Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PREFACE-
INTRODUCTION
GLOBAL SCENARIO
CHALLENGES AT WORD WIDE LEVEL
TRENDS
CURRENT SCENARIO
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
CHARACTERISTICS
GROWTH
KEY SEGMENTS
CHALLENGES
EXPECTATION
SWOT ANALYSIS
PETROCHEMICALS-
Petrochemicals, as the name suggests, are chemicals obtained from the cracking of petroleum
feedstock. Petrochemicals are used in many manufacturing fields. The industry is built on small
number of basic commodity chemicals, also known as building blocks such as ethylene, propylene,
butadiene, benzene, toluene and xylene. Ethylene, propylene and butadiene are commonly referred
to as olefins, while benzene, toluene and xylene are known as aromatics. Together, they form the
basis of all petrochemical products.
The broad product segments of the industry include:-
1. Basic petrochemicals: These are the basic building blocks, which are divided into olefins and
aromatics. These are used primarily for polymerization. These are mainly used to designate
the capacity of industry.
2. Polymers: These are made from basic petrochemicals by polymerization. Major products
include PVC, HDPE, LDPE and PP. These find use primarily in the packaging industry and
plastic industry.
3. Polyesters: These are synthetic fibre used in textiles industry. These include polyester
filament yarn (PFY) and polyester staple fibre (PSF).
4. Fibre Intermediates: These consist of PTA, DMT, MEG, paraxylene, caprolactum, and
acronitrile and are mainly used for manufacturing synthetic fibres like PFY and PSF.
5. Chemicals: These include Linear Alkyl Benzene (LAB), methanol, maleic anhydride, phenols,
ethylene oxide, orthoxylene and vinyl acetate monomer. They find use in chemical industry.
GLOBAL SCENARIO
On the global front the Petrochemical Industry is expected to see a structural shift during coming
years. Both the demand and the supply drivers of the industry namely North America and Western
Europe are expected to be replaced by China as a demand driver and Middle East as supply leader.
With increase in the crude oil prices, polymer commodity prices increased drastically while prices of
speciality are struggling to maintain a premium over prices of polymer prices.
Over the past year, the petrochemical industry worldwide has faced one of the most challenging
periods. The combined effects of the economic slowdown and a cyclical industry posed major
challenges. The supply-side continued to lengthen as new cracker and derivative capacity came on
stream.
Despite the fragile demand in the US markets, petrochemical markets were largely kept tight last
year with a shortage of olefins constraining production of derivatives.
With constrained demand, the long-term outlook for growth is still bright. The new growth outlook
sees major markets contracting; however, the GDP is expected to grow as industries rebuild
inventories and confidence returns. In fact, prospects for the petrochemical industry depend on
many factors beyond production control such as outlook for crude oil price, global economy outlook
and even currency fluctuations.
Energy majors such as Indian Oil have for long had a presence in the specialty chemical and
aromatics segment of petrochemicals with world-scale linear alkyl benzene (LAB) and an integrated
para-xylene/purified terephthalic acid (PX/PTA) capacity. It has recently commissioned the world's
largest operating naphtha-based cracker along with a downstream petrochemical complex at
Panipat.
With this, the company has entered the olefin segment and offers a full product slate covering all
segments of petrochemicals.
Today, its petrochemicals investments are primarily for enhancing operating performance and
downstream integration.
As per Nexant's (a global provider of clean energy solutions) forecasts, the price of crude oil and the
growth rate of the global economy potentially have the greatest influence on the performance of
the petrochemical industry; yet they are among the hardest measures to predict.
The price of crude oil is of critical importance to petrochemical producers, as the prices of the
majority of petrochemical feedstocks directly track crude oil. Strengthening demand generally allows
producers to raise prices to support higher margins.
The overriding factor is, thus, the need to respond to the global energy challenge since it will have an
impact on the petrochemicals business that relies heavily on oil and gas for feedstock and energy.
India has stably established itself in the core of the international production of petrochemical and
petrochemical- related products in the present scenario. With the economic growth cycle slowing
down in the United States, the Asian developing nations, especially India, would ideally fortify its
A recession has many attributes and can include declines in: (1) overall economic activity, (2)
employment, (3) cash flow, (4) investment, and of course, (5) the corporate profits. Recessions are
the result of falling demand and cash flow – and are called DEFLATION when associated with falling
prices, INFLATION when associated with raising prices and STAGFLATION when prices go up without
growth.
Here are some of the potential events and strategies for reacting to the petrochemical recessions –
industry with high capital intensity – applicable to petrochemical industries.
