‘The Secretary, Listing Department
BSE Limited
TATA
“The Manager, Listing Department
National Sock Exchange of India Lined
Apa o4, 2016
Phiroze Jeojeebhoy Towers, Exchange Plaza, Sth Fleer, Plt No. Cit,
Dalal Steet, {G Block, Bandra:Kuia Complex, Bandra (),
‘Mumbai = 400 001, ‘Murai - 400 05.
Maharashtra, Inca, Maharashtra, inci
‘Scrip Code: 600470 ‘Symbol TATASTEEL
Dear Sirsttadam,
‘Sub: _Intimat Lon_in_Ratin BI (Listing Obligations and
Disclosure Requirements), Regulations, 2015
This has reference to Regulation 30(6) of the SEBI (Listing Onlgations and Disclosure
Requirements), Regulations, 2015 (he Regulations")
‘The sharp fal in international steel prices and the challenging conitions facing the global
‘toe industry tiggered a review of Tata Stets erect rating by Fish. The Long-Term Foreign
‘Currency leur Default Rating (IDR) has been downgraded by 1 atch,
In accordance with the said Regulations), please find below the details of revision in ratings
for Company and ts subsisiaies-
[Mare ofthe | credit Ratog | a529 orn
Company Agency. Type of Credit Reting
Toa Sel Lang Te Foren Caren
Het ton j
Tata sie! Uk Long Tee Fri Cuneny |
Holdings Lid Fitch Ratings IDR" ced
eR nue ag onthe
“Investment Co Company's guaranteed pee | ae
ois
Senloruneecured notes
‘The report from the credit rating agency covering the rationale fr revision in erect rating is
enclosed
‘This is for your information and records.
Yours faitfuty,
Tata Stee! Limited
Varaneeens
Parvatheesam K
‘Company Secretary
Enct As Above
.TA STEEL LIMITEDFitchRatings
Fitch Downgrades Tata Steel and Tata Steel UK; Places on RWE
Fitch Ratings-Singapore/Sydney-01 Apri 2016: Fitch Ratings nas downgraded Tata Stee Limited's (TSL) Long:
Term Foreign Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to "BB from ‘BB+/Siable’ and placed it on Rating Watch
Evolving (RIE).
Unsecured notes issued by TSL have also been downgraded to ‘BB from "BB and placed on RWE. The agency
has also downgraded the Long-Term Foreign Currency IDR for TSL's wholly owned subsidiary, Tala Steel UK
Holdings Limited (TSUKH), 10'S from '3+/Stable! and placed iton RWE. A fll Ist of rating actons is provided at
the ond of this commentary.
‘The downgrade reflocts the dacine in TSL's proftabilty and jump in leverage during the financial year ending 31
Maren 2016 (FY16), folowing challenging market condiions for fs operations in India and overseas, especialy in
the UK. The downgrade in TSUKH reflects the downgrade of is parent, TSL, and the weak operating envronment
inthe UK and more broadly across Europe.
‘The RWE reflects uncertainty following TSL's announcement on 29 March 2016 that iis exploring all options for
portfoo restructuring in Europe, including the potential divestment of its UK operations, in part or in whole
Considerable uncertainty remains on timing and how the group and its debt willbe structured going forward. Fitch
Deleves TSL's disposal of ts UK operations n part or whole, wil esultin a change to TSL's ratings
KEY RATING DRIVERS
‘Weaker Profiabiliy in India; Profitabity of TSU’s Indian operations has been impacted by weak steel pice
realisation in 8MFY16. Ils consolidated EBITDA per ton dectined to about INR7,400ronne (USD1101) in @MFY16.
‘com INR11400itin FY15, it by a INRZ, 50 alin real ation, Steel producers globally are sulfering from weak
demand and overcapacity, with current global capactyutlisaton at alow last seen during the 2008 global
financial crisis. In India, demane growin was a tepid 4.7% in 9MFY16, which was met largely by @ 29% yoy
inoase in imports.
Recent actions by the Indian government, such as the imposition ofa minimum import price folowing @ 20%
Safeguard duty on impors to protect domestic manufacturers, have provided some rele, with domestic steel
prices ring around INR¢,000Mt from January 2016 lows. However, prices are sill about 20% lower than the
average for FY5. Fitch says increased competion among domestic producers to support utisaion rates wilely constrain further price hikes inthe near term. given domestic stel capacity is scheduled to jump about 15
millon tonnes over 2H'5 and 2016,
European Operations Under Stress: TSL's overseas business reporled EBITDA losses consecutively in 20 and
SQFY%6, ni by weak performance in the UK. lis operations in Europe and UK in particular, have faced poor steel
‘aw material spreads and relatively high operating costs. Price realsation in Europe has faced pressure from
cheap Chinese and Russian imports amid weak regional demane.
