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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Introduction
W PATTERN
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INTRODUCTION
Trading stocks is one of the most rewarding careers of my life. The path to my successful
trading was not without pitfalls and disappointments. Along the way, I learned to
persevere and pay attention to my mistakes and take action to fix them. I started to earn
profits consistently when I developed a disciplined approach to my trading. This included
designing trade plans for every trade and making changes to my trading approach based
on my notes and observations about my habits and practices.
Before I could design a trade plan, it was imperative that I develop the skill to recognize
price patterns that produced the highest probability of success. A big part of this process
is that I spent many weeks if not months flipping through thousands of stock charts
making note of patterns and how price behaved around these patterns. After studying
these patterns and choosing the ones with the highest probability of success, I focused on
being able to quickly recognize these patterns. Once I thoroughly studied the patterns, I
then developed a trade plan for each of them.
This book provides a framework for the W pattern. The framework will help you to
recognize the pattern and give you a trade plan for each pattern so that you can build
confidence in trading them.
When starting out with new trading strategies it is best to stick with a basic approach.
Once you have mastered the basics, then you can feel free to modify your approach based
on your experiences. There is no one way of trading. Period! We all have to start with a
framework and a basis to develop a disciplined trading approach and then build from
there. That is what this book provides.
I am excited to share the fruits of my labor and provide you with a solid framework to
trading the W pattern.
If you have questions on material in this book or need help with your trading, please feel
free to contact me at Rick@hitandruncandlesticks.com . If you are looking for a
supportive community of active successful traders consider joining my online stock
trading room. You can sign up for a 2 week trial to see if it is right for you. Go to
www.hitandruncandlesticks.com for more information.
Best Wishes on Your Road to Success,
Rick Saddler
www.hitandruncandlesticks.com
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
CHAPTER 5 - W PATTERNS
The W Pattern is usually a bullish reversal pattern. This means that price is in a
downtrend prior to the W Pattern. The W Pattern forms when buyers and sellers negotiate
price so price moves up and down and price stops moving lower. Price then breaks out of
the zigzag pattern called the W and an uptrend begins. The W Pattern is not considered
complete until price breaks out of the W.
W Patterns Visual
There are three common types of W Patterns as shown in Example 5-1
1. Left and Right side of the W have approximately the same lows. This is a strong W
Pattern in that sellers took price down to a low forming the Left side of the W and sellers
took price down a second time to form the Right side of the W. The fact that sellers could
not break the Left side lows indicates that buying pressure is building.
2. Left side of W has a higher low than the Right side of the W. This is the weakest W
pattern in that sellers took price down to a low forming the Left side of the W and sellers
took price down a second time breaking the lows established by the Left side of the W
Rick Saddler Trading for Profits, LLC
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
before forming the Right side of the W. Buyers are not strong enough to hold the lows
established by the Left side. With this W pattern a pullback from the top of the W is more
likely than with the Ws in 1 and 3.
3. Left side of the W has a lower low than the Right side of the W. This is the
strongest W pattern in that sellers took price down to a low forming the Left side of the W
and sellers took price down a second time but could not bring price down to the lows of
the Left side of the W. A higher low forms the Right side of the W. The fact that sellers
could not break the Left side lows and the fact that a higher low is formed indicates
strong buying pressure.
Four Phases to the W Pattern
There are four phases to the W Pattern.
1. Downtrend - Price is in a definable downtrend. The longer the downtrend, the more
powerful the W pattern and the higher the profit potential.
2. Left Side of W - The Left side of the W forms when price finds support and rallies.
3. Right Side of W - The Right side of the W forms when price drops from a resistance
area after forming the Left side of the W, falls to a support area and then rallies back to
the resistance level.
4. Breakout - The W Pattern is not complete until price breaks and closes above the
resistance level
W Patterns on a Chart
Example 5-2 ACI on the next page shows a W Pattern on a daily stock chart. The four
phases are displayed on the chart.
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Example 5-2 - Arch Coal, Inc. (ACI)
1. Downtrend - ACI is in a downtrend from the beginning of July 2015 until the
beginning of August 2015.
2. Left Side of W - Price finds support around $1 where price forms a bullish piercing
candlestick formation and rallies to a resistance level around $2.13.
3. Right Side of W - Price tests the resistance level and forms a bearish engulfing
candlestick formation and falls to find support around $1.25. Notice that the Right side of
the W is higher than the Left side of the W. This is the strongest W pattern.
4. Breakout - Price rallies off of the $1.25 support level, it forms a bullish morningstar
candlestick formation and then rallies to the resistance level. Price breaks and closes
above the Resistance Level. The W Pattern is now complete.
Trading the W Pattern
The trade plan for every W pattern is the same. The key is to wait until the W Pattern is
complete before entering a trade. Watching the Resistance Level for a breakout is the
trigger for entering a trade.
In terms of Entry, Stop Loss and Exit here is a trade plan.
Entry - Enter a partial or full position on Day 1 on a close above the Resistance Level.
The alternative entry is to enter a full position on Day 2 if price opens above the close of
Day 1.
Stop Loss - Place a hard stop below the Resistance Level. Consider placing a hard
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
stop below the candlestick that touched the Resistance Level for the first time.
