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A review of cut-off grade policy models for open pit mining operations
Mohammad Waqar Ali Asad n, Muhammad Asim Qureshi, Hyongdoo Jang
Department of Mining Engineering and Metallurgical Engineering, WASM, Curtin University, Australia
art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: In an open pit mining operation, the heterogeneity of the grade-tonnage distribution of the deposit
Received 10 March 2016 dictates that all available material within the boundaries of an open pit may not be processed. Given this
Received in revised form heterogeneity, it is imperative that the valuable (ore) and waste materials are clearly identied. In this
29 April 2016
context, the cut-off grade denes the quantity of ore and waste, ensuring smooth supply of ore to the
Accepted 12 May 2016
processing streams. While, the earliest signicant effort towards the development of models for cut-off
grade policy dates back to 1960s, a number of contributions on this vital aspect of a mining operation
Keywords: have been made since then. This paper presents a comprehensive overview of the available literature on
Optimization cut-off grade policy models and suggests possible areas of future research.
Modelling
& 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Cut-off grade
Processing
Open pit mining
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.05.005
0301-4207/& 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
M.W.A. Asad et al. / Resources Policy 49 (2016) 142152 143
Metals or Final constitutes several thousand mining blocks, with location (spatial
Stockpiles Run of Mine Products coordinates), metal content (grade), and quantity of material
Leach
(tonnes) associated to each mining block. Fig. 2 presents a hy-
Potential Ore
Processing Streams
Crushed Leach sional and relatively simple two-dimensional structures.
Ore Concentrates However, this primary geological input is then translated into
Mine Refinery
grade-tonnage curve or distribution that constitutes grade cate-
Flotation gories/increments along with corresponding quantity of material
Waste
2. Breakeven model
25
20
Tonnage (Tonnes in Million)
20
16
Tonnage (Tonnes in Million)
12 15
8 10
4 5
0 0
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 0.0-0.5 0.5-1.0 1.0-1.5 1.5-2.0 2.0-2.5 2.5-3.0 3.0-4.0
Grade (% Cu) Grade Category Interval (% Cu)
Table 3
Cut-off grade policy derived from the breakeven model.
Year Cut-off Grade, (%) Average Grade, g (%) Qm (tonnes) Qc (tonnes) Qr (tonnes) CF ($) NPV ($)
Qm
model not only considers the grade-tonnage distribution of the t = M , with the opportunity cost ( f + vd
) to be distributed per unit
mineralization, but also it honours the production capacities of of material mined, also, if processing plant is limiting the opera-
various components of the mining operation. The model aligns Qc
tion, then t = C , with the opportunity cost ( f + vd ) to be covered
with the overall objective of a mining operation, as it maximises by each unit of ore processed, and nally, if renery or market is
the NPV subject to the mining, processing, and rening capacity Qr
responsible for delaying the operation, then t = R , with the op-
constraints. (Eqs. (4)7) present the general mathematical for-
mulation of the Lane's model (Lane, 1964, 1988): portunity cost ( f + vd
) to be distributed per unit of metal rened
or marketed. Eqs. (1416) reect these scenarios:
T
Pt
NPV = t
QmpQc
f +vd
t = 1 ( 1+d ) (4) vm=( s r ) Qr m+
M (14)
Subjected to
Qc
f +vd
Qmt M ,t (5) vc =( s r ) QrmQm p+
C (15)
QctC ,t (6)
f +vd QrmQmpQc
vr = s r +
QrtR,t (7) R (16)
Here, Pt =( s r ) Qrt mQmt pQct ft is the cash ow or prot Finally, the optimum value of cut-off grade ( ) thus requires a
realized by mining Qm quantity of material, processing Qc quantity calculation of the increase in present values vm , vc , and vr as a
of ore, and rening or marketing Qr quanity of metal during time function of gl . Fig. 5 shows a graphical presentation of these
period t . Thus, over the life of operation (T ), the model aims to functions.
