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Part4

RiskandtheRequiredRateofReturn
ChaptersinthisPart
Chapter8

RiskandReturn

Chapter9

TheCostofCapital

Integrative Case 4: Eco Plastics Company

Chapter8
RiskandReturn
Instructors Resources

Overview

Thischapterfocusesonthefundamentalsoftheriskandreturnrelationshipofassetsandtheirvaluation.
Forthesingleassetheldinisolation,riskismeasuredwiththeprobabilitydistributionanditsassociated
statistics:themean,thestandarddeviation,andthecoefficientofvariation.Theconceptofdiversification
isexaminedbymeasuringtheriskofaportfolioofassetsthatareperfectlypositivelycorrelated,perfectly
negativelycorrelated,andthosethatareuncorrelated.Next,thechapterlooksatinternationaldiversification
anditseffectonrisk.TheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)isthenpresentedasavaluationtoolfor

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Chapter8RiskandReturn145

securitiesandasageneralexplanationoftheriskreturntradeoffinvolvedinalltypesoffinancial
transactions.Chapter8highlightstheimportanceofunderstandingtherelationshipofriskandreturn
whenmakingprofessionalandpersonaldecisions.

Suggested Answer to Opener in Review Question


FortheCloseFundandtheFTSE,calculatetheaverageannualreturnanditsstandarddeviation.
Whatarethegeneralpatternsthatyousee?ProvideonereasonwhytheperformanceoftheFTSE
differsfromthatoftheCloseFund.

TheCloseFundsaveragewas61.6%anditsstandarddeviationis162.6%.TheFTSEaveragereturnwas
2.2%,anditsstandarddeviationis26.8%.TheFTSEhasaloweraveragereturnandlessvolatilitythan
theCloseFund.Theprimaryreasonforthedifferenceisthatsmallstocks(whichiswhattheCloseFund
investsin)generallyhavehigherreturnsandgreaterriskthanlargestocks(whicharetrackedbytheFTSE).
Althoughnotdirectlyaskedforintheproblem,itisusefultopointoutthemisinformationarisingfromusing
arithmeticmeanreturns.Themeanreturnisthesumofaseriesofnumbersdividedbythenumberofvalues,
andisappropriatewhenvaluesareindependentevents,suchastheaveragetestscoreinaclassroom.In
investmentreturns,thevaluesarenotindependentofeachother.Ifyouloseatonofmoneyoneyear,you
havemuchlesstoinvestthefollowingyear.Hence,thegeometricreturnisabettermeasureofthereturn
neededtoequateyourcashinflowsandoutflows.Specifically,thegeometricmeanreturnsforthesethree
yearsare12.1%fortheCloseFundand4.9%fortheFTSE.

Answers to Review Questions


1. Riskisdefinedasthechanceoffinancialloss,asmeasuredbythevariabilityofexpectedreturns
associatedwithagivenasset.Adecisionmakershouldevaluateaninvestmentbymeasuringthe
chanceofloss,orrisk,andcomparingtheexpectedrisktotheexpectedreturn.Someassetsare
consideredriskfree;themostcommonexamplesareU.S.Treasuryissues.

2. Thereturnonaninvestment(totalgainorloss)isthechangeinvalueplusanycashdistributionsover
adefinedtimeperiod.Itisexpressedasapercentofthebeginningoftheperiodinvestment.The
formulais:

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Chapter8RiskandReturn146

Return

[(endingvalue initialvalue) cashdistribution]


initialvalue

Realizedreturnrequirestheassettobepurchasedandsoldduringthetimeperiodsthereturnis
measured.Unrealizedreturnisthereturnthatcouldhavebeenrealizediftheassethadbeen
purchasedandsoldduringthetimeperiodthereturnwasmeasured.

3. a.

Theriskaversefinancialmanagerrequiresanincreaseinreturnforagivenincreaseinrisk.

b. Theriskneutralmanagerrequiresnochangeinreturnforanincreaseinrisk.
c.

Theriskseekingmanageracceptsadecreaseinreturnforagivenincreaseinrisk.

Mostfinancialmanagersareriskaverse.

4. Scenarioanalysisevaluatesassetriskbyusingmorethanonepossiblesetofreturnstoobtainasense
ofthevariabilityofoutcomes.Therangeisfoundbysubtractingthepessimisticoutcomefromthe
optimisticoutcome.Thelargertherange,thegreatertheriskassociatedwiththeasset.
5. Thedecisionmakercangetanestimateofprojectriskbyviewingaplotoftheprobabilitydistribution,
whichrelatesprobabilitiestoexpectedreturnsandshowsthedegreeofdispersionofreturns.The
morespreadoutthedistribution,thegreaterthevariabilityorriskassociatedwiththereturnstream.
6. Thestandarddeviationofadistributionofassetreturnsisanabsolutemeasureofdispersionofrisk
aroundthemeanorexpectedvalue.Ahigherstandarddeviationindicatesagreaterprojectrisk.
Withalargerstandarddeviation,thedistributionismoredispersedandtheoutcomeshaveahigher
variability,resultinginhigherrisk.
7. Thecoefficientofvariationisanotherindicatorofassetrisk;however,thismeasuresrelativedispersion.
Itiscalculatedbydividingthestandarddeviationbytheexpectedvalue.Thecoefficientofvariation
indicateshowvolatileanassetsreturnsarerelativetoitsaverageorexpectedreturn.Therefore,the
coefficientofvariationisabetterbasisthanthestandarddeviationforcomparingriskofassetswith
differingexpectedreturns.
8. Anefficientportfolioisonethatmaximizesreturnforagivenrisklevelorminimizesriskforagiven
levelofreturn.Returnofaportfolioistheweightedaverageofreturnsontheindividualcomponent
assets:
n

rp w j rj
j 1

where:

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n numberofassets
wj weightofindividualassets
^rjexpectedreturns

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Chapter8RiskandReturn148

Thestandarddeviationofaportfolioisnottheweightedaverageofcomponentstandarddeviations;
theriskoftheportfolioasmeasuredbythestandarddeviationwillbesmaller.Itiscalculatedby
applyingthestandarddeviationformulatotheportfolioassets:

rp

(ri r )2

i 1 ( n 1)
n

9. Thecorrelationbetweenassetreturnsisimportantwhenevaluatingtheeffectofanewassetonthe
portfoliosoverallrisk.Returnsondifferentassetsmovinginthesamedirectionarepositively
correlated,whilethosemovinginoppositedirectionsarenegativelycorrelated.Assetswithhigh
positivecorrelationincreasethevariabilityofportfolioreturns;assetswithhighnegativecorrelation
reducethevariabilityofportfolioreturns.Whennegativelycorrelatedassetsarebroughttogether
throughdiversification,thevariabilityoftheexpectedreturnfromtheresultingcombinationcanbe
lessthanthevariabilityorriskoftheindividualassets.Whenoneassethashighreturns,theothers
returnsarelowandviceversa.Therefore,theresultofdiversificationistoreduceriskbyprovidinga
patternofstablereturns.
Diversificationofriskintheassetselectionprocessallowstheinvestortoreduceoverallriskby
combiningnegativelycorrelatedassetssothattheriskoftheportfolioislessthantheriskofthe
individualassetsinit.Evenifassetsarenotnegativelycorrelated,thelowerthepositivecorrelation
betweenthem,thelowertheirresultingportfolioreturnvariability.

