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INDEX
Executive Summary
Among the goals outlined in the project, we have established to successfully introduce
the product into the New York market and get a 69% of return; both objectives are to be
accomplished in the first year of operation. To achieve the mentioned objectives Andean
Nature has established a series of activities, distributed into five stages or processes, which
are; initiation, planning, execution, monitoring and closure.
On the other hand, the total amount of the investment for this project is USD
2431,134 which is funded by USD 2381,134 of own capital and the rest with a bank loan.
What is more, we will offer our product in the most important supermarkets of New York at a
unit price of USD 2.50. These aspects give our product two types of strategies which are cost
leadership and differentiation. It is important to mention that our project is profitable because
it has a positive NPV (USD 379,248.91) considering a discount rate of 20%; finally the IRR
of the project is 17.04%
In order to obtain a high level of acceptance and competitiveness our company and
our product will fulfill the requirements of several international standards related to quality,
food safety and environment such us ISO 9001:2008, HACCP and ISO 14001:2004.
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I. Project profile
Andean Nature is a small consolidated company that
is specialized in the production and commercialization of
natural snacks, especially dehydrated fruits, in the Peruvian
market, where it develops all its activities until now; that is
why, in order to expand not only its market, but also, its product line, this project is
been presented.
Due to the intense demand of golden berries in the international market, our
company seeks to enter to it, exporting this product but in its dehydrated form, since
this is a market that has had a steady growth over the last 10 years.
1.1. Title
Project of export of dehydrated golden berry to New York (USA).
1.2. Location
Our company has a production factory in Los Olivos, Lima; exactly in Alfredo
Mendiola #748 where it has the machinery, equipment and specialized facilities for
the production process of our products.
The areas distribution of the factory mentioned are the following:
As shown on Table 9 the total amount of the investment for this project is
USD 2431,134.
1.6. Objectives
The main objectives of the project are the following:
Introduce, in a successful way, our dehydrated golden berry in the New
York market within the first year of operation.
Obtain a 1% of market share in the first year of operation in the
selected target market.
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II. Background
According to the research developed by Willis and Perez Eusebio Zoeger
Judith V. (2015), "Investment project for the installation of a processing plant of
dehydrated golden berry in the province of Celendin export market for New York,
USA", the main objective of the study starts off from the need to find viable in
exporting the dehydrated golden berry from the department in the country where most
of the product referred is produced (Cajamarca) to one of the most demanding US
states, New York.
In our opinion, after reviewing the core of this research, the various market
studies showed that there were many possibilities for the customer were to accept the
product; determining the capacity of the processing plant in order to avoid the damage
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that could be caused during product development. What is more, the financial study
revealed how profitable and manageable the project would become.
This work is related to the ongoing project, as it proposes a material guide for
the export of golden berry, analyzing the capabilities of the Cajamarca; the
competitiveness and leading exporters worldwide. At the same time, this research
addresses the structure of work, step by step; the activities and a description of each
one in detail.
Golden berry and its derivatives, as mentioned in both research, has a high
export value that, with government assistance and increased interest of private
entrepreneurship, could generate social and economic benefits to all the participants
of its value chain.
products rich in vitamins, proteins and nutrients instead of food that contain fat and/
or sweeteners. This is how the demand for natural snacks has found their place in the
market (especially in the markets of the most developed countries around the world).
The project manager has the right to request specific resources, but
the final decision of what resources will be committed rests with the
line managers.
Stakeholders are organizations that can be favorably or unfavorably
impacted by the project. As such, project managers must interface
with these stakeholders, and many of the stakeholders can exert
their influence or pressure over the direction of the project.
The project manager must be willing to manage within the
guidelines, policies, procedures, rules, and directives of the parent
organization.
The project manager is treated as though he is managing part of a
business rather than simply a project, and as such is expected to
make sound business.
