Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction
CONTENTS
1.
SUMMARY
2.
3.
COMPANIES
4.
BP plc
4.1. BP Upstream
4.2. BP Performance
5.
INVESTMENT IN PETROLEUM
5.1. Exploration and Appraisal
5.2. Field Development
5.3. Transportation
5.4. Refining
5.5. Distribution
5.6. Upstream Investment
1
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Having worked through this chapter the Student will be able to:
General
1 Describe general financial aspects of the petroleum industry
History
2. Describe briefly the nature and evolution of demand for oil
3. Describe briefly the evolution of oil supply
4. Describe two situations where an attempt was made to control the market for
petroleum
Companies
5. Explain how the role of the National Oil Company versus the International
Petroleum Company has changed since 1974
BP plc
6. Describe briefly the history of the company
7. Describe briefly the Foinaven project
8. List ten financial parameters or statistics that may be used to explain or to monitor
the performance of a petroleum company
9. Describe five of these statistics or parameters
Investment in Petroleum
10. List and describe the five principal sectors of petroleum activity
Introduction
1. SUMMARY
This module concerns the economic evaluation of petroleum projects. It does not
prescribe a particular method or process, but rather focuses on ideas and principles,
which may become incorporated into corporate procedure. Petroleum investment is
subject to considerable risk and attracts much attention from government. Some of
these issues are identified and reviewed.
Chapter Two concerns the idea of an asset, as something possessing value or
bestowing value on its owner. Methods of quantifying such value are considered.
Chapter Three introduces the concept of the time value of money, the idea that
money received or spent at different points in time may have different perceived value.
The process of discounting derives directly from this idea and forms the basis of much
systematic study of investment value.
Chapter Four explains the method of cash flow analysis and identifies a number of
important parameters, which may be derived. These measures of value have
important applications, with respect to property trade and project investment.
Chapter Five reviews the diversity and significance of government involvement in the
petroleum industry.
Chapter Six reviews the risk environment, within which petroleum investment is
made.
Chapter Seven identifies and explains some of the important procedures, which may
be used to reduce or to quantify risk. These form the basis of risk management.
1
2.1. Oil Demand
In 1900, the world traded around 500 million tonnes of oil equivalent in energy
products, 95% as solid fuel and 5% as oil. 100 years later, the energy market had
expanded almost twenty fold and petroleum [oil and gas] had acquired more than 60%
of this market. Figure 1 plots the growth in energy commodities and Figure 2 indicates
the market share gained by the petroleum industry.
10000
Nuclear + Hydro
9000
8000
Natural Gas
Crude Oil
Solid Fuel
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
60
80
1900
20
40
60
80
2000
Figure 1
World energy 1860-2001
million tonnes oil
equivalent
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
60
80
1900
20
40
60
80
2000
Figure 2
Petroleum market share
Introduction
1000
100
millions
10
1
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
0.1
Figure 3
World car population
Table 1
Petrol Consumption
0.01
25
10,000
400
9.52
650 m
6188 m
16.95 m
[barrels]
[barrels]
1
Figure 2 reveals that this exponential trend was terminated in the early 1970s, when
oil price suddenly increased. Since 1975, the market for gas, always seen as secondary
to oil, has been growing faster. Figure 4 indicates that from 1970 to 2000, gas
production increased by a factor of 220%, ahead of oil at 158%. This trend reflects
increasing awareness of environmental issues. Combustion of gas produces less
greenhouse gas emission, than does the combustion of refined products of oil.
2.25
2.00
Gas
1.75
1.50
Oil
1.25
1.00
70
75
80
85
90
95
2000
Figure 4
Growth in petroleum
production
10000
Venezuela 1922
Persia 1908
Mexico 1905
1000
USA 1859
Others
100
10
1
1865
0.1
1875
1885
1895
1905
1915
1925
1935
1945
Figure 5
World oil production
[logarithmic].
