Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Ecological Modelling
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolmodel
School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geoscience, Beijing 100083, China
School of Information Engineering, China University of Geoscience, Beijing 100083, China
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 4 March 2014
Received in revised form 22 June 2014
Accepted 23 June 2014
Available online 11 July 2014
Keywords:
Garden City
Digital city modeling
Geographic information system (GIS)
Comparative analysis
Land use structure
Open green space accessibility
a b s t r a c t
As a complement to the development of new theories, the reevaluation and knowledge mining of classical
theories can be benecial for urban development. In particular, quantitative analyses for cities can now
take advantage of geographic information systems (GIS). Proposed more than one hundred years ago,
Ebenezer Howards Garden City is a generally acknowledged classical urban theory. On the basis of the
original work, we model a digital Garden City in ArcGIS. The model is accurate to within 1% for both areal
and length measures, and enables our further quantitative evaluation of the urban land-use structure
and open green space accessibility. We then compare the classical theory with a modern-built area for
the quantitative evaluation results. Zhujiajiao Town in Shanghai, winner of the International Award for
Livable Communities in 2008, provides a reference. Although the central areas of Garden City and Zhujiajiao Town have different geographical and historical backgrounds, the measured land-use structures,
including indicators of area proportion and area per capita, exhibits similarities on land-use types of residential, transportation, and ecological conservation, which offer a considerable reference for land-use
structure of a livable urban area. Comparison of the accessibility to open green spaces in both cities shows
that the average access time from a residential area to open green space in Garden City is just 186.77 s,
which is much shorter than that in Zhujiajiao. Our research shows that the classical Garden City theory
can be modeled into highly accurate digital forms, allowing richer information in quantitative terms to be
obtained than from the original theory, and enabling comparisons with modern cities. Besides, the proposed digital modeling approach is widely applicable to classical theories and historical planning cases.
2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
In 1898, Ebenezer Howard proposed the Garden City in his book
To-morrow: A Peaceful Path to Real Reform, which has been widely
known through subsequent editions named Garden Cities of Tomorrow. The Garden City is characterized as a living space that
combines the advantages of urban and rural life, with a social city
designed to overcome further increases in population after the limit
of the Garden City is reached (Howard, 1898, 1902). The theory, its
practical applications in Letchworth (Miller, 1989; Purdom, 1963)
and Welwyn (Reiss, 1920), and the resulting worldwide Garden City
movement (Jin, 2007; Ward, 1992) have all been extensively studied. For example, the theory has been recognized as the cornerstone
of modern urban planning (Alexander, 1992; Buder, 1969). Further,
Corresponding author at: No. 29, Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100083,
China. Tel.: +86 13401184568; fax: +86 1082321807.
E-mail address: zxqsd@126.com (X. Zheng).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.06.015
0304-3800/ 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
analysis, make GIS particularly suitable for complicated calculations (Fotheringham and Rogerson, 1994; Matejcek et al., 2006).
The application of GIS in urban planning generally falls into one
of the two categories. The rst assists with the visual presentation
and quick editing of planning schemes (Beregovskih et al., 2010;
Malczewski, 2004), and the second supports urban modeling, analysis, and prediction for real cities (Jiang and Yao, 2010). Both are
implemented in modern cities in the real world. Even the leading
studies of smart cities focus on the visual representation and simple
analysis of real cities (Al-Hader and Rodzi, 2009). However, modeling classical and historical theories or cases is a challenge, because
we have only incomplete data, inaccurate diagrams, and poorly
organized descriptions. The archeological mining of these classical theories based on GIS, although rarely reported, can provide
considerable benets to modern urban planning.
Ongoing studies of urban spatial analysis are mainly focused
on open-space accessibility (Geurs and van Wee, 2004; Tsou et al.,
2005), landscape pattern measurement (Herold et al., 2002; Kong
and Nakagoshi, 2006; Seto and Fragkias, 2005), complex transportation network analysis (Brockmann and Helbing, 2013; Crucitti
et al., 2006), and energy metabolism and sustainability (Hall, 2011;
Yang et al., 2014; Zhang et al., 2014). Since the 1950s, accessibility
has been an important indicator for the urban green-space distribution (Van Herzele and Wiedemann, 2003). Accessibility can be
measured by various methods, such as the buffer zone, minimum
distance, travel impedance, and gravity index (Luo and Wang, 2003;
Oh and Jeong, 2007; Talen and Anselin, 1998). Modern-built cities
are generally the basis of these studies, and the analysis of classical
and historical theories or cases is rare.
Therefore, our study considers the following three questions.
