-\=L
k=1
','
tX,'=I(r,- i),
zxz2
-Ixi2+n(x)2-2;Ix,
+----
=In2+q{-,'*t.I'
CORREI"ATION.
In a divariate distribution, ifthe classes in one variable
are associated by clases in the other, then variables
are called correlated.If ratio of two variable deviations
is constant, then correlation is called,perfect.
Co-effr cient of correlation.
Numerical measure of correlation is called co-effrcient
ofcorrelation and is defined as
f =
2n2
Ptxr'
avg
l+2+3+...+n n(n+1)_n+1
Y=V=
Pzxz* ---- P- X-
nt"r'*
andIJ=
5.13
n(n+1)(2n+1)
=
Similarly
t,r,-r,)
t,"
tY''
xi-Y'
(",- i)-(y,X,-Y,
d,
d,
[ ,
...i':o;
I
l,.zou=Ll
, xu,-l
n
n)
I4'
Id,,
14Y'
=y-
y)
2IXrY,
=)C_,C
1)2
Now let
'XY
n6rcoy
n(n +
11
ftn3-n)-
r>a,,
Method of calculation
'
J>r':v''"'
vL
r. -
=1_+{
n- -n
J)
Rank correlation.
A group of n individuals may be arranged in order of
merit respect to some characteristic. The same group
would give different order for different characteristics.
Consider order corresponding to two characteristic A
and B. The correlation between these n pairs of ranks
iscalled rank corcelation in the charq,cteristics A and,
B for that group of individuals.
Line of regression.
If dots of scatter diagram generally, tend to cluster
along a well defrned direction which suggests a linear
relationship between variabies x and y, such a line of
best - frt for the given distribution of dots is called the
line of regression.
In fact there are two such lines, one giving the best
possible mean values of y for each specifred value of x
and the other giving the best possible mean values for
x for given values of y. The former is called the line
for
regression ofy on r and the later is called the line of
regression of x on y.
5.1 4
ov
J=u+bx
...(r)
-' o*
Iy = ,ra + blx
IxY=alx+blx2
...fti)
'XY
tx'
IXY
tro*2
Thus
regression co-efficient
and
=f"x
regression co-efficient ofx on y
6
ofy on x
6y
bx
1-_
-IY=a+b':J-x
nn
no*o,
(y-yl= r3(*-i)
y = a+
>xv't
[1...I'=
_r_
x ),
=rj 6v
ov
or o,
oy-:Lyy--!=
y2
Regression co-efEcient.
It is defrned as the hope oflines ofregression,
i,.e. regression coeffrcient of line x on y
oo^,
5:15
OBJECTTVE QUESTIONS
1. A card is taken out of a pack of 52 cards numbered
2 to 53. The probability that the numbers on the
card is a prime number less than 20 is
12
to) ,,
3
tc) ,,
AnB
(c) AuBand At-''g
{6) t',
.4
(d)
19
(rl
27
185
25
-98
If A
q,
(c) 34 to 13
P(A
r([r
(o) 43 to 34
10.
i6
(b)
n B) = 1,
then
(d)
18
P(A)+ P(E)
0.6
k) 1.2
(a)
6.
(a)
kll'
{d)
2l
tt
2l
12.
-1
13.
129
440
P(A
/, \
(o,
429
@ffi
140
-139
n C) + P(A n B) - P(An B n C)
(ot P(M)+P(N)-2P(MnN)
(b) P(M) + P(N) - P(M n N)
tb)
@) r.4
from
black
(b) 0.8
11
12
rc)d
n B) cannot be
(o) Iess than P(A) + P(B)
face
Th
11
any other
second bag.
ball is
(;)
(b) 32to23
(d) none of these
(ct It7
5 to 2
C are
23
p(A) = ?.
P(AuB)=
against A,
8 to 3
{b)
AuBand AnB
(d) AuBandAnB
(b)
prize and
2 blanks; B has
@) 7 :16
(b) 16:7
(c) 6:14
G) 14:6
IfA
are
also
independent (b)
(c) both (o) and (b) (d)
(o)
dePendent
none of these
(b)
{d) ,
@)t
@7
;I
nI
5.1 6
,^'34
,o)
18
(b)
,^t 4
tS
,t\
tcl)
'") 17
22.P(AruAzuAs)
I
I
-P
24,
),
rlrcn
he
,^tl
\at
(0.1
t.