Introduction
For almost 30 years post World War Two [WW2], oil production increased
exponentially to around 65 million bopd, as a result of prolific discoveries in the
Middle East and elsewhere, stimulated by ever-greater demand for petroleum-based
energy products. The ten-fold price increases between 1973 and 1981 disrupted this
trend and caused the market to hesitate, then slide back, until halted by a price collapse
in 1986. Following these price discontinuities, the upward trend continues. BP now
lists 48 countries with at least 50,000 barrels per day. Figure 6 illustrates this growth
in volume and diversity. [See also Table 3, Chapter 5, for a list of the top forty
petroleum-producing countries].
75
50
Middle East
Asia Pacific
Europe
Africa
25
Russia / FSU
South America
North America
Figure 6
Regional oil production
[million bopd]
00
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
1
2.3. Oil Price
The average price of oil is plotted in Figure 7. Data is presented, both as dollars spent
money of the day and as dollars in relation to value in the year 2000, 2000 terms.
See Chapter 3 Section 9.4 for a full explanation of this terminology.
100
Price [$/bb/ mod]
90
Price [$/bbl 2000]
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
60
80
00
20
40
60
80
00
Price has shown dramatic fluctuations over time, reflecting changes in the market.
Supply disruption, shortage and uncertainty causes price to increase; exploration
success or economic depression may cause the price to fall. Note the increase
associated with war, or its aftermath and with political discontinuity:- WW1 [191418], WW2 [1939-45], Yom Kippur [1973], Iranian Revolution [1979]. Note the fall
associated with success:- Spindletop [1901], East Texas [1930], Libya etc [1960s],
North Sea and Mexico [1980s].
2.4. Control
Petroleum is a unique business:The products are singularly useful for modern economic and military systems.
Production and processing is highly capital intensive.
Investment carries considerable risk.
Distribution of resources is uncertain.
Investment may be undermined by exploration success elsewhere.
Competition and profitability are therefore unpredictable.
Various attempts have been made over the years to control elements of the market, in
order to reduce costs, competition and investment risk.
Figure 7
Crude oil price $/bbl
Introduction
a)
Standard Oil
1882
SO New Jersey
>
SO New Jersey
1888
Anglo American
>
Anglo American
1882
SO New York
>
Socony
1866
Vacuum Oil
1879
Vacuum Oil
>
1972
Exxon
1930
1951
Esso UK
>
1966
Mobil
1998
1931
^
Sohio
1987
Amoco
1998
1908
BP
1870
Standard Oil
>
SO Ohio
1885
Solar Refining
1889
SO Indiana
>
SO Indiana
1906
SO Nebraska
>
SO Nebraska
1896
SO Kansas
>
SO Kansas
1866
Atlantic Refining
1874
Atlantic Refining
>
1966
Arco
1999
1879
1900
Socal
>
1984
Chevron
2001
>
ChevronTexaco
1886
SO Kentucky
1875
Continental Oil
1884
Continental Oil
>
2002
>
ConocoPhillips
1887
Ohio Oil
1889
>
1962
>
Solar Refining
>
>
1931
^
>
1939
1973
1950? ^
SO Kentucky
[1984
1929
Gulf]
Conoco
1907
1889
>
1881
National Transit
>
National Transit
1881
SW Penn Pipelines
1901
Marathon
Shell
1905
Pennzoil
2002
1965
SW Penn Pipelines
1952
Eureka Pipeline
Eureka Pipeline
1947
Cumberland Pipeline
Cumberland Pipeline
1931
Southern Pipeline
Southern Pipeline
1949
Galena-Signal Oil
Galena-Signal Oil
1959
1924
Table 2
Standard Oil
ExxonMobil
Ashland
plus 13
The grey column represents Standard Oil. To the left are component parts, date of
origin and date of takeover by Standard. Some of these names are of companies
created by Standard, sometimes to amalgamate pre-existing business. To the right is
the outcome of the break-up of the Trust. 34 companies were created, 21 are listed.
