Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Author(s): Chong-Ae Yu
Source: The Journal of Korean Studies, Vol. 12, No. 1 (fall 2007), pp. 75-109
Published by: University of Washington Center for Korea Studies
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/41490234
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The
Rise
and
Agriculture
Demise
of Industrial
in North
Chong-Ae
Korea
Yu
Scholarsconventionally
oneofthree
causesforNorth
Korea'sagricultural
suggest
overalleconomic
decline
in thesocialist
, deficiencies
collapsein themid-1990s:
collective
or
environmental
disaster.
In
contrast
to
these
each
,
system
explanations,
theNorth
Koreanagricultural
characterizes
collapseas an idiosyncratic
ofwhich
to theunsustainable
, thisarticleshowsthatthiscrisiscan be attributed
failure
nature
industrial
hasbeenrootedina thoroughgoing
, which
ofmodern
agriculture
From
modernization
oftheworldwide
projectofthepastcentury.
implementation
was
itsoutset,
North
Korea'sindustrial
growth predicated
agricultural
production
chemicals
and
onthehighconsumption
usedtoproduceagricultural
ofpetroleum
While
North
Koreaachieved
subandirrigation.
energy
formechanization
provide
stantial
successduring
thefirstthreedecadesofitsindustrialization,
agricultural
exteritsmethods
an
unsustainable
levelofphysical
andenvironmental
produced
Korea'sneed
nalities.
Thesubsequent
declineoftheSovietUnionmeant
thatNorth
couldno longerbe met,a stateofaffairs
thatledtothe
forsynthetic
agro-inputs
collapseofthe1990s.Thisanalysisshowsthattheuniqueness
ofNorthKorea's
methods
used,butrather
agricultural
collapseliesnotintheindustrial
agricultural
intheir
With
a
that
indicate
oilproduction
extremity. variety
ofanalyses
declining
ina context
demand
theNorth
Koreancasehas
ofincreasing
forpetroleum
energy,
thatextend
wellbeyond
theKoreanpeninsula.
implications
foragriculture
Until its spectacularcollapse in the mid-1990s,modernagriculturein the
DemocraticPeople's RepublicofKorea (DPRK, hereafter
to as North
referred
was
considered
to
be
a
of
successful
socialist
modKorea)
primeexample
ernization.1
This agriculturalcollapse was one of the factorsin a mammoth
faminethatclaimednearlyone millionlives, out of a totalpopulationof 22
Yuisa PhDcandidate
indevelopment
atCornell
Chong-Ae
sociology
University.
TheJournal
Studies
12,no.1 (Fall2007):75-110
ofKorean
75
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Yu
Chong-Ae
76
w=
1
.
.
.
.
.
.
1
1
1
.
.
0J
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
inNorth
Production
Korea,1960-2004
Figure1.Grain
cerealgrains.
areforrice,maize,andallother
Note:Figures
KimII
North
Korean
: Composite
databasedonofficial
Source
including
publications,
intheDPRK(Pyongyang:
andEconomic
NewYearaddresses,
Development
Sung'sannual
"FoodandPolitical
bothcitedinC. Kenneth
Press,1993),
Quinones,
Foreign
Languages
oftheUnited
inNorth
Korea,"
96-103;andFoodandAgriculture
Organization
Stability
Assessment
Mission
tothe
FAO/WFP
Nations
(FAO),SpecialReport
CropandFoodSupply
for1989,1993,and1995.
contained
information
The1995report
DPRK(1995-2004).
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inNorth
Korea
TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
Agriculture
11
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78
Yu
Chong-Ae
deficienciesofthesocialistcollectivesystem,and environmental
factors.The
debateoverthesecauses typicallytakesplace withintheconfinesof seeking
thecausal factorsofthefamineand foodcrisisratherthanunderstanding
the
of
the
itself.
each
of
these
collapse
agriculturalsystem
Although
arguments
partiallyexplainsthe agriculturalcrisis,none providesa causal explanation
of what precipitatedthe collapse of the agriculturalproductionsystem
.I
presentthekeypointsof each argumentin thesectionsthatfollow.
