Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Harry Vroomen
Vice President, Economic Services
The Fertilizer Institute
November 19, 2013
www.tfi.org
Presentation Outline
Joseph Priestly
English Minister
(1733 1804)
Jan Ingenhousz
Dutch Physician
(1730 1799)
Daniel Rutherford
English Botanist
(1749 1819)
discovered N
named azote
Jean-Baptists Boussingault
French Chemist
(1802 1887)
Georg Friedrich
Hildebrand
German Professor
(1764 - 1816)
More than a
dozen chemists
1784 Bertholletbecomesawarethattheelement
azotejoinswithhydrogentoformammonia
1795 ThefirstfailedattempttocombineNandH
1800s Conductedexperimentstosynthesizeammonia
1900 Ostwaldthoughhehadsucceededinsynthesizingammonia
TestsbyCarlBoschforBASFprovedhimwrong;
NH3 productionwasresultofcontaminantsinmachine
Wilhelm Ostwald
German Chemist
(1853 1932)
Cokeovengasesproducedprimarilyinthesteelindustry
Producedbyreactingrecoveredcokeovenammoniawithsulfuricacid
NitrogenFixationProcesses:
ElectricArcProcess(1901 NiagaraFalls)
UseselectricalcurrenttocombineNandoxygenintheairtoformnitricoxide(NO)
(NO) NitricAcid CalciumNitrate/SodiumNitrate
CyanamideProcess(1907 Italy)
Limestoneburnedtoformcalciumoxide;fusedwithcokeinelectricfurnace calciumcarbide
Calciumcarbide(CaC2)reactedwithNathightemperaturetoformcalciumcyanamide(CaCN2)
Calciumcyanamide(CaCN2) ammonia;ammoniumphosphates;nitricacid;ammoniumnitrate
325
1840s GuanoshipmentstoEnglandandNYCity
mostlyfromPeru
300
1856GuanoIslandsAct
275
Congressionalprotectionwasaffordedtodiscoverersofguano
depositsoffislands&reefsintheCaribbeanandPacific.
350
250
225
200
Conversionrates:
175
1860&1870 12%N
1880
7%N
1890
4%N
1900
3%N
1910&19132%N
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1905
1910
1913
Chileannitratesfirstreached
theEuropeanandAmerican
marketsinthe1840s
275
250
225
200
175
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1905
1910
1913
300
275
250
225
200
175
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1905
1910
1913
275
250
225
200
175
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
Guano
Chilean Nitrate
Cokeoven gas AS
Cyanamide
Electrical Arc
HeinrichvonBrunck
CEOofBASF
AugustBernthsen
BASFDirectorofResearch
CarlBosch
BASFChemist
FritzHaber
Global N Production
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
400
450
Chile
Germany
Great
Britain
United
States
Norway
France
1913
Canada
Belgium
Cyanamide
5%
Haber-Bosch
2%
Italy
Japan
Russia
By-product
36%
Chile
58%
Other
500
Global N Production
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
400
450
Chile
Germany
Great
Britain
United
States
Norway
France
1934
Canada
Belgium
Italy
Japan
Russia
Chile
7%
Cyanamide
11%
By-product
18%
Haber-Bosch
64%
Other
500
WW II
1939-45
Economic Recovery
1924-29
1.5
Economic Turmoil
Hitler Gains Power
1929-38
1.0
0.5
WW I
1914-18
Postwar
Chaos
0.0
1913
1915
1917
1919
1921
1923
1925
1927
1929
1931
1933
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
WW II
1939-45
1921:AtmosphericNCorp.
1.5
Syracuse,NY
ModifiedHaberBosch
15/40tonsperday
Soldforrefrigeration
Great Depression
1929-41
1928:AlliedChemical
Hopewell,VA
270tonsperdayby1930
Firsttofocusonfertilizer
1.0
WW I
1914-18
0.5
Dust Bowl
1931-39
0.0
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
Source: Nelson, 1990; Data: 1910-1940 - Smil, 2001; 1943-1945 - U.S. Geological Survey.
U.S.emergesfromWWIIwithstrongest economy
4.0
Becomeslargestglobalammoniaproducer
CAGR
13.4%
Accountsfor1/3ofglobalproductiongrowthin1950's
3.5
3.0
Settrendsformoderndayproduction:
naturalgasashydrogensource
plantlocationnearfeedstockandtransportation
integrationofNH3synthesiswithdownstreammaterials
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
20
15
Growth in nutrient
application rates,
espec. corn & wheat
10
Adoption of
hybrid corn
varieties
1945 1947 1949 1951 1953 1955 1957 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997
20
10
1945 1947 1949 1951 1953 1955 1957 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997
18
1999-2008
High U.S. Natural Gas Prices
> 40% drop in Prod Capacity
16
14
12
10
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
CHINA
Causes:
1,200
1,100
Drought
Floods
Other
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
1968
1966
1964
1962
1960
1958
1956
1954
1952
0
1950
1,000
Source: Tombstone, Yang Jinsheng, 2008; Maos Great Famine, Frank Diktter, 2010; U.S. Census Bureau.
