Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Banking
Competitiveness
Report 2016
New realities
New opportunities
Contents
04
04 | Foreword
Foreword
08
Participation banking
performance review
10 | International Participation
banking assets
11 | Regional market contributions
12 | Participation industry footprint
13 | Market share changes
14 | Asset growth
15 | QISMUT+3 contributions
16 | Leading 20 Participation banks
by capitalization
17 | Profitability and shareholders
equity in focus
18 | Industry in 2020: a potential scenario
19 | Future outlook
20 | Growth drivers
22
Focus on GCC:
reimagine
banking business
44
Country outlook
46 | Bahrain
48 | Saudi Arabia
50 | Malaysia
52 | UAE
54 | Kuwait
56 | Qatar
58 | Turkey
60 | Indonesia
62 | Pakistan
Foreword
The pulse of the international Participation banking industry are the nine core
markets Bahrain, Qatar, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates,
Turkey, Kuwait and Pakistan. Together, they account for 93% of industry assets,
estimated to exceed US$920 billion in 2015. Forward looking industry projections are
generally positive, driven by the significant unmet demand, and despite the prevailing
macroeconomic and political situation across a number of emerging markets.
The boardroom focus is now shifting, and rightly so, to improve the quality of this
growth. EY research has identified a group of 40 leading banks that are systemically
important to the progress of the global Participation banking industry. Collectively, the
nine core markets and the group of 40 banks are the growth engine of the industry.
Abdulaziz Al-Sowailim
Chairman and CEO, MENA Region
There are a number of extraordinary opportunities in the making that will influence the
regionalization of the industry. Emerging markets will remain central to global growth
over the next decade. A group of 25 rapid-growth markets (RGMs) are reshaping the
world economy and the global trade flows; and 10 of these 25 RGMs have large Muslim
population. In Southeast Asia, the coming together of ASEAN Economic Community
(AEC) in 2015 is one of the key milestone towards a larger, integrated financial market.
In GCC, falling oil prices, jobs-for-nationals and economic diversification drive is set
to transform the role of financial institutions in the region. In addition, the China-led
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is readying for launch with US$100 billion
capital from 56 shareholder countries. And Chinas ambitious development framework,
the Belt & Road Initiative, has accelerated economic activity in the region, notable
initiatives being the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and the BangladeshChina-India-Myanmar (BCIM) Economic Corridor.
In the local market context, Participation banks are still attempting to transform their
rather generalist business model to more direct integration with priority sectors of
the Islamic Economy. There is increasing pressure on these banks to demonstrate
their purpose of existence specifically their role in enabling important sectors such
as transportation, retail, telecommunication and SMEs to name a few that have the
greatest impact on the economy and on creating employment alternatives.
Finally, the industry infrastructure talent development, advocacy, applied research,
regulations, capital markets, product design, accounting and rating amongst
others is not fit to support the exciting journey ahead. This requires immediate
attention, funding and political will to make it happen. This is also an opportunity
for each of the nine jurisdictions to carve a more specialized hub positioning for
themselves.
The purpose of this report is to inspire and inform the business strategies of
Participation banks through specific, actionable insights. We hope you will find it useful
in your forward journey ahead.
Robert Abboud
Financial Services Advisory Leader, MENA
Foreword
Leading participating banks have done well to mainstream
with a competitive, sizeable business in their home markets.
The combined profit pool of Participation banks across
QISMUT-plus-three markets crossed US$12 billion in 2014,
which is a notable milestone. Analysts, however, also point out
that the return on shareholder equity could be significantly
enhanced, by at least 15%20%, and this need becomes
more pressing in the context of prevailing macroeconomic
environment.
Ashar Nazim
Partner Global Islamic Banking Center
Muzammil Kasbati
Director Global Islamic Banking Center
Participation banking
performance review
International Participation
banking assets*
Participation banking assets grew strongly in 2014 with GCC gaining above average growth rate.
490
14
50
93
20
17
53
143
24
89
84
159
153
34%
ASEAN 13%
117
333
385
2010
2011
GCC
69
GCC
28
16%
455
515
606
Turkey & 6%
ROW
ASEAN
2012
2013
2014
South Asia
0%
20%
Islamic
40%
60%
Conventional
80%
100%
Malaysia
Participation banking continues to show strong growth of c. 16%, despite political and economic
volatility in the major regions.
Sources:
Central banks, EY analysis
*International Participation banking assets exclude Iran which has a unique domestic industry.
ROW includes Jordan, Egypt, Sudan and South Africa.
10
10%
3%
18%
69%
GCC
60.0%
ASEAN
South Asia
35%
KSA
30%
50.0%
Kuwait
25%
40.0%
20%
30.0%
Qatar
Bahrain
15%
UAE Malaysia
20.0%
Bangladesh
10.0%
Jordan
5%
Pakistan Egypt
Indonesia
Turkey
0.0%
0%
100%
10%
0%
200%
300%
Banking penetration
GCC
2010
ASEAN
2011
2013
2014
Sources:
Central banks, EY analysis
*International Participation banking assets exclude Iran which has a unique domestic industry.
