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Ailsa Burns, PhD, and Rosemary Dunlop, PhD, are Honorary Associates, Department
of Psychology, Macquarie University, New South Wales.
Address correspondence to: Ailsa Burns, Department of Psychology, Macquarie Uni-
versity, New South Wales, Australia, 2109 (E-mail: aburns@bunyip.bhs.mq.edu.au).
Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, Vol. 37(1/2) 2002
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58 JOURNAL OF DIVORCE & REMARRIAGE
Debate over the long term effects of divorce on children has been re-
newed by recent publications from the longitudinal studies of
Wallerstein (Wallerstein & Kelly, 1980: Wallerstein & Blakeslee, 1989;
Wallerstein, Lewis & Blakeslee, 2000) and Amato and Booth (1997).
Wallerstein reports that 25 years after the parental divorce, the
now-adult children still saw the divorce as the formative event in their
lives, and suffered from poor self-image, chronic anxiety, depression
and a range of other psychological problems. In particular, they found it
difficult to form satisfactory intimate relationships, and their marriage
rate by their 30’s and 40’s was significantly lower than that in the gen-
eral population. Over half those in the study had decided not to have chil-
dren themselves because they believed they knew too little about good
parenting. A particular cause of distress was the fact that their chances of
higher education had been jeopardised by lack of paternal (usually) sup-
port. Wallerstein’s conclusion is that even unhappily married parents
should consider staying together for the sake of the children, except in
cases of extreme conflict, domestic violence, substance abuse and se-
vere pathologies. Her views received major publicity, including the
cover story of Time magazine (6.12.00).
Ailsa Burns and Rosemary Dunlop 59
the same way (Carter & McGoldrick, 1980). Children, for example, may
believe that their parents rarely disagree if all disagreements occur behind
closed doors. In consequence, they can see the divorce as coming “out of
the blue,” when in fact there has been a long and painful buildup. Dis-
agreements can also be voiced or unvoiced, so that an extreme level of
marital unhappiness–of one or both partners–can occur without overt con-
flict. Overt disagreements can also be more or less successfully resolved,
to the greater or less satisfaction of one or both parents. There is also evi-
dence that as far as children are concerned, it is not so much the degree of
conflict as whether or not they become personally involved that is most
likely to cause distress (Buchanan, Maccoby & Dornbusch, 1991). A
greater understanding of these factors is necessary to clarify the distinc-
tion that Wallerstein et al. (2000) and Amato and Booth (1997) make be-
tween beneficial and detrimental divorce.
Our own longitudinal study can make a contribution here, as we as-
sessed parents and their early adolescent children’s perceptions of family
conflict and parent’s assessment of their own marital quality in intact and
divorcing families at the time of the divorce for the latter group. We also
measured the children’s emotional adjustment and self-concept at this
time, and three and ten years later, when they were aged in their mid-twen-
ties. On this occasion we also took measures of their attitudes to close rela-
tionships, and their satisfaction with their own intimate relationships.
These measures are of particular relevance, as this is the area in which
Wallerstein (Wallerstein & Blakeslee, 1989; Wallerstein et al., 2000)
found that the adult children of divorce had particular difficulties. We are
thus in a position to consider the long-term effects of parent’s marital
quality (as reported by different family members) on children whose par-
ents did or did not divorce.
Specifically, the questions that this paper addresses are
METHOD
a significant drop in retention for those of lower SES (c2 (1) = 9.26, p <
.005).
Measures
agreements? (no, yes). (These questions were asked about “family con-
flict” as it was considered unethical to ask adolescents to rate “parent
conflict”). At Year 10, adult children were (3) Do members of your family
of origin fight much nowadays (no/not much, a medium amount, a lot)?
(4) Do you ever feel yourself getting involved in your parent’s disagree-
ments (no, yes)? (5) How happy do you think your family of origin was at
the time of the first interview? (not too happy, pretty happy, very happy)?
(6) Taking all things together, how happy would you say your family of
origin is at present (not too happy, pretty happy, very happy)?
“very unlike me.” A high score indicates greater wariness. Cronbach’s al-
pha in the present sample was .86. Principal components analysis revealed
that one factor accounted for 42% of the variance. All items loaded on this
factor, with 10 having loadings of .59 or more.
