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MINISTERIO DE AGRICULTURA Y RIEGO

Proyecto de Inversin Pblica

Estudio de Pre-Inversin

Proyecto de Embalse de Agua de la Laguna la Nia para la Agricultura


Lambayeque, Marzo del 2017

CONTENIDO

MODULO 1: ASPECTOS GENERALES

1.1 Nombre del proyecto


1.2 Unidad formuladora y ejecutora
1.3 Participacin de las entidades involucradas y beneficiarios.
1.4 Marco de referencia

MODULO 2: IDENTIFICACIN

2.1 Diagnstico de la situacin actual


2.2 Definicin del problema y sus causas
2.3 Objetivo del proyecto
2.4 Alternativas de solucin

MODULO 3: FORMULACIN

3.1 Horizonte del proyecto


3.2 Anlisis de la demanda
3.3 Anlisis de la oferta
3.4 Balance oferta-demanda
3.5 La secuencia de etapas y actividades de cada proyecto alternativo y su duracin.
3.6 Los costos a precios de mercado
3.7 Flujo de costos a precios de mercado.

MODULO 4: EVALUACIN

4.1 Evaluacin econmica a precios de mercado


4.2 Estimacin de los costos sociales
4.3 Evaluacin social
4.4 Anlisis de sensibilidad
4.5 Seleccionar el mejor proyecto alternativo.
4.6 Anlisis de sostenibilidad
4.7 Anlisis de impacto ambiental
4.8 Marco lgico

CONCLUSIONES

ANEXOS

Cuadro Situacin de Vulnerabilidad de la Zona en que se ejecutar el Proyecto


Memoria Descriptiva del Terreno
Plano de Ubicacin
Planos de Distribucin
Resumen General de la obra civil Ofic. de Obras

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MODULO I: ASPECTOS GENERALES

1.1 NOMBRE DEL PROYECTO


Proyecto de Embalse de Agua de la Laguna la Nia para la Agricultura

1.2 UNIDAD FORMULADORA Y EJECUTORA DEL PROYECTO


Cortez Abanto Vernica
Glvez Pucar Ana Isabel
Torres Pinche David
Gerencia de Desarrollo Econmico- Direccin Regional de Agricultura-Gobierno Regional de
Piura

1.2.1 Unidad Formuladora.


Cortez Abanto Vernica
Glvez Pucar Ana Isabel
Torres Pinche David

1.2.2 Funcionarios responsables.


Gerente de Desarrollo Econmico- GRP
Ingeniero Residente
Ingeniero Supervisor

1.2.3 Propuesta de la Unidad Ejecutora.


Optimizacin del agua de la Laguna la Nia para aprovechamiento agrcola, pecuario y
acucola, realizando un proyecto de construccin de una presa de almacenamiento de agua
de la Laguna la Nia, siendo el objetivo principal retener el agua para su uso regulado en
irrigacin en la agricultura.

1.3 PARTICIPACIN DE LAS ENTIDADES INVOLUCRADAS Y DE LOS BENEFICIARIOS


1.3.1 Entidades involucradas
a. Gobierno Regional a travs de la Gerencia Regional de Desarrollo Econmico que tiene
por objeto crear las condiciones para promover la participacin de la poblacin y del sector
privado en el desarrollo econmico.

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b. Agro Rural programa que tiene por finalidad promover el desarrollo agrario rural, a travs
del financiamiento de proyectos de inversin pblica en zonas rurales de menor grado
desarrollo econmico.

c. Autoridad Nacional del Agua (ANA) del Ministerio de Agricultura y Riego como ente rector
y mxima autoridad normativa del Sistema Nacional de Gestin de los Recursos Hdricos.

d. Municipalidad de Sechura entidad local que velar por el cumplimiento del proyecto en
beneficio de sus pobladores.

1.3.2 Beneficiarios

a. Poblacin de agricultores de Sechura y Piura que podrn lograr el aprovechamiento de las


aguas para uso agrcola, pecuario y acucola para el desarrollo local.

b. Municipalidad de Sechura logrando que las aguas de la Laguna la Nia no le afecten a sus
cultivos y carreteras de la zona.

c. Gobierno Regional que podr con este proyecto de alto impacto en la regin lograr mayor
crecimiento econmico.

1.3.3 Conflictos de intereses


Por ser un proyecto de aporte regional en beneficio de la poblacin Piurana y al no afectar a
personas la ubicacin, podemos afirmar que el proyecto no presenta conflicto de intereses.

