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Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664

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Expert Systems with Applications


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Fuzzy AHP approach for supplier selection in a washing machine company


Ozcan Kilincci , Suzan Asl Onal
Dokuz Eylul University, Dept. of Industrial Engineering, Izmir, Turkey

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Keywords: Supplier selection process has gained importance recently, since the cost of raw materials and component
Multi-criteria decision-making parts constitutes the main cost of a product and most of the rms have to spend considerable amount of
Supplier selection their revenues on purchasing. Supplier selection is one of the most important decision making problems
Analytic hierarchy process including both qualitative and quantitative factors to identify suppliers with the highest potential for
Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process
meeting a rms needs consistently and at an acceptable cost. In this study, supplier selection problem
of a well-known washing machine company in Turkey is investigated and a fuzzy analytic hierarchy pro-
cess based methodology is used to select the best supplier rm providing the most customer satisfaction
for the criteria determined. After the main attributes and sub-attributes for supplier selection are dened
to design the hierarchy structure, the weights of them and alternatives are calculated using fuzzy analytic
hierarchy process approach. The supplier with the highest priority weight is selected as the best supplier.
Macros in MS Excel are written to calculate the priority weights of the alternatives based on the question-
naire forms used to facilitate comparisons of main attributes, sub-attributes and alternatives.
2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction cantly reduces the purchasing costs and improves corporate com-
petitiveness (Ghodsypour & OBrien, 2001).
Increases and varieties of customer demands, advances of re- Supplier selection is a multi-criteria problem which includes
cent technologies in communication and information systems, both qualitative and quantitative factors. In order to select the best
competition in global environment, decreases in governmental suppliers it is necessary to make a trade off between these tangible
regulations and increases in environmental consciousness have and intangible factors some of which may conict (Ghodsypour &
forced companies for focusing on supply chain management OBrien, 1998). The objective of supplier selection is to identify
(Tracey & Tan, 2001). The supply chain management term de- suppliers with the highest potential for meeting a rms needs con-
nes the integration of activities to procure materials, transforms sistently and at an acceptable cost. Selection is a broad comparison
them into intermediate goods and nal products, and delivers to of suppliers using a common set of criteria and measures. How-
customers. The supply chain consists of all links from suppliers ever, the level of detail used for examining potential suppliers
to customers of a product. Gofn, Szwejczewski, and New (1997) may vary depending on a rms needs.
have stated that supplier management is one of the key issues of Although analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is widely preferred
supply chain management because the cost of raw materials and for solving multi-criteria decision-making problems in real situa-
component parts constitutes the main cost of a product and most tions, it is insufcient to explain uncertain conditions in especially
of the rms have to spend considerable amount of their sales rev- pair-wise comparison stage. Most of humans judgments are not
enues on purchasing. In most industries the cost of raw materials represented as exact numbers. Since some of the evaluation crite-
and component parts constitutes the main cost of a product, such ria are subjective and qualitative in nature, it is very difcult for
that in some cases it can account for up to 70% (Ghobadian, Stainer, the decision-maker to express the preferences using exact numer-
& Kiss, 1993). In high technology rms, purchased materials and ical values and to provide exact pair-wise comparison judgments
services represent up to 80% of total product cost (Weber, Current, (Chan & Kumar, 2007). Fuzzy evaluations in decision making pro-
& Benton, 1991). Thus the purchasing department can play a key cess are very useful to tackle this disadvantage of AHP.
role in an organizations efciency and effectiveness since the To select the best supplier for a washing machine company, this
department has a direct effect on cost reduction, protability and study proposes a fuzzy extended AHP (FEAHP) approach using tri-
exibility of a company by selecting the right suppliers signi- angular fuzzy numbers to represent decision makers comparison
judgments and extent analysis method to decide the nal priority
of different decision criteria. The presented fuzzy AHP uses the lin-
Corresponding author. guistic variables and triangular fuzzy numbers as a pair-wise com-
E-mail address: ozcan.kilincci@deu.edu.tr (O. Kilincci). parison scale for deriving the priorities of different selection

0957-4174/$ - see front matter 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2011.01.159
O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664 9657