The "General Economic Decline" Argument
Althoughopinionvaries on the cause of NorthKorea's economic decline,
proponentsofthisargumentsharetheview thatdespiteNorthKorea's claim
of being self-reliant
and independent,it was not freefromthe constraints
of the world economy.8North Korea relied heavily on the formerSoviet
Union (Russia) and on China fortradeand technicalassistancein key secin 1989,NorthKorea lost
tors.Once the socialistbloc began to disintegrate
assistanceand preferential-trade
treatment
fromRussia and China. ConseNorthKorea's abilityto importthecriticalinputs- suchas thecrude
quently,
oil, petroleumproducts,cokingcoal, and machinepartsthatwere essential
to the operationof its industrialsector- was drasticallyreduced,whichin
turnseverelystrainedthecountry'sindustrialsector.NorthKorea's modern
as well
agriculturedependedheavilyon its industrialsectorforagro-inputs,
as on importedfuel and petroleumproducts,whichmeantthatthe agriculturaldecline occurredalongsidea generaleconomic contraction.9
Scholars
who supportthis argumentattributeNorthKorea's inabilityto sustainits
agriculturalproductionsystemeitherto shrinkagein macroeconomiccondi- or to thedeterioration
tions- thatis, thedissolutionofthesocialistsystem
ofNorthKorea's industrialsector.
This argumentpresupposesthat if needed inputswere provided,agriculturalproductionwould recoverto its previous levels. Such a recovery,
and environmental
however,is unlikelygiventhe stateof soil fertility
degradationin NorthKorea, theunpredictableglobal ecological impactsyetto
be manifested,
and thesocial changesthathave occurredin NorthKorea as a
resultoftheagriculturalcrisisduringthelast decade.
The Organizational/InstitutionalArgument
The organizational/institutional
argumentfocuseson inherentdeficienciesof
colthesocialistcollectivefarmingsystemas theprimarycause ofagricultural
in
of
the
overcentralization
decision-making agricultural
management
lapse:
andpractices,theinfluenceofan extensiveand inflexiblestatebureaucracyon
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TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
inNorth
Korea
Agriculture
79
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80
Yu
Chong-Ae
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TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
inNorth
Korea
Agriculture
THE RISE OF INDUSTRIAL
AGRICULTURE
81
IN NORTH KOREA
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Yu
Chong-Ae
82
Rescaling the Land
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Agriculture
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Chong-Ae
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90
Vu
Chong-Ae
Calories
Figure3. FoodSupply:
perCapitaperDay,1961-1990
Source:FoodandAgriculture
oftheUnited
Production
Yearbook
Nations,
,
Organization
1985,1991.
itspopulation'sdailycaloricrequirements
was similarto thatofSouthKorea,
and was consistently
higherthanthatof China or the Philippinesover the
entireperiod.
NorthKorea's achievement,
however,sowedtheseed of itsfuturetroubles
foragriculture.NorthKorean agriculturebecame highlycapital intensive
and, consequently,
energydependent.To sustainsuch highgrowth,Korean
industrieshad to supplythe agriculturalsectorwith adequate amountsof
inputssuch as tractors,fuels,and chemicalfertilizers.
Similarly,thegrowth
of industrywas not feasiblewithoutsufficient
food and otheragricultural
production,and bothindustryand agriculturedependedon an adequate and
stableenergysupply.Giventhehighdegreeofinterdependency
betweenagriand energy,one sector'sfailureto provideadequate inputs
culture,industry,
to theothersriskedtriggering
a vicious cycleof economicdownturns.Once
sucha cyclebegan,recoverycould be extremely
difficult
giventherelatively
closed natureof the NorthKorean economy,in which foreigntrade comNorth
prised only 15 percentof the totalGNP. In this economic structure,
Korea could nottakeadvantageof foreigntradeto alleviateeconomicbottlenecksand absorbshocks.41
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TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
inNorth
Korea
Agriculture
91
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996a
1,100
200
220
1,520
830
80
910
1,050
100
210
1,360
1,020
80
1,100
1,000
1,000
ofstatistics
for
the
first
two
of1996.
