[]341 . ..

/ /
/

.

( )%99
.2009

.

.

 )02( 6 []344

.
.
.






(.)1





.

.



.
[]341 . ..

(
)
.

.




.

 )02( 6 []341

( .)2

( )OECD
(.)3

( )APEC

(.)4
Brinkley

(
)(.)5
Keith
Smith

approach
Peter Druker
.
.

.

(.)6
[]341 . ..

-:
.1 Science of Scarcity
Science of Abundance


.
.2


(.)7
.3

.



(.)8
.4

.
 )02( 6 []341

(.)9
.5

.
( )1
.

( )1

[]341 . ..

( (
) )







/ /

-
( )1 ()318
2005 .399
(2) Dian Coyle & Dany Quah, Getting Measure of the new Economy, Carlton House,
>>London, 2004, P.6. <<http://www.theworkfoundation.com

(-:)10
 )02( 6 []311

.1
.
.2
.
.3

.
.4

.
.5
.

( ) (" )1626-1561
"( .)11
( ) ( )1790-1723

. (
) ( )1883-1818 (
) ( )1950-1883

(.)12
[]313 . ..

( ) ( )1924-1842

.
( ) ( )2003-1916
.
( ) ( ) -1924 ( )50%
. ( ) ( ) -1937(
) ( ) -1955


. ( )
(
) (.)13
( ) ( )1983-1902
.
.
( ) ( )2005-1909
Manual Worker
Knowledge Worker .



. (
)2006
 )02( 6 []311

( )
Knowledge Economy Index( ) Knowledge Index
.

( )WB
( )OECD (.)APEC
*
( ) ( )K4D

.
( )K4D

Quantitative Qualitative
Structural
.
Pillars :
-1 ( )28
.
-2 ( )24 .
-3 : ()14
Gender ( )5.
-4 ( )12 .


[]311 . ..

2009
( )2
-:
( )2
2009




EDU INN
ICT
EIR KEI

8.59 4.90 6.69 6.75 6.73

7.30 5.82 4.29 6.75 6.04

6.43 4.89 3.97 5.94 5.31

4.90 4.47 4.94 7.15 5.36
6.96 4.93 4.98 6.50 5.85
8.06 5.37 6.45 7.05 6.73
<<>> http://info.Worldbank.org

**Duncan

( )EIR ( )INN ( )EDU
( )ICT :
 )02( 6 []314

( )3 Duncan
2009
Duncan
Mean N t
Grouping
A 7.0450 6 ICT
A
A 6.6900 6 EIR

B 5.2200 6 Inn
B
B 5.0633 6 Edu

( )ICT
( )EIR
( )INN ( )EDU .
( )

2009 :


.

)(t
:
[]311 . ..

Y 1.1115 0.60335 X1 0.43678 X 2

)(2.06 )(7.95 )(17.26

( )4
2009

Y
()EIR X1
()ICT X2


()t
Constant -1.1115 2.06 2 R2 =99.2%
X1 0.60335 7.95 3 R-2 =98.6% X1
X2 0.43678 17.26 5 F =179.30 X2 0.009
DW=1.82
.

( )%99.2

( )EIR ( )ICT
( )%0.8
.
 )02( 6 []311

) (F ( )0.05
( )2.3 ( )Klein
.

( ) EIR
( )ICT
.


( )0.60335.

( )ICT

.


( )0.43678.

2005
( )5
-:
[]311 . ..

( )5
2005



EDU INN
ICT EIR KEI

6.88 3.33 6.39 6.15 5.69

6.87 5.74 2.71 5.60 5.23

5.80 3.57 5.36 5.08 4.95

4.48 3.78 3.19 4.88 4.08
6.85 5.19 5.17 7.02 5.85
6.59 5.23 5.47 6.02 5.83
<<>> http://info.Worldbank.org

Duncan
()EIR
( )INN ( )EDU ( )ICT
:
 )02( 6 []311

( )6 Duncan
2005

Duncan
Mean N t
Grouping
A 6.2450 6 ICT
A
5.7917 6 EIR
A
B 4.7150 6 INN
B
4.4733 6 EDU
B
.

( )ICT
( )EIR
( )INN ( )EDU .
( )

2005 :


.

