Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MBA/2000/OA/0394
MANAGEMENT
2011
i
DEDICATION
ii
CERTIFICATION
requirement for the course and research work for the award of Masters in
______________________________
Nwalutu Aloy
Student
___________________________ ___________________________
Dr. U.J.F. Ewurum Dr. U.J.F.Ewurum
(Project Supervisor) (Head of Department)
___________________________ __________________________
Date: Date:
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
iii
I wish to sincerely acknowledge the contributions of some individuals that
supervisor Dr. U.J.F. Ewurum for his untiring efforts and understanding
appreciation to my beloved wife, Mrs. Francisca Ada U. Nwalutu for her care
and support all through this work. Finally, I give all the glory, honour and
adoration to the Alpha and Omega, the one that was and is and forever shall
be for His kindness, love and mercy upon my life and for making it possible
iv
TABLE OF CONTENT
1. Title Page
2. Certification.. i
3. Dedication. ii
4. Acknowledgment . iii
5. Table of Content. iv-v
6. Absract-------------------------------------------------------------------vi
CHAPTER ONE:
6. Introduction 1
7. Statement of the Problem 2-3
8. Objectives of the Study 3-4
9. Research Question 5-6
10. Hypothesis 6-8
11. Significance of the Study 8
12. Scope of the Study. 9
13. Limitation of the Study . 9
14. Historical background of Electric power sector in Nigeria . 10-11
CHAPTER TWO:
15. Literature
16. Definition of Reform . 13
17. Elements of Reform .. 14
18. International and National Context of Reform 14-15
(i) Need for Reform
(ii) Objectives of Electric Power Sector Reform
19. Nigeria Electric Power Sector 17-23
v
20. Electric Power Sector Reform Programme 23-24
21. Current Reform Framework ... 24-27
(i) Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (detailed)
CHAPTER THREE
22. Research Methodology
23. Research Method. 28-29
24. Sources and Method of Data Collection 29
25. Sampling Size. 29
26. Tools for Data. 29
CHAPTER FOUR
27. Data Presentation and Analysis 31-45
28. Review of past work done on Reforms 45-47
29. Performance Evaluations of Reform Options: 48-64
30. Impact of Electric Power Sector Reforms: 65-69
CHAPTER FIVE
31. Lessons learnt 70-
32. Findings 70-71
33. Challenges 72
34. Recommendation 73-74
35. Conclusion 75
36. Areas for Further Study 76
37. Bibliography . 77
38. Tables 78
39. Figures 78
vi
ABSTRACT
vii
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUTION
1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
Electric Power Sector has been a major issue and concern in Africa and most
of the developing countries such as Nigeria.
Nigeria is fortunate to have huge energy resources which potentially give the
country ample opportunity to transform her economy and lives of her
citizens. Nigeria set astride over 35 billion barrel of oil, 187 trillion cubic
feet of gas, 4 billion metric tones of coal and lignite as well as huge reserves
of tra-sands, hydropower and solar radiation.
The law which establishes the National Electric Power Authority (NEPA) in
(1972) stipulated that it should maintain an efficient, co-ordinate economic
system of electricity supply for all parts of Nigeria. Thirty-five years (35)
after, we are still in doldrums as far as power availability is concerned.
At the inception of NEPA in 1973 only 5 of the then 19 states capital were
connected to the national transmission gird system. Today practically all the
viii
state capitals of the 36 states and FCT now are being served from national
gird although haphazardly.
The focus of this project is on the assessment of electric power sector, the
reforms adopted for better services and the extent to which it has impacted in
the Nigeria Economy.
This convinced the federal government that the only solution was a radical
overhaul of the power sector and a redefined role of the sector and state in its
management.
x
Power sector in Nigeria failed to provide adequate electricity supply and
services in support of economic growth and improved social welfare.
Since 2001 new ways of organizing the Electric Power Sector have begun to
be explored. Reforms have been adopted to unbundled and privatize the
electric power sector and to introduce competitions.
Yet rhetoric has seldom been matched with implementations of the end
sector model. Nevertheless, while the depth and pace of reforms in Nigeria
electric power sector have not been as extensive as expected, sufficient
experiences have developed over the past years to assessing the impact and
efficacy of the reforms.
The objectives of the study are as follows:
xi
1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
xii
2. H1: Reform variables (Privatisation ) will lead to higher price to the
society especially the residential consumer and lower price to the
industrial users as price are aligned with marginal cost.
3. H2: Reform variables (Regulation) will raise prices charged to
domestic consumers.
4. H3: Reform variables (Competition) will lead to a larger capacity, a
higher output and greater labour productivity
5. H4: Reform variables (Competition) will lead to lower industrial user
and to a higher or lower residential user price.
Data and information required for the analysis spelt out in the project
methodology was not available.
Some reforms impact could be ascribed to other intervention not
directly related to power sector reform.
In the course of the research, the researchers were not able to conduct
sufficient primary research and interviews on the study with the
relevant officers. This applies particularly to indirect and social
impacts.
Furthermore, lack of the desired cooperation from some of the
respondents, as they were reluctant and at some instances refuse to
give out necessary information and answers to some of the question
posed to them, serve as major constraints of the research work.
xiv
1.9 HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR IN
NIGERIA:
Nigeria is one of the largest generators of electricity in West Africa. Her
major sources of energy are petroleum, natural gas and hydroelectricity.