More
recent
statistics
the
total
was
that
"Extrapolation
quarters
suggest
lower.
probably
considerably
Source:
David
von
Tim
DPRK
2000
andPeter
The
Sector:
Estimated
Year
Hippel,
Savage,
Hayes,
Energy
Balance
andSuggested
toSectoral
Korea
Economics
Energy
(Seoul:
Approaches
Redevelopment
Energy
38.
Institute,
13,2002),
September
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92
Yu
Chong-Ae
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Korea
TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
Agriculture
93
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Chong-Ae
94
of itsenergyinfrastructure,
itwould
Consideringthedeterioration
capacity.52
be unrealisticto expecttheenergysectorto be able to increaseitspowergenerationon demandand redirectgeneratedelectricity
supplyto itsagricultural
sectorat thepeak time.
In summary,energyhad been criticalto the operationof NorthKorea's
and fuelhad made it imposirrigationsystem,butthe scarcityof electricity
sible to guaranteetimelysupplies of water to the field.Natural disasters
- alreadyin precariousconseverelydamaged canals and pumpingstations
dition- whilepumpingstationsand steelpipes used in the systemhave sufferedfroma lack of sparepartsand frompoor maintenance.The breakdown
of theirrigationsystemdue to the lack of sparepartsand electricity
signifito theseveredropin NorthKorea's grainproduction.
cantlycontributed
ShortageofFarm Power
The industrialbase ofNorthKorea enabledthecountryto motorizetheagriculturalsector,potentiallyproviding77 percentof all the farmpowerused
in field-levelproductionand on-farmprimaryprocessingforits two major
crops,rice and maize.53In contrast,undernormalcircumstancesthe agriculturalpopulation,throughits laborforceof 3.4 million,contributes
only9
14
farm
while
draft
animals
contribute
to
the
total
of
power,
percent
percent
agricultural
productionpoweravailability.
The high level of mechanizationin agriculturemeantthatwhen North
Korea could no longersupportits industrialand agriculturalmechanization
base, agriculturefaced seriousconstraintsin production.Two constraintsin
necessaryto keep machinparticularstoodout: a lack of fueland electricity
eryand equipmentrunningduringthe agriculturalproductionprocess,and
a lack of spare parts vital to keep agriculturalmachineryoperating.An
raw materials,consumablemachinetool
acute shortageof fuel,electricity,
volume
tool
and
other
steel),
inputsdepressedthemanufacturing
parts(e.g.,
and thedistribution
ofnew replacementmachineryand equipmentto farms.
There was no need to manufacturenew tractorsand machinery,even if it
were possible, because farmscould not supplyenough fuel to theirexisting fleetsof equipment.By the end of 1998, much agriculturalmachinery
and equipmenthad become inoperable,eitherbecause it had reached the
end of its service life or because of a lack of spare parts. Fuel to operate
the machineryforcriticalmechanizedoperationshad become exceedingly
scarce because fuel allocationswere reducedto perhapsonly20 percentof
precrisislevels.54
The combinedeffectofacute shortagesof fueland vitalsparepartssignifiAtthistime,NorthKorea
cantlyalteredthebalanceoffarmpoweravailability.
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TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
inNorth
Korea
Agriculture
95
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Chong-Ae
96
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TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
inNorth
Korea
Agriculture
97
Table3. Agricultural
LandDamagedbyFloodsin1995and1996inNorth
Korea
(unit= thousand
hectares)
Year
1995
1996
Land
Land
Washed Land
Submerged Away Buried
331.0
273.1
10.7
9.7
18.2
15.0
Total
Damaged
359.9
297.7
Total Damaged
Arable Arable
Land
Land(%)
1,853.0
1,853.0
19
16
Sources:
Information
extracted
from
draft
tothe
ofThematic
on
Roundtable
report
presented
participants
andEnvironmental
Protection
inDPRKorea,"
inGeneva,
Switzerland,
(AREP)
"Agricultural
Recovery
hosted
1998.