Of the remainder, some were taken over and some became bankrupt. Moving to the
right, the columns indicate takeover, merger and change of name, with dates where
possible. Note that, for completeness, BP, Shell and Ashland are included. They
were not part of Standard itself, but now own parts of the outcome.
b)
1
Persian was included in 1914, see Table 3. After WW1, politics changed and German
interests [Deutsch Bank] were replaced by the French [CFP]. There followed a long
period of international negotiation, culminating in the formal inclusion of an American
syndicate [SO New Jersey, SO New York and others] in 1928. Figure 8 is a cartoon
from this time, indicating a British-French carve-up, with an American foot in the
door.
Figure 8
San Remo 1920
These companies, with the support of government, were signatories to the so-called
Red Line Agreement. This related to an area encompassing the Arab Peninsula and
northwards to the Black Sea, the Ottoman Empire as was in 1914. See Figure 9 for
a map of the relevant area. The basis of the agreement was that the signatories would
not compete with each other within this designated area. This agreement, involving
the worlds largest companies of the day, set the pattern for later negotiation.
Gulbenkian
Royal Dutch Shell
Deutsch Bank
National Bank of Turkey
Anglo Persian
Compagnie Francaise des Petroles
American Syndicate
10
1912
1914
1928
7.5%
25%
25%
42.75%
5%
22.5%
22.5%
5%
23.75%
50%
23.75%
23.75%
23.75%
Table 3
Turkish [Iraq] Petroleum
Company Equity
Introduction
Figure 9
Red Line area
In the meantime, Turkish Petroleum negotiated a concession with the Iraq government
in 1925 and made a huge discovery at Baba Gurgur in 1927. The name of the company
soon changed to Iraq Petroleum [IPC]. Gulbenkian became known as Mr Five
Percent.
c)
Achnacarry Agreement
The oil industry in 1928 faced a number of serious problems, including overcapacity
and falling prices. In August, the chief executives of Standard New Jersey, Standard
Indiana, Anglo Iranian, Shell and Gulf gathered to shoot grouse at Achnacarry, in the
Scottish Highlands. They also found time to discuss matters of business and reached
an agreement, known as the Pool Association. Under this agreement, the cartel
decided that:i
ii
iii
Companies would share production and markets on the basis of the balance then
prevailing
New facilities would be constructed only as necessary and to supply in the most
efficient manner
Price would be on a Gulf Plus basis, meaning that price would be based on
USA export price, with transportation charges as if the oil originated from the
Gulf of Mexico
These clauses formed the basis of inter-company agreement in Europe and parts of
Asia for the next twenty years.
Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University
11
1
d)
During the 1950s, the market for oil expanded rapidly, with major new discoveries
in the Middle East, North Africa and elsewhere. Most of this production was under
the control of a small number of large, international companies [the Majors or
Seven Sisters]. The companies had Concessions or production licences which
afforded power and freedom to explore and to develop. Re-entry of the Soviet Union
into this market around 1955 added to the growing problem of over-supply and caused
an inevitable, downward pressure on prices.
Oil price was based on a formal system of Posted Prices, from which Royalties and
Taxes were derived. Posted Price had originally matched market price, but in the
market of the late 1950s, companies had been discounting price to maintain market
share. With a fixed Posted Price [and taxes] and a falling, selling price [and revenue],
companies found themselves paying a higher proportion to government, [see Figure 10].
$11.651
1/1/74
Posted
Market
0
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
Companies had the legal right to change Posted Price, but used this sparingly. In 1959,
BP cut its Posted Price by 18 [about 10%]. The producer countries were angry and
the issue was discussed at the Arab Oil Congress, held in Cairo in 1959. The
immediate outcome was an informal, Gentlemens Agreement concerning the
following issues:i
ii
iii
iv
12
Figure 10
Saudi Arabian light
fob Ras Tanura
Introduction
The following year, after further cuts in Posted Price, representatives of leading oil
producers met in Baghdad and OPEC was formed. The founder members were:Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait and Venezuela. Formation of OPEC was the first
collective act of sovereignty exercised by oil producers, with the following objectives:i
ii
iii
iv
In the early years of the organisation, market over-supply limited its powers.