Electricity generation in Nigeria is traceable to 1896 in Ijora, Lagos. This
was followed by the construction of a hydroelectric power station in Karu
Jos.
The operations of NEPA began with four major power stations which
include: Ijora, Delta, Afam Power Station and Kainji hydro power station.
xv
power stations. There are Kainyi, Jebba, Shiroro, Afam, Delta, Sapele,
Egbin,Ijora, Oji and Calabar power stations.
The power stations were grossly inadequate to cater for increasing demand
for electricity. This is due to poor funding, mismanagement of the utility,
corruption, poor services amongst others. These problems are grouped into
three key functions of generation transmission and distribution.
Generation:
(i) Insufficient power being generated to meet the estimated national
demand of 10,000 MW.
(ii) Absence of off-grid mini system to cater for rural electrification.
Transmission:
(i) Fragile and inflexible state of the transmission network to wheel
increased power levels.
(ii) Absence of state of the act dispatch facilities.
(iii) High technical losses.
Distribution:
xvi
Figure I: Shows the 3 years power development chart (estimated) from 2008 to
2010)
xvii
CHAPTER TWO
REVIEW OF THE RELATED LITERATUE
Definition of Reform:
Reforms according to encyclopedia Britannica (2005) is to form:
(1) Put or change into an improved form or condition.
(2) Amend or improve by change of forms or removal of faults or abuses.
(3) Induce or cause to abandon evil ways.
xviii
From Wikipedia, Reform means beneficial change, or sometimes, more
specifically, recession to a pure original state.
From the above, it is clear to state that any reform has to do with change of
positive intention to improving an earlier situation, condition, structure and
status.
However negative result do emanate from reforms showing that not all
reforms can bring improvement. Reforms can be grouped according to their
similarity of objectives, process and ideology. Basically reform is broad as
there is economic, political, social and institutional reform.
Electric power reform is the focus of this project which is a serious step to
undertake by any nation for high productivity and growth.
Although the push for private sector participation in the power sector was a
departure from the status quo that predominated in most developing countries1 in
the early 1990s, it was not unprecedented. Throughout the end of the nineteenth
century and early twentieth century, the electricity supply industry (ESI) and other
infrastructure industries such as water, transport and some telephone services,
across North America, Europe and parts of South America, Africa and Asia,
xix
developed largely within free market conditions (Kessides 2004:27). The Pearl
Street Station, the first central power station, pioneered by Thomas Edison in 1882
in New York City, was the result of privately-financed and privately-managed
efforts (Neil 1942:322).
In the same year in South Africa, public private partnerships would lead
to the first electric street lights in the mining town of Kimberly, and later more
widespread electrification, which helped fuel commercial and industrial
development (Steyn 2006:11; Eberhard 2007:218). While the initial push was
private, it was not long before deeper government involvement was evidenced.
This occurred with varying degrees across countries, especially after World War II.
The rationale was four-fold. First, the network component of the ESI was, after
considerable trial and error, classified, as a natural monopoly.
That is, one firm was thought to produce goods less expensively than if
there were multiple firms in the market, as average costs declined as output
increased (Joskow and Schmalensee 1983:29-20; Newbery 2001a:1-2).
Government ownership of the monopoly (or public regulation) was often justified
on the grounds that the state was the custodian of the public interest and therefore
would be the least likely to act in an opportunistic manner, as monopolists were
prone to do.
xxi
Fourth, there was increasing doubt of the efficiency of the highly regulated
but vertically integrated utilities (particularly in the USA) (Bacon 1995b:120).
Finally, publicly-owned utilities in most developing countries were
exhibiting persistent poor performance and governments were either unwilling
and/or unable to provide further capital investment. These factors prompted a
move toward private participation and competition (for the non-natural monopoly
components of the system), which was expected would yield improved and less
costly electricity supply (Bacon 1995b:121; Wolak 1998:81).
A program of state of reforms and the concomitant sale of nations and state
owned enterprises and assets would reduce government deficit and generate
funds that could be used for debt reduction or improvement in education,
health etc. the long-term could be far more better regarding improvements
and developments.
2.5 NEED FOR ELECTRIC POWER REFORM
The need for electric power reform as stated in the National Electrical Power
Policy (NEPP) approved by the Federal Executive council 2001 is stated as
follows:
(i) Improvement in efficiency and affordability of electric power
supply.
(ii) Encourage private sector participation and competition.
(iii) Attract Investment.
(iv) Establishing an independent regulatory agency to ensure level playing
for all market participants.
(v) Providing conducive environment for long-term development of the
sector.
xxv
2.6 OBJECTIVES OF ELECTRIC POWER REFORM
The main objectives of the electric power reforms are:
(i) Fundamental objective which is to ensure that Nigeria has a electricity
supply industry that can meet the needs of its citizen in the 21st
century.
(ii) Other objective is to modernize and expand electricity coverage and to
support national economic and social development.
(iii) To encourage the successors to NEPA to undertake ambitious
investment programme.