10. Theinclusionofforeignassetsinadomesticcompanysportfolioreducesriskfortworeasons.When
returnsfromforeigncurrencydenominatedassetsaretranslatedintodollars,thecorrelationofreturns
oftheportfoliosassetsisreduced.Also,iftheforeignassetsareincountriesthatarelesssensitiveto
theU.S.businesscycle,theportfoliosresponsetomarketmovementsisreduced.
Whenthedollarappreciatesrelativetoothercurrencies,thedollarvalueofaforeigncurrency
denominatedportfoliodeclinesandresultsinlowerreturnsindollarterms.Ifthisappreciationisdue
tobetterperformanceoftheU.S.economy,foreigncurrencydenominatedportfoliosgenerallyhave
lowerreturnsinlocalcurrencyaswell,furthercontributingtoreducedreturns.

Politicalrisksresultfrompossibleactionsbythehostgovernmentthatareharmfultoforeign
investorsorpossiblepoliticalinstabilitythatcouldendangerforeignassets.Thisformofriskis
particularlyhighindevelopingcountries.Companiesdiversifyinginternationallymayhaveassets
seizedorthereturnofprofitsblocked.

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11. Thetotalriskofasecurityisthecombinationofnondiversifiableriskanddiversifiablerisk.
Diversifiableriskreferstotheportionofanassetsriskattributabletofirmspecific,randomevents
(strikes,litigation,lossofkeycontracts,etc.)thatcanbeeliminatedbydiversification.
Nondiversifiableriskisattributabletomarketfactorsaffectingallfirms(war,inflation,political
events,etc.).Somearguethatnondiversifiableriskistheonlyrelevantriskbecausediversifiablerisk
canbeeliminatedbycreatingaportfolioofassetsthatarenotperfectlypositivelycorrelated.
12. Betameasuresnondiversifiablerisk.Itisanindexofthedegreeofmovementofanassetsreturnin
responsetoachangeinthemarketreturn.Thebetacoefficientforanassetcanbefoundbyplotting
theassetshistoricalreturnsrelativetothereturnsforthemarket.Byusingstatisticaltechniques,the
characteristiclineisfittothedatapoints.Theslopeofthislineisbeta.Betacoefficientsfor
activelytradedstocksarepublishedintheValueLineInvestmentSurvey,inbrokeragereports,and
severalonlinesites.Thebetaofaportfolioiscalculatedbyfindingtheweightedaverageofthebetas
oftheindividualcomponentassets.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn150

13. Theequationforthecapitalassetpricingmodelis:

rjRF[bj(rmRF)],
where:
rj therequired(orexpected)returnonassetj
RF therateofreturnrequiredonariskfreesecurity(aU.S.Treasurybill)
bj thebetacoefficientorindexofnondiversifiable(relevant)riskforassetj
rm therequiredreturnonthemarketportfolioofassets(themarketreturn)
Thesecuritymarketline(SML)isagraphicalpresentationoftherelationshipbetweentheamountof
systematicriskassociatedwithanassetandtherequiredreturn.Systematicriskismeasuredbybeta
andisonthehorizontalaxis,whiletherequiredreturnisontheverticalaxis.
14. a.

Ifthereisanincreaseininflationaryexpectations,thesecuritymarketlinewillshowaparallel
shiftupwardinanamountequaltotheexpectedincreaseininflation.Therequiredreturnfora
givenlevelofriskwillalsorise.

b. TheslopeoftheSML(thebetacoefficient)willbelesssteepifinvestorsbecomelessrisk
averse,andalowerlevelofreturnwillberequiredforeachlevelofrisk.

Suggested Answer to Global Focus Box:


An International Flavor to Risk Reduction
Internationalmutualfundsdonotincludeanydomesticassets,whereasglobalmutualfundsinclude
bothforeignanddomesticassets.HowmightthisdifferenceaffecttheircorrelationwithU.S.equity
mutualfunds?

Thedifferencebetweenglobalfundsandinternationalfundsisthatglobalfundscaninvestinstocksand
bondsaroundtheworld,includingU.S.securities,whereasinternationalfundsinvestinstocksandbonds
aroundtheworldbutnotU.Ssecurities.Therefore,globalfundsaremorelikelytobecorrelatedwithU.S.
equitymutualfunds,sinceasignificantportionoftheirportfoliosarelikelytobeU.S.equities.Aninvestor
seekingincreasedinternationaldiversificationinaportfolioshouldconsiderinternationalfundsoverglobal
fundsorincreasetheportionoftheportfoliodevotedtoglobalfundsifseekingdiversificationthrough
globalfunds.

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Suggested Answer to Focus on Ethics Box:


If it Sounds Too Good to be True Then it Probably is
Whataresomehazardsofallowinginvestorstopursueclaimsbasedontheirmostrecentaccounts
statements?

Allowingclaimsbasedonfraudulentstatementsreducesinvestorsincentivetoperformduediligence.If
investorsareallowedtoprofitfromfraudengineeredbytheirinvestmentmanager,becomingavictim
offraudcouldbecomeadesiredoutcome,asinvestorsprimaryincentivewouldbetosecurethelargest
possiblereturn,legitimateornot.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn152

Answers to Warm-Up Exercises

E81.

Totalannualreturn

Answer: ($0$12,000$10,000)$10,000$2,000$10,00020%

Logistics,Inc.doubledtheannualrateofreturnpredictedbytheanalyst.Thenegativenet
incomeisirrelevanttotheproblem.
E82.

Expectedreturn

Answer:
Analyst
1
2
3
4
Total
E83.

Probability

Return

0.35
0.05
0.20
0.40
1.00

5%
5%
10%
3%
Expectedreturn

WeightedValue
1.75%
0.25%
2.0%
1.2%
4.70%

Comparingtheriskoftwoinvestments

Answer: CV10.100.150.6667 CV20.050.120.4167

Basedsolelyonstandarddeviations,Investment2haslowerriskthanInvestment1.Basedon
coefficientsofvariation,Investment2isstilllessriskythanInvestment1.Sincethetwo
investmentshavedifferentexpectedreturns,usingthecoefficientofvariationtoassessriskis
betterthansimplycomparingstandarddeviationsbecausethecoefficientofvariationconsiders
therelativesizeoftheexpectedreturnsofeachinvestment.
E84.