attributes and sub-attributes. After pair-wise comparisons, the pri- the cost method does same process using dollar gures assigned to
ority weights for main attributes, sub-attributes and alternatives the characteristics. Verma and Pullman (1998) examined the differ-
are combined to determine the priority weights of the alternative ence between managers rating of the perceived importance of dif-
suppliers. The supplier with the highest priority weight is selected ferent supplier attributes and their actual choice of suppliers in an
as the best supplier. Macros in MS Excel are used to calculate the experimental setting. Humphreys, Wong, and Chan (2003) pre-
priority weights of the alternatives based on the questionnaire sented a framework of environmental criteria which a company
forms used to facilitate comparisons of main attributes, sub- can consider during their supplier selection process.
attributes and alternatives. In particular, the approach presented AHP is widely used in studies related with categorical methods
can handle the inherent uncertainty and imprecision of the human since it is one of the extensively used multi-criteria decision-
decision making process and provide the exibility needed for the making methods. It effectively keeps both qualitative and quantita-
decision maker to understand the decision problem. tive data in decision making problems and is easier to understand
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: In Section 2, its process. Therefore it has been extensively applied to supplier
researches related with supplier selection problem in literature are selection problems. Muralidharan, Anantharaman, and Deshmukh
given. In Section 3, we explain AHP, fuzzy AHP, fuzzy numbers, fuz- (2001) proposed a methodology which makes estimation of the
zy sets and extent analysis method on fuzzy AHP. In Section 4, a rating by a group on an individual basis the principle of anonymity.
FEAHP based approach to select the best supplier rm providing Handeld, Walton, Sroufe, and Melnyk (2002) illustrated the use of
the most satisfaction for the criteria determined is developed and AHP as a decision support model to help managers understand the
the steps of each stage of the procedure is explained in detail. trade-offs between environmental dimensions. Pi and Low (2006)
The paper ends with concluding remarks in Section 5. proposed a supplier evaluation and selection system via Taguchi
loss function and AHP. Sevkli, Koh, Zaim, Demirbag, and Tatoglu
(2007) used data envelopment AHP to select the best supplier for
2. Literature survey a TV company. Although Ounnar, Pujo, Mekaouche, and Giambiasi
(2007) did not make a supplier selection in their research, best
During recent years supply chain management and supplier relationship between customer and supplier was examined using
selection process have received considerable attention in the liter- most of supplier selection criteria in the literature.
ature. Supplier selection is a multi-criteria problem and there are In order to deal with uncertainties of the decision problem and
not a lot of efcient techniques or algorithms that address this eliminate the disadvantages of AHP, fuzzy AHP is preferred in sup-
problem. However three major groups of methods in the literature plier selection studies. Altinoz (2001) examined supplier selection
are mathematical programming models, cost based models, and in general and specically in the Textile sector. Feng, Chen, and
categorical models. Jiang (2005) proposed a comprehensive evaluation method based
Since supplier selection problems usually have several objec- on fuzzy decision theory and characteristics of supply chain man-
tives such as maximization of quality or maximization of prot agement for optimal combination and selection among candidate
or minimization of cost, the problem can be modeled using math- suppliers and outsourced parts. Haq and Kannan (2006) aims to
ematical programming. Weber and Current (1993) proposed a demonstrate how fuzzy AHP model can help in solving supplier
multi-objective approach to supplier selection to aim at minimiz- selection decisions in practice. Lu, Wu, and Kuo (2007) adds envi-
ing the price, maximizing the quality and on time delivery using ronmental principles into supplier selection process by applying
systems constraints and policy constraints in a mixed integer fuzzy AHP. Chan, Kumar, Tiwari, Lau, and Choy (2008) propose a
model. Ghodsypour and OBrien (1998) proposed an integration fuzzy AHP approach for global supplier selection. Chamodrakas,
of AHP and linear programming to consider both tangible and Batis, and Martakos (2009) uses fuzzy AHP to select supplier in
intangible factors in choosing the best suppliers and placing the electronic sector.
optimum order quantities among them such that the total value The most common method used in the solution of fuzzy AHP
of purchasing becomes maximum. ebi and Bayraktar (2003) applications is the extent analysis method proposed by Chang
structure the supplier selection problem as an integrated lexico- (1992). Kahraman, Cebeci, and Ulukan (2003) used fuzzy AHP to
graphic goal programming and AHP model including both quanti- select the best supplier rm providing the most satisfaction for
tative and qualitative conicting factors. Wang, Huang, and the criteria determined in the white good sector. Same procedure
Dismukes (2004) use AHP and preemptive goal programming is used to select the best catering rm providing the most customer
based multi-criteria decision-making methodology is then devel- satisfaction by Kahraman, Cebeci, and Ruan (2004). Chan and Ku-
oped to take into account both qualitative and quantitative factors mar (2007) discussed a fuzzy extended AHP (FEAHP) approach
in supplier selection. Wang and Yang (2009) search supplier selec- using triangular fuzzy numbers to represent decision makers com-
tion in a quantity discount environment using multi objective lin- parison judgments and fuzzy synthetic extent analysis method to
ear programming, AHP, and fuzzy compromise programming. decide the nal priority of different decision criteria.
Since price has traditionally been a leading factor, selecting sup-
pliers based on cost has been a common approach. A popular appli-
cation of the cost approach has been calculating the total cost for 3. AHP and fuzzy AHP
each purchase. The total cost of working with each supplier is cal-
culated and the cheapest one is selected. Timmerman (1986) pro- AHP is a systematic procedure to solve multi-criterion decision
poses costratio method which collects all costs related to quality, making problems. It includes both subjective and objective evalu-
delivery, and services and shows them as a benet or penalty per- ation measures, offering a useful hierarchical procedure to control
centage on unit price. Ellram (1990) explains that a formal total the consistency of the evaluation measures and alternatives pre-
cost approach explicitly recognizes cost factors in addition to price ferred by decision makers to reduce bias in decision making pro-
and argues that any total cost approach should include transporta- cess. The application of AHP to a decision problem involves four
tion costs, receiving costs, quality costs, purchasing administrative steps (Zahedi, 1986). In structuring of the decision problem into
expenses and the price of the item. a hierarchical model, supplier selection problem is dened, objec-
Categorical methods are similar to the cost based methods be- tive is identied, criteria and attributes that must be satised to
cause where the categorical methods determines the best supplier objective are recognized. Objective is at rst level, criteria is at sec-
using rating values on relevant supplier performance characteristics, ond level, attributes are at third level, and decision alternatives are
9658 O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664