Exit - Exit the trade when you see candlestick sell signals near a resistance area. For the
resistance area look at price action during the downtrend and draw resistance lines or
boxes at pivot points or price levels where price sold off. To do this look for places where
price consolidated and then broke down. Consolidation patterns are flags, pennants and
boxes. Another exit can be when the trade produces a profit of a certain dollar amount or
percentage.
The Trade Plan for ACI
Example 5-3 - Arch Coal, Inc. (ACI)
1. Entry - Enter a partial or full position on Day 1 near the close (price entry around
$2.20-$2.28) Notice that price gaps above the Resistance Level and forms a hammer
candlestick. This is a bullish signal. Another entry is to enter a full position on Day 2 at
the open (price entry around $2.60-$2.80) since price opened higher than the close on
Day 1. If a partial position was entered on Day 1, consider adding to the position on
Day 2.
2. Stop Loss - Enter a hard stop below the Resistance Level. In this case, the hard
stop is below the close of the first candlestick to touch the Resistance Level (Stop price
around $1.66). Each trader needs to evaluate the amount of risk at this stop level. If there
is more risk than the trader can handle, move on to another trade or raise the stop price to
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
a level that meets the traders tolerance for risk. Consider raising the stop on Day 2 to
protect capital. A place to raise the stop could be just below the close of the Day 1
candlestick which is also below the Resistance Line. This stop level should be
considered if the trade is entered on Day 2.
3. Exit - Exit the trade when candlestick sell signals appear around a resistance area.
Some common candlestick sell signals are bearish engulf, shooting star and evening star.
Refer to the Appendix at the end of this eBook for examples of bearish candlestick
patterns. In this trade, there were no bearish candlestick sell signals as price approached
Resistance Areas 1 and 2. We all know that price does not go up forever so in this case
a trader considers exiting the trade at a certain dollar amount or percentage gain in profits.
Taking profits around the $4 level produces a profit of around 35% - 45% depending on
the entry price. Remember you can always enter the trade again using a different trade
strategy.
W Patterns that Fail
As with any pattern, there are times when the W Pattern fails. This means that price
comes close to the Resistance Level and does not break up through it or breaks up
through the Resistance Level and then moves back down through it and the downtrend
resumes. If traders follow the rules for entry and have hard stops, they avoid entering a
losing trade or limit losses. Example 5-4 shows a failed W Pattern.
See Example 5-4 on the next page.
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
Example 5-4 - Arch Coal, Inc (ACI) W Pattern Failure
For ACI in Example 5-4, it looks like a W Pattern is forming but price fails to breakout
above the Resistance Level. Traders who waited for the breakout before starting a long
entry, stayed out of a losing trade. You can see why it is so important to follow the trade
plan for this pattern.
When trading the second W Pattern on the long side, where the Right side of the W is
lower than the Left side, be aware that price has the highest probability to pull back.
Since the Right side is lower than the Left side, price has to travel a longer distance to get
to the Resistance Level than with the other two patterns and sellers may be waiting at the
Resistance Level to take profits. If you follow the rules outlined in the trade plan for this
pattern, you protect yourself from a losing trade or limit your losses.
Another way to look at the second W Pattern is to trade it as a failed W pattern. This
means that instead of waiting for a breakout above the Resistance Level, traders wait
for a breakdown below the Support Level to enter a short trade. The rules for this trade
are the same as for the M Pattern.
Looking at ACI again, Example 5-5 below shows a Short Entry Box just below the
Support Level. The Short Entry Box outlines a price area where traders can enter a short
trade. The hard stop for this trade would be somewhere above the Support Level.
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Example 5-5 - Arch Coal, Inc (ACI) Failed W Pattern - Short Entry
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1. Downtrend - Price is in a definable downtrend. The longer the downtrend, the
more powerful the W pattern and the higher the profit potential.
2. Left Side of W - The Left side of the W forms when price finds support
and rallies.
3. Right Side of W - The Right side of the W forms when price drops
from a resistance area after forming the Left side of the W, falls to a support
area and then rallies back to the resistance level.
4. Breakout - The W Pattern is not complete until price breaks and closes above the
resistance level
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
This exercise is to help you recognize the pattern when you see it. Focus on the boxed
in area to see the pattern. As part of your own exercise, draw a box around patterns that
you see when flipping through charts. Keep a file of these charts for later study.
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
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APPENDIX 1
Train the Eye Exercise
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APPENDIX 2
Bullish Candlestick Signals and Patterns
Doji
Spinning Top
Kicker
Morning Star
Dragonfly Doji
Belt-hold
Doji Sandwich
Hammer
Harami
Piercing Candle
Tweezer Bottom
Engulf
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APPENDIX 2
Bearish Candlestick Signals and Patterns
Gravestone Doji
Engulf
Belt-hold
Evening Star
Doji Sandwich
Kicker
Hangman
Shooting Star
Tweezer Top
Harami
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APPENDIX 3
Bullish and Bearish Candlestick Signals and Patterns
Remember that candlestick patterns and signals need confirmation before taking action.
This means that if you see a bullish candlestick signal or pattern, look for bullish price
action the next day. This bullish price action can be a higher open or close the next day. If
you see a bearish candlestick signal or pattern, look for bearish price action the next day.
This bearish price action can be a lower open or close the next day.
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