Professional Documents
Culture Documents
RiskandtheRequiredRateofReturn
ChaptersinthisPart
Chapter8
RiskandReturn
Chapter9
TheCostofCapital
Chapter8
RiskandReturn
Instructors Resources
Overview
Thischapterfocusesonthefundamentalsoftheriskandreturnrelationshipofassetsandtheirvaluation.
Forthesingleassetheldinisolation,riskismeasuredwiththeprobabilitydistributionanditsassociated
statistics:themean,thestandarddeviation,andthecoefficientofvariation.Theconceptofdiversification
isexaminedbymeasuringtheriskofaportfolioofassetsthatareperfectlypositivelycorrelated,perfectly
negativelycorrelated,andthosethatareuncorrelated.Next,thechapterlooksatinternationaldiversification
anditseffectonrisk.TheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)isthenpresentedasavaluationtoolfor
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn145
securitiesandasageneralexplanationoftheriskreturntradeoffinvolvedinalltypesoffinancial
transactions.Chapter8highlightstheimportanceofunderstandingtherelationshipofriskandreturn
whenmakingprofessionalandpersonaldecisions.
TheCloseFundsaveragewas61.6%anditsstandarddeviationis162.6%.TheFTSEaveragereturnwas
2.2%,anditsstandarddeviationis26.8%.TheFTSEhasaloweraveragereturnandlessvolatilitythan
theCloseFund.Theprimaryreasonforthedifferenceisthatsmallstocks(whichiswhattheCloseFund
investsin)generallyhavehigherreturnsandgreaterriskthanlargestocks(whicharetrackedbytheFTSE).
Althoughnotdirectlyaskedforintheproblem,itisusefultopointoutthemisinformationarisingfromusing
arithmeticmeanreturns.Themeanreturnisthesumofaseriesofnumbersdividedbythenumberofvalues,
andisappropriatewhenvaluesareindependentevents,suchastheaveragetestscoreinaclassroom.In
investmentreturns,thevaluesarenotindependentofeachother.Ifyouloseatonofmoneyoneyear,you
havemuchlesstoinvestthefollowingyear.Hence,thegeometricreturnisabettermeasureofthereturn
neededtoequateyourcashinflowsandoutflows.Specifically,thegeometricmeanreturnsforthesethree
yearsare12.1%fortheCloseFundand4.9%fortheFTSE.
2. Thereturnonaninvestment(totalgainorloss)isthechangeinvalueplusanycashdistributionsover
adefinedtimeperiod.Itisexpressedasapercentofthebeginningoftheperiodinvestment.The
formulais:
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn146
Return
Realizedreturnrequirestheassettobepurchasedandsoldduringthetimeperiodsthereturnis
measured.Unrealizedreturnisthereturnthatcouldhavebeenrealizediftheassethadbeen
purchasedandsoldduringthetimeperiodthereturnwasmeasured.
3. a.
Theriskaversefinancialmanagerrequiresanincreaseinreturnforagivenincreaseinrisk.
b. Theriskneutralmanagerrequiresnochangeinreturnforanincreaseinrisk.
c.
Theriskseekingmanageracceptsadecreaseinreturnforagivenincreaseinrisk.
Mostfinancialmanagersareriskaverse.
4. Scenarioanalysisevaluatesassetriskbyusingmorethanonepossiblesetofreturnstoobtainasense
ofthevariabilityofoutcomes.Therangeisfoundbysubtractingthepessimisticoutcomefromthe
optimisticoutcome.Thelargertherange,thegreatertheriskassociatedwiththeasset.
5. Thedecisionmakercangetanestimateofprojectriskbyviewingaplotoftheprobabilitydistribution,
whichrelatesprobabilitiestoexpectedreturnsandshowsthedegreeofdispersionofreturns.The
morespreadoutthedistribution,thegreaterthevariabilityorriskassociatedwiththereturnstream.
6. Thestandarddeviationofadistributionofassetreturnsisanabsolutemeasureofdispersionofrisk
aroundthemeanorexpectedvalue.Ahigherstandarddeviationindicatesagreaterprojectrisk.
Withalargerstandarddeviation,thedistributionismoredispersedandtheoutcomeshaveahigher
variability,resultinginhigherrisk.
7. Thecoefficientofvariationisanotherindicatorofassetrisk;however,thismeasuresrelativedispersion.
Itiscalculatedbydividingthestandarddeviationbytheexpectedvalue.Thecoefficientofvariation
indicateshowvolatileanassetsreturnsarerelativetoitsaverageorexpectedreturn.Therefore,the
coefficientofvariationisabetterbasisthanthestandarddeviationforcomparingriskofassetswith
differingexpectedreturns.
8. Anefficientportfolioisonethatmaximizesreturnforagivenrisklevelorminimizesriskforagiven
levelofreturn.Returnofaportfolioistheweightedaverageofreturnsontheindividualcomponent
assets:
n
rp w j rj
j 1
where:
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
147Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
n numberofassets
wj weightofindividualassets
^rjexpectedreturns
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn148
Thestandarddeviationofaportfolioisnottheweightedaverageofcomponentstandarddeviations;
theriskoftheportfolioasmeasuredbythestandarddeviationwillbesmaller.Itiscalculatedby
applyingthestandarddeviationformulatotheportfolioassets:
rp
(ri r )2
i 1 ( n 1)
n
9. Thecorrelationbetweenassetreturnsisimportantwhenevaluatingtheeffectofanewassetonthe
portfoliosoverallrisk.Returnsondifferentassetsmovinginthesamedirectionarepositively
correlated,whilethosemovinginoppositedirectionsarenegativelycorrelated.Assetswithhigh
positivecorrelationincreasethevariabilityofportfolioreturns;assetswithhighnegativecorrelation
reducethevariabilityofportfolioreturns.Whennegativelycorrelatedassetsarebroughttogether
throughdiversification,thevariabilityoftheexpectedreturnfromtheresultingcombinationcanbe
lessthanthevariabilityorriskoftheindividualassets.Whenoneassethashighreturns,theothers
returnsarelowandviceversa.Therefore,theresultofdiversificationistoreduceriskbyprovidinga
patternofstablereturns.
