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Abstract
Volcanic disasters often have been invoked as prime movers in the culture history of ancient civilizations. They have been used to
explain large-scale migrations, the destruction of cities, famine, and demographic collapse. In this paper we explore the geological,
archeological, and sociological records in order to provide insights into the complex nature of human responses to a major volcanic event
of Popocatepetl in central Mexico that took place 2000 years ago. We suggest that the population implosion experienced by two
emerging highland cities in the rst century ADTeotihuacan in the Basin of Mexico and Cholula in the Puebla Valleywas due to
both the immediate consequences of the volcanic event and the disaster-driven acceleration of social processes already underway when
the catastrophe struck. We conclude that a better understanding of the relationship between human populations and volcanic hazards
and disasters permits a more realistic assessment of the social and cultural signicance of eruptive phenomena in the prehispanic period.
r 2006 Elsevier Ltd and INQUA. All rights reserved.
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doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2006.01.012
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20 P. Plunket, G. Urunuela / Quaternary International 151 (2006) 1928
Basin of Mexico
Teotihuacan
L. Texcoco
Tlalancaleca
Cuicuilco
Xitle Xochitcatl Malinche
Chalco
Iztacchuatl Valley of
Puebla-Tlaxcala
0m Coapan
.5m
1m
Amecameca
Tetimpa Cholula
Popocatpetl
Fig. 1. Map of central Mexico showing sites discussed in the text and lateral extent of the airfall deposit produced the Plinian-style eruption of
Popocatepetl 2000 years ago (adapted from Hirth, 1984, Fig. 6.1; Panl, 1996, p. 18).
explosive events appear to have had major destructive classication signies a catastrophe of major proportions,
consequences for local populations. Geologists and arche- such as Krakatoa in 1883, which only occurs about once
ologists have documented two earlier eruptions, however, every century on a worldwide scale; these are highly
whose volcanic explosivity was of a very different order explosive and 100% fatal (Simkin and Siebert, 2000b).
(e.g., Seele, 1973; Panl, 1996; Siebe et al., 1996; Plunket Following the Plinian phase of this eruption, lavas owed
and Urunuela, 1998; Panl et al., 1999). Our discussion will over 50 km2 of the eastern piedmont of the volcano leaving
focus on the earliest of these, a Plinian-style eruptive event between 20 and 40 m of olivine-bearing andesitic rock,
that took place during the rst century AD. It produced a known today as the Pedregal de Nealtican, that dammed
column that rose between 20 and 30 km before depositing a and diverted drainages, altering the surface hydrology of
minimum of 3.2 km3 of yellow andesitic pumice over more the western Puebla valley (Panl, 1996; Panl et al., 1999).
than 240 km2 in an arc extending at least 25 km east of the The collapsing eruptive column buried at least one large
volcanos crater (Fig. 1) (Panl, 1996, p. 16; Panl et al., dispersed farming village on the northeastern ank of the
1999). Siebe (2000, p. 61) has classied this as a VEI-6 volcano, Tetimpa (Figs. 2 and 3), and thus provided
eruption. The volcanic explosivity index describes, on a archeoologists with an exceptional opportunity to study
scale of 08, the size of explosive eruptions by providing village life and modes of rapid abandonment during the
measures of the volume of material expelled and the height Terminal Formative period (100 BCAD 100) in central
of the eruptive column; in general terms, anything above 5 Mexico (Plunket and Urunuela, 1998, 2003; Urunuela and
is considered to be very large (Pyle, 2000). A VEI-6 Plunket, 1998, 2003). The primary archeological contexts
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P. Plunket, G. Urunuela / Quaternary International 151 (2006) 1928 21
Table 1
Radiocarbon dates from excavated contexts under the yellow pumitic ash in the ancient village of Tetimpa, Puebla, on the northeastern ank of the
Popocatepetl volcano
Laboratory number Years BP Context cal Intercept cal 1 Sigma cal 2 Sigma
a
Beta 146573 1390760 Charred material associated with ceramics on patio oor AD 650 AD 620680 AD 560720
AD 740760
Beta 146574a 1560740 Charred material from a wattle-and-daub storage bin AD 530 AD 430550 AD 410600
Beta 135900a 1610780 charred material from censer in front of household shrine AD 430 AD 385545 AD 250625
Beta 099431 1800760 Charred material from household hearth AD 240 AD 145330 AD 90395
Beta 135901 1800760 Charred material from household shrine AD 235 AD 135265 AD 80390
AD 290325
Beta 135902 1860770 Charred material from smashed censer AD 135 AD 75240 AD 5340
Beta 099433 1910760 Charred roong material AD 100 AD 55160 20 BCAD 245
I-18291 1930780 Charred material from household hearth AD 80 AD 5147 91 BCAD 315
Beta 099430 1940760 Charred material from wattle-and-daub storage bin AD 75 AD 15130 45 BCAD 225
Beta 146572 2010740 Corn cob inside a sealed olla 10 BC 50 BCAD 40 100 BCAD 70
AMS
Beta 146575 2030760 Charred material from a roasting pit excavated into the patio oor 40 BC 100 BCAD 40 190 BCAD 90
I-17815 2070780 Charred material from household hearth 50 BC 182 BCAD19 357 BCAD 116
I-17814 2150780 Charred material from household shrine 181 BC 35749 BC 390 BCAD 20
a
These dates are considered too late based on a comparison with ceramic chronologies.