However, in 1960, its market share of world-traded oil was 80% and rising. When
the market tightened in the early 1970s, OPEC was in a position to exploit the
situation, to increase price. See Appendix 3 and Chapter 6, Section 5.4. OPEC has
survived for more than 40 years and still carries considerable influence. All cartels,
however, face problems both within and without. Controlling production requires
discipline on the part of its members; increasing the price creates extra profits for all
market participants and inevitably encourages expansion of production outside the
control of the cartel. Figure 11 indicates how regional production evolved after the
1973 price increases. Note that Middle East production fell by 50% by 1985, in the
face of mounting competition from Russian, Mexican and North Sea production.
2.5
North America
South America
Europe
Former Soviet Union
Middle East
Africa
Asia Pacific
1.5
Figure 11
Production ratios
[proportion of 1973]
0.5
1973
1978
1983
1988
1993
1998
3. COMPANIES
In 1973, seven large companies, the Seven Sisters controlled more than sixty
percent of world oil production. Today, these four [amalgamated] organisations have
little more than ten percent of the market. Table 4 indicates how the market has
changed. The OPEC inspired intervention, which took place in the mid-1970s,
resulted in a massive transfer of control, from international to national oil companies
[NOCs]. Of the top twenty producers, listed in Table 4, half are NOCs. The top
four are all NOCs and are responsible for about 25% of the market. Limited access
Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University
13
1
to foreign companies is available in some of the countries, where the resource in
controlled by an NOC. In UAE for example, ADNOC has a 60% interest in key joint
venture companies.
Current
2000
1973
Saudi Aramco
NIOC
Pemex
PDVSA
ExxonMobil
RD Shell
KPC
Petrochina
ChevronTexaco *
BP
ADNOC
TotalFinaElf *
Lukoil
Sonatrach
YukosSibneft *
Petrobras
PDO
ConocoPhillips *
ENI
Statoil
Repsol-YPF
9.1
3.8
3.5
2.8
2.5
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.0
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.6
World Total
Seven Sisters
74.5
44.0
11.7% 62.7%
7.9
4.5
10.
4.6
Origin
1974
1953
1938
1975
1882
1892
1974
1988
1902
1908
1971
1920
1991
1963
1993
1953
1967
1875
1953
1972
1986
* These companies merged after 2000; the data reflect separate companies
in 2000
The Seven Sisters had to re-invent themselves. BP, in 1972, sourced 99% of its oil
supplies from the Middle East and North Africa. Today these countries contribute
very little [to BP]. Loss of oil supply and dramatically increased oil price provided
the incentive and a favourable economic environment for exploration and development
of new areas, some of which were considerably more expensive than the lost
productive capacity in the Middle East. The North Sea and Alaska, for example, have
both been developed since 1973 and both represent order of magnitude increases in