1.3.4 Estrategia para resolver compromisos


a. La poblacin de agricultores beneficiados por el sistema de embalse deben utilizar
adecuadamente y proporcionalmente el agua que es proporcionada por este sistema,
adems de los recursos asignados para la ejecucin del proyecto.

b. La municipalidad de Sechura y Piura deber realizar una adecuada inversin y uso del
sistema de embalse de la laguna La Nia para un mayor aprovechamiento, eficacia y
eficiencia de este.

c. La Autoridad Nacional del Agua (ANA) del Ministerio de Agricultura deber promover
capacitacin a agricultores sobre el aprovechamiento de estos sistemas de embalses y como
impactara directamente este proyecto al rendimiento de sus cultivos.

1.3.5 Acuerdos y compromisos alcanzados

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a. Encargar a la Unidad Formuladora (UF) la elaboracin del proyecto para su posterior
ejecucin.
b. Dotar de los recursos econmicos, tcnicos y logsticos para la elaboracin del proyecto.
c. Generar instancias de participacin en los beneficiaros en el proceso de elaboracin y
ejecucin del proyecto.
d. Seguimiento del proyecto en todas las fases a realizarse
e. Establecer acuerdos con el Gobierno Regional de Piura.

1.4 MARCO DE REFERENCIA


1.4.1 Antecedentes del proyecto (Resumen)
BUSCAR PROYECTO O DIAGNOSTICO ANTECEDENTE
Este fenmeno de la Laguna de la Nia ya se ha presentado antes, stas descargas
desviadas conjuntamente con las aguas vertidas de los ros Piura, Olmos y Cascajal, han
contribuido a la formacin, una vez ms, de la laguna temporal denominada "La Nia".
Las descargas excepcionales, provocadas por el Fenmeno El Nio en enero, febrero y
marzo de 1998, han determinado que la Laguna La Nia alcance una extensin mxima de
2,326 km y con una altura de agua promedio estimada en 3,5 m.

La peculiaridad de su presencia en el 2017, es su gran dimensin: La Nia alcanz una


extensin mxima de 2,326 kilmetros cuadrados de rea y un volumen de agua mxima
acumulada supera los 8 mil millones de metros cbicos, por lo que su desborde es una
grave amenaza para la poblacin aledaa, as como para los terrenos de cultivo de la zona.

Actualmente, la laguna se encuentra colmatada y sobredimensionada; llegando incluso a


unirse con el lago San Ramn, el cual estaba separado de ella por varios kilmetros de
distancia. Es as como "La Nia" del 2017 se parece ms a un lago de grandes dimensiones,
que ya ha afectado extensas reas de terrenos de cultivo y carreteras.

En efecto, el ministro de Agricultura, Jos Hernndez, indic que con la ayuda de expertos
se busca cmo evacuar con mayor rapidez las aguas de la laguna La Nia, que contina
inundando zonas del Bajo Piura, para evitar el peligro de nuevas inundaciones y facilitar el
secado de terrenos afectados.

1.4.2 Breve descripcin del proyecto


PLAN ESTRATEGICO DEL MINISTERIO, PLANES DE DESARROLLO , POLITICA PUBLICA Y
CONTEXTO SOCIOECONOMICO ( POLITICA SECTORIAL Y FUNCIONAL) Y LUEGO CONTEXTO
REGIONAL - PRESUPUESTO
El proyecto consta de la construccin de una presa de abastecimiento para el mejor uso
destinado para el sector agrcola. El embalse tendra una longitud aproximada de 2,326

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kilmetros cuadrados de rea y un volumen de agua mxima acumulada que supera los 8
mil millones de metros cbicos. Con la realizacin de este proyecto se cumplen 3 objetivos
principales: Alta productividad a acorde con la disponibilidad de recursos fsicos y
financieros; reducir la irregularidad del recurso hdrico y mejorar los niveles de vida de los
agricultores.

MODULO II: IDENTIFICACIN

2.1 DIAGNSTICO DE LA SITUACIN ACTUAL


2.1.1 Antecedentes de la situacin que motiva el proyecto
a) Motivos que generaron la propuesta de este proyecto.
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b) Caractersticas de la situacin negativa que se intenta modificar.


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c) Razones por las que es de inters para la comunidad resolver dicha situacin.
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d) Explicacin de porque es competencia del estado resolver dicha situacin.
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2.1.2 Zona y poblacin afectadas.