19.
973
@)
983
1000
None of these
1000
(clr
,'-\
(cr
16
.,.
(b)
,',
dl
s
16
(a)
(c)
AA
6U
-
43
93
ror
43
4+
F
,'\
\o)
a
b"
5l
(c) *
5!
,
b'
6'
963
--1000
(o)
(bt
ktt 1
26. Six dice are thrown siorultancously. The
1c)
he gets a 5 or 6 on dice is
P(A)= 1,p1s7a;= 1
42
and P(A/B)= i/I
"
4
(c) P(A/B)+P(A/B)=1
(d) None of these
28. AboxAcontains 2 whitc and 4 black balls. Another
box B contains 5 white and Z black balls. A ball is
transferred from the box A to thc box B. Then a
ball is drawn from the box Ii. The probabilitv that
it is white is
'*'
(c,,
16
39
I2
39
(o)
T4
39
q
tdt
-39
PROBABIL|TY &
SriTigTfc*sl'
.'
5.17
(o) o
(a) *
(c)
P(A)=P(B).
(b) If A and B mutually exclusive, then
20
B)
P(AuB)=1-Pfel.Ptel
times. What is
(c) P(A/B)<P(A).
(d) All of these
k)
(d)
16
that the
(6) P (A
- P (AnB/C)
(d All
of these
will be solved is
1
\d)
(D)
-4
-2
(c)
31
(o)
60
31
^\ _
tar
61
33. If P (A) =
.1
i)
;4Aand P (B) = ;,
exclusive.LetE=U
i:1
If
(a)
P(AuB)>+
'488
(6)
(c)
1-3
*d6<Pfen B )<;
:<P(AnB)<:
E,.
P (A/Ei) = P (B/Ei),
i = L, 2,...., n, then
P(A/E)=P(B/E).
61
then
30
(d
None of these
{cr
(c)
1,
r
:(1-(1*p)")
"(1-
(1*
p)")
1,
r/r\
(b)
:(t-ft*
n'
(d
None of'these
p)"
\a) p
(b) -l
@!p
5.18
If
50.
(b)
(c) 16:7
@) 7 :16
(o)
6,,
(c)
p (X,
Y)
ofY
on X is
(a) 11.25
(b) 7.2
(c) 2.4
is - . If cach
observation is divided by cx., a + 0 and then is
increased by 10, then the nrean ofnew set is
x
r+10
(b)
(cr)
-0,
0
P(A/AuB)=
P(A)
P(A) + P(B)
P(B)
P(A) + P(B)
r+
(cl --
10cr
(d)
C[
IfP(A)=P(B),then
A= B
(c) A* B
(<z)
(6)
B=0
tc) 1,
\.c)
47.
48.
t +o'
(b)
)"2o2
(d)
),2
(c) o
49.
b,u
b,,,
is equal to
(a) p(X,Y
1s,t lp (x, y)12
(b) cov k, y)
(d) None of these
,)
(6) -1
(d) none of these
|
13
mode)
(b) 2
{d)
57.
is equal to
(6)
(c)
;.)
",
58.
pL
(o)
,, il;6
is
equal to
(b) stamdard deviation
(d) none of these
(a)
If
(o) M.D
+ o2
r")
IS
D
i+I
0
(c) 1
(6)
(o)
(6) A=0
h)i
- F +10
cx
M. If P (A) = 0, then
(a) A=O
(c) A=.o
b,.',
8r-10y+66=0ando"=3
43.
is
6:9
(o) 19:6
negative?
l;
II
t1o
2x-y-4=0,then r
(n) 1 and
(c) 2 and
-2
-1
and t arerespectively
(6) -1 and 2
@) -2and-1
5.19
59.
If
0<4I<1
(c) 0<)'<4
(o)
(b)
5, then
0<r<1
(q) xy =
6,,. =
-0'9 ancl
(b) -0'6
(d) none of thcse
F-.-Vb..ub.".,
65.
(b) 50
(d) nonc of these
(a) 55
(c) 10
69.