Diversificationofriskintheassetselectionprocessallowstheinvestortoreduceoverallriskby
combiningnegativelycorrelatedassetssothattheriskoftheportfolioislessthantheriskofthe
individualassetsinit.Evenifassetsarenotnegativelycorrelated,thelowerthepositivecorrelation
betweenthem,thelowertheirresultingportfolioreturnvariability.
10. Theinclusionofforeignassetsinadomesticcompanysportfolioreducesriskfortworeasons.When
returnsfromforeigncurrencydenominatedassetsaretranslatedintodollars,thecorrelationofreturns
oftheportfoliosassetsisreduced.Also,iftheforeignassetsareincountriesthatarelesssensitiveto
theU.S.businesscycle,theportfoliosresponsetomarketmovementsisreduced.
Whenthedollarappreciatesrelativetoothercurrencies,thedollarvalueofaforeigncurrency
denominatedportfoliodeclinesandresultsinlowerreturnsindollarterms.Ifthisappreciationisdue
tobetterperformanceoftheU.S.economy,foreigncurrencydenominatedportfoliosgenerallyhave
lowerreturnsinlocalcurrencyaswell,furthercontributingtoreducedreturns.
Politicalrisksresultfrompossibleactionsbythehostgovernmentthatareharmfultoforeign
investorsorpossiblepoliticalinstabilitythatcouldendangerforeignassets.Thisformofriskis
particularlyhighindevelopingcountries.Companiesdiversifyinginternationallymayhaveassets
seizedorthereturnofprofitsblocked.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
149Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
11. Thetotalriskofasecurityisthecombinationofnondiversifiableriskanddiversifiablerisk.
Diversifiableriskreferstotheportionofanassetsriskattributabletofirmspecific,randomevents
(strikes,litigation,lossofkeycontracts,etc.)thatcanbeeliminatedbydiversification.
Nondiversifiableriskisattributabletomarketfactorsaffectingallfirms(war,inflation,political
events,etc.).Somearguethatnondiversifiableriskistheonlyrelevantriskbecausediversifiablerisk
canbeeliminatedbycreatingaportfolioofassetsthatarenotperfectlypositivelycorrelated.
12. Betameasuresnondiversifiablerisk.Itisanindexofthedegreeofmovementofanassetsreturnin
responsetoachangeinthemarketreturn.Thebetacoefficientforanassetcanbefoundbyplotting
theassetshistoricalreturnsrelativetothereturnsforthemarket.Byusingstatisticaltechniques,the
characteristiclineisfittothedatapoints.Theslopeofthislineisbeta.Betacoefficientsfor
activelytradedstocksarepublishedintheValueLineInvestmentSurvey,inbrokeragereports,and
severalonlinesites.Thebetaofaportfolioiscalculatedbyfindingtheweightedaverageofthebetas
oftheindividualcomponentassets.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn150
13. Theequationforthecapitalassetpricingmodelis:
rjRF[bj(rmRF)],
where:
rj therequired(orexpected)returnonassetj
RF therateofreturnrequiredonariskfreesecurity(aU.S.Treasurybill)
bj thebetacoefficientorindexofnondiversifiable(relevant)riskforassetj
rm therequiredreturnonthemarketportfolioofassets(themarketreturn)
Thesecuritymarketline(SML)isagraphicalpresentationoftherelationshipbetweentheamountof
systematicriskassociatedwithanassetandtherequiredreturn.Systematicriskismeasuredbybeta
andisonthehorizontalaxis,whiletherequiredreturnisontheverticalaxis.
14. a.
Ifthereisanincreaseininflationaryexpectations,thesecuritymarketlinewillshowaparallel
shiftupwardinanamountequaltotheexpectedincreaseininflation.Therequiredreturnfora
givenlevelofriskwillalsorise.
b. TheslopeoftheSML(thebetacoefficient)willbelesssteepifinvestorsbecomelessrisk
averse,andalowerlevelofreturnwillberequiredforeachlevelofrisk.
Thedifferencebetweenglobalfundsandinternationalfundsisthatglobalfundscaninvestinstocksand
bondsaroundtheworld,includingU.S.securities,whereasinternationalfundsinvestinstocksandbonds
aroundtheworldbutnotU.Ssecurities.Therefore,globalfundsaremorelikelytobecorrelatedwithU.S.
equitymutualfunds,sinceasignificantportionoftheirportfoliosarelikelytobeU.S.equities.Aninvestor
seekingincreasedinternationaldiversificationinaportfolioshouldconsiderinternationalfundsoverglobal
fundsorincreasetheportionoftheportfoliodevotedtoglobalfundsifseekingdiversificationthrough
globalfunds.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
151Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
Allowingclaimsbasedonfraudulentstatementsreducesinvestorsincentivetoperformduediligence.If
investorsareallowedtoprofitfromfraudengineeredbytheirinvestmentmanager,becomingavictim
offraudcouldbecomeadesiredoutcome,asinvestorsprimaryincentivewouldbetosecurethelargest
possiblereturn,legitimateornot.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn152
E81.
Totalannualreturn
Answer: ($0$12,000$10,000)$10,000$2,000$10,00020%
Logistics,Inc.doubledtheannualrateofreturnpredictedbytheanalyst.Thenegativenet
incomeisirrelevanttotheproblem.
E82.
Expectedreturn
Answer:
Analyst
1
2
3
4
Total
E83.
Probability
Return
0.35
0.05
0.20
0.40
1.00
5%
5%
10%
3%
Expectedreturn
WeightedValue
1.75%
0.25%
2.0%
1.2%
4.70%
Comparingtheriskoftwoinvestments
Basedsolelyonstandarddeviations,Investment2haslowerriskthanInvestment1.Basedon
coefficientsofvariation,Investment2isstilllessriskythanInvestment1.Sincethetwo
investmentshavedifferentexpectedreturns,usingthecoefficientofvariationtoassessriskis
betterthansimplycomparingstandarddeviationsbecausethecoefficientofvariationconsiders
therelativesizeoftheexpectedreturnsofeachinvestment.
E84.
Computingtheexpectedreturnofaportfolio
Answer: rp(0.450.038)(0.40.123)(0.150.174)
(0.0171)(0.0492)(0.02610.09249.24%
Theportfolioisexpectedtohaveareturnofapproximately9.2%.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
153Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
E85.
