Probabilistic Modeling and Stochastic Processes in the

Computation of Stealing Mithril Sword from Ice Soldiers

Koji Tadokoro, Kimura Naoki, Plinfa Muller
Department of Computational Inmu Science, Rikkyo University, Japan
Abstract
The current trends of the study on Midsummer Nights Lewd dream or Manatsu no yo no
Inmu (Inmu,INM) has come a long way since
its inception as a homosexual pornographic
video (often abbreviated as Homobi) [1]. The
field now spans anything from History, Philosophy, Biology, Medicines, Physics, Chemistry, Pure to Applied Mathematics, Gender
Studies, etc only to continue diversifying in
the coming years.Its implication is far reaching, not only limited to academia but soon
to play a vital role in our coming Inmu age.
In this article, we demonstrate the use of
stochastic processes and computational modeling for the analysis of Inmu specifically for
the case of stealing mithril sword from ice
soldiers in Final Fantasy V (FFV) Real Time
Attack (RTA).

Index Terms
Journal of Theoretical and Applied Inmu,
Yajyu Senpai, RTA, YSHR, Revenge Porn,
Koebuta, Mr.Soap, Syamu Game

1. Introduction
Midsummer Nights Lewd Dream or Manatsu No Yo no Inmu (Most often abbreviated
as Inmu, INMU, INM) has impacted modern
lives in magnitude never witnessed before in

the history of mankind since the renaissance

and the industrial revolution, exceeding the
growth rate of Moors Law seen in the information era just a decade ago. Though the root
of INM is said to be stemming from the late
1500s around the time of production of the
play Midsummer Nights Dream by William
Shakespeare, its breakthrough only came in
the year 2001 notably the TDN incident. INM
is now an essential study and concept in
modern academia that spans anything from
Social Sciences such as Literature, History,
Philosophy, Music, Politics, Social Science,
Law, Economic to Physical Science such as
Mathematics, Physics, Chemistry, Biology,
Medicine, Geology, Mechanical Engineering, Electrical Engineering, Civil Engineering, and Computer Science. These application
of INM to interdisciplinary field and its open
problem such as most famously the Identity of
Yajyu Senpai problem and Yajyu conjecture is
thought to be the leading candidate to solving
many of the worlds most difficult problems
and mysteries. These include but not limited
to global warming crisis, the cure for AIDS,
Riemann Hypothesis, Black hole information
paradox, P versus NP problem, Grand Unified
Theory, and discovering the identity of Yajyu
Senpai. NicoNico Video and its NicoNama
Real Time Attack (RTA) is just but one of
the field revolutionized by INM. A study of
RTA on Final Fanal Fantasy V (FFV) has
previously been conducted by YSHR Akagi,
(aka. Hage with no friend, Voice Actors

Figure 1. Typical ice soldier encounter

Pig, KimoWota, Revege Porno, Ph.D Eroge,
NTR suki ojisan, Mr.Soap, Hentai pedophile
sociopath that seriously believes an eleven
year old is his mother: an utter act of lunacy)
due to his head being filled with nothing
but eroge, going to Soap Land and Miria
Akagi, it lacks a solid theoretical foundation
on many of its proposed charts. To appease
this situation, this paper will discuss the use
of INM to the compute the probability of
stealing an mithril sword from ice soldiers in
the Walse tower.
Though this paper is focused on specific
case, its concept could readily be expanded
to similar RTA situations.

1.1. Use of tree diagram in the probability computation

three possible cases. These probability can be

expressed as P(0,0),P(0,1), and P(0,0) of two
binary cases with 0 indicating the state of
sword not stolen and 1 the case of successful
case of stealing a sword. Because the case
of P(1,0) or P(0,1) are indistinguishable, it is
collapsed into a single case. The P(0,1) case
will then be collapsed into a single binary of
P(1) or P(0). This can be displayed in the tree
diagram as seen in Figure 2.

Figure 2. Typical ice soldier encounter

It is quite clear that there is a recursion
present in this probability state cases. Solving
for the recursion in mind, one can derive the
following equation (Consult Appendix A for
derivation)

P (M ) =

M
X

P (m)

(1)

m=1

One of the straight forward method to compute the probability of stealing the ice sword
is using a tree diagram. We know for the fact
the situation can be described as a three state
cases (We will ignore the probability case of
stealing a potion for simplification and clarity). The starting three case can be described
as either stealing both sword on first turn,
stealing only one sword, or unable to steal any
sword. From here, there are two path of expansion. Either the case of stealing one sword
collapsing its probability to either stealing
the remaining sword or not in the next case
state, or going back to the starting case with

P (N ) = P (0, 0)N 1 P (1, 1)+[

N
X

n=2

P (0, 0)n2 P (0)N n ]

(2)
with equation (2) P(N) as the instance of
probability of stealing the sword on particular
turn N or the depth of the tree and P(M)
acting as the simple summation on total probability of obtaining the ice sword by turn
M. Though this is clearly for the two enemy
one item case, the equation can be further
expanded for any number of enemies.

2. Use of Markov Chain for state

case derivation
By looking at the example, a reader may
quickly realize that this situation is memoryless, discrete, stochastic and transitioning
states, perfect condition to be viewed as a
simple Markov Chain. Indeed the states are
aperiodic in nature and transient. Keeping
these property in mind, one can arrive at the
irreducible Markov chain.

Figure 3. Markov chain reprsenatation

Although it maybe easier to visualize and
setup the corresponding matrix equation from
the diagram, the advantage of the Markov
chain is minimized as one is often not interested in the large Nth state of the Markov
processes to obtain a steady state probability.
Therefore, there is no real advantage to setup
and solve them via large stochastic processes
e.g. Monte Carlo method.

3. Conclusion
From the evidence and analysis presented
in this paper, it is quite evident that RTA players on NicoNama are bunch of homosexuals
and YSHR is Kimowota Koebuta Hentai NTR
Pedo Soap Gurui Syamu Games Otouto.

Appendix A.
Nuwaaaaaaan
tsukaretamooooooon.
Madamada Gabagaba na tokoro bakari

dakedo mou tsukareta(KONAMI)

Acknowledgments
The authors would like for UNEI to be
blown up into smithereens.

References
[1] K.Akayoshi, A Brief Introduction to Inmu, 3rd ed.
Shimokitazawa, Japan: Shueisha, 1999.