If p>0andrn =
-t-,then
(b)
are x + 2y = 7 and
2x + y = 7, lhetr regression equation ofY artd Xis
(6)r+2Y='i
@)2r+y=7
(c)r+2y=0'
@)2x+Y=0
X and Y are contlocttrd by the
r, y is equal to
15
t4
72
(d)
(6)
(c) -1
(d)1
that i -5,y=10o?=+of;=9and
(b)
^J
(c) g
3.12
\") ETz
(c) ^
2
(ils
(b)n(n +I\d
2n
+L'-
gn
(b) ------
p (u, u) is eaual to
b) :,z+1
-a
(o) 0
It standard
@)t
(a) ;
o
m=P
(c) m<P
70.
b.,,. + b,...
(b)
(a) m>p
ct
-4
{ =r
xy
lc)
{+
_t
(b) _,
k) p=(-s*,,6r,)J-u*u*
(a)
(c)
o,b_
a2
..
F-,
lb) p= -{oy*o.",
(6)
ZtL+L
n*L
-10
(?\
8
-15
(b)
13
30
5.20
lD.
(') toI
/A\
(c)
-30
(c)
tor
and
30
P(A,
Pf At) =
B'
Arl =
l
(A, n
1
(b)
\L/ 2'2
I2
-.
2'322
(d) ;,
;
t).)
(r/)
(Dl ;
.l
(ds
\c) ;e)
d^
I
@),
,'1
(c,
6
57
6I
(o)
(c)
84
5
tt
to) _
6b
(d) none of thcsc
169
-2
tcl u*
(h\
J169
(n\
'"'
-4
169
(O)
'"' 669
trt _ 2_4
663
.-.
/L\
'"'
(dl
663
^_
ob.t
(a)L-p
(Dl
\a) 2
(b)
tat ;
d
d/
54
tbt *
dl)
envelopes.
80. The
84
56
ta)
i.
11
) -:--
52
cards. First cards should be a king and the second a qucen
2l
(^\
\u/ -
ld.
13
DD
13
{o)
82. The chance that two bel<lng to the same class and
third to the different class. is
1
,
n!
\c)
-n
@) r-P
\c) n
(6)
;n:
302
\b) n
320
i20
,+
32
72
-720
302
ic/ =
I
\d)
(c)
,^E"tt
(ct\
'
(h)
-320
32
tct-
720
d)-
302
-720
72
302
probability of
E'
I
-16
7
(d\ 15
-16
k): 6
(c)
(b\
{a\ *
I
I
nG
I
2'"
.,."[Et)
\clt _r lprJ
(6)
@)
12
(b)
(c) ;
6
\u/2
44
(n\
o)
P,(Er) = P,(Ez)
P,.(E, u Er) = 1
(r'l
I
2
(b)
d)t
51
16
n
@i27
(6)
43
52
-x-
52
44
'*' -52x -51
(.:l\
E.
0.25
o
o
o
(d) 0.4
(c) 0.35
and bottom cards of a
top
99. The probability that
randomly shuffled deck are both aces is
;D
(b)
(o) 0.3
outcomes is
1
@)3
(c) 9
is
27
, u.td
(d)
b): 6
|,
up rs
Inl
P.(Er.1
E, such th'
10f.
If
(D)
re\'
[loJ
@*18
(c) 0.4096
(d) 0.942r
5.22
birth-month is
\a)
(t'l
\b) t2
6
1
t44
td)
replaced?
'*'
24
that
(c) 0.7
(d) o.e
tu);16
(c)
liquid was
observed in a continuous chemical process
plant
Flow rate (litres/sec) Frequency
5
35
17
12
10
Il2.
'"' -2
a
.J
(CL)
.A
14
G) 12
lll.
at random with
(h)
:d
(o)
7.5to7.7
i.7 to 7.9
7.9 to 8.1
8.1 to 8.3
8.3 to 8.5
8.5 to 8.7
ll0.
(b) r/5
(d) 2t9
221
(a) 1/90
(c) 19190
(/'l\
_
5Z
ofY
169
-
26
(b)
(nl
(o) 0.3
(d\
(a)
(b)
13
(d\
L0
(b)
(c) 27
(d) 33
17
ft)
2.7
6)
1,11,
15 is
2.5
@) 2.8
Prl
(b't p1t-
k)
q(7- p)
(d) p+7-2pt7
q1
5.23
(a) 5
(b) 6
(d
(c) 4
(b) coincide
t1 t\'
^, lr. ,)
6)
., (;.;)"
kt)
(t
k)
are
lL7. If1=Q,then
3\'o
[;.aj
(:.!r)"
x and y
r andy
(U
x andy
ANSWERS
10. (o)
1. (6)
2. (c)
3. (b)
4. (c)
5. (c)
6. (c)
7.ft)
8. (c)
9. (o)
r1. (o)
12. (a)
13. (o)
14. (b)
r5. (a)
16. (o)
17. (a)
18. (6)
19. (b)
20.