Calculatingaportfoliobeta
Answer:
Beta(0.201.15)(0.100.85)(0.151.60)(0.201.35)(0.351.85)
0.23000.08500.24000.27000.64751.4725
E86.
Calculatingtherequiredrateofreturn
Answer:
a. Requiredreturn0.051.8(0.100.05)0.050.090.14
b. Requiredreturn0.051.8(0.130.05)0.050.1440.194
c.
Althoughtheriskfreeratedoesnotchange,asthemarketreturnincreases,therequired
returnontheassetrisesby180%ofthechangeinthemarketsreturn.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn154
Solutions to Problems
rt =
P81.
(Pt Pt 1 Ct )
Pt1
Rateofreturn:
LG1;Basic
a.
InvestmentX:Return
InvestmentY:Return
b. InvestmentXshouldbeselectedbecauseithasahigherrateofreturnforthesamelevel
ofrisk.
rt =
P82.
(Pt Pt 1 Ct )
Pt1
Returncalculations:
LG1;Basic
Investment
P83.
Calculation
rt(%)
($1,100$800$100)$800
25.00
($118,000$120,000$15,000)$120,000
10.83
($48,000$45,000$7,000)$45,000
22.22
($500$600$80)$600
3.33
($12,400$12,500$1,500)$12,500
11.20
Riskpreferences
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
155Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
LG1;Intermediate
a.
TheriskneutralmanagerwouldacceptInvestmentsXandYbecausethesehavehigher
returnsthanthe12%requiredreturnandtheriskdoesntmatter.
b. TheriskaversemanagerwouldacceptInvestmentXbecauseitprovidesthehighestreturn
andhasthelowestamountofrisk.InvestmentXoffersanincreaseinreturnfortakingon
moreriskthanwhatthefirmcurrentlyearns.
c.
TheriskseekingmanagerwouldacceptInvestmentsYandZbecauseheorsheiswillingto
takegreaterriskwithoutanincreaseinreturn.
d. Traditionally,financialmanagersareriskaverseandwouldchooseInvestmentX,sinceit
providestherequiredincreaseinreturnforanincreaseinrisk.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn156
P84.
Riskanalysis
LG2;Intermediate
a.
Expansion
Range
24%16%8%
30%10%20%
b. ProjectAislessrisky,sincetherangeofoutcomesforAissmallerthantherangefor
ProjectB.
c.
Sincethemostlikelyreturnforbothprojectsis20%andtheinitialinvestmentsareequal,the
answerdependsonyourriskpreference.
d. Theanswerisnolongerclear,sinceitnowinvolvesariskreturntradeoff.ProjectBhasa
slightlyhigherreturnbutmorerisk,whileAhasbothlowerreturnandlowerrisk.
P85.
Riskandprobability
LG2;Intermediate
a.
Camera
Range
30%20%10%
35%15%20%
b.
Possible
Outcomes
Probability
ExpectedReturn
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Weighted
157Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
CameraR
CameraS
c.
Pri
ri
Value(%)(riPri)
Pessimistic
0.25
20
5.00%
Mostlikely
0.50
25
12.50%
Optimistic
0.25
30
7.50%
1.00
Expectedreturn
25.00%
Pessimistic
0.20
15
3.00%
Mostlikely
0.55
25
13.75%
Optimistic
0.25
35
8.75%
1.00
Expectedreturn
25.50%
CameraSisconsideredmoreriskythanCameraRbecauseithasamuchbroaderrangeof
outcomes.TheriskreturntradeoffispresentbecauseCameraSismoreriskyandalso
providesahigherreturnthanCameraR.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn158
P86.
Barchartsandrisk
LG2;Intermediate
a.
b.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
159Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
Market
Acceptance
LineJ
Probability
Pri
WeightedValue
(riPri)
VeryPoor
0.05
0.0075
0.000375
Poor
0.15
0.0125
0.001875
Average
0.60
0.0850
0.051000
Good
0.15
0.1475
0.022125
Excellent
0.05
0.1625
0.008125
1.00
LineK
ExpectedReturn
ri
VeryPoor
0.05
Expectedreturn
0.010
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
0.083500
0.000500
Chapter8RiskandReturn160
Poor
0.15
0.025
0.003750
Average
0.60
0.080
0.048000
Good
0.15
0.135
0.020250
Excellent
0.05
0.150
0.007500
1.00
c.
0.080000
LineKappearslessriskyduetoaslightlytighterdistributionthanlineJ,indicatingalower
rangeofoutcomes.
CV
P87.
Expectedreturn
r
r
Coefficientofvariation:
LG2;Basic
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
161Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
a.
CVA
7%
0.3500
20%
CVB
9.5%
0.4318
22%
CVC
6%
0.3158
19%
CVD
5.5%
0.3438
16%
b. AssetChasthelowestcoefficientofvariationandistheleastriskyrelativetotheotherchoices.
P88.
Standarddeviationversuscoefficientofvariationasmeasuresofrisk
LG2;Basic
a.
ProjectAisleastriskybasedonrangewithavalueof0.04.
b. Thestandarddeviationmeasurefailstotakeintoaccountboththevolatilityandthereturnof
theinvestment.Investorswouldpreferhigherreturnbutlessvolatility,andthecoefficientof
variationprovicesameasurethattakesintoaccountbothaspectsofinvestorspreferences.
ProjectDhasthelowestCV,soitistheleastriskyinvestmentrelativetothereturnprovided.
c.
CVA
0.029
0.2417
0.12
CVB
0.032
0.2560
0.125
CVC
0.035
0.2692
0.13
CVD
0.030
0.2344
0.128
InthiscaseProjectDisthebestalternativesinceitprovidestheleastamountofriskforeach
percentofreturnearned.Coefficientofvariationisprobablythebestmeasureinthisinstance
sinceitprovidesastandardizedmethodofmeasuringtheriskreturntradeoffforinvestments
withdifferingreturns.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn162
P89.
Personalfinance:Rateofreturn,standarddeviation,coefficientofvariation
LG2;Challenge
a.
StockPrice
Variance
Year
Beginnin
g
End
2009
14.36
21.55
50.07%
0.0495
2010
21.55
64.78
200.60%
1.6459
2011
64.78
72.38
11.73%
0.3670
2012
72.38
91.80
26.83%
0.2068
Returns
(ReturnAverageReturn)2
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
163Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
b.
c.