Computingtheexpectedreturnofaportfolio

Answer: rp(0.450.038)(0.40.123)(0.150.174)

(0.0171)(0.0492)(0.02610.09249.24%

Theportfolioisexpectedtohaveareturnofapproximately9.2%.

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E85.

Calculatingaportfoliobeta

Answer:

Beta(0.201.15)(0.100.85)(0.151.60)(0.201.35)(0.351.85)

0.23000.08500.24000.27000.64751.4725

E86.

Calculatingtherequiredrateofreturn

Answer:

a. Requiredreturn0.051.8(0.100.05)0.050.090.14

b. Requiredreturn0.051.8(0.130.05)0.050.1440.194

c.

Althoughtheriskfreeratedoesnotchange,asthemarketreturnincreases,therequired
returnontheassetrisesby180%ofthechangeinthemarketsreturn.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn154

Solutions to Problems

rt =
P81.

(Pt Pt 1 Ct )
Pt1

Rateofreturn:

LG1;Basic

a.

($21,000 $20,000 $1,500)


12.50%
$20,000

($55,000 $55,000 $6,800)


12.36%
$55,000

InvestmentX:Return

InvestmentY:Return
b. InvestmentXshouldbeselectedbecauseithasahigherrateofreturnforthesamelevel
ofrisk.

rt =
P82.

(Pt Pt 1 Ct )
Pt1

Returncalculations:

LG1;Basic
Investment

P83.

Calculation

rt(%)

($1,100$800$100)$800

25.00

($118,000$120,000$15,000)$120,000

10.83

($48,000$45,000$7,000)$45,000

22.22

($500$600$80)$600

3.33

($12,400$12,500$1,500)$12,500

11.20

Riskpreferences

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LG1;Intermediate
a.

TheriskneutralmanagerwouldacceptInvestmentsXandYbecausethesehavehigher
returnsthanthe12%requiredreturnandtheriskdoesntmatter.

b. TheriskaversemanagerwouldacceptInvestmentXbecauseitprovidesthehighestreturn
andhasthelowestamountofrisk.InvestmentXoffersanincreaseinreturnfortakingon
moreriskthanwhatthefirmcurrentlyearns.
c.

TheriskseekingmanagerwouldacceptInvestmentsYandZbecauseheorsheiswillingto
takegreaterriskwithoutanincreaseinreturn.

d. Traditionally,financialmanagersareriskaverseandwouldchooseInvestmentX,sinceit
providestherequiredincreaseinreturnforanincreaseinrisk.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn156

P84.

Riskanalysis

LG2;Intermediate
a.
Expansion

Range

24%16%8%

30%10%20%

b. ProjectAislessrisky,sincetherangeofoutcomesforAissmallerthantherangefor
ProjectB.

c.

Sincethemostlikelyreturnforbothprojectsis20%andtheinitialinvestmentsareequal,the
answerdependsonyourriskpreference.

d. Theanswerisnolongerclear,sinceitnowinvolvesariskreturntradeoff.ProjectBhasa
slightlyhigherreturnbutmorerisk,whileAhasbothlowerreturnandlowerrisk.
P85.

Riskandprobability

LG2;Intermediate

a.
Camera

Range

30%20%10%

35%15%20%

b.
Possible
Outcomes

Probability

ExpectedReturn

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Weighted

157Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

CameraR

CameraS

c.

Pri

ri

Value(%)(riPri)

Pessimistic

0.25

20

5.00%

Mostlikely

0.50

25

12.50%

Optimistic

0.25

30

7.50%

1.00

Expectedreturn

25.00%

Pessimistic

0.20

15

3.00%

Mostlikely

0.55

25

13.75%

Optimistic

0.25

35

8.75%

1.00

Expectedreturn

25.50%

CameraSisconsideredmoreriskythanCameraRbecauseithasamuchbroaderrangeof
outcomes.TheriskreturntradeoffispresentbecauseCameraSismoreriskyandalso
providesahigherreturnthanCameraR.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn158

P86.

Barchartsandrisk

LG2;Intermediate

a.

b.

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Market
Acceptance

LineJ

Probability
Pri

WeightedValue
(riPri)

VeryPoor

0.05

0.0075

0.000375

Poor

0.15

0.0125

0.001875

Average

0.60

0.0850

0.051000

Good

0.15

0.1475

0.022125

Excellent

0.05

0.1625

0.008125

1.00
LineK

ExpectedReturn
ri

VeryPoor

0.05

Expectedreturn
0.010

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0.083500
0.000500

Chapter8RiskandReturn160

Poor

0.15

0.025

0.003750

Average

0.60

0.080

0.048000

Good

0.15

0.135

0.020250

Excellent

0.05

0.150

0.007500

1.00
c.

0.080000

LineKappearslessriskyduetoaslightlytighterdistributionthanlineJ,indicatingalower
rangeofoutcomes.

CV
P87.

Expectedreturn

r
r

Coefficientofvariation:

LG2;Basic

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a.

CVA

7%
0.3500
20%

CVB

9.5%
0.4318
22%

CVC

6%
0.3158
19%

CVD

5.5%
0.3438
16%

b. AssetChasthelowestcoefficientofvariationandistheleastriskyrelativetotheotherchoices.
P88.

Standarddeviationversuscoefficientofvariationasmeasuresofrisk

LG2;Basic
a.

ProjectAisleastriskybasedonrangewithavalueof0.04.

b. Thestandarddeviationmeasurefailstotakeintoaccountboththevolatilityandthereturnof
theinvestment.Investorswouldpreferhigherreturnbutlessvolatility,andthecoefficientof
variationprovicesameasurethattakesintoaccountbothaspectsofinvestorspreferences.
ProjectDhasthelowestCV,soitistheleastriskyinvestmentrelativetothereturnprovided.

c.

CVA

0.029
0.2417
0.12

CVB

0.032
0.2560
0.125

CVC

0.035
0.2692
0.13

CVD

0.030
0.2344
0.128

InthiscaseProjectDisthebestalternativesinceitprovidestheleastamountofriskforeach
percentofreturnearned.Coefficientofvariationisprobablythebestmeasureinthisinstance
sinceitprovidesastandardizedmethodofmeasuringtheriskreturntradeoffforinvestments
withdifferingreturns.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn162

P89.

Personalfinance:Rateofreturn,standarddeviation,coefficientofvariation

LG2;Challenge

a.