30. (a)
ft)
2r. (b)
22. @)
23.
(.q,)
24. (a)
25. (b)
26.6)
27. (d)
28. @)
29. (u)
31. (c)
32. (b)
33. (d)
34. (c)
35. (c)
36. (d)
37. (a)
38. (o)
39. (o)
4O. (c)
4r.
@)
42. (a)
43. (a)
44. (a)
45.ft)
46. (a)
47. (c)
48. (c)
49.
k)
50. (d)
51. (b)
61. (d)
52. (c)
53. (6)
54. (c)
aa. (c/
56. (b)
t. \a)
58. (o)
59. (c)
60. (c)
62. (d)
63. (c)
64. (a)
65. (o)
66. (o)
67. (c)
68. (b)
69. (o)
70. (b)
71. @)
72. (a)
73. (c)
74. (a)
75.@)
76. (c)
77. (b)
78. (a)
7e.
81. (b)
82. (a)
83. (o)
84. (a.)
85. (d)
86. (o)
87. (b)
88. (b)
8e. (d)
90. (c)
el.
(b)
92. (b)
93. (c)
94. (c)
e5. @)
96. (c)
97. (c)
99. (c)
100. (d)
101. (o)
1r1. (d)
102. (b)
rr2. (d)
103. (b)
113. (d)
LO4. (a)
105. (d)
106. (c)
ro7. (d)
98. (d)
108. (d)
(d)
110. (b)
rr4. k)
rr5. (d)
116. (b)
rr7.
(b)
LOe.
k)
80.
(cr)
5.24
EXPLANATIONS
9.
^\)
P(A) = -:- ;
ll
.'.
and
P(B) =
.'.
P(C)=
I 3 2
I ll 7
:
7
Hence, A and
77
o
11.
(e\
IE'
3 24
I
=
ll
_L__t)t
Wednesday, Thursday
(n\
)Pl-al--P(8")Pl-:-l
-'(8,/
3 44
-f-.7 67
B are independent.
34
P(Ane) = P(A)-P(AnB)
= P(A) - P(A) P(B)
= P(A) (l - P(B)) : P(A) P(B)
13.
Required probability = 1.
P(AnBnC) PrAnBnC)
rf rrd
15.
P(C)
P(AnBnC)+P(AnBnC)
probability
P(C)
P(AnBnC)vP(Ar-,BnC)l
P(C)
tu
c,
429
.'.
= 3 ways.
eC,
i.
9.8.7
g .2 .l
= g4way.
Number of rvays in which B gets all blanks
6.5.4
=zo.
3.2.r
Number of ways of getting a prize
P(AnB) =
32L =7:16
9+ =16
84
2r
: B's probability
'l
\.c/
chosen.
fr
(in
one
999
l0 10
"=
.rA
rt-l
6c^
=84-20=64
116
18.
AnB=0
16.
.'.
P(AnC) _
P(C)
L40
3C,
P(C)
=-X
l0
=1- 1000-
it in at least one
1000
of which 4!
=5!-4!=96.
5.25
22.
P(Ar)
.,
Itumbers ending in 04 = 3! = 6,
numbcrs ending in
numbers erlding in 20 = 3l = 6,
numJrers ending in 24 = 3t, - 2t = 4.
ttunbers ending in 32 = 31, -2t = 4,
atrdrturnbers ending in '40 = 3l = 6.
INumbe rs having 12,24,32 in thc extreme tight
arc (3! - 2!), since thc numbers har'ing zero on
the cxtrernc lc{t are to excludcd.l
.'. Total nunrber of favourablc ways
= 6 + 4 + 6 + 4 + 4 + ti = 30
12 = 3t
14 catr be drawn
Probability of drnwing
P(A.
.'.
28 15 43
=91*91=91
27. Probability
.4
Cal^OS
-52
(An Ct irnciAn
C)
Cl are disjoint.
P(C) =0
24.