**Year-over-year.
***Compound annual growth rate.
World Islamic Banking Competitiveness Report 2016
11
Saudi Arabia
33.0%
Global
Malaysia
51.2%
15.5%
National
Kuwait
UAE
Global
21.3%
National
Qatar
10.1%
Global
Indonesia
8.1%
Global
25.8%
National
Bahrain
2.5%
Global
3.7%
National
Global
21.6%
National
Turkey
45.2%
National
15.4%
5.1%
Global
5.5%
National
Pakistan
1.6%
Global
29.3%
National
1.4%
Global
10.4%
National
Sources:
Central banks, EY analysis
*International Participation banking assets exclude Iran which has a unique domestic industry.
12
Malaysia
Saudi Arabia
5.3%
6.0%
4.0%
6.0%
6.0%
4.0%
1.9% 2.4%
1.8%
UAE
4.0%
1.0%
4.0%
0.6%
2.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-2.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
0.9%
2.0%
0.0%
2.2%
0.3%
0.4%
-2.0%
4.0%
Indonesia
0.0%
6.0%
4.0%
4.0%
0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
0.0%
-2.0%
-2.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-4.0%
4.0%
0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% -0.3%
2.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
Pakistan
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
-4.0%
0.2%
Bahrain
6.0%
2.0%
2.2%
0.7%
2.0%
-4.0%
0.0%
6.0%
2.7% 2.2%
-2.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-4.0%
0.8%
Turkey
6.0%
4.0%
4.0%
-4.0%
Qatar
Kuwait
6.0%
-4.0%
1.7% 1.5%
1.4%
2.0%
0.3% 0.1%
1.1% 1.6%
2.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
Sources:
Company financial reports, EY universe, EY analysis
13
Asset growth
Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Pakistan are enjoying double digit median banking growth (201014).
Saudi Arabia
Malaysia
UAE
7%
15%
50%
30%
18%
7%
10%
-10%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Kuwait
8%
13%
4%
10%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Indonesia
9%
30%
4%
10%
-10%
2011
2012
2013
1%
2014
15%
50%
20%
7%
10%
-10%
3% 2%
2011
2012
2013
Conventional banking
2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
1%
-10%
2011
2012
2013
2014
6%
50%
30%
5%
10%
-10%
-1%
2011
2012
2013
2014
10%
50%
30%
7%
10%
2012
2013
19%
8%
10%
-1%
2011
Participation banking
Sources:
Company financial reports, EY universe, EY analysis
10%
Pakistan
50%
-10%
18%19%
Turkey
30%
10%
14
30%
Bahrain
50%
-10%
30%
30%
30%
-10%
50%
Qatar
50%
8%
50%
2014
-10%
2011
2012
2013
2014
QISMUT+3 contributions
The nine core markets are the growth engine for global industry and require tailored strategies.
2%
5%
3%
1%
9%
36%
11%
17%
KSA
Turkey
UAE
Indonesia
16%
Malaysia
Bahrain
Kuwait
Pakistan
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
CAGR
201014
20%
7%
Malaysia
9%
17%
UAE
19%
Kuwait
4%
Qatar
10%
7%
22%
Turkey
16%
Indonesia
Bahrain
11%
25%
29%
-1%
4%
Pakistan
-5%
13%
13%
0%
5%
10%
Conventional
15%
27%
20%
25%
30%
Islamic
Sources:
Central banks, EY analysis
15
CAR CAR
US$b 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2014
2013
20% 20%
2011
CAR Capital adequacy ratio
Sources:
Company financial reports, EY universe, EY analysis
Note: Top 20 Participation banks data excludes Iran and country flags represent the home market of the Participation bank.
16
201214
15%
18%
26%
28%
16%
17%
15%
17%
14%
17%
19%
17%
18%
21%
16%
14%
17%
18%
14%
15%
17%
17%
17%
14%
16%
19%
15%
14%
12%
13%
15%
14%
24%
31%
14%
16%
14%
16%
20%
Average
ROE*
(2014)
Average
assets
Average growth
201014
12.6%
US$23b
14.0%
14.5%
US$87b
11.0%
100
80
60
40
20
0%
Sources:
Company financial reports, EY universe, EY analysis
Note: Top 20 Participation banks data excludes Iran and country flags represent the home market of the Participation bank.
*Return on equity.
