Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Estudio de Pre-Inversin
CONTENIDO
MODULO 2: IDENTIFICACIN
MODULO 3: FORMULACIN
MODULO 4: EVALUACIN
CONCLUSIONES
ANEXOS
2
MODULO I: ASPECTOS GENERALES
3
b. Agro Rural programa que tiene por finalidad promover el desarrollo agrario rural, a travs
del financiamiento de proyectos de inversin pblica en zonas rurales de menor grado
desarrollo econmico.
c. Autoridad Nacional del Agua (ANA) del Ministerio de Agricultura y Riego como ente rector
y mxima autoridad normativa del Sistema Nacional de Gestin de los Recursos Hdricos.
d. Municipalidad de Sechura entidad local que velar por el cumplimiento del proyecto en
beneficio de sus pobladores.
1.3.2 Beneficiarios
b. Municipalidad de Sechura logrando que las aguas de la Laguna la Nia no le afecten a sus
cultivos y carreteras de la zona.
c. Gobierno Regional que podr con este proyecto de alto impacto en la regin lograr mayor
crecimiento econmico.
b. La municipalidad de Sechura y Piura deber realizar una adecuada inversin y uso del
sistema de embalse de la laguna La Nia para un mayor aprovechamiento, eficacia y
eficiencia de este.
c. La Autoridad Nacional del Agua (ANA) del Ministerio de Agricultura deber promover
capacitacin a agricultores sobre el aprovechamiento de estos sistemas de embalses y como
impactara directamente este proyecto al rendimiento de sus cultivos.
4
a. Encargar a la Unidad Formuladora (UF) la elaboracin del proyecto para su posterior
ejecucin.
b. Dotar de los recursos econmicos, tcnicos y logsticos para la elaboracin del proyecto.
c. Generar instancias de participacin en los beneficiaros en el proceso de elaboracin y
ejecucin del proyecto.
d. Seguimiento del proyecto en todas las fases a realizarse
e. Establecer acuerdos con el Gobierno Regional de Piura.
En efecto, el ministro de Agricultura, Jos Hernndez, indic que con la ayuda de expertos
se busca cmo evacuar con mayor rapidez las aguas de la laguna La Nia, que contina
inundando zonas del Bajo Piura, para evitar el peligro de nuevas inundaciones y facilitar el
secado de terrenos afectados.
5
kilmetros cuadrados de rea y un volumen de agua mxima acumulada que supera los 8
mil millones de metros cbicos. Con la realizacin de este proyecto se cumplen 3 objetivos
principales: Alta productividad a acorde con la disponibilidad de recursos fsicos y
financieros; reducir la irregularidad del recurso hdrico y mejorar los niveles de vida de los
agricultores.
6
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) Razones por las que es de inters para la comunidad resolver dicha situacin.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
7
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
d) Explicacin de porque es competencia del estado resolver dicha situacin.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
8
a) Caractersticas de la zona afectada y la estimacin de su proyecto.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
9
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Relevancia
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) Grado de avance
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
10
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Inters en
Grupo de Problemas participar
Intereses Conflictos
involucrados percibidos en una
estrategia
Desborde de las Generacin de Sistema Con el
aguas de la mayor desarrollo adecuado municipio de
Laguna la Nia. econmico de Sechura
recoleccin
Gobierno de agua
Regional de
Piura
11
Desarrollo local
Problema z1 Inters z1
12
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Causas Indirectas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
13
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
PROBLEMA CENTRAL
CAUSA CAUSA
INDIRECTA INDIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA
14
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
15
Efecto Indirecto
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
El efecto final:
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________
2.2.9 Construccin del rbol de efectos.
16
EFECTO FINAL
PROBLEMA CENTRAL
17
EFECTO FINAL
PROBLEMA CENTRAL
CAUSA DIRECTA
CAUSA DIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA
CAUSA INDIRECTA
18
2.3 OBJETIVO DEL PROYECTO.
________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________
19
Elaboracin del rbol de medios.
OBJETIVO CENTRAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL
20
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Fin ltimo:
________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
FIN FINAL
OBJETIVO CENTRAL
21
2.3.4. rbol de objetivos o rbol de medios-fines.