C=0
P(AnIlnC) =P(AnBnQ)
=P(t|)=0
P(A)xPtBl,rP(C) =0 ...sinceP(C)=0
P(AnBr-rC; =P(A)-P(B)-P(C)
..
ll
P(lI) = 1,P(Tr = 1
25.
ttc, l-5
= ,ac" = s,
C) >P(Bn C)
P(AnC)+P(Ar', g) >P(BnC)+P(Bn
= -2!
9l
(c)
Adding
'.
r,/r
'', - plR,^'-\
'\'/^/
\"'^FI
> -----:=ir,((')
P((')
-
allo
.c,
''C,, u'a1's
(c)
P(An0) >P(BnC)
white balls
= to c,
l(n,,:l,'r.)
l'}(AnC) P(tloC)
23.
ways.
'.
tn,) l(A$'^U
=P(A.re-rrz\l
=1-P(A, r,-,11. t-,A,)
2t = 4,
P(A,
- p /a . P(A
)
-P(ArnA,nA,)
divisible b.t'4,
Now,
.'.
.'.
(A)=
q a A.
1
a,
Lt a, 'J,
z
P(B)=
-t
p=
_13
'52 = -
SPaOL'S
I I 2 | rt)' I tl\'
I
z
thereftrre
1)-ll-+
=-+=-\2
52 .s2
=-2 =3
rl4
_l
.'.
l.l
can occur
on six dice = 6l
Required
65
6: 5!
probability,
--'---'--rr-5rr-64 P = ^s - -
5.26
p(A) =
27.
and
P(B/A)
n!1?l)
=- P(A)
II
e(nne)
P(B)
PtAnB) = t.PtA/B)=
--'
jl
.'.
P(B)=2
(o) IfAis
a sutrevent ofB,
7=
= i6
--6
'
i'e'
:l
ProbabilitY of B's not throwing ? + o
Ac
nB=A
B, then A
tbr
'4
(c)
P(A/B) =
is false.
11
88
P(An B) -P(A)-P(An")=;
1
n(nne) s
.'. P(A/ll)=-+=t=;
p(u) t-
.. P(A/B)+P(A/e,=
Hence given statement
iis false' =:
P (At-,
(qt
Bt>
(Al
ft) AaBcB
P(An B)
.'.
Also P(AnB)
zD
1
-1
1=I
(c)
An B c
= ,,
.'.
!6 * a13= 1q
ft
B
3
P(An ll)<P(B)
AIso
.'.
An
P(An
= (o., o)
=1-P(AuIlt
>1-{P(A)+P(B)
39
,51
ft
:
= 1- j -F:f
6J = E
262
=;"13=13
l0 2 16
.'. Requiredprobability = , * 13 = 39'
-.
.'.
(B)
>1
t" 6'
from boxB
P(A) =
0
0
P(Ar-rB)=P(Q)=0
[4
M,
M,
M,
Remarks
P (B.)
0.25
030
045
'sum=1
P (A/8,)
0.05
004
0.03
P (8,)P (A/8,
0.0125
0.012
A=0
ArB
61
30
(Av B)=A
33.
*i
36x6
61
5
-36
P (B,iA)
0.0125 0.0125
0.038
0.038
iJ5
0.0:lu
Ry Baye's
lheorem
5.27
35.
t= o^t"T
0.038
M,
required
38.
= o. 355.
(b)
36.
B
P(B)
=P(AnB)+P(R nB)as
(c)
if
P(AnE)
P(BnE)
P(E)
P(E)
(A)
(,)
(n\
if e len[Jn,
i=r
\
if P U
|=
JE
,=j
c)
(,
\
PIU(BnE)l
\i=r
.)
t
'''
.p(BnC) P(AnBnC)
P(C)
P(C)
(An
n B/C)
P (A
_ P(AnBnC) * P(AnBnC)
P(c)
P(c)
_ P(AnBnC)+P(AnBnC)
P(C)
_ P(AnBnC)u(AnBnC)
P(C)
ThisistruesinceP(AnE,)= P (B n E) for
each i.
B/C)
P(E)=p y
=1-p(E, t-,E,-...rq,)
=1-p(E, nE,^....,q,)
= 1-Pt n, i P (E.t ...et n, t
= 1 _ (1 _ p) (t _p) ... (, _ o)
= 1_ (1_p),,
(at
Hence P
least one man meets rvith an
accidcnt/a person is chosen) =
N. Expectation of X = E(X)
(NC)
IT
(1
-(I-p)").