p. 61) argues that survivors on both sides of the volcano north and west of the urban center. Sanders et al. (1979,
had to relocate. p. 107) comment that,
The prehispanic settlement pattern maps of the Basin of
Somehow y [Teotihuacan] was able not only to
Mexico that were developed by archeologists 30 years ago
incorporate the rest of the Basins population politically,
(Sanders et al., 1979) show an impressive and consistent
but to relocate them physically as well. The motive for
population build-up along the southern and eastern
such extreme population nucleation is still unclear to us.
piedmont and lakeshore between 650 and 100 BC. By the
Presumably political control was the principal factor
end of this period, population densities in this area had
involved. However, we know of no other situation in the
peaked at over 40 inhabitants per km2 and the total
historical or archaeological record in which so large a
population of the southern and eastern sections of the
sedentary regional population was involved in such a
Basin is estimated at about 76,500 (Sanders et al., 1979:
drastic relocation y. The apparent substantial Phase
Tables 6.17 and 6.18). The settlement map that describes
Four population decline suggests that this extreme
the patterns of the next archeological phase (100 BCAD
population nucleation was not without a certain stress,
100) shows dramatic changes in these areas; densities are
manifested in the loss of population.
listed as inappreciable with a total population that is too
small to calculate (Sanders et al., 1979: Tables 6.17 and The population estimates indicate that something
6.18). At least 10 regional centers (large, nucleated happened to about 70,000 people (Sanders, 1981: Table
communities with monumental architecture), over 30 large 6.2). Around 50,000 may have relocated to Teotihuacan,
and small villages, and almost 70 hamlets disappear from but 20,000 remain unaccounted for. Millon (1981, p. 217)
the maps (Fig. 5). This was the rst population decline has proposed that Teotihuacans incredibly rapid growth
registered in the history of the Basin of Mexico, and using was part of the emergent states comprehensive plan for
the archeological estimates we can calculate that the Basin depopulating the countryside and resettlement in the city,
lost about 30% of its inhabitants at some point during this even though it would have severely stressed the Teotihua-
200 year period (Sanders et al., 1979, p. 183). can Valley economy (Sanders, 1981, p. 180). Modern
The settlement pattern maps also indicate that prior to studies of disaster (e.g., Nolan, 1979; Oliver-Smith and
100 BC the northern part of the Basin was virtually devoid Hoffman, 1999) indicate that relocation, particularly
of villages and hamlets, although Teotihuacan was already permanent relocation, is no simple matter. They demon-
developing into a small city with a population of perhaps strate that place plays a crucial role in the construction of
20,000 (Sanders et al., 1979, p. 102). The nucleation of individual and community identities and that the re-
population at Teotihuacan was greatly enhanced between moval of a community from its ground y may be
100 BC and AD 100precisely, the time period in which profoundly traumatic (Oliver-Smith, 1996, p. 308). At
the southern and eastern parts of the Basin underwent the face value, the intentional displacement of 50,000 people
impressive abandonment cited above. About 8090% of and the consequent abandonment of some of the best
the Basins population became concentrated at the city and agricultural lands in the Basin of Mexico by an emergent
for the rst time numerous hamlets were established to the expansionist archaic state, no matter how aggressive and
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P. Plunket, G. Urunuela / Quaternary International 151 (2006) 1928 23
Teotihuacan
Teotihuacan
L. Texcoco L. Texcoco
Cuicuilco Cuicuilco
Iztacchuatl Iztacchuatl
Popocatpetl Popocatpetl
Supra-regional center Large dispersed village Small ceremonial precinct Contour interval 330m
Regional center Small dispersed village Excavated site, not surveyed 0 20
Large nucleated village Hamlet
Small nucleated village Tezoyuca hilltop center km
Fig. 5. Distribution of settlements in the Basin of Mexico in the Late Formative Period (300100 BC) and the Terminal Formative Period (100 BCAD
100) (adapted from Sanders, 1981: Figs. 6.13 and 6.15).