SL has taken steps to cut costs, including shutting down its plates business inthe UK and laying off around
3,000 employees. The company is als fecusing on value-added products and profitable market Segments, such
{a8 the automotive sector, Recognising the need for further action, TSL is now exploring the sale of its UK
Business, in part or who
Jump in Leverage: Fitch estimates TSL's consolidated net debt to EBITDA leverage wil ump to 11.0xn FY,
‘rom 5.8x in the previous year, due to poor profitability. Leverage is Ixely to remain righ at 82x in FY17 and 5.7x
by FYB. Fitch's forecast assumes a gradual improvement inrealsatons and a return to proftabilly for overseas
‘operations in FY18. Howover, further detalis on restructuring in Europe may change this forecast,
Benefit From Greenfeld Plant: TSL is currenty commissioning the fist phase of its greenfield plant at
Kalinganagar in Odisha, nda, wth a capacty of 3 milton tonnes por annum. TSL expocts to gradually Increase
‘output in FY17. Apart from increased sales, TSL would benef from improved praduct mac from the new plant, a
‘he plant wll speciale in producing high-grade fat products. wil alsa be one of the most cost-efficient pant in
‘the country. The bulk of the capex has been completed and TSL should begin deriving cash-low benef In FY.
‘TSUKH Gains from TSL Support TSUKH is unprofitable, wih a weak standalone crit profile. The business
Continues to face weak local demand and high costs. However, TSUKH benef from strategic ts with ts parent,
SL, sos IDR includes a two-notch uplit inline with Fitch's Parent and Subsidiary Linkage methodology.
‘Tata Group Support: SLs ratings also benefit from a ane-notch uplft because of potential support from the Tata
Group due tothe formers strategic importance to tne group,
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch's key assumptions within our rating case forthe issuer include:
+ Sales volume to decline 8% in FY7 dus to lower steel production in he UK, Thereafter, volume assumed to
‘grow by around 6% annually, witha ramp up of Indian capacity.
“Average sale realisation to improve 2% in FY17 and by 8% each over the next two years,
= Consolidates operating ESITDA margin to improve to 9% in FY17 than to 11% in FY18 (FY16: 6%). EBITDA par
tonne would bounce back over FY17-18 to FY1S lovol,
Average annual capex of around INR7Obn trom FY,RATING SENSITIVITIES
Tsu
‘The RWE willbe resolved folowing a review of TSL's credit profile ance Fitch has more clarity around the portfolio
restructuring exercise in Europe, An upgrade is Ikely ifthe proceeds of potential asset sales are used to repay
debi, reducing leverage.
However, ifloverage increases due to significant closure costs forthe UK operations, Fitch will downgrade the
rating
‘TSUKH
‘The RWE willbe resolved folowing a review of the linkages between TSUKH and TSL and TSUKH's credit profile,
‘once Fitch has more clanty around the portolo restructuring exercise in Europe. If Fitch concludes thatthe
lnkage is ennanced or TSUKH's standalone profle improves, an upgrade in kel. A downgrade is likely i Fitch
views tra the linkage has weakened,
The fullist of rating actions follows:
Tsu
Long-Term Foreign Currency IDR downgraded to ‘BB from ‘BB; placed on RINE
‘Sonor unsecured rating: downgraded to'BB' from "BB; placod on RINE
USDS00m 4.85% senior unsecured guarantoad notes due 2020 and USD tbn §.95% senior
unsecured guaranteed notes due 2024 issued by ABJA investments Co Pte Lid, a wholly owned subsidiary of
‘SL: downgraded to "BB from "BB"; placed on RINE.
‘TSUKH
Long-Term Foreign Currency IDR downgraded to’ from "Be: placed on RWE
Conta:
Prmary Analyst
‘Akash Gupta
‘Associate Director
'$65 8796 7242
Fitch Ratings Singapore Pte Ltd
6 Temasek Boulevard
1495.08 Suntac Tower Four
Singapore 038986
‘Secondary AnalystMuralidnaran R
Director
+05 6796 7238
Committee Chairperson
Vieky Melbourne
‘Senor Director
1981 2.8256 0325
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