Discuss the extent to which the characteristics of being
small and open have influenced policy options of the
Singapore govt. As of most of the governments in the world, Singapore government would want to achieve the 4 macroeconomic goals for the country, namely sustained economic growth, low inflation rate, low unemployment rate and an improving balance of payment. Singapore is small and open for some reasons, and these will necessitate the need for Singapore to carry out trading with the other countries. Firstly, since Singapore has a small domestic market for the goods and services that it produces, these goods and services have to be exported out for earning revenue. Similarly, for the firms in Singapore, they also have to obtain their factors of production in terms of the inputs such as raw materials from abroad, due to the lack of natural resources. Hence, this necessitates trading for local firms to obtain imported inputs, in order to produce goods and services, which will then be sold abroad for exports revenue. Thus, Singapore has a small and open economy. There are some policies adopted by the Singapore government, which include fiscal, monetary and supply side policies, and the government implement these measures in times of economic boom or recession. When there is a recession in the country, Singapores government may consider on using an expansionary monetary policy, where the central banks will lower the interest rate. By lowering the interest rate, this will discourage people from saving their money due to the lowered expected rate of returns from savings. Hence, this will encourage more consumption among the people on domestically produced goods and services. Also, as a result of this, the expected rate of returns from investment will be higher due to the increase in supply of loanable funds from the central bank. Hence, there will be an increase in investment in the forms of local investment and foreign direct investment in the local properties. When there is an rise in C and I, it will lead to a rise in AD (Aggregate
Demand), thus leading to a rise in national output and
employment. Monetary Policy through interest rate is not so effective for Singapore in countering economic recession as Singapore has a small and open economy. Hence, with very little domestic market compared to other nations like US, the interest rate can fluctuate and is controlled by the bigger nations (Singapore is an interest rate taker). Also, since Singapore has a high MPS due to compulsory savings such as CPF and high MPM due to our high reliance on imports in the form of imported inputs and imported goods due to our open economy, our multiplier effect, k has a small value. Hence, any attempts to increase the AD will lead to a less than desired multiplied increase in the national output, thus Singapore should not adopt monetary policy. Another policy that the government can adopt is the fiscal policy. For instance, during times of recession in Singapore, the government would adopt an expansionary fiscal policy, which will increase government spending on public projects and cut down on tax rates to stimulate the economy. During a global recession, it is believed that the increase in C due to the lowering of taxes and people having more disposable income and the increase in I due to higher expected rate of returns from investment and the increase in government expenditure will lead to an increase in AD. In a major global recession, the small and open economy of Singapore make the policy rather useless, as other countries foreigners demand for our exports will fall drastically. The increase in G,C and I would not be sufficient to boost the local output back to its original levels, as Singapore is heavily reliant on external demand and FDIs. Hence, for a small and open economy like Singapores, fiscal policy will only have a minimal effect, since trade accounts for more than 300% of the GDP and the domestic sectors form only a small part of the GDP. Hence, the counter-cyclical role of fiscal policy to manage AD is very limited in a small and open economy like Singapore.
To counter recession or further accelerating economic boom,
Singapore government can also consider the use of supply side policies in the form of increasing potential growth. Since Singapore has a small and open economy, Singapore is heavily reliant on trade to sell its manufactured goods abroad and to import imported goods and raw materials to manufacture into products. Hence, in order to make Singapore a trading centre, we must have sufficiently advanced and complete facilities, as well as enough skilled labour to attract foreign investors to invest in Singapore. Due to the strong Singaporean dollar, it makes the cost of production in our country very high. Hence, to ensure that our exports could be sold abroad, we have to ensure that these goods produced have to be of high quality and value-adding. Hence, the government can provide subsidies to firms trying to upgrade their machines to make it more efficient. Subsidies can also be provided for the research and development in the improvements of capitals and how to make the capital more productive. In the labour aspect, to further make use of our large labour force, the Singapore government can provide retrainings for the labour force, especially those people who are in the midst of switching jobs. In this way, they will be more prepared and adept in the job that they are going to take up. The workers will also become more efficient and productive in work and thus lowering the cost of production per unit, as efficiency is improved. All in all, I think that the supply side policies will work best for Singapore because this can increase the potential growth of our country in the long run. Since we have abundant supply of capital and labour, it is important for us to utilise them fully and efficiently to attract more foreign direct investments to our country, so as to sustain the status of Singapore as a global financial hub. Fiscal policy will not work well due to the small domestic sector of Singapore as we are small and open, and monetary policy through interest rate will not work well either, since Singapore is a small economy compared to other countries and hence we are just a price taker in the world market of funds. Hence, we do not really have much control
over the interest rates. Thus, coupled with monetary policy
through exchange rate which can ensure that our exports remain relatively price competitive and imported inflation for inputs will not occur, supply side policies should be focused on by the Singapore government to counter recession or further strengthen the economic boom.