= avel-age = mean
\-
= /Pr
xt
L-I
=1i*
na
P(C)
(A.- ll
=P(A)-P(AnB)
=P(A)-P(A)P(B)
= P (A) (1 -P (B)) = P(A) P ( B )
P(AnC)
=P
p(BnE,)
accident. Then
P(C)
P(AnE.)t'
p(A n c)
P(C)
as P (B/A) < 1.
-P(enCnBnC)
and P((AuB)nC) =P(AnC)+P(BnC)
-P(AnBnC)
icr P
lB.rt
tYt
\
(AnE,)=
P((a u B) n
n B))
P(AnE)= P(BnE)
37. (o) P
P (A
P(A,ts) =P(A)P(B/A)
<P
P (A
P(A/E)=P(BlE)
=(AnB)u(A nB)
A n B and
=
(b)
C)
=P(C)P(AvB)
lsl :l=16.
(a)
n C)-P (An B n
Clearly,
C) + P (B
Sample space,
(An
ofr
Letq=1-p.
Then probabilities of succcss
trials are
P, QP, q2P, -....
5.28
.' E(n -
(o)
= qp (L + 2q +
8r-10y+66=0
.l
866
J,i
y - _x
+ _ = -I+ -"1010
55
qp
= (l-q)z _qp_q p
p2
Hence
6u.
9xl
cov(X, Y)
.J
P(An(AuR))
P(A u B)
53. Sirrce,
P(A)+P(B)=1
Hence
P(AuB)-P(AnB)=1=P(S)
AUB =SonlyifAnB=g
i.e.
A=BonlyifAnB=0
x*
54.
P(A)=0
\s/
a, i.c. ib becomcs
Newmean= -t - ,, = "t-loo
0-cI
P(A)=i-P(B)
pf4l
tr-y
a
When each item is increased bv 10. mean also
increased by 10.
P(A)=P(B)
M.
of
P(A)
= P(AuB)= P(A)P(A)
+ P(B)
43.
-5
cov(X,Y)
=19:6
P
limit is
b"u=br.r=-1
p(X,Y) =-1
Mode =SMndian-2Mean
Nlean =
=o
55. Standard
n(A)'=0
1t"o,or,z2
1'
-ti3
Median
1onoo"
Mode)
n(S)
tz(A)=0
A=0
4.5.
r; E':-l;j
=i)".
V,
(,,,:
Mode =3Median-2Mean
SMcdian =Mode+2Mean
56.
12
Median =
+ 2 N{can)
5(Mode
47.18=3Median-2x24
49.
Lf,Y, = o
b,,b*;=+ttrt
r
covff'Y)
t2
|
[' o'o,
= to x, Yl,
M=:
=
57.
brr=3b"^,=
brrbr, =
is not possible],which
50.Cov (X, Y), b.r b., and p(X, Y) all are either
positive, or 0 or negative simultaneously.
Hence, equation
= 3x
- S, i.e.r = |, . I
Then
b,rbr, =
=5
M.
P(X,Y
z
o
.J
{o(X,Y)}z = 5
E
o(XY) = 1-
3r-v -5=0
65.
and2,l
-Y-4=O,
r-1andy=-2.
we get
I
59. Here 6r-. = L a.td b', =
Since 0
p(X,Y)
'
'
ztl+
),+0.
60.
have
Cov (X,
Y) = 0
br, =brn-=O
. (r )
n(n+1)ldl
*l
and
brt =-bt!
But both bn, and b* are of same sign, therefore
we must have
br, = br, __ o
P(X,Y) = 0
f^
rzl
:1
+ 2 +...+
ldlx2ll + 2 + 3 +...+ nl
l)ldl
1'
[,*,J=_t
.-
= n(n +
61. The
ffl.We know
2tt+l
ila+@+(a+2ndt)l
u_
Zn+t--
b"n + 0,
Hence, we must
"+ (o + 2nd)
=a+nd'
0<).<4
a + (a + d) + @ + 2d) +"
f1\
o<r[7J <t
brt+
66.Mean,V=-
A*s
- cov(X'Y)
3x4
o"ou = -J-
Quartile d".ri.tior, =
9*
=Ef
=zo
69. Since p > 0, therefore bn* and br" are also positive
r:-----b..- +b
Hence "Jr _ "r.r, > Jby., b..J
=
-
2
b.,- +
b"^,> G
r/p=
bur+b
tJ >o
-
P2
m>P
+ 2y = 7 is taken as regressron
equation of Y on X, then we write it as
!\Er' 4,
same srgn
p = (sgn brr)
upper quartile Qs = 75
by bo
I7
\]=--X+'22
h
-yx =-l
s.30
t7
)c = - - v + 2"2
,1 =o.y
2
b ]-i
h+=(-t)il)
4
i2t(21 =1=1
x+2Y =f
X and Y connected by linear relationship,
therefore they are in perfect correlatiott.
