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Outline
Introduction
Current Systems and Limitations
Project Objectives
Methodology and Approaches
System Architecture and Implementation
Demonstration and Validation
Conclusion
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Agricultural Drought
Factors affecting agricultural drought:
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Current Systems
Canada
Europe
China
Africa
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Project Objectives
To overcome limitations of the current systems in
agriculture drought monitoring and forecasting through
leveraging the latest Web service, geospatial
interoperability and cyber-infrastructure technology and
utilizing historical and near real-time satellite remote
sensing data from data sources like NASA and NOAA .
To establish a system as a societal benefit area (water
and agriculture) prototype of GEOSS for providing
global, on-demand and systematic agriculture drought
information to users worldwide.
To support decision-making with improved monitoring,
prediction, and analysis of agriculture drought.
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Methods (I)
Remote sensing based drought monitoring:
NIR VIS
NIR + VIS
BT BTmin
*100
BTmax BTmin
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Methods (II)
Integrating satellite, climate, and biophysical data
Satellite Data
NOAA AVHRR (since 1981), MODIS (since 2000), NOAA GOES (to be tested)
Calibrated Data NASA MEaSUREs Project: Vegetation Phenology and Vegetation
Index Products from Multiple Long Term Satellite Data Records
VIP Research Group, University of Arizona (to be released).
Climate Data
Precipitation, Temperature, etc
Biophysical Characteristics
Land Cover, Soil Moisture (type, erosion), Irrigation Utilities, Water Resources
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Methods (III)
Drought forecast utilizes a neural network based modeling
algorithm:
The algorithm is trained with inputs of current and historic
vegetation-based and climate-based drought index data,
biophysical characteristics of the environment, and time-series
weather data.
The trained algorithm will establish per-pixel model for
drought forecast.
The model will produce on-demand drought forecast in ~1km
or higher spatial resolution, covering whole world by using
weather forecast as the input.
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System Architecture
Data
Retrieval
Data
Archives
Near Real
Time
Satellite
Data
Pre-process
Calibrated
Data
GEOSS Registries
Access
Data
Retrieval
Calculation
Map
Generation
Calculation
SPI, PDSI
etc
NDVI, VCI,
TCI, etc
Integration
Input
Biophysical
characteristi
cs
Neural Network
Training
Neural Network
Forecasting
Time Series
Weather
Data
Global Agricultural
Drought Monitoring
and Forecasting Web
Portal
Input
Output
Drought
Prediction
Web Browser
Climate
Data
Register
Integration
Input
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Multi-phase implementation
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Capability
Multiple common drought indices (NDVI, VCI, TCI, etc.) downloadable with
customization
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Demonstration (I)
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Demonstration (II)
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Demonstration (III)
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Validation (I)
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Validation (II)
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Conclusions
Phase I implementation shows that open and
interoperable drought related data services and
processing services from the system can significantly
increase the accessibility of remote sensing based
agriculture drought information to the world-wide users.
Such a system will also increase the flexibility of
drought indices related applications and researches in
the GEOSS community.
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