17
Turkey
Indonesia
Bahrain
Pakistan
16
31 50
52
179
15
25 15
83
2015e
assets
(US$b)
98
93
343
Saudi Arabia
766
154
2020f
assets
(US$b)
218
148
150
250
UAE
Malaysia
Kuwait
Qatar
Sources:
Central banks, IMF, BMI, EY analysis
e estimate, f forecast
18
Future outlook
QISMUT and other core markets are to drive the future growth of the industry with Turkey expected to recover from the current
temporary setback.
70%
60%
Saudi Arabia
50%
Kuwait
40%
30%
Qatar
Bahrain
Pakistan
10%
0%
-10%
UAE
Malaysia
20%
Indonesia
0%
1%
2%
Turkey
3%
4%
5%
6%
Based on banking sector asset projections, key players identified on account of average
annual growth rate and banking sector assets are Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, UAE
and Turkey.
On the other hand, for Participation banking, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar will be
the major players in terms of banking market share by 2020.
Sources:
Company financial reports, EY universe, EY analysis
19
Growth drivers
Participation banking continues to drive high growth over traditional banks and capturing market share in all key markets with
the exception of Turkey.
Drivers of growth
in Participation banking
Average growth in
banking sector assets
2x
2014
2020
Sources:
Company financial reports, EY universe, EY analysis, Central banks, IMF, BMI
20
21
Focus on GCC:
reimagine banking business
In the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), our social attitudes and expectations have
changed at an incredible pace. This is influenced by a mostly youthful population of
near 50 million, which is increasingly mobile and has greater access to international
media and technologies. As a result, the disconnect between what we expect as
customers and what banks in the GCC can deliver is more distinct than ever.
This is the message from EYs conversations with more than 2,000 customers across
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman; analysis of 700,000
sentiments on social networks; and discussions with 28 leading banks and 80 banking
industry leaders.
This wealth of customer data is now informing new product and service design for
several of our banking clients. Addressing your customer needs in an increasingly
digital world means disrupting and rewiring existing business models for a fresh
customer experience. But this investment has to be made wisely. Our experience
suggests that up to 50% of retail banks net profit could be at stake.
Paul Sommerin
EYs study has confirmed that the future of retail banking in the GCC is a smartphone
experience that delights. This customer desire for a bank in your pocket is notably
visible. However, mobile banking usage in the UAE stands at 34%, followed by 27% in
Kuwait, 19% in Qatar and 15% in Saudi Arabia. Customers are generally not impressed
with the mobile proposition on offer, it appears, and this holds true for both traditional
and Islamic banks. Among reasons cited for this low take-up is the lack of convenience and
simplicity. Less than half of the customers surveyed were happy with their mobile banking
experience.
Clearly, it is not enough for banks to introduce new digital channels. They must completely
reinvent their customer processes to offer technology-enabled, simple end-to-end
experiences. Key solutions in demand are payments, account opening and mortgages,
with the potential for banks to increase value per customer significantly. Digitization
of these would entail a combination of connectivity, user experience, automation,
decisioning, collaboration and execution.
The other astonishing finding was the dwindling loyalty among customers. Three out of
four customers surveyed felt comfortable to transition to a digital-first relationship and
were willing to switch banks for a better digital experience.
How will you respond?
24
Dominique Corradi
By contrast, banks have seen muted demand for voice-driven banking, pre-login balance
and gamification. Another observation is the exceptionally long time it is taking banks to
prototype and bring to market, as well as the costs being incurred.
The boards are generally generous in sanctioning spend on digital, but the sheer scale
and complexity of transformation is making the management of some banks nervous.
As yet, there is no clear leader in the digital banking space in the GCC. Banks are
positioning themselves to create value using a range of approaches, from digitally
enabling their existing business to adopting new disruptive propositions focused on
customers and service design. This exciting journey is just beginning.
Hammad Khan
25
26
27
98%
of surveyed
banking customers
are equipped with
modern smartphones.
The market is almost
evenly split between the
two leading smartphone
device vendors, with
respectively 46% and 49%.
88%
82%
72%
57%
28
13%
Balance inquiry
15%
19%
7%
9% 6%
8% 7% 6%
Service request
0%
Why?
Customers speak of a lack of convenience that is holding them back
Iamnotsatisfiedwithmy
mobilebanking.Itisdifficult
to access, not always available
and sometimes not tailored
to my needs.