Information
alsooriginates
from
Flood
North
Korea's
28-29,
byUNDP,
May
Damage
Rehabilitation
Committee
ofDPRKorea,
hosted
United
Nations
des
bythe
(Palais
Development
Program
Nations,
Geneva,
28-29,
May
1998).
a century.61
Damage was extensive:1.2 millionhectaresof agriculturallands
were affected,1.9 milliontons of grainswere lost,and the totalcost of the
flooddamages reached$15 billion.621996 was no less severe;in fact,floods
hitareas thathad alreadybeen struckbythepreviousyear'sfloods.The agriculturallands were hitespeciallyhard since the bulk of the rain fellon the
westernplains,wherethe country'smostfertilelands were located. Table 3
indicatesthedamages sustainedin agriculturalland in 1995 and 1996.
Althoughofficialgovernment
reportsdifferon theexact toll thatthe 1995
and 1996floodstookon NorthKorea, foreignobserversagreedthatthedisastersdevastatedNorthKorea's industrialand agriculturalinfrastructures.
The
epic floodswere followedby severe droughtsin 1997,2000, and 2001 and
whichexacerbatedNorthKorea's reduced
complementedby cold winters,63
to
food.
ability produce
These naturaldisasterscontributedto and hastened,ratherthancreated,
the collapse of agriculturein North Korea. Natural calamities took their
devastatingtoll on NorthKorean agriculturebecause of the human-made
ecological disasterthathas been progressingever since the modernization
projectacceleratedin the 1960s. Precedingthenaturaldisastersof themid1990s,in 1991theUNDP voiced itsconcernoverNorthKorea's intensiveuse
ofchemicals,statingthatsuchpracticeshad led to land degradationvis--vis
erosionand acidification,
and waterpollution.64
decliningsoil fertility,
CONCLUSION
Fromthe 1950s to the late 1980s, agriculturein NorthKorea underwenta
drastictransformation
to become bothmodernand industrial.NorthKorea
abandonedtraditionalrotationalsystemsand largelyended the practiceof
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98
Yu
Chong-Ae
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Korea
TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
Agriculture
99
NOTES
and
GordonWhite(ed.,withRobinMurray,
1. Amongothers,theeconomists
in theThirdWorld[Sussex,
SocialistDevelopment
Christine
White,Revolutionary
UK: Wheatsheaf
Books,1983]),JonHalliday("TheNorthKoreanEnigma,"inRevointheThirdWorld
Socialist
, ed. GordonWhite,RobinMurlutionary
Development
Review
Joan
Robinson
Christine
and
and
("KoreanMiracle,"Monthly
White),
ray,
to
North
In
after
a
visit
held
this
view.
9
all
no.
1965,
16,
1965]:541-49)
[January
andachievements
Korea,JoanRobinsonclaimedthatKorea'sdevelopment
put"all
theeconomicmiraclesofthepostwarworldintheshade"("KoreanMiracle,"546).
has notreleasedan official
2. TheNorthKoreanGovernment
figureforthetotal
offamine-related
deaths.Claimsby foreign
number
observers,
especiallyin those
deathsvarywidely,from
in theUnitedStates,aboutthenumberoffamine-related
staffers
MarkKirk,PeterBrooks,and
200,000to 3.5 million.U.S. Congressional
MariaPica place thefigurebetween900,000and 2.4 millionfrom1995-98(see
Relations
Final ReportoftheVisittoNorthKorea and Chinato theInternational
Peter
Committee
the
U.S.
House
31,
1998).