(iv) To commercialize state utilities to allow competition, encourage
private involvement, establish regulatory agencies and accelerate
electrification of rural areas
xxvi
(i) Changes in management and ownership.
(ii) Changes in structure (competition and choice).
(d) Privatization is the end-point of changes in the
management/ownership dimension.
(e) Competition is the end-point of changes in the structural dimension.
The statistics on the power sector have been appalling. Only about 40 per
cent of Nigerians have access to electricity. In terms of efficiency and
performance, the Nigeria electric power sector has been rated by the
UNDP/world bank report 1993 as having one of the highest rate of losses
(33%), the lowest revenue at 156c/kwh, the lowest rate of return (-8%) and
the longest average account receivable period (15 months), among a group
of 20 low income and upper income countries.
Electricity tariffs are below the cost of service and there is poor revenue
collection. According to Tallapragada and Ade Busuyi, (2008), about 30-40
per cent of power supplied is never billed. The power sector incurs a cash
loss of around US $2 billion per month. Over US$400 million annually is
xxvii
spent by the Federal government of Nigeria as an annual subsidy to cover
losses and investment, an amount that is higher than the Federal budget for
health.
Nigeria has not vested equal attention to her abundant energy resources. Her
effort have been concentrated on the development, exploitation and
utilization of crude oil and gas fiscal objectives and the electricity to power
the economy.
xxviii
xxix
Table 1 shows the profile of Nigeria electricity Industry infrastructure.
(Source Maigida (2008).
Table 1
Generation Pre-1999 Post 1999
- Thermal 4,058mw 5,010mw
- Hydro 1,900mw 1,900mw
Installed capacity 5,996mw 6,910mw
Available 1,500mw 4,451mw
Transmission
- 330kv lines 4,800km 4,889.2km
- 132kv lines 6,100km 6,284.06km
Transformer capacity
330/132kv 5.18MVA 6,098 MVA
132/33kv 6,230MVA 7,805 MVA
Distribution
- 33kv lines 37,173km 48,409.62KM
- 11kv lines 29,055km 32,581.49KM
- 415v lines 70,799km 126,052.79KM
Transformer capacity 8,34256MVA 12,219MVA
xxx
These are Kanji, Jebba, Shiroro, Afam, Delta, Sapele, Egbin, Ijora, Oji and
Calabar.
These consist of 8NO gas fired, 1No coal and 3NO hydro stations. The
power plants and the installed capacity of each are as listed in the following:
TABLE 3:
xxxi
600MW because 2 out of 6 Units namely (ST3
and ST6) have major breakdown with their
Boilers.
5. Shiroro Hydro All the four Units at Shiroro will be due for
major overhaul commencing in 2008 produces
600MW.
6. Jebba Hydro Lot of limitation currently inhibiting station
capacity, even though all the Units are all
available produces 578.400.
10. Gergu Gas The contract for the construction of the second
phase of Geregu has already been awarded.
11. Omotosho Gas The contract for the constructions of the second
phase of it has been awarded.
xxxii
Source: PHCN Annual Technical Report
Birinn Kebbi
Kano
Kainji
Shiroro Jos Gombe
Ikeja West
Ayede Benin Onisha
Alaoji
Sapele xxxiii
Delta GS
Egbin
Aladja Afam
Aja
Akangba
INTRODUCTION
Electric Power Sector reform has become an issue in the past few years. The
motivation is to achieve better services, reliable operation and competitive
rates. The reform to electric power sector started in 2000 with formulation of
a new power policy.
The Electric Power Sector Reform (EPSR) Act was signed into law in 2005.
xxxiv
Incorporated and the Bureau of Public Enterprise in the name of and or
behalf of the Federal Government of Nigeria. The name of the Initial
Holding Council, incorporated on the 31st of May 2005, is Power Holding
Company of Nigeria Plc (PHCN).
The Act has the following key provisions which will have great bearing on
the future of regulation of the power Sector in Nigeria.
1. A legislative basis for the splitting up of NEPA into separate legal entities
for generation, transmission and distribution, and a method of transfer of
assets, liability and personnel. The Act makes provisions for the unbundling
of NEPA into an initial holding Company and subsequently into successor
companies that will comprise six generation companies, one transmission
company and eleven distribution companies.
2. The establishment of Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) as
an independent regulator of the sector and a definition of its functions.
3. The establishment of a regulatory regime including the granting of licences
to private electricity generators and distributors, the determination of tariffs
and regulated activities and the prevention of abuses by the market power.
The tariffs regulation will however, ensure a reasonable return on
investment.
4. The establishment of a bilateral contracts markets in the medium term
following the unbundling of NEPA.
5. The establishment of Rural Electrification Agency to provide rural
communities with access to electricity.
6. The establishment of Rural Electrification fund to promote support and
provide rural electrification programme through public and private sector
participation.
xxxv
7. The establishment of power consumer assistance fund to subsidize
underprivileged power consumers.
8. The repeal of Electricity Act and NEPA Act as amended. The regulations
made pursuant to the Act were however saved.
xxxvi
iii. The NERCs independence further protected by the fact that it is self
funding.
iv. The key challenge interims of relations between the NERC and the
government will be to avoid conflicts over privatization and new
investment.