cost. Companies have also evolved by merger and acquisition, drilling on Wall
Street as they say. Appendix Three lists some of this activity under 1980s and
1999. Merger also creates opportunity for economies of scale and other cost savings.
14
Table 4
Oil production by company
[million bopd}
Introduction
Oil
Gas
O+G
world
bbls 10^9
boe 10^9
boe 10^9
261.8
38.1
299.9
15.1
15.1
NIOC *
89.7
144.9
234.6
11.8
26.8
UAE *
97.8
37.9
135.7
6.8
33.7
Iraq *
112.5
19.6
132.1
6.6
40.3
122.0
122.0
6.1
46.4
Saudi Aramco *
Gazprom
KPC *
96.5
9.4
105.9
5.3
51.7
PDVSA
77.7
26.2
103.9
5.2
57.0
9.2
28.5
37.7
1.9
58.9
Pemex *
26.9
5.4
32.3
1.6
60.5
ExxonMobil
11.6
9.3
20.9
1.0
61.5
RD Shell
9.7
9.4
19.1
1.0
62.5
BP
7.6
7.4
15.0
0.8
63.2
Lukoil
14.2
0.7
14.9
0.7
64.0
Yukos
11.8
0.5
12.3
0.6
64.6
8.5
3.0
11.5
0.6
65.2
3.8
10.8
0.5
65.7
PDO *
5.5
5.2
10.7
0.5
66.3
Petrobras *
8.5
1.4
9.9
0.5
66.8
ConocoPhillips
2.7
7.7
0.4
67.2
ENI
2.6
6.6
0.3
67.5
2.4
2.4
4.8
0.2
67.7
2.3
4.3
0.2
67.9
Sonatrach *
ChevronTexaco
TotalFinaElf
Repsol-YPF
Table 5
Petroleum in reserve
[end 2000]
cum
Statoil
* national reserves
Table 5 presents reserve data and another challenge. The top ten international
companies report oil and gas reserves, which represent about 6 percent of the world
total. At current rates of production, these companies would be depleted in fewer than
15 years. Half the recorded world reserve is under the control of the six largest NOCs.
Access to this will depend on how the politics of world oil evolves, but at present
equity access is limited. One anomaly in this equation is Gazprom, a private
company, [Russian Government owns 38% of shares], with control over most of
Russias gas resource. It is clearly one of the largest, both in terms of reserves and
production.
15
1
If size equates with success, petroleum is a successful business. Table 6 lists the
fifteen largest companies worldwide, ranked by sales in 2001, according to Fortune
Magazine. Five of these are oil companies, including ExxonMobil and BP in the top
four. Furthermore, four other companies in the list specialise in motor vehicle
manufacture, one of the most important markets for oil products.
Company
$ Billions
Walmart Stores
ExxonMobil
General Motors
BP
Ford Motor
Enron
Daimler Chrysler
Royal Dutch Shell
General Electric
Toyota Motor
Citigroup
Mitsubishi
Mitsui
ChevronTexaco
TotalFinaElf
219.8
191.6
177.3
174.2
162.4
138.7
136.9
135.2
125.8
120.8
112.0
105.8
101.2
99.7
94.3
4. BP plc
BP is one of the former Seven Sisters and one of top three international petroleum
companies. Like most of the large petroleum companies, it has a century of history
and has grown both by successful investment in upstream and downstream facilities
and by acquiring or merging with other companies. See Table 7 for a simplified timeline, summarising BP historical evolution. Since 1974, the larger companies have
found it easier to grow by merger and acquisition, than by exploration and development.
[See Section 3 above, Chapter Seven, Section 3.2 and Appendix 3 for further
information.]
BP is a vertically integrated petroleum company, meaning that it is involved in the
whole process, from exploration, through to marketing of refined and manufactured
products.
BP has upstream [exploration and production] interests in more than twenty countries,
most of which are listed in Tables 8 and 9. The UK and USA dominate, with sixty
percent of current production. In the midstream [transportation] business, BP has a
significant interest in three world-class, million-barrel-per-day pipeline systems. The
Forties Pipeline in the North Sea carries production from more than forty fields and
generates tariff income of some $350 million per year. The Alaska pipeline was vital
to the successful development of the North Slope and the new Baku-Tblisi- Ceyhan
Pipeline will create a valuable, alternative route for export from the Caspian Basin.
Downstream [refining, manufacturing and marketing], BP has 24 refineries, 38
16
Table 6
Fortune 500 [2001]
Top Earning Companies
Introduction
chemical sites and almost 30,000 service stations. It sells 6.6 million barrels of
petroleum products and 100,000 tonnes of chemicals every day.
