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Background and Objectives: Limited information is known regarding acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and heart failure (HF). The aim of the study was to evaluate
clinical characteristics, predisposing factors, and outcomes in AIS with HF. Methods:
We included AIS patients admitted to the institutions participating in the Registry of the Canadian Stroke Network. HF was defined as history of pre-existing
HF or pulmonary edema present at the time of arrival. The primary outcome was
death or disability at discharge (modified Rankin Scale score >3). Secondary outcomes included disposition, death at 3 months and at 1 year, and 30-day hospital
readmissions. Results: Among 12,396 patients, HF was found in 1124 (9.1%) patients. HF was associated with higher risk of death at 30 days (24.5% versus 11.2%,
P < .0001), at 1 year (44.3% versus 20.6, P < .0001), and disability at discharge (70.4%
versus 56%, P < .0001). In the multivariable analysis, HF was an independent predictor of death and disability (odds ratio 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.011.37), death at 30 days (hazard ratio [HR] 1.22, 95% CI 1.05-1.41), and hospital
readmissions (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.05-1.65) at 30 days. The results were unaltered
From the *Stroke Outcomes Research Center, Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine, St. Michaels Hospital, University of Toronto,
Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, Joint Department of Medical Imaging, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Science, IHPME,
University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology, Seoul Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Statistics, Institute of Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada;
and Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michaels Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Received August 23, 2015; revision received November 17, 2015; accepted January 2, 2016.
Grant support: This study was supported by the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), which is funded by an annual grant from
the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care (MOHLTC). The opinions, results, and conclusions reported in this paper are those of
the authors and are independent from the funding sources. No endorsement by ICES or the MOHLTC is intended or should be inferred.
These data sets were held securely in a linked, deidentified form and were analyzed at the ICES.
Dr. Austin was supported in part by a Career Investigator Award from the Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada. Dr. Lee is supported
by a clinicianscientist award from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research. Dr. Saposnik is supported by the Distinguished Clinician
Scientist Award from Heart of Stroke Foundation of Canada following an open peer-review competition.
Authors contributions: Dr. Pongmoragot drafted the manuscript and provided a critical review. Dr. Pongmoragot and Dr. Fang have access
to the data to act as guarantors. Dr. Saposnik, Dr. Lee, Dr. Park, Dr. Fang, and Dr. Austin all contributed in the design, planning, and conduct
of the study, and provided critical revisions to the manuscript.Address correspondence to Gustavo Saposnik, MD, MSc, FAHA, FRCPC,
Stroke Outcomes Research Center, Department of Medicine, St. Michaels Hospital, University of Toronto, 55 Queen St E, Toronto, Ontario
M5C 1R6, Canada. E-mail: saposnikg@smh.ca.
1052-3057/$ - see front matter
2016 National Stroke Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2016.01.013
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J. PONGMORAGOT ET AL.
when adjusting for pneumonia with the exception of death or disability at discharge.
Conclusions: In this large cohort study, HF was observed in 9.1% of AIS patients.
HF is an independent predictor of death and disability and hospital readmissions after stroke at 30 days. Key Words: Strokeheart failurequality of
careoutcomes.
2016 National Stroke Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction
Stroke is a major cause of death and disability worldwide. Some pre-existing medical conditions (e.g., atrial
fibrillation [AF] and diabetes) directly influence stroke
outcomes.1,2 Heart failure (HF) is a complex clinical syndrome that results from structural or functional impairment
of ventricular filling or reduction in the ability of the ventricle to eject blood.3 The prevalence of HF is approximately
10 per 1000 after 65 years of age,4 increasing to over 80
per 1000 populations among those aged 85 years and older.5
HF carries high mortality with 1-year mortality of approximately 30%-45%.6 After the onset of HF, only 50%
will survive in 5 years.7 Similarly, mortality is 2-fold higher
in stroke patients with HF compared to those without
HF.8-10 With the growth in the aging population, the increasing prevalence of stroke and HF in patients is
expected. However, there is not much known about acute
ischemic stroke (AIS) with HF. The aim of our study was
to evaluate (1) clinical characteristics, predisposing factors,
and outcomes in patients who have AIS with HF and
(2) to determine if HF is an independent predictor of stroke
outcomes.
Methods
Study Population
We identified consecutive patients aged 18 years old
or older who were admitted with a diagnosis of ischemic stroke to participating institutions in the Registry
of the Canadian Stroke Network (RCSN) between July
1, 2003, and June 30, 2008. Patients with missing Canadian Neurological Scale (CNS) scores (n = 304) and baseline
glucose levels (n = 701) were excluded from the study.
The study population and exclusions are shown in Figure 1.
