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A short position in
13
50 000 30
26
50 1 500
contracts is required. It will be profitable if the stock outperforms the market in the sense that
its return is greater than that predicted by the capital asset pricing model.
Problem 3.20.*
A futures contract is used for hedging. Explain why the daily settlement of the contract can
give rise to cash flow problems.
Suppose that you enter into a short futures contract to hedge the sale of an asset in six
months. If the price of the asset rises sharply during the six months, the futures price will also
rise and you may get margin calls. The margin calls will lead to cash outflows. Eventually the
cash outflows will be offset by the extra amount you get when you sell the asset, but there is a
mismatch in the timing of the cash outflows and inflows. Your cash outflows occur earlier
than your cash inflows. A similar situation could arise if you used a long position in a futures
contract to hedge the purchase of an asset and the assets price fell sharply. An extreme
example of what we are talking about here is provided by Metallgesellschaft (see Business
Snapshot 3.2).
Problem 6.14.*
A five-year bond with a yield of 11% (continuously compounded) pays an 8% coupon at the
end of each year.
a) What is the bonds price?
b) What is the bonds duration?
c) Use the duration to calculate the effect on the bonds price of a 0.2% decrease in its
yield.
d) Recalculate the bonds price on the basis of a 10.8% per annum yield and verify that
the result is in agreement with your answer to (c).
a) The bonds price is
8e 011 8e 0112 8e 0113 8e 0114 108e 0115 8680
8680
4256years
B BDy
Problem 6.15.
Suppose that a bond portfolio with a duration of 12 years is hedged using a futures contract
in which the underlying asset has a duration of four years. What is likely to be the impact on
the hedge of the fact that the 12-year rate is less volatile than the four-year rate?
Duration-based hedging procedures assume parallel shifts in the yield curve. Since the 12year rate tends to move by less than the 4-year rate, the portfolio manager may find that he or
she is over-hedged.