4.1. BP Upstream
Table 8 is a breakdown of BP oil production in 2002 with a more detailed listing of
oilfields in the UK. Oilfields commonly produce economic volumes of gas and some
of these named oilfields also contribute to the natural gas production recorded in Table
9. Bruce, for example is a complex field with reserves of oil, condensate and gas. In
2002, Bruce produced 45,000 barrels of oil and 450 million cubic feet of gas per day.
Many petroleum development projects are owned by a group, rather than by a single
company. Bruce, for example, has four participants, as follows:43.25%
37.00%
16.00%
3.75%
TotalFinaElf
BP
BHP Billiton
Marubeni
Joint ownership reflects the strategy of spreading risk, particularly at the time of
exploration [see Chapter Seven, Section 3.1]. BPs percentage interest is noted for
each of the named fields. As fields mature, investment risk diminishes and companies
may seek to rationalise their interests. Having a larger, percentage share of a smaller
number of projects is probably more efficient use of resources. Furthermore, larger
companies may be more suited to the development of new opportunities and may
therefore wish to transfer mature assets to smaller organisations, which specialise in
such projects. In the UK, in recent years, BP has disposed of ten fields, which are
approaching abandonment. Forties, for example, has been sold to Apache in 2003.
17
1
1901
1908
1909
1909
1914
1914
1920
1924
1928
1931
1935
1938
1951
1954
1954
1956
1969
1970
1977
1987
1987
1988
1991
1996
1998
1998
1999
2000
2000
2001
2002
2002
2003
Persia
Masjid-i-Suleiman, Persia
Anglo Persian Ltd
Abadan, Persia
UK Government
Iraq Petroleum Company
Scottish Oils [shale oil]
Grangemouth
Baba Gurgur, Iraq
Shell Mex & BP
Anglo Iranian Ltd
Burgan, Kuwait
Iran
British Petroleum Ltd
Iran
Niger Delta, Nigeria
Forties, UK
Sohio
Alaska
Sohio
UK Government
Britoil
Cusiana, Colombia
Mobil
Amoco
BPAmoco plc
Arco
Trinidad
Burmah
BP plc
Veba Oil
Caucasus
Sidanko,
The fields, which are named in Table 8, are all BP-operated, meaning that BP is the
group member with responsibility for field planning, construction and operation. See
Chapter Five, Section 3.7 for information about the role of the Operator. One of these
BP-operated fields is Foinaven, which was the first to receive development consent
in deep water on the UK Atlantic margin. Summary technical details of this project
are listed in Table 10 and the field development is illustrated in Figure 12. Cash flow
data from Foinaven are introduced in Chapter Two, Section 6, and then used to
demonstrate evaluation methodology throughout Chapter Four.
18
Table 7
BP plc Time Line
Introduction
Oil Production
10^3 bopd
Angola
29
Argentina
53
UK Field
BP Interest
BP Share
Australia
43
Names
10^3 bopd
Azerbaijan
38
Canada
16
Andrew
62.8
23
Colombia
46
Bruce
37.0
17
Egypt
85
Foinaven
72.0
72
Norway
84
Forties
96.1
50
Russia
73
Harding
70.0
42
Trinidad
67
Loyal
50.0
10
UAE
113
Machar
100.0
16
UK
461
Magnus
85.0
31
USA Alaska
309
Marnock
62.1
USA GOM
264
Miller
52.0
11
USA Lower 48
192
Monan
69.9
Venezuela
51
Mungo
69.9
37
Other
94
Schiehallion
33.4
33
Wytch Farm
67.8
32
various
79
Table 8
BP Oil Production 2002
2018
Other
Gas Production
10^6 scfd
251
Argentina
Australia
295
Canada
514
China
102
Egypt
256
Indonesia
457
BP Interest
BP Share
10^6 scfd
Netherlands
87
Norway
60
BP Operated
Trinidad
1238
various
28
134
Hugoton
various
169
1550
Jonah
75.2
113
52
Marlin
100.0
106
USA GOM
1185
82.3
47
USA Lower 48
2246
43.5
48
280
Moxa Arch
41.0
54
Pompano
73.7
63
various
601
Wamsutter
70.5
108
Non-operated
various
2094
UAE
UK
USA Alaska
Other
Table 9
BP Gas Production 2002
US Fields
8707
3431
Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University
19
Figure 12
Foinaven Field
Development
Location
Ownership
Licence
72% BP
28% Marathon
1985 Concession
Discovery
Consent
Onstream
1992
1994
1997
Reservoir
Oil gravity
Reserves
Palaeocene sands
25-26 API
323 million barrels of oil
221 billion cubic feet of gas
Production
Export
4.2. BP Performance
BP is a large and successful company, operating in a large and dynamic market.
