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Background and PurposeHemorrhagic transformation (HT) is the most critical complication of thrombolytics in clinical
trials in acute stroke. The aim of this study was to determine the rates and the predictors of HT in the Multicenter Acute
Stroke TrialEurope (MAST-E) study.
MethodsWe performed a post hoc analysis of MAST-E data designed to assess the safety and efficacy of streptokinase
administered intravenously within 6 hours of stroke onset. HT included all intracerebral hemorrhages and symptomatic
hemorrhages (SHT) associated with clinical worsening. The predictors of HT and SHT were determined using
multivariate modeling.
ResultsAmong the 310 patients included, 159 patients had HT and 37 SHT (97 and 33 in the streptokinase group and
62 and 4 in the placebo group, respectively). Patients with SHT had significantly more atrial fibrillation, diabetes
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mellitus, no heparin use, streptokinase treatment, and early CT signs. In the multivariate analysis, HT was predicted by
early CT signs and streptokinase treatment. SHT was predicted by diabetes mellitus, early CT signs, streptokinase
treatment, and the interaction between streptokinase treatment and decreased level of consciousness. Among the
streptokinase-treated patients, the same predictors remained.
ConclusionsThe relative risks of HT after streptokinase were in the same range in MAST-E as in other streptokinase and
tPA trials. Early CT signs were strong predictors of both HT and SHT, stressing that these patients are at high risk of
bleeding. In our study, the predictors of HT and SHT were similar to those of tPA trials in acute stroke. (Stroke.
1999;30:1326-1332.)
Key Words: cerebral hemorrhage n clinical trials n streptokinase n stroke, acute
1326
Jaillard et al Hemorrhagic Transformation 1327
Statistical Analysis
We analyzed HT and SHT using the x 2 test, Student t test, or the
Fishers exact test, as appropriate. Subgroup analyses were per-
formed according to the following variables: age; sex; body weight;
atrial fibrillation; history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, previous
stroke, or transient ischemic attack of the brain; systolic blood
pressure and diastolic blood pressure; MAST-E score18; hand, arm,
and leg paresias; level of consciousness at admission; side of the
ischemia; cerebral atrophy; early CT signs of lentiform nucleus
attenuation, insular ribbon contrast attenuation, hemispheric sulcus
effacement, and hyperdense MCA; streptokinase treatment alloca-
tion; antithrombotic-associated treatment (heparin, antiplatelet
agents); and delay from stroke onset to treatment.
A logistic forward stepwise regression model was used to define
predictors of HT after adjustment for the effect of confounding
variables.19 We chose to include in the initial model all variables
associated with hemorrhage in univariate analysis with a value of
P,0.2. We also included all variables reported to be related to
cerebral hemorrhages in other studies: age, sex, weight, hyperten-
sion, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, atrial fibrillation,
systolic and diastolic blood pressures, and severity at admis-
sion.12,20,21 Because of the small number of patients, logistic regres-
sion was performed on symptomatic cerebral hemorrhages both in Figure 1. A, Seventy-nine-year-old patient with 4 hours 30 min-
the total population and in the streptokinase group, which included utes of new left dense hemiparesis. Early CT signs are observed
most SHT. We tested the interactions among the selected variables in the right MCA. Note lentiform nucleus contrast attenuation
and refit the model. We chose a value of P50.05 as a level of insular zone contrast attenuation and hemispheric sulcus atten-
statistical significance and did not correct for multiple comparisons. uation. B, The CT scan 5 days later showed hypodensity in the
We assessed the sensivity, specificity, positive and negative predic- deep and superficial territories of the right MCA with HT.
tive values, and efficiency of each mutivariate model for HT
and SHT. second CT scan was performed (1 in each group), poor
quality of the CT scan (3 in the streptokinase group and 8 in
Results the placebo group), or the second CT scan being performed
Among the 310 patients included (156 in the streptokinase .10 days after stroke (1 in the streptokinase group and 3 in
group and 154 in the placebo group), 157 patients had an HT, the placebo group). Among the 16 patients who died without
96 (61%) in the streptokinase group and 61 (31%) in the CT scan control, 3 had autopsy. Thus, the analysis included
placebo group. The mean delay of CT from the onset of 280 patients for HT and 310 for SHT.