at fourth level in hierarchical structure of the problem. In making


pair-wise comparisons and obtaining the judgment matrix, the ele-
ments at a particular level are compared using nine-point numer-
ical scale to dene how much more an element is important than
other. If A and B are the elements to compare, 1 denes that A
and B are equal importance, and 9 denes that A is extreme
importance. All pair-wise comparisons are given in a judgment
matrix. Next step is to determine the local weights and consistency
of comparisons. Local weights of the elements are calculated from
the judgment matrix using eigenvector method. As the compari-
sons in the matrix are made subjectively, consistency ratio can
be computed. If the ratio is less than 0.1 human judgments is
acceptable. In last step, local weights at various levels are aggre-
gated to obtain nal weight of alternatives. The nal weights rep- e (Kahraman et al., 2004)
Fig. 1. A triangular fuzzy number, M
resent the rating of the alternatives in achieving the aim of the
multi-criterion decision making problem. Further information
about AHP can be found in Golden, Wasil, and Harker (1989), Saaty
(1980,1990). Fuzzy numbers are intuitively easy to use in expressing the
Although AHP has been widely used to solve the multi-criterion decision-makers qualitative assessments. A fuzzy number can al-
decision making problems, its most important disadvantage is that ways be given by its corresponding left and right representation
it use a scale of one to nine which cannot handle uncertainty deci- of each degree of membership (Kahraman et al., 2004):
sions in comparison of the attributes. All comparisons during AHP
implementation may not include a certainty therefore the decision e Mly ; Mry l m  ly; u m  uy;
M y 2 0; 1; 2
maker needs more than nine-point scale to describe the uncer-
tainty. In this condition, linguistic variables and triangular fuzzy where l(y)and r(y) denote the left side representation and the right
numbers can be used to decide the priority of one decision variable side representation of a fuzzy number, respectively. The algebraic
over other. Synthetic extent analysis method is used to decide the operations with fuzzy numbers can be found in Kahraman et al.
nal priority weights based on triangular fuzzy numbers and so- (2003).
called as fuzzy extended AHP (FEAHP) (Chan & Kumar, 2007).
The FEAHP is the fuzzy extension of AHP to efciently handle 3.2. Extent analysis method on fuzzy AHP
the fuzziness in the decision process to select the best supplier
by using both qualitative and quantitative data in the multi-attri- In crisp AHP, a discrete scale of one to nine is used to decide the
bute decision making problems. In this approach triangular fuzzy priority of one decision variable over another whereas in fuzzy AHP
numbers are used in replace of nine-point of scale in traditional fuzzy numbers or linguistic variables are used. In practice, decision
AHP and then the synthetic extent value of the pair-wise compar- makers usually prefer triangular or trapezoidal fuzzy numbers.
ison is calculated by using the extent analysis method. After the Since fuzzy numbers are used in fuzzy AHP, the solution methods
weight vectors are decided and normalized and normalized weight differentiate from crisp AHP. The most common method used in
vectors are determined, the nal priority weights of the alternative the solution of fuzzy AHP applications is the extent analysis meth-
suppliers are computed using the different weights of criteria and od proposed by Chang (1992).
attributes. As a result, the supplier with highest weight is selected The extent analysis method is used to consider the extent of an
as the best supplier. object to be satised for the goal, that is, satised extent. In the
method, the extent is quantied by using a fuzzy number. On
3.1. Fuzzy sets and fuzzy numbers the basis of the fuzzy values for the extent analysis of each object,
a fuzzy synthetic degree value can be obtained, which is dened as
The concept of fuzzy logic was conceived by Zadeh to formulate follows.
conclusions from vague, ambiguous or imprecise information. To In a supplier selection problem, let X = {x1, x2, ..., xn} represent
explain this information in mathematics, a fuzzy set which is a the elements of the alternatives as an object set and let
class of objectives with continuum grades of membership was U = {u1, u2, ..., um} represent the elements of the supplier selection
developed. A membership function in fuzzy sets assigns to each ob- criteria as a goal set. According to the method of Changs (1992) ex-
ject a grade of membership in [0, 1]. tent analysis, each object is taken and extent analysis for each goal,
A tilde  will be placed above a symbol if the symbol repre- gi, is performed respectively. Therefore, m extent analysis values
sents a fuzzy set. A triangular fuzzy number (TFN), M e is shown in for each object can be obtained, with the following signs:
Fig. 1. A TFN is denoted simply as (l, m, u). The parameters l, m,
and u denote the smallest possible value, the most promising value M1gi ; M2gi ; . . . ; Mm
gi ; i 1; 2; . . . ; n 3
and the largest possible value that describe a fuzzy event (Kahr-
aman et al., 2004). When l = m = u, it is a non-fuzzy number by con- where all the M jgi j ; 2; :::; m are TFNs.
vention (Chan & Kumar, 2007). The steps of Changs extent analysis can be given as in the fol-
Each TFN has linear representations on its left and right side lowing (Kahraman et al., 2004):
such that its membership function can be dened as (Kahraman (1) The value of fuzzy synthetic extent with respect to ith object
et al., 2004); is dened as
8 9 " #1
> 0; x < l; > X
m Xn X
m
>
> >
>
< x  l=m  l; l 6 x 6 m; = Si M jgi  M jgi 4
l Me 1 j1 i1 j1
>
> u  x=u  m; m 6 x 6 u; >
>
>
: >
; P
0; x > u: To obtain m j
j1 M g i , perform the fuzzy addition operation of m extent
analysis values for a particular matrix such that
O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664 9659