There are many parameters, which may be used to describe corporate activity and to
measure corporate performance. The following notes refer to data in Table 11, which
are extracted from BP Annual Accounts, 1997-2002.
20
Table 10
Foinaven Summary
Introduction
Section a
Section b
Section c
Section d
21
$/bbl
/bbl
$/mcf
$/bbl
$/
b) Reserves replacement
%
Find / Dev Cost
$ / bbl
Oil production
bopd 10^6
Gas production
boepd 10^6
Employees
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
18.30
11.16
2.50
2.50
1.64
12.10
7.29
1.93
2.10
1.66
16.74
10.33
1.92
1.24
1.62
26.63
17.64
2.91
4.22
1.51
22.50
15.63
3.30
4.06
1.44
22.69
15.13
2.46
2.11
1.50
160.00 132.00
4.22
4.70
1.93
2.05
1.03
1.00
100,800 96,650
c) Turnover
Capital Investment
Acquisitions
Finance Debt
Taxation
$ 10^9
$ 10^9
$ 10^9
$ 10^9
$ 10^9
108.60
9.70
1.00
12.87
4.00
83.70
9.00
0.70
13.76
2.69
101.20
6.40
0.30
14.54
3.34
161.80
11.00
36.40
21.19
8.71
$ 10^9
$ 10^9
%
$
$ 10^9
5.30
50.67
0.10
4.25
3.50
4.00
0.11
2.70
51.30
0.05
2.08
4.10
4.49
0.12
4.60
52.04
0.09
4.17
3.90
6.22
0.12
10.10
78.84
0.13
8.61
4.60
5.40
0.14
175.40 180.19
13.20 14.07
0.90
5.04
21.42 22.01
8.06
5.62
6.60
87.26
0.08
7.51
4.90
5.34
0.15
6.85
89.62
0.08
6.04
5.38
4.27
0.16
Table 11
BP Statistics
5. INVESTMENT IN PETROLEUM
BP currently produces 2 million barrels of crude oil and sells more than 6 million
barrels of refined products every day. In order to maintain productivity and operating
efficiency, the company invests, annually more than $10 billion in new field
development, downstream facilities and infrastructure.
The world petroleum
industry invests in excess of $100 billion per year. See Table 12 for data on ten large
international companies.