Analysis
RESULTS
PARENTS 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1. Fa Spanier 2.48*** 2.63*** .70*** 2.50*** 2.52*** 2.05 2.19 2.10 2.08 .38** .51***
(62) (62) (56) (57) (57) (61) (61) (53) (52) (53) (51)
2. Fa Conflict 2.17 2.29* .53** .27* .33** .05 .32* .09 234** .46***
(64) (59) (60) (60) (63) (63) (55) (54) (55) (52)
3. Fa Disagree 2.61*** .02 .56*** .11 .07 .00 .01 2.23 2.38**
(59) (60) (60 (64) (63) (55) (54) (55) (53)
4. Mo Spanier 2.23* 254*** 2.10 2.05 2.11 2.29* .36** .54***
(73) (72) (72) (69) (63) (62) (63) (61)
5. Mo Conflict .23* .53*** .09 .14 .04 2.28* 2.29*
(73) (72) (70) (64) (63) (64) (62)
6. Mo Disagree .18 .09 .06 .08 2.31** 2.48***
(72) (70) (64) (63) (64) (62)
CHILD
7. Year 1 – .12 .19 .27* 2.47*** 2.20
Conflict (74) (65) (64) (65) (63)
8 Y1– 2.06 .31* 2.07 2.02
Involvement (63) (62) (63) (61)
9. Year 10– .25* 2.01 2.03
Conflict (66) (67) (65)
10. Year 10– 2.08 2.28
Involvement (66) (65)
11. Year 10– .23
Family of origin (65)
happy at Y1
12. Year 10–
Family of origin
happy at Y10
1
Higher scores denote higher (Spanier) dyadic adjustment, more conflict, more involvement in conflict, less satisfactory conflict resolution, and
greater family happiness.
2
Different Ns reflect the different numbers of mothers and fathers taking part, and missing values.
*p < .05 **p < .01 *** p < .001
This could result from adult empathy with maternal dissatisfactions that
have persisted over time.
Table 2 presents overall model values and significant predictors for the
intact and divorce group combined. The adolescent’s assessment of the
level of conflict was the only significant predictor of self-image at Year 1,
with those offspring who perceived greater family conflict having poorer
self-image. Similarly, the child’s assessment of level of conflict was the
sole (positive) predictor of anxiety. There were no significant predictors
of depression.
Greater family conflict and poorer parent marital quality were corre-
lated with poorer self-image and more anxiety and depression. However
only the adolescent rating of the level of conflict was a significant predic-
tor. Neither parent group nor gender was significant as a main effect or in
interaction with the parent marital quality variables.
1 Higher scores denote a higher level of conflict, poorer self-image and greater anxiety and depression.
2 Higher scores denote a higher level of conflict.
** p < .01 *** p < .001
1 Higher scores denote poorer self-image, more anxiety and depression, greater readiness for intimacy and greater wariness.
2 Higher scores denote greater family happiness, higher level of conflict, involvement in parent conflict, female gender and membership of di-
vorce group.
* p < .05 ** p < .01 *** p < .001
sons, but the effect was not significant. Parent’s marital status did not ex-
ert an effect.
Of the two measures used only at Year 10, readiness for intimacy was
not predicted by any of our measures, although there was a trend for those
reporting involvement at Year 1 to be less ready for intimacy. Wariness
however was predicted both by parent group (t (65) = 22.53, p = .014)
and by the interaction between parent group and adolescent reports of be-
ing involved in parent’s conflict (t (65) = 2.26, p = .027). The divorce
group were more wary overall, but their level of wariness was unaffected
by their Time 1 report of involvement (as measured by a test of simple
slopes). Within the intact group however, greater wariness was predicted
68 JOURNAL OF DIVORCE & REMARRIAGE
DISCUSSION
30
28
Wariness
26 Intact
Divorce
24
22
the time. There were no significant differences between the intact and di-
vorcing group on these measures.
Our findings at Year 10 were more complicated. Wallerstein describes
parental divorce as continuing to distress children 25 years after the event,
and Amato and Booth (1997) found that adult children’s psychological
distress, self-esteem, happiness and life satisfaction were predicted by
parent’s ratings of their own marital quality made 12 years earlier. Our
data did not show these outcomes. Our only predictors of adult self-image
were gender (with sons in both groups having better self-image than
daughters) and current perceptions of the happiness in the family of ori-
gin. Our self-image scores were reasonably consistent over the ten years
of the study (r = .54: Dunlop & Burns, 1995), and at each time of measure-
ment they were significantly associated with current assessments of har-
mony in the family of origin. However adult self-image was not
influenced by past reports of this (whether made by parent or child). This
is a positive outcome. It indicates past dysfunctional aspects of the paren-
tal relationship need not dog the children into the own adult years. At the
70 JOURNAL OF DIVORCE & REMARRIAGE
same time, the significance for adult self-image of the current assessment
of happiness in the family of origin suggests that contemporary (rather
than past) family relationships can be more important than is generally
considered.
Earlier parental marital quality also failed to predict anxiety at Year 10,
although it had done so at Year 1; again suggesting a diminution over time
of the negative influence of the past. The only significant effect came from
the well-known greater anxiety of adult females (Scheier & Cattell, 1961),
which was found in both family groups.
