POLLING MEMORANDUM

TO: Interested Parties

FR: Fritz Wenzel, founder and Pollster, Clout Research

RE: Survey research in Nassau County, NY

Clout Research is a leading national public opinion research firm based in Dublin, Ohio. Founded in 2005, it
serves clients across the country in politics, business, government, media, and the non-profit sector. It
conducted a telephone survey of likely 2017 voters in Nassau County, New York, regarding the race for County
Executive. The survey was conducted August 7-9, 2017, and included 677 respondents. Among respondents,
74.7% were landline interviews, while 25.3% were interviews with cell phone respondents. The survey carries a
confidence interval of 95% and a margin of error of +/- 3.76 percentage points.

The survey of likely voters in Nassau County, New York indicates that Republican Jack
Martins would defeat Democrat Laura Curran in the race for County Executive if the election
was held today, defeating her by a 45% to 37% margin among likely 2017 General Election
voters. 18% said they were unsure on the race.

Martins edge stems in part because of a 5-point lead he enjoys over Curran in
favorability, a key measurement of voter sentiment in local elections. Martins wins 77% support
among Republicans and Conservative Party members, while Curran wins 10% support among
Republicans and Conservatives. Meanwhile, Curran does not do as well among her political
base, winning 72% support among Democrats and members of the Green and Working Families
parties. Martins wins 10% support among those left-leaning party members. Among
Independence Party members and non-affiliated voters, Martins holds a four-point edge over
Curran, leading by a 35% to 31% margin. In a historical context, Martins strong support with
Republican-Conservative voters is significant because, in the last open election for county
executive (2009), a third party candidate on the Conservative line received nearly 10,000 votes
that, given Martins support with the Republican-Conservative base, he will likely receive this
year.

In addition, Martins enjoys broad bipartisan support in the state senate district he
formerly represented (65% favorable to 16% unfavorable). While Senate District 7 historically
has a Democratic turnout advantage in county executive election years and represents
approximately one-quarter of all Democratic voters in those elections, Martins high favorability
provides him with a 53-33% lead on the ballot test in Senate District 7, with over 85% of those
respondents indicating that they are firm in their preferred candidate for county executive.

P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com

Martins support in Senate District 7 provides a substantial structural advantage for his
campaign.

In terms of political philosophy, Curran does well among progressives and liberals,
winning support in the mid-80 percentile. Martins wins 75% support among conservatives and
68% among the very conservative. Curran leads among moderates by a 42% to 33% margin,
which is typical for the Democratic Party candidate in a local race.

Martins leads by a 46% to 37% margin among homeowners in Nassau County, while
Curran leads among renters, 47% to 30% for Martins. Homeowners tend to be longer-term voters
in a community and can have a more reliable performance in terms of attendance at the ballot
box. Martins leads among both men and women. Among men, he wins 50% support, compared
to 35% support for Curran and 16% who said they were undecided. Among women, he leads by
just one point a statistically insignificant amount winning 40% to Currans 39% support.
Among women, 21% said they were undecided. While Martins leads among married
respondents by double-digits, Curran leads by six points among respondents who are single.
Curran holds a large double-digit lead among respondents who said they were divorced or
separated.

There are five New York State Senate Districts in Nassau County, and Martins leads in
four of them and is tied with Curran in the other one. Martins leads by three points in SD5, by 10
points in SD6, by 20 points in SD7 and by six points in SD8. In SD9, the two are tied at 42%
each. The telephone survey showed that 57% of respondents were firm in their selection for
County Executive, while 27% said they could change their mind before they vote. Another 17%
said they were very open to changing their minds before they cast a ballot.

The survey also included message questions relating to Martins call for Ed Mangano to
resign as Nassau County Executive following Manganos arrest on federal public corruption
charges and the support Currans campaign has received from organizations that oppose a federal
law enforcement response against the MS-13 gang. Regarding the Mangano question, nearly
60% of likely voters are more likely to vote for Martins because of his call for Manganos
resignation, including a majority of Democrats. In addition, a majority of likely voters are less
likely to support Curran after learning of the support her campaign has received from these
organizations, including nearly 40% of likely voting Democrats.

To accurately reflect a likely voting universe for the 2017 Nassau County Executive
election, this survey includes a large 677 person sample that mirrors the electorate in the last
Nassau County Executive election.
Respectfully submitted - FW

P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com