SIMULACION MONTECARLO

Pescadera
Precio
0.6 US$/kg
Venta
Precio
0.2 US$/kg
Compra

Tabla Ampliada
Dda
P(D=d) P(D<=d) Hol
prom
35 0.1 0.1 0 9
45 0.3 0.4 10 39
55 0.2 0.6 40 59
65 0.3 0.9 60 89
75 0.1 1 90 99

Regla 1 Qn = Dn-1
Regla 2 Qn = 55
Regla 3 Qn = 65

Pn=(Snp) - (Qnc)

Simulacin
Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.012473086 35 45 10 35 0 100
2 0.598105161 55 35 0 35 20 63
3 0.822960949 65 55 0 55 10 84
4 0.860625462 65 65 0 65 0 100
5 0.114791436 45 65 20 45 0 100
6 0.001235447 35 45 10 35 0 100
7 0.436545875 55 35 0 35 20 63
8 0.311881799 45 55 10 45 0 100
9 0.141163696 45 45 0 45 0 100
10 0.470514356 55 45 0 45 10 81
11 0.262697387 45 55 10 45 0 100
12 0.023811863 35 45 10 35 0 100
13 0.107910254 45 35 0 35 10 77
14 0.13975533 45 45 0 45 0 100
15 0.3081123 45 45 0 45 0 100
Suma 715 715 70 645 70 -
Promedio 47.67 47.67 - 43.00 - 91.20
r0 0.25899587
 2 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.318285416 45 45 0 45 0 100
2 0.607163963 65 45 0 45 20 69
3 0.014643997 35 65 30 35 0 100
4 0.746854845 65 35 0 35 30 53
5 0.052344925 35 65 30 35 0 100
6 0.554072471 55 35 0 35 20 63
7 0.026968801 35 55 20 35 0 100
8 0.451178635 55 35 0 35 20 63
9 0.479939902 55 55 0 55 0 100
10 0.899428929 65 55 0 55 10 84
11 0.154755144 45 65 20 45 0 100
12 0.849673806 65 45 0 45 20 69
13 0.763238946 65 65 0 65 0 100
14 0.325049782 45 65 20 45 0 100
15 0.713502796 65 45 0 45 20 69
Suma 795 775 120 655 140 -
Promedio 53.00 51.67 - 43.67 - 84.67
r0 0.262226928

3 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.917207361 75 65 0 65 10 86
2 0.599262883 55 75 20 55 0 100
3 0.41053674 55 55 0 55 0 100
4 0.417133132 55 55 0 55 0 100
5 0.282000493 45 55 10 45 0 100
6 0.19041829 45 45 0 45 0 100
7 0.01695603 35 45 10 35 0 100
8 0.77445562 65 35 0 35 30 53
9 0.249475461 45 65 20 45 0 100
10 0.244952214 45 45 0 45 0 100
11 0.254314105 45 45 0 45 0 100
12 0.160023432 45 45 0 45 0 100
13 0.684868573 65 45 0 45 20 69
14 0.211257363 45 65 20 45 0 100
15 0.1434708 45 45 0 45 0 100
Suma 765 785 80 705 60 -
Promedio 51.00 52.33 - 47.00 - 93.87
r0 0.615885688

4 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.718135982 65 6 0 6 59 9
2 0.138912655 45 65 20 45 0 100
3 0.253226471 45 45 0 45 0 100
 4 0.298096379 45 45 0 45 0 100
5 0.126371619 45 45 0 45 0 100
6 0.055159295 35 45 10 35 0 100
7 0.376633762 45 35 0 35 10 77
8 0.344511494 45 45 0 45 0 100
9 0.659192469 65 45 0 45 20 69
10 0.518798541 55 65 10 55 0 100
11 0.179590371 45 55 10 45 0 100
12 0.975900304 75 45 0 45 30 60
13 0.202681216 45 75 30 45 0 100
14 0.006530597 35 45 10 35 0 100
15 0.354475307 45 35 0 35 10 77
Suma 735 696 90 606 129 -
Promedio 49.00 46.40 - 40.40 - 86.13
r0 0.370236117