First, is there a reliable modeling procedure for those classical
urban theories presented in texts and diagrams but only available
on papery material? If so, what are the differences between the
modeling procedure for cities in classical theories and modern society? Second, is the urban land-use structure comparable in cities
or towns with different geographical and historical backgrounds?
Will the land-use structure designed by Howard be similar to that
in modern cities? Third, as the pioneer of urban planning, Howard
tried to solve the environmental problems of urbanization with a
spatial allocation of open green spaces. Thus, what are the quantitative results of judging his planning scheme through an open green
space accessibility analysis? In the remainder of this paper, we rst
reorganize the data and diagrams in Howards original work, and
model a highly accurate digital Garden City using the ArcGIS software. We then quantitatively analyze Howards theory in terms of
a land-use structure calculation and an open green space accessibility measurement on the basis of the digital model. Finally, taking
Zhujiajiao Town as a reference, we apply the urban modeling procedure of modern cities, and analyze the results with the same
land-use structure calculation and open green space accessibility
measurement procedure used for the Garden City. We then contrast the modeling procedure for classical theories with that for
modern cities, and compare the land-use structure and open green
space accessibility of Howards Garden City with that of modern
Zhujiajiao Town.
2. Method
2.1. Modeling classical theory
The modeling procedure provides the foundation for further
quantitative study. We have previously attempted to model a digital Garden City (Yuan et al., 2013a). Further improvements and
repeated experiments have enabled us to identify the main modeling process for a digital Garden City, and this procedure is also
27
suitable for other classical theories expressed by a literal description and schematic pictures. The modeling process consists of
an analysis of the original theory, the selection of an appropriate mathematical foundation, data extraction and calculation, the
systematic organization and design of an attribute structure, vectorization and digitization, verication of the model accuracy, and
(if necessary) corrections to the model (see Fig. 1).
2.1.1. Original theory analysis
Analyzing the original theory ensures that the natural idea
and characteristics are understood and accurately reected in the
model. The analysis is also important for the data calculations and
framework design, which are strongly inuenced by the information in the original work.
The modeling process of a digital Garden City offers a specic
example. The analysis of Howards original theory helps us understand what should and can be present and calculated in its digital
form, and thus determine the extent and object of the model. The
Garden City is part of a city group named the social city. Each social
city includes several separate urban areas (one central city encircled by several Garden Cities), agricultural areas in the intervals
between cities, and transportation systems of highways and railroads connecting each urban area. The most detailed part of the
theory concerns the urban area of the Garden City, and this is the
most important part of our study on urban planning. Thus, we consider the models extent to be the entire social city, and focus on
the central area of a single Garden City.
2.1.2. Mathematical foundation selection
Being ideal, the cities in classical theories are usually designed
without spatial reference. Therefore, it is necessary to select a
mathematical foundation that includes a suitable spatial coordinate system, a map projection that minimizes deformation, modern
international units, and a scale that is appropriate to the size of the
modeled city.
Because of the ideal and hypothetical characteristics of the social
city, the mathematical foundation of a digital Garden City model
need not consider the citys geographical location. Therefore, we
build a new projection coordinate system called garden city. To
minimize the deformation of the model, we use the Aitoff projection because of the round shape of the social city and the Garden
Cities. The false easting, false northing, and central meridian are all
set to 0 because of the theorys idealistic construction. The model
uses length units of meters. The geographic coordinate system of
the garden city projection coordinates is GCS Beijing 1954 with
Greenwich as the prime meridian, D Beijing 1954 as the datum,
and Krasovsky 1940 as the spheroid.
2.1.3. Data preparation
The data in theories are usually scattered, incomplete, or hidden within text and diagrams. Data preparation aims to form a
systematic, complete, and accurate data list through data extraction and calculation (see Fig. 2). Extracting the core points of a
theory can make the data more systematic. The main references
for this step are the data given in the text, urban layouts shown
in diagrams, and geometric formulae. In some cases, data cannot
be calculated because of deciencies in the original work. Thus,
it is necessary to add one or more assumptions to the authors
design. These assumptions should be reasonable and reliable, and
be related to the geometric features of modeling objects, such as the
length and width of roads, area of parks, and so on. Both exact numbers and numerical relations can be assumed. Some assumptions
may prove to be false, whereas others may be found to be poor when
compared to other calculation results. Such assumptions should be
abandoned or corrected. After comparing and adjusting, the nal
data list should be based on a single best assumption, or the group of
28
points of the central city and six Garden Cities in the concentriccircle layout of Howards design. The calculation is performed in
the following sequence: (1) urban boundaries of the central city
and Garden Cities; (2) inner and outer radii of the rings of the central garden, the whole town, the factories and warehouses, and
the circular railway; (3) inner and outer radii of Grand Avenue;
assumptions that provide optimal results. The comparison of models formed under different assumptions might offer further insight
into the development of cities.
