Professional Documents
Culture Documents
June 2005
(revised November 2005)
____________________
This paper is to be presented at the Claremont-KIEP international conference in
November 2005. The authors are thankful to Woosik Moon and seminar participants at
the KEA meeting, the KEUSA meeting, the Korean-Italian conference and the KoreanFrench conference for constructive comments. All remaining errors are of course ours.
I. Introduction
When East Asian countries started to open their financial markets, they expected that
financial integration would bring much benefit to the economies. It is widely accepted
that the complete elimination of barriers to financial integration will allow firms to
choose the most efficient sources and greater financial integration should allow a better
allocation of capital. At the same time, financial integration will allow the most
productive investment opportunities to become available to investors, and a reallocation
of funds to the most productive investment opportunities will take place.
Financial integration may also encourage financial development, leading to financial
efficiency in emerging markets. With foreign funds flowing in, the integration process
will increase competition within less developed regions and thereby improve efficiency
of their financial systems. Efficient financial system may affect economic growth
through capital and technological accumulation in a productive way. What
consequences financial integration would bring depends upon how the process unfolds.
If financial integration process goes hand in hand with the economy, we may expect a
positive scenario. Otherwise, it is difficult to draw any firm conclusion.
Recently much attention has been paid to financial integration in East Asia.
Empirical studies undertaken so far suggest that high-income countries such as Japan,
Singapore, Hong Kong are fairly integrated and there has also been fairly good progress
of financial integration in other countries along with their ongoing financial
liberalization efforts. However, they have mainly analyzed the financial integration
process in terms of wider financial globalization, and it is difficult to figure out whether
the progress in financial integration of East Asian countries is due to deepening
regionalism or to simple opening of the market. If financial integration process is to
have any meaningful implication to real and monetary integration process, East Asian
financial markets should closely be integrated with each other and at the same time
regional factor should be the main element in the integration process.
This paper aims to analyze the financial integration process in East Asia and to
identify distinctive characteristics in the process. Our results will be discussed in
comparative perspectives with Europes experience and some implications will be
drawn for regionalism in East Asia.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In section II, we provide
empirical analysis on how much integrated financial markets are in East Asia, focusing
on the stock market. Section III examines whether global or regional factor is a key to
market integration in East Asia. Section IV examines what implications the financial
integration process may have for market efficiency in East Asia, comparing with the
European case. Section V concludes the paper with a brief summary.
For survey of the literature, see Bordo et al. (1998), Cavoli et al. (2003), ECB (2004), Fratzscher
(2001).
2
exchange rate risk premium as impediment to integration. RIP implies that real interest
rates are equalized across countries if financial market is integrated. There is a broad
consensus that while country premium has become smaller or disappeared over time,
currency premium including exchange rate risk premium is still prevalent and UIP and
RIP are often violated even in developed financial markets.
The literature on stock market integration also uses the measurement of the
influence of foreign stock markets on domestic stock market. It says that as financial
markets are more integrated, market movements are more associated with each other
and the influence of foreign markets on the domestic markets should grow higher.
Given these considerations, a simple specific measure is to examine cross-market
correlations and regional interdependence. A more systematic empirical implementation
directly estimates the explanatory power of foreign stock market returns on the domestic
stock market return.
Quantity-based Measures
A perennial problem with using price based measures is to use interest rate data
comparable across countries. However, these data are often unavailable and the
application of price-based measures may be limited. Given these concerns, much work
has explored quantity based measures of financial integration.
The simplest measure is to look at net capital flows from a country to another. If
financial markets are integrated, private capital can move essentially without restriction
and there will be huge cross border transactions in financial assets. A basic evidence for
this would be the ratio of capital flows to GDP.
Another widely used quantity-based measure of financial integration is the correlation
between national savings and investment rates, pioneered by Feldstein and Horioka
(1980). They argued that for a closed economy, the balance of payments is zero by
definition and consequently, investment and savings are equal. On the other hand, if
international financial markets are well integrated, the correlation between the two
should be low because investment can be financed by foreign capital flows.2
Some focus on the benefits of risk-sharing of financial integration to construct a
specific quantity-based measure. When an investor holds too large a share of domestic
assets and too few international assets, their consumption pattern is vulnerable towards
2
In order for the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis about high capital mobility to hold, the domestic
interest rate has to be tied to the world interest rate so that savings and investment need not to be
correlated. This implies that real interest rates should be equalized in a highly integrated financial
market, in other words, the Feldstein-Horioka measure of financial integration is a quantity/national
income accounting corollary of the RIP (Cavoli et al. 2003, p.11).