Data Sources
The RCSN is a large prospective quality monitoring
stroke care registry that comprises acute stroke patients
admitted to 11 stroke centers in Ontario, Canada. Details
of the RCSN can be obtained from http://www.ices.on.ca/
Research/Research-programs/Cardiovascular/Ontario
-Stroke-Registry and are published elsewhere.11 The
poststroke mortality was obtained through linkages to the
Ontario Registered Persons Database at the Institute for
Clinical Evaluative Sciences. The Registered Persons
Figure 1. Study population. Abbreviations: CNS, Canadian Neurological Scale; RCSN, Registry of the Canadian Stroke Network.
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STROKE AND HEART FAILURE: CLINICAL FEATURES, ACCESS TO CARE, AND OUTCOMES
Outcome Measures
The primary outcome was death or disability at discharge, with disability defined as a modified Rankin scale
(mRS) score equal to or greater than 3. Secondary outcomes included admission to the intensive care unit,
discharge disposition, length of hospital stay (LOS), death
at 3 months and at 1 year, and 30-day hospital
readmissions.
St. Michaels Hospital review board and RCSN Publications Committee approvals were obtained.
Statistical Analysis
We used chi-square tests to compare categorical variables. Students t-test and KruskalWallis test were used
for means and medians of continuous variables, respectively. Multivariable logistic analysis adjusting for age,
stroke severity, and comorbid conditions was used to determine the independent effect of HF on outcomes in
patients with AIS. Survival analysis was conducted using
Cox proportional hazard models. All the analyses were
conducted with the use of SAS software (version 9.3; SAS
Institute, Inc., Cary, NC). All reported P values are 2-sided.
Results
Among 12,396 eligible patients with AIS, 1124 (9.1%)
had HF. AIS with HF patients were older than AIS without
HF patients (mean age 78.6 versus 71.4 years, P < .0001),
with 53% occurring in those older than 80 years and more
likely female (53.8% versus 46.9%, P < .0001) (Table 1).
AIS with HF patients were more likely to have vascular
risk factors including hypertension (80.2% versus 67%,
P < .0001); diabetes mellitus (33.9% versus 24.7%, P < .0001);
history of cardiac disease, including coronary artery disease
(54.4% versus 20.8%, P < .0001); myocardial infarction (35.6%
versus 13.3%, P < .0001); AF (43.1% versus 14.6%, P < .0001);
valvular heart disease (12.9% versus 3.8%, P < .0001); and
prior CABG surgery (17.7% versus 9.2%, P < .0001) compared to AIS without HF patients. The most common
clinical presentation for AIS with HF was aphasia, visual
field defect, and weakness. AIS with HF patients presented with more severe stroke (25.9% versus 14.1%,
P < .0001), with the most likely stroke mechanism being
cardioembolic (42% versus 21.3%, P < .0001). There was
no difference in recombinant tissue plasminogen activator administration between AIS with HF and without HF.
AIS with HF had higher iScore usually associated with
an expected poorer outcome (Table 1).
Outcome Measures
Overall, 1324 (10.7%) AIS patients died during hospital admission. Death and disability at discharge (mRS
score 3) were significant higher in AIS with HF patients than in AIS without HF patients (70.4% versus
56%, P < .0001) (Table 2, Fig 2). Mortality rate at discharge
Multivariable Analysis
HF (odds ratio 1.18, 95% confidence interval 1.011.37) was an independent predictor of poor outcome (mRS
score 3-6) (Table 3) and lower survival at 30 days and 3
years (Fig 3, A,B). HF was also an independent predictor of 30-day readmissions after stroke hospital discharge
(hazard ratio 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.05-1.65). The
addition of pneumonia in the adjusted analysis did not
alter the results with the exception of the attenuation of
the effect of HF for disability at discharge (Table 3).
We also included an interaction term, pneumonia HF. The interaction term was not significant for
any of the outcomes (mRS score 2, P value for the interaction term .988; for 30-day mortality: P value for the
interaction term .0733).
Discussion
HF is a leading cause of hospital readmissions carrying high morbidity and mortality. The prevalence of HF
increases with age. Hence, HF is expected to increase with
the aging of the population. Previous studies revealed
that HF is a common comorbid condition in stroke
patients.1 However, limited information is available regarding presenting symptoms and outcomes in AIS with
HF.
In this large cohort study, HF was found in 9.1% of
12,396 AIS patients. HF among stroke patients was associated with higher disability and hospital readmissions
and lower survival. One fifth of AIS with HF died during
hospitalization. Only 50% of AIS patients with HF survived at 1 year. Thirty-day and 1-year mortality were
double in AIS patients with HF compared to AIS patients without HF. In addition, AIS patients with HF had
longer LOS and higher incidence of in-hospital
complications.
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J. PONGMORAGOT ET AL.