-Making adjustments
Project closure
o Time: 31 weeks
o Activities involved:
-Verifying that all of the work has been accomplished
-Contractual closure of the contract
-Financial closure of the charge numbers
-Administrative closure of the paperwork
The following chart shows the distribution of all the processes and their
activities during the whole duration of the project:
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At this point the evaluation of potential variances will take place; the
comparison between the results sought to obtain and those actually obtained
will be performed. By the uncertainty inherent in the planning itself, it is
important to determine the magnitude of the discrepancy and their impact on
the process of implementing the project.
in obesity has occurred in the United States during the past 20 years.
are not eating enough fresh produce and whole grains while consuming too
much saturated fat and sodium. Poor dietary choices are linked to obesity,
high LDL cholesterol levels, high blood pressure, heart disease, stroke and
4.2. Pre-investment
Into this stage we develop the feasibility study of the project before making the
investment; that is why it was necessary to analyze all the costs that would be
needed to execute the project, as well as the expected return and income that this
project will generate.
What is more, we analyze the environmental impacts that our project could
produce and if the political, legal and technical aspects are favorable for the
development of our project.
4.3. Investment
Once we prove the feasibility of our project, we concluded that the project will
give us the results and return expected, so we proceeded to make the investment.
4.4. Operation
Once we have made the investment, all the purchase of raw material,
packaging and machinery was made in order to develop the essential processes such
as the dehydration of our product as well the packaging and distribution of it.
V. Project strategy
To carry out our project, we decided to apply and highlight two strategies in
which we will make a difference as a company and as a product; this is because of the
type of product we offer and the relationship with our suppliers. To ensure the success
of our product and, at the same time, the growth of our company, we rely on two main
strategies:
5.2. Differentiation
This strategy, in our case, is primarily concerned with factors such as quality,
safety and health. Since there is much importance on nutritional topics into our
target market, as all we know the main topic is about nutrition, that is where we
find a point in our favor, because the product we offer is not only a snack that
satisfies the hunger of our consumers, but it also helps them with a variety of
vitamins and minerals making our product different from others, in terms of
nutritional factors. This strategy is also related to the fact that there are not
products offering dehydrated golden berry in our target market.
In this chapter, we will present and analyze the models of the quantity
demanded and supplied and the calculation of the sample size. It is important to
mention that all the models presented are statistically significant (see Annex).
6.1. Location
Our product will be mostly offered in the most important supermarkets of New
York.
Graphic 8. Location
6.2. Demand
In the following tables, we present the model of the function of the quantity
demanded of our product in our target market. As we have presented in Table 3,
the estimated quantity demanded of our product is about 3 units of our product per
person in a monthly basis, which give us a total of 136,800 units per month. The
model presented reflects a much approximated value. It is important to take into
account that our product price is USD 2.50.
Table 12. Quantity demanded
Y X
Variable Dependent Independent
Observation Qd P
1 35,000 5.00
2 87,000 4.50 Qd = 250,000 - 45,200P
3 100,000 3.50 If P = 2.50
4 120,000 3.00 Qd = 250,000 - 45,200*2.5
5 137,000 2.50 Qd= 137000
6 154,000 2.00
7 167,000 1.50
8 180,000 1.00
9 200,000 0.50
10 250,000 0.20
6.3. Supply
In this section the function of the quantity demanded (presented in the
previous point), the function of the quantity supplied and their relation are shown.
What is more, Graphic 9 represents the equilibrium point of our product in the
target market.
Graphic 9. Equilibrium price and quantity
DEMAND MODEL P
Qd= 250,000 - 45,200P Qs
SUPPLY MODEL
Qs= 80,200 + 11,400P
Qe = 250,000 - 45,200(3)
Qe = 114,400
Qd
114,400 Q
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a) Estimating demand
Model 1: Qd= a+bP+ e
Qd= 250,000 - 45,200P Interpretation of coefficients:
250,000: Average of quantity demanded (or sold) regardless (independent) of price.
-45,200: For every unit price increased, the quantity demanded is reduced by 45,200 units.
The negative sign of "b" coefficient confirms the inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded.
Forecasting of quantity demanded, when P= 2.5
Qd = 250,000 - 45,200*2.5 = 137,000
6.5. Survey
Before presenting the survey that we have prepared in order to identify the
preferences and tastes of consumers and the potential level of acceptance of our
product in our target market, we will estimate the number of people that we must
interview (sample size). In order to do so, we are considering a level of confidence
of 95%. The calculation of the sample size is the following:
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Survey
a. Male
b. Female
a. 18 to 22 years.
b. 23 to 27 years.
c. 28 to 32 years.