5 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.25844631 45 55 10 45 0 100
2 0.042013356 35 45 10 35 0 100
3 0.420916794 55 35 0 35 20 63
4 0.792054221 65 55 0 55 10 84
5 0.657591356 65 65 0 65 0 100
6 0.880602011 65 65 0 65 0 100
7 0.436011203 55 65 10 55 0 100
8 0.086387784 35 55 20 35 0 100
9 0.492488716 55 35 0 35 20 63
10 0.797288459 65 55 0 55 10 84
11 0.142090476 45 65 20 45 0 100
12 0.141202197 45 45 0 45 0 100
13 0.331318794 45 45 0 45 0 100
14 0.755843329 65 45 0 45 20 69
15 0.02668124 35 65 30 35 0 100
Suma 775 795 100 695 80 -
Promedio 51.67 53.00 - 46.33 - 90.87
r0 0.521004457

6 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.377067012 45 75 30 45 0 100
2 0.911445465 75 45 0 45 30 60
3 0.689561591 65 75 10 65 0 100
4 0.833199118 65 65 0 65 0 100
5 0.810608433 65 65 0 65 0 100
6 0.890041476 65 65 0 65 0 100
7 0.239887479 45 65 20 45 0 100
8 0.680152744 65 45 0 45 20 69
9 0.21570057 45 65 20 45 0 100
 10 0.984101837 75 45 0 45 30 60
11 0.613319715 65 75 10 65 0 100
12 0.192937812 45 65 20 45 0 100
13 0.370759165 45 45 0 45 0 100
14 0.65423157 65 45 0 45 20 69
15 0.437329566 55 65 10 55 0 100
Suma 885 905 120 785 100 -
Promedio 59.00 60.33 - 52.33 - 90.53
r0 0.937263274

7 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.027189896 35 55 20 35 0 100
2 0.362934546 45 35 0 35 10 77
3 0.695153678 65 45 0 45 20 69
4 0.272005007 45 65 20 45 0 100
5 0.723101023 65 45 0 45 20 69
6 0.235870827 45 65 20 45 0 100
7 0.701946897 65 45 0 45 20 69
8 0.970353003 75 65 0 65 10 86
9 0.471975675 55 75 20 55 0 100
10 0.871977304 65 55 0 55 10 84
11 0.431595606 55 65 10 55 0 100
12 0.494600884 55 55 0 55 0 100
13 0.119280918 45 55 10 45 0 100
14 0.939718689 75 45 0 45 30 60
15 0.050280614 35 75 40 35 0 100
Suma 825 845 140 705 120 -
Promedio 55.00 56.33 - 47.00 - 87.60
r0 0.523135106

8 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.408319852 55 35 0 35 20 63
2 0.160739062 45 55 10 45 0 100
3 0.710029422 65 45 0 45 20 69
4 0.078490688 35 65 30 35 0 100
5 0.20717403 45 35 0 35 10 77
6 0.273123919 45 45 0 45 0 100
7 0.68411578 65 45 0 45 20 69
8 0.188563728 45 65 20 45 0 100
9 0.025927664 35 45 10 35 0 100
10 0.962991071 75 35 0 35 40 46
11 0.904379264 75 75 0 75 0 100
12 0.229324899 45 75 30 45 0 100
13 0.626388248 65 45 0 45 20 69
14 0.294052962 45 65 20 45 0 100
15 0.251601559 45 45 0 45 0 100
Suma 785 775 120 655 130 -
Promedio 52.33 51.67 - 43.67 - 86.20
r0 0.051826503

9 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.726505934 65 55 0 55 10 84
2 0.640718525 65 65 0 65 0 100
3 0.347731787 45 65 20 45 0 100
4 0.055243401 35 45 10 35 0 100
5 0.081137422 35 35 0 35 0 100
6 0.527638732 55 35 0 35 20 63
7 0.0062489 35 55 20 35 0 100
8 0.6452893 65 35 0 35 30 53
9 0.189571886 45 65 20 45 0 100
10 0.695508442 65 45 0 45 20 69
11 0.325840308 45 65 20 45 0 100
12 0.77214104 65 45 0 45 20 69
13 0.916963319 75 65 0 65 10 86
14 0.39771501 45 75 30 45 0 100
15 0.035155627 35 45 10 35 0 100
Suma 775 795 130 665 110 -
Promedio 51.67 53.00 - 44.33 - 88.27
r0 0.578304602