dene a schedule of cut-off grades ( t T ), such that the NPV is According to the Lane's model, Fig. 5 depicts that the curve vm
maximized by satisfying the constraints Eqs. (5)(7). relates to the mine being a bottleneck in the system (i.e., Eq. (5) is
In this context, given the grade-tonnage distribution and pro- an equality), and the grade at the maximum value of vm corres-
duction capacities, if gl is considered as the cut-off grade, then the ponds to the mine limiting cut-off grade ( m ); the curve vc relates
quantity of waste ( qw ), the quantity of ore ( qo ), and the average to the processing plant being a bottleneck in the system (i.e., Eq.
grade of ore ( g ) as a function of this cut-off may be dened, which (6) is an equality), and the grade at the maximum value of vc
leads to the following relationships: corresponds to the process limiting cut-off grade ( c ); and the
curve vr relates to the renery or market being a bottleneck in the
C; ifq > C
system (i.e., Eq. (7) is an equality), with the grade at the maximum
o
Qc =
qo; otherwise (8) value of vr corresponding to the renery or market limiting cut-off
grade ( r ).
Moreover, the point of intersection of curves vm and vc shows
q
Qm=Qc 1 + w that both mine and processing plant are bottleneck (i.e., (Eqs.
qo (9) (5) and 6) are equalities), and the grade at this point corresponds
to the mine and processing plant balancing cut-off grade ( mc ),
Qr =Qc ( g y) (10) ensuring that both components produce at their maximum
throughput. Also, the point of intersection of curves vm and vr
Now, if next Qm quantity of material in Eq. (9) is mined over shows that both mine and renery are bottleneck (i.e., (Eqs.
time period t , then a cash ow Pt will be realized at the end of
(5) and 7) are equalities), and the grade at this point corresponds
period t . However, after mining Qm, Q Qm quantity of the re-
to the mine and renery balancing cut-off grade ( mr ). Likewise,
serves still remains available, and if it is scheduled to be mined the point of intersection of curves vc and vr shows that both
from time period t + 1 to T , with possible cash ows Pt + 1 to PT , W
processing plant and renery are bottleneck (i.e., (Eqs. (6) and 7)
as the corresponding present value of these cash ows in time t ,
are equalities), and the grade at this point corresponds to the
and v as the overall present value of future cash ows generated
process and renery balancing cut-off grade ( cr ).
from time t to T . Fig. 4 presents this situation in a time-diagram. While, the optimum cut-off grade ( ) is one of the six limiting
P PT
While, W = t + 1 1 + + T t
, v becomes: and balancing cut-off grades, Fig. 5 shows that any value of less
( 1 + d) ( 1 + d)
Pt +W than r or cr will result in violation of the processing plant capacity
v= constraint (Eq. (6)), and any value of greater than r or cr would
( 1+d)t (11)
not only violate the renery or market capacity constraint (Eq. (7)),
Thus, an increase in the present value ( v ) by mining next Qm but a further increase in would require excessive mining of waste
quantity of material may be derived from Eq. (11) as follows: material, so that the access to high-grade ore becomes possible,
resulting in violation of the mine production capacity constraint
v=v W =Pt vdt
(12)
(Eq. (5)). This reveals that as given in Fig. 6, the optimum cut-off
Substituting Pt in Eq. (12) yields: grade ( ) corresponds to the maximum value vmax among the
minimums from functions vm , vc , vr , and this general rule is pre-
v=( s r ) QrmQmpQc( f +vd
)t (13) sented as (Lane, 1988):
Now, time t is purely dependent upon the limiting production vmax ( )=max min ( vm, vc , vr ) (17)
capacity during this period, i.e., if mine is the bottleneck, then
Given the complexity and a number of repetitive iterations in
these calculations, it is best to implement the Lane's model
through an algorithm. Table 4 presents the cut-off grade policy
derived from the Lane's model that has been generated using such
an algorithm.