3
domestic output. On the other hand, holding more international assets would provide an
opportunity to cushion the impact of domestic economic shocks on consumption. If they
hold an optimal international portfolio, all domestic shocks might be eliminated and
consumption would respond only to uninsurable global shocks. The empirical evidence
of this idea involves observing correlations of an individual economys consumption
growth with the foreign countrys consumption growth and with its own real national
output. Full integration of financial market and therefore complete risk sharing implies
that a countrys consumption growth should be perfectly correlated with a foreign
countrys consumption growth, whereas its correlation with own national output growth
should be negligible.
2. Empirical Analysis of Financial Integration
Since bond markets and foreign exchange markets are not well developed in East Asia
and the East Asian foreign exchange rate system is quite different from the EMU, it
would not be much meaningful to compare two regions using measures based on
interest rate parity conditions. Also, interest rate data comparable across countries are
not yet readily available for East Asian countries. Thus to compare financial integration
in two regions, we use the simplest indicator of financial integration, cross-market
correlations, mainly focusing on the stock market.
Data
The empirical analysis is conducted for 10 East Asian countries (Korea, China,
Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand) and
14 European countries (15 EU starting members except Luxembourg). The data on
stock market returns are the market indices from Datastream International and have
daily frequence from January 1991 to April 2003 for most countries and somewhat
shorter time periods for a few countries, e.g., China. The region (EA or EU) index for
each country is the weighted average of individual markets in the region excluding the
market of the country concerned.
The three sub-periods for East Asia respectively correspond to the pre-crisis period,
the crisis-period, and the post-crisis period. The three sub-periods for EU correspond to
the ERM-crisis period, the pre-Euro period, and the Europeriod.
Results
Table 1 through Table 4 show the correlations of stock market returns in East Asia
and Europe. Some important results emerge from the table concerning the degree of
financial integration.3
First, equity markets in East Asia are fairly integrated. Excluding China whose equity
market is not yet sufficiently open, the average of correlation coefficients for East Asian
stock markets with the regional market (represented as EA in Table 3) is 0.556. The
corresponding figure for Europe (represented as EU in Table 4) is 0.695. The correlation
among East Asian stock markets has increased over time from 0.493 in the beginning of
the 1990s to 0.556 recently.
Second, the correlation with the US stock market has recently increased in East
Asia. On average, the correlation coefficient was -0.366 in the late 1990s and is now
0.574 in East Asia.4 But it has decreased from 0.951 to 0.790 in Europe over the same
period. Local individual markets correlation with the US market is now almost at the
same level as that with the regional market in East Asia (EA 0.556 vs. US 0.574) as well
as in Europe (EU 0.695 vs. US 0.790).
Third, another contrasting feature is that while financial market integration within
Europe was significantly lower during the ERM crisis, the integration was significantly
higher in East Asia during the Asian crisis. Also, during the crisis period, stock markets
in the EU kept fairly positive correlations with the US market, but East Asian markets
moves in the opposite direction to the US market.
To consider that US factor affects East Asian and European markets only on the following day due to
the differences in trading time, one-day lagged US data are used for a calendar day.
Again, this number is the East Asian average excluding China.