) (t
:
[]311 . ..

ln Y 0.2615 ln 0.7653 X 2
)(0.70 )(3.40

( )7
2005

Y
( ....)EIR X1
()ICT X2


()t
Constant 0.2615 1.03 1 R2 =88.3%
X2 0.7653 5.49 4 R-2 =85.4%
5 F =30.19

DW=1.28

( )%88.3

( )ICT ( )%11.7

.
 )02( 6 []311

) (F ( )0.05
( )1.4 ( )DW

.

( )ICT

.
( )ICT

( )0.7653.

- 2005
( )8
-:

()1
[]313 . ..

Duncan
( )ICT (
1.000 ) ( ) ( 1.000
 )02( 6 []311

) ( 1.000)
( 1.000) ( )%
( ) ( 1.000 )
( /)

:

( )9 Duncan
2005

Duncan
Mean N t
Grouping
A 1035.13 6 ( 1.000)
B 824.30 6 ( 1.000)
C 505.27 6 ( )
D 210.83 6 ( 1.000)
) ( (

D 208.07 6
1.000)
D 182.17 6 ( 1.000)
D 90.75 6 ()%
D 19.64 6 ( /)
D 2.64 6
D 2.45 6

D 1.22 6

.
( 1.000)
( 1.000)
( )
[]311 . ..

( )9

2005 :



.

:
ln Y 37.387 9.498 ln X 2 12.317 ln X 3
)(4.10 )(4.13 )(2.96

( )10
2005

 )02( 6 []314

Y
( 1.000) X2
( ) X3

()t
2
Constant -37.387 4.10 2 R =89.1%
X2 9.498 4.13 3 R-2 =81.8% X2
X3 0.940
X3 -12.317 2.96 5 F = 12.21

DW 1.18

( )%89.1

( 1.000)
( ) ( )%10.9

.
) (F ( )0.05
( )2.3 ( )Klein
.
( )DW
.


( 1.000)

[]311 . ..

.
( 1.000)

( )9.498.

( )


. (
)

( )-12.317

( )
.

-
2005
( )11
-:
11
 )02( 6 []311

Duncan

( )
( ) (
[]311 . ..

) ( ) (
) :

( )12 Duncan
2005

Duncan
Mean N t
Grouping
(
A 22.94 6
) 2005
(
B 45 6
) 2005-1996
(
B 18 6
) 2005-1996
B 9 6 ( ) 2005
( )
B 3 6
2005-1996
B 1 6 2005
.
(
)2005
. (
( )
( )
 )02( 6 []311

2005
:



.


) (t
:
Y 2.9913 0.00012703 X 1
)(3.68 )(3.53

( )13
2005

[]311 . ..

Y
( )2005 X1
( ) (). X2
( ) -1996 X3
( 2005)


( )t
Constant 9913, 2 3.68 1 R2 =75.7%
X1 0.00012703 3.53 4 R-2 =69.7%
5 F =12.48
DW=2.77
.

( )%75.7

( )2005
( )%24.3
.
) (F ( )0.05
( )1.4 ( )DW
.

( )EIR
( )2005
.
(
 )02( 6 []311

)2005
( )EIR
( )0.00015703.

/
.1
2009 ( )%99
( ) (
) .


( )0.60335 .

()0.43678
.
.2
2005 ( )%88
( ) (
) .


( )0.7653.
[]313 . ..

.3
2005
( ) (
) ( .)%89

()9.498
.
.4
2005 2009






.

/
.1



(.)14
 )02( 6 []311

.2


.
.3



.
.4

.
.5



(.)15
.6


.
.7



]311[ . ..

Knowledge Economy Determinants in GCC

Countries

Dr. Abdullah Fadhil Al-Hayali

Lecturer/Head of Economic and Social Studies Dept./Regional
Studies Centre/Mosul University

Abstract
The deep and speed changes witnessed by knowledge society in the
th
21 century prove that the predominating economy will be knowledge
economy. Governments must possess efficient Institution systems,
active economic incentives. good governance. as well as systems of
education. innovation and information & communications to motivate
creative entrepreneurship. The applied econometrics analysis results
proved that economic incentives system. technology of information and
communications determine about (%99) of changes in knowledge
economy index of GCCS in 2009. These states must crystallize
economic and scientific awareness to comprehend and stabilize
technology of information and communications. concluding policies
that come from fact by technical self-sufficiency to stabilize technology
instead of importing and using economic feasibility standards without
stopping at the last chain of technology which is consumption deemed
by economic logic as of no use financial wasting.
 )02( 6 []314