Fig. 4. Presentation of the cash ows and the present value in Lane's model. Table 4 shows that as opposed to the cut-off grade policy based
146 M.W.A. Asad et al. / Resources Policy 49 (2016) 142152
16
14
12
10
($ millions)
0
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80
Grade (% Cu)
on the breakeven model, Lane's model not only demonstrates a previous sections, a careful comparison of both Lane and break-
substantial increase in NPV, but also it establishes a dynamic cut- even models demonstrates the signicance of Lane's model, and
off grade policy, ensuring higher cut-off grades during early years this became a reason for its large-scale acceptance in the mining
of operation, with a subsequent decrease during later years, linked industry. Today, not only the Lane's model has been implemented
with the exhaustion of reserves. This exclusive attribute in Lane's in the standard strategic mine planning software (Whittle and
model allows the management of stockpiles between the lowest Vassiliev, 1998), but also several extensions of the original Lane's
(0.2396%) and the highest (0.5036%) cut-off grade values. For ex- model are available.
ample, during year 1, any material with grade greater than or In this context, Mol and Gillies (1984) suggest an improvement
equal to 0.2396% and less than 0.5036% would be sent to the into traditional cut-off models (breakeven and Lane), such that it is
stockpiles, as it may be retrieved for processing as soon as it be- relevant to the iron mining operations, where market driven
comes economical, either during the mine life or after the ex- contracts dene the required grade specications, thus max-
haustion of reserves within the ultimate pit limit. Table 5 presents imization of the marketable reserves is the priority, and material
the cut-off grade policy with the option to stockpile, which in- blending to achieve required grade specications becomes
dicates a further increase in the life as well as NPV of the imminent.
operation. Dagdelen (1992, 1993) present the steps of algorithm for im-
plementation of the Lane's model and a case study that conrms
3.1. Extensions in Lane's model the benets of this model. Through examples, it demonstrates that
mining companies recognize the value of using higher cut-off
Lane's model is the pioneer work that describes the general grades during early years of a mining operation, as it generates
theory of cut-off grades as well as its relevance to the mine higher cash ows, ensuring an early return of the capital invest-
planning aspects of an open pit mining operation. As explained in ments. Also, Dagdelen (1993) provides more insights into
16
14
12
10
($ millions)
0
0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80
Grade (% Cu)
Table 4
Cut-off grade policy derived from the Lane model.
Year Cut-off Grade, (%) Average Grade, g (%) Qm (tonnes) Qc (tonnes) Qr (tonnes) CF ($) NPV ($)
Table 5
Lane's model based cut-off grade policy with stockpiles.
Year Material Source Cut-off Grade, (%) Average Grade, g (%) Qm (tonnes) Qc (tonnes) Qr (tonnes) CF ($) NPV ($)
balancing cut-off grades, and shares linear interpolation as an al- creation of stockpiles, describe the strategy to reclaim the stock-
ternative procedure to graphical approach in Lane (1964, 1988), pile material after exhaustion of in-pit reserves, compare the cut-
which is more suitable for algorithmic implementations. off grade policies with and without stockpiling, and demonstrate
Whittle and Vassiliev (1998) conrm that changes in proces- the benets in terms of increase in NPV and life of operation.
sing costs, recoveries, and capacities impact the cut-off grade Osanloo et al. (2008) modify and improve the basic Lane's
calculation in Lane's model, and consequently, based on a sto- model by incorporating the environmental issues specic to the
chastic liberation modelling technique, it provides a recovery porphyry copper deposits. Apart from the traditional framework in
prediction system, which feeds variable predicted values for re- basic Lane's model, this modied model accounts for separate
coveries (as opposed to the constant and average values for re- waste dumps and tailing dams for acid and non-acid generating
covery) as an input to the Lane's model. Whittle and Wooller wastes. Consequently, the mathematical formulation in (Eqs. (13)
(1999) establish the relevance between the cut-off grade and the 17) includes the operating costs associated to the disposal of these
subsequent milling time, apply the stochastic liberation modelling wastes to the waste dumps and nally to the tailing dams. An
technique in Whittle and Vassiliev (1998), and simultaneously application of this model not only reects an improvement in NPV
optimise the performance of the comminution circuit and pro- as compared to the basic Lane's model, but also it ensures the
cessing cut-off grade in the Lane's model. Wooler (2001) also ap- environmental sustainability of the open pit mining operations.