300
Great
Famine
200
125
100
39
9
0
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
Data Source: 1941 and 1957, Dong Gaojie, 1989; 1950 and 1960, Long Xingmao, 1987.
12.28
12
4.98
0.36
0
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
Source: Data: Huang Gaoqiang, Beijing University; Information - The Chemical Fertilizer Industry in China:
A Review and its Outlook, Wang, Wang, Mai, et al, IFA, 2009.
20
15
10
0
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
FSU Production
15
10
0
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
40
35
Production
Increases by
~ 30 MMT NH3!
30
25
20
China
Middle East
15
10
India
Russia
USA
5
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
32%
45
394ammoniaplants=>
53.6MMTMaterial
40
35
30
25
20
10
0
Egypt
Saudi
Arabia
Canada
Ukraine
Trinidad
Indonesia
USA
India
Russia
China
Source: Data - IFA; No. of ammonia plants - Zhang and Huang, 2013 IFA PIT Conference, Oct. 2013.
25
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
China
40%
35.2%
20
USA
Vietnam
15
9.1%
4.5%
Philippines
2.8%
India
2.8%
United Kingdom
2.8%
France
2.6%
China Imports
6.9 MMT material
10
0
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
27
0%
5%
10%
15%
China
20%
16.2%
24
Russia
21
11.2%
Qatar
9.8%
Ukraine
18
15
8.4%
Oman
7.3%
Saudi Arabia
7.2%
Iran
6.7%
China Exports
6.9 MMT material
12
3
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Share of
Global
Production
1992 2012
10
DAP
6
2%
42%
MAP 0%
49%
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
>99%ofNproductiontodayisHaberBoschSynthesis!
140
130
120
110
100
Increased
by57times
sinceWWII
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Wheat
18%
Sugar Crops
4%
Fiber Crops
4%
Other Cereals
5%
Corn
17%
Fruits
6%
Oilseeds
7%
Vegetables
9%
Rice
15%
Source: IFA.
Ammonium Nitrate
- Solid
- Liquor
Oxygen
NH3
Nitric
Acid
Sodium Carbonate
Phosphate Rock
Ammonia
Nitric Phosphate
Nitrogen Solutions
Sulfuric Acid
Sodium Nitrate
Ammonium Sulfate
Phosphoric Acid
Ammonium Phosphates
Carbon Dioxide
Urea
- Solid
- Liquor
- Diesel exhaust fluid
Ammonium Sulfate
3%
Anhydrous Ammonia
4%
Nitrogen Solutions
5%
Urea
56%
Ammonium Nitrate
5%
Ammonium Phosphates
7%
Source: IFA.
China
31%
Other
33%
Indonesia
3%
Pakistan
3%
Brazil
3%
India
16%
USA
11%
Source: IFA.
Other straight N
17%
Urea
67%
Source: IFA.
Ammonium Phosphates
11%
Urea
78%
Source: IFA.
100
P2O5
K2O
IndiasurpassesUSAto
become#2inNUse 1998
90
Breakup
oftheFSU
70
ChinasurpassesUSAtobecome#1inNUse 1979
60
50
40
30
20
USA:accountsfor
35%of Global
NUse 1944
10
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
1968
1966
1964
1962
1960
1958
1956
1954
1952
1950
1948
1946
1944
1942
1940
1938
1936
1934
1932
0
1930
80
China
43%
(9.9 MMT)
Brazil
8%
(1.7 MMT)
> 75%
India
25%
(5.8 MMT)
Source: IFA.
Sugar Crops
1%
Fruits
1%
Corn
49%
Vegetables
1%
Oilseeds
1%
Rice
2%
Other Cereals
3%
Fiber Crops
5%
Wheat
13%
Source: Computed from nutrient application rate data reported by USDA and Commercial Fertilizers, 2011.
Anhydrous Ammonia
27%
Ammonium Sulfate
2%
Ammonium Phosphates
6%
Urea
22%
Nitrogen Solutions
27%
Source: Commercial Fertilizers, 2011, Association of American Plant Food Control Officials and TFI, April 2013.
ApplyingAnhydrousAmmonia
Sidedressingnitrogensolutions
Nitrogen solutions
10
8
7
urea
Anhydrous ammonia
6
5
4
3
2
1
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
1968
1966
1964
1962
0
1960
12
10
FY1953/54:NusesurpassedK2Ouseforgood
FY1958/59:NusesurpassedP2O5 usefor1st time
100yearstogrowfrom3thousandto1MillionTons!
2
Source: Historical Statistics of the United States, U.S. Census Bureau; Commercial Fertilizers, various issues.
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