! 0 0 0
X
m X
m X
m X
m
W 0 d A1 ; d A2 ; . . . ; d An T ; 13
Mjgi lj ; mj ; uj 5
j1 j1 j1 j1 where Ai (i = 1, 2, . . ., n) are n elements.
P P (4) Via normalization, the normalized weight vectors are
and to obtain ni1 m j 1
j1 M g i  , perform the fuzzy addition operation
W dA1 ; dA2 ; . . . ; dAn T ; 14
of Mjgi j 1; 2; :::; m values such that
! where W is a non-fuzzy number. This gives the priority weights of
X
n X
m X
n X
n X
n
one alternative over another.
M jgi li ; mi ; ui 6
i1 j1 i1 i1 i1
4. Application of supplier selection process in the white good
and then compute the inverse of the vector in Eq. (6) such that sector
0 1
" #1
Xn X
m B 1 1 1 C One of the biggest white good manufacturers in Europe, estab-
M jgi B
@P ; n ; n C 7
n P P A lished in Turkey, wants to select the best supplier rm for one its
i1 j1 ui mi li
i1 i1 i1
critical parts used in the production of washing machines. The
white good company has refrigerator, washing machine, and A/C
(2) The degree of possibility of M2 l2 ; m2 ; u2 P factories which are sought for its products in over 90 countries
M1 l1 ; m1 ; u1 is dened as for example England, France, Germany and Spain. The annual
VM 2 P M 1 supbminlM1 x; lM2 yc 8 capacity of the washing machine factory, which won the title of
yPx the most productive facility in the world in the sector by the
and can be equivalently expressed as follows: number of products per capita, is 2 million units/year. With the
washing machines produced in the factory, doing an export in
VM 2 P M 1 hgtM1 \ M2 lM2 d 9 the amount of 225 million USD annually is foreseen.
8 9 The manufacturing company discussed in the study is new in
< 1;
> if m2 P m1 ; >
= this sector and it is trying to increase its customer base. Therefore
0; if l1 P u2 ; 10 the production facilities and the ability of the supplier to increase
>
: >
l1 u2
m2 u2 m1 l1
; otherwise; ; its capacity should be taken into account to judge the best supplier
rm. Also due to the white good sector, there are seasonal uctu-
where d is the ordinate of the highest intersection point D between ations. The suppliers capacity should be exible enough to meet
lM1 and lM2 . In Fig. 2, the intersection between M1 and M2 can be the changes in the market demand. Since the production is based
seen. on assembly, all of the raw materials are outsourced. In consider-
To compare M1 and M2, we need both the values of VM 1 P M 2 ation that the capacity of the factory is 2 million units/year, there
and VM 2 P M 1 . are a huge number of raw materials supplied. Therefore we can
(3) The degree of possibility for a convex fuzzy number to be conclude that the supplier selection is one of the most important
greater than k convex fuzzy numbers Mi (i = 1, 2, ..., k) can be de- decision-making problems in this washing machine company.
ned by
4.1. Fuzzy AHP procedure for the supplier selection problem
VM P M1 ; M 2 ; . . . ; Mk VM P M 1 andM
P M2 and . . . andM P M k min VM P M i ; i In this supplier selection problem, the relative importance of
1; 2; 3; . . . ; k: 11 different decision criteria involves a high degree of subjective judg-
ment and individual preferences. The linguistic assessment of hu-
Assume that man feelings and judgments are vague and it is not reasonable to
0 represent them in terms of precise numbers. It feels more con-
d Ai min VSi P Sk : 12
dent to give interval judgments. Therefore triangular fuzzy num-
For k = 1, 2, ..., n; k i. Then the weight vector is given by bers were used in this problem to decide the priority of one
decision variable over another. The triangular fuzzy numbers were
determined from reviewing literature (Kahraman et al., 2003).
Then synthetic extent analysis method was used to decide the nal
priority weights based on triangular fuzzy numbers and so-called
as fuzzy extended AHP. In the following sections, the main steps
of the method will be explained in detail.
Step 1: Dene the main attributes and sub-attributes for supplier
selection to design the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process tree structure.
First the overall objective of the supplier selection problem has
been identied which was selection of the best supplier rm. In
the white good sector a lot of criteria should be taken into account
because the competition is really high. All of the possible important
criteria which could affect the supply of the critical part have been
discussed with an expert in the Production Planning Department.
Also other supplier selection studies in the literature were reviewed
with the expert. By combining the attributes determined by the ex-
pert and the attributes used in the literature, the main attributes
and the sub-attributes in the study were determined.
First three main attributes have been identied. The main attri-
butes determined by the expert were supplier, product perfor-
Fig. 2. The intersection between M1 and M2 (Zhu, Jing, & Chang, 1999). mance and service performance. The discussion has been further
9660 O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664