Averagereturn
Sumofvariances
72.31%
2.2692
3
Sampledivisor(n1)
0.7564
Variance
86.97%
d.
e.
1.20
Standarddeviation
Coefficientofvariation
ThestockpriceofHiTech,Inc.hasdefinitelygonethroughsomemajorpricechanges
overthistimeperiod.Itwouldhavetobeclassifiedasavolatilesecurityhavingan
upwardpricetrendoverthepast4years.NotehowcomparingsecuritiesonaCVbasis
allowstheinvestortoputthestockinproperperspective.Thestockisriskierthanwhat
MikenormallybuysbutifhebelievesthatHiTech,Inc.willcontinuetorisethenhe
shouldincludeit.Thecoefficientofvariation,however,isgreaterthanthe0.90target.
P810. Assessingreturnandrisk
LG2;Challenge
a.
Project257
(1) Range:1.00(.10)1.10
n
r ri Pri
i =1
(2) Expectedreturn:
ExpectedReturn
n
r ri Pri
i1
RateofReturn
Probability
WeightedValue
ri
Pr i
ri Pr i
.10
0.01
0.001
0.10
0.04
0.004
0.20
0.05
0.010
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn164
0.30
0.10
0.030
0.40
0.15
0.060
0.45
0.30
0.135
0.50
0.15
0.075
0.60
0.10
0.060
0.70
0.05
0.035
0.80
0.04
0.032
1.00
0.01
0.010
1.00
(r r )
i 1
0.450
2
Pri
(3) Standarddeviation:
ri
ri r
( ri r )
Pr i
2
( ri r )
Pr i
0.10
0.450
0.550
0.3025
0.01
0.003025
0.10
0.450
0.350
0.1225
0.04
0.004900
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
165Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
0.20
0.450
0.250
0.0625
0.05
0.003125
0.30
0.450
0.150
0.0225
0.10
0.002250
0.40
0.450
0.050
0.0025
0.15
0.000375
0.45
0.450
0.000
0.0000
0.30
0.000000
0.50
0.450
0.050
0.0025
0.15
0.000375
0.60
0.450
0.150
0.0225
0.10
0.002250
0.70
0.450
0.250
0.0625
0.05
0.003125
0.80
0.450
0.350
0.1225
0.04
0.004900
1.00
0.450
0.550
0.3025
0.01
0.003025
0.027350
0.165378
0.3675
0.450
Project432
(1) Range:0.500.100.40
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn166
n
r ri Pri
i 1
(2) Expectedreturn:
ExpectedReturn
RateofReturn
ri
Probability
Pr i
WeightedValue
0.10
0.05
0.0050
0.15
0.10
0.0150
0.20
0.10
0.0200
0.25
0.15
0.0375
0.30
0.20
0.0600
0.35
0.15
0.0525
0.40
0.10
0.0400
0.45
0.10
0.0450
0.50
0.05
0.0250
r ri Pri
i =1
ri Pri
1.00
0.300
n
(r r )
i 1
Pri
(3) Standarddeviation:
ri
ri r
( ri r )2
Pri
( ri r )2 Pri
0.10
0.300
0.20
0.0400
0.05
0.002000
0.15
0.300
0.15
0.0225
0.10
0.002250
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
167Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
0.20
0.300
0.10
0.0100
0.10
0.001000
0.25
0.300
0.05
0.0025
0.15
0.000375
0.30
0.300
0.00
0.0000
0.20
0.000000
0.35
0.300
0.05
0.0025
0.15
0.000375
0.40
0.300
0.10
0.0100
0.10
0.001000
0.45
0.300
0.15
0.0225
0.10
0.002250
0.50
0.300
0.20
0.0400
0.05
0.002000
0.011250
Project432
CV
(4)
0.011250
0.106066
0.106066
0.3536
0.300
b. BarCharts
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn168
c.
Summarystatistics
Range
(r )
Project257
Project432
1.100
0.400
0.450
0.300
0.165
0.106
0.3675
0.3536
Expectedreturn
( r )
Standarddeviation
Coefficientofvariation(CV)
SinceProjects257and432havedifferingexpectedvalues,thecoefficientofvariationshould
bethecriterionbywhichtheriskoftheassetisjudged.SinceProject432hasasmallerCV,it
istheopportunitywithlowerrisk.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
169Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
P811. Integrativeexpectedreturn,standarddeviation,andcoefficientofvariation
LG2;Challenge
r ri Pri
i 1
a.
Expectedreturn:
ExpectedReturn
AssetF
RateofReturn
ri
Probability
Pr i
WeightedValue
0.40
0.10
0.04
0.10
0.20
0.02
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.05
0.20
0.01
0.10
0.10
0.01
ri Pri
r ri Pri
i 1
0.04
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn170
Continued
AssetG
0.35
0.40
0.14
0.10
0.30
0.03
0.20
0.30
0.06
0.11
AssetH
0.40
0.10
0.04
0.20
0.20
0.04
0.10
0.40
0.04
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.20
0.10
0.02
0.10
AssetGprovidesthelargestexpectedreturn.
(r r )
i 1
xPri
b. Standarddeviation:
ri r
( ri r )
Pr i
AssetF
0.1296
0.10
0.01296
0.0036
0.20
0.00072
0.00 0.040.04
0.0016
0.40
0.00064
0.05 0.040.09
0.0081
0.20
0.00162
0.10 0.040.14
0.0196
0.10
0.00196
0.01790
0.1338
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
171Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
0.0576
0.40
0.02304
0.10 0.110.01
0.0001
0.30
0.00003
0.20 0.110.31
0.0961
0.30
0.02883
0.05190
0.2278
AssetG
0.0900
0.10
0.009
0.0100
0.20
0.002
0.0000
0.40
0.000
0.00 0.100.10
0.0100
0.20
0.002
0.20 0.100.30
0.0900
0.10
0.009
0.022
0.1483
AssetH
Basedonstandarddeviation,AssetGappearstohavethegreatestrisk,butitmustbe
measuredagainstitsexpectedreturnwiththestatisticalmeasurecoefficientofvariation,since
thethreeassetshavedifferingexpectedvalues.Anincorrectconclusionabouttheriskofthe
assetscouldbedrawnusingonlythestandarddeviation.