FIN LTIMO
OBJETIVO CENTRAL
MEDIO DE SEGUNDO
MEDIO MEDIO DE SEGUNDO NIVEL
FUNDAMENTAL NIVEL
MEDIO
MEDIO
FUNDAMENTAL
FUNDAMENTAL
22
2.4 ALTERNATIVA DE SOLUCIN
2.4.1 Clasificar los medios fundamentales como imprediscibles o no.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Complementarios
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) Independientes
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
23
Relacin de Complementaridad
MUTUAMENTE EXCLUYENTES
IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE
IMPRESCINDIBLE
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL 1 MEDIOFUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL23
MUTUAMENTE EXCLUYENTES
IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE
IMPRESCINDIBLE
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL 1 MEDIOFUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL23
ACCION 2.2
24
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Complementarias
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) Independientes
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Proyecto Alternativo 1
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Proyecto Alternativo 2
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Proyecto Alternativo 3
25
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
MUTUAMENTE EXCLUYENTES
IMPRESCINDIBLE IMPRESCINDIBLE
IMPRESCINDIBLE
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL 1 MEDIOFUNDAMENTAL
MEDIO FUNDAMENTAL23
ACCION 1.2
26
3.1 EL CICLO DEL PROYECTO Y SU HORIZONTE DE EVALUACIN
3.1.1 La fase de preinversin y su duracin.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
a) Perfil
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Prefactibilidad
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) Factibilidad
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.1.2 La fase de inversin, sus etapas y su duracin.
a) Estudios definitivos o expediente tcnico
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
27
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
28
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
29
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
30
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
31
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.2.5 Los servicios demandados sin proyecto.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
32
_________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
33
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.3 ANLISIS DE LA OFERTA
3.3.1 Los recursos fsicos y humanos disponibles en cada establecimiento o unidad
productiva.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
34
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
35
3.4 BALANCE OFERTA-DEMANDA
3.4.1 Los servicios que sern potencialmente demandados al proyecto.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.4.2 Las metas globales y parciales de cada proyecto alternativo.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.4.3 Los servicios que cada proyecto alternativo ofrecer.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
36
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.5.1 Definir las condiciones iniciales necesarias para llevar a cabo cada una de las etapas
de los proyectos alternativos y armar la secuencia de etapas.
a) Condiciones externas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Condiciones internas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.5.2 Identificar las actividades asociadas con cada proyecto alternativo y definir su
duracin de acuerdo con la poblacin objetivo.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
37
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
a) Activos fijos
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
38
b) Activos intangibles
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3.6.2 Precisar los costos unitarios y por periodo, a precio de mercado, de cada
requerimiento
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
39
3.6.3 Considerar los gastos generales y el rubro de imprevistos
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
40
41
42
3.7 FLUJO DE COSTOS A PRECIO DE MERCADO
3.7.1 El flujo de costos de preinversin, inversin y valores de recuperacin.
a) Activos tangibles
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Activos intangibles
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) El capital de trabajo
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
43
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Costos Fijos
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
44
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
45
4.1. EVALUACION ECONOMICA A PRECIOS DE MERCADO
a) Flujo de Costos de preinversin
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
46
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
47
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
48
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
49
50
51
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
52
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
a. El Indicador y Efectividad
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
53
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
54
_________________________________________________________________________
4.4.2 Estimar los Cambios en el indicador de rentabilidad Social ante modificaciones de las
Variables inciertas antes definidas
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
55
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
56
4.6.2 Estimar la proporcin de los costos del proyecto que nos son cubiertos por sus
ingresos esperados
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
4.6.3 Analizar las posibilidades de cobertura de los costos del proyecto a travs del
presupuesto pblico de la institucin ejecutora.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) El medio Biolgico
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
57
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) El medio social
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
a) Tipo de efecto
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b) Temporalidad
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
c) Espacio
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
58
_________________________________________________________________________
d) Magnitud
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
59
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
CONCLUSIONES
60
1. DEFINICIN DEL PROBLEMA CENTRAL.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3. PRINCIPALES ACTIVIDADES
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
4. RESULTADO ESPERADO.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
ANEXOS
61
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
62