prolonged to decide the 14 sub-attributes with three potential sup- (g) Working with Kanban approach: According to Kanban
pliers. The sub-attributes determined by the expert were nancial approach, the supplier rm keeps the stock of the product
status, management approach, technical ability, quality systems being purchased. By this way, the rm gets rid of the stock
and process, geographical location, production facility and capac- cost. Also according to this approach, the rm only pays
ity, working with Kanban approach, product price, handling, prod- for the amount of product it uses.
uct quality, follow-up, technical support, lead time and
professionalism. The main and sub-attributes have been discussed 4.1.2. Product performance criteria
in detail below. Product performance criteria can be used to examine important
characteristics of the product being purchased. It depends on the
4.1.1. Supplier criteria type of the product being considered. The sub-criteria of the prod-
Supplier criteria evaluates whether the supplier ts its supply uct performance criteria are explained below:
and technology strategy. They are developed to measure important
aspects of the suppliers business: nancial status, management (a) Product price: Product price is a high percentage of in total
approach, technical ability, quality systems and processes, geo- cost of the product. Therefore purchasing department wants
graphical location, production facilities and capacity, and working to purchase the product with minimum price to decrease the
with Kanban approach. The sub-criteria of the supplier criteria are total cost.
explained below: (b) Handling: Handling includes of the transportation, storage,
receiving, and packaging operations. First three operations
(a) Financial status: One of the key elements in relations of them are important in view of stockout condition and
between rm and supplier is long-term commitment. Finan- rapid delivery time. Also packaging provides not to damage
cial status of the supplier can be a good indicator to provide the product during transportation.
this key element. (c) Product Quality: The quality of the product being purchased
(b) Management approach: If supplier has a strategic manage- from supplier provides the quality of the product being pro-
ment and applies new methods in management, the rm duced by the rm (or customer). Performance criteria of the
will easily construct good relations with the supplier. suppliers quality can be measured using rejection rate of the
(c) Technical ability: Technical abilities represent that supplier product which is dened in terms of the number of parts
ensures future improvements according to changing in cus- rejected by the customers because of quality problems.
tomers needs.
(d) Quality systems and process: To provide a high-quality prod- 4.1.3. Service performance criteria
uct, supplier should have a quality system including quality Service performance criteria can be used to evaluate the bene-
assurance, quality control procedures, quality control charts, ts provided by the suppliers services. Service performance crite-
documentation, continuously quality improvement, etc. ria should always be included in the supplier selection criteria
(e) Geographical location: The location of the suppliers rm is because any purchase involves some degree of service, such as or-
important because of shorter delivery time, lower transpor- der processing, delivery and support. When assessing the tness of
tation cost, and faster technical support. services of the supplier rms, follow-up, technical support, lead
(f) Production facility and capacity: Suppliers production facili- time and professionalism will be used. The sub-criterias of the ser-
ties should meet customers specic requirements. When vice performance criteria are explained below:
the customer develops new product or improves current
product according to market demand the suppliers facilities (a) Follow-up: The supplier should give information to customer
should be available to produce it. Also the supplier can about the production steps, its warehousing operations, and
increase its capacity to supply more orders from the transportation processes. Customer is informed delay in the
customer. shipment of the product.