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d. 33 to 37 years.
e. 38 to 42 years.
f. 43 to 47 years.
a. Yes
b. No
a. Yes
b. No
c. Uncertain
a. Home
b. Work
c. College
a. Yes
b. No
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a.. Yes
b. No
9. If you had the chance to try a practical package of dehydrated fruits, with
good taste, and maintaining the same or more benefits of natural fruits, would
you purchase it?
a. Yes
b. No
a. Yes
b. No
a. Convenience Store
b. Groceries
c. Local specialized
d. Supermarkets
12. How much would you be willing to pay for a package of dehydrated golden
berry of 150 gr.?
c. 3.6 to 5 dollars
7.1. Legal
We will analyze this aspect from two perspectives, the Peruvian one (because
it is our place of production) and the American one (because our target market is
in that country).
7.1.1. Peru
MINISTERIAL RESOLUTION N 0157-2014-MINAGRI
Put in charge a Director of Sector Budget Unit of the
Office of Planning and Budget of the Ministry of Agriculture
and Irrigation. This decision can bring benefits for us; we might
find greater facilities for the purchase of our main raw material,
the golden berry.
LAW N 29571, CODE OF CONSUMER PROTECTION AND
DEFENSE
It has a big impact on our project because our project is
a product for human consumption, so we have to take care and
ensure that what we offer our audiences are quality products.
MINISTERIAL RESOLUTION N 449-2006/MINSA
This law approves the Sanitary Standard for the
implementation of HACCP in food and beverage production,
which is a very important system in the food and beverage
industry as it checks and verifies the quality of the products. By
following these standards our company can improve the quality
of our products and increase its competitiveness as a
consequence.
LAW N. 28304 - LAW ON THE PROMOTION OF
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND PRODUCTION
It promotes the creation, establishment, growth and
development of the competitiveness of micro and small
decentralized enterprises (MSEs decentralized) in order to insert
them into the economy.
It promotes productive decentralization, economic
expansion by brokers and intermediate cities and strengthening
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value chains with priority in the coca basins, for which a special
support system established.
7.1.2. USA
US CUSTOMS AND BORDER PROTECTION
It establishes regulations that affect the import of all the
products into the USA.
FOOD AND FRUG ADMINISTRATION (FDA)
It protects public health by regulating medicinal
products for human and veterinary use, vaccines and other
biological products, medical devices, food supply in our
country, cosmetics, dietary supplements and products that emit
radiation.
US DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (USDA)
It ensures that the US commercial food supply is safe,
wholesome and correctly packaged and labeled.
7.2. Technical
Through this study it was able to determine the product distribution system, so
as the sector in which the company, which is in going through a very optimistic
development and growth process; the support and promotion of the government
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favors the production and export of our product, generating a great expectation in
foreign markets including the USA.
From the point of view of our direct competition, Colombian companies come
to carve as the main suppliers of the product to our target market. Considering
that, our product must meet the optimal technical requirements in order to provide
a high level of service and satisfaction to our customer to compare these first.
On the other hand, the location of our company and production plant is in Los
Olivos, Lima (Alfredo Mendiola #748), counting with the appropriate machinery,
equipment and specialized facilities for the elaboration, packaging and delivery of
our product, fulfilling the international quality and safety standards in order to
provide a high quality product.
Our analyses of the economic and financial factors show the following results,
the ones that have been summarized in tables.
