Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SMARTERMODELS
FOR
SMARTSYSTEMS
Vladimiro Miranda
IEEE Fellow
DirectorINESCTEC
PresidentINESCP&DBrasil
PioneerPortugal
In2013about 25.000MWof wind generation capacity inIberia
(peak of 65.000MW)
About 5000MWareinPortugal todays peak consumption is
around 9500MW
10million people
5million wind kW
2
15062013
3.March.2010
Load
WHATISTHESMARTGRID?
The smart grid is not just moreof the same:it requires anew layer
LAYER
CHARACTERISTICS
NATURE
High level
intelligence
Localagents,parallel processing,distributed
computing
Software
Centralcontrol
EMS,DMS
Software
Information
Databases
Software
Datatransmission
Protocols
Software
Communication
Dedicated,optical fiber,gsm
Physical
Localcontrol
Sensors,relays
Physical
Physical grid
Generators,lines,transformers
Physical
15062013
Doyouhaveelectricalvehicles?
IntelligentGrid
Doyouhaveexplicitreliabilitycosts?
Grid islanding
Doyouhaveamedium/highdegreeofdistributedgeneration?
Doyouhaveflexiletariffsystemsormarketbasedtariffsystem?
Microgrids
Smartmetering
Doyouhavelargecostsfrommeterreadingwithhumanagents?
Telemetering
5
The microgrids
FROMTHE CLEVERINTEGRATIONTOTHESMART
SYSTEM
15062013
10YEARSOFEXPERIENCEINTHEEU
MICROGRIDS(20032006)
14partners,7EUcountries
MoreMICROGRIDS (20062008)
22partners,11EUcountries
WorkPackages
From: SteadyStateandDynamicSimulationTools
DevelopmentofLocalMicroSourceControllersandCentralController
DevelopmentofEmergencyFunctions
TelecommunicationInfrastructuresandCommunicationProtocols
To:
AlternativeControlStrategies(hierarchicalvs.distributed)
StandardizationofTechnicalandCommercialProtocolsandHardware
Evaluationofthesystemperformanceonpowersystemoperation
ImpactontheDevelopmentofElectricityInfrastructures
7
MULTIMICROGRIDS
Microgrids
LowVoltagedistribution
systemswithsmall
modulargenerationunits
providingpowerandheat
tolocalloads.
Diesel
HVNetwork
Capacitor
Bank
VSI
DFIM
Sheddable
Loads
MicroGri
d
Localcommunication
infrastructures.
Ahierarchical
managementandcontrol
system.
OperationModes:
InterconnectedMode
EmergencyMode
MicroGri
d
MicroGri
d
CHP
Hydro
15062013
WHATDOWEGETWITHMULTIGRIDS?
Added value inreliability:
afaulttolerant system
1.Islanding:the survival of network islands relying on localgeneration
reduces load curtailment
2.Black start:the recomposition of the system,in caseof major
blackout,may be made bottomup:much faster than present day top
down practice
Majordisasters (or terrorist attacks)will nolonger causeglobalelectric
power supply disruption
The dynamic definition of operating conditions and control strategies for
Grids,aswell asnew equipment specification,has been the object of
years of research in Europe.
Bringingrealitytotheconcept
VORA,PORTUGAL: THESMARTCITY
10
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THESMARTCITYINPORTUGAL
The city of voraconnected asaSmart City
LCElectric
appliances
MC
11
ThePROSUMER:producerandconsumer
TheEnergyBoxcontrolsloadandmicrogeneration
TheEnergyBoxisthebasicelementoftheInovCityinitiativein
Portugal
Photovoltaic
EnergyBox
Controlingloads
FROMTHESMARTGRIDTOTHESMARTCITY
12
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INTEGRATIONWITHSMARTMETERING
13
InovCity andInovGrid:theformulaforanactualsuccess
The success of the InovGrid project has its roots in:
1. Arobust consortium ledby avisionary Power
Company
2. An alliance with the excellence of aResearch
Institute
3. Ateamwork with highly professional Industrial
partners
AND
4.The consistent support from the political power
14
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SmartGridprojectsinEurope
Statistics 2012
EC (FP6+7)
7%
204Europeanprojects
111projects with significative demo;
15projects financed by the EC,189bay
state members
National
93%
SGprojects:nationalbudgets
(industry +pub.financ.):2500M
through the JRC(excl.2500M for
smartmeterrollout)
EUSGproject budget (industry +EU
financ.):184M to the JRC(within
FP6and FP7)
Cluster1Smartcustomers:
Cluster2Smartmetering:
Cluster3DERintegration:
Cluster4SmartDistribution:
92pr.
