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IM NHN TH TRNG
MARKET WRAP
Market Wrap
Macro Wrap
Equity Wrap
Foreign Trading
Trading Statistics
Stock Screening
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OVERVIEW
VN-Index
Close
HNX-Index
676.60
Change
82.32
0.80
0.07
0.12%
0.09%
118.7
35.9
1,867.9
326.2
Buy
170.5
7.9
Sell
158.9
9.8
11.5
-1.86
Net Value
Unit: bn VND
The VN-Index was up 0.12% to 676.60 pts. and the HNX-Index increased
0.08% to 82.32 pts.
On HOSE
VN-INDEX
677
The VN-Index was in a tug-of-war all day long and was traded in a narrow
range yesterday. Although both indices managed to close slightly over the
reference price at the end, yet the number of laggards outnumbered gainers
on both bourses. Pharmaceutical stocks witnessed a positive trading day
as DHG, TRA, IMP, DCL and specifically DMC. DMC strongly advanced
yesterday on a technical rebound after being heavily sold in the past
month. On the other side, textile and garments producers TCM, TNG, EVE
and KMR recorded losses. Liquidity once again retreated, totaling USD
98mn.
0.001
0.0009
676
0.0008
675
0.0007
0.0006
674
0.0005
673
0.0004
0.0003
672
0.0002
671
Big-caps ended as VIC, GAS, BVH while VNM, MSN declined at the end
Real estate tickers ended mixed as CII, DXG, ITA, BCI were up; TDH,
HDC, KDH moved sideways while LDG, HBC, HDG, C32, VIP, NLG,
HQC, DIG, TDC, VPH dropped at market close
Banking stocks ended mixed as BID, EIB increased; MBB stayed flat
while VCB, CTG declined at the end
Securities tickers ended as AGR moved sideways while SSI, HCM, BSI
declined at market close
Oil & Gas tickers ended as GAS, PGD advanced while PVD, PXS, PXI
decreased at the end
FLC was most-traded ticker with over 22 million shares changing hands,
closing up 4.6% to VND 7,020
Put-through transactions value reached VND 270 billion, reflecting net
crosses of 0.3 million shares of VNM for over VND 40 billion.
Foreign investors were net-buyers on HOSE for VND 11 billion, net
buying GAS for VND 10 billion, while net selling VNM for VND 19 billion.
0.0001
VOLUME
VNINDEX
670
HNX-INDEX
82.5
0.001
82.4
0.0009
82.3
0.0008
82.2
0.0007
82.1
0.0006
82
0.0005
81.9
0.0004
81.8
0.0003
81.7
0.0002
81.6
0.0001
VOLUME
81.5
On HNX
HNX-INDEX
0
www.ssi.com.vn - 1
MACRO WRAP
IM NHN TH TRNG
MACRO WRAP
The increase in October inflation attracted scrutiny from the government in the context that it
tried to lower interest rate to support growth. The following key policy guidelines to the yearend:
Core inflation target is 1.81-2% in 2016: Although setting a target for inflation is not standard
practice, the government still requested the Central Bank to maintain core inflation at this
range, while maintaining credit flow into preferred sectors, including agriculture, export,
supporting industries, SMEs, start-ups (or innovation) and social housing.
On key consumer staple and utility prices, the government requested the Ministry of Industry
and Trade to maintain electricity retail price stable to the end of 2016, and effectively employ
the price stability fund to ease pressure on gasoline prices. For other products, powder milk
for infant will still be stabilized to the year end (and next year measure should be submitted to
the government soon also), and more flexibility on the tariff-rate quota for sugar before the
festive season. For freight rate, to tame inflation expectation, BOT fees need to be curtailed
in at least 10 toll booths.
Healthcare price was also a topic of discussion as it is one of the main attributes for the
recent increase in inflation. The following are measures introduced to tame health care price:
i) More competitive bidding for medicines to keep prices lower, on the mandate of the
Ministries of Health, Finance and the Vietnam Social Insurance. ii) No liberalization for
healthcare price on medicines and services not to be paid by Social Insurance in 2016. The
price hike might take place next year, but it requires careful deliberation, spearheaded by the
Ministry of Health. iii) For medicines and healthcare services to be paid by Social Insurance,
after two price hikes in Sep and Oct, the next adjustment needs to be approved by the
government, after consulting with related government bodies, including the Government
Statistics Office (which calculates CPI), the Ministry of Health and local authorities.