RELATIONS BETWEEN THE NERC, REGULATED COMPANIES
AND CONSUMERS
i. The basic role of the NERC is to protect the long-term interests of
both consumer and investors.
ii. The key challenge is to foster confidence, amongst all stakeholders in
the NERCs decision making.
iii. The courts should be reluctant to over turn decision of NERC that
meet these tests.
The NERC will have to prove itself as a reliable regulator during the
difficult transition from public to private ownership and from vertical
integrations to competition. The Act gives the NERC significant legal
and financial independence. The ESPR Act gives the NERC extensive
powers to regulate the electricity sector.
According to the power sector report (2008), two sets of public sector
action steps emerged in response to the power crisis; there is the
period of infrastructure rehabilitation (1999-2004) and infrastructure
expansion (2004) to date) major part of which is being implemented
under the National Integrated Power Project (NIPP) (Transition
Phase). The other focus on implementing a comprehensive sector
reform (Restructuring; Deregulation and Privatization) within the
framework of the Electric Power Sector Reform Act 2005.
xxxvii
2.12 STATUS OF NIGERIA ELECTRIC POWER REFORM
Power sector reform is often equated with deregulation and
reduction of government participation in electricity industry. The
major reforms that have been taking place in Nigeria are structural
changes and privatization of electric power utilities.
xxxviii
parastatal. The parastatal is therefore commercialized and it ultimately goes
through several other steps to become a fully privately owned entity.
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 INTRODUCTION
The project Assessing the Electric Power Sector Reform, Issues,
challenges and prospect aim to develop a more and better understanding of
the Nigerian Electric Power Sector Reforms.
The project also intends to identify best practice in reform strategies and to
disseminate research findings to policy makers. The research approach
adopted in this project is based on Nigeria.
xxxix
3.2 RESEARCH METHOD
The basic approach adopted in this project is eclectric which takes on a
qualitative review and evaluation of electric reform for economic
development on the power sector.
xl
3.4 SOURCES AND METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION
The data used in the project are collected through primary and secondary
sources of data. While literary works such as books, journals, magazines etc
constituting the secondary sources of materials used for the documentary
studies in observation and information. The primary source entails carry out
a survey through the administration of questionnaires to the stakeholders,
public, Executives of relevant business, regulatory authority and corporate
organizations. The administration of the questionnaires enables the
respondents to answer the questions in the own time, interviews were
conducted.
Thus the 140 questionnaires to be administered, one hundred (100) would
be administered to the public, twenty (20) each to the executive of the
relevant business organizations, and the Regulatory authority.
n = N = 1400
_____________ _______________
1 + 1400 1 + 1400
n= 1400 1400
_____________ = ____________ = 311.11 apprx = 300
1 + 3.500 4.5
CHAPTER FOUR
DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
The major challenge facing Nigeria is to reach a sustainable rate of positive
economic growth that will enable Nigeria to cope with soaring demographic
and urban growth. In a bid to stimulate genuine dynamic of development and
to rise above the economic, social, political and environmental crisis that
xliii
have beset the region more or less permanently since 1910s. Nigeria
introduced sectoral reforms; among these reforms are those related to
electric power, which was as analyzed by energy experts, aimed at
improving financial and technical efficiency of utilities, facilitating
divestiture and guaranteeing future electricity supply.
Electricity is needed both to industrialize and provide basic energy for the
majority of the people living off the grid in rural areas and this situation
needs major changes not only for demand but also for the regions and sub
regions.
A total of twenty-five questions were administered in two sets, the first
comprises of fourteen (14) questions given to Regulatory body officials and
the Executives of Corporate organizations. The second consisting of eight
(20) questions was given to the public.
The entirety of the questionnaire administered to each of the section was
returned duly completed, thereby recording a 50% response in this direction.
This implies that the response recorded are true reflection of opinions of the
population of this study and therefore, valid for and adoption and utilization.
xliv
Response Rate 50%
1. How is your opinion about electric power supply being during the pre-
reform era?
3. To what extent are the targeted and transparent subsides put in place to help
the investors?
xlvi
4. To what extent has the incentives by the Regulators reduced the prices of
electricity?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY PERCENTAGE
Excellent _ _
Good 14 70
Fair 3 15
Poor 3 15
TOTAL 20 100
Field Survey:
The table above shows that 70% of our respondents do state that the
incentives given to the IPP has gone a long way in reducing the pay price of
electricity by the consumers. This further confirms the reliability of the
response received from the perspective of the proximity of the respondent.
5. How has the incumbent invested in the power sector during and after
reforms?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY PERCENTAGE
Excellent _ _
Good 14 70
Fair 3 15
Poor 3 15
TOTAL 20 100
Field Survey:
The table above shows that 70%of our respondent do state that the incumbent
participate in investing on the reform activities. This further confirms the
xlvii
reliability of the response received from the perspective of the proximity of
the respondent.
QUESTIONS ADMINISTEREDTO THE PUBLIC AND
STAKEHOLDERS.
1. How has the electricity supply being during the pre-reform era?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent _ _
Good 5 5
Fair 15 15
Poor 80 80
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
From the response of our respondents the electricity supply pre to the
reform is in a very bad state, this is attested by the respondents. Thus 80% of
the response can be seen from the table above.