5
HK
CH
1.000
0.469
HK
0.469
IN
IN
JA
KO
ML
PH
SI
TA
TH
-0.215
0.257
-0.302
0.122
-0.325
0.138
-0.567
-0.116
1.000
0.489
0.894
0.344
0.646
0.427
0.861
0.048
0.719
-0.215
0.489
1.000
0.642
0.847
0.709
0.691
0.809
0.799
0.761
JA
0.257
0.894
0.642
1.000
0.472
0.620
0.649
0.903
0.245
0.839
KO
-0.302
0.344
0.847
0.472
1.000
0.640
0.519
0.678
0.767
0.697
ML
0.122
0.646
0.709
0.620
0.640
1.000
0.272
0.743
0.413
0.749
PH
-0.325
0.427
0.691
0.649
0.519
0.272
1.000
0.680
0.650
0.712
SI
0.138
0.861
0.809
0.903
0.678
0.743
0.680
1.000
0.444
0.859
TA
-0.567
0.048
0.799
0.245
0.767
0.413
0.650
0.444
1.000
0.544
TH
-0.116
0.719
0.761
0.839
0.697
0.749
0.712
0.859
0.544
1.000
Avg
-0.060
0.544
0.615
0.613
0.518
0.546
0.475
0.680
0.371
0.640
BE
DE
FI
FR
GE
GR
IR
IT
NE
PO
SP
SW
UK
AU
1.000
0.094
0.765
0.344
0.467
0.428
-0.185
0.595
0.404
0.344
0.173
0.267
0.377
0.131
BE
0.094
1.000
0.342
0.313
0.583
0.658
0.612
0.641
0.613
0.778
0.637
0.707
0.487
0.864
DE
0.765
0.342
1.000
0.654
0.820
0.759
0.159
0.777
0.784
0.699
0.585
0.614
0.713
0.491
FI
0.344
0.313
0.654
1.000
0.904
0.877
0.602
0.394
0.878
0.806
0.868
0.834
0.962
0.674
FR
0.467
0.583
0.820
0.904
1.000
0.981
0.630
0.679
0.976
0.954
0.909
0.925
0.965
0.835
GE
0.428
0.658
0.759
0.877
0.981
1.000
0.688
0.695
0.970
0.975
0.937
0.960
0.958
0.883
GR
-0.185
0.612
0.159
0.602
0.630
0.688
1.000
0.227
0.609
0.743
0.746
0.767
0.679
0.826
IR
0.595
0.641
0.777
0.394
0.679
0.695
0.227
1.000
0.687
0.704
0.524
0.620
0.531
0.627
IT
0.404
0.613
0.784
0.878
0.976
0.970
0.609
0.687
1.000
0.950
0.934
0.935
0.942
0.849
NE
0.344
0.778
0.699
0.806
0.954
0.975
0.743
0.704
0.950
1.000
0.922
0.958
0.908
0.951
PO
0.173
0.637
0.585
0.868
0.909
0.937
0.746
0.524
0.934
0.922
1.000
0.963
0.934
0.876
SP
0.267
0.707
0.614
0.834
0.925
0.960
0.767
0.620
0.935
0.958
0.963
1.000
0.927
0.924
SW
0.377
0.487
0.713
0.962
0.965
0.958
0.679
0.531
0.942
0.908
0.934
0.927
1.000
0.796
UK
0.131
0.864
0.491
0.674
0.835
0.883
0.826
0.627
0.849
0.951
0.876
0.924
0.796
1.000
0.323
0.564
0.628
0.701
0.818
0.828
0.546
0.592
0.810
0.822
0.770
0.800
0.783
0.748
1991-1997.6
1997.7-1998
1999-2003.4
EA
US
EA
US
EA
US
EA
US
Avg1
0.383
0.098
0.493
0.509
0.719
-0.366
0.556
0.574
Avg2
0.337
0.016
0.465
0.508
0.616
-0.467
0.494
0.612
1992.8-1993.7
1993.8-1998
1999-2003.4
EU
US
EU
US
EU
US
EU
US
0.700
0.937
0.523
0.517
0.953
0.951
0.695
0.790
(1)
where rit is an individual markets index return, rRt a regional average of individual
markets returns and rwt the world market return represented by the US market. In the
equation, iR indicates the coefficient for regional influence and iw that for the global
influence. The variable X is included to reflect other factors. To allow the ARCH effects
of innovations and the possibility of volatility spillover effects as well, we formulate the
GARCH model by adding the variance equation to mean equation (1).
2it = i0 + i12it-1 + i22it-1
(2)
Table 5 and Table 6 show the estimation results for East Asia and the EU
respectively. Between two regions, there is very much difference in the relative
importance of regional to global factor. In the movement of local stock market returns,
the US is a very important force for East Asian stock markets, but it is not true within
the EU. In East Asia, the US market was the most important factor for almost all
individual markets since the 1990s except the crisis period. During the period of the
Asian crisis, the regional factor was more important for individual markets movement
in East Asia. In contrast, the EU market has consistently become the dominant force for
individual EU markets since the 1990s.