stroke was 150 minutes (first and third quartiles, 123 and 223
minutes). Control CT scan data were missing for 33 patients, Hemorrhagic Transformation
because of either early death (12 patients in the streptokinase Comparisons of baseline characteristics, treatments received,
group and 4 in the placebo group), discharge before the and CT scan signs between patients with and without HT are
1328 Stroke July 1999
reported in Tables 1 and 2. Streptokinase treatment and early the baseline characteristics, treatments, and baseline CT scan
CT scan signs (Figure 1) differed significantly between the 2 signs in patients with and without SHT, are reported in Tables 1
groups and remained significantly linked with HT in the and 2. SHT was significantly more frequent in patients with
multivariate stepwise logistic regression (Table 3). Age, body atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, no heparin use, streptokinase
weight, atrial fibrillation, systolic and diastolic blood pres- treatment, and early CT scan signs (hemispheric sulcus attenu-
sures, the delay from stroke onset to treatment, and heparin ation and insular zone contrast attenuation; Figure 2). The
and antiplatelet agent use were not kept in the multivariate multivariate model included streptokinase treatment, diabetes
model. The specificity of the model was 44.9% (95% CI, 39% mellitus, hemispheric sulcus attenuation, and the interaction
to 51%), the sensitivity 80% (95% CI, 75% to 85%), the between a decreased level of consciousness and streptokinase
positive predictive value 66% (95% CI, 60% to 72%), the treatment (ie, the patients who had a decreased level of con-
negative predictive value 63% (95% CI, 57% to 69%), and sciousness and were treated with streptokinase). Within the
the global efficiency 65% (95% CI, 59% to 71%). When we streptokinase group, diabetes mellitus, hemispheric sulcus atten-
selected the streptokinase group, early CT signs remained the uation, and decreased level of consciousness were kept in the
sole predictors of HT (Table 3). final model (Table 4). The predictive model for SHT had 19%
sensitivity (95% CI, 15% to 24%), 99% specificity (95% CI,
Symptomatic Hemorrhages 98% to 100%), 78% positive predictive value (95% CI, 73% to
Among the 157 patients with HT, 37 had SHT (33 in the 83%), 89% negative predictive value (95% CI, 85% to 93%),
streptokinase group and 4 in the placebo group). Comparisons of and 89% efficiency (95% CI, 85% to 93%).
Early CT scan signs, n (%) 114 (73.5) 59 (50.0) ,0.001 28 (75.7) 153 (61.0) 0.04
Hemispheric sulcus effacement 89 (57.4) 46 (39.0) 0.003 25 (67.6) 117 (46.6) 0.02
Lentiform nucleus contrast attenuation 88 (56.8) 41 (34.7) ,0.001 22 (59.5) 114 (45.4) 0.11
Insular zone contrast attenuation 86 (55.5) 42 (35.6) 0.001 23 (62.2) 113 (45.0) 0.05
Dense middle cerebral artery 39 (25.2) 28 (23.7) 0.78 9 (24.3) 60 (23.9) 0.95
hemorrhagic strokes has been reported for tPA.34 Therefore, diabetes mellitus, early CT signs, streptokinase treatment and
only a direct comparison of streptokinase and tPA in an acute the interaction between streptokinase treatment and a de-
ischemic stroke trial could permit to assess the difference in creased level of consciousness. When we ran the model of
risk of bleeding between the 2 drugs. SHT among the streptokinase-treated patients, the same
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TABLE 5. Incidence and Risk of Cerebral HT According to Thrombolytic Therapy in Recent Controlled
Clinical Trials
Total HTs SHTs
biases. There were differences in the severity of stroke, in the findings from ECASS I and ECASS II, in which patients
delay from stroke onset to CT scan, in the criteria used for treated between 3 and 6 hours after stroke did not have a
early CT signs assessment, and also in the quality of CT higher risk of parenchymal hemorrhage than those treated
scans. Actually, the absence of shared definition of early CT within the first 3 hours,11 and by the NINDS study,12 in which
signs and the subtle brain appearance changes they charac- patients treated between 90 and 180 minutes did not have a
terize may be important contributors to the discrepancies higher risk of SHT than those treated within 90 minutes of
between the rates reported. This is supported by the low onset.