plies Whittle programming's Opti-Cut (a commercial im- Similarly, Narri and Osanloo (2015) suggest a sustainable mining
model through a reduction in the undesirable impacts of en-
plementation of the Lane's model) for dening the optimal strat-
vironmental issues associated to the open pit mining, and their
egy for a milling operation, and a simultaneous optimization of the
improved Lane's model that denes different types of wastes, not
mine cut-off grade and mill throughput.
only incorporates the environmental costs, but also considers the
Nieto and Bascetin (2006) as well as Bascetin and Nieto (2007)
possible revenues from waste rock reclamation.
modify the opportunity cost concept in (Eqs. (14)16) with an
He et al. (2009) apply a combination of the genetic algorithm
optimization factor, and realizing the non-linear nature of the
and neural networks nesting method for dynamic optimization of
model implement the Generalized Reduced Gradient (GRG) algo-
cut-off grades. This study realizes the complexity and non-linear-
rithm to generate solution through their modied model. The
ity of the basic model and offers a solution through evolutionary
optimization factor is introduced to address the convergence of
approaches. More specically, a neural network establishes the
NPV over a number of steps in the iterative process, which con-
local link between the revenue factor ((Eqs. (14)16)) and chro-
sequently leads to an improvement in overall NPV of the mosomes ( gl ), and genetic algorithm performs a search for the
operation. optimal cut-off grade globally by satisfying (Eq. (17)). An applica-
Asad (2007) incorporates commodity price and operating cost tion of the method at an actual iron mine suggests changes in the
escalation into the basic Lane's model. Thus, the commodity price present scheme of cut-off grades, which leads to substantial im-
and operating costs do not remain constant during the life of provement in NPV.
operation, rather depending upon the dened escalation rates, Gholamnejad (2008, 2009) introduces waste dump rehabilita-
these economic parameters vary from one year to next. Therefore, tion cost into the prot function of the basic Lane's model, which
this study offers a relatively realistic cut-off grade policy. An ap- leads to the change in relationships for vm , vc , vr ((Eqs. (14)16)),
plication of the algorithm at a hypothetical copper deposit de- with a consequent shifting of the optimum point . A case study of
monstrates the impact of these changes on overall NPV of the this modied model demonstrates that inclusion of the waste
operation. While a sensitivity analysis in this study delineates the dump rehabilitation cost leads to a reduction in the value of ,
relative importance of escalation in economic parameters, Asad coupled with a consequent decrease in the quantity of waste sent
and Topal (2011) complement stockpiling option in Asad (2007). to the waste dumps, which indirectly translates into the benet of
Asad and Topal (2011) present the mathematical formulation for processing low-grade ores.
148 M.W.A. Asad et al. / Resources Policy 49 (2016) 142152
King (2009) relies on the initial works in King (1999, 2001, capital costs, and present an evaluation of their proposed models
2004) and then builds on the terminology in the basic Lane's in real-life case studies. More specically, Rahimi et al. (2015b)
model to explain the intricacies in practical applications of Lane's focuses on the development of optimal cut-off grade policy under
approach. It outlines the details of various possible strategies and the impact of environmental costs associated to low-grade copper
their implications specic to the operating and administrative cost mining operations, where copper is recovered through the appli-
modelling. For example, it suggests change in the prot and cut-off cation of environmentally sensitive hydrometallurgical methods.
grade formulations by separating the cost of mining ore and waste An implementation of the mathematical models and proposed
as two components, because some operations pay relatively less algorithm in a case study reects an improvement in NPV as
cost on blasting waste and haulage cost for both ore and waste is compared to the original Lane's model.
always different. Whereas, the contributions discussed above focused on the
Rendu (2009) summarizes the Lane's theory of cut-off grades, extension in Lane's model applicable to the mineral deposits with
modies the basic cut-off grade relationships such that they are single economic mineral, Lane (1984) as well as Lane (1988) pro-
applicable in a variety of situations, and demonstrates the differ- posed a vital extension into the original model (Lane, 1964), al-
ence between cut-off grade policies that maximize NPV or internal lowing cut-off grade calculation for mineral deposits with multiple
rate of return (IRR). It also classies the inputs into naturally xed economic minerals.