1991 1997.6
1997.7 - 1998
1999 2003.4
EA
US
EA
US
EA
US
EA
US
CH
-0.049
0.054
-0.098
0.097
-0.114
0.085
0.024
0.012
HK
0.440
0.387
0.277
0.522
0.883
0.421
0.646
0.267
IN
0.094
0.152
0.056
0.112
0.421
0.437
0.256
0.104
JA
0.085
0.326
0.024
0.330
0.320
0.214
0.388
0.266
KO
0.220
0.275
0.034
0.054
0.405
0.226
0.818
0.355
ML
0.177
0.165
0.143
0.265
0.852
0.473
0.228
0.101
PH
0.153
0.247
0.030
0.301
0.523
0.334
0.254
0.138
SI
0.247
0.232
0.181
0.264
0.586
0.279
0.478
0.134
TA
0.203
0.230
0.092
0.127
0.192
0.299
0.383
0.218
TH
0.274
0.170
0.211
0.280
0.693
0.138
0.441
0.092
Avg1
0.184
0.224
0.095
0.235
0.476
0.291
0.392
0.169
Avg2
0.210
0.243
0.116
0.251
0.542
0.313
0.432
0.186
1992.8 1993.7
1993.8 - 1998
1999 2003.4
EU
US
EU
US
EU
US
EU
US
AU
0.112
0.318
0.219
0.366
0.207
0.412
0.064
0.283
BE
0.562
0.106
0.419
0.131
0.489
0.153
0.510
0.069
DE
0.559
0.126
0.601
0.044
0.659
0.037
0.512
0.162
FI
0.940
0.249
0.424
0.265
0.866
0.240
1.184
0.301
FR
1.128
-0.005
1.597
-0.162
1.705
0.101
1.152
0.053
GE
1.104
0.039
0.944
0.199
0.925
0.281
1.273
-0.121
GR
0.316
0.238
0.225
0.054
0.132
0.119
0.322
0.176
IR
0.452
0.238
0.428
0.476
0.482
0.314
0.412
0.189
IT
0.887
-0.057
0.020
-0.005
1.039
-0.090
0.838
0.063
NE
1.099
0.044
0.902
0.008
0.035
0.008
1.144
0.067
PO
0.478
0.048
0.095
-0.031
0.573
0.057
0.444
0.037
SP
0.882
-0.110
0.864
0.070
0.942
-0.070
0.849
0.005
SW
0.895
0.139
1.307
0.191
0.908
0.051
0.880
0.170
UK
0.749
0.046
0.748
0.109
0.697
-0.027
0.781
0.085
Avg
0.726
0.101
0.628
0.123
0.690
0.113
0.740
0.110
10
Table 5 and Table 6. In East Asia, the US factor plays more important role than the
regional factor in determination of the market returns. These results suggest that East
Asian financial markets have closer ties with the US market than with one another.5 One
thing to add is that in East Asia, about 90 percent of forecast error variances is
attributable to the innovation in the domestic markets, while in Europe, only half of the
variances is attributable to the domestic markets.
<Table 7> Variance Decomposition, East Asia
1991 2003.4
1991 1997.6
1997.7 - 1998
1999 2003.4
EA
US
EA
US
EA
US
EA
US
CH
0.115
0.080
0.146
0.111
0.373
2.464
0.222
0.109
HK
7.805
14.693
2.383
10.682
12.424
17.861
16.472
20.968
IN
2.538
3.178
1.020
1.891
7.100
7.102
3.073
2.763
JA
1.432
9.948
0.182
5.043
5.306
12.020
7.546
14.142
KO
2.807
6.643
0.302
0.669
3.081
5.808
9.931
13.190
ML
3.216
4.796
2.562
4.804
7.721
8.758
3.053
5.108
PS
1.836
5.290
0.614
4.616
7.334
13.086
2.597
4.705
SI
8.079
11.553
4.285
4.759
10.063
18.262
12.165
17.809
TA
1.963
4.300
0.978
1.476
2.040
10.184
4.294
6.680
TH
4.016
3.964
1.631
2.712
8.810
6.749
6.302
4.671
Avg1
3.381
6.445
1.410
3.676
6.425
10.229
6.566
9.015
Avg2
3.744
7.152
1.551
4.072
7.098
11.092
7.270
10.004
Note: The number in the table represents a decomposition of the error variance for 10
period ahead forecast when the proportions of the factors are relatively stabilized.