59pr.
146pr.
113pr.
Sailingahead
INESCTECLABONSMARTGRIDSAND
ELECTRICVEHICLES
16
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15062013
/ano
LOLE
LOLF
19
20
10
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Intelligent V2G
INESCTECSmart charger
Bidirectional communications with the DTCor energy
aggregator
11
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WISESISEtechnology
WindIntegrationinSmartEnvironments
SolarIntegrationinSmartEnvironments
WISE
SISE
Forweakconnectionpoints:
includesaninverterallowingtheconnectionofsmallwind
generatorsupto3kWtoLowVoltagenetworks
avoidsanexcessiveraiseinvoltageattheconnectionpoint
cantrackfrequencychangesandadjustpoweroutput
droopcontrolprinciple
24
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Toknowbetter
UNVEILINGHIDDENINFORMATION
25
DATA:THECHALLENGE
Added technologies:
Distributed generation
Distributed vehicle connection
Distributed control
Massive dataflow
Added uncertainty elements:
Renewables
Distributed decision factors (V2G,tariffs/prices)
EnergyCon2012 Florence
26
13
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NETWORKOBSERVABILITY
State Estimation inthe Smart Grid context
Change of paradigm
Decentralized
Clusterized
Based on probabilistic models
REPLACEMENTOFTHECONVENTIONALCONCEPTOF
TOPOLOGICALOBSERVABILITYBY
STATISTICALOBSERVABILITY
27
UNVEILINGTHEHIDDENINFORMATION
HYPOTHESIS:thenetworktopology
informationisembeddedinthe
manifoldsupportingtheelectrical
data.
18
22
23
~
16
19
20
15
24
13
14
11
12
230 kV
10
138 kV
7
4
WeneedInformationTheorytounveil
themeaningofthisbackground
microwaveradiation
21
17
Howtoestimatethecurrentsystem
(ormultimicrogrid)topology,when
nobreakerstatussignalarrivesatthe
ControlCentre?
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INFORMATIONTHEORYNEEDED
By simulation:adatasetof {electric values M,topology T}
MUTUALINFORMATIONI(M,T) how much information about
Tis contained inM?
Entropy of
the joint pdf
I(M,T)=H(M)+H(T) H(M,T)
Entropy of the
topology pdf
Entropy of the
electrical data
pdf
29
ENTROPY
ENTROPY isameasureofinformationcontent
N
1
Shannon'sEntropy
HS
p k log p k
k 1
Renyi's Entropy
1
H R
log
p k
1
k 1
0, 1
N
Renyis QuadraticEntropy
H R 2 log
p 2k
k 1
H R 2 log
fY
( z)dz
30
15
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MUTUALINFORMATIONMAP
Impact of breaker 610insystem power flow,measured by
mutualinformation between each line power flows and
breaker status
High MI
Low MI
32
16
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CLUSTERDISTINCTIONWITHAUTOENCODERS CAM
Admit2autoencoderstrainedfor2distinctdataclustersAand
B,correspondingto2distincttopologies.
Foranewinputvector,oneoftheautoencoderswillbeintunewhile
theotherwilldisplayalargeerror.
A
Manifoldfor
TopologyA
B<< A
A
New
point
Manifoldfor
TopologyB
B
New
point
TOPOLOGYINBLACKBOXES
16
23
breaker6
used measurements
measurements not
available
13
breaker4
breaker5
11
12
9
7
4
breaker3
10
3
3
breaker1
Electricpattern
2autoencoderstodiagnosethe
inner state of the topology cell
23
14
No
information!
A
min
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ACOMPETITIVE APPROACH:CAM
InputtoautoencodersselectedwithMutual
Information!
TOPOLOGYESTIMATOR
aMOSAIC oflocalautoencoders
Newpoint
min
resultsin10,000scenarios
includingnoise
Simult.
Signalreconstructions
Topologyreconstruction
miss.
signals Wrong Corr. Efficien. Wrong Corr.
Efficien.