4. The variable costs will (ex- raw materials) will go up – putting additional pressure on margins
– Lower margins
TRENDS
The China and Middle East – a regional balance until China’s reaches self sufficiency
Middle East positioned to supply Europe and North America to replace the Chinese demand
U.S industry will stand still till the regional balances are complete
Overall, Middle East will supply the raw materials, China will be the processor; US, Europe
and Japan will be the primary consumers – followed by China India/Asia
Oil Revenues-
In a very general sense, high oil prices imply that Gulf countries maintain a share of oil
markets at or near current levels. On the down side, higher oil prices also negatively impact
the world economy, which translates to lower world petrochemical demand growth and the
requirement for fewer new facilities. As the incremental low cost producing region, however,
Middle Eastern petrochemical investments are likely to continue in the face of reduced
demand at the expense of investment in other regions. Lower demand could also force
rationalization of existing old (1970s’ vintage) units in areas of sustained high cash costs.
Additionally, higher oil prices imply that advantaged ethane feedstock regimes may well be
built in preference to naphtha-based capacity.
Existing Infrastructure-
In a number of countries (ie, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE) there is already in place
healthy and growing base chemical production that utilizes methane, ethane, and gas liquid
feedstock in petrochemical units that are among the best in class producers on a global
basis.
Financing-
Well established economic and industrial centers are forming around petrochemical industrial sites in
the region, further propagating investment. Jubail and Yanbu΄ in Saudi Arabia are examples. Just as
highly skilled technical and craft personnel migrate toward areas of opportunity, so do the industries
necessary for further development. In the past decade, strong growth has occurred in the Middle East
banking sector, and equity markets have emerged in many Arab countries. No fewer than 15 of the
top 20 banks in the Arab world, including Egypt, are based in the GCC., In addition to a relatively
large banking sector, the regional markets for equity are also beginning to grow.
CURRENT SCENARIO-
The Indian Chemical Industry ranks 12th by volume in the world production of chemicals. The
industry’s current turnover is about USD 30.8 billion which is 14 per cent of the total manufacturing
output of the country. In terms of consumption, the chemical industry is its own largest customer
and accounts for approximately 33 per cent of the consumption. In most cases, basic chemicals
undergo several processing stages to be converted into downstream chemicals. These in turn are used
for industrial applications, agriculture, or directly for consumer markets. Industrial and agricultural
uses of chemicals include auxiliary materials such as adhesives, unprocessed plastics, dyes and
fertilizers, while uses within the consumer sector include pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, household
products, paints, etc.
India also produces a large number of fine and speciality chemicals, which have very specific uses
and are essential for increasing industrial production. These find wide usage as food additives,
pigments, polymer additives, anti-oxidants in the rubber industry, etc. Some of the important
manufacturers of speciality chemicals include NOCIL, Bayer
India), ICI (India), Hico Products and Colourchem.
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES-
FDI-
The procedure has been simplified for facilitating foreign direct investment. Most of the chemical
items fall under the RBI automatic approval route for FDI/NRI/OCB investment up to 100%
except the following
• Activities / items that require an industrial license
• Proposals in which the foreign collaborator has previous / existing venture/tie up in India in the
same or allied field
• All proposals relating to acquisition of shares in an existing Indian company by a foreign/NRI
investor
• All proposals falling outside notified sectoral policy/caps or under sectors in which FDI is not
permitted
Due to its low cost infrastructure, India has potential of growth in exports. According to
a report by McKinsey, India’s manufactured exports have the potential to rise from $40 bn last year
to $300 bn by 2015. This defines an investment of $50 bn in chemical industry alone. India has the
capacity for major value addition being close to Middle East. This is a cheap and abundant source for
petrochemical feedstock.
In certain categories of chemicals India does have advantage for exports (dyes, Pharmaceuticals and
agrochemicals) by creating strategic alliances with countries like Russia and CIS countries. With the
Petrochemical Industry in India is a cyclical industry. This industry, not only in India but also across
the world, is dominated by volatile feedstock prices and sulky demand. India has one of the lowest
per capita consumptions of petrochemical products in the world. For example, the per capita
consumption of polyester in India lies at 1.4 kg only comparing to 6.6 kg for China and 3.3 kg for the
whole world. Similarly, the per capita consumption of polymers is 4 kg in India, whereas the per
capita consumption is around 20 kg for the whole world.
The Growth
Growth ofIndia petrochemical industry is playing a major part in the growth of the economy and
the development of the manufacturing sector. The petrochemicals industry provides more value
addition to theIndian economy than most of the other companies.
Petrochemicals are obtained from different chemical compounds which are by-products of crude oil
refining. Most of them fall may be categorized into hydrocarbons. With the fractional distillation of
the crude oil, chemicals like naphtha, kerosene, petroleum gases, ethane, methane, propane, and
butane are the primary stocks used in the petrochemical industry for the production of various other
chemical compounds.
Presently, the extent of penetration of the petrochemical products in day-to-day use is vast. It
actually covers most of the domain of existence such as apparels, accessories, household items,
furniture, electronics, construction, housing, automobiles, medical appliances, packaging,
horticulture, and agriculture.