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent - -
Good 25 25
Fair 40 40
Poor 35 35
xlviii
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
From the table above it shows that the tariff was fair as 40% of the
respondent agrees to this.
3. How would you grade tariff after reform?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent - -
Good 30 30
Fair 45 45
Poor 25 25
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
The response from the table above shows that the tariff is also fair
as compared to the tariff before reform.
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent 10 10
Good 40 40
Fair 35 35
Poor 15 15
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
xlix
From the table it can be seen that the cost in the provision of energy
incurred by the society and the industry in productions is not high.
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent 25 25
Good 45 45
Fair 25 25
Poor 5 5
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
Table above shows that 70% of our respondents confirm that
privatization has lead to high output of electricity.
6. Public sector finance privatization receipts, how has these receipts been
used to release fund for increase expenditure on electrification
programme?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent 30 30
Good 50 50
Fair 10 10
Poor 10 10
Total 100 100
l
Field Survey:
The table above shows that 80% of the respondent confirms the use
of the receipts on privatization on electrification programme, as the
regulatory bodies is in the picture of the receipts collected.
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent 35 35
Good 50 50
Fair 10 10
Poor 5 5
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
The table shows that 85% of our respondents confirm that the investors
have increased the generation of electricity to the populace.
8. How would you rate and rank the effect of the investors?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
High 55 55
Medium 35 35
Low 10 10
Total 100 100
li
Field Survey:
Table shows that 90% of our respondent confirms to high
rank and rating of the investors towards power generation. Thus
confirms the reliability of the response received.
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
High 55 55
Medium 35 35
Low 10 10
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
Table above shows that 90% of our respondents confirms to the high
level in the revenue while 10% on the low level. Thus confirms the
reliability of the response received from the perspective of the
proximity of the respondents to increase in revenue.
10.To what extent has competition led to the increase in the efficiency
and effectiveness in power generation?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent 35 35
Good 50 50
lii
Fair 10 10
Poor 5 5
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
Table above shows that 85% of our respondents confirms to the high
level in the efficiency and effectiveness while 15% on the low level.
Thus confirms the reliability of the response received from the
perspective of the proximity of the respondents to efficiency and
effectiveness.
11. What is the state of the tariff structure and moves to cost reflectivity?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
High 25 25
Medium 45 45
Low 30 30
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
The above table shows that the tariff is medium as 70% of the respondents
reflected on this and the bodies ensure that the tariff rates are not heavy on
the consumers. This they do by beefing up the private sectors capital thus
the response is reliable and valid for adoption. However on a contrary, on
reforms that introduces the private sector capital can lead to cost increase.
liii
12. How has the new agents emerge that invest in access to electric power
supply?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent 40 40
Good 45 45
Fair 5 5
Poor - -
TOTAL 100 100
Field Survey:
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Yes 100 100
No _ -
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
The table shows that the special access mechanisms have been induced to
enhance the growth of the independent private producer in the participation
of electricity generations in the society. This is reflected by the unanimous
(100) response.
liv
14. How efficient is the services of the PHCN officials as regard to customers
complains after the reforms?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent - -
Good 15 15
Fair 50 50
Poor 35 35
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
The table shows that the services of the relevant official as regards to
meeting customers complain are still poor irrespective of the reforms
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent - -
Good 25 25
Fair 40 40
Poor 35 35
Total 100 100
Field Survey:
From the table the response indicate that the introduction of reforms has
little effect on social services as compared to the pre-reform era. This can be
seen from the 40% on our respondents.
lv
QUESTIONS ADMINISTERED TO THE EXCUTIVES OF
CORPRATE ORGANISATIONS
1. How has the electricity supply being during the pre-reform era?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent _ _
Good _ _
Fair 2 10
Poor 18 90
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
From the response of our respondents the electricity supply pre to the
reform is in a very bad state, this is attested by the respondents. Thus 90% of
the response can be seen from the table above.
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Yes 6 30
No 14 70
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
The question is meant to establish the extent of dependence of the electric
power supply by enterprises and organizations. Thus the 70% response from
our respondents is reliable and valid for adoption.
lvi
3. Have reforms improved access to electricity to the society?
Field Survey:
The table above shows a little effect or margin on electricity supply to the
organizations and other business enterprise. As 60% against 40% indicates
that despite the reform there is still some low level of power supply.
RESPONSE FREQENCY %
Yes 14 70
No 6 30
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
The above table confirms that the quality of electricity supply was improved
by the reforms. This was shown by the 70%of the respondent reflected on
the table.
lvii
5. To what extent has the price changes have resulted from the power sector
reform?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
High 4 20
Medium 10 50
Low 6 30
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
The table shows that our respondents response the prices as result of the
power sector reforms are medium to the tune of 50%.
6. Do you think that chances are given to the agents (IPPs) in the provision
of electricity supply for business?
RESPONSE FREQUECY %
Yes 15 75
No 5 25
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
lviii
The above table shows that chances are given to the Independent Private
Producers in the generation of electric power generation. There is 75%
acceptability on this and the response is reliable and valid for adoption.
7. How has the (IPPs) impact on the power supply generation been felt and
rated?