1
5
995 99.50%
5
995
99.50%
2
10
1990 99.50%
10
990
99.00%
3
11
2989 99.63%
11
989
98.90%
4
18
3982 99.55%
17
983
98.30%
5
23
4977 99.54%
23
977
97.70%
6
27
5973 99.55%
27
973
97.30%
7
33
6967 99.53%
32
968
96.80%
8
41
7959 99.49%
39
961
96.10%
9
47
8953 99.48%
44
956
95.60%
10
51
9949 99.49%
48
952
95.20%
Total
266 54734 99.52% 256
9744
97.44%
35
TOPOLOGYINBLACKBOXES
16
used measurements
measurements not
available
Efficien.
10000
9869
10000
10000
10000
10000
9989
9933
9997
9996
99784
100.00%
98.69%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
99.89%
99.33%
99.97%
99.96%
99.78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
10
8
7
breaker3
13
19
21
19
13
15
11
11
13
11
Total
Hidden
layer
Corr.
0
131
0
0
0
0
11
67
3
4
216
BREAKER
Wrong
12
2
breaker1
REMOTE INFORMATION
Input,
Output
Input,
Output
Hidden
layer
10
14
12
12
12
10
12
8
8
12
breaker4
breaker5
15
19
17
17
17
15
17
13
13
17
Total
13
11
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
23
14
BREAKER
23
breaker6
10
15
17
15
10
12
9
9
10
9
Wrong
Corr.
Efficien.
210
1278
0
194
2555
19
3863
1203
4461
1523
15306
9790
8722
10000
9806
7445
9981
6137
8797
5539
8477
84694
97.90%
87.22%
100.00%
98.06%
74.45%
99.81%
61.37%
87.97%
55.39%
84.77%
84.69%
No
information!
36
18
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TOPOLOGYINBLACKBOXES
External signals may also unveil the hidden topology in
substationsor multimicrogrids
Splitbusy/n
L1
No
L2
splitbus
L3
L4
Tot.:noSp.bus
C1
Splitbus
C2
C3
Total:splitbus
Globalresults
Subsystem
topology
reconstruction
Wrong
Effic.
0
100.00%
0
100.00%
29
99.42%
0
100.00%
0
100.00%
29
99.42%
86
98.28%
198
96.04%
6
99.88%
279
94.42%
308
96.92%
How toimproveautoencoderaccuracy
38
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unsupervised
Renyis Entropy
1
log
p k
1
k 1
0, 1
H R
Forcontinuous variables
H R 2 log
fY
(z)dz
20
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Learning macrofeatures
Experiments with deep sparse networkshave shown that
macrofeatures could be learned from data
From 10million image frames
collected randomly from youtube
videos,ahalfautoencodertrained in
unsupervised mode under an ICA
criterion learned toidentify facesand
cats!
[Quoc et al,2012]
Macrofeatures exist!
Facesbodiescats
Isthere aneuron that capturesthe
essential concept?
YES!
cat
body
21
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EXAMPLE
(Only power,novoltage information)
Autoencoder
Breaker2open
Breaker2closed
Model
Singlestep
2stepME
2stepMQMI
Singlestep
2stepME
2stepMQMI
MSE
0.0046
0.0019
0.0014
0.0053
0.0015
0.0007
True Positive:br.closed,prediction:closed
False Positive: br.open,prediction:closed
False Negative:br.closed,prediction:open
True Negative:br.open,prediction:open
TP
FP
FN
TN
Singlestep
4928 104
5
4963
2stepMQMI
4915
0
14
5067
Remarkable!14 in10,000!
43
EXAMPLE
There is areason why 14answers were wrong:confusion!
The active and reactive power flows areclose tozeroinall 14
FNcases(prediction openwhen breaker closed).
B.open
Active
B.closed
B.open
B.closed
Reactive
44
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EXAMPLE HEURISTICRULE(HR)
What if aheuristic rule is applied,defining
that if |P,Q|<Limit breaker is open?
Picking up narrow intervals forPand Q(from asubset of data)
P:{0,010446;0,011940}Q:{0,010928;0.009872}
Inthis example,forbreaker 2:
HR
TP
5048
FP
19
FN
6
TN
4927
EXAMPLE:CAMBLIND
What if noinformation,neither on the
flows through the breaker nor on its
status,is known?
CAMB
TP
4613
FP
285
FN
320
TN
4782
46
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CONCLUSIONS
NoSmart Grid without smart control
NoSmart Grid without smart distributed intelligence
NoSmart Grid without smart information theory
NoSmart Grid without smart businessmodels
NoSmart Grid without smart people
47
VISITPorto:the Formosacity!
48
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VISITPorto:the Formosacity!
49
VISITPorto:the Formosacity!
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VISITPorto:the Formosacity!
51
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