EU
AU
4.041
1992.8 1993.7
1993.8 - 1998
1999 2003.4
US
EU
US
EU
US
EU
US
24.90
6.073
11.308
5.369
27.962
4.491
29.149
9.571
26.388
25.995
29.593
24.499
2
BE
28.839
23.67 23.455
The order of the variables is US, region, and local markets. The results of variance decomposition
are usually sensitive to the order of endogenous variables. When we change the order to region, US,
and domestic markets, there is slight changes in the magnitude but the basic figure does not change.
11
7
DE
22.826
16.05 13.315
2.932
28.458
15.684
21.565
19.007
3.495
4.757
23.695
25.262
23.608
22.553
26.44 47.710
6.215
39.902
21.648
53.874
32.176
11.054
30.296
27.738
40.487
35.610
7
FI
21.999
21.67
5
FR
47.536
6
GE
37.148
27.91 33.054
9
GR
3.299
6.368
1.945
0.701
4.469
5.082
3.355
8.972
IR
17.476
22.83
8.322
12.649
19.561
31.851
17.361
20.664
1.074
0.038
30.229
12.204
50.772
25.029
27.55 47.892
9.431
43.588
25.419
52.059
30.065
8.011
1.955
25.137
13.172
26.066
13.755
20.69 23.548
4.264
37.121
20.835
49.089
23.271
10.273
34.764
23.500
34.334
27.930
12.787
34.408
23.881
41.988
28.481
6.995
27.385
21.445
32.046
24.369
5
IT
38.086
16.67
6
NE
49.280
0
PO
24.297
12.34
1
SP
42.663
9
SW
32.911
24.33 22.108
9
UK
37.886
26.27 27.667
7
Avg
29.163
21.26 19.119
9
Note: The number in the table represents a decomposition of the error variance for 10
period ahead forecast when the proportions of the factors are relatively stabilized.
12
integration. This difference may have significant consequences for financial market
development in East Asia.
One possibility is that financial integration in Europe where regional factor plays an
important role in the integration may proceed hand in hand with the regional economy.
Thus financial integration may lead to better allocation of capital, financial
development, and financial efficiency, as expected. In contrast, financial integration in
East Asia has been much influenced by the US market and may not reflect its regional
economy. When the financial market movement is deviated from economic
fundamentals, it would be difficult to expect financial market efficiency.
To examine whether financial integration is accompanied by financial efficiency in the
regions, we estimate the following equation:6
rit = iEt-1[rit] + iREt-1[rRt] + iwEt-1[rwt] + iRRt + iwwt + it
(3)
(4)
(5)
and assume the expectations are formed as VAR(2). By adding the following variance
equations to mean equation (3)-(5),8 we formulate the GARCH model.
2it = i0 + i12it-1 + i22it-1 + iR2Rt-1 + iw2wt-1
2Rt = R0 + R12Rt-1 + R22Rt-1 + Rw2wt-1
2wt = w0 + w12wt-1 + w22wt-1 + wR2Rt-1
6
7
8
(6)
(7)
(8)
Table 9 and Table 10 present the results for East Asia and the EU respectively using
the GARCH model composed of (3)-(8). We can derive several important features from
the comparison of two tables.
iR
iw
iR
iw
CH
0.987
-0.002
-0.001
0.027
-0.086
HK
0.738
0.296
0.306
0.430
0.100
IN
0.999
-0.004
0.004
0.230
-0.019
JA
0.999
0.002
0.003
0.110
0.010
KO
-0.262
1.547
-0.046
0.205
0.104
ML
1.081
-0.423
0.721
0.173
-0.008
PH
1.037
-0.112
0.619
0.137
0.034
SI
0.787
0.134
-0.159
0.241
0.078
TA
0.881
0.035
0.628
0.197
0.018
TH
0.983
-0.137
0.096
0.268
0.042
Avg1
0.823
0.134
0.217
0.202
0.027
Avg2
0.805
0.149
0.241
0.221
0.040
Note: The numbers are the average of the coefficients for 10 East Asian countries. The
numbers for variance equations are not reported.