powerful its armies, no matter how persuasive its ideology, of the Sierra Nevada may have been signicant. Not only
appears to be an awesome and puzzling undertaking. We were the southern and eastern sections of the Basin of
address the problems of forced relocation below. Mexico prime agricultural areas, but their freshwater lakes
Our dating of the VEI-6 eruption of Popocatepetl to the and forested piedmonts were richly endowed with natural
rst century AD offers another scenario that provides a resources, making them valuable hunting and gathering
different perspective on the settlement pattern data. We territories. As pyroclastic materials fell on the forested
would not suggest that the eruption impacted the Basin of slopes the ash would have suffocated wildlife. The hot
Mexico in exactly the same way that it did for the western pyroclastic ows, with temperatures between 250 and
Valley of Puebla where over 100 km2 were permanently lost 600 1C may have ignited multiple, highly destructive forest
under volcanic deposits and relocation was unavoidable res that would have spread quickly through the Sierra
(Plunket and Urunuela, 2003), but both the immediate and Nevada during the dry season, and the melting glacier
long-term consequences for the settlements along the slopes would have formed destructive lahars that rushed down the
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24 P. Plunket, G. Urunuela / Quaternary International 151 (2006) 1928
steep canyons into the Amecameca river and the Chalco problems with food supplies at larger settlements (Sanders
area (see Nakada, 2000, p. 948; Siebe, 2000; Capra et al., et al., 1979, pp. 101103).
2004). Some of the 20,000 people missing from Sanders As in other regions of ancient Mesoamerica, the
population estimates may have perished in these events. Terminal Formative in the Basin of Mexico was a time of
We have suggested elsewhere (Plunket and Urunuela, rapid population growth and consequent social change. In
2000) that the Plinian eruption took place during the dry this context, a major volcanic eruption may have served as
season, from October through May. The prevailing winds a catalyst to accelerate those changes not only by
generally blow west to east at this time of year, explaining highlighting the inability of local authorities to appease
at least partially why the eruptive column collapsed over and control the forces of nature, but even to ensure the
the northeastern ank of the mountain (Delgado et al., necessary resources for basic subsistence. Thus, it may have
1995). The archeological evidence also supports this provided a situation ripe for decision-making at all levels of
interpretation. The agricultural elds adjacent to Tetimpas society that led to both intended and unintended con-
houses were not planted and there is little or no corn in the sequences. Studies of modern volcanic disasters demon-
domestic storage facilities, indicating that households had strate that decisions to remain or relocate are made in
used most of their existing food supply. This, in addition to response to both real and perceived social and natural
the loss of seeds for next seasons planting, must have hazards in the extra-village environment and not just in
contributed to short-term food shortages. response to the volcanic conditions themselves (e.g., Nolan,
The destruction of important hunting and gathering 1979, p. 328); the trend is for communities to seek greater
areas would have been devastating, and the smoke from the interaction, not isolation, from the larger society (Nolan,
res added to the ash could have caused signicant short- 1979, p. 314). We now look at the aftermath of the
term climatic changes as well, including frost and drought, Paricutn eruption in the state of Michoacan, Mexico,
that may have resulted in famine and consequent popula- during the 1940s in order to provide a contextual parallel
tion relocation (Nolan, 1979, p. 330; Sigurdsson, 2000, pp. to the post-eruptive world faced by the inhabitants of
1011). In their discussion of the natural environment of central Mexico at the beginning of the rst millennium. We
the Basin of Mexico, Sanders et al. (1979, pp. 8189) realize that the size and style of these two volcanic events
emphasize that uctuations in the onset of the monsoonal were considerably different, but we think the variable
rains and winter frost have led to devastating crop failures responses recorded during the modern episode illustrate the
in historic times, and they classify the Basin as a moderate- social and cultural complexity of relocation processes.