31%
31%
36%
37%
43%
Difficult to access
46%
29
38%
Conventional
banking
customers using
mobile banking
26%
Islamic banking
customers using
mobile banking
36%
Hybrid banking
customers using
mobile banking
Kuwait
Oman
Qatar
KSA
UAE
GCC
UK
France
Singapore
1.4
3.9
4.5
2.2
31.5
9.2
52.7
64.7
66
5.6
52%
69%
44%
86%
33%
88%
48%
12%
11%
39%
26,205
35,159
35,159
82,680
23,099
39,767
37,274
43,900
42,503
48,867
55
67
64
26
55
25
NA
14
26
Three-bank asset
concentration
91%
88%
70%
67%
52%
64%
20%
45%
30.8%
84%
Five-bank asset
concentration
97%
100%
100%
96%
76%
84%
30%
64%
43.3%
100%
32
66
22
121
100
93
121
2,634
2,526
401
Remittance market
2014 outflows (US$b)
2.2
19
9.5
11.2
37
18
97
2.5
13
NA
Level of competition
(based on H-index)
8%
40%
43.6%
NA
48.8%
43.5%
NA
66.4%
51.5%
65%
Population (millions)
Percentage expat
GDP per capita (US$)
Transparency ranking
(Based on CPI index)
Transparency results 2014 0174 ranking Ranking (0 Highly transparent/100 Lack of transparency)
https://www.transparency.org/cpi2014/results
Percentage expat: OECD input
Migrant Remittance Outflow Report World Bank
http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/migrationremittancesdiasporaissues/brief/migration-remittances-data
Total assets, US$b
Source Annual Reports
H-Statistic: measure of the level of banking competition in a market, (0: no competition 1: perfect competition) src. www.bluenomics.com
30
Kuwaitcustomerfindings
SaudiArabiacustomerfindings
27%
50%
15%
34%
44%
53%
50%
20%
26%
18%
60%
23%
64%
24%
Difficult to access
26%
Difficult to access
51%
Qatarcustomerfindings
UAEcustomerfindings
19%
42%
34%
45%
33%
37%
31%
22%
35%
47%
33%
35%
49%
Difficult to access
62%
Difficult to access
42%
51%
31
Global context
The UK is currently seen as a global leader for
experience standards. A large proportion of GCC
residents have been exposed to these standards and
expect the same, if not higher.
The US is leading
the way in the realm
of innovation, with
groundbreaking
digital-only banks.
32
A clear
consensus
emerged on
the following
three
priorities:
Anywhere, anytime
Paperless
33
of mobile banking
users strongly
agreed that
their banking
app allowed for
improved control
overtheirfinances.
88%
of mobile banking
users strongly
agreed that their
banking app
allowed them to
get closer to their
financialgoals.
77%
of mobile banking
users strongly
agreed that
their banking
app facilitated
easier payments.
GCC
customer
34
90%
89%
86%
85%
83%
83%
82%
Socialmediahasbecomeakeyinfluencerforyourcustomers
financialdecisions...
55% of customers follow their
bank on social media.
77%
65% 64%
65%
53%
63%
45%
31%
7%
Youth
Mid-aged
Senior
35
GCC banking
customers would
significantly
increase
their banking
relationship if
this experience
was made
convenient,
simple and
accessible.
57%
71%
of customers
would increase
payment usage.
of customers would
increase credit
facilities usage.
57%
of customers
would increase
credit card usage.
51%
of customers
would increase
savings usage.
43%
of customers
would increase
investments usage.
Three out
of four GCC
banking
customers would
be ready to
switch banks for
a better digital
experience.
73%
of conventional banking
customers would be
ready to switch banks.
81%
of Participation banking
customers would be
ready to switch banks.
82%
of hybrid banking
customers would be
ready to switch banks.
My bank needs to invest in better digital services rather than more branches.
64% of GCC
banking
customers
would feel
comfortable
switching to
a digital-first
relationship.
36
55%
of conventional
banking customers
would be ready to
switch to a digitalonly bank.
70%
of Participation
banking customers
would be ready to
switch to a digitalonly bank.
72%
of hybrid banking
customers would be
ready to switch to a
digital-only bank.
EY
experience
suggests
that up
to 50%
of retail
banks net
profit could
be at stake.
89%
80%
89%
83%
74%
74%
Payments
Credit facilities
57%
78%
Credit card
Payments
80%
88%
87%
97%
96%
85%
85%
74%
92%
93%
92%
57%
45%
81%
60%
61%
33%
Payments
Credit facilities
87%
88%
44%
71%
Credit card
Payments
56%
Credit facilities
58%
Credit card
Credit card
92%
Credit facilities
69%
82%
90%
90%
78%
87%
75%
86%
79%
73%
78%
82%
87%
86%
37
38
Game on!
Ranking of digital objectives
Digital is not
just about
cost reduction
anymore,
GCC banks
rely on digital
to enable
delivering their
growth plan.
1
2
3
Business growth
through customer satisfaction to improve retention and net
promoter score (NPS)
Operationalefficiency
to support growth through enriched straight-through
processing (STP), process automation and the elimination of
process errors
Scalability
to build the businesss quickly, with exceptional quality and
lower proportionate cost increase
39
1
2
3
CEO
47%
> US$20m
29%
0%
US$10mUS$20m
29%
US$5mUS$10m
US$1mUS$5m
29%
17%
25%
0%
< US$1m
50%
8%
14%
Larger banks
(more than
US$50b assets)
Smaller banks
(less than
US$50B assets
Risksareidentifiedandoftenmitigated...