(mineralization) and human controlled (economic and technical) Lane (1984) overruled the perception that the cut-off grade
variables, and establishes that the complex relationship between calculation procedure for ore bodies with single economic mineral
both classes of variables must be considered for dening the op- remains valid for dening cut-off grades for mining operations
timal cut-off grade strategies. The paper outlines that under NPV dealing with multiple economic minerals. More specically, it
maximization regime, the cut-off grade policy would be in- questioned the application and accuracy of the methods that re-
dependent of the past investments, i.e. it relates to the past in- sort to alterations of the realistic grade-tonnage distributions, by
vestments indirectly through the imposed capacity constraints. mere conversion of the primary and secondary mineral grades into
However, in IRR maximization regime, the discount rate remains a a single equivalent grade (Osanloo and Ataei, 2003). Such con-
function of the initial investment, and at the beginning of rst versions would be unrealistic if one of the economic minerals is
period, the NPV at this discount rate would neutralize the initial subject to market or demand limitation. Alternatively, a mining
investment. operation that is producing two economic minerals requires re-
Abdollahisharif et al. (2012) incorporate the concept of variable ning or marketing component for two (primary and secondary)
production capacities in the basic Lane's model. This modied metals, and with the addition of a renery/market, the structure of
model sets the renery capacity to the market demand and derives (Eqs. (14)16) updates as follows:
the processing and mining capacities as a function of cut-off grade
QmpQc
f +vd
and renery capacity. Even though, as opposed to an accepted vm=( s1r1) Qr1+( s2r2 ) Qr2 m+
mathematical procedure in Lane's model, this study shares a re- M (18)
latively crude framework for dening the optimum cut-off grade;
nevertheless, a comparison with basic Lane's model and Gho- Qc
f +vd
vc =( s1r1) Qr1+( s2r2 ) Qr2mQm p+
lamnejad (2009) reects a higher NPV using this variable capacity C (19)
based model. This improvement in NPV is attributed to the sche-
dule of cut-off grade that ensures processing of low-grade ore and
vr1= s1 r1+ Qr +( s r ) Qr mQmpQc
f +vd
sends less waste material to the waste dumps. 1 2 2 2
R1 (20)
Khodayari and Jafarnejad (2012) reform the Lane's model such
that it maximizes the quantity of metal ( Qr ) to be produced per
year. The mathematical formulation in this method relies on the Qr mQmpQc
f +vd
vr2=( s1r1) Qr1+ s2 r2+ 1
conceptual framework for balancing cut-off grades in Lane's R2 (21)
model, and the step-by-step derivation of the method reects that
the maximum quantity of metal would be possible only if the Here, s1= selling price of metal 1, s2= selling price of metal 2, r1=
optimum cut-off grade remains equal to the mine and process rening or marketing cost of metal 1, r2= rening or marketing
balancing cut-off grade ( mc ). cost of metal 2, Qr1= quantity of metal 1 to be rened/marketed,
Gama (2013) utilizes a modied form of the prot function for Qr2= quantity of metal 2 to be rened/marketed, R1= rening or
nding the optimum value of cut-off grade in Lane's model. More marketing capacity for metal 1, and R2= rening or marketing
specically, it relies on the derivation of minimum allowable cut- capacity for metal 2.
