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To understand each of the above mentioned methods we take an example of a project with
following set of cash flows and assume a 10% expected rate of return
Years
Cash flow
100,000
30,000
45,000
25,000
50,000
35,000
The NPV is the amount of cash inflows in excess of gas outflows discounted at a rate of expected
return. In this case NPV will be calculated as follows
NPV = ((30,000/(1+0.1)^1) + (45,000/(1+0.1)^2) + (25,000/(1+0.1)^3) + (50,000/(1+0.1)^4) +
(35,000/(1+0.1)^5) -(100,000/(1+0.1)^0))
NPV = 39,231
When NPV > 0, we accept the project
IRR is the rate of return at which NPV equals zero. We calculate IRR as follows:
((30,000/(1+ r)^1) + (45,000/(1+ r)^2) + (25,000/(1+r)^3) + (50,000/(1+r)^4) + (35,000/(1+r)^5)
-(100,000/(1+r)^0)) = 0
Solving for r we get 24% (approximately), which exceeds the expected rate of return. Hence as
per IRR as well, this project is profitable.
ARR is the ratio of excess inflows and initial investment. This method does not consider
discounted cash flows and is given by:
(30,000+45,000+25,000+50,000+35,000)-(100,000)
100,000
Therefore we get, ARR = 85%.
Payback is the simplest method which calculates the number of years in which the project will
recover the initial investment. This method does not take into account the discounted values.
Years
Cash flow
-100,000
30,000
45,000
25,000
50,000
35,000
Cumulative
cash flow
-100,000
30,000
75,000
100,000
150,000
185,000
Investment
outstanding
-100,000
-70,000
-25,000
Hence we see that project payback period is three years. Generally, the lesser the payback period,
the better the project is considered. However, there are no set standards for accepting or rejecting
a project on the basis of this method. One main drawback of this method is that it doesn't
consider cash flows after the payback period is complete.
References:
Armour J., Hansmann H., & Kraakman R. (2009) Agency problems, legal strategies and
enforcement The Social Science Research Network Electronic Paper Collection, pp 1-19