GCC banks consider cybersecurity risk the
most serious threat to achieving their digital
aspirations. Our assessment shows customers
are also equally nervous about the prospects
of data breaches. They expect intuitive
security processes and much more clarity
on terms of use.
40
88%
Cybersecurity threat
29%
44%
59%
32%
Regulatory environment
Limited technology
support (legacy systems)
26%
Limited process
automation
26%
26%
32%
21%
21%
Organizational silos
and culture
5%
26%
Larger banks
53%
Smaller banks
A limited technology support, including the burden of IT legacy and application complexity
resulting from duplicated functions, point-to-point interfaces, and heterogeneous and
outdated technologies, is slowing down the deployment of digital services.
To increase IT agility, the following is recommended:
Upgrade core banking system to gain access to out-of-the-box digital functionality
and technologies
Rationalize the application portfolio
Modernize IT architecture (middleware, SOA, BPM) and eliminate point-to-point interfaces
Upgrade the IT operating model to gain agility and enable faster time to market
for new evolutions
Hire and acquire digital talents
World Islamic Banking Competitiveness Report 2016
41
42
Country outlook
Bahrain
Participation banking has loyal retail and corporate followers
in Bahrain that have maintained a stable investment accounts
and financings in the face of contraction in conventional
banking. This phenomenon has noticeably boosted
Participation bankings relative market share during 2014.
Participation banking
sectors national market
share in terms of
domestic banking assets
has remained broadly
stable during the past
five years.
27%
29%
20
14
10
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
15%
1%
7%
5%
20
20
12
-1%
-15%
5%
15%
2012
2013
2014
-25%
30
23
20
12
5%
-5%
-5%
-10%
2011
2012
2013
2014
-15%
-25%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
For the Bahraini market, analysis is based on domestic banking assets.
46
-5%
7%
-15%
2011
40%
10
5%
-5%
X%
30
28%
40
10
-25%
39%
40
35
30
29%
US$b
US$b
40
29.3%
US$b
Participation banking
2011
2012
2013
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
1.6%
0.9%
Return on assets
2.0%
Return on equity
Return on assets
1.0%
2.0%
10%
on equity
1.2% Return
15%
5%
15%
1.2% 10%
0.0%
1.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0%
-1.0%
0.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Leverage
5%
-5%
100%
80%
9% Cost to income ratio
60%
100%
40%
80%
9%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0%
Revenue/asset
ratio
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10
6%
6%
-1.0%
-5%
8
7.8 5%
Leverage
Revenue/asset ratio
4%
6
3%
10
6%
6%
3%
4
5%
8
7.8 2%
4%
2
6
3%
1%
3%
0
0%
4
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2
1%
0
Conventional banking
0%
38%
65%
20%
60%
0%
40%
65%
38%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20%
Non-financing income ratio
0%
100%
32%
30%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20%
0%
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
47
Saudi Arabia
The recent phenomenal growth in Saudi Arabian
Participation banking has been the primary engine of global
growth rates. Having gained a majority national market share
and considering the fact that the government will continue
to spend on development of projects, despite reduced
government revenues due to decreasing oil prices, there is
no reason to believe that exceptionally high annual growth
in Saudi Arabian Participation banking could not continue
for long. In view of the above, we expect positive trend to
continue with promising future of Participation banking.
High relative cost base and lower fee-based sources of
income represent a noticeable shortcoming for Participation
banking players in Saudi Arabia.
38%
51%
US$b
400
291
277
300
500
200
100
100
57%
4%
18%
20%
7%
10%
0%
246
183
2012
2013
2014
20%
20%
5%
15%
10%
10%
200
12%
10%
0%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Saudi Arabia investment accounts are for the entire banking sector as the split is not available.
48
300
30%
-10%
420
100
0%
2011
500
400
30%
-10%
44%
300
200
51.2%
400
US$b
500
Participation banking
sector gains a majority
national market share in
terms of banking assets
making Saudi Arabia the
first country to achieve
this milestone.
US$b
-10%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Participation banking
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
33.0%
Return on assets
3.0%
Return
2.0% on assets
3.0%
42.8%
Return on equity
20%
50%
40%
40%
15%
35%
to income ratio
13% Cost
30%
50%
20%
40%
40%
15%
35%
10%
13% 30%
0%
20% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
15%
2.1% Return
on equity
1.9%
20%
10%
1.0%
2.0%
5%
2.1% 15%
1.9%
10%
0.0%
0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1.0%
5%
Revenue/asset ratio
Leverage
10
7%
0.0%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
6%
7.3
7.0
5%
Revenue/asset ratio
Leverage
4%
4%
4%
10
7%
5
3%
7.3 6%
2%
7.0 5%
4%
1%
4%
4%
5
0
0%
3%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2%
1%
0
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Conventional banking
10%
Non-financing income ratio
40%
0%
34%
2010 2011 2012 201330%
2014
30%
Non-financing income ratio
40%
20%
30%
10%
20%
0%
10%
0%
34%
30%
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
49
Malaysia
After a median 1.2% market share gain during each of the
previous four years, the Participation banking only gained
0.6% market share during 2014. Are we reaching a stable
Participation banking market share in Malaysia somewhere
close to the current penetration level?
