PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS

Singapore, 30 May - 1 Jun 2017

Also available:

London, 19-21 Apr 2017

Johannesburg, 24-26 Jul 2017
New York, 21-23 Aug 2017
London, 6-8 Sep 2017
Singapore, 23-25 Oct 2017
London, 20-22 Nov 2017

COURSE AGENDA

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 More about this course...

Predictive and Cognitive Analytics is seen to be frustratingly black box with the end user
having little idea what a model is sensitive to, how or why it was created. The process involved
in creating models has long been shrouded in mystery; a status quo which this workshop aims
to dispel.

over the duration of this course, you will be taken through the process of creating a Developing
Predictive and Cognitive Analytics, breaking the process down into easy to understand, bite
size chunks with the application of the facilitators Methodology.

By the end of the workshop you will have an appreciation for how Predictive and Cognitive
Analytics are produced to able to effectively participate, or lead in your creation.

In just 3 days, you will...

Understand Predictive Analytics and be able to communicate data and your data
manipulation ideas in a commonly understood manner.
Analyse using summary statistics and be able to apply techniques to describe data using
Palisade Statools.
Create your first usable models with Linear and Logistic Regression using Palisade
StatTools.
Collaborate in making sense of your subjective judgment using probability, likelihood and
decision trees using Palisade PrecisionTree.
Design Bayesian network models applying techniques to create Causes and
Consequence models using Norsys Netica.

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 How the course will be taught...

The workshop is delivered in modules of one hour where the instructor will explain with the aid
of practical demonstration then allow the class time to imitate on their terminals. Each
Presentation Session will be followed by a one hour practice and problem solving session, short
break and before moving onto the next concept.

The techniques used in these workshops are known as Defense Instructional Techniques and
is a technique for extremely high intensity training with good retention of the concepts trained.
The pace of this workshop is extremely fast, high intensity and in places quite pressured.

Free Exhaustive Jube.io Licence worth $800

Exhaustive Jube.io is a software utility used extensively at Jube.io for the creation of simple
and explainable models based on either Logistic or Linear Regression. Using a proven manual
methodology, it automates this methodology from data preparation through to activation of
the model. The software entirely automates the role of a Data Analyst, where that Data
Analyst predominantly uses Logistic or Linear Regression, placing modelling control firmly in
the hands of the business user. An Exhaustive Jube.io Licence is priced at $800 per user but is
free for participants of this course (licence key provided after course completion).

Pre-Course Requirements

Participants will need to install Amazon Workspaces Client in advance of the course.

This programme works on a PC or Mac and will allow you to gain access to your personal
windows 7 virtual machine which will include all software and examples to assure you gain
maximum benefit from the course.

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 COURSE SCHEDULE

Day 1: Linear Techniques

Big Picture Introduction
Speed Networking

An introduction to predictive analytics to provide foundation for the techniques to be

covered on the course
Predictive and Cognitive Analytics?
Quantitative vs Qualitative
Origins
Limits
Process
Dataset Terminology
Data Types
Types of Predictive Analytics
Problem Framing and Elicitation

Case Study: Elicitation of Variables

Basic Statistics with Palisade StatTools

Predictive Analytics is rooted almost entirely in statistics and an understanding of basic
statistics is vital to fully understand the linear and nonlinear predictive analytics
techniques to be taught in the course:
Time Series \ OLHC Data
Frequency
Histogram
Range
Tendency
Spread
Shape
Range
Tendency
Spread

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 Shape
Z Score to Probability

Case Study: Stock Portfolio Selection

Abstraction and Transformations

Statistics underpin predictive analytics, however, the real power is the shaping and
moulding of data for a given problem domain to create datasets that are more enriched
and meaningful and thus lead to better predictive analytics models, measured by better
predictive or classification accuracy:
Domain and Data.
Data Meaning and Creativity
FX Problem Framing and Elicitation
Conditional Statements
Vertical Abstraction
Horizontal Abstraction
Statistical Abstraction
Momentum Abstraction
Point Step Abstraction
Anchoring Abstraction
Model \ File Name Convention

Case Study: Abstraction

Linear Regression
Linear Regression is an approach to modelling a relationship between variables and a
continuous value. Linear Regression can form a simple yet extremely powerful form of
predictive analytics:
Relationship Estimation
Correlation Analysis
Stepwise Correlation
Just In Time Correlation
Line Fitting and Extrapolation
Linear Regression Output
Deployment
Confidence Intervals
Stepwise Linear Regression

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 Multicollinearity
Sampling
Visual Representation

Case Study: Linear Regression

Day 2: Nonlinear Techniques

The second day of the workshop will focus more predictive analytics using more advanced
techniques and machine learning. Day two is orientated around classification and in
addition to quasi linear techniques, in the form of Logistic Regression. brings to bear
nonlinear classification techniques such as Decision Trees and Bayesian Networks.