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a) Caractersticas de la zona afectada y la estimacin de su proyecto.
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b) Caracterstica de los grupos sociales afectadas.


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2.1.3 Gravedad de la situacin negativa que se intenta modificar


a) Temporalidad
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b) Relevancia
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c) Grado de avance
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2.1.4 Intentos anteriores de solucin

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2.1.5 Intereses de los grupos involucrados


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Inters en
Grupo de Problemas participar
Intereses Conflictos
involucrados percibidos en una
estrategia
Desborde de las Generacin de Sistema Con el
aguas de la mayor desarrollo adecuado municipio de
Laguna la Nia. econmico de Sechura
recoleccin
Gobierno de agua
Regional de
Piura

Prdida de Evitar que el Sistema


cultivos agua adecuado
desbordada de
genere dao en recoleccin
Municipalidad de Deslizamiento de los cultivos y de agua
Sechura carreteras carreteras

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Desarrollo local

Problema z1 Inters z1

Grupo z Problema z2 Inters z2

2.2 DEFINICIN DEL PROBLEMA Y SUS CAUSAS.


2.2.1 Definir el problema central.
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Tomando en cuenta esta problemtica, el Problema Central identificado para el proyecto


corresponde a una:
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2.2.2 Identificar las causas del problema principal.


Causas Directas
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Causas Indirectas
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2.2.3 Seleccionar y justificar las causas relevantes.


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2.2.4 Agrupar y jerarquizar las causas.


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2.2.5 Construccin del rbol de causas.

PROBLEMA CENTRAL

CAUSA DIRECTA CAUSA DIRECTA

CAUSA CAUSA
INDIRECTA INDIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA

CAUSA INDIRECTA CAUSA INDIRECTA

2.2.6 Identificar los efectos del problema principal.


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2.2.7 Seleccionar y justificar los efectos relevantes.


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2.2.8 Agrupar y jerarquizar los efectos.


Efecto Directo
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Efecto Indirecto
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El efecto final:

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2.2.9 Construccin del rbol de efectos.

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EFECTO FINAL

EFECTO INDIRECTO EFECTO INDIRECTO

EFECTO DIRECTO EFECTO DIRECTO EFECTO DIRECTO EFECTO DIRECTO

PROBLEMA CENTRAL

2.2.10 Presentar el rbol de causas-efectos.

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EFECTO FINAL

EFECTO INDIRECTO EFECTO INDIRECTO

EFECTO DIRECTO EFECTO DIRECTO EFECTO DIRECTO EFECTO DIRECTO

PROBLEMA CENTRAL

CAUSA DIRECTA
CAUSA DIRECTA

CAUSA INDIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA

CAUSA INDIRECTA CAUSA INDIRECTA

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2.3 OBJETIVO DEL PROYECTO.

2.3.1 Definir el objetivo central.


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PROBLEMA CENTRAL OBJETIVO CENTRAL

2.3.2 Determinacin de los medios para alcanzar el objetivo central.

Medios de Primer Nivel


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Medios Fundamentales
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Elaboracin del rbol de medios.

OBJETIVO CENTRAL

MEDIO DE PRIMER NIVEL MEDIO DE PRIMER NIVEL

MEDIO MEDIO DE SEGUNDO


FUNDAMENTAL MEDIO DE SEGUNDO NIVEL
NIVEL

MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL

2.3.3 Identificar los fines del objetivo central.


Fin Directo
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Fin Indirecto
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Fin ltimo:

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Elaboracin del rbol de fines.

FIN FINAL

FIN INDIRECTO FIN INDIRECTO

FIN DIRECTO FIN DIRECTO FIN DIRECTO FIN DIRECTO

OBJETIVO CENTRAL

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2.3.4. rbol de objetivos o rbol de medios-fines.