TheIndia petrochemical industry originated in the 1970s and entered the arena of the industries
ofIndia. This sector was subjected to rapid growth in the period between the 1980s and 1990s. Even
today, expectations from this sector are sky-high. TheIndian petrochemical industry for it part is
doing very well and has been contributing significantly to the country's GDP fro several years now.
TheIndia petrochemical industry primarily consists of synthetic rubber i.e. elastomer, yarn of
synthetic fiber, synthetic detergent intermediates, performance plastics, plastic processing industry,
and polymers.
In the present scenario, 5 naphtha and 3 gas cracker coordination compounds are in operation with
ethane production capability of around 2.6 million tons every year, jointly. Along with this, another 4
aromatic coordination compounds are in operation with a xylene production capability of around 2.1
million tons.
The petrochemical industry in India came into existence during 1970s. The 1980s and 1990s saw
some rapid growths for Indian petrochemical industry. The biggest reason for this growth was the
high demand for petrochemicals in India, which grew at an annual rate of 13 to 14% since late 90s. It
also called for rapid expansion of capacity. The BMI forecast of average annual growth in India over
2007-2011 is 14 to 16%. However, the industry suffered setbacks during 2008 due to surge in the
price of crude oil. It will be tough for Indian petrochemical industry to plug the deficit of 5mn TPA of
ethylene and 4mn TPA of polymer by 2012 (according to the predictions of the government).
The Present Scenario Presently India has three gas-based and three naphtha-based cracker
complexes with a combined annual capacity of 2.9 MMT of ethylene. Besides this, there are also 4
aromatic complexes with a capacity of 2.9 MMT of Xylenes.
The production of 5.06 MMT polymers during FY09 accounted for around 62% of the total
production of key petrochemicals. It also achieved 88.5% capacity utilization. The industry also
produced 2.52 MMT of synthetic fibres during FY09 with a 73% of capacity utilization.
Key Segments
Polymers:
The demand for polymers saw a growth of 13.4% during 2007, comparing to a demand growth
of 5.6% in 2006. According to the prediction of Chemicals and Petrochemicals Manufacturers'
Association (CPMA), the demand growth for polymer would further be augmented to over 15%
in the coming year.
Aromatics (Paraxylene): The demand for Paraxylene (PX) saw a growth of 18% during
2007. According to the prediction of CPMA, it is expected to grow at the same rate in the
coming year as well.
CHALLENGES-
The availability of new hydrocarbon resources in India has spurred the demand for petrochemicals in
the country and spawned an industry that is based largely on captive and low-cost feedstock. There
is no denying that opportunities in the petrochemicals business must be capitalised upon for growth.
Today, the petrochemical industry is driven by size and cutting-edge technology. In the current
competitive environment, small-sized plants make no sense.
The manufacturing units mostly use obsolete format of technology and are not able
produce optimally
There is a necessity for the modernization of equipments
Excise duty on synthetic fiber should be rationalized
Prevention of reservation on Small Scale Units
Plastic waste to be recycled and the littering habits to be discouraged
India requires advantage on feedstock, so the import cost has to be brought down
The industry should have access to the primary amenities of infrastructure
For the forthcoming Union Budget 2010-11, the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has proposed
the realization of direct tariffs in the Indian Petrochemical/ Chemical industry which can indirectly
assist the sector in expanding by leaps and bounds. This year also the emphasis will be on allocating
monetary incentives for setting and managing cross-nation oil and petroleum pipeline system for
circulation of the resource to common delivery centres.
Fiber
Cotton
Cellulosics
Synthetics
Acrylics
Polyamides
Polyester
Wool
Elastomers
Polymers
Surfactants
Paints
Alkyd Resins
Industrial De-greasers
Odorless Thinners
Inks
SWOT Analysis-
The Indian petrochemicals industry is finally discarding its nascent stage tag and the companies are
now vying for a major chunk of the global pie of the petrochemicals market. Indian major Reliance
has recently acquired a German polyester major Trevira GmbH and this marks the private sector
giant's entry into the European markets in a big way. At the same time, ONGC and IOC are planning
entry into the business in a major way as this is in line with their forward integration plans.
The petrochemicals cycle is currently on a global uptrend thanks to growing demand from China and
other developing nations. In the domestic markets, growing activity in infrastructure and
construction segments coupled with strong growth in the auto sector on the back of lower interest
rates have actually boosted the performance of the petrochemicals sector. Major beneficiaries of
this uptrend are the integrated players such as Reliance Industries, GAIL and IPCL (to some extent).
A low per capita consumption of 4 Kgs of plastic as compared to a global average of 20 Kgs leaves
enough scope for capacity expansion resulting in ONGC and IOC venturing into the business. The
following are the major uses of the products:
Stiff competition from other regional players like, china and the Middle East countries
Stiff rational pricing pressures
Environmental hazards concerns
Low market recognition
Relocation of manufacturing sites to region with abundance of feedstock
Reduce the carbon footprint of plastics manufacture, limit the use of landfill and conserve
valuable fossil resources
Thank you..