Coefficientofvariation =
standarddeviation( )
expectedvalue
c.
CV
0.1338
3.345
0.04
CV
0.2278
2.071
0.11
CV
0.1483
1.483
0.10
AssetF:
AssetG:
AssetH:
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn172
Asmeasuredbythecoefficientofvariation,AssetFhasthelargestrelativerisk.
P812. Normalprobabilitydistribution
LG2;Challenge
r r
a.
Coefficientofvariation:CV
Solvingforstandarddeviation: 0.75r0.189
r0.750.1890.14175
b. (1) 68%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween1standarddeviationfromtheexpectedvalue:
1 0.189 0.14175 0.33075
1 0.189 0.14175 0.04725
(2) 95%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween2standarddeviationsfromtheexpectedvalue:
2 0.189 (2 0.14175) 0.4725
2 0.189 (2 0.14175) 0.0945
(3) 99%oftheoutcomeswillliebetween3standarddeviationsfromtheexpectedvalue:
3 0.189 (3 0.14175) 0.61425
3 0.189 (3 0.14175) 0.23625
c.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
173Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
P813. Personalfinance:Portfolioreturnandstandarddeviation
LG3;Challenge
a.
Expectedportfolioreturnforeachyear:rp(wLrL)(wMrM)
Expected
Return
AssetM
AssetL
Year
(wLrL)
2013
(14%0.405.6%)
(20%0.6012.0%)
17.6%
2014
(14%0.405.6%)
(18%0.6010.8%)
16.4%
2015
(16%0.406.4%)
(16%0.609.6%)
16.0%
2016
(17%0.406.8%)
(14%0.608.4%)
15.2%
2017
(17%0.406.8%)
(12%0.607.2%)
14.0%
2018
(19%0.407.6%)
(10%0.606.0%)
13.6%
rp
b. Portfolioreturn:
rp
j 1
(wMrM)
PortfolioReturn
rp
rj
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn174
rp
c.
(ri r )2
i 1 ( n 1)
n
Standarddeviation:
rp
6 1
(2.1%)2 (0.9%)2 (0.5%)2
2
2
2
(0.3%) (1.5%) (1.9%)
rp
5
rp
rp
0.001142
0.000228% 0.0151 1.51%
5
d. Theassetsarenegativelycorrelated.
e.
Combiningthesetwonegativelycorrelatedassetsreducesoverallportfoliorisk.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
175Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
P814. Portfolioanalysis
LG3;Challenge
a.
Expectedportfolioreturn:
Alternative1:100%AssetF
rp
Alternative2:50%AssetF50%AssetG
Year
AssetF
AssetG
(wFrF)
(wGrG)
PortfolioReturn
rp
2013
(16%0.508.0%)
(17%0.508.5%)
16.5%
2014
(17%0.508.5%)
(16%0.508.0%)
16.5%
2015
(18%0.509.0%)
(15%0.507.5%)
16.5%
2016
(19%0.509.5%)
(14%0.507.0%)
16.5%
rp
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn176
Alternative3:50%AssetF50%AssetH
Year
AssetF
AssetH
(wFrF)
(wHrH)
PortfolioReturn
rp
2013
(16%0.508.0%)
(14%0.507.0%)
15.0%
2014
(17%0.508.5%)
(15%0.507.5%)
16.0%
2015
(18%0.509.0%)
(16%0.508.0%)
17.0%
2016
(19%0.509.5%)
(17%0.508.5%)
18.0%
rp
rp
(ri r )2
i 1 ( n 1)
n
b. Standarddeviation:
(1)
0.0005
.000167 0.01291 1.291%
3
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
177Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
(2)
FG
FG
FG 0
(3)
FH
FH
FH
FH
0.0005
0.000167 0.012910 1.291%
3
r r
c.
Coefficientofvariation:CV
CVF
1.291%
0.0738
17.5%
CVFG
0
0
16.5%
CVFH
1.291%
0.0782
16.5%
d. Summary:
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn178
rp:ExpectedValue
ofPortfolio
rp
CVp
0.0738
Alternative1(F)
17.5%
1.291%
Alternative2(FG)
16.5%
Alternative3(FH)
16.5%
1.291%
0.0
0.0782
Sincetheassetshavedifferentexpectedreturns,thecoefficientofvariationshouldbeusedto
determinethebestportfolio.Alternative3,withpositivelycorrelatedassets,hasthehighest
coefficientofvariationandthereforeistheriskiest.Alternative2isthebestchoice;itis
perfectlynegativelycorrelatedandthereforehasthelowestcoefficientofvariation.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
179Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
P815. Correlation,risk,andreturn
LG4;Intermediate
a.
(1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:between5%and10%
b. (1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:0risk10%
c.
(1) Rangeofexpectedreturn:between8%and13%
(2) Rangeoftherisk:0risk10%
P816. Personalfinance:Internationalinvestmentreturns
LG1,4;Intermediate
24,750 20,500 4,250
0.20732 20.73%
20,500
20,500
a.
Returnpesos
Purchaseprice
Priceinpesos
20.50
b.
Salesprice
Priceinpesos
24.75
2,512.69 2,225.84
286.85
0.12887 12.89%
2,225.84
2,225.84
c.
Returnpesos
d. Thetworeturnsdifferduetothechangeintheexchangeratebetweenthepesoandthedollar.
Thepesohaddepreciation(andthusthedollarappreciated)betweenthepurchasedateand
thesaledate,causingadecreaseintotalreturn.Theanswerinpartcisthemoreimportant
ofthetworeturnsforJoe.Aninvestorinforeignsecuritieswillcarryexchangeraterisk.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn180
P817. Total,nondiversifiable,anddiversifiablerisk
LG5;Intermediate
a.andb.
c.
Onlynondiversifiableriskisrelevantbecause,asshownbythegraph,diversifiableriskcan
bevirtuallyeliminatedthroughholdingaportfolioofatleast20securitiesthatarenotpositively
correlated.DavidTalbotsportfolio,assumingdiversifiableriskcouldnolongerbereduced
byadditionstotheportfolio,has6.47%relevantrisk.