StockPrice

Variance

Year

Beginnin
g

End

2009

14.36

21.55

50.07%

0.0495

2010

21.55

64.78

200.60%

1.6459

2011

64.78

72.38

11.73%

0.3670

2012

72.38

91.80

26.83%

0.2068

Returns

(ReturnAverageReturn)2

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b.
c.

Averagereturn
Sumofvariances

72.31%
2.2692
3

Sampledivisor(n1)

0.7564

Variance

86.97%
d.
e.

1.20

Standarddeviation
Coefficientofvariation

ThestockpriceofHiTech,Inc.hasdefinitelygonethroughsomemajorpricechanges
overthistimeperiod.Itwouldhavetobeclassifiedasavolatilesecurityhavingan
upwardpricetrendoverthepast4years.NotehowcomparingsecuritiesonaCVbasis
allowstheinvestortoputthestockinproperperspective.Thestockisriskierthanwhat
MikenormallybuysbutifhebelievesthatHiTech,Inc.willcontinuetorisethenhe
shouldincludeit.Thecoefficientofvariation,however,isgreaterthanthe0.90target.

P810. Assessingreturnandrisk

LG2;Challenge
a.

Project257
(1) Range:1.00(.10)1.10
n

r ri Pri
i =1

(2) Expectedreturn:
ExpectedReturn
n

r ri Pri
i1

RateofReturn

Probability

WeightedValue

ri

Pr i

ri Pr i

.10

0.01

0.001

0.10

0.04

0.004

0.20

0.05

0.010

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Chapter8RiskandReturn164

0.30

0.10

0.030

0.40

0.15

0.060

0.45

0.30

0.135

0.50

0.15

0.075

0.60

0.10

0.060

0.70

0.05

0.035

0.80

0.04

0.032

1.00

0.01

0.010

1.00

(r r )
i 1

0.450
2

Pri

(3) Standarddeviation:
ri

ri r

( ri r )

Pr i
2

( ri r )

Pr i

0.10

0.450

0.550

0.3025

0.01

0.003025

0.10

0.450

0.350

0.1225

0.04

0.004900

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0.20

0.450

0.250

0.0625

0.05

0.003125

0.30

0.450

0.150

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.40

0.450

0.050

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.45

0.450

0.000

0.0000

0.30

0.000000

0.50

0.450

0.050

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.60

0.450

0.150

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.70

0.450

0.250

0.0625

0.05

0.003125

0.80

0.450

0.350

0.1225

0.04

0.004900

1.00

0.450

0.550

0.3025

0.01

0.003025

0.027350

Project 257 0.027350 0.165378


CV
(4)

0.165378
0.3675
0.450

Project432
(1) Range:0.500.100.40

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Chapter8RiskandReturn166
n

r ri Pri
i 1

(2) Expectedreturn:
ExpectedReturn

RateofReturn
ri

Probability
Pr i

WeightedValue

0.10

0.05

0.0050

0.15

0.10

0.0150

0.20

0.10

0.0200

0.25

0.15

0.0375

0.30

0.20

0.0600

0.35

0.15

0.0525

0.40

0.10

0.0400

0.45

0.10

0.0450

0.50

0.05

0.0250

r ri Pri
i =1

ri Pri

1.00

0.300
n

(r r )
i 1

Pri

(3) Standarddeviation:
ri

ri r

( ri r )2

Pri

( ri r )2 Pri

0.10

0.300

0.20

0.0400

0.05

0.002000

0.15

0.300

0.15

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

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0.20

0.300

0.10

0.0100

0.10

0.001000

0.25

0.300

0.05

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.30

0.300

0.00

0.0000

0.20

0.000000

0.35

0.300

0.05

0.0025

0.15

0.000375

0.40

0.300

0.10

0.0100

0.10

0.001000

0.45

0.300

0.15

0.0225

0.10

0.002250

0.50

0.300

0.20

0.0400

0.05

0.002000

0.011250

Project432
CV
(4)

0.011250

0.106066

0.106066
0.3536
0.300

b. BarCharts

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Chapter8RiskandReturn168

c.

Summarystatistics

Range

(r )

Project257

Project432

1.100

0.400

0.450

0.300

0.165

0.106

0.3675

0.3536

Expectedreturn
( r )

Standarddeviation

Coefficientofvariation(CV)

SinceProjects257and432havedifferingexpectedvalues,thecoefficientofvariationshould
bethecriterionbywhichtheriskoftheassetisjudged.SinceProject432hasasmallerCV,it
istheopportunitywithlowerrisk.

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P811. Integrativeexpectedreturn,standarddeviation,andcoefficientofvariation

LG2;Challenge

r ri Pri
i 1

a.

Expectedreturn:
ExpectedReturn

AssetF

RateofReturn
ri

Probability
Pr i

WeightedValue

0.40

0.10

0.04

0.10

0.20

0.02

0.00

0.40

0.00

0.05

0.20

0.01

0.10

0.10

0.01

ri Pri

r ri Pri
i 1

0.04

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Chapter8RiskandReturn170

Continued
AssetG

0.35

0.40

0.14

0.10

0.30

0.03

0.20

0.30

0.06

0.11

AssetH

0.40

0.10

0.04

0.20

0.20

0.04

0.10

0.40

0.04

0.00

0.20

0.00

0.20

0.10

0.02

0.10
AssetGprovidesthelargestexpectedreturn.

(r r )
i 1

xPri

b. Standarddeviation:
ri r

( ri r )

Pr i

AssetF

0.40 0.04 0.36

0.1296

0.10

0.01296

0.10 0.04 0.06

0.0036

0.20

0.00072

0.00 0.040.04

0.0016

0.40

0.00064

0.05 0.040.09

0.0081

0.20

0.00162

0.10 0.040.14

0.0196

0.10

0.00196

0.01790

0.1338

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171Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

0.35 0.11 .24

0.0576

0.40

0.02304

0.10 0.110.01

0.0001

0.30

0.00003

0.20 0.110.31

0.0961

0.30

0.02883

0.05190

0.2278

AssetG

0.40 0.10 .30

0.0900

0.10

0.009

0.20 0.10 .10

0.0100

0.20

0.002

0.10 0.10 0.00

0.0000

0.40

0.000

0.00 0.100.10

0.0100

0.20

0.002

0.20 0.100.30

0.0900

0.10

0.009

0.022

0.1483

AssetH

Basedonstandarddeviation,AssetGappearstohavethegreatestrisk,butitmustbe
measuredagainstitsexpectedreturnwiththestatisticalmeasurecoefficientofvariation,since
thethreeassetshavedifferingexpectedvalues.Anincorrectconclusionabouttheriskofthe
assetscouldbedrawnusingonlythestandarddeviation.

Coefficientofvariation =

standarddeviation( )
expectedvalue

c.