off grade and maximum allowable stripping ratio (the ratio of This indicates that as opposed to a single optimum cut-off
quantity of waste to the quantity of ore), and then the optimum grade ( ) dening ore and waste on the grade-tonnage curve, an
cut-off grade is dened such that it is never less than the mini- intercept between 1, 2 identies the ore and waste on the grade-
mum allowable cut-off and the corresponding stripping ratio tonnage distribution in two minerals case. Fig. 7 shows this in-
never exceeds maximum possible waste stripping. The paper de- tercept on a surface representing the grade-tonnage distribution in
monstrates the value of the procedure through a sensitivity ana- this scenario (Lane, 1988). This leads to an update in Eq. (17) as
lysis based on variation in commodity selling price. follows:
Hustrulid et al. (2013), Rendu (2014) provide a comprehensive vmax ( 1, 2 )=max min ( vm, vc , vr1, vr2 ) (22)
overview of both breakeven and Lane's models, describe the in-
tricacies in application of the Lane's model in open pit and un- The convergence at the optimum values for 1 and 2, and
derground mining situations, and share valuable case studies with consequently the solution to Eq. (22) is a challenge. Lane (1984),
different stockpiling strategies. (1988) utilize grid search technique as a solution approach to this
Rahimi and Ghasemzadeh (2015) and Rahimi et al. (2015a, problem, as well as share the implementation of this technique in
2015b) utilize Lane's model as a basis for sharing a novel approach a case study. Again, a number of studies (Dagdelen and Asad, 1997;
towards the calculation of cut-off grade policy that simultaneously Cetin and Dowd, 2002; Osanloo and Ataei, 2003; Ataei and
considers bio-heap leaching and concentration as processing Osanloo, 2003a, 2003b, 2004; Asad, 2005; Cetin and Dowd, 2013;
methods, associated environmental concerns, variable recoveries, Nieto and Zhang, 2013) then followed as an extension to the Lane's
M.W.A. Asad et al. / Resources Policy 49 (2016) 142152 149
not make this contribution worth applying in real life scenarios. grade strategies developed under selling price and grade un-
Mardones (1993) offers an option valuation approach to modify certainties. More specically, as a rst step, given a set of equally
the available cut-off grade strategy under market or price un- probable selling price and orebody realizations, the algorithm
certainty. The method employs current selling price and develops applies Lane's model for the development of all feasible cut-off
a cut-off grade strategy using Lane's model with stockpiling op- grade strategies, where each strategy relates to a unique selling
tion, then applies contingent claims analysis or option valuation price and grade-tonnage curve realizations, and then in second
framework, which allows the exibility to modify the governing step, ranking system selects the best among feasible strategies.
cut-off grade as a response to the expected selling price. While, an Also, the exibility to close the mine prematurely during early
application of the method at a copper mine demonstrates rela- years of operation is built into the system.
tively higher value under varying expected price regimes, a si- Thompson and Barr (2014) consider selling price uncertainty,
multaneous rather than sequential (two steps) approach would formulate the cut-off grades optimization problem as a system of
have generated more value as compared to the traditional models. nonlinear partial differential equations, and solve this formulation
Cairns and Shinkuma (2003) present a model that looks into using a numerical approach. The model simultaneously generates
the possibility of a positive or negative impact of changing price on the maximum value based cut-off grade strategy and hedging
cut-off grades, and conclude that not only the description of this statistics for a set of equally probable selling price realizations. An
impact is complicated but also the response of the cut-off grades is implementation of the model in a real life scenario establishes that
mine-dependent, because, the geology (grade-tonnage distribu- as compared to the cut-off grade values realized through con-
tion) and available technology may play their role, leading to an ventional or deterministic (Lane's model and extensions) models,
increasing or decreasing cut-off grade as price increases. the projected cut-off grades are far lower under market un-
Johnson et al. (2011) contribute a partial differential equations certainty regimes as well as long-term valuation horizons, con-
based mathematical algorithm that calculates a dynamic cut-off rming the results reected in Asad and Dimitrakopoulos (2013)
grade policy under the market uncertainty regime. It presents an that marginal/low-grade orebodies would suffer the most in such
implementation of the proposed algorithm in a real mine case conditions.