to-high risk area for agriculture. Under these circum-
stances, a VEI-6 eruption could easily shift the climate 5. The towns of Paricutn
towards cooler and drier conditions on the 2000-m plus
plateau. Establishing whether the scenario we suggest here In her study of the ve towns situated around the
is close to reality will require the combined efforts of nascent Paricutn volcano in 1943, Nolan (1979) found a
geologists and archeologists focus on the fate of the general tendency for villagers to reject local community
Terminal Formative sites in the southeastern Basin of isolation in favor of greater interaction with national
Mexico, documenting the impact of this eruption on local Mexican society, even at the risk of losing some of their
settlements. Tarascan traditions. However, her analysis of the social
impact of the eruption also describes considerable varia-
bility in the strategies employed by each community to deal
4. Natural disasters and the acceleration of social change with the catastrophe and the degree to which each allowed
outside forces of change to determine their future. She
Anthropologists have observed that disasters tend to demonstrates that in the end each response was strongly
accelerate changes that are already underway (Nolan, 1979; conditioned by local history and internal social stratica-
Oliver-Smith, 1996, p. 313; Hoffman, 1999; Driessen and tion before the onset of the volcanic period (19431952), in
McDonald, 2000). They motivate social actions, and social spite of the towns shared experience as disaster victims.
action motivates change (Hoffman, 1999, p. 311), provid- Below we summarize Nolans (1979) most important
ing contexts for new agendas, new power relations, and the observations regarding the social and cultural conse-
emergence of new leaders as part of the recovery process quences that Paricutn had on the ve towns closest to it.
(Oliver-Smith, 1996, p. 310). In the Basin of Mexico, The most successful town, San Juan, was also the largest
archeologists have identied a number of trends for the community. It served as the political center for the region
period immediately prior to the eruption that provide and its church was home to a powerful religious image
important contextual clues for interpreting the impact of the Lord of the Miraclesthat served as a focus of
the events of the rst century AD: (1) signicant popula- religious devotion for both the meztizo majority and the
tion growth along the piedmont of Iztacchuatl in the Indian minority. When the lava nally began to cover the
Texcoco area, in what may have been a high-risk zone; (2) cemetery of San Juan, the entire town left in a procession
population centralization at Cuicuilco and Teotihuacan; led by the Bishop of Zamora who carried the statue of the
(3) political fragmentation and conict; and (4) possible Lord of the Miracles, in effect following a divine command
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P. Plunket, G. Urunuela / Quaternary International 151 (2006) 1928 25
Mesoamerican Research Foundation, the Foundation for Hoffman, S., 1999. After Atlas shrugs: cultural change or persistence after
the Advancement of Mesoamerican Studies, and the a disaster. In: Oliver-Smith, A., Hoffman, S. (Eds.), The Angry Earth:
Disaster in Anthropological Perspective. Routlege, London,
Instituto de Investigacion y Posgrado of the Universidad
pp. 302325.
de las Americas-Puebla for their generous support of our Marquina, I. (Ed.), 1970. Proyecto Cholula. Serie Investigaciones 19.
research at Tetimpa. The Consejo de Arqueologa of the Instituto Nacional de Antropologa e Historia, Mexico City.
Instituto Nacional de Antropologa e Historia granted the Millon, R., 1981. Teotihuacan: city, state, and civilization. In: Sabloff, J.
ofcial permit for this project and has provided assistance (Ed.), Archaeology, Supplement I, pp. 198243; Bricker, V. (Gen. Ed.),
and advice throughout our research that are much Handbook of Middle American Indians. University of Texas Press,
Austin.
appreciated. We are particularly grateful to the towns- Millon, R., Drewitt, B., Bennyhoff, J., 1965. The Pyramid of the Sun at
people of San Nicolas de los Ranchos and San Buena- Teotihuacan: 1959 Investigations. Transactions of the American
ventura Nealtican for allowing us to work among them. Philosophical Society 55 (Part 6), Philadelphia.
Nakada, S., 2000. Hazards from pyroclastic ows and surges. In:
Sigurdsson, H. (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Volcanoes. Academic Press,
New York, pp. 945955.
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