Table 14. Costs
COSTS
FIXED COSTS 38,300
UNIT VARIABLE COST 0.64
Revenue 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000 342,000
Expenditures
Variable costs -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000 -88,000
Fixed costs -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300 -38,300
Interest -4,500.0 -4,276.57 -4,033.04 -3,767.58 -3,478.24 -3,162.85 -2,819.08 -2,444.37 -2,035.93 -1,590.74 -1,105.47 -576.54
Depreciation of construction -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042 -1,042
Depreciation machinery and
-253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253 -253
equipment
Profit 209,905 210,129 210,372 210,638 210,927 211,243 211,586 211,961 212,370 212,815 213,300 213,829
Tax (8.875%) -18,629 -18,649 -18,671 -18,694 -18,720 -18,748 -18,778 -18,812 -18,848 -18,887 -18,930 -18,977
Net profit 191,276 191,480 191,702 191,944 192,207 192,495 192,808 193,150 193,522 193,927 194,370 194,852
Depreciation machinery and
253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253 253
equipment
Depreciation of construction 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042 1,042
Machinery -14,514 -265,170
Equipment -656
Construction -250,000
Working capital -63,150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 63,150
Loan 50,000
Debt amortization -2,482.53 -2,705.96 -2,949.50 -3,214.95 -3,504.30 -3,819.68 -4,163.46 -4,538.17 -4,946.60 -5,391.80 -5,877.06 -6,405.99
Residual value 0 249,636
Project cash flow -278,320 -75,082 190,069 190,047 190,023 189,998 189,970 189,939 189,906 189,870 189,830 189,787 502,526
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LOAN
Investment 2,381,134
Loan (A) 50,000
i 9.0% per month
n 12 months
P 6,982.53 Monthly payment
a) Calculating the Unlevered Beta c) Calculating the equity risk premium and the cost of equity
1+ (1-T)D/E 35.29 Data :
Unlevered beta 0.03 Risk-free rate 0.06 yield on long-term Treasury bonds
Expected market return 0.13
b) Calculating the Levered Beta
1+ (1-T)D/E 35.29 Equity risk premium 0.063
Unlevered beta 0.03 Cost of equity 0.123
Levered beta 0.90
b) Calculating the WACC
Data :
Cost of debt 9.00%
WACC 0.1223
WACC 12.23%
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7.4. Environmental
For the development of the project it was keep in mind that in order to avoid
any pollution problems, our company will fulfill the requirement of various
international standards as HACCP and ISO 14001:2004. It will take more than
1,000 m2, with distinct areas in which 2000 plants of golden berry will be planted.
So among the positive impacts of growing golden berry from the environmental
perspective, it is focused mainly in the organic crop management, in the recovery
of agricultural ground, water and air conservation.
In relation to the social responsibility aspect, our company will fulfill the
requirement of the Fair Trade certification, given that consumers (especially in our
target market) are willing to consume products that are produced and sold under
fair conditions.
On the other hand, the machinery and equipment used in the production
process of our product are designed to optimize the use of energy, reducing the
consumption of resources and mitigating the effects on the environment.
Moreover, it is important to mention that the residues of the fruit used in the
production process are being used as compost or organic fertilizer, in order to not
avoid using chemical pesticides.
From this table, we can obtain the following information, the one that will be
further analyzed lines below:
Average (Ay) 2,853,211
Variance 189,102,924,819
Deviation () 434,860
Lower limit Upper limit
68% deviation Ay deviation 2,418,351 3,288,070 The PV of the project's cash flow has 68% of probability of being in this range
95% 2 deviations Ay 2 deviations 1,983,491 3,722,930 The PV of the project's cash flow has 95% of probability of being in this range
After the analysis of the previous data and information about the Present Value
(PV) of the cash flow of the project, we will focus our attention in the expected NPV
of this project, as shown in the following table.
0
422,07
7
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Assuming that the NPV follows a normal distribution, the probability of obtaining a NPV 0 is calculated as follows:
IX. References
Coahila Osorio, V. (2011). Generacin de un diseo de plan de marketing para la
exportacin de aguaymanto (Physalis peruviana L.) y sus derivados
producidos en el Cusco durante el periodo 2000-2010 (Masters Degree
Thesis). Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina, Lima, Per.
Prez Eusebio, J. & Willis Zoeger, V. (2015) Proyecto de inversin para la
instalacin de una planta procesadora de aguaymanto deshidratado en la
provincia de Celendn para la exportacin al mercado de New York, EE.UU
(Masters Degree Thesis). Universidad Catlica Santo Toribio de Mogrovejo,
Chiclayo, Peru.