Hayesof
ofRepresentatives,
August
of
theNautilusInstitute
putsthefigurebetween200,000to 300,000andtwomillion
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All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
100
Yu
Chong-Ae
"NewsHourwithJimLehrer,"
(see interview,
February11,1999).MarcusNoland
thefaminedeathtollto be between2.8 millionand3.5
andhiscolleaguesestimate
million(see Noland,ShermanRobinson,and Tao Wang,FamineinNorthKorea:
D.C.: Institute
forInternational
Causesand Cures[Washington,
Economics,1999]
Accessed December22, 2004);
<http://iie.com/publications/wp/1999/99-2.pdf>
administrator
of USAID, placedthefigurebetweentwo
AndrewNatsios,current
andthreemillion( TheGreatNorthKoreanFamine:Famine, Politics
, andForeign
Institute
of
D.C.:
United
States
Peace,
2001],201).TwoAmeriPolicy[Washington,
thenumber
tobe
DanielGoodkindandLorraineWest,estimated
candemographers,
between600,000andonemillion("TheNorthKoreanFamineandItsDemographic
Review27, no. 2 [June2001]:219-38).A
Impact,"Populationand Development
Yi Sk("1994-2000-nyn
Pukhankign:Ch'okwasamangja
SouthKoreanscholar,
kyumowa chiykpylin'gupynhwa"[NorthKoreanFamine,1994-2000:The
Change],KukkaChllyak10,no. 1
Scope of Deathsand RegionalDemographic
thefamine-related
deathsat 25,000to 1.17
[Spring2004]: 117-44)- whoestimates
millionbetween1994to2000,witha perannumrateof36,000to 167,000(p. 38)number
offamine-related
deaths
on theestimated
thestrongest
argument
presents
in
the
debates
about
famineinNorthKorea.However,
all figures
as
facts
presented
drawn
relateddeathsinNorthKoreaareestimates
only,oftenbasedon information
fromfragmented
dataandspeculation.
8 milliontonsis milled
3. NorthKoreaclaims10millionmetrictonsunhusked;
estimated.
conversion
ratio,conservatively
grain,ata 65 percent
ton(MT) measurement.
4. Thisarticleusesthemetric
5. Quinonesestimates
7.4millionMT in 1984.See "FoodandPoliticalStability
inNorthKorea,"96-103.
oftheUnitedNations(hereafter
6. FoodandAgriculture
FAO),SpeOrganization
Missionto theDPRK
cial ReportFAO/WFPCropand Food SupplyAssessment
December22, 1995.
UnitedNations,
in 1994- andcalculated
7. FAOuses 1993as thebaseyear- therewasa hailstorm
In thetwo-year
a rateofstructural
declinein agriculture.
periodbetween1993and
and
ofpaddyriceis assumedto havedecreasedby 10percent
1995,theproduction
theannualrateplusa factorforan increasing
Thisrepresents
maizeby 15percent.
rateofdecline.See FAO,SpecialReportFAO/WFPCropandFood SupplyAssessDecember22, 1995,UnitedNations.
ment,
8. See Kim,Ch'olgyu.Pukhanui nongpwigiwa singnyang
munje:Ksiyksa
and
Food
Problem:
MacrohistoriKorea's
Crisis
chkchpkun
(North
Agricultural
TheEnd of
Sahoe 12,no. 1 (2002);NicholasEberstadt,
cal Approach).
Nongch'on
D.C.: AEI Press,1999);Nolandet al.,FamineinNorth
NorthKorea(Washington,
orSelf-destruction?
Success
Korea:CausesandCures',
PhillipH. Park,Self-reliance
andFailuresoftheDemocratic
Strategy
People'sRepublicofKorea'sDevelopment
"Juche"(New York:Routledge,
2002); JamesH. Williams,David
ofSelf-reliance
vonHippel,andPeterHayes,Fuel and Famine:RuralEnergyCrisisintheDPRK,
of
andCooperation
Institute
onGlobalConflict
California
PolicyPapers,University
1-46.
Research
California
Unit,
2000,
Multi-Campus
This content downloaded from 128.83.63.180 on Sun, 26 Apr 2015 08:07:22 UTC
All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
inNorth
Korea
TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
Agriculture
101
This content downloaded from 128.83.63.180 on Sun, 26 Apr 2015 08:07:22 UTC
All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
102
Yu
Chong-Ae
andAgriculture
oftheUnitedNations(hereafter
DPR
UNDP/FAO),
Organization
Korea: Agricultural
Protection(AREP) Program:
Recoveryand Environmental
, vols.1-3(November
20, 1998).