iR
iw
iR
iw
AU
1.000
0.001
0.004
0.128
0.003
BE
0.999
0.001
0.002
0.558
0.028
DE
0.997
0.003
0.005
0.582
-0.026
14
FI
0.951
-0.029
0.003
1.024
0.036
FR
1.001
-0.001
0.000
1.105
0.038
GE
0.998
0.002
-0.004
1.080
0.175
GR
0.913
-0.175
-0.231
0.298
0.007
IR
1.000
0.000
0.001
0.472
-0.011
IT
1.001
-0.001
0.001
0.900
-0.021
NE
1.002
-0.003
-0.002
1.094
0.006
PO
1.000
0.000
0.001
0.510
-0.034
SP
0.997
0.002
-0.002
0.900
-0.008
SW
1.001
-0.002
-0.002
0.880
0.027
UK
1.001
0.000
0.005
0.708
0.068
Avg
0.990
-0.014
-0.016
0.731
0.021
Note: The numbers are the average of the coefficients for 14 Euro area countries. The
numbers for variance equations are not reported.
15
flows before the ERM crisis took place. The crisis worked only as a disruptive factor for
already well-integrated European markets, and the integration process has only been
strengthened after the crisis. As for many of East Asian countries, the control on foreign
equity investments was loosened only after the breakout of the Asian crisis in 1997, and
the financial integration process in East Asia is still at a beginning stage and not yet
steady and stable. Also to overcome the crisis, the crisis stricken East Asian countries
have heavily depended upon the IMF financial support and foreign capitals, in which
the US influence has been important. Consequently, the financial integration of East
Asian markets with the US has been strong.
Another answer to the above questions can be formulated in terms of exchange rate
stability. East Asian countries do not have a regional monetary arrangement and their
monetary policies are often focused on the exchange rate stability against the US dollar.
This also explains the US influence on their financial markets. However, the role of
exchange rate stability per se in Europes financial integration has to be cautiously
interpreted since other factors such as real convergence or macroeconomic policy
coordination may have been important factors explaining asset returns synchronization
in the region. As numerous studies have shown, 9 real convergence, measured by the
income correlation, has an important effect on financial integration because asset returns
reflect to some extent the business cycle. Also, macroeconomic policy coordination
leads naturally to enhanced asset returns correlation because financial market conditions
are influenced by monetary and fiscal policies. Simple exchange stability arrangements
may not be sufficient to accelerate regional financial integration.10
It must also bear in mind that a monetary arrangement is not per se sufficient
condition for financial integration. Macroeconomic policy coordination, concerted
institutional building and the establishment of efficient market infrastructure are all
required to reap the benefit of integrated financial market.
V. Conclusion
Financial integration assures market liquidity that would be absent within a segregated
market. Financial integration increases competitive pressure on exchanges and
intermediaries, and thereby reduces the transaction costs and raises incentives for
innovations. Thus, financial integration is expected to stimulate financial efficiency and
9
10
See Fama and French (1989), Ferson and Harvey (1991), Jagannathan and Wang (1996) among others.
See Chai (2003), for the interactions between the euro and Europes financial markets.
16
economic growth. On the other hand, financial integration is likely to reduce the
negative effects of idiosyncratic shocks in a currency union through cross-border
portfolio diversification and capital mobility. Thus, financial integration can allow
countries with asymmetric economic structures to form a currency union.
In this paper, we tried to describe the financial integration process in East Asia, and
identified some important features from a comparative perspective with Europe.
Empirical analysis on stock markets shows that during the 1990s financial markets have
become increasingly integrated over time in East Asia. Also, the US influence remains
strong in East Asian financial markets while it has significantly reduced in Europe
especially since the late 1990s. Another interesting difference is that financial
integration is accompanied by financial efficiency in Europe, while it is not true for East
Asia.