www.ssi.com.vn - 2
EQUITY WRAP
CP NHT CNG TY
9M2016 9M2015
Net sales
Gross profit
Operating profit
EBIT
EBITDA
Pretax profit
Net income
NI attributable to shareholders
6,246.9
2,018.3
1,233.4
1,236.6
1,434.7
1,232.1
1,008.7
989.5
7,397.5
2,337.2
1,431.2
1,454.3
1,652.7
1,452.0
1,203.3
1,177.9
YoY
-15.6%
-13.6%
-13.8%
-15.0%
-13.2%
-15.1%
-16.2%
-16.0%
68.6%
Margin
9M2016 9M2015
84.0%
82.1%
32.3%
19.7%
19.8%
23.0%
19.7%
16.1%
15.8%
31.6%
19.3%
19.7%
22.3%
19.6%
16.3%
15.9%
2015
32.3%
16.5%
19.3%
22.0%
19.3%
15.6%
15.2%
(bn VND)
Net sales
Gross profit
Operating profit
EBIT
EBITDA
Pretax profit
Net income
NI attributable to shareholders
3Q16
3Q15
YoY
2Q16
QoQ
1,822.6
489.3
260.8
258.9
326.9
256.2
209.7
203.5
2,269.5
770.9
479.3
500.4
567.0
499.4
417.8
409.6
-19.7%
-36.5%
-45.6%
-48.3%
-42.3%
-48.7%
-49.8%
-50.3%
2,432.7
739.5
480.6
484.7
552.0
484.7
386.2
379.2
-25.1%
-33.8%
-45.7%
-46.6%
-40.8%
-47.1%
-45.7%
-46.4%
% annual
target
completed
68.6%
84.0%
82.1%
Margin
3Q16
3Q15
2Q16
2015
26.8%
14.3%
14.2%
17.9%
14.1%
11.5%
11.2%
34.0%
21.1%
22.0%
25.0%
22.0%
18.4%
18.1%
30.4%
19.8%
19.9%
22.7%
19.9%
15.9%
15.6%
32.3%
16.5%
19.3%
22.0%
19.3%
15.6%
15.2%
www.ssi.com.vn - 3
EQUITY WRAP
CP NHT CNG TY
compared with the drop of -19.7% YoY in revenue, thus dragging down gross profit
significantly.
DPMs urea historical production
2012
800,000
856,462
2013
800,000
822,000
2014
800,000
850,000
2015
800,000
819,000
Source: DPM
www.ssi.com.vn - 4
FOREIGN TRADING
Exchange
Shares
Weight
Trading
volume on
31.10
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HNX
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HOSE
HNX
HOSE
HOSE
HNX
HOSE
HOSE
13,568,162
14,959,352
6,930,820
32,628,202
7,250,706
9,063,390
17,020,441
9,638,220
9,229,036
7,016,249
8,361,450
24,901,794
5,875,690
5,486,187
32,354,051
17,841,397
22,628,642
6,941,870
21
1,036,032
3,972,990
8.09%
10.54%
7.54%
4.77%
7.68%
6.12%
5.93%
4.44%
4.02%
4.07%
2.65%
2.15%
3.53%
2.19%
2.61%
4.70%
2.51%
2.00%
0.00%
0.22%
9.35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5 days
Trading
volume
-31,010
-34,190
-15,840
-74,560
-16,570
-20,710
-38,900
-22,030
-21,090
-16,030
-19,100
-56,910
-13,430
-12,540
-73,940
-40,800
-51,710
-15,860
0
0
-9,080
Price
(VND)
EPS
35,900
42,750
65,500
8,500
65,500
40,400
20,850
27,800
24,900
34,950
18,800
5,100
35,800
24,100
4,920
16,000
7,020
17,450
5,400
12,750
141,900
1,875
731
3,703
-34
1,841
6,191
2,181
3,359
1,265
4,599
2,366
-1,330
5,298
466
103
906
1,981
1,689
901
1,617
6,521
PE
Price
T+3
Price
T+15
19.14
58.46
17.69
-248.02
35.58
6.53
9.56
8.28
19.68
7.60
7.95
-3.84
6.76
51.72
47.71
17.67
3.54
10.33
5.99
7.88
21.76
-1.10%
-0.12%
0.00%
-5.03%
-2.24%
2.15%
0.24%
0.18%
-7.61%
-0.14%
-5.53%
-2.67%
-1.10%
-6.59%
0.00%
1.27%
16.42%