22
Turnover
$ 10^9
Capex
$ 10^9
Upstream
%
ExxonMobil
RD Shell
ChevronTexaco
BP
TotalFinaElf
Lukoil
Yukos
ConocoPhillips
ENI
Repsol-YPF
232.7
191.5
117.0
168.7
105.4
13.4
9.8
66.2
48.8
43.2
11.2
9.6
9.5
11.0
7.7
1.6
1.4
4.8
5.0
6.1
62
57
66
60
69
68
996.7
67.9
77
62
Table 12
Sales and investment [2000}
Introduction
Capital
Expenditure
Table 13
Investment in oil
f)
Excise Duty &
Sales Tax
none
e)
Distribution &
Marketing
Storage facilities
Transportation fleet
Service station
Operating
Expenditure
Taxation
none
System operation
Sales
Corporate Taxes
Profit
none
$90 - $190
Gasoline
selling price
Downstream Profit
$50
Gasoline
selling price
pre-duty
d)
Refining
Refinery
Refinery operation
Corporate Taxes
Downstream Profit
$44
Gasoline market
price ex-refinery
c)
Transportation
Pipeline system
Tanker fleet
Terminals
Tariff payments
Pipeline operation
Tanker operation
Corporate Taxes
Midstream Profit
$27
Market price cif
b)
Field
Development &
Operation
Production platform
Production wells
Control equipment
Export system
Field operation
Production Taxes
Royalties
Corporate Taxes
Upstream Profit
$25
Market price fob
a)
Exploration &
Appraisal
Successful Wells
Seismic surveys
Exploration wells
Logging/ testing
Unsuccessful Wells
Signature Bonus
Allowances
none
$2
Finding Cost
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
23
1
Taxation is limited at this stage, since revenue is not generated. Lump sum payments
[Bonus Bid or Signature Bonus] may be required by the Licence agreement [See
Chapter Five, Section 3.3]. Expenditure gives rise to tax allowances, which may be
carried forward, until revenue is available.
Finding Cost relates exploration expenditure to barrels discovered. This depends on
a wide range of factors, such as geological complexity, well location and technology.
Time is a particular problem in compiling any average relationship between reserve
barrels and cost of discovery, since commercial status may not be confirmed for five
or ten or twenty years. Because of varying calculation procedure, it is difficult to use
such a parameter to make meaningful comparison between companies.
5.3. Transportation
Transfer from oilfield to refinery may be direct, by pipeline, or by a series of stages
and owners involving pipeline, storage and tanker. The Forties Pipeline System, for
example, runs directly to the Grangemouth Refinery in Central Scotland. It also links
to an export terminal, which allows part of the stream to be exported to Europe and
North America, by tanker Transportation infrastructure may be owned by the user [oil
producer], or leased on a per- journey, per-year or per-barrel basis. Ownership implies
that the company has invested [Capex], whereas leasing implies payment of tariffs
[Opex].
24
Introduction
Transportation from wellhead to point of sale [or valuation], may fall within the
boundary [ring fence] of upstream or production taxes, whereas transportation beyond
that point does not. The cost of the midstream journey is reflected in the difference
between the delivered price [cif meaning carriage insurance and freight] and the fob
price. This midstream transportation activity is subject to general corporate taxes
[wherever the company is based] and contributes to general corporate profits.
5.4. Refining
Refineries buy crude oil at market [cif] price; [if the refinery is owned by the oil
producer, this transfer price may differ from market price]. Refineries are designed
to produce a range of refined products and therefore generate revenue reflecting the
weighted-average, market price of these products. The difference between unit
selling and unit purchase price is sometimes called the gross refining margin. This
is the revenue available, per barrel, to meet refinery operating costs and also give a
return on the capital investment . [Net] refinery margin is gross margin minus refinery
operating cost [energy plus materials plus labour etc]. Detailed analysis of refinery
economics is beyond the scope of this module. Refinery activity gives rise to general
corporate taxes and profits.
5.5. Distribution
Refinery output may be feedstock for other downstream processes, or may be
transferred directly into a distribution system for sale to consumers. All the large oil
companies have access to service stations selling gasoline [petrol, benzene], their
most important product. Service stations may be owned by an oil producer and refiner,
by a refiner or by a retail organisation. If the retailer is independent of the refiner, the
product is purchased on a wholesale market.
Sales Tax; Tax is commonly charged on gasoline at the point of sale. This may be
called duty, excise duty, sales tax or value added tax. It is a proportion of pre-tax
selling price. In the USA, these taxes amount to some $20 per barrel, whereas in the
UK, $140 per barrel, bringing the selling price of gasoline close to $200 per barrel.
25