The differences of the integration processes between the two regions can be partly
attributed to different experience of capital liberalization. But another important cause
seems to be that the monetary integration played an important role in Europe while this
is not the case in East Asia. Besides, real convergence or macroeconomic policy
coordination, rather than the exchange rate stability per se may have been more
responsible for seemingly observed regional financial integration in Europe. The
experience in Europe suggests that the joint efforts to attain the exchange rate stability,
macroeconomic policy coordination, and concerted institution building would be
necessary to strengthen financial integration and to reap the benefit of integrated
financial market in East Asia. Without such efforts, the prospects of financial integration
in East Asia are not very promising.
17
References:
Bakaert, G. and C.R. Harney (1997), Emerging Equity Market Volatility, Journal of
Financial Economics 43, pp.29-77.
Baele, L., A. Ferrando, P. Hordhal, E. Krylova, and C. Monnet (2004), Measuring
Financial Integration in the Euro Area, ECB Occasional Paper 14.
Bergsten, C. Fred and Y. Chul Park (2002), Toward Creating a Regional Monetary
Arrangement in East Asia, ADB Institute Research Paper No. 50, December.
Cavoli, T., R.S. Rajan, and R. Siregar (2003), A Survey of Financial Integration in East
Asia: Trends, Issues and Implications, University of Adelaide, mimeo.
Chai, H.-Y. (2003), Interactions between the Euro and Europes Financial markets,
Asia-Pacific Journal of EU Studies 1(1).
Chai, H-Y and Y. Rhee (2003), Financial Integration in East Asia: A Comparison with
Europe, in H. Kim (ed.), European Integration and the Asia-Pacific Region,
KIEP.
De Browuer, G. (1999), Financial Integration in East Asia, Cambridge University
Press.
Eichengreen, B. and Y.C. Park (2003), Why Has There Been Less Financial Integration
in Asia than in Europe? mimeo.
European Central Bank (2001), The Euro Bond Markets, July.
European Commission (2001), Financial Market Integration in the EU,in Chapter 4,
The EU Economy 2001 Review, European Economy 73, Luxembourg, Office
for Official Publications of the EC.
Fama, E. and K. French (1989), Business Conditions and the Expected Returns on
Stocks and Bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 25, pp.23-50.
Feldstein, M. and C. Y. Horioka (1980), Domestic Saving and International Capital
Flows, Economic Journal 90, June.
Ferson, W. and C. Harvey (1991), The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums,
Journal of Political Economy 99, pp.385-415.
Francis, B., I. Hasan and D. Hunter (2002), Emerging Market Liberalization and the
Impact on Interest Rate Parity, Journal of International Money and Finance
21, pp.931-956.
Fratzscher, M. (2001), Financial Market Integration in Europe: On the Effects of EMU
on Stock Markets, ECB Working Paper 48.
Galati, G. and K. Tsatsaronis (2001), The impact of the Euro on Europes Financial
Markets, Working Paper 100, Bank for International Settlements.
18
Hardouvelis, G., D. Malliaropulos, and R. Priestly (1999), EMU and European Stock
Market Integration, CEPR Discussion Paper 2124.
Jagannathan, R. and Z. Wang (1996), The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-section of
Expected Returns, Journal of Finance 51, pp.3-53.
Le, H. (2000), Financial Openness and Financial Integration, Australia National
University Working Paper 00-4.
Montiel, P. (1994), Capital Mobility in Developing Countries: Some Measurement
Issues and Empirical Estimates, World Bank Economic Review 8, pp.311-350.
Moon, W. (2001), Currency Crisis and Stock Market Integration: A Comparison of
East Asian and European Experiences, Korean Journal of EU Studies.
Ng, A. (2000), Volatility Spillover Effects from Japan and the US to the Pacific-Basin,
Journal of International Money and Finance 19, pp.207-233.
Park, Y. and G. Bae (2002), Financial Liberalization and Economic Integration in East
Asia, presented at the PECC Finance Forum conference on Issues and
Prospects for Regional Cooperation for Financial Stability and Development,
Hawaii, 11-13 August.
Phylaktis, K. and F. Ravazzolo (2001), Measuring Financial and Economic Integration
with Equity Prices in Emerging Markets, Cass Business School Working
Paper.
Reyes, M.G. (2001), Asymmetric Volatility Spillover in the Tokyo Stock Exchange,
Journal of Economics and Finance 23(2), pp.206-213.
Wyplosz, C. (2001), A Monetary Union in Asia? Some European Lessons, mimeo.
19