10 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.718673801 65 45 0 45 20 69
2 0.119513019 45 65 20 45 0 100
3 0.125024332 45 45 0 45 0 100
4 0.80672853 65 45 0 45 20 69
5 0.543457465 55 65 10 55 0 100
6 0.133773747 45 55 10 45 0 100
7 0.722512522 65 45 0 45 20 69
8 0.833937694 65 65 0 65 0 100
9 0.718823193 65 65 0 65 0 100
10 0.784498113 65 65 0 65 0 100
11 0.106742775 45 65 20 45 0 100
12 0.921384177 75 45 0 45 30 60
13 0.974582585 75 75 0 75 0 100
14 0.833725915 65 75 10 65 0 100
15 0.127307406 45 65 20 45 0 100
Suma 885 885 90 795 90 -
Promedio 59.00 59.00 - 53.00 - 91.13
r0 0.172919419
 11 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.453241247 55 75 20 55 0 100
2 0.120390062 45 55 10 45 0 100
3 0.675502773 65 45 0 45 20 69
4 0.30645393 45 65 20 45 0 100
5 0.56828469 55 45 0 45 10 81
6 0.825033883 65 55 0 55 10 84
7 0.413750985 55 65 10 55 0 100
8 0.806902852 65 55 0 55 10 84
9 0.385939691 45 65 20 45 0 100
10 0.511731178 55 45 0 45 10 81
11 0.876182856 65 55 0 55 10 84
12 0.317685837 45 65 20 45 0 100
13 0.551630472 55 45 0 45 10 81
14 0.230224458 45 55 10 45 0 100
15 0.28711295 45 45 0 45 0 100
Suma 805 835 110 725 80 -
Promedio 53.67 55.67 - 48.33 - 90.93
r0 0.969161737

12 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.060627344 35 55 20 35 0 100
2 0.063725808 35 35 0 35 0 100
3 0.941486323 75 35 0 35 40 46
4 0.165720663 45 75 30 45 0 100
5 0.552665385 55 45 0 45 10 81
6 0.579225919 55 55 0 55 0 100
7 0.414741924 55 55 0 55 0 100
8 0.440641153 55 55 0 55 0 100
9 0.682982829 65 55 0 55 10 84
10 0.703548362 65 65 0 65 0 100
11 0.300527675 45 65 20 45 0 100
12 0.480587335 55 45 0 45 10 81
13 0.436938199 55 55 0 55 0 100
14 0.89200976 65 55 0 55 10 84
15 0.290065605 45 65 20 45 0 100
Suma 805 815 90 725 80 -
Promedio 53.67 54.33 - 48.33 - 91.73
r0 0.558599147

13 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.313538292 45 65 20 45 0 100
2 0.716824719 65 45 0 45 20 69
3 0.30457337 45 65 20 45 0 100
4 0.425609605 55 45 0 45 10 81
 5 0.82840869 65 55 0 55 10 84
6 0.852354644 65 65 0 65 0 100
7 0.039501171 35 65 30 35 0 100
8 0.335571078 45 35 0 35 10 77
9 0.155809856 45 45 0 45 0 100
10 0.407519288 55 45 0 45 10 81
11 0.963268582 75 55 0 55 20 73
12 0.284305342 45 75 30 45 0 100
13 0.450848622 55 45 0 45 10 81
14 0.219604552 45 55 10 45 0 100
15 0.53917331 55 45 0 45 10 81
Suma 795 805 110 695 100 -
Promedio 53.00 53.67 - 46.33 - 88.47
r0 0.662228649

14 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.757109436 65 65 0 65 0 100
2 0.166930318 45 65 20 45 0 100
3 0.810334945 65 45 0 45 20 69
4 0.20812196 45 65 20 45 0 100
5 0.89888474 65 45 0 45 20 69
6 0.048757826 35 65 30 35 0 100
7 0.05830899 35 35 0 35 0 100
8 0.956326574 75 35 0 35 40 46
9 0.691204713 65 75 10 65 0 100
10 0.869078379 65 65 0 65 0 100
11 0.100616888 45 65 20 45 0 100
12 0.421137688 55 45 0 45 10 81
13 0.499387522 55 55 0 55 0 100
14 0.966511204 75 55 0 55 20 73
15 0.649950009 65 75 10 65 0 100
Suma 855 855 110 745 110 -
Promedio 57.00 57.00 - 49.67 - 89.20
r0 0.616882198