Selection of the best supplier firm

Supplier Criteria Product Performance Criteria Service Performance Criteria


Kanban Approach

Technical Support
Technical Ability

Quality Systems

Professionalizm
Product Quality
FinancialStatus

Product Price
Working with
Geographical
Management

Lead Time
Follow-up
Handling
Location

Capacity

Supplier A Supplier B Supplier C

Fig. 3. The hierarchy of the supplier selection problem.


O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664 9661

(b) Technical support: During the production of the product, cus- Table 2
tomer can need technical support from the supplier to make The fuzzy evaluation matrix with respect to the goal with linguistic variables.

changes in composition of the material to solve problems. Supplier Product Service


(c) Lead time: Lead time is the time from the moment the sup- performance performance
plier receives an order to the moment it ships it in the Supplier WP
absence of nished goods or intermediate inventory. It takes Product WP FSP
to actually manufacture the order without any inventory performance
Service performance
other than raw materials or supply parts. Therefore it
directly effects delivery time.
(d) Professionalism: Professionalism includes the knowledge,
accuracy, attitude and reliability of the supplier rm. Table 3
The fuzzy evaluation matrix with respect to the goal with triangular fuzzy numbers.

After the main attributes, sub-attributes and alternatives were Supplier Product Service
determined, the hierarchy of the supplier selection problem was performance performance
structured. Fig. 3 shows the structuring of the supplier selection Supplier (1, 1, 1) (2/3, 1, 3/2) (2/3, 1, 3/2)
problem hierarchy of four levels. The top level of the hierarchy rep- Product (2/3, 1, 3/ (1, 1, 1) (3/2, 2, 5/2)
performance 2)
resents the ultimate goal of the problem which is selection of the
Service (2/3, 1, 3/ (2/5, 1/2, 2/3) (1, 1, 1)
best supplier rm. The second level of the hierarchy is grouped under performance 2)
three categories, which are supplier attribute, product performance
attribute and service performance attribute. At the third level, these
ple, the calculation of the priority weights of the main attributes
main attributes are decomposed into various sub-attributes that
will be explained in detail below.
may affect the suppliers choice. Finally, the bottom level of the hier-
In Table 2, the fuzzy evaluation matrix with respect to the goal
archy represents the three alternative suppliers.
with linguistic variables can be found. By using the values in Table
Step 2: Calculate the weights of the main attributes, sub-attributes
1, the linguistic variables in the comparison matrix were converted
and alternatives. After the construction of the hierarchy, the differ-
to triangular fuzzy numbers. The fuzzy evaluation matrix with re-
ent priority weights of each main attribute, sub-attribute and alter-
spect to the goal with triangular fuzzy numbers can be seen in Ta-
native were calculated using the fuzzy AHP approach. The
ble 3. In order to nd the priority weights of the main attributes,
comparison of the importance of one main attribute, sub-attribute
rst the fuzzy synthetic extent values of the attributes were calcu-
and alternative over another were achieved by the help of the
lated by using Eq. (4). The different values of fuzzy synthetic extent
questionnaire. The questionnaires facilitate the answering of
of the three different main attributes were denoted by SS, SPP, SSP.
pair-wise comparison questions. The preference of one measure
over another was decided by the available research and the expe- SS 2:34; 3; 4  1=12:17; 1=9:5; 1=7:58
rience of the expert.
0:19; 0:32; 0:53 15
First the expert compared the main attributes with respect to
the main goal; then the expert compared the sub-attributes with
SPP 3:17; 4; 5  1=12:17; 1=9:5; 1=7:58
respect to the main attributes. At the end, the expert compared
the supplier rms with respect to each sub-attribute. The expert 0:26; 0:42; 0:66 16
used the linguistic variables to make the pair-wise comparisons.
Then the linguistic variables were converted to triangular fuzzy SSP 2:07; 2:5; 3:17  1=12:17; 1=9:5; 1=7:58
numbers. Table 1 shows the linguistic variables and their corre-
0:17; 0:26; 0:42 17
sponding triangular fuzzy numbers. Owing to the limited space,
the pair-wise comparison matrix of main attributes with respect The degree of possibility of Si over Si (i j) was determined by using
to the goal will be presented here. Eqs. (9) and (10).
After the pair-wise comparison matrices were formed, the con-
0:26  0:53
sistency of the pair-wise judgment of each comparison matrix was VSS P SPP 0:73 18
0:32  0:53  0:42  0:26
checked using the calculation method of consistency index and
consistency ratios in crisp AHP.
VSS P SSP 1 19
Each triangular fuzzy number, M = (l, m, u) in the pair-wise
comparison matrix was converted to a crisp number using
VSPP P SS 1 20
M crisp 4  m l u=6. After the fuzzy comparison matrices
were converted into crisp matrices, the consistency of each matrix
VSPP P SSP 1 21
was checked by the method in crisp AHP (Kwong & Bai, 2003).
After calculation, the consistency ratio of each comparison matrix 0:19  0:42
was found to be under 0.10. So we can conclude that the consis- VSSP P SS 0:79 22
0:26  0:42  0:32  0:19
tency of the pair-wise judgments in all matrices is acceptable.
Then the priority weights of each main attribute, sub-attribute
0:26  :42
and alternative were calculated using FAHP method. As an exam- VSSP P SPP 0:50 23
0:26  :42  0:42  0:26
With the help of Eq. (12), the minimum degree of possibility was
Table 1 stated as below:
The linguistic variables and their corresponding fuzzy numbers.
0
d S min0:73; 1 0:73 24
Equally preferred (EP) (1, 1, 1)
Weakly preferred (WP) (2/3, 1, 3/2) 0
Fairly strongly preferred (FSP) (3/2, 2, 5/2) d PP min1; 1 1 25
Very strongly preferred (VSP) (5/2, 3, 7/2)
Absolutely preferred (AP) (7/2, 4, 9/2) 0
d SP min0:79; 0:50 0:50 26
9662 O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664