P818. Graphicderivationofbeta
LG5;Intermediate
a.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
181Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
Beta
b. Toestimatebeta,theriseoverrunmethodcanbeused:
Rise Y
Run X
Takingthepointsshownonthegraph:
BetaA
Y 12 9 3
0.75
X 8 4 4
BetaB
Y 26 22 4
1.33
X 13 10 3
Afinancialcalculatorwithstatisticalfunctionscanbeusedtoperformlinearregression
analysis.Thebeta(slope)oflineAis0.79;oflineB,1.379.
c.
Withahigherbetaof1.33,AssetBismorerisky.Itsreturnwillmove1.33timesforeachone
pointthemarketmoves.AssetAsreturnwillmoveatalowerrate,asindicatedbyitsbeta
coefficientof0.75.
P819. Graphicalderivationandinterpretationofbeta
LG5;Intermediate
a. Withareturnrangefrom60%to60%,BiotechCures,exhibitedinPanelB,isthemore
riskystock.Returnsarewidelydispersedinthisreturnrangeregardlessofmarketconditions.
Bycomparison,thereturnsofPanelAsCyclicalIndustriesIncorporatedonlyrangefrom
about40%to40%.Thereislessdispersionofreturnswithinthisreturnrange.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn182
b. ThereturnsonCyclicalIndustriesIncorporatedsstockaremorecloselycorrelatedwith
themarketsperformance.Hence,mostofCyclicalIndustriesreturnsfitaroundtheupward
slopingleastsquaresregressionline.Bycomparison,BiotechCureshasearnedreturns
approaching60%duringaperiodwhentheoverallmarketexperiencedaloss.Evenifthe
marketisup,BiotechCureshaslostalmosthalfofitsvalueinsomeyears.
c. Onastandalonebasis,BiotechCuresCorporationisriskier.However,ifaninvestorwas
seekingtodiversifytheriskoftheircurrentportfolio,theunique,nonsystematicperformance
ofBiotechCuresCorporationmakesitagoodaddition.Otherconsiderationswouldbethe
meanreturnforboth(hereCyclicalIndustrieshasahigherreturnwhentheoverallmarket
returniszero),expectationsregardingtheoverallmarketperformance,andleveltowhichone
canusehistoricreturnstoaccuratelyforecaststockpricebehavior.
P820. Interpretingbeta
LG5;Basic
Effectofchangeinmarketreturnonassetwithbetaof1.20:
a.
1.20(15%) 18.0%increase
b. 1.20(8%) 9.6%decrease
c.
1.20(0%) nochange
d. Theassetismoreriskythanthemarketportfolio,whichhasabetaof1.Thehigherbeta
makesthereturnmovemorethanthemarket.
P821. Betas
LG5;Basic
a.andb.
Asset
Beta
Increasein
MarketReturn
0.50
0.10
ExpectedImpact
onAssetReturn
0.05
Decreasein
MarketReturn
Impacton
AssetReturn
0.10
0.05
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
183Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
c.
1.60
0.10
0.16
0.10
0.16
0.20
0.10
0.02
0.10
0.02
0.90
0.10
0.09
0.10
0.09
AssetBshouldbechosenbecauseitwillhavethehighestincreaseinreturn.
d. AssetCwouldbetheappropriatechoicebecauseitisadefensiveasset,movinginopposition
tothemarket.Inaneconomicdownturn,AssetCsreturnisincreasing.
P822. Personalfinance:Betasandriskrankings
LG5;Intermediate
a.
Mostrisky
Leastrisky
Stock
Beta
1.40
0.80
0.30
b.andc.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn184
Asset
Beta
Increasein
MarketReturn
ExpectedImpact
onAssetReturn
Decreasein
MarketReturn
Impacton
AssetReturn
0.80
0.12
0.096
0.05
0.04
1.40
0.12
0.168
0.05
0.07
0.30
0.12
0.036
0.05
0.015
d. Inadecliningmarket,aninvestorwouldchoosethedefensivestock,StockC.Whilethe
marketdeclines,thereturnonCincreases.
e.
Inarisingmarket,aninvestorwouldchooseStockB,theaggressivestock.Asthemarket
risesonepoint,StockBrises1.40points.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
185Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
n
w
j 1
bj
P823. Personalfinance:Portfoliobetas:bp
LG5;Intermediate
a.
PortfolioA
PortfolioB
Asset
Beta
wA
wAbA
wB
wBbB
1.30
0.10
0.130
0.30
0.39
0.70
0.30
0.210
0.10
0.07
1.25
0.10
0.125
0.20
0.25
1.10
0.10
0.110
0.20
0.22
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn186
0.90
0.40
0.360
0.20
bA 0.935
bB
0.18
1.11
b. PortfolioAisslightlylessriskythanthemarket(averagerisk),whilePortfolioBismore
riskythanthemarket.PortfolioBsreturnwillmovemorethanPortfolioAsforagiven
increaseordecreaseinmarketreturn.PortfolioBisthemorerisky.
P824. Capitalassetpricingmodel(CAPM):rjRF[bj(rmRF)]
LG6;Basic
Case
rj
RF[bj(rmRF)]
8.9%
5% [1.30(8%5%)]
12.5%
8% [0.90(13%8%)]
8.4%
9% [0.20(12%9%)]
15.0%
10% [1.00(15%10%)]
8.4%
6% [0.60(10%6%)]
P825. Personalfinance:Betacoefficientsandthecapitalassetpricingmodel
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
187Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
LG5,6;Intermediate
TosolvethisproblemyoumusttaketheCAPMandsolveforbeta.Theresultingmodelis:
Beta
r RF
rm RF
Beta
10% 5% 5%
0.4545
16% 5% 11%
Beta
15% 5% 10%
0.9091
16% 5% 11%
Beta
18% 5% 13%
1.1818
16% 5% 11%
Beta
20% 5% 15%
1.3636
16% 5% 11%
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
IfKatherineiswillingtotakeamaximumofaverageriskthenshewillbeabletohavean
expectedreturnofonly16%.(r5%1.0(16%5%)16%.)
P826. ManipulatingCAPM:rjRF[bj(rmRF)]
LG6;Intermediate
a.
rj 8%[0.90(12%8%)]
rj 11.6%
b. 15% RF[1.25(14%RF)]
RF 10%
c.