15 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.311877007 45 35 0 35 10 77
2 0.179864656 45 45 0 45 0 100
3 0.912681232 75 45 0 45 30 60
4 0.548787256 55 75 20 55 0 100
5 0.313982363 45 55 10 45 0 100
6 0.942857441 75 45 0 45 30 60
7 0.35917619 45 75 30 45 0 100
8 0.280541568 45 45 0 45 0 100
9 0.591268169 55 45 0 45 10 81
10 0.523654926 55 55 0 55 0 100
 11 0.128155991 45 55 10 45 0 100
12 0.585740244 55 45 0 45 10 81
13 0.840294449 65 55 0 55 10 84
14 0.77552764 65 65 0 65 0 100
15 0.490639554 55 65 10 55 0 100
Suma 825 805 80 725 100 -
Promedio 55.00 53.67 - 48.33 - 89.53
r0 0.067734394

16 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.901252683 75 65 0 65 10 86
2 0.87215368 65 75 10 65 0 100
3 0.200201993 45 65 20 45 0 100
4 0.266864389 45 45 0 45 0 100
5 0.75891542 65 45 0 45 20 69
6 0.091871967 35 65 30 35 0 100
7 0.280893682 45 35 0 35 10 77
8 0.057232427 35 45 10 35 0 100
9 0.869047838 65 35 0 35 30 53
10 0.294095051 45 65 20 45 0 100
11 0.669079812 65 45 0 45 20 69
12 0.149980777 45 65 20 45 0 100
13 0.94120355 75 45 0 45 30 60
14 0.793881328 65 75 10 65 0 100
15 0.183903391 45 65 20 45 0 100
Suma 815 835 140 695 120 -
Promedio 54.33 55.67 - 46.33 - 87.60
r0 0.717063537

17 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.932437158 75 65 0 65 10 86
2 0.060084893 35 75 40 35 0 100
3 0.572413043 55 35 0 35 20 63
4 0.446692946 55 55 0 55 0 100
5 0.617453568 65 55 0 55 10 84
6 0.872798106 65 65 0 65 0 100
7 0.032000403 35 65 30 35 0 100
8 0.945273618 75 35 0 35 40 46
9 0.36893007 45 75 30 45 0 100
10 0.851295524 65 45 0 45 20 69
11 0.743315197 65 65 0 65 0 100
12 0.856811225 65 65 0 65 0 100
13 0.8468523 65 65 0 65 0 100
14 0.015184533 35 65 30 35 0 100
15 0.282828562 45 35 0 35 10 77
Suma 845 865 130 735 110 -
Promedio 56.33 57.67 - 49.00 - 88.33
r0 0.82905247

18 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.854466553 65 35 0 35 30 53
2 0.033039378 35 65 30 35 0 100
3 0.382414944 45 35 0 35 10 77
4 0.499405483 55 45 0 45 10 81
5 0.629860933 65 55 0 55 10 84
6 0.565267007 55 65 10 55 0 100
7 0.182363082 45 55 10 45 0 100
8 0.182724896 45 45 0 45 0 100
9 0.122000815 45 45 0 45 0 100
10 0.988344671 75 45 0 45 30 60
11 0.435638091 55 75 20 55 0 100
12 0.863474901 65 55 0 55 10 84
13 0.04104271 35 65 30 35 0 100
14 0.719521302 65 35 0 35 30 53
15 0.154253416 45 65 20 45 0 100
Suma 795 785 120 665 130 -
Promedio 53.00 52.33 - 44.33 - 86.13
r0 0.061116813