Table 4
Priority vectors for the decision hierarchy.

Variables in level 1 Level 1 priorities Variables in level 2 Level 2 priorities Variables in level 3 Level 3 priorities
Supplier criteria (S) 0.33 Financial status (FS) 0.18 Supplier A 0.16
Supplier B 0.84
Supplier C 0
Management (M) 0 Supplier A 1
Supplier B 0
Supplier C 0
Technical ability (TA) 0.22 Supplier A 0.58
Supplier B 0.42
Supplier C 0
Quality systems (QS) 0.31 Supplier A 0.58
Supplier B 0.42
Supplier C 0
Geographical location (GL) 0.04 Supplier A 0
Supplier B 0
Supplier C 1
Capacity (C) 0.25 Supplier A 0.58
Supplier B 0.42
Supplier C 0
Working with Kanban 0 Supplier A 0.33
approach (WWKA)
Supplier B 0.22
Supplier C 0.45
Product performance 0.45 Product price (PP) 0.16 Supplier A 0.45
criteria (PP)
Supplier B 0.22
Supplier C 0.33
Handling (H) 0 Supplier A 0.58
Supplier B 0.42
Supplier C 0
Product quality (PQ) 0.84 Supplier A 0.45
Supplier B 0.33
Supplier C 0.22
0.22 Follow-up (F) 0 Supplier A 0.45
Supplier B 0.22
Supplier C 0.33
Technical support (TS) 0.23 Supplier A 0.45
Supplier B 0.33
Supplier C 0.22
Lead time (LT) 0.69 Supplier A 0.58
Supplier B 0.42
Supplier C 0
Professionalism (P) 0.08 Supplier A 0.58
Supplier B 0.42
Supplier C 0

Therefore the weight vector was given as W0 = (0.73, 1, 0.50). After Step 3: Compute the overall score of each supplier and choose the
normalization process, the weight vector of the main attributes best supplier. In the last step, the priority weights of the main attri-
which are supplier attribute, product performance attribute and butes and sub-attributes were combined to determine priority
service performance attribute was found to be weights of the alternative suppliers. In Table 5, each column of
WG = (0.33, 0.45, 0.22)T. We can conclude that the most important the matrix was multiplied by the priority weight at the top of
attribute in the supplier selection process is product performance the column and then those values were added up for each row.
attribute because it has the highest priority weight. Supplier attri- At the end, the priority weights of the alternatives with respect
bute is the next preferred attribute. to supplier attribute were calculated.
The same calculations were applied to the other pair-wise com- The same calculations have been applied to the sub-attributes
parison matrices and the priority weights of each main attribute, of product performance attribute and service performance attri-
sub-attribute and alternative were calculated. The priority weights bute and the priority weights of the alternatives with respect to
of each main attribute, sub-attribute, and alternative can be found product performance and service performance attributes have
in Table 4. been calculated. The priority weights can be seen in Tables 6 and 7.

Table 5
Sub-attributes of supplier criteria.

FS M TA QS GL C WWKA Alternative priority weight


Weight 0.18 0 0.22 0.31 0.04 0.25 0
Alternative
Supplier A 0.16 1 0.58 0.58 0 0.58 0.33 0.48
Supplier B 0.84 0 0.42 0.42 0 0.42 0.22 0.48
Supplier C 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.45 0.04
O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664 9663

Table 6 5. Conclusion
Sub-attributes of product performance criteria.