intraobserver and interobserver concordance14,40 for early CT To explore the dose effect in HT occurrence, because a
sign assessment. Although important metrological and teach- fixed dose of streptokinase was used, we studied the relation-
ing efforts could be done to reach a high level of reliability,41 ship between HT and body weight. We found no relationship,
this emphasizes that a treatment based on such subtle signs but in a recent study fibrinolytic blood parameters were
might be very difficult to introduce into routine practice. strongly correlated with the body mass index.47 These con-
We found an association between stroke severity (MAST flicting results suggest that the dose issue should be addressed
score of ,20, or low level of consciousness) and SHT in further.
univariate analyses, although it did not reach a level of
significance. In the multivariate model, decreased level of Conclusion
consciousness was a predictor of SHT only in patients We report the post hoc analysis of a controlled clinical trial
assigned to streptokinase. Stroke severity has been demon- using streptokinase in acute ischemic stroke (MAST-E). In
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strated to be a predictor for SHT in NINDS12 and for HI in both the streptokinase and placebo groups, higher absolute
ECASS.11 This confirms that patients with such conditions rates of HT and SHT than in other studies were found, but the
should not receive thrombolytic treatment. relative risks of streptokinase were in the same range as in
Our data indicate that diabetes mellitus is associated with other streptokinase and tPA trials. Only a direct comparison
SHT. Hyperglycemia at baseline was associated with an of streptokinase and tPA in acute ischemic stroke would
increased risk of SHT in the NINDS trial,10 and history of allow assessment of the differential effects of the 2 drugs. In
diabetes mellitus was associated with parenchymal hematoma addition, the issue of the dose of streptokinase should be
in a stroke series.26 Both hyperglycemia and diabetes were addressed before planning other trials with streptokinase in
predictors of HT and SHT in tPA-treated patients.42 However, acute stroke.
although diabetes mellitus is a well-known risk factor for Through use of logistic regression analysis, early CT signs
ischemic stroke, whether it is a risk factor for hemorrhage has were identified as a strong predictor of both HT and SHT,
yet to be determined.2 stressing that this group of patients has a peculiarly high risk
Our univariate analysis showed a possible association of bleeding. The precise role of diabetes mellitus in the
between atrial fibrillation and both HT (P50.12) and SHT occurrence of SHT must be assessed. Our results indicate that
(P50.05). A relation between cardioembolic strokes and HT a decreased level of consciousness was a predictor of SHT in
has been reported in autopsy studies1,3 in thrombolysis streptokinase-treated patients. This is consistent with the
series,31 in ECASS,11 and in trials in MI.28 The high rate of lower rate of SHT in studies that excluded patients with coma
cardioembolic stroke in the MAST-E population (30%) may or stupor.5,9,10
have promoted a high rate of HT.
The high crude rates of HT and SHT in our streptokinase Acknowledgment
group could be attributed to the heavy use of heparin or This study was sponsored financially with a grant from the French
aspirin as associated treatment within the first 48 hours. Ministry of Health (PHRC 1993).
However, both heparin and aspirin were associated with a low
incidence of SHT (Table 3). Moreover, heparin administra- References
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Hemorrhagic Transformation in Acute Ischemic Stroke: The MAST-E Study
Assia Jaillard, Catherine Cornu, Anne Durieux, Thierry Moulin, Florent Boutitie, Kennedy R.
Lees and Marc Hommel
on behalf of the MAST-E Group
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Stroke. 1999;30:1326-1332
doi: 10.1161/01.STR.30.7.1326
Stroke is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231
Copyright 1999 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved.
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