Identification
ofInvestment
Opportunities
17. See Meredith
"PoliticalEcologyofFamine:TheNorthKorean
Woo-Cumings,
and Its Lessons,"Tokyo:ADB Institute
ResearchPapers31 (January
Catastrophe
1-51.
the
in sub-Saharan
cites
Africain
2002):
Woo-Cumings
devastating
droughts
- whensimultathe1970sand 1980s.Shealso notestheEl Nifioeventsof 1972-73
neousdroughts
occurredaroundtheworld,affecting
foodproduction
in theSoviet
Australia,
Union,China,India,CentralAmerica,
Indonesia,
Brazil,West
Argentina,
- andthedevastating
return
ofEl Nioona largerscalein 1982
Africa,andEthiopia
andagainin 1997-98.To support
herargument,
Woo-Cumings
providesevidence
inthe1990s,andarguesthatNorthKorea
ofNorthKorea'saberrant
weather
pattern
affected
Oscillation(ENSO) of 1997-98,
was profoundly
bytheEl Nio Southern
Formore
saidtobe oneoftheworstinsomethreehundred
yearsofrecorded
history.
ENSO details,see MikeDavis,Late Victorian
Holocausts
: El NioFaminesandthe
(London:Verso,2001).
MakingoftheThirdWorld
in 1948,in realitythede
18. Although
NorthKoreawas officially
established
in August1945,immediately
factostatewas established
theliberation
of
following
colonization.
In thisarticle,
theKoreanpeninsulafromthirty-five
yearsofJapanese
I use 1945as thedateofNorthKorea'sestablishment.
19. See Kim Skpin,ed., Uri nara nongch'onmunjehaegylui ryksachk
ofSolvingtheAgrarian
QuestioninOurCountry),
(Historical
kynghm
Experience
SahoeKwahakCh'ulp'ansa,1988).
(Pyongyang:
: Structure
20. JosephSang-hoon
andDevelChung,TheNorthKoreanEconomy
Calif.:
Institution
Hoover
5.
Press,1974),
(Stanford,
opment
21. KimSkpin,ed.,Urinaranongch
'onmunjehaegyluiryksachkkynghm
ofSolvingtheAgrarian
175.
QuestioninOurCountry),
(Historical
Experience
ofState,NorthKorea:A Case Studyin theTech22. UnitedStatesDepartment
D.C.: UnitedStatesGovernment
Office,
niquesofTakeover
(Washington,
Printing
1961),56.
23. Robinson,
"KoreanMiracle,"546.
24. Kim II Sung,On Our Country's
Experiencesin theSolutionof theRural
onJuly28,1978(Pyongyang:
: TalkwithStateandEconomicFunctionaries
Question
45.
House,1984),
ForeignLanguagesPublishing
25. Pu etal.,Pukhanui nongp:silsangkwapalchnpanghyang
(NorthKorean
and
Future
12.
Directions),
Reality
Agriculture:
Pukhankyngjetonggye
26. Republicof Korea Ministryof Unification,
chip
1986(Collection
ofStatistics
oftheNorthKoreanEconomy,
1986)(Seoul:Ministry
ofUnification,
1992).
27. Ruralhouseholds
includebothagricultural
andnonagricultural
users.Thisis
where
is a selfdueto thedecentralized
of
each
community
pattern development,
contained
unit.
A StudyofSocio28. MunWoongLee, "RuralNorthKoreaunderCommunism:
PhD
in
dissertation
cultural
(Rice
1975),72-73.
University,
Change,"
anthropology
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All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
inNorth
Korea
TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
Agriculture
103
This content downloaded from 128.83.63.180 on Sun, 26 Apr 2015 08:07:22 UTC
All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
104
Yu
Chong-Ae
This content downloaded from 128.83.63.180 on Sun, 26 Apr 2015 08:07:22 UTC
All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
TheRiseandDemiseofIndustrial
inNorth
Korea
Agriculture
105
65. GeorgBorgstrom
coinedtheterm"ghostacreage"to expresstheadditional
farmland
a givennationwouldneedinordertosupplythatnetportion
offoodbeyond
itscarrying
TheEcologicalBasis of
Overshoot:
Jr.,
capacity(see WilliamR. Catton,
ofIllinoisPress,1980],38). WilliamR.
Revolutionary
Change[Urbana:University
Catton,Jr.also appliedBorgstrom's
conceptto denotethefactthatthestocksof
fossilfuelsbeingconsumed
industrial
aretheproducts
todayto support
agriculture
ofprehistoric
which
took
millions
of
and
photosynthesis,
place
yearsago in forests
Overshoot
, 43).
swamps(Catton,
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