study and concludes that the decision on a mining block being
sent to the processing streams or waste dump, not only depends
on the commodity price or ore grade, but also the grade of sub- 5. Mathematical programming models
sequent mining blocks, processing costs, as well as mining and
processing capacities have their signicant role in this decision. It has been established that not only Lane's model integrates
Azimi et al. (2012) share real option and discounted cash ow grade-tonnage distribution and mining system capacities into the
analysis based ranking system that implements a combination of calculation of cut-off grade policy, but also it may be modied or
single and multiple criteria for selection of the best strategy extended to incorporate various important dimensions of a rea-
among a number of feasible cut-off grade strategies developed listic mining operations, such as stockpiles, multiple processing
under selling price uncertainty. More specically, as a rst step, streams, environmental issues, stochasticity of inputs into the al-
given a set of equally probable selling price realizations, the al- gorithmic implementation of the model. However, the inherent
gorithm applies Lane's model for the development of all feasible assumptions and nature of the procedure in Lane's model as well
cut-off grade strategies, where each strategy relates to a unique as these additional considerations contribute to the complexity of
selling price realization, and then in second step, ranking system the problem, which makes it prone to miss the optimum values for
selects the best among feasible strategies. Also, as part of the real cut-off grades (Asad, 2005).
options evaluation, under a low price regime, the method explores Therefore, the basic Lane's model remains heuristic, and it in-
the exibility to close the mine prematurely during early years of dicates the need to develop and implement mathematical pro-
operation. gramming models, ensuring the optimal solution to the problem
Li and Yang (2012) consider the grade uncertainty and model (Dagdelen and Kawahata, 2007, 2008). While, the application of
the cut-off grade calculation as a multi-stage stochastic program- mathematical programming approaches to open pit mine design
ming problem. The proposed model and its implementation and production scheduling dates back to 1960s, realizing the
through an algorithm are also suitable for application at multi- limitations of Lane's model, a very few applications (Dagdelen and
mineral mining operations. The solution is generated through the Kawahata, 2008; Ganguli et al. 2011; Azimi and Osanloo, 2011;
general reduced gradient approach, where NPV is optimized Yasrebi et al. 2015) of mathematical programming approach for
iteratively over each production period. cut-off grade optimization are available.
Asad and Dimitrakopoulos (2013) present an extension into the Dagdelen and Kawahata (2007, 2008) share mathematical
basic Lane's model, such that, the stochastic framework generates modelling framework, considerations, and applications of mixed
a risk-quantied cut-off grade policy considering grade un- integer linear programming (MILP) formulation for dening the
certainty as well as a mining operation or complex with multiple optimal cut-off grade policy for an open pit mining operation that
processing streams. The stochastic model takes a set of equally constitutes multiple mines as material sources and multiple
probable realizations of the grade-tonnage distribution and gen- dumps, stockpiles, and processing streams as material destina-
erates a unique (single) cut-off grade policy. The study also shares tions. More specically, Dagdelen and Kawahata (2007) look into
an application of the method on an actual copper mining complex the variety of possible situations for the successful application of
that constitutes ve (two otation mills, one bio-leach pad, and an MILP model. Also, Dagdelen and Kawahata (2008) present the
acid leach plant) ore processing destinations, and the risk analysis application on a gold mining operation considers four processing
reects a considerable difference between the minimum and options, including, run-of-mine leach, crushed ore leach, otation
maximum possible NPV, conrming the signicance of stochastic circuit with concentrates fed to autoclave mill, and direct feed to
approaches in low-grade orebodies. autoclave mill, and as part of the year-by-year production sche-
Azimi et al. (2013) incorporate both selling price and grade dule, the formulation seeks to dene a set of four different cut-off
uncertainties, and continuing with contribution in Azimi et al. grades per year, each corresponding to the relevant processing
(2012), it shares real option and discounted cash ow analysis stream. A comparative analysis of the cut-off grade policies with
based ranking system that implements multi-criteria for the se- and without stockpiles provides further insights into operational
lection of the best strategy among a number of feasible cut-off intricacies. While, these articles describe the conceptual
M.W.A. Asad et al. / Resources Policy 49 (2016) 142152 151
framework for MILP model, being part of the OptiMine software, development and implementation of stochastic models for den-
they do not share the actual mathematical formulation. ing the schedule of cut-off grades in open pit mining operations.