What disruptive
innovations are needed
to help Participation
banking in Malaysia to
break the 33% market
share barrier?
600
17%
21%
507
400
300
200
137
100
40%
6%
200
-
20%
2011
2012
2013
1%
2014
24%
356
300
200
114
100
-
10%
0%
-1%
2011
2012 2013
2014
20%
Conventional banking
7%
10%
0%
-10%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
50
6%
17%
10%
-10%
19%
400
40%
20%
-10%
94
100
30%
0%
282
300
30%
4%
600
500
14%
10%
25%
400
18%
500
US$b
US$b
500
600
US$b
21.3%
Participation banking
2011
2012
2013
-2%
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
5.0%
15.5%
Return on assets
2.0%
Return on equity
20%
Return on assets
1.0%
2.0%
15%
1.2% Return on equity
0.9% 10%
20%
53%
50%
14% 40%
12% Cost to income ratio
30%
60%
40%
53%
20%
50%
10%
14% 40%
40%
1.2%
12%
0.0%
0%
0%
1.0%
30%
0.9% 10% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20%
Non-financing income ratio
Revenue/asset
ratio
Leverage
5%
10%
15
5%
40%
35%
0.0%
0%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
4% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
3%
30%
Non-financing income ratio
3%
Revenue/asset
ratio
Leverage
3%
20%
15
12.5 5%
40%
14%35%
2%
11.5 4%
10%
3%
30%
1%
3%
3%
10
0%
0%
20%
12.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 201314%
2014
2% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
11.5
10%
1%
5%
15%
10
Conventional banking
0%
0%
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
51
UAE
Participation banking penetration in UAE
600
19%
22%
492
400
300
200
136
100
600
300
232
200
116
100
-
200
20%
6%
16%
14%
10%
5%
5%
5%
0%
0%
0%
2013
2014
-5%
2011
2012
2014
-5%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
52
2013
10%
2012
114
100
11%
273
300
15%
2011
29%
400
15%
-5%
24%
500
20%
33%
400
29%
500
US$b
US$b
500
600
21.6%
US$b
Is Participation bankings
market share likely to
stabilise in the UAE
at somewhere near
the current level of
penetration?
Participation banking
2011
2012
2013
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
15.4%
Return on assets
2.0%
20%
1.8%
1.7%
Return on equity
15%
14%
41%
12% 40%
Cost to income ratio
31%
30%
50%
14% 20%
1.8%
1.7% 5%
41%
12% 40%
10%
10%
31%
30%
1.0%
0.0%
0%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
5%
Non-financing income ratio
Revenue/asset ratio
Leverage
10%
10
40%
5%
0.0%
0%
0%
4%
31%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
4%
4%
28%
30%
Non-financing income ratio
Revenue/asset ratio
Leverage
7.9 3%
10
20%
40%
5%
4%
7.0 2%
31%
4%
4%
28%
10%
30%
1%
7.9 3%
5
0%
0%
20%
2010 2011 2012 2013 20147.0 2% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10%
1%
10%
Return
on equity
15%
Return on assets
2.0%
1.0%
Conventional banking
0%
0%
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
53
Kuwait
Participation banking penetration in Kuwait
Participation banking
potentially heading
towards gaining a
majority national market
share in Kuwait.
100
US$b
120
89
80
60
20
-
20%
6%
13%
10%
4%
-10%
2013
2014
-20%
59%
79
80
55
60
40
-
3%
6%
12%
-3%
2011
2012
2013
2014
-10%
-20%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
54
49%
20
10%
-10%
2012
39
20%
0%
2011
70
0%
-20%
120
100
60
20
10%
64%
80
40
61%
100
40
-
US$b
42%
US$b
120
45.2%
Participation banking
-9%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
10.1%
10%
Return on assets
2.0%
Return on assets
1.0%
2.0%
Return on equity
15%
10% on equity
1.2% Return
1.2%
15%
50%
11%
40%
9% Cost to income ratio
30%
60%
49%
34%
5%
1.2%
1.2%
0.0%
1.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Leverage
10
0.0%
8.6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
7.7
Leverage
5
10
8.6
7.7
0
5
Conventional banking
20%
50%
49%
11% 10%
10%
40%
9%
34%
0%
0%
30%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
5%
20%
Non-financing income ratio
Revenue/asset ratio
10%
7%
40%
0%
0%
6% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 27%
5%
30%
27%
5%
Non-financing
income
ratio
Revenue/asset ratio
4%
3%
20%
7%
40%
3%
6%
5%
27%
2%
10%
30%
27%
5%
1%
4%
3%
0%
0%
20%
3% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2%
10%
1%
0%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
55
Qatar
In the backdrop of regulatory changes, Participation
bankings national market share plateaued in the recent past.