For the data preparation step in the modeling of digital Garden
City, all original data are extracted from the original work. Then,
the core point system is conrmed precisely according to the center
Core
points
system
Modeling object
Modeling object A
Modeling object B1
Modeling object B2
Modeling object B3
Core point B1
Core point B2
Core point B3
Core point A
Certain
data
Uncertain
data
Assumpon Xi
Geometric formula
Calculang
result Ri
Geometric formula
Correcon
or
adjustment
Opmal
results Rm
Calculaon results RA
Comparison
Sased
Data discrepancy or
against common sense
Valid
assumpon
Invalid
assumpon
29
30
Table 1
Relative travel impedance of different land-use types for walking in Garden City.
Land-use types
Physical items
Roads
Residential areas
Open green space
Administrative areas
Commercial- and industrial-related areas
1
3
4
5
100
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
speed of 1 m/s according to the general setting ranges in trafc engineering (Oh and Jeong, 2007), regardless of the impact
of different road grades on the travel cost. The relative travel
speed is numerically equal to the travel impedance when the
walking speed on a road is 1 m/s.
Select the physical categories of open green space according to
the original theory, and extract them as a single vector le. This
is the source data for the cost distance. The open green space in
the Garden City is composed of the central garden, the central
park, and the grand avenue.
Convert the polygon data to raster data with the conversion
tools in ArcGIS. Recheck the attribute representing impedance
conditions, namely the travel speed, of each cell. In the digital
Garden City, we use a cell size of 10 m 10 m for rasterization.
Extract the study area (in this study, the residential areas) as
a single polygon layer. This layer should be selected as the
processing extent in the environment settings in the ArcGIS tool
of cost distance. The four residential rings in the digital Garden
City are considered to be study areas.
Calculate the minimum distance (measured in accumulated
access time) of each cell in the study area to the open green
space using the cost distance tool in ArcGIS, and output the
distance raster (the distance is measured by access time). The
whole calculation and comparison process can be performed by
the ArcGIS software.
Classify all cells in the output raster of step (7) according to
travel time. The intervals can be determined autonomously. The
classication map can be obtained in the software by setting
the intervals in the classication label of the les properties.
Statistics on the area and proportion of each accessibility class
can also be computed with the spatial analysis tool of ArcGIS.
This allows the accessibility distribution in the study area to be
plotted. In the digital Garden City, we select 300 s (5 min) as the
interval, considering the results of step (7). The equal interval
classication map and statistics with a class interval of 5 min
walking time are shown in Section 3.2.2.
3. Results
3.1. Digital Garden City
3.1.1. Interface of the digital model
Through the modeling process described in Section 2.1, we successfully transformed Howards Garden City theory into a digital
model (see Fig. 3). This digital form is equipped with systematic
organization and structured attributes, and enables quantitative
measurements and calculations.
3.1.2. Accuracy verication
We calculate the relative errors by comparing two datasets, one
extracted from the original work and the other measured from
the digital model (Table 2). The results conrm that the digital
model is t for further analysis, with an average relative error of
0.90% for the areal measures, 0.57% for the length measures, and
0 for the count measures. The maximum errors occur for the total
area of the gardens and the total road length (measured along the
31
Fig. 3. From sketches (in Howards original work) to digital Garden City (in ArcGIS 10).
work. For example, Howard did not set the population distribution
or house heights for his Garden City. There are also some incompatibilities between theoretical and real cities in terms of the different
historical backgrounds. Thus, some land-use types do not exist in
Garden City, such as multiple public utilities, and some land-use
designs are no longer suitable for modern cities, such as ringshaped trafc systems which were designed for gharries but are
not suitable for cars. However, these non-existent land-use types
and unsuitable designs provide wide scope for city-related studies.
4.2. Similarity of land-use structures between Garden City and
Zhujiajiao
There are differences between the geographical and historical
backgrounds of Garden Citys urban area and Zhujiajiaos township.
However, there are also similarities, as can be demonstrated by
land-use conditions for several urban functions. We divided landuse types of Garden Citys urban area and Zhujiajiaos township
based on land-use type division in Code for Classication of Urban
Land Use and the Planning Standards of the Development Land
32
Table 2
Accuracy verication of digital Garden City model.