Ganguli et al. (2011) utilizes the conceptual framework similar Given the nature of Lane's models and their extensions, not
to the one contributed in Dagdelen and Kawahata (2007, 2008); only their algorithmic implementations rely on a pre-dened
however, rather than focusing on a particular case study, it shares mining sequence but also being iterative generate solutions by
a generalized form of the model, and describes the details of the trial and error method (Dagdelen and Kawahata, 2008), and sub-
MILP formulation as well. It is evident that this generalized MILP sequently, become prone to offer a heuristic solution to the cut-off
takes economic parameters and grade-tonnage distribution of the grade problem. Alternatively, mathematical programming based
deposit as an input, maximizes NPV of the operation, satises re- cut-off grade models derive an exact or true optimum solution;
serve, production capacity, blending, as well as mine sequencing however, to date, only few studies are available in literature. Thus,
constraints, and solves for a multi-period production schedule the development and implementation of mathematical program-
based on the optimal cut-off grade policy. ming based cut-off grade models becomes another area of future
Moosavi et al. (2014) propose a mixed integer programming research.
model that offers simultaneous solution to both mining sequence Nevertheless, given the scale of open pit mining operations, the
and cut-off grade optimization problems. The method considers size or number of decision variables within the mathematical
multiple ore destinations or processing streams along with equally models is excessive, which leads to the computational complexity
probable realizations of the orebody model, and with these vari- of these models. Consequently, generating the solution to the
able inputs, it calculates the expected economic loss associated to mathematical programming based cut-off grade models within
a mining block. The mathematical formulation minimizes this reasonable time becomes a challenge. Thus, the development of
economic loss and satises the production capacity, reserve, and new methods or algorithms to solve these models is another
precedence constraints. While an application at gold deposit de- emerging eld of future research.
monstrates the method, the details on the size of mathematical So far, in the context of inputs to cut-off grade models, while
model and the possible solution strategies to counter the com- the nature of economic or operational inputs varies from one
putational complexities of MILP models are not discussed. model to the next, the structure of the geological input remains
Yasrebi et al. (2015) considers the conceptual framework as same, i.e. the grade-tonnage curve of the deposit as the geological
well as the structure of the inputs described in Lane's model, input is the common factor among these models. Nevertheless, as
formulates the cut-off grades problem as a non-linear program- explained in previous sections, apart from known mining se-
ming model, and presents an application of this model on a hy- quence, uniform distribution of grades in a given mineralization is
pothetical data given in Hustrulid et al. (2013). However, a com- the basic assumption in conversion of the orebody model (Fig. 2)
parison of the cut-off grade policy derived from this non-linear into a grade-tonnage curve, and given the heterogeneity of grades,
model with an implementation of the Lane's model in Hustrulid this assumption is unrealistic and invalid. Therefore, a schedule of
et al. (2013) suggests no improvement in NPV, indicating that cut-off grades that is derived using the grade-tonnage curve pro-
Lane's model generated an optimal solution for this hypothetical vides a strategic guidance only, because in practice, it lacks the
data. synchronization with the short-term operational plans. Conse-
quently, during the exploitation of the reserves, in a given period,
it is possible that the available or accessible material for mining
6. Concluding remarks may not satisfy the dened cut-off grade for that period.
This limitation of the available heuristic as well as mathematical
While breakeven model provides a basic understanding into programming based models presents an opportunity on the de-
the calculation of cut-off grades, the drawbacks of its application velopment and implementation of mathematical models that take
to realistic, large-scale, and complex open pit mining operations orebody models (Fig. 2) as an input and endeavor to generate the
are obvious, as it is proven that keeping a constant cut-off grade optimal mining sequence and cut-off grade policy simultaneously.
throughout the life of operation allows exposure to serious eco-
nomic risks.
Lane's model not only overcomes the deciencies in breakeven
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