19 Regla 1
Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.631202206 65 75 10 65 0 100
2 0.283019935 45 65 20 45 0 100
3 0.132681891 45 45 0 45 0 100
4 0.076321514 35 45 10 35 0 100
5 0.639987445 65 35 0 35 30 53
6 0.166498091 45 65 20 45 0 100
7 0.904049643 75 45 0 45 30 60
8 0.526066534 55 75 20 55 0 100
9 0.176338722 45 55 10 45 0 100
10 0.550896078 55 45 0 45 10 81
11 0.814736428 65 55 0 55 10 84
12 0.210564016 45 65 20 45 0 100
13 0.634801498 65 45 0 45 20 69
14 0.459297562 55 65 10 55 0 100
15 0.2413894 45 55 10 45 0 100
Suma 805 835 130 705 100 -
Promedio 53.67 55.67 - 47.00 - 89.80
r0 0.912333613

20 Regla 1
 Dia NA Dn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%]
1 0.922352274 75 65 0 65 10 86
2 0.658654566 65 75 10 65 0 100
3 0.342978154 45 65 20 45 0 100
4 0.93625164 75 45 0 45 30 60
5 0.89213531 65 75 10 65 0 100
6 0.896308705 65 65 0 65 0 100
7 0.005066659 35 65 30 35 0 100
8 0.467093368 55 35 0 35 20 63
9 0.692063755 65 55 0 55 10 84
10 0.761504328 65 65 0 65 0 100
11 0.929175189 75 65 0 65 10 86
12 0.306910066 45 75 30 45 0 100
13 0.934549059 75 45 0 45 30 60
14 0.296042252 45 75 30 45 0 100
15 0.190220314 45 45 0 45 0 100
Suma 895 915 130 785 110 -
Promedio 59.67 61.00 - 52.33 - 89.27
r0 0.692308132
 Regla 1 Regla 2 Regla 3
# sim NSC [%] Pn NSC [%] Pn NSC [%] Pn
2 87.93 241.00 95.73 264.00 100.00 258.00
4 88.97 243.10 95.90 262.50 99.53 253.50
6 89.54 253.40 94.53 270.00 99.38 268.00
8 88.88 251.55 94.07 270.75 99.07 270.00
10 89.05 255.24 93.43 272.40 98.97 274.80
12 89.43 257.70 93.76 275.50 99.07 276.50
14 89.34 258.89 93.58 276.86 99.00 278.57
16 89.25 259.28 93.46 277.50 98.89 279.38
18 89.02 258.80 93.30 277.67 98.86 280.33
20 89.07 260.12 93.04 278.70 98.74 282.30

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
244 825 20 695 130 - 252
30.5 55.00 - 86.88 - 97.87 31.5
 Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
10 55 0 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
238 825 50 735 100 - 276
29.8 55.00 - 91.88 - 93.60 34.5

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
18 55 20 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
266 825 50 725 90 - 270
33.3 55.00 - 90.63 - 96.07 33.8

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
2.4 55 0 55 49 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
 18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
224.4 825 40 695 169 - 252
28.1 55.00 - 86.88 - 96.07 31.5

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
10 55 0 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
258 825 50 725 80 - 270
32.3 55.00 - 90.63 - 94.67 33.8

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
 18 55 0 55 10 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
290 825 130 775 50 - 300
36.3 55.00 - 96.88 - 88.93 37.5

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
10 55 0 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
18 55 20 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
6 55 20 35 0 100 10
254 825 80 745 60 - 282
31.8 55.00 - 93.13 - 92.13 35.3

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 73 22
30 55 20 55 0 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
238 825 70 715 120 - 264
29.8 55.00 - 89.38 - 93.20 33.0

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 35 20 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
10 55 0 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
240 825 70 705 100 - 258
30.0 55.00 - 88.13 - 92.87 32.3

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
30 55 20 55 0 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
300 825 110 775 50 - 300
37.5 55.00 - 96.88 - 88.93 37.5
 Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
18 55 20 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
268 825 60 765 50 - 294
33.5 55.00 - 95.63 - 95.73 36.8

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
10 55 0 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 35 20 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
272 825 50 755 60 - 288
34.0 55.00 - 94.38 - 95.00 36.0

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
 22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
256 825 60 745 80 - 282
32.0 55.00 - 93.13 - 95.00 35.3

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 35 20 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
276 825 100 755 70 - 288
34.5 55.00 - 94.38 - 90.00 36.0