CV

0.1338
3.345
0.04

CV

0.2278
2.071
0.11

CV

0.1483
1.483
0.10

AssetF:

AssetG:

AssetH:

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Chapter8RiskandReturn172

Asmeasuredbythecoefficientofvariation,AssetFhasthelargestrelativerisk.
P812. Normalprobabilitydistribution

LG2;Challenge

r r
a.

Coefficientofvariation:CV
Solvingforstandarddeviation: 0.75r0.189

r0.750.1890.14175
b. (1) 68%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween1standarddeviationfromtheexpectedvalue:
1 0.189 0.14175 0.33075
1 0.189 0.14175 0.04725
(2) 95%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween2standarddeviationsfromtheexpectedvalue:
2 0.189 (2 0.14175) 0.4725
2 0.189 (2 0.14175) 0.0945
(3) 99%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween3standarddeviationsfromtheexpectedvalue:
3 0.189 (3 0.14175) 0.61425
3 0.189 (3 0.14175) 0.23625
c.

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173Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

P813. Personalfinance:Portfolioreturnandstandarddeviation

LG3;Challenge

a.

Expectedportfolioreturnforeachyear:rp(wLrL)(wMrM)
Expected

Return
AssetM

AssetL
Year

(wLrL)

2013

(14%0.405.6%)

(20%0.6012.0%)

17.6%

2014

(14%0.405.6%)

(18%0.6010.8%)

16.4%

2015

(16%0.406.4%)

(16%0.609.6%)

16.0%

2016

(17%0.406.8%)

(14%0.608.4%)

15.2%

2017

(17%0.406.8%)

(12%0.607.2%)

14.0%

2018

(19%0.407.6%)

(10%0.606.0%)

13.6%

rp

b. Portfolioreturn:

rp

j 1

(wMrM)

PortfolioReturn
rp

rj

17.6 16.4 16.0 15.2 14.0 13.6


15.467 15.5%
6

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn174

rp
c.

(ri r )2
i 1 ( n 1)
n

Standarddeviation:

(17.6% 15.5%)2 (16.4% 15.5%)2 (16.0% 15.5%)2

(15.2% 15.5%)2 (14.0% 15.5%)2 (13.6% 15.5%)2

rp
6 1
(2.1%)2 (0.9%)2 (0.5%)2

2
2
2
(0.3%) (1.5%) (1.9%)
rp
5

rp

(.000441 0.000081 0.000025 0.000009 0.000225 0.000361)


5

rp

0.001142
0.000228% 0.0151 1.51%
5

d. Theassetsarenegativelycorrelated.
e.

Combiningthesetwonegativelycorrelatedassetsreducesoverallportfoliorisk.

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175Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

P814. Portfolioanalysis

LG3;Challenge
a.

Expectedportfolioreturn:
Alternative1:100%AssetF
rp

16% 17% 18% 19%


17.5%
4

Alternative2:50%AssetF50%AssetG
Year

AssetF

AssetG

(wFrF)

(wGrG)

PortfolioReturn
rp

2013

(16%0.508.0%)

(17%0.508.5%)

16.5%

2014

(17%0.508.5%)

(16%0.508.0%)

16.5%

2015

(18%0.509.0%)

(15%0.507.5%)

16.5%

2016

(19%0.509.5%)

(14%0.507.0%)

16.5%

rp

16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5%


16.5%
4

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Chapter8RiskandReturn176

Alternative3:50%AssetF50%AssetH
Year

AssetF

AssetH

(wFrF)

(wHrH)

PortfolioReturn
rp

2013

(16%0.508.0%)

(14%0.507.0%)

15.0%

2014

(17%0.508.5%)

(15%0.507.5%)

16.0%

2015

(18%0.509.0%)

(16%0.508.0%)

17.0%

2016

(19%0.509.5%)

(17%0.508.5%)

18.0%

rp

15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0%


16.5%
4

rp

(ri r )2

i 1 ( n 1)
n

b. Standarddeviation:
(1)

[(16.0% 17.5%)2 (17.0% 17.5%)2 (18.0% 17.5%)2 (19.0% 17.5%)2 ]


4 1

[(1.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (1.5%)2 ]


3

(0.000225 0.000025 0.000025 0.000225)


3

0.0005
.000167 0.01291 1.291%
3

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177Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

(2)

FG

[(16.5% 16.5%)2 (16.5% 16.5%) 2 (16.5% 16.5%) 2 (16.5% 16.5%)2 ]


4 1

FG

[(0)2 (0)2 (0)2 (0)2 ]


3

FG 0
(3)

FH

[(15.0% 16.5%)2 (16.0% 16.5%) 2 (17.0% 16.5%) 2 (18.0% 16.5%)2 ]


4 1

FH

[(1.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (0.5%)2 (1.5%)2 ]


3

FH

[(0.000225 0.000025 0.000025 0.000225)]


3

FH

0.0005
0.000167 0.012910 1.291%
3

r r
c.

Coefficientofvariation:CV

CVF

1.291%
0.0738
17.5%

CVFG

0
0
16.5%

CVFH

1.291%
0.0782
16.5%

d. Summary:

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn178

rp:ExpectedValue
ofPortfolio

rp

CVp
0.0738

Alternative1(F)

17.5%

1.291%

Alternative2(FG)

16.5%

Alternative3(FH)

16.5%

1.291%

0.0

0.0782

Sincetheassetshavedifferentexpectedreturns,thecoefficientofvariationshouldbeusedto
determinethebestportfolio.Alternative3,withpositivelycorrelatedassets,hasthehighest
coefficientofvariationandthereforeistheriskiest.Alternative2isthebestchoice;itis
perfectlynegativelycorrelatedandthereforehasthelowestcoefficientofvariation.

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179Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

P815. Correlation,risk,andreturn

LG4;Intermediate
a.

(1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:between5%and10%

b. (1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%

(2) Rangeoftherisk:0risk10%
c.

(1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%

(2) Rangeoftherisk:0risk10%
P816. Personalfinance:Internationalinvestmentreturns

LG1,4;Intermediate
24,750 20,500 4,250

0.20732 20.73%
20,500
20,500
a.

Returnpesos
Purchaseprice

Priceinpesos
20.50

$2.22584 1,000shares $2,225.84


Pesosperdollar 9.21

b.
Salesprice

Priceinpesos
24.75

$2.51269 1,000shares $2,512.69


Pesosperdollar 9.85

2,512.69 2,225.84
286.85

0.12887 12.89%
2,225.84
2,225.84
c.

Returnpesos

d. Thetworeturnsdifferduetothechangeintheexchangeratebetweenthepesoandthedollar.
Thepesohaddepreciation(andthusthedollarappreciated)betweenthepurchasedateand
thesaledate,causingadecreaseintotalreturn.Theanswerinpartcisthemoreimportant
ofthetworeturnsforJoe.Aninvestorinforeignsecuritieswillcarryexchangeraterisk.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn180

P817. Total,nondiversifiable,anddiversifiablerisk

LG5;Intermediate
a.andb.

c.