FIN LTIMO

FIN INDIRECTO FIN INDIRECTO

FIN DIRECTO FIN DIRECTO FIN DIRECTO FIN DIRECTO

OBJETIVO CENTRAL

MEDIO DE PRIMER NIVEL MEDIO DE PRIMER NIVEL

MEDIO DE SEGUNDO
MEDIO MEDIO DE SEGUNDO NIVEL
FUNDAMENTAL NIVEL

MEDIO
MEDIO
FUNDAMENTAL
FUNDAMENTAL

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2.4 ALTERNATIVA DE SOLUCIN
2.4.1 Clasificar los medios fundamentales como imprediscibles o no.
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IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE

MEDIO MEDIO MEDIO


FUNDAMENTAL 1 FUNDAMENTAL 2 FUNDAMENTAL 3

2.4.2 Relacionar los medios fundamentales


a) Mutuamente excluyentes
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b) Complementarios
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c) Independientes
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Relacin de Complementaridad

MUTUAMENTE EXCLUYENTES
IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE
IMPRESCINDIBLE
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL 1 MEDIOFUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL23

2.4.3 Planteamiento de acciones.


Las acciones planteadas para el proyecto se plasman de la siguiente manera:

MUTUAMENTE EXCLUYENTES
IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE
IMPRESCINDIBLE
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL 1 MEDIOFUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL23

ACCION 1.1 ACCION 2.1 ACCION 3.1

ACCION 2.2

2.4.4 Relacionar las acciones.


a) Mutuamente excluyentes
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b) Complementarias
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c) Independientes
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2.4.5 Definir y describir los proyectos alternativos a considerar.

Proyecto Alternativo 1
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Proyecto Alternativo 2
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Proyecto Alternativo 3

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MUTUAMENTE EXCLUYENTES
IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE
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ACCION 1.1 ACCION 1.2 ACCION 3.1

ACCION 1.2

ALTERNATIVA 1 ALTERNATIVA 2 ALTERNATIVA 3

MODULO III: FORMULACIN

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3.1 EL CICLO DEL PROYECTO Y SU HORIZONTE DE EVALUACIN
3.1.1 La fase de preinversin y su duracin.
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a) Perfil
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b) Prefactibilidad
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c) Factibilidad
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3.1.2 La fase de inversin, sus etapas y su duracin.
a) Estudios definitivos o expediente tcnico
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b) Ejecucin del proyecto


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3.1.3 La fase de post-inversin y sus etapas


a) Consolidacin del proyecto

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b) Operacin del proyecto ya consolidado


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3.1.4 El horizonte de evaluacin de cada proyecto alternativo.


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3.1.5 Organizar las fases y etapas de cada proyecto alternativo.


a) Unidad de tiempo para cada fase
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b) Elaboracin de esquema que relacione cada etapa con cada fase.


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3.1.6 El tamao y la localizacin ptimos de la inversin y los momentos ptimos de inicio y


finalizacin de cada proyecto alternativo.
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3.2 ANLISIS DE LA DEMANDA.


3.2.1 Los servicios que cada proyecto alternativo ofrecer.

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3.2.2 Diagnstico de la situacin actual de la demanda y sus principales determinantes.


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3.2.3 La poblacin de referencia.
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3.2.4 La poblacin demandante sin proyecto.


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3.2.5 Los servicios demandados sin proyecto.
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3.2.6 La poblacin demandante con proyecto.


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_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.2.7 Los servicios demandados con proyecto.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.3 ANLISIS DE LA OFERTA
3.3.1 Los recursos fsicos y humanos disponibles en cada establecimiento o unidad
productiva.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

34
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.3.2 Los estndares ptimos de uso de los recursos fiscos y humanos.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.3.3 La oferta optimizada a partir de los recursos fsicos y humanos disponibles en casa
establecimiento o unidad productiva.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.3.4 La oferta optimizada por tipo de servicios.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

35
3.4 BALANCE OFERTA-DEMANDA
3.4.1 Los servicios que sern potencialmente demandados al proyecto.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.4.2 Las metas globales y parciales de cada proyecto alternativo.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.4.3 Los servicios que cada proyecto alternativo ofrecer.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

36
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.5 LA SECUENCIA DE ETAPAS Y ACTIVIDADES DE CADA PROYECTO ALTERNATIVO Y SU


DURACIN.