Logistic Regression
Logistic Regression is extremely similar to Linear Regression except for it is intended to
model yes \ no, rather binary, type problems and in this regard is useful for classification
and behavioural analytics:
Behavioural Analytics
Profile Deviation Abstraction
Binary Regression \ Classification
Sampling
Categorical Data Pivoting
Logistic Regression Output
Stepwise Logistic Regression
Visualisation of Logistic Regression
Logistic Regression Deployment
Probability Function

Case Study: Logistic Regression

Probability, Product and Decision Trees

While not a predictive analytics technique per-se, Decision Trees are useful to model
events that must take place to achieve a particular outcome based on probability product.
In this course Decision Trees provide a useful primer to the Bayesian Probability
techniques taught furthermore, by introducing C5 Decision Trees, the concept of Entropy,
rather Maximum Entropy, can be introduced as a means to separate classes (used more

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 succinctly in the Exhaustive Search with Exhaustive Jube.io module):
Causal Thinking
Probability Introduction
Expert Judgement
Conditional Probability
Decision Trees
Activation Utility
Maximum Entropy
C5 Decision Trees
Boosting \ Ensemble Activation

Exhaustive Search with Exhaustive Jube.io

Free Licence for Course Participants worth $800
Exhaustive Jube.io is a tool that completely automates the Linear and Logistic
Regression modelling process outputting an optimal model for deployment

Case Study: Logistic Regression and Activation Rules

Norsys Netica and Bayesian Analysis

Case Study: Bayesian Network

Day 3: Automated Model Search & Selection

The final day of the workshop will focus on using computation power to automate model
search and selection. Upon resting upon an optimal model stochastic \ Monte Carlo
techniques will be used to obtain understanding of the likely performance of the model in
product as well as identify optimal and risk scenarios.

Neural Networks with Neurosolutions

Neural Networks are an extremely accurate, albeit complex and internally unexplainable,
means of creating predictive analytics models. Neural Networks work just as well for
classification as they do numeric prediction, while also providing a means to cluster data
into hitherto unknown, yet related groups:
Artificial Neural Networks
Visualisation of Logistic Regresson

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 Artificial Neural Networks
Supervised vs. Unsupervised
Generalisation
NeuralExpert: Predict \ Classify
Training and Testing
Improving Model Performance
NeuralExpert: Cluster
NeuralBuilder: Granular Topology

Case Study: Neural Network on Familiar Datasets

Using NeuroSolutions, the class will use Neural Networks on all datasets used in the
course so far and observe the outputs.

Introduction to Infinity
Notwithstanding the power of the Neural Networks and their ability to create extremely
accurate models with hundreds, if not thousands, of independent variables, less is often
more given the most appropriate neural network topology and independent variable
combinations. Neurosolutions Infinity is a means to automate the trial and error involved
in building Neural Networks by automatically creating an extremely accurate neural
network with topology and independent variable combinations are as simple as can
possibly be:
Infinity Concepts
Projects
Models

Case Study: Invoking Models in Infinity

The class will upload and initiate training of all datasets used in the training course.

Monte Carlo Model Search

Case Study: Simulate Performant Logistic Regression Model

Case Study: Derive, Model and Simulate

Wrap

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 MEET YOUR TRAINER

Richard Churchman is Managing Partner at Jube.io where he is responsible

for developing a proprietary predictive analytics platform that is used in a
variety of industries. The platform is predominantly positioned in Funds
(Banks, Hedge Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds and Mutual Funds etc.) to help
manage investment portfolios using a blend of Quantitative Methods
(Regression and Neural Networks typically) and Qualitative Methods (Expert
Judgement and increasingly Augmented Bayesian Networks).

Richard has over 16 years experience working with predictive analytics across a variety of
industries and so can provide meaningful insight into the application of all techniques taught on
the course in other problem industrial domains (e.g. Marketing Churn Models).

PRICING

THE EARLIER YOU BOOK, THE MORE YOU SAVE

Before 10 Mar 2017 Before 21 Apr 2017 Before 12 May 2017 After 12 May 2017

SGD $4,750 SGD $5,275 SGD $5,540 SGD $5,805

Save SGD $1,055 Save SGD $530 Save SGD $265

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 INHOUSE TRAINING

Need to get your whole team up to speed? We can come to you. For groups of six or more, our
trainers will design a bespoke programme to meet your business needs, including a lesson pack
with examples, models, user-driven content, custom case studies everything you need to keep
learning on your own time.

In-house training is the most cost-effective and convenient option for teams, so get in touch
today and let us customise your training experience.

For futher information please refer to: http://www.terrapinntraining.com/in-house-training

CONTACT US

Terrapinn Training

Terrapinn Holdings Ltd

Wren House
43 Hatton Garden
London
EC1N 8EL
UK

Telephone: +44 (0)207 092 1045

Email: emma-jane.dinan@terrapinn.com

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.

 LINKS

www.terrapinntraining.com
www.terrapinntraining.com/training/917/3-Day-Masterclass-in-Predictive-Analytics/

Register at:

https://secure.terrapinn.com/v5/step1.aspx?E=8899

Accurate as of 10 March 2017. Always refer to website for latest information.