RESPONSE FREQUENCY %
Excellent - _
Good 10 50
Fair 6 30
Poor 4 20
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
The table shows that the IPPs involvement in the provision of power supply
is 65% which is a relative mark as regards to power generation.
8. Has the privatization lead to higher price to the resident consumers and
lower price to the industry?
RESPONSE FREQUECY %
Yes 14 70
No 6 30
Total 20 100
lix
Field Survey:
The table shows the conformity to the question in agreement because prices
are aligned with long-run supply cost and because profit, not votes are main
concern of private investors.
RESPONSE FREQUECY %
Yes 12 60
No 8 40
Total 20 100
Field Survey:
The above question was meant to establish that expanded access to
electricity allows new enterprise to emerge and enable the interaction of
different business enterprise to benefit from one another. The response is
valid and reliable.
lx
The empirical results presented in this study based on the result from the
questionnaires, seems consistent with the findings of a number of the
literature reviewed earlier, that point to the importance of competition and/or
effective independent regulation if economic performance is to improve
following privatisation. The review findings in relation to the hypotheses are
as follows;
HYPOTHESIS:
1. (H1)-Reform variable (privatization) will lead to a more capacity and
hence output provided that the regulatory regime is supportive.
Like regulation, privatisation on its own did not seem to generate many
benefits. However, the interaction term between privatisation and regulation
did show a positive impact on electricity penetration, capacity expansion and
labour efficiency. The results underline the importance of regulatory reform
along with privatisation. The results are therefore consistent with the
hypothesis.
lxi
The researcher found that regulation, even when associated with
privatisation or competition, does not appear to have a statistically
significant effect on residential user prices. This finding is contrary to
expectation. Independent regulation also seems to have no reliable impact on
industrial user prices, though when independent regulation and competition
co-exist, surprisingly, industrial prices are found to be higher. These results
may reflect the particular crudity of the regulation measure used, in the
absence of a superior alternative. Nevertheless, on the basis of our regression
results the hypothesis has to be rejected.
lxii
4.3 ANALYZING ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR REFORM IN
PHCN
GENERATION EXPANSION PLAN (2007-2010)
COMMERCIALIZATION/CORPORATION
Following the time line provided under the EPSR Act 2005, the BPE sought
and obtained approval from the National Council on privatization (NCP) for
incorporation of (18) Successors companies to PHCN to conform to the 6-1-
11 industry structure approved by power sector in 2002.
lxiii
These are:
(1) Abuja Electricity Distribution Plc
(2) Enugu
(3) Port Harcourt
(4) Kaduna
(5) Kano
(6) Jos
(7) Ibadan
(8) Ikeja
(9) Eko
(10) Benin
(11) Egbin Power Plc
(12) Ughelli
(13) Afam
(14) Sapele
(15) Kainji Hydro Electric Plc
(16) Shiroro
(17) Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN)
This is the first reform option executed in Nigeria which key objectives is to
ensure the utility runs to operation based on the business principle of profit
From the table 4 it can be seen that every Disco recorded a significant
lxiv
However, only seven out of 11 companies (Discos) performed above their
average target while the performance of the rest 4 were below targets.
lxv
Other IPPs 330 1,035 1,035 1,035
TOTAL (MW) 5,689 9,627 13,919 14,989
The BPE facilitated the setting up of NERC after being screened by the
Senate. The BPE provides technical and financial support to the commission
through the privatizations as detailed in chapter 2 as regard to electric power
reform framework in Nigeria.
NEW/AMENDED ACT
Electricity Act often provides the legal and regulatory framework; the legal
and regulatory framework was originally designed for state owned
Government regulated power utilities, with little or no provision for
private sector participation.
PRIVATIZATION
The ultimate objective of the FGN in electric power sector reform is to
improve infrastructure and access. The Governments policy thrust is
lxvi
anchored on the private sector which will drive investment and grow the
sector in the short medium and long term.
The management contract for (TCN) is currently engaged through the World
Bank by PHCN for transmission Development Project, funded under the
Nigeria Energy Development Programme. Upon evaluation of the
expression of interested bidders for TCN management, four bidders were
pre-qualified and request for proposal on Feb. 28 2007.
(1) ESB International Ireland
(2) Terna Rete Eletrik Nazionale, Italy
(3) Power Grid Corporation Ltd, India,
(4) Manitoba Hydro International, Canada.
B. CONCESSION
lxvii
This is the most preferred strategy for the electricity distribution companies
and some of the power station. This is because it allows investors to
undertake investment and to recoup them over a given period. It also gives
government the opportunity of continuously strengthening the networks
through additional investments and gives the required platform to address
attended political issues that may arise from privatization.
C. ASSETS SALE
This is mostly being adopted for the privatization of PHCN non-operational
assets located in Oji River, Ijora and Calabar. Owing to their moribund state,
the assets sale allows the investor the benefit of deciding how it intends to
turn around the moribund infrastructure.
The Labour Unions and the society, as the 70% of Nigerian are dominated
by low income earners, found it politically difficult to sustain tariff increases
lxviii
and have either rescinded. Tarrif reforms have tested the independence of
newly established regulators with several bowing to political pressures to
reduce tariffs.