PP H PQ Alternative priority weight Supplier selection is a broad comparison of suppliers using a


Weight 0.16 0 0.84 common set of criteria and measures to identify suppliers with
Alternative the highest potential for meeting a rms needs consistently and
Supplier A 0.45 0.58 0.45 0.45 at an acceptable cost. Selecting the right suppliers signicantly re-
Supplier B 0.22 0.42 0.33 0.31
duces the purchasing costs and improves corporate competitive-
Supplier C 0.33 0 0.22 0.24
ness therefore supplier selection one of the most important
decision making problems.
In this study, a fuzzy AHP based approach is presented to select
Table 7 the best supplier rm providing the most customer satisfaction for
Sub-attributes of service performance criteria. the criteria determined for a washing machine company. Three
main attributes and 14 sub-attributes are determined based on lit-
F TS LT P Alternative priority weight
erature survey and the experience of the expert in the Production
Weight 0 0.23 0.69 0.08
Planning Department. Comparison of the main attributes and sub-
Alternative
Supplier A 0.45 0.45 0.58 0.58 0.55 attributes and suppliers are made using a questionnaire. The
Supplier B 0.22 0.33 0.42 0.42 0.40 weights of the main attributes, sub-attributes and alternatives
Supplier C 0.33 0.22 0 0 0.05 are calculated using fuzzy AHP approach. Best supplier is selected
after computing the overall score of each supplier.
To select the best supplier, all of the calculations in fuzzy AHP
are written using macros in MS Excel. It has several advantages.
Table 8
The supplier selection problem can be solved in a shorter and more
Main-attributes of the goal.
accurate way. It permits making hand-made errors while making
S PP SP Alternative priority weight the mathematical calculations. Also future changes in the prefer-
Weight 0.33 0.45 0.22 ences of the main attributes, sub-attributes or alternatives can be
Alternative easily reected on the priority weights of the alternatives without
Supplier A 0.48 0.45 0.55 0.48 calculating all of the steps from the beginning once more. In this
Supplier B 0.48 0.31 0.40 0.39
Supplier C 0.04 0.24 0.05 0.13
study, supplier selection process is presented for only one impor-
tant part of the washing machine. Fuzzy AHP approach can be eas-
ily adopted to select best supplier for each of other important parts
At the end, the priority weights of the alternatives with respect of the washing machine using the macros in MS Excel.
to the main attributes were combined and the priority weights of This study can be extended to incorporate the suppliers capac-
the alternatives were determined. The priority weights of the alter- ity constraints in the supplier selection process. Thus an integrated
native suppliers can be seen in Table 8. AHP and mathematical programming model can be proposed to
In order to shorten the solution process for the supplier selec- determine the best suppliers and the optimal order quantities from
tion problem, macros in Excel were used to calculate the priority the chosen suppliers. Also, the macros in MS Excel can be inte-
weights of the alternatives based on the questionnaire forms used grated into ERP software. Suppliers information, such as delivery
to facilitate comparisons of main attributes, sub-attributes and time, product quality, professionalism and etc., can be collected
alternatives. The expert lled out the questionnaire forms. Some from database of ERP. This integration may reduce time consuming
example parts of questionnaire form are given in appendices. Then efforts in supplier selection process.
macros in Excel made all of the calculations mentioned above to
calculate the priority weights of the alternative rms. The priority
Appendix A. Appendices
weights for the alternatives were found to be (0.48, 0.39, 0.13).
According to the nal score, Supplier A is the most preferred sup-
Some parts of questionnaire forms, which are written in MS Ex-
plier because it has the highest priority weight and Supplier B is
cel using macros, used to facilitate comparisons of main and sub-
the next recommended alternative supplier.
attributes.

Table A1.1
Questionnaire form used to facilitate comparisons of main attributes.

With respect to: the Best supplier Firm Importance (or preference) of one main-attribute over another
Questi ons Attributes Absolute Very strong Fairly Strong Weak Equal Weak Fairly Strong Very strong Absolute Attributes
Ql Supplier X Product
Q2 Supplier X Service
Q3 Product X Service

Table A1.2
Questionnaire form used to facilitate comparisons of sub-attributes of service.

With respect to: Service Importance (or preference) of one sub-attribute over another
Questions Sub-attributes Absolute Very strong Fairly Strong Weak Equal Weak Fairly Strong Very strong Absolute Sub-attributes
Q28 Follow-up X Technical Support
Q29 Follow-up X Lead Time
Q30 Follow-up X Professionalism
Q31 Technical Support X Lead Time
Q32 Technical Support X Professionalism
Q33 Lead Time X Professionalism
9664 O. Kilincci, S.A. Onal / Expert Systems with Applications 38 (2011) 96569664

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