Our measure of depression gave more complex results. In adolescence the
divorce group sons tended to be more depressed, and the divorce group
daughters less depressed than the two intact groups, but by adulthood there
had been a change. Daughters in both groups were now more depressed than
sons, although the effect did not quite reach significance. Gender was how-
ever significant in interaction with past reports of conflict. As adults, daugh-
ters from higher-conflict backgrounds reported significantly more depression
than those from low-conflict backgrounds (regardless of family group). The
same trend was found among adult sons, but did not approach significance.
Adult females are known to be more subject to depression than males
(Scheier & Cattell, 1961). Our results suggest that this tendency can be exac-
erbated by a high-conflict family background, although the effect may not be
apparent until adulthood. This intriguing pattern of changes over time merits
further exploration.
Wallerstein (Wallerstein & Kelly, 1980; Wallerstein & Blakeslee,
1989: Wallerstein, Blakeslee & Lewis, 2000) has consistently emphasised
the anxiety felt by the children of divorce regarding their own chances of
entering a successful long-term relationships. Wallerstein and Blakeslee
refer to a “significant number” of daughters who suffer a “sorrowful sense
that they are unlikely to achieve their goals of an enduring love and mar-
riage” (p. 24) and “an intolerable level of anxiety about betrayal” (p. 62).
Amato & Booth by contrast report that parental divorce has very little ef-
fect on the quality of offspring’s relationships. Our own data distinguishes
between the effects on readiness for intimacy and on wariness about rela-
tionships. Our measure of the former (Rosenthal et al., 1981) is based on
Erikson’s (1950) writings about the early adult developmental task of es-
tablishing intimacy with others, and focuses on a person’s ability to be-
come involved (e.g., “I find it easy to make close friends” “I’m warm and
friendly”), while the latter (Burns & Dunlop, 1998) emphasises wary atti-
tudes (“I worry about getting trapped in a long-term relationship”
“Long-term relationships only succeed if both partners work at them”).
Readiness for intimacy was not associated with any of our predictor vari-
Ailsa Burns and Rosemary Dunlop 71
eled with me, or if they didn’t I called them on it, because I knew them”
(<Borders.com> 2000). This indicates a style of discourse that most re-
searchers do not engage in, and that renders quantification and compari-
son with a non-divorce group virtually impossible. Our data suggests that
it can result in misleading generalisations.
Amato and Booth’s sample is much larger than our own, and differed in
a number of ways. The children involved were older, and their age range
much greater when first interviewed (19 to 40 years). Their age range at
the time of the parental divorce was also greater (preschool to early twen-
ties), while our own study controlled for recency of divorce and adoles-
cent age at the time when this occurred. In addition, we used different
measures, usually more extensive ones such as the OSIQ; and child as
well as parent reports of conflict at Year 1. And these measures were em-
bedded in lengthy interviews, whereas Amato & Booth used briefer tele-
phone interviews. Given these many differences, we would expect some
divergence in findings.
Even so, the differences are puzzling. Except in the case of wariness, the
interactions between parent marital status and parent conflict did not re-
motely approach significance, and thus cannot be explained as due to the
modest power of a relatively small sample. Nor was our sample unduly
biassed. A random sample of families applying for divorce in Sydney was
approached, and analyses (Dunlop & Burns, 1995) showed that those who
took part were spread across the socioeconomic range, and that there were
few sociodemographic differences between the intact and divorce groups.
What then can explain the substantive differences between the US stud-
ies and our own? Cultural factors may be relevant here. The divorce rate in
Australia is considerably lower than in the USA (2.8 per 1000 population
in 1999 vs 4.7 in the USA in 1990), which could mean that the divorce
population in the two countries is somewhat different, with the Australian
group weighted towards more serious marital complaints. Wallerstein’s
(2000) emphasis on the resentment felt by children of divorce about their
reduced educational chances suggests another cultural effect. While sin-
gle-parent families in both countries are economically disadvantaged, it
may be that different social provisions result in Australian children suffer-
ing fewer educational penalties (Smith Family, 2001).
SUMMARY
Ailsa Burns and Rosemary Dunlop 73
The study looked at the predictive power of mother’s, father’s and ado-
lescent children’s reports of family harmony on the adolescent’s adjust-
ment at the time and as adults. The ratings made by different family
members were correlated, but only the adolescent’s ratings predicted their
own self-image and emotional adjustment. Ten years on these measures
were no longer predictive, although daughters from higher conflict fami-
lies reported more depression. The readiness for intimacy of the
now-adult children was unaffected by the earlier reports of conflict and
parental marital quality, but wariness about relationships was higher
among those from divorced homes, and those from continuing marriages
who as adolescents had described themselves as involved in parental con-
flicts. The results offer some support for the proposal that involvement in
parental conflict in continuing families can have negative outcomes for
children; but no support for the proposal that divorce by parents whose
level of overt conflict is low exerts a particularly damaging long-term ef-
fect on their offspring.
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