3.5.1 Definir las condiciones iniciales necesarias para llevar a cabo cada una de las etapas
de los proyectos alternativos y armar la secuencia de etapas.

a) Condiciones externas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) Condiciones internas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.5.2 Identificar las actividades asociadas con cada proyecto alternativo y definir su
duracin de acuerdo con la poblacin objetivo.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

37
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.6 LOS COSTOS A PRECIOS DE MERCADO


3.6.1 Elaborar una lista de requerimientos de cada proyecto alternativo.

a) Activos fijos
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

38
b) Activos intangibles
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.6.2 Precisar los costos unitarios y por periodo, a precio de mercado, de cada
requerimiento
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

39
3.6.3 Considerar los gastos generales y el rubro de imprevistos
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.6.4 Los costos totales de cada proyecto alternativo a precio de mercado.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

40
41
42
3.7 FLUJO DE COSTOS A PRECIO DE MERCADO
3.7.1 El flujo de costos de preinversin, inversin y valores de recuperacin.

a) Activos tangibles
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) Activos intangibles
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

c) El capital de trabajo
_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

43
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.7.2 El flujo de costos de operacin y mantenimiento


a) Costos Variables
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) Costos Fijos
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

44
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3.7.3 El flujo de costos a precio de mercado


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

MODULO IV: EVALUACIN

45
4.1. EVALUACION ECONOMICA A PRECIOS DE MERCADO
a) Flujo de Costos de preinversin
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) El flujo de Costos de operacin y mantenimiento a precio de mercado


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

c) El Flujo de los Ingresos generados por el proyecto a precio de mercado


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.1.1 Flujo de ingresos generados por el proyecto a precios de mercado.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

46
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.1.2 El flujo de costos y beneficios a precio de mercado.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

47
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.1.3 El Valor Actual Neto a precio de mercado (VANP).


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.2 ESTIMACIN DE LOS COSTOS SOCIALES


4.2.1 Los Factores de Correccin
a) Factor de Correccin de Bienes de Origen Nacional
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Factor de Correccin de Bienes de Origen Importado
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

48
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

c) Factor de Correccin de la mano de obra


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.2.2 El Flujo de Costos Sociales Totales y su Valor Actual (VACST)

49
50
51
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.2.3 El Flujo de Costos Sociales Netos y su Valor Actual (VACSN)


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

52
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.3 EVALUACIN SOCIAL


4.3.1 APLICACIN DE LA METODOLOGA COSTO EFECTIVIDAD

a. El Indicador y Efectividad
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________

b. El Ratio Costo Efectividad


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.3.2 APLICACIN DE LA METODOLOGA COSTO BENEFICIO


a. El Flujo de los Beneficios Totales y su valor actual (VABST)
_________________________________________________________________________

53
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b. El Valor Actual Neto Social (VANS)


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.4 ANLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD


4.4.1 Determinar las Variables inciertas y su rango de Variacin
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

54
_________________________________________________________________________

4.4.2 Estimar los Cambios en el indicador de rentabilidad Social ante modificaciones de las
Variables inciertas antes definidas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________

4.5 SELECCIONAR EL MEJOR PROYECTO ALTERNATIVO


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

55
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.6 ANLISIS DE SOSTENIBILIDAD DEL PROYECTO SELECCIONADO


4.6.1 Identificar y estimar las principales fuentes de ingresos
a) Los ingresos recibidos por pago directo
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) La transferencia de recursos recibidos de instituciones u organizaciones privadas


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

c) La transferencia de recursos recibidos de organismos internacionales pblicos o privados


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

56
4.6.2 Estimar la proporcin de los costos del proyecto que nos son cubiertos por sus
ingresos esperados
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.6.3 Analizar las posibilidades de cobertura de los costos del proyecto a travs del
presupuesto pblico de la institucin ejecutora.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.7 ANLISIS DE IMPACTO AMBIENTAL DEL PROYECTO SELECCIONADO


4.7.1 Identificar los componentes y Variables ambientales que sern afectados
a) El medio fsico Natural
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) El medio Biolgico
_________________________________________________________________________
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_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

57
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

c) El medio social
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.7.2 Caracterizar el impacto ambiental

a) Tipo de efecto
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

b) Temporalidad
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

c) Espacio
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

58
_________________________________________________________________________

d) Magnitud
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.7.3 Priorizar las variables ambientales afectadas y determinar el tipo y costo de la


intervencin requerida
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4.8 MARCO LGICO DEL PROYECTO SELECCIONADO


_________________________________________________________________________

59
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

CONCLUSIONES

60
1. DEFINICIN DEL PROBLEMA CENTRAL.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

2. PRIORIZACIN DE LA ALTERNATIVA EVALUADA Y SELECCIONADA


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

3. PRINCIPALES ACTIVIDADES
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

4. RESULTADO ESPERADO.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

5. ACCIONES A REALIZAR DESPUS DE LA APROBACIN DEL PERFIL.


_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________

ANEXOS
61
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