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5/8/2015

ConceptofImmiserisingGrowthofanEconomybyProfessorJagdishBhagwatiExplained!

ConceptofImmiserisingGrowthofanEconomyby
ProfessorJagdishBhagwatiExplained!
by Uttam Mehra

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ThisconceptwasfirstintroducedbyProfessorJagdishBhagwati.Immiserisinggrowthreferstothat
situationwhereanincreaseinacountrysexportcommodityleadstosuchdeteriorationinitstermsof
tradethatthereisanetdeclineinitsexportearningsandsocialwelfare.
Wehaveseenabovethat,givendemandschedulesofgoodsXandYandotherassumptionslike
competitivemarkets,arelativereductioninthecostofproductionoflabourintensivecommodityXin
labourabundantC1leadstoafallintheproductpriceratio(PX/PY).Itmeanstosaythatthereis
deteriorationintermsoftrade(TT)ofC1.
Followingconditionsmustbesatisfiedforacountrytoexperienceimmiserisinggrowth.
i.Itsgrowthshouldbecharacterisedbyamorethanproportionateincreaseintheproductionofits
exportcommodity.
ii.Thesupplyofitsexportcommodityshouldbepriceinelasticsothatitiswillingtoexportmoreeven
atreducedprice.
iii.Theshareofitsexportcommodityinthetotalsupplyininternationalmarketsshouldbelarge
enoughtodepressitsinternationalprice.Thisconditionappliesirrespectiveofwhetherthecountryin
questionislargeorsmallorwhetheritisrichorpoor.
Whatmattersisitsshareinthetotalworldexports,andtherelevantelasticitysofsupplyanddemand
foritsexportcommodity.
Thedemandforthiscommoditybytheimportingcountriesshouldbepriceinelasticsothatwithan
increaseinthevolumeofexports,thereisanetdeclineintheexportearningsoftheexporting
country.
Beforetrade,theexportingcountrymustalreadybeheavilyengagedintrade,sothatthedeclinein
itswelfareonaccountofdeteriorationinitstermsoftraderesultsinlossesthataremorethanthe
additiontoitsgainsfromadditionaltrade.
Itisseenthatdevelopingcountriesaremorepronetosufferingfromdeteriorationintermsoftrade
withanexpansionintheirexports.
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5/8/2015

ConceptofImmiserisingGrowthofanEconomybyProfessorJagdishBhagwatiExplained!

Thisisbecauseamajorportionoftheirexportscomprisemainlymineralsandotherprimaryproducts
whichtendtohaveinelasticdemandinthedevelopedcountries.
Inaddition,thedevelopedcountrieshavebeenabletocreatesyntheticsubstitutesforanumberof
theseproducts.
Theconceptofimmiserisinggrowth,introducedbyProfessorJagdishBhagwati,referstothat
situationwhereanincreaseinacountrysexportcommodityleadstosuchdeteriorationinitstermsof
tradethatthereisanetdeclineinitsexportearningsandsocialwelfare.

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