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Page 110
Double your fun: Recalculate the interest rate using the
back of the evelope calculation in your head and by using
excel.
Example:
Rule of 72:
DOUBLE YOUR FUN
You have been offered an investment that promises to double your m
What is the approximate rate of return on the investm
From the Rule of 72, the rate of return is given approximately by 72/
is approximately 72/10 = 7.2%. Verify that the exact answer is
Helpful Hints:
>Formula, enter rate and number under the rate bar is the
value of years so 10.
> type and guess do not need to be filled out so do not
worry about those
g the
using
N
o double your money every 10 years.
n on the investment?
ximately by 72/r% = 10, so the rate
exact answer is 7.177 percent.
PV
FV
YEARS
RATE
100
200
10
???
Excel Rate
7.18%
Example 5.1
You think you will be able to depo
at the end of each of the next thr
in a bank account paying 8 perce
interest.
You currently have $7,000 in the
How much will you have in 3 yea
How much in 4 years?
e Cash Flows
e to deposit $4,000
e next three years
g 8 percent
00 in the account.
in 3 years?
ne
End of Yr 1 Deposit
End of Yr 2 Deposit
End of Yr 3 Deposit
Interest Rate
Total Excel FV in 3 years
$4,000.00
8%
$7,000.00
$21,803.58
$27,547.87
Err:511
Err:511
ples of pure
e future date
00 in 12 months
percent, how
arket?
9345.79
N
FV
R
1
10,000
7
-$1,250.00
$1,000/00
10%
$100.00
5
11%
PREFERRED STOCK
Preferred stock (or preference stock) is
corporation sells preferred stock, the bu
(usually every quarter) forever. This div
to regular stockholders, hence the term
Suppose the Fellini Co. wants to sell pre
preferred stock already outstanding has
every quarter. What dividend will Fellini
The issue that is already out has a prese
forever. Since this is a perpetuity:
ew Fellini issue will also have to offer 2.5 percent per quarter; so, if
e $100, the dividend must be such that:
When a
every period
d can be paid
similar issue of
dividend of $1
oing to sell?
every quarter
quarter; so, if
Chapter 7:
Problems 231
#1-7
Question 4
Input Area:
Divident Paid
Dividend Growth Rate
Required Return
Output Area
Price
3.65
5.10%
12%
52.9
Problem 4: pg 232
Stock Values. Nofal Corporation will pay
share dividend next year. The company
increase its dividend by 5.1 percent per
indefinitely. If you require a return of 12
your investment, how much will you pay
company's stock today?
Slide 8-2
C F
(1 6 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
6 3 ,1 2 0 .0 0
7 0 ,8 0 0 .0 0
9 1 ,0 8 0 .0 0
R e q u ir e d R e tu r n =
F o r m u la
= (- 1 6 5 0 0 0 )/(1 .1 2 ) ^ 0 =
= (6 3 1 2 0 )/( 1 .1 2 )^ 1 =
= (7 0 8 0 0 )/( 1 .1 2 )^ 2 =
= (9 1 0 8 0 )/( 1 .1 2 )^ 3 =
12%
D is c C F s
(1 6 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
5 6 ,3 5 7 .1 4
5 6 ,4 4 1 .3 3
6 4 ,8 2 8 .9 4
1 2 ,6 2 7 .4 1
= N P V (D 2 ,B 5 : B 7 )
NPV + C F0
1 7 7 ,6 2 7 .4 1
1 2 ,6 2 7 .4 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Y ear
0
1
2
3
9
10
11
EXC EL
8-12
Excel
Capital Budgeting Project
mal (5%=.05)
withyear 1
ment (CF0)
%
C Fs
0 0 0 .0 0 )
3 5 7 .1 4
4 4 1 .3 3
8 2 8 .9 4
6 2 7 .4 1
6 2 7 .4 1
6 2 7 .4 1
8-12
Year
CF
0
1
2
3
Required
Return
62,120.00
70,800.00
91,000.00
Formula Based
NPV
12%
Disc CF's
56,441.33
66,828.94
12,627.4`
mula Based
Slide 8-6
Present Vale
py and
n
figure 8.1
ue
ting a business to produce and sell a new product, say, organic fertilizer. We can
h reasonable accuracy because we know what we will need to buy to begin
od investment? Based on our discussion, you know that the answer depends on
new business exceeds the cost of starting it. In other words, does this
V?
fficult than our fixer-upper house example, because entire fertilizer companies
old in the marketplace; so it is essentially impossible to observe the market value
sult, we must somehow estimate this value by other means.
4 and 5, you may be able to guess how we will go about estimating the value of
first try to estimate the future cash flows we expect the new business to produce.
counted cash flow procedure to estimate the present value of those cash flows.
e then estimate NPV as the difference between the present value of the future
nvestment. As we mentioned in Chapter 5, this procedure is often called
aluation.
estimating NPV, suppose we believe the cash revenues from our fertilizer
ear, assuming everything goes as expected. Cash costs (including taxes) will be
down the business in eight years. The plant, property, and equipment will be
t time. The project costs $30,000 to launch. We use a 15 percent discount rate
e. Is this a good investment? If there are 1,000 shares of stock outstanding, what
er share from taking the investment?
pective, we need to calculate the present value of the future cash flows at 15
ll be $20,000 cash income less $14,000 in costs per year for eight years. These
ure 8.1. As Figure 8.1 suggests, we effectively have an eight-year annuity of
r year along with a single lump-sum inflow of $2,000 in eight years. Calculating
cash flows thus comes down to the same type of problem we considered in
lue is:
zer. We can
begin
epends on
is
companies
market value
he value of
to produce.
cash flows.
he future
lled
lizer
es) will be
t will be
count rate
anding, what
ws at 15
ars. These
nuity of
Calculating
ered in
Years
Outflow
Inflow
r=
9%
0
1
2
3
4
5
1) Payback period =4 years because the cum CF at year 4=0 so we have recovered all that w
2)NPV
Calculated NPV in Excel
Add: Inniral cash outflow
NPV
Quick Qu
Q u ic k Q u iz
C h a p te r 8
r =
R eq. P B =
t
0
1
2
3
4
5
C F
( 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
C u m u la tv e
C Fs
( 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 7 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 5 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
0 .0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
P ayback =
4 y e a rs
N P V =
IR R =
( $ 2 ,7 5 8 .7 2 )
7 .9 3 %
=
P B =
9%
4 y rs
0 .0 0 )
0 .0 0
0 .0 0
0 .0 0
0 .0 0
0 .0 0
C u m u la tv e
C Fs
( 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 7 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 5 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
0 .0 0
2 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
ck =
4 y e a rs
=
=
( $ 2 ,7 5 8 .7 2 )
7 .9 3 %
D C F
( 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
2 2 ,9 3 5 . 7 8
2 1 ,0 4 2 . 0 0
1 9 ,3 0 4 . 5 9
1 7 ,7 1 0 . 6 3
1 6 ,2 4 8 . 2 8
(2 ,7 5 8 .7 2 )
C u m u l a t iv e
D C Fs
( 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 )
( 7 7 ,0 6 4 .2 2 )
( 5 6 ,0 2 2 .2 2 )
( 3 6 ,7 1 7 .6 3 )
( 1 9 ,0 0 7 .0 0 )
( 2 ,7 5 8 .7 2 )
= N P V ( E 3 ,C 9 : C 1 3 ) + C 8
= IR R ( C 8 : C 1 3 )
8-69