This changed during 2014 when it achieved a noticeable
increase in its national market share and became the
third largest contributor towards global growth in
Participation banking.
Supply-side initiatives involving transformations or set
up of new Participation banks are needed if Participation
banking in Qatar wishes to go mainstream.
21%
26%
206
200
100
-
72
45%
22%
30%
14%
20%
15%
7%
2011
2012
2013
2014
23%
26%
132
100
-
48
45%
18%
25%
15%
9%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Conventional banking
21%
29%
200
118
100
-
48
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
23%
15%
0%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
56
25%
30%
0%
300
25.8%
200
0%
300
US$b
US$b
300
Participation banking
grew at three times the
rate of conventional
banking in Qatar during
2014.
US$b
Participation banking
6%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
8.1%
11.5%
Return on assets
4.0%
Return on equity
25%
3.0%
Return on assets
4.0%
2.0%
20%
Return on equity
14%
15%
14%
25%
10%
20%
5%
14%
15%
14%
0%
10% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
25%
2.1%
1.9%
3.0%
1.0%
2.0%
0.0%
2.1%
1.9%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.0%
Leverage
10
0.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Leverage
10
5
Revenue/asset
ratio
5%
4%
0%
3%
2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 3%
7.8
3%
6.9 Revenue/asset ratio
4%
2%
3%
3%
7.8
3%
6.9 1%
5
0
2%
0%
1%
Conventional banking
0%
Cost
20% to income ratio
30%
15%
27%
26%
25%
10%
20%
5%
15%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10%
Non-financing income ratio
5%
30%
0%
25%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Non-financing income ratio
20%
17%
30%
25%
10%
20%
27%
26%
0%
10%
0%
17%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
57
Turkey
Given the size of its economy, Turkey is the big prize for the
global Participation banking. However, meaningful growth
in its national market share requires clarity in the regulatory
requirement for Participation banking in Turkey.
Regulatory reforms will encourage new market entrants,
including some who might use technology-based market
entry strategies, thereby enhancing the sophistication in the
Turkish financial sector as a whole.
5%
6%
775 800
600
US$b
US$b
800
400
40%
12%
546
20%
20%
10%
0%
2011
2012
2013
-10%
2014
17%
20%
7%
28
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
-10%
426
2%
0%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
58
12%
0%
-1%
6%
400
10%
5%
6%
600
33
40%
30%
800
200
7%
30%
X%
6%
400
-10%
7%
600
45
5.5%
200
200
-
In a growing banking
sector, Participation
banking assets in Turkey
decreased during 2014.
US$b
Participation banking
2011
2012
2013
-5%
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
5.1%
-0.7%
Return on assets
3.0%
2.0% on assets
Return
3.0%
1.0%
Return on equity
20%
1.4%
15%
Return on equity
10%
20%
40%
12% Cost to income ratio
30%
60%
5%
15%
2.0%
2%
12%
0.2%
0.0%
0%
10%
1.4%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.0%
5%
Leverage
Revenue/asset
ratio
2%
0.2% 8%
15
0.0%
0%
7% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
6%
6%
10.7
5%
10
Revenue/asset ratio
Leverage
9.1 5%
15
5
10
0
5
0
4%
8%
3%
7%
6%
6%
10.7 2%
5%
1%
9.1 5%
0%
4%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
3% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2%
1%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Conventional banking
54%
46%
50%
54%
46%
20%
50%
10%
40%
0%
30%
34%
30%
10%
0%
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
59
Indonesia
Participation banking penetration
in Indonesia
600
3%
4%
562 600
US$b
US$b
400
300
100
389
400
300
60%
19%
16
60%
40%
2011
2012
2013
2014
300
100
-
18
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Conventional banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
9%
0%
-20%
441
400
20%
3%
0%
-20%
4%
40%
20%
3% 2%
0%
60
11%
21%
40%
20%
2%
500
9%
600
200
100
22
-20%
4%
200
200
-
3%
500
500
3.7%
US$b
Participation banking in
Indonesia seems to be
reaching a plateau in
its infancy.