-0.85%
1.89%
-4.14%
-0.42%
-5.03%
1.54%
-4.10%
-8.11%
-9.03%
-3.58%
-2.34%
-2.46%
-1.39%
-6.30%
-13.76%
0.00%
-3.76%
-14.23%
8.13%
1.27%
13.96%
-3.59%
14.89%
-8.60%
1.00%
Exchange
VIC
HOSE
MSN
HOSE
VNM
HOSE
HPG
HOSE
VCB
HOSE
SSI
HOSE
STB
HOSE
DPM
HOSE
PVD
HOSE
KBC
HOSE
HSG
HOSE
KDC
HOSE
BVH
HOSE
NT2
HOSE
SBT
HOSE
GTN
HOSE
ITA
HOSE
HAG
HOSE
PGD
HOSE
PVT
HOSE
ASM
HOSE
FLC
HOSE
PDR
HOSE
HQC
HOSE
HNG
HOSE
BHS
HOSE
HVG
HOSE
(*) SSI estimated
Share (*)
24,539,024
15,731,019
5,321,981
11,957,200
9,387,629
10,739,023
23,627,631
6,964,006
7,296,246
9,665,934
4,144,058
4,420,381
2,360,059
4,220,840
4,524,651
17,715,146
5,778,220
1,831,233
16,888,473
6,116,021
4,770,317
3,691,081
8,759,347
8,970,929
7,423,958
2,648,521
3,341,601
Exchange
28-Oct
Weight
Price (VND)
EPS
PE
Price T+3
Price T+15
14.19%
13.94%
10.22%
6.54%
4.56%
3.03%
2.72%
2.62%
2.38%
2.28%
2.28%
2.14%
2.09%
2.00%
1.52%
1.18%
1.42%
1.10%
1.17%
1.06%
1.01%
0.69%
0.83%
0.62%
0.60%
0.59%
0.47%
42,750
65,500
141,900
40,400
35,900
20,850
8,500
27,800
24,100
17,450
40,700
35,800
65,500
34,950
24,900
18,100
4,920
5,100
44,500
12,750
15,600
7,020
13,850
5,140
6,000
16,450
10,300
731
3,703
6,521
6,191
1,875
2,181
-34
3,359
466
1,689
7,637
5,298
1,841
4,599
1,265
359
103
-1,330
2,907
1,617
669
1,981
730
1,480
-1,032
2,388
1,379
58.46
17.69
21.76
6.53
19.14
9.56
-248.02
8.28
51.72
10.33
5.33
6.76
35.58
7.60
19.68
50.37
47.71
-3.84
15.31
7.88
23.31
3.54
18.97
3.47
-5.82
6.89
7.47
-0.12%
0.00%
-0.42%
2.15%
-1.10%
0.24%
-5.03%
0.18%
-6.59%
-0.85%
5.17%
-1.10%
-2.24%
-0.14%
-7.61%
0.28%
0.00%
-2.67%
-3.26%
-4.14%
-0.32%
16.42%
2.97%
-2.84%
2.56%
-4.91%
-5.07%
1.54%
-4.10%
1.00%
-3.58%
-5.03%
-2.34%
-8.11%
-2.46%
-14.23%
-3.59%
4.90%
-3.76%
-9.03%
-6.30%
-1.39%
-4.74%
8.13%
0.00%
1.14%
-8.60%
-0.95%
13.96%
5.73%
-3.02%
8.70%
-6.00%
-1.44%
Net Profit
Growth
6T16 vs
6T15
112.2%
184.3%
32.9%
61.4%
39.2%
-5.2%
-73.8%
2.2%
-92.5%
55.2%
140.8%
-96.8%
8.9%
11.7%
10.1%
-63.4%
-85.0%
-91.7%
13.6%
33.8%
235.6%
66.8%
3.8%
31.9%
-84.3%
133.0%
204.6%
28-Oct
Net Profit
Growth
6T16 vs
6T15
39.2%
112.2%
184.3%
-73.8%
8.9%
61.4%
-5.2%
2.2%
10.1%
11.7%
-23.1%
-91.7%
-96.8%
-92.5%
-85.0%
7.3%
66.8%
55.2%
14.3%
33.8%
32.9%
Shares
Weight
Price (VND)
EPS
PE
Price T+3
Price
T+15
Net Profit
Growth
6T16 vs
6T15
3,703
17.69
0.00%
-4.10%
184.3%
112.2%
MSN
HOSE
1,908,030
1.14%
65,500
VIC
HOSE
4,426,490
1.73%
42,750
731
58.46
-0.12%
1.54%
VCB
HOSE
1,997,795
0.66%
35,900
1,875
19.14
-1.10%
-5.03%
39.2%
STB
HOSE
3,061,959
0.25%
8,500
-34
-248.02
-5.03%
-8.11%
-73.8%
www.ssi.com.vn - 5
FOREIGN TRADING
110%
105%
100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
75%
70%
Feb-15
May-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Feb-16
MXFMEAS Index
May-16
Aug-16
VNINDEX Index