Onlynondiversifiableriskisrelevantbecause,asshownbythegraph,diversifiableriskcan
bevirtuallyeliminatedthroughholdingaportfolioofatleast20securitiesthatarenotpositively
correlated.DavidTalbotsportfolio,assumingdiversifiableriskcouldnolongerbereduced
byadditionstotheportfolio,has6.47%relevantrisk.

P818. Graphicderivationofbeta

LG5;Intermediate

a.

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181Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

Beta
b. Toestimatebeta,theriseoverrunmethodcanbeused:

Rise Y

Run X

Takingthepointsshownonthegraph:
BetaA

Y 12 9 3

0.75
X 8 4 4

BetaB

Y 26 22 4

1.33
X 13 10 3

Afinancialcalculatorwithstatisticalfunctionscanbeusedtoperformlinearregression
analysis.Thebeta(slope)oflineAis0.79;oflineB,1.379.
c.

Withahigherbetaof1.33,AssetBismorerisky.Itsreturnwillmove1.33timesforeachone
pointthemarketmoves.AssetAsreturnwillmoveatalowerrate,asindicatedbyitsbeta
coefficientof0.75.

P819. Graphicalderivationandinterpretationofbeta

LG5;Intermediate

a. Withareturnrangefrom60%to60%,BiotechCures,exhibitedinPanelB,isthemore
riskystock.Returnsarewidelydispersedinthisreturnrangeregardlessofmarketconditions.
Bycomparison,thereturnsofPanelAsCyclicalIndustriesIncorporatedonlyrangefrom
about40%to40%.Thereislessdispersionofreturnswithinthisreturnrange.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn182

b. ThereturnsonCyclicalIndustriesIncorporatedsstockaremorecloselycorrelatedwith
themarketsperformance.Hence,mostofCyclicalIndustriesreturnsfitaroundtheupward
slopingleastsquaresregressionline.Bycomparison,BiotechCureshasearnedreturns
approaching60%duringaperiodwhentheoverallmarketexperiencedaloss.Evenifthe
marketisup,BiotechCureshaslostalmosthalfofitsvalueinsomeyears.

c. Onastandalonebasis,BiotechCuresCorporationisriskier.However,ifaninvestorwas
seekingtodiversifytheriskoftheircurrentportfolio,theunique,nonsystematicperformance
ofBiotechCuresCorporationmakesitagoodaddition.Otherconsiderationswouldbethe
meanreturnforboth(hereCyclicalIndustrieshasahigherreturnwhentheoverallmarket
returniszero),expectationsregardingtheoverallmarketperformance,andleveltowhichone
canusehistoricreturnstoaccuratelyforecaststockpricebehavior.

P820. Interpretingbeta

LG5;Basic
Effectofchangeinmarketreturnonassetwithbetaof1.20:
a.

1.20(15%) 18.0%increase

b. 1.20(8%) 9.6%decrease
c.

1.20(0%) nochange

d. Theassetismoreriskythanthemarketportfolio,whichhasabetaof1.Thehigherbeta
makesthereturnmovemorethanthemarket.
P821. Betas

LG5;Basic
a.andb.
Asset

Beta

Increasein
MarketReturn

0.50

0.10

ExpectedImpact
onAssetReturn
0.05

Decreasein
MarketReturn

Impacton
AssetReturn

0.10

0.05

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183Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

c.

1.60

0.10

0.16

0.10

0.16

0.20

0.10

0.02

0.10

0.02

0.90

0.10

0.09

0.10

0.09

AssetBshouldbechosenbecauseitwillhavethehighestincreaseinreturn.

d. AssetCwouldbetheappropriatechoicebecauseitisadefensiveasset,movinginopposition
tothemarket.Inaneconomicdownturn,AssetCsreturnisincreasing.
P822. Personalfinance:Betasandriskrankings

LG5;Intermediate
a.

Mostrisky

Leastrisky

Stock

Beta

1.40

0.80

0.30

b.andc.

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Chapter8RiskandReturn184

Asset

Beta

Increasein
MarketReturn

ExpectedImpact
onAssetReturn

Decreasein
MarketReturn

Impacton
AssetReturn

0.80

0.12

0.096

0.05

0.04

1.40

0.12

0.168

0.05

0.07

0.30

0.12

0.036

0.05

0.015

d. Inadecliningmarket,aninvestorwouldchoosethedefensivestock,StockC.Whilethe
marketdeclines,thereturnonCincreases.

e.

Inarisingmarket,aninvestorwouldchooseStockB,theaggressivestock.Asthemarket
risesonepoint,StockBrises1.40points.

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185Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
n

w
j 1

bj

P823. Personalfinance:Portfoliobetas:bp

LG5;Intermediate

a.
PortfolioA

PortfolioB

Asset

Beta

wA

wAbA

wB

wBbB

1.30

0.10

0.130

0.30

0.39

0.70

0.30

0.210

0.10

0.07

1.25

0.10

0.125

0.20

0.25

1.10

0.10

0.110

0.20

0.22

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn186

0.90

0.40

0.360

0.20

bA 0.935

bB

0.18

1.11

b. PortfolioAisslightlylessriskythanthemarket(averagerisk),whilePortfolioBismore
riskythanthemarket.PortfolioBsreturnwillmovemorethanPortfolioAsforagiven
increaseordecreaseinmarketreturn.PortfolioBisthemorerisky.

P824. Capitalassetpricingmodel(CAPM):rjRF[bj(rmRF)]

LG6;Basic
Case

rj

RF[bj(rmRF)]

8.9%

5% [1.30(8%5%)]

12.5%

8% [0.90(13%8%)]

8.4%

9% [0.20(12%9%)]

15.0%

10% [1.00(15%10%)]

8.4%

6% [0.60(10%6%)]

P825. Personalfinance:Betacoefficientsandthecapitalassetpricingmodel

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

187Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

LG5,6;Intermediate
TosolvethisproblemyoumusttaketheCAPMandsolveforbeta.Theresultingmodelis:
Beta

r RF
rm RF

Beta

10% 5% 5%

0.4545
16% 5% 11%

Beta

15% 5% 10%

0.9091
16% 5% 11%

Beta

18% 5% 13%

1.1818
16% 5% 11%

Beta

20% 5% 15%

1.3636
16% 5% 11%

a.

b.

c.

d.
e.

IfKatherineiswillingtotakeamaximumofaverageriskthenshewillbeabletohavean
expectedreturnofonly16%.(r5%1.0(16%5%)16%.)

