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Huamanga
Asignatura:
Hidrologa General - IC441
Anlisis Estadstico de Datos Hidrolgicos
Distribucin Log - Gumbel
1.0 Argumentos
x := ( 1660 618 876 563 824 557 917 683 740 520 824.01 818 3800 934 1120 360 1230 1030 1410 779 610
x= 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 1.66103 618 876 563 824 ...
Cambio de varible
Xln := n cols( x)
for i 1 , 2 .. n
Xln
1, i ( 1 , i)
ln x x := Xln
Xln
(x1 , i X)
x 2
1, i
i=1
X := i=1
n S :=
n1
X = 6.712 S = 0.518
= 0.404 = 6.478
x
x
e
1
f ( x) := e
x
e
F( x) := e
:= max P ( )
5
= 0.067
R := max P ( )
5
Datos ordenados
2
yord := P
yord =
T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 5.886 5.905 6.035 6.254 6.258 6.323 6.333 6.365 ...
WeibuLL =
T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 0.033 0.067 0.1 0.133 0.167 0.2 0.233 0.267 ...
T
Fda = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 0.013 0.016 0.05 0.175 0.178 0.23 0.239 0.266 ...
0.8
Probabilidad Acumulada
0.6
Fda
WeibuLL
0.4
0.2
5 6 7 8 9
yord
Grfico Funcin de Distribucin Acumulada
1
0.8
Probabilidad Acumulada
0.6
Fda
WeibuLL
0.4
0.2
5 6 7 8 9
yord
Datos Ordenados
1 1
1 5.886 1 0.013
2 5.905 2 0.016 Tiempo de retorno en aos
3 6.035 3 0.05
4 6.254 4 0.175 5
5 6.258 5 0.178 10
6 6.323 6 0.23
Tr :=
20
7 6.333 7 0.239 40
Xord = 8 6.365 F= 8 0.266 50
9 6.413 9 0.309
100
10 6.426 10 0.321
11 6.489 11 0.378
12 6.526 12 0.412
13 6.607 13 0.483
14 6.658 14 0.527
15 6.707 15 0.567
16 ... 16 ...
9 6.413 9 0.309
10 6.426 10 0.321
11 6.489 11 0.378
12 6.526 12 0.412
13 6.607 13 0.483
14 6.658 14 0.527
15 6.707 15 0.567
16 ... 16 ...
La probabilidad conocida es
1
p := 1
Tr
T
p = ( 0.8 0.9 0.95 0.975 0.98 0.99 )
q := ( linterp( F , Xord , p ) )
T
q = ( 7.086 7.392 7.694 8.041 8.123 8.286 )
Entonces el caudal es
q
Q := e
1194.731 5
1622.543 10
2194.564
Tr =
Q= 20
3106.591 m3/s
40
3370.22 50
3966.493 100