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
18 55 20 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
 16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
274 825 60 765 80 - 294
34.3 55.00 - 95.63 - 94.27 36.8

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
250 825 100 725 90 - 270
31.3 55.00 - 90.63 - 91.07 33.8

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
6 55 20 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
268 825 110 745 70 - 282
33.5 55.00 - 93.13 - 90.00 35.3

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 45 20 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
18 55 20 55 0 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
242 825 60 735 100 - 276
30.3 55.00 - 91.88 - 93.93 34.5

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
12 55 0 35 10 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
18 55 20 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 84 22
20 55 10 55 0 100 22
16 55 0 45 0 100 16
256 825 80 745 70 - 282
32.0 55.00 - 93.13 - 93.93 35.3

Regla 2
Pn Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
14 55 10 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
24 55 20 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
8 55 10 35 0 100 10
14 55 0 55 20 100 22
22 55 0 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 84 22
26 55 10 55 0 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 55 10 73 22
12 55 20 45 0 100 16
18 55 0 45 10 100 16
288 825 140 765 50 - 294
36.0 55.00 - 95.63 - 87.47 36.8
 3

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
975 0 715 260 - 234
121.88 - 89.38 - 100.00 29.3
 Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 35 10 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
975 0 795 200 - 282
121.88 - 99.38 - 100.00 35.3

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 55 0 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
975 10 755 200 - 258
121.88 - 94.38 - 99.07 32.3

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 59 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
 65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
975 10 725 289 - 240
121.88 - 90.63 - 99.07 30.0

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 35 10 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
975 0 775 180 - 270
121.88 - 96.88 - 100.00 33.8

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
 65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
975 30 865 100 - 324
121.88 - 108.13 - 98.13 40.5

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 35 10 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 55 0 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 35 0 100 8
975 20 805 150 - 288
121.88 - 100.63 - 98.13 36.0

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 65 30 86 26
65 10 65 0 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
 975 20 765 220 - 264
121.88 - 95.63 - 98.13 33.0

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 35 30 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 35 10 100 8
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
975 10 765 190 - 264
121.88 - 95.63 - 99.07 33.0

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 65 0 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
975 20 865 110 - 324
121.88 - 108.13 - 98.13 40.5
 Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 10 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
975 10 805 150 - 288
121.88 - 100.63 - 100.00 36.0

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 35 10 100 8
65 0 35 30 100 8
65 0 65 30 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
975 10 795 170 - 282
121.88 - 99.38 - 99.07 35.3

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
 65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 65 10 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
975 10 785 180 - 276
121.88 - 98.13 - 99.07 34.5

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 35 30 100 8
65 0 65 30 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 65 10 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
975 20 835 140 - 306
121.88 - 104.38 - 98.13 38.3

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
 65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
975 20 805 190 - 288
121.88 - 100.63 - 98.13 36.0

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
975 20 795 160 - 282
121.88 - 99.38 - 98.13 35.3

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 35 0 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 55 10 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 65 30 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
975 20 825 130 - 300
121.88 - 103.13 - 98.13 37.5

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 45 30 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 55 0 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
975 10 785 200 - 276
121.88 - 98.13 - 99.07 34.5

Regla 3
Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
65 0 35 20 100 8
65 0 65 30 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
65 0 55 20 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 100 26
65 0 55 0 100 20
65 0 45 10 100 14
975 20 795 160 - 282
121.88 - 99.38 - 99.07 35.3

Regla 3
 Qn dda ins Sn Prdida NSC [%] Pn
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 35 0 100 8
65 0 55 30 100 20
65 0 65 10 100 26
65 0 65 0 100 26
65 0 65 0 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 65 20 86 26
65 10 45 0 100 14
65 0 45 20 100 14
975 40 855 100 - 318
121.88 - 106.88 - 96.27 39.8
 Grfico de Comparacin de las Utilidades

290

280

270
Unidades Monetarias
Regla 1
260
Regla 2

250
Regla 3

240

230

220
0 5 10 15 20 25

Nmero de Simulaciones
 Grfico de Comparacin del NSC

105

100

Regla 1
95

% Regla 2

90 Regla 3

85

80
0 5 10 15 20 25

Nmero de Simulaciones