P826. ManipulatingCAPM:rjRF[bj(rmRF)]

LG6;Intermediate
a.

rj 8%[0.90(12%8%)]
rj 11.6%

b. 15% RF[1.25(14%RF)]
RF 10%
c.

16% 9%[1.10(rm9%)]
rm 15.36%

d. 15% 10%[bj(12.5%10%)
bj 2
P827. Personalfinance:Portfolioreturnandbeta

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Chapter8RiskandReturn188

LG1,3,5,6:Challenge
a.

bp(0.20)(0.80)(0.35)(0.95)(0.30)(1.50)(0.15)(1.25)
0.160.33250.450.18751.13

($20,000 $20,000) $1,600 $1,600

8%
$20,000
$20,000

($36,000 $35,000) $1,400 $2,400

6.86%
$35,000
$35,000

($34,500 $30,000) 0 $4,500

15%
$30,000
$30,000

($16,500 $15,000) $375 $1,875

12.5%
$15,000
$15,000

($107,000 $100,000) $3,375 $10,375

10.375%
$100,000
$100,000

b. rA

rB

rC

rD

c.

rP

d. rA4%[0.80(10%4%)]8.8%
rB4%[0.95(10%4%)]9.7%
rC4%[1.50(10%4%)]13.0%

rD4%[1.25(10%4%)]11.5%
e.

Ofthefourinvestments,onlyC(15%vs.13%)andD(12.5%vs.11.5%)hadactualreturns
thatexceededtheCAPMexpectedreturn(15%vs.13%).Theunderperformancecouldbe
duetoanyunsystematicfactorthatwouldhavecausedthefirmnotdoaswellasexpected.
Anotherpossibilityisthatthefirmscharacteristicsmayhavechangedsuchthatthebetaat
thetimeofthepurchaseoverstatedthetruevalueofbetathatexistedduringthatyear.Athird
explanationisthatbeta,asasinglemeasure,maynotcaptureallofthesystematicfactorsthat
causetheexpectedreturn.Inotherwords,thereiserrorinthebetaestimate.

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189Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

P828. Securitymarketline,SML

LG6;Intermediate
a,b,andd.

c.

rjRF[bj(rmRF)]

AssetA

rj0.09[0.80(0.130.09)]
rj0.122
AssetB

rj0.09[1.30(0.130.09)]
rj0.142
d. AssetAhasasmallerrequiredreturnthanAssetBbecauseitislessrisky,basedonthebeta
of0.80forAssetAversus1.30forAssetB.ThemarketriskpremiumforAssetAis3.2%
(12.2%9%),whichislowerthanAssetBsmarketriskpremium(14.2%9%5.2%).

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Chapter8RiskandReturn190

P829. Shiftsinthesecuritymarketline

LG6;Challenge

a,b,c,d.

b. rjRF[bj(rmRF)]

rA8%[1.1(12%8%)]

rA8%4.4%
rA12.4%
c.

rA6%[1.1(10%6%)]

rA6%4.4%
rA10.4%
d. rA8%[1.1(13%8%)]
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191Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

rA8%5.5%
rA13.5%
e.

(1) Adecreaseininflationaryexpectationsreducestherequiredreturnasshowninthe
paralleldownwardshiftoftheSML.

(2) Increasedriskaversionresultsinasteeperslope,sinceahigherreturnwouldberequired
foreachlevelofriskasmeasuredbybeta.
P830. Integrativerisk,return,andCAPM

LG6;Challenge
a.
Project

rj

RF[bj(rmRF)]

rj

9%[1.5(14%9%)]

16.5%

rj

9%[0.75(14%9%)]

12.75%

rj

9%[2.0(14%9%)]

19.0%

rj

9%[0(14%9%)]

9.0%

rj

9%[(0.5)(14%9%)]

6.5%

b.andd.

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn192

c.

ProjectAis150%asresponsiveasthemarket.

ProjectBis75%asresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectCistwiceasresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectDisunaffectedbymarketmovement.
ProjectEisonlyhalfasresponsiveasthemarket,butmovesintheoppositedirectionasthe
market.
d. SeegraphfornewSML.

rA9%[1.5(12%9%)] 13.50%
rB9%[0.75(12%9%)] 11.25%
rC9%[2.0(12%9%)] 15.00%
rD9%[0(12%9%)]

9.00%

rE9%[0.5(12%9%)] 7.50%
e.

ThesteeperslopeofSMLbindicatesahigherriskpremiumthanSMLdforthesemarket
conditions.Wheninvestorriskaversiondeclines,investorsrequirelowerreturnsforany
givenrisklevel(beta).

P831. Ethicsproblem

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193Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

LG1;Intermediate
Investorsexpectmanagerstotakeriskswiththeirmoney,soitisclearlynotunethicalfor
managerstomakeriskyinvestmentswithotherpeoplesmoney.However,managershaveaduty
tocommunicatetruthfullywithinvestorsabouttheriskthattheyaretaking.Portfoliomanagers
shouldnottakerisksthattheydonotexpecttogeneratereturnssufficienttocompensateinvestors
forthereturnvariability.

Case
Casestudiesareavailableonwww.myfinancelab.com.

Analyzing Risk and Return on Chargers Products Investments


Thiscaserequiresstudentstoreviewandapplytheconceptoftheriskreturntradeoffbyanalyzingtwo
possibleassetinvestmentsusingstandarddeviation,coefficientofvariation,andCAPM.
rt

a.

( Pt Pt 1 Ct )
Pt 1

Expectedrateofreturn:

AssetX:
Year

Cash
Flow(Ct)

Ending
Value(Pt)

Beginning
Value(Pt1)

Gain/
Loss

AnnualRate
ofReturn

2003

$1,000

$22,000

$20,000

$2,000

15.00%

2004

1,500

21,000

22,000

1,000

2.27

2005

1,400

24,000

21,000

3,000

20.95

2006

1,700

22,000

24,000

2,000

1.25

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

Chapter8RiskandReturn194

AssetX:(continued)
Year

Cash

Ending

Beginning

Flow(Ct)

Value(Pt)

Value(Pt1)

Gain/
Loss

AnnualRate
ofReturn

2007

1,900

23,000

22,000

1,000

13.18

2008

1,600

26,000

23,000

3,000

20.00

2009

1,700

25,000

26,000

1,000

2.69

2010

2,000

24,000

25,000

1,000

4.00

2011

2,100

27,000

24,000

3,000

21.25

2012

2,200

30,000

27,000

3,000

19.26

AverageexpectedreturnforAssetX11.74%

AssetY:
Cash

Ending

Beginning

Year

Flow(Ct)

Value(Pt)

Value(Pt1)

2003

$1,500

$20,000

$20,000

$0

2004

1,600

20,000

20,000

8.00

2005

1,700

21,000

20,000

1,000

13.50

2006

1,800

21,000

21,000

8.57

2007

1,900

22,000

21,000

1,000

13.81

Gain/
Loss

AnnualRate
ofReturn

7.50%

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195Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

2008

2,000

23,000

22,000

1,000

13.64

2009

2,100

23,000

23,000

9.13

2010

2,200

24,000

23,000

1,000

13.91

2011

2,300

25,000

24,000

1,000

13.75

2012

2,400

25,000

25,000

9.60

AverageexpectedreturnforAssetY11.14%

(r r )
i 1

b.