Total (n = 12,396)
(%)
Stroke with HF
(n = 1,124) (%)
Stroke without HF
(n = 11,272) (%)
72.09 13.8
2,279 (18.4)
5,863 (47.3)
4,254 (34.3)
5,888 (47.5)
78.62 11.15
70 (6.2)
458 (40.7)
596 (53.0)
605 (53.8)
71.44 13.87
2,209 (19.6)
5,405 (48.0)
3,658 (32.5)
5,283 (46.9)
8,452 (68.2)
3,169 (25.6)
4,332 (34.9)
2,961 (23.9)
1,894 (15.3)
2,128 (17.2)
1,231 (9.9)
568 (4.6)
243 (2)
789 (6.4)
1561 (12.6)
317 (2.6)
1,215 (9.8)
107 (.9)
62 (.5)
2,424 (19.6)
901 (80.2)
381 (33.9)
451 (40.1)
612 (54.4)
400 (35.6)
485 (43.1)
199 (17.7)
145 (12.9)
52 (4.6)
155 (13.8)
289 (25.7)
48 (4.3)
128 (11.4)
23 (2.0)
14 (1.2)
124 (11.0)
7,551 (67.0)
2,788 (24.7)
3,881 (34.4)
2,349 (20.8)
1,494 (13.3)
1,643 (14.6)
1,032 (9.2)
423 (3.8)
191 (1.7)
634 (5.6)
1,272 (11.3)
269 (2.4)
1,087 (9.6)
84 (.7)
48 (.4)
2,300 (20.4)
<.0001
<.0001
.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
.0001
.0607
<.0001
.0002
<.0001
5,097 (41.1)
1,387 (11.2)
546 (48.6)
318 (28.3)
4,551 (40.4)
1,069 (9.5)
<.0001
<.0001
3,938 (31.8)
1,617 (13)
4,933 (39.8)
10,041 (81)
3,583 (28.9)
2,648 (21.4)
165 (1.3)
495 (44.0)
194 (17.3)
442 (39.3)
955 (85.0)
260 (23.1)
184 (16.4)
14 (1.2)
3,443 (30.5)
1,423 (12.6)
4,491 (39.8)
9,086 (80.6)
3,323 (29.5)
2,464 (21.9)
151 (1.3)
<.0001
<.0001
.7350
.0004
<.0001
<.0001
.7930
152.3 29.07
79.99 17.7
159.01 30.03
83.5 16.88
.0000
.0000
<.0001
8,081 (65.2)
2,440 (19.7)
1,875 (15.1)
583 (51.9)
250 (22.2)
291 (25.9)
7,498 (66.5)
2,190 (19.4)
1,584 (14.1)
2,095 (16.9)
2,870 (23.2)
1,859 (15)
346 (2.8)
4,928 (39.8)
147 (13.1)
472 (42.0)
131 (11.7)
21 (1.9)
343 (30.5)
1,948 (17.3)
2,398 (21.3)
1,728 (15.3)
325 (2.9)
4,585 (40.7)
158.4 30.01
83.18 16.98
P value
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
136.32 18.86
1.14 .53
7.68 3.37
101.77 63.4
129.83 19.5
1.3 .7
8.14 3.3
122.87 87.14
136.97 18.68
1.12 .5
7.63 3.38
99.66 60.12
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
.0897
1681 (13.6)
171 (15.2)
1,510 (13.4)
8,646 (69.7)
2,393 (19.3)
4,831 (39)
1,114 (9)
3,403 (27.5)
2,823 (22.8)
592 (52.7)
357 (31.8)
419 (37.3)
109 (9.7)
469 (41.7)
478 (42.5)
8,054 (71.5)
2,036 (18.1)
4,412 (39.1)
1,005 (8.9)
2,934 (26)
2,345 (20.8)
<.0001
<.0001
.2218
.3823
<.0001
<.0001
166.83 43
295 (26.2)
132.27 40.43
762 (6.8)
<.0001
<.0001
141.59 31.56
42 (3.7)
111.24 30.17
69 (.6)
<.0001
<.0001
135.4 41.86
1,057 (8.5)
113.99 31.53
111 (.9)
Abbreviations: ACE, angiotensin-converting enzyme; AF, atrial fibrillation; ARB, angiotensin II receptor blockers; BP, blood pressure; CABG, coronary artery bypass surgery; COPD,
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; Hb, hemoglobin; HF, heart failure; INR, International normalized ratio; MI, myocardial infarction; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; PE, pulmonary embolism; PTCA, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty; rtPA, recombinant tissue plasminogen activator; SD, standard deviation.
P value less than .05 significant.
*Information available: total ischemic stroke 12,098; stroke with HF 1114; stroke without HF 10,984.