Participation banking
2011
2012
2013
4%
2014
Share of
global market*
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
2.5%
Return on assets
5.0%
4.0%
0.7%
Return on equity
4.5%
40%
30%
Return on equity
40%
20%
34%
Return on assets
3.0%
5.0%
2.0%
4.5%
34%
13%
4.0%
30%
1.0%
1.0% 10%
3.0%
20%
0.0%
0%
2.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
13%
10%
Leverage
1.0%
1.0% Revenue/asset ratio
15
0.0%
Leverage
10
5
0
8%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
7%
8%
Revenue/asset ratio
7.7 10%
5%
12.5
3%
8%
15
5
10
0
10%
0%
7.7
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0%
5%
8%
7%
3%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Conventional banking
0%
73%
60%
Cost to income ratio
45%
73%
80%
40%
60%
20%
40%
0%
45%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20%
Non-financing income ratio
30%
0%
22%
20%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
61
Pakistan
Participation banking penetration
in Pakistan
7%
10%
108
80
60
20
30%
60
40
2012
2013
30%
24%
10%
-10%
2014
0%
2011
2012
Conventional banking
81
60
40
20
-
11
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
18%
2013
2014
6%
10%
0%
-10%
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
62
12%
20%
20%
2%
18%
0%
2011
7%
80
40%
8%
10%
9%
19%
20%
X%
80
22%
120
100
20
12
0%
9%
40
40
-
5%
100
US$b
100
US$b
120
10.4%
US$b
120
Participation banking in
Pakistan continues its
steady growth to pass
the 10% market share
milestone.
Participation banking
2011
2012
2013
2014
Share of
global market*
1.4%
Return on assets
3.0%
Share of Participation
banking growth in 2014
1.9%
Return on equity
20%
80%
72%
14% Cost to income ratio
60%
48%
9% 100%
40%
1.0%
80%
15%
5%
72%
14% 20%
0.6%
2.0%
60%
1.7%
10%
0.0%
0%
0%
48%
9%
40% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.0%
5%
Non-financing income ratio
Leverage
20%
0.6% Revenue/asset ratio
2.0%
Return on assets
3.0%
15%
Return on equity
1.7%
20%
10%
7%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
5%
15.7 6%
15
5%
Revenue/asset ratio
Leverage
4%
4%
10
7%
20
8.1 3%
5%
15.7 6%
2%
5
15
5%
4%
1%
4%
0
10
0%
8.1 3% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2%
5
1%
0
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20
0.0%
Conventional banking
40%
0%
32%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
30%
Non-financing income ratio
40%
20%
30%
10%
20%
0%
19%
32%
19%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10%
0%
Participation banking
Sources:
Central banks, company financial reports, EY Universe, EY analysis of selective banks
*Market share calculated excluding Iran.
63
Ashar Nazim
Robert Abboud
Best Islamic
Advisory
Firm, 2014
Euromoney Islamic
Banking Award
Gordon Bennie
Nadeem Shafi
64
8th International
Takaful Summit
2014
Thought
Leadership
Award, 2013
20th Annual World
Islamic Banking
Conference
Awards, Bahrain
Jan Bellens
ADIB
Appreciation
Award, 2013
Mayur Pau
Best Islamic
Advisory
Firm, 2014
Asim Sheikh
Muzammil Kasbati
Best Islamic
Advisory
Firm,
2013/2011/
2010/2009
10th international
Real Estate Finance
Summit Awards
London
WIBC
Leading
Islamic
Financial
Services
Provider, 2008
Best Islamic
Finance
Advisory Firm,
2009/2008/
2007
World Islamic
Banking Awards,
Bahrain
World Islamic
Banking Awards,
Bahrain
Best Takaful
Advisory
Firm,
2011/2009
3rd International
Takaful Summit,
London
Report methodology
and tools
Global Participation banking assets are estimated based on
publicly available data from 15 Participation banking markets.
The research and insights are primarily based on EY
Participation Banking Universe (EY Universe), which is
proprietary, based on sample and is not meant to be fully
exhaustive.
The EY Universe analysis covers 69 Participation banks and
45 conventional banks across Participation banking markets.
Caveat
This insight and research data used in this report have
been inserted and analysed on the basis of certain
assumptions. Therefore, the information or remarks made
are for guidance purpose only and not to be construed
as conclusive.
65
Essa Al-Jowder
(Bahrain)
Fawad Laique
(Bahrain)
Nader Rahimi
(Bahrain)
Imitiaz Ibrahim
(Qatar)
Hammad Younas
(Bahrain)
Rashid S Al Rashoud
(Saudi Arabia)
Yasir Yasir
(Indonesia)
Houssam Itani
(Qatar)
Shahid Mughal
(UAE)
Shoaib A Qureshi
(Saudi Arabia)
Omer Odeh
(Saudi Arabia)
Mohd Husin
(Malaysia)
Ken Eglinton
(UK)
Naseeha Mahomed
(South Africa)
Murat Hatipoglu
(Turkey)
Merisha Kassie
(South Africa)
Sanjay Kawatra
(Oman)
Izzat-Begum
Nordling
(Cameroon)
Najam Quadri
(UAE)
Wajih Ahmed
(Bahrain)
66
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