( n 1)

AssetX:
Average
Return,r
Year

Return
ri

2003

15.00%

2004

2.27

11.74

9.47

0.008968

2005

20.95

11.74

9.21

0.008482

2006

1.25

11.74

12.99

0.016874

2007

13.18

11.74

1.44

0.000207

2008

20.00

11.74

8.26

0.006823

11.74%

( ri r )

( ri r )

3.26%

0.001063

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Chapter8RiskandReturn196

AssetX:(continued)
Average
Return,r
Year

Return
ri

2009

2.69

11.74

9.05

0.008190

2010

4.00

11.74

7.74

0.005991

2011

21.25

11.74

9.51

0.009044

2012

19.26

11.74

7.52

0.005655

( ri r )

( ri r )
2

0.071297

CV

0.071297
0.07922 0.0890 8.90%
10 1

8.90%
0.76
11.74%

AssetY:
Return
ri

Average
Return,r

(ri r )

(ri r )

2003

7.50%

11.14%

3.64%

0.001325

2004

8.00

11.14

3.14

0.000986

2005

13.50

11.14

2.36

0.000557

2006

8.57

11.14

2.57

0.000660

2007

13.81

11.14

2.67

0.000713

2008

13.64

11.14

2.50

0.000625

Year

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2009

9.13

11.14

2.01

0.000404

2010

13.91

11.14

2.77

0.000767

2011

13.75

11.14

2.61

0.000681

2012

9.60

11.14

1.54

0.000237

0.006955

CV

0.006955
0.0773 0.0278 2.78%
10 1

2.78%
0.25
11.14%

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Chapter8RiskandReturn198

c.

Summarystatistics:
AssetX

AssetY

11.74%

11.14%

Standarddeviation

8.90%

2.78%

Coefficientofvariation

0.76

0.25

Expectedreturn

Comparingtheexpectedreturnscalculatedinparta,AssetXprovidesareturnof11.74%,only
slightlyabovethereturnof11.14%expectedfromAssetY.Thehigherstandarddeviationand
coefficientofvariationofInvestmentXindicatesgreaterrisk.Withjustthisinformation,itis
difficulttodeterminewhetherthe0.60%differenceinreturnisadequatecompensationforthe
differenceinrisk.Basedonthisinformation,however,AssetYappearstobethebetterchoice.

d.

Usingthecapitalassetpricingmodel,therequiredreturnoneachassetisasfollows:

Capitalassetpricingmodel:rjRF[bj(rmRF)]
Asset

RF[bj(rmRF)]

rj

7%[1.6(10%7%)]

11.8%

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199Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

7%[1.1(10%7%)]

10.3%

Fromthecalculationsinparta,theexpectedreturnforAssetXis11.74%,comparedtoitsrequired
returnof11.8%.Ontheotherhand,AssetYhasanexpectedreturnof11.14%andarequiredreturn
ofonly10.8%.ThismakesAssetYthebetterchoice.

e.

Inpartc,weconcludedthatitwouldbedifficulttomakeachoicebetweenXandYbecausethe
additionalreturnonXmayormaynotprovidetheneededcompensationfortheextrarisk.In
partd,bycalculatingarequiredrateofreturn,itwaseasytorejectXandselectY.Therequired
returnonAssetXis11.8%,butitsexpectedreturn(11.74%)islower;thereforeAssetXis
unattractive.ForAssetYthereverseistrue,anditisagoodinvestmentvehicle.
Clearly,ChargerProductsisbetteroffusingthestandarddeviationandcoefficientofvariation,rather
thanastrictlysubjectiveapproach,toassessinvestmentrisk.BetaandCAPM,however,providea
linkbetweenriskandreturn.Theyquantifyriskandconvertitintoarequiredreturnthatcanbe
comparedtotheexpectedreturntodrawadefinitiveconclusionaboutinvestmentacceptability.
Contrastingtheconclusionsintheresponsestopartscanddaboveshouldclearlydemonstratewhy
Juniorisbetteroffusingbetatoassessrisk.

f.

1. Increaseinriskfreerateto8%andmarketreturnto11%:
Asset

RF[bj (rmRF)]

X
Y

8%[1.6(11%8%)]
8%[1.1(11%8%)]

rj

12.8%
11.3%

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Chapter8RiskandReturn200

2. Decreaseinmarketreturnto9%:
Asset

RF[bj (rmRF)]

rj

7%[1.6(9%7%)]

10.2%

7%[1.1(9%7%)]

9.2%

InSituation1,therequiredreturnrisesforbothassets,andneitherhasanexpectedreturnabovethe
firmsrequiredreturn.
WithSituation2,thedropinmarketratecausestherequiredreturntodecreasesothattheexpected
returnsofbothassetsareabovetherequiredreturn.However,AssetYprovidesalargerreturn
comparedtoitsrequiredreturn(11.149.201.94),anditdoessowithlessriskthanAssetX.

Spreadsheet Exercise
TheanswertoChapter8sstockportfolioanalysisspreadsheetproblemislocatedontheInstructors
ResourceCenteratwww.pearsonhighered.com/ircundertheInstructorsManual.

Group Exercise
Groupexercisesareavailableinwww.myfinancelab.com.
Thisexerciseusescurrentinformationfromseveralwebsitesregardingtherecentperformanceofeach
groupsshadowfirm.Thisinformationisthencomparedtoarelevantindex.Thetimeperiodsfor
comparisonare1and5years.Calculatedannualreturnsandbasicgraphicalanalysisbegintheprocess
ofcomparison.Correlationbetweenthefirmandthemarketisinvestigated.

Accurateandtimelyinformationisthefirstmessageofthisassignment.Studentsareencouragedtolook
atseveralsitesandalsotosearchforothers.Theinformationcontentofthedifferentsitescanthenbe
compared.Thisinformationisusedtogetstudentstoseehowbasicstockmarketanalysisisdone.
Asalways,partsofthisexercisecanbemodifiedordroppedattheadoptersdiscretion.Onesuggestion

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201Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition

istoaddothercorporationstothecomparison(s).Also,someofthemorecomplexcalculationscouldbe
eliminated.

2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall

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