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STROKE AND HEART FAILURE: CLINICAL FEATURES, ACCESS TO CARE, AND OUTCOMES
Stroke with HF
(n = 1,124) (%)
Stroke without HF
(n = 11,272) (%)
P value
791 (70.4)
6,312 (56.0)
<.0001
482 (49.8)
97 (10.0)
215 (22.2)
173 (17.9)
5,043 (53.6)
796 (8.5)
1,844 (19.6)
1,731(18.4)
.2303
44 (3.9)
31 of 44 (70.5)
13 of 44 (29.5)
81 (8.4)
40 (3.6)
64 (6.6)
129 (11.5)
24 (2.7)
7 (.6)
107 (12.1)
322 (36.4)
160 (18.1)
247 (27.9)
48 (5.4)
15.32 24
240 (21.4)
275 (24.5)
498 (44.3)
88 (7.8)
360 (3.2)
252 of 360 (70.0)
108 of 360 (30.0)
353 (3.8)
230 (2.0)
607 (6.5)
615 (5.5)
140 (1.6)
88 (.8)
.1943
.9505
.9505
<.0001
.0009
.8291
<.0001
.0648
.5626
981 (9.6)
5,060 (49.7)
856 (8.4)
2,992 (29.4)
299 (2.9)
<.0001
12.58 20
<.0001
1,084 (9.6)
1,259 (11.2)
2,322 (20.6)
710 (6.3)
<.0001
<.0001
<.0001
.0462
Abbreviations: GI, gastrointestinal; HF, heart failure; ICU, intensive care unit; mRS, modified Rankin Scale; SD, standard deviation.
P value less than .05 significant.
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J. PONGMORAGOT ET AL.
6
mR S
1
T otal
8.5
17.2
8.8
17.7
17.0
20.7
17.5
20.8
20.7
5.2 10.7
20.8
4.9 9.6
G roup
no HF
P<0.0001
p=0.000
HF 5.1 11.9
0.0
12.6
20.0
20.7
20.2
40.0
60.0
8.1
21.4
80.0
100.0
Figure 2. Functional outcomes at discharge according to the mRS score among AIS patients with and without HF. Abbreviations: AIS, acute ischemic
stroke; HF, heart failure; mRS, modified Rankin Scale.
30-day survival
30-day readmission
Variable
OR (95% CI)
HR (95% CI)
HR (95% CI)
Heart failure
Age group (years)
Ref younger than 60
60-79
80 or older
Stroke severity on admission
Mild
Moderate
Severe
Comorbidities
Hypertension
Diabetes mellitus
Atrial fibrillation
Prior MI
Heart failure in model also adjusted for pneumonia
1.18 (1.01-1.37)
1.22 (1.05-1.41)
1.32 (1.05-1.65)
1.0
1.49 (1.33-1.66)
2.42 (2.15-2.74)
1.0
1.55 (1.26-1.90)
2.71 (2.22-3.31)
1.0
1.30 (1.05-1.62)
1.60 (1.28-2.00)
1.0
6.08 (5.40-6.81)
21.3 (17.4-26.1)
1.0
4.33 (3.74-5.01)
11.6 (10.2-13.3)
1.11 (1.02-1.22)
1.31 (1.19-1.44)
1.25 (1.11-1.41)
NS
NS
1.29 (1.15-1.44)
1.24 (1.09-1.41)
1.21 (1.04-1.44)
1.13 (.97-1.32)
1.0
NS
NS
1.22 (1.04-1.44)
NS
NS
NS
1.29 (1.03-1.62)
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; MI, myocardial infarction; mRS, modified Rankin Scale; NS, nonsignificant; OR,
odds ratio.
Models adjusted for age, sex, stroke severity, and comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, smoking, atrial fibrillation, and prior MI).
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STROKE AND HEART FAILURE: CLINICAL FEATURES, ACCESS TO CARE, AND OUTCOMES
Figure 3. (A) KaplanMeier survival at 30 days in AIS. (B) KaplanMeier survival at 3 years in AIS patients with and without HF. Abbreviations:
AIS, acute ischemic stroke; HF, heart failure.
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J. PONGMORAGOT ET AL.
Conclusions
HF is a common comorbid condition affecting stroke
patients. Stroke patients with HF had a lower survival,
longer hospitalization, higher disability, medical complications, and 30-day hospital readmissions. Our results may
help increase the awareness of the impact of HF among
stroke patients. Specific interventions (e.g., consultation
with cardiology, integrated and programmed discharge,
and close follow-up in stroke prevention clinics) targeting this high-risk group may improve access to specialized
care and counseling for better patient and family adjustment post discharge, and may improve clinical outcomes.
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STROKE AND HEART FAILURE: CLINICAL FEATURES, ACCESS TO CARE, AND OUTCOMES
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