Net Buy/(Sell) of Foreign Investors in the last 20 trading days (VND bn)
VN-Index
700
450
690
Bn VND
300
680
670
150
660
0
650
640
-150
630
620
-300
5-Oct
HOSE
2.90
HNX
3.32
VN-Index 687.04
6-Oct
71.63
16.85
687.32
7-Oct
(130.0
6.04
683.95
10-Oct
(31.51
13.61
674.19
11-Oct
14.91
15.12
682.36
12-Oct
91.73
4.52
682.45
13-Oct
(33.04
(2.69)
685.23
14-Oct
332.17
(13.13
687
17-Oct
(55.48
(16.84
680.95
18-Oct
(44.02
(3.20)
682.02
19-Oct
43.64
2.00
688.89
20-Oct
(29.06
(2.46)
686.39
21-Oct
(8.71)
11.23
684.83
24-Oct
(31.96
3.02
678.02
25-Oct
(28.73
11.66
676.18
26-Oct
10.42
9.42
673.61
27-Oct
(19.96
0.92
676.9
28-Oct
87.66
1.72
682.25
31-Oct
53.67
(2.15)
675.8
1-Nov
11.53
(1.86)
676.6
www.ssi.com.vn - 6
TRADING STATISTICS
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
Ticker
ROS
FLC
VNM
CII
ITA
%+/-T+3
7.46%
16.42%
-0.42%
-0.35%
0.00%
1
2
3
4
5
Ticker
HUT
PVS
DST
HKB
VCG
%+/-T+3
3.20%
-5.53%
8.16%
-14.55%
1.27%
1
2
3
4
5
Ticker
TCO
TV1
TMT
BGM
HDG
%+/-T
1.32%
7.00%
6.72%
1.71%
-1.69%
1
2
3
4
5
Ticker
THB
VGP
KVC
MCC
V21
%+/-T
8.79%
-7.27%
10.00%
1.19%
5.97%
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
www.ssi.com.vn - 7
STOCK SCREENING
Dividend Schedule
Ex-right date
Record date
Exercise
date
Ticker
Content
Ratio
Price
Dividend
Yield
1/11/2016
2/11/2016
17/11/2016
VNT
Cash dividend
10%
28,000
5.4%
2/11/2016
3/11/2016
21/11/2016
CSV
Cash dividend
8%
28,100
5.0%
3/11/2016
4/11/2016
21/11/2016
BID
Cash dividend
9%
17,000
4.1%
4/11/2016
7/11/2016
18/11/2016
PSW
Cash dividend
6%
15,400
7.8%
7/11/2016
8/11/2016
ADS
Stock dividend
20:1
18,500
8.1%
8/11/2016
9/11/2016
30/11/2016
GMX
Cash dividend
15%
25,500
0.0%
8/11/2016
9/11/2016
28/11/2016
SBA
Cash dividend
8%
11,250
8.9%
8/11/2016
9/11/2016
PVD
Stock dividend
10%
24,100
0.0%
8/11/2016
9/11/2016
18/11/2016
GLT
Cash dividend
19%
31,000
6.5%
9/11/2016
10/11/2016
SLS
Stock dividend
20%
134,900
3.0%
14/11/2016
15/11/2016
15/12/2016
PHP
Cash dividend
4%
17,000
4.7%
www.ssi.com.vn - 8
CONTACT
Retail Research and Investment Advisory
Linh Nguyen
Director
linhndh@ssi.com.vn
RATING
Within 12-month horizon, SSIResearch rates stocks as either BUY, HOLD or
SELL determined by the stocks expected return relative to the market required
rate of return, which is 18% (*). A BUY rating is given when the security is
expected to deliver absolute returns of 18% or greater. A SELL rating is given
when the security is expected to deliver returns below or equal to -9%, while a
HOLD rating implies returns between -9% and 18%.
Besides, SSIResearch also provides Short-term rating where stock price is
Tan Nguyen
Research Assistant
tanntk@ssi.com.vn
Neutral: The analyst expects the performance of the industry over the
next 6-12 months to be in line with the relevant broad market
DISCLAIMER
www.ssi.com.vn - 9