Price reforms are intended to restore the financially viability of the industry,
and creates the basis for renewed investment infrastructure, including
distribution networks. The effect of this is naturally dependent on the utility
ability to collect revenue and maintain downward pressure on costs. As such
price reforms may be conditional on other reform measures that target
technical and managerial performance if they are effective. Tariff increase
will clearly have a negative impact on household and there is evidence of
most of the public switching to any alternative in the face of tariff increases.
lxix
Residential Consumers
- Residential tariffs vary from N1.20 to N4.00 for life line. Price
increases are preparatory to planned privatization
- Industrial consumer pays N6.50 - N8.50/kwh
(likely to increase by about 100%).
Impact on tariff increase appears to take place more rapidly and obviously,
tariff increase can quite possibly bring about straight forward move away
from electricity to other fuel alternatives.
Tariff can even act as a barrier to investment. This is because lifeline tariff
rate means that revenue from electrification project remaining below the
marginal cost of supply. Furthermore the National tariff structure implies
that distributors in the region with high electrification burden will fail to
recover the cost of supplying low income and rural customers. Consequently
the reform programme has failed to stimulate additional investment in
extending access.
lxx
can be financed from loans or retained earnings. However, this is yet to lead
to a significant increase in the rate of new connections.
This is another aspect the Nigeria electric power sector reform aim to
address. The distribution industry remains fragmented and is yet to be
restructured, quality and reliability of supply varies regionally and in a low
performance as can be seen in this chapter. Moreso, the public continue to
experience frequent outages and voltage drops.
The key focus and success measure of electric power sector reform is the
ability to attract IPPs into the industry. The climate for independent power
(IPP) deteriorated dramatically, several project of the industry on power
sector have suffered as a result, and have forced a reassessment in the
electric power sector. Where IPPs have been established, the cost of
production have proved higher than existing supplies, partly due to the effect
that inflation had on existing asset values and partly due to the cost of
capital facing the private investors.
Most industries are more concerned about power reliability and quality than
price. Reform programmes that combine tariffs with improvement in supply
quality will thus mitigate the negative economic impact of increase in tariff.
lxxii
government subsides; there has been an intention to remove this drain on
public resources.
Finally, the outcome of the electric power sector reform has been a change
in the financial relationship between government and utilities, rather than a
separation. Public finances are more targeted at specific interventions and
there is need for greater transparency in the allocation of resources.
CHAPTER FIVE
The first lesson learnt is that reforms do not appear to have solved the
electric power sector problems with the exception of increased profitability
of utilities, the key issues that provided the impetus for reforms continue to
prevail long after reform have been implemented. This could be seen that the
lxxiii
generation capacity shortfalls still persist and several requisite reform
measures put in place have not guaranteed the desired results.
The second lesson is that private sector involvement in the power sector is
not the ultimate solution. Development in the management contract indicates
a significant degree of satisfaction.
5.3 FINDINGS
lxxiv
(1) Electrification of the rural areas is an important indicator of the electric
power sector sustainability. Rather it has either stagnated or declined
altogether. In urban areas, electric reforms appear to hold benefits than the
rural areas, the advent of independent power distributors appear to provide
an opportunity for electrification in urban.
(2) Reforms have led to the establishment of rural electrification funds and
boards, these developments have not helped to increase electrification level.
This is because the rural electrification funds and boards have not provided
effective and innovative mechanisms that would ensure they achieve their
objectives.
(3) It is also important to note that the involvement of IPPs have led to
aforementioned increase in tariffs, this is because the licenses and Power
Purchase Agreement (PPAs) issued to the IPPs appear to have a short time,
span leaving IPPs with no choice but to ensure that they recover their
investment cost and make attractive returns within limited time.
(4) The power system in the region have over the past years been overstretched
due to a shortfall in generation capacity to match giving demand. The
response in the unfolding crises has been to increase generation capacity by
allowing IPPs to the sector. In extreme cases where generation by IPPs has
still not been sufficient to meet demand, local shedding ensued.
(5) The electricity Regulatory Agencies has done little to ensure the
sustainability of the power sector. This is attributed to the weakness of the
regulatory agencies to enforce the electricity Act because the ability to
perform its duties has been compromised by its lack of the requisite
lxxv
independence as a result of politically motivated appointment of the
members of the respective agencies boards.
(6) Power sector reform appears to have marginalized local private investment
in the power sector. Current trends seem to indicate that in the medium term,
the government will be effectively handing over a significant share of the
electricity industry to non-material operators. In the long-term, this may be
an unsustainable arrangement. In part the IPPs have mainly been hampered
by the emphasis on large scale investment.
RECOMMENDATIONS
To achieve the vision 2020 goal of making Nigeria one of the twenty largest
economies in the world, electricity generation will have to increase from the
present level of 3650MW to about 45000MW. To achieve this, the following
should be done:
(1) Incorporate off grid policies and legislation in power sector reform: The
focus of electric Power Sector Reform is understandably on the main grid
utilities. Rural electrification grid versus off-grid planning. Concession areas
etc. Power Sector Reform in general opens space for private sector
participation. Legislation should create clear rules for off-grid or mini-grid
concessions which should preferably be awarded on a competitive basis.
There is also need for equitable arrangement around capital subsidies and
lifeline tariff grid and off-grid or mini-grid systems.