( )8
2005

(
(/ ( ( ( 1.000
) 1.000 ( 1.000 1.000 ( ( )
2006 2005 ) ) ) ()% ) 1.000 ) 2005
2006 2005 2005 2006 2005 2005 ) (
2005 1.000
2006 ) 2005

3.6 4.1 5.01 13.07 308.2 923.2 0 85.9 115.7 1000.3 272.8 1273.1


0.0 3.3 3.54 30.23 213.3 579.4 0 95.4 169.0 1030.4 270.5 1300.9


2.3 0.0 0.0 21.33 70.4 33.3 0 98.7 353.9 575.3 164.4 739.7

0.0 0.0 0.0 14.53 111.0 194.4 0 79.2 46.6 519.4 103.3 622.7
1.4 3.6 2.23 22.22 276.1 347.9 0 95.4 236.6 938.6 201.3 1139.9
0.0 3.7 5.03 16.48 269.4 953.4 0 89.9 171.2 881.8 252.7 1134.5

<< >> http://info.Worldbank.org

-
2009.266
- 2008/2007
( )121 14 13 3 1 264- 228-226 220-217
268-265 261
.289-287
 []311 . ..

161

( )11
2005

(
( ( )
(
) 2005 (
)
) 2005-1996 2005 ) (
2005-1996 2005-1996 2007-2006 2005 2006-2002 ) 2006

58.6 33.4 2.3 84.25 8.4 0.868 25513.6 8.81 129.7


0.0 0.0 5.2 82.50 0.0 0.866 21482 6.20 12.9


74.2 21 5.2 81 14.9 0.812 15711.4 4.93 309.8


82.1 11.2 0.0 84.25 21.1 0.814 15602 2.07 24.3


0.0 0.0 1.1 86 0.0 0.891 26320.7 8.30 80.8

56 41 3.9 79 7.8 0.875 27664 9.38 42.5

>> http://info.Worldbank.org<< -
 )02( 6 ]311[

166

.) 1(
.9-5 2004
>>,www.cipe.arabia.org<< << >>http://www.cipe.org :
(2( World Bank, "The Knowledge Economy And Knowledge Assesment
Methodology", Washington DC., 2006, P.2.
(3) Derek H.C. Chen & Carl J. Dahlman, "The Knowledge Economy, the KAM
Methodology and World Bank Operations", World Bank, Washington D.C.
2006, P.4.
(4) Stephen K.C. Leung, STATISTICS to Measure the Knowledge Based
Economy: the Case of Hong Kong, China, Asia Pacific Technical Meeting on
Information & Communication Technology (ICT) Statistics. Wellington. 2004,
P.3.
(5) Ian Brinkley , Defining Knowledge Economy, The Work Foundation, 2006.
<<http://www.theworkfoundation.com>>
(6) Keith smith, "What is Knowledge Economy? Knowledge Intensity and
Distribution Knowledge Bases", The United Nations. University and Institute
For New Technology, Maastricht, The Netherlands, 2002, PP.7-8.
2007 ) 7(
.21-20
.18 ) 8(
.20-19 ) 9(
(10) Berglind Asgeirsdottir, OECD Work on Knowledge and the Knowledge
Economy, OECD Conference on Advancing Knowledge & Knowledge
Economy, National Academies. Washington DC., 2005, pp.3-9.
(11) Joel Mokyr, The Knowledge Economy, Agenda Vol. 11, No.4, Princton
University Press, London, 2002, P.363.
(12) Hebdrik van Den Berg, Economic Growth and Development, McGraw-Hill,
Singapore, 2001, PP .191-192.
<<http://www.mhhe.com>>
(13) Joseph Core right & Impresa Inc, New Growth Theory, Technology and
Learning A Practitioners Guides, Reviews of Economic Development
[]311 . ..

Literature and Practice, No.4, Economic Development Administration, eda,

USA, 2001, P. ii.
*

( )83 .
( )0( )10
( )10 (.)0
-:

.2008
**
Duncan's Multiple Range Test

.
-:

1980 .74
( )14
2010 .147-146
( )15 .145-144