Physical item
Detail
Converted data
from original work
Measured data in
digital model
Relative
error (%)
Built area
Area (round)
Length (radius)
1000 acres
1240 yards
(approx. 3/4 miles)
4046856.42 m2
1133.86
(1207.01) m
4046375.77 m2
1134.87 m
0.01
0.09
Boulevards
Length (width)
120 feet
36.58 m
36.58 m
0.00
Central garden
Area (round)
5.5 acres
22257.71 m2
22223.04 m2
0.16
Central park
Area (ring)
145 acres
586794.18 m2
586537.98 m2
0.04
Crystal Palace
600 yards
548.64 m
548.81 m
0.03
Residential area
6.10 m 39.62 m
5500
6.10 m 30.48 m
30,000
Not expressed
Not expressed
Not expressed
Not expressed
Grand avenue
Length (width)
Length (green belts length)
Area (ring)
Length (farthest distance to
residents)
420 feet
3 miles
115 acres
240 yards
128.02 m
4828.03 m
465388.49 m2
219.46 m
128.05 m
4827.73 m
465330.97 m2
201.46 m
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.00
School
Area (total)
Count
4 acres
6
16187.43 m2
6
16187.44 m2
6
0.00
0.00
Gardens
Warehouses, factories, and markets
Ring railway
Roads
Area (total)
Area (total)
Length (perimeter)
Length (total)
250 acres
82 acres
4.5 miles
25 miles
1011714.11 m2
331842.23 m2
7242.05 m
40233.60 m
1068058.05 m2
333530.21 m2
7186.66 m
38763.32 m
5.57
0.51
0.76
3.65
0.90
0.57
0.00
Fig. 4. Classication map from the residential area to the open green space (interval: 300 s) of Garden Citys urban area.
33
Table 3
Comparison of modeling processes of classical theories and real cities.
Items
Modeling foundation
Modeling emphasis
Model accuracy
Requirements of modelers
Table 4
Comparison of land-use structures in Garden Citys urban area and Zhujiajiaos township.
Codes
Land-use types
R
A
B
M
W
S
U
G
E
Total area
Residential
Administration and public services
Commercial and business facilities
Industrial
Logistics and warehouse
Street and transportation
Municipal utilities
Green space
Water
Area/m2
Proportion/%
Garden City
Zhujiajiao
Garden City
Zhujiajiao
Garden City
Zhujiajiao
1553438.46
100275.25
39200.25
271246.95
24658.07
634800.39
0
1422763.01
0
4046382.38
3769343.51
510744.65
853025.25
0.00
0.00
1395792.39
27758.96
1428706.99
1493151.31
9478523.06
38.39
2.48
0.97
6.7
0.61
15.69
0
35.16
0
100
39.77
5.39
9.00
0.00
0.00
14.73
0.29
15.07
15.75
100
51.78
3.34
1.31
9.04
0.82
21.16
0.00
47.43
0.00
134.88
58.44
7.92
13.23
0.00
0.00
21.64
0.43
22.15
23.15
134.88
Table 5
Relative travel impedance of different land-use types for walking in Zhujiajiao.
Land-use types
Physical items
Roads
Residential areas
impedance of 999 for water to represent the difculty of walking via water (Guo et al., 2012; Hu et al., 2005; Li et al., 2008)
(Table 5). Commercialresidential complexes were grouped into
commercial- and industrial-related areas, which have higher travel
impedances than residential areas.
According to our calculations, the shortest travel time from a
residential area to an open green space is again zero, whereas
the longest walking time is 219337.55 s (approximately 365 min).
This is much longer than the maximum travel time in Garden
City (520 s). The average access time in Zhujiajiaos township is
1038.04 s (approximately 17 min), which is not long but still large
compared with Garden City. The standard deviation of the access
time over Zhujiajiaos entire residential area is 2522.37 s. Classication of the residential area based on a 300-s time interval
shows that most residents can easily access open green space, but
some areas (such as the southwest corner) have poor accessibility
(Fig. 5).
4.3.2. Comparison of the accessibility of open green space
We compared the statistical results of a spatial analysis of the
two cities (Table 6). The results indicate that residents of Zhujiajiao
have good accessibility to open green space, with nearly half of the
Relative travel
impedance
1
3
4
5
100
999
Table 6
Comparison of access-time interval proportions on open green space accessibility
in Garden Citys urban area and Zhujiajiaos township.
Time intervals/s
0300
300600
600900
9001200
12001500
15001800
1800
Sum
Area proportion
Garden City (%)
Zhujiajiao (%)
89.10
10.90
100.00
42.69
35.29
10.74
1.78
0.19
0.40
8.91
100.00
34
Fig. 5. Classication map from the residential area to the open green space (interval: 300 s) of Zhujiajiaos township.
5. Conclusion
Acknowledgements
This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant (No. 40571119). We would like to
express our gratitude to the editors at Editage for polishing the
text and providing useful comments on this manuscript.
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