16% 9%[1.10(rm9%)]
rm 15.36%
d. 15% 10%[bj(12.5%10%)
bj 2
P827. Personalfinance:Portfolioreturnandbeta
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn188
LG1,3,5,6:Challenge
a.
bp(0.20)(0.80)(0.35)(0.95)(0.30)(1.50)(0.15)(1.25)
0.160.33250.450.18751.13
8%
$20,000
$20,000
6.86%
$35,000
$35,000
15%
$30,000
$30,000
12.5%
$15,000
$15,000
10.375%
$100,000
$100,000
b. rA
rB
rC
rD
c.
rP
d. rA4%[0.80(10%4%)]8.8%
rB4%[0.95(10%4%)]9.7%
rC4%[1.50(10%4%)]13.0%
rD4%[1.25(10%4%)]11.5%
e.
Ofthefourinvestments,onlyC(15%vs.13%)andD(12.5%vs.11.5%)hadactualreturns
thatexceededtheCAPMexpectedreturn(15%vs.13%).Theunderperformancecouldbe
duetoanyunsystematicfactorthatwouldhavecausedthefirmnotdoaswellasexpected.
Anotherpossibilityisthatthefirmscharacteristicsmayhavechangedsuchthatthebetaat
thetimeofthepurchaseoverstatedthetruevalueofbetathatexistedduringthatyear.Athird
explanationisthatbeta,asasinglemeasure,maynotcaptureallofthesystematicfactorsthat
causetheexpectedreturn.Inotherwords,thereiserrorinthebetaestimate.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
189Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
P828. Securitymarketline,SML
LG6;Intermediate
a,b,andd.
c.
rjRF[bj(rmRF)]
AssetA
rj0.09[0.80(0.130.09)]
rj0.122
AssetB
rj0.09[1.30(0.130.09)]
rj0.142
d. AssetAhasasmallerrequiredreturnthanAssetBbecauseitislessrisky,basedonthebeta
of0.80forAssetAversus1.30forAssetB.ThemarketriskpremiumforAssetAis3.2%
(12.2%9%),whichislowerthanAssetBsmarketriskpremium(14.2%9%5.2%).
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn190
P829. Shiftsinthesecuritymarketline
LG6;Challenge
a,b,c,d.
b. rjRF[bj(rmRF)]
rA8%[1.1(12%8%)]
rA8%4.4%
rA12.4%
c.
rA6%[1.1(10%6%)]
rA6%4.4%
rA10.4%
d. rA8%[1.1(13%8%)]
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
191Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
rA8%5.5%
rA13.5%
e.
(1) Adecreaseininflationaryexpectationsreducestherequiredreturnasshowninthe
paralleldownwardshiftoftheSML.
(2) Increasedriskaversionresultsinasteeperslope,sinceahigherreturnwouldberequired
foreachlevelofriskasmeasuredbybeta.
P830. Integrativerisk,return,andCAPM
LG6;Challenge
a.
Project
rj
RF[bj(rmRF)]
rj
9%[1.5(14%9%)]
16.5%
rj
9%[0.75(14%9%)]
12.75%
rj
9%[2.0(14%9%)]
19.0%
rj
9%[0(14%9%)]
9.0%
rj
9%[(0.5)(14%9%)]
6.5%
b.andd.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn192
c.
ProjectAis150%asresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectBis75%asresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectCistwiceasresponsiveasthemarket.
ProjectDisunaffectedbymarketmovement.
ProjectEisonlyhalfasresponsiveasthemarket,butmovesintheoppositedirectionasthe
market.
d. SeegraphfornewSML.
rA9%[1.5(12%9%)] 13.50%
rB9%[0.75(12%9%)] 11.25%
rC9%[2.0(12%9%)] 15.00%
rD9%[0(12%9%)]
9.00%
rE9%[0.5(12%9%)] 7.50%
e.
ThesteeperslopeofSMLbindicatesahigherriskpremiumthanSMLdforthesemarket
conditions.Wheninvestorriskaversiondeclines,investorsrequirelowerreturnsforany
givenrisklevel(beta).
P831. Ethicsproblem
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
193Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
LG1;Intermediate
Investorsexpectmanagerstotakeriskswiththeirmoney,soitisclearlynotunethicalfor
managerstomakeriskyinvestmentswithotherpeoplesmoney.However,managershaveaduty
tocommunicatetruthfullywithinvestorsabouttheriskthattheyaretaking.Portfoliomanagers
shouldnottakerisksthattheydonotexpecttogeneratereturnssufficienttocompensateinvestors
forthereturnvariability.
Case
Casestudiesareavailableonwww.myfinancelab.com.
a.
( Pt Pt 1 Ct )
Pt 1
Expectedrateofreturn:
AssetX:
Year
Cash
Flow(Ct)
Ending
Value(Pt)
Beginning
Value(Pt1)
Gain/
Loss
AnnualRate
ofReturn
2003
$1,000
$22,000
$20,000
$2,000
15.00%
2004
1,500
21,000
22,000
1,000
2.27
2005
1,400
24,000
21,000
3,000
20.95
2006
1,700
22,000
24,000
2,000
1.25
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn194
AssetX:(continued)
Year
Cash
Ending
Beginning
Flow(Ct)
Value(Pt)
Value(Pt1)
Gain/
Loss
AnnualRate
ofReturn
2007
1,900
23,000
22,000
1,000
13.18
2008
1,600
26,000
23,000
3,000
20.00
2009
1,700
25,000
26,000
1,000
2.69
2010
2,000
24,000
25,000
1,000
4.00
2011
2,100
27,000
24,000
3,000
21.25
2012
2,200
30,000
27,000
3,000
19.26
AverageexpectedreturnforAssetX11.74%
AssetY:
Cash
Ending
Beginning
Year
Flow(Ct)
Value(Pt)
Value(Pt1)
2003
$1,500
$20,000
$20,000
$0
2004
1,600
20,000
20,000
8.00
2005
1,700
21,000
20,000
1,000
13.50
2006
1,800
21,000
21,000
8.57
2007
1,900
22,000
21,000
1,000
13.81
Gain/
Loss
AnnualRate
ofReturn
7.50%
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
195Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
2008
2,000
23,000
22,000
1,000
13.64
2009
2,100
23,000
23,000
9.13
2010
2,200
24,000
23,000
1,000
13.91
2011
2,300
25,000
24,000
1,000
13.75
2012
2,400
25,000
25,000
9.60
AverageexpectedreturnforAssetY11.14%
(r r )
i 1
b.