(2) The most effective measures of the reform is ensuring the independence of
regulatory agencies. This could be achieved by enhancing the re-
lxxvi
presentation among the board members. For example, having representative
of various segments of consumers including rural on the board of regulatory
agency could ensure that the plight of the disadvantaged is heard especially
with respect to electrification and review of electric tariffs.
(3) Issuing licenses and Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) covering a longer
period, this can ensure that setting price of electricity is moderated. This is
essentially because long-time agreement allow for sufficient time for the
investor to pay off project financing debts as well as adequate amortization
period for the equipment.
(4) Design plausible and realistic programs: power Sector reform arbitrations
need to be realistic, both in scope and content. It is not always possible to
transfer ideologies or practice elsewhere to the environment in another
country. Competition and privatization varies from country to country as
well as views regarding this.
lxxvii
accountability in the allocation of these funds is crucial, as there are far too
many instances where funds have either been directed or allocation
politically done to favour constituencies.
(6) Leveling the playing field; the regulatory agencies could promote proven
environmental friend by electricity generation options through setting of
spiral targets as well as providing for preferential tariffs for their electricity
sales. In addition regulatory agencies could provide attractive incentives to
investors willing to install electricity generation plan based on these energy
sources.
CONCLUSION
The challenges of reforming the electric power sector to make it deliver
available power supply, to the economy is enumerable but there is need to be
hopeful as the Multi Year Tariff Order (MYTO) has been approved by the
government, a wake-up call has been made on the institutional structure like
(NERC) to take the bull by the horn on the provision and sustenance of the
realistic policies to achieve the vision 202020.
lxxviii
the most reliable driver of economic benefits. In the light of the benefits
associated with competition, NERC should introduce measures conducive to
promoting liberalized electricity markets. When privatising industries where
significant monopoly powers remain, emphasis should also focus on
designing and implementing an effective
regulatory framework. The competition variable is significant with the
expected sign throughout, except on the most politically sensitive issue of
residential prices and for capacity utilisation, where liberalisation may lead
to a decline in average capacity usage. Because competition is confirmed as
the most reliable means of improving performance, this suggests that the use
in a number of developing countries of exclusivity periods granted to new
generators and long-term purchase contracts for IPPs, arranged so as to
stimulate investment, may be unwise. Such measures may dim efficiency
incentives and reduce economic performance by removing the incentive of
competition.
lxxix
A2. Age
A3. Department__________________ A4.
Rank___________________
A5.Division/Unit____________________
lxxx
For the Stakeholder, to what extent will the reform affect your productivity,
business and otherwise? Indicate by grading it to show the extent of your support
for the following factors.
lxxxi
This Questionnaire is on assessing the Electric Power reform. Participation in the
research will not have any implication on you. We would be glad if you could
supply us with the needed information. Thank you.
SECTION A: SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC VARIABLE
A2. Age
A3. Department__________________ A4. Rank___________________
A5.Division/Unit____________________
Scale: Excellent, Good, Fair, and Poor. (Tick only one option)
lxxxii
SECTION B: COMPLIANCE WITH THE ABAILABILITY
lxxxiii
BIBLIOGRAPHY
lxxxiv
8. Clark et al (2005) Power Sector Reform in Africa: Assessing The Impact on
Poor People.
9. Davis, M & Ward, S. (1995). Household Energy Use Pattern in Rural Areas;
the Effect of Access to Electricity. REIPERA. project. Energy and
Development Research Centre. University of Cape Town.
10. Economic Organisation of West Africa State ECOWAS (2005). White paper
for a Regional Policy for Increasing ACCESS TO Energy Services for
Population in Rural and Peri-Urban Areas in order to Achieve the
Millennium Development Goals.
11. Eberhard, A. (2007).The Political Economy of Power Sector Reform on Sub-
Saharan Africa.
12. Fatima Balarabe Ibrahim. Hon Minister for State for Energy. PHCN not to
Blame for The Poor Power Performance of the Power Sector; Quarterly
Journal of Delta Electric Power business Unit.
13. Hilda, Dubrovsky and Crescencia Maurer. (2001). Reform of Electric Power
Sector in Developing Countries. Institute of Energy Economic Baroloche
foundation World Resources Institute.
14. Ikeme, J Nigerias Electric Power Sector Reform: Developing World Built
Environment Research Unit De Montfort University, The gateway, Lecice
Ster LE 9BH, ROYAUME UNI.
15. International energy Agency IEA (2002). World Energy Outlook 2003; Energy
and Poverty IEA Paris.
16. Joskow, P. L. (2003). Electricity Sector Restructuring and Competition:
Lesson Learned, Cambridge, Centre for Energy and Environmental Policy
Research, MIT
17. Karekezi, S, Mapako, M and Teffarra, M (200). Energy Policy Journal
Speacial Issue Vol 30.
lxxxv
18. Kareke, S. et al (2005) Engendering Power Sector Policy in Eastern and
Southern Africa.
lxxxvi
FIGURES:
Fig 1: = Power development chart
2. = Historical funding levels by governments for PHCN
operation
3. = TCN 330KV Transmissions grid as at today.
lxxxvii
lxxxviii
lxxxix
xc
xci
xcii