71. Since
/ .r\' c
l, OJt-a
:=
76.
y) )
\n)
-s
+ 9 cov. (r, y)
-0
lsince X, Y trre independent,
therefore cor'(X, Y) = 0l
cov(tl, rr)
L') = -o ,., = 0
r)
| _-
r)
(r
(t
2)l+t- x-l)
l-x- 3)
--\.2
\2 5)
1 I
13
=_*-=31030
(t 2) (t
lJ*:].l;"l]
-/
2\
Ptn)=I
')= i
- P(Ar t + P(A,t - P(A,nAr)
-t
= '+P(A.t ]
623
P(A,uAr)
p(Ar)
t
P(ArnAr)= ,- uttd I,(,r,)ylr(A,) -1
3
78.
=9x4-4x9+9(0)
o'..'
4<r,,2
= 1*1=
3 5 15
=P(A1
\n/\n)
prredorblue)=
t_
=::{9(.r
-r)2-40-y)2
n
+ek_i )Cy_ t))
-o\
/>rr-ti2) (zw-Yr
r-4r
=el-
77.
p(u.,
(t o)+l
-
-(2":/'[zlt s/
increases,
;<0.
b
"'
ob < 0
a
Y=
2"
Al-qo
fl2"-1
arc independent.
throwing 4.
Required.h^.,"" =
Io
4or6.
Rcquiredchance=
'62
Irl = -'
81,
groupis2x3x4.
2x3x4
nc,
Required chance
86.
242
847
82.Number of ways of removing two from 1st year
students and one from others =tCrrrCt
Number of ways of removing two from ind year
students and one from others = rC, x oCr.
Number of ways of removing 2 from Brd year
students and one from others = rC, nC'
"
Hence total number ofways in which two students
of the same class and third from the others
may be removed
=
zCrxTC
r+
sCrx
6C, +
=7+18+30
aC
rx
nl'
-t,
P(D)
13
1215
3103638
I 202
_ _x_
3 240
84
302
720
.'.
If
in which three
p(Anp)
P(D)
13
of'dra\mngaKlllg= 'l
-
l3
-x310
302
720
b2
a
l3
= P (A,/D)
= 84
of drawing
rl?.j;r" .to.,
Required chance
S4.Probability
89.
box
P(AnD)=
1,1 =fL
3 10 302
101. Probability of technocrat manaser
20i
cards in succession
lt x
=-13 -13
I
169
(- 1)"
n!
3rdyeargroup in
-............ +
!1.
I
a:
663
sC,
+;
5l
=55
Required chance =
tl
Probabil ity,p =
87.
t4
13
'
= 1oo=s=P
Probability of non-technocrat mana ger
804
=E="
1oo
114. m=
f,
7+9+11+13+15_
:ox4(r)2f+)3
1x2\5/ \5/
- 111'z + le =40
-l
o=\,
Et
If
fr
542
"t
431
=
-52 -51 -227
=1.1=
22
=1-1='
44
= rs
;r=13
= 95-62
=33
4vyllnpq=J
a
J
4 = + andp=(1-q)=
tA
13
4+->x>4-1
44
13 77
Tt,tT
+
+
3.25<x<4.25
x=4
m =76or8.
Ifm=16then
02 =8
Ifm=8then
t9l9
Y)
np+p>x>np-q
.'.
2.8
= p(7-q)+(1-p)q
10
lrt -
11|'z
115. Requiredprobability
,11
t'r2=E
11
-_f
d': =17
=0.2048
55
O- =
Case
11
P=;,1=;andn=32.
zz
+
Case
P^
OO.
II
;11p
= g v1f, npq = gg
Hence distribution is
(q+p)"
(r
r\"
\r-,