( n 1)
AssetX:
Average
Return,r
Year
Return
ri
2003
15.00%
2004
2.27
11.74
9.47
0.008968
2005
20.95
11.74
9.21
0.008482
2006
1.25
11.74
12.99
0.016874
2007
13.18
11.74
1.44
0.000207
2008
20.00
11.74
8.26
0.006823
11.74%
( ri r )
( ri r )
3.26%
0.001063
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn196
AssetX:(continued)
Average
Return,r
Year
Return
ri
2009
2.69
11.74
9.05
0.008190
2010
4.00
11.74
7.74
0.005991
2011
21.25
11.74
9.51
0.009044
2012
19.26
11.74
7.52
0.005655
( ri r )
( ri r )
2
0.071297
CV
0.071297
0.07922 0.0890 8.90%
10 1
8.90%
0.76
11.74%
AssetY:
Return
ri
Average
Return,r
(ri r )
(ri r )
2003
7.50%
11.14%
3.64%
0.001325
2004
8.00
11.14
3.14
0.000986
2005
13.50
11.14
2.36
0.000557
2006
8.57
11.14
2.57
0.000660
2007
13.81
11.14
2.67
0.000713
2008
13.64
11.14
2.50
0.000625
Year
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
197Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
2009
9.13
11.14
2.01
0.000404
2010
13.91
11.14
2.77
0.000767
2011
13.75
11.14
2.61
0.000681
2012
9.60
11.14
1.54
0.000237
0.006955
CV
0.006955
0.0773 0.0278 2.78%
10 1
2.78%
0.25
11.14%
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn198
c.
Summarystatistics:
AssetX
AssetY
11.74%
11.14%
Standarddeviation
8.90%
2.78%
Coefficientofvariation
0.76
0.25
Expectedreturn
Comparingtheexpectedreturnscalculatedinparta,AssetXprovidesareturnof11.74%,only
slightlyabovethereturnof11.14%expectedfromAssetY.Thehigherstandarddeviationand
coefficientofvariationofInvestmentXindicatesgreaterrisk.Withjustthisinformation,itis
difficulttodeterminewhetherthe0.60%differenceinreturnisadequatecompensationforthe
differenceinrisk.Basedonthisinformation,however,AssetYappearstobethebetterchoice.
d.
Usingthecapitalassetpricingmodel,therequiredreturnoneachassetisasfollows:
Capitalassetpricingmodel:rjRF[bj(rmRF)]
Asset
RF[bj(rmRF)]
rj
7%[1.6(10%7%)]
11.8%
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
199Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
7%[1.1(10%7%)]
10.3%
Fromthecalculationsinparta,theexpectedreturnforAssetXis11.74%,comparedtoitsrequired
returnof11.8%.Ontheotherhand,AssetYhasanexpectedreturnof11.14%andarequiredreturn
ofonly10.8%.ThismakesAssetYthebetterchoice.
e.
Inpartc,weconcludedthatitwouldbedifficulttomakeachoicebetweenXandYbecausethe
additionalreturnonXmayormaynotprovidetheneededcompensationfortheextrarisk.In
partd,bycalculatingarequiredrateofreturn,itwaseasytorejectXandselectY.Therequired
returnonAssetXis11.8%,butitsexpectedreturn(11.74%)islower;thereforeAssetXis
unattractive.ForAssetYthereverseistrue,anditisagoodinvestmentvehicle.
Clearly,ChargerProductsisbetteroffusingthestandarddeviationandcoefficientofvariation,rather
thanastrictlysubjectiveapproach,toassessinvestmentrisk.BetaandCAPM,however,providea
linkbetweenriskandreturn.Theyquantifyriskandconvertitintoarequiredreturnthatcanbe
comparedtotheexpectedreturntodrawadefinitiveconclusionaboutinvestmentacceptability.
Contrastingtheconclusionsintheresponsestopartscanddaboveshouldclearlydemonstratewhy
Juniorisbetteroffusingbetatoassessrisk.
f.
1. Increaseinriskfreerateto8%andmarketreturnto11%:
Asset
RF[bj (rmRF)]
X
Y
8%[1.6(11%8%)]
8%[1.1(11%8%)]
rj
12.8%
11.3%
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
Chapter8RiskandReturn200
2. Decreaseinmarketreturnto9%:
Asset
RF[bj (rmRF)]
rj
7%[1.6(9%7%)]
10.2%
7%[1.1(9%7%)]
9.2%
InSituation1,therequiredreturnrisesforbothassets,andneitherhasanexpectedreturnabovethe
firmsrequiredreturn.
WithSituation2,thedropinmarketratecausestherequiredreturntodecreasesothattheexpected
returnsofbothassetsareabovetherequiredreturn.However,AssetYprovidesalargerreturn
comparedtoitsrequiredreturn(11.149.201.94),anditdoessowithlessriskthanAssetX.
Spreadsheet Exercise
TheanswertoChapter8sstockportfolioanalysisspreadsheetproblemislocatedontheInstructors
ResourceCenteratwww.pearsonhighered.com/ircundertheInstructorsManual.
Group Exercise
Groupexercisesareavailableinwww.myfinancelab.com.
Thisexerciseusescurrentinformationfromseveralwebsitesregardingtherecentperformanceofeach
groupsshadowfirm.Thisinformationisthencomparedtoarelevantindex.Thetimeperiodsfor
comparisonare1and5years.Calculatedannualreturnsandbasicgraphicalanalysisbegintheprocess
ofcomparison.Correlationbetweenthefirmandthemarketisinvestigated.
Accurateandtimelyinformationisthefirstmessageofthisassignment.Studentsareencouragedtolook
atseveralsitesandalsotosearchforothers.Theinformationcontentofthedifferentsitescanthenbe
compared.Thisinformationisusedtogetstudentstoseehowbasicstockmarketanalysisisdone.
Asalways,partsofthisexercisecanbemodifiedordroppedattheadoptersdiscretion.Onesuggestion
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall
201Gitman/ZutterPrinciplesofManagerialFinance,Thirteenth Edition
istoaddothercorporationstothecomparison(s).Also,someofthemorecomplexcalculationscouldbe
eliminated.
2012PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall