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Original article
Received 24 June 2010; received in revised form 6 September 2010; accepted 7 September 2010
Available online 7 December 2010
Abstract
Aim. The present study aimed to validate the Finnish Type 2 Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) questionnaire for its ability to predict the
presence of any glucose homoeostasis abnormalities and the metabolic syndrome (MetS) in the Greek population.
Methods. Validation was performed on a sample of individuals who had agreed to participate in a screening program for type 2 diabetes
(T2D) prevention (the Greek part of the DEPLAN study), using both FINDRISC and oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT). Impaired fasting
glucose (IFG) was defined as a fasting plasma glucose level of 6.16.9 mmol/L, and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) as a 2-h plasma glucose of
7.811.0 mmol/L. The predictive value of the FINDRISC was cross-sectionally evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic
(AUROC) curve method.
Results. A total of 869 individuals (379 men, aged 56.2 10.8 years) were screened from the general population living in the city and suburbs
of Athens. OGTT revealed the presence of unknown diabetes in 94 cases (10.8%), IFG in 85 (9.8%) and IGT in 109 (12.6%). The sensitivity of a
FINDRISC score greater or equal to 15 (45% of the population) to predict unknown diabetes was 81.9% and its specificity was 59.7%. The AUROC
curve for detecting unknown diabetes was 0.724 (95% CI: 0.6770.770). For any dysglycaemia, the AUROC curve was 0.716 (0.6800.752) while,
for detection of the MetS, it was 0.733 (0.6990.767).
Conclusion. The FINDRISC questionnaire performed well as a screening tool for the cross-sectional detection of unknown diabetes, IFG, IGT
and the MetS in the Greek population.
2010 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Diabetes screening; FINDRISC questionnaire; Diabetes prevention; Diagnosis; Type 2 diabetes; Impaired fasting glucose; Impaired glucose tolerance;
Greece
Rsum
Validation du questionnaire finlandais calculant un score de risque de diabte (FINDRISC) pour le dpistage du diabte de type 2, des anomalies
de la glycorgulation et du syndrome mtabolique en Grce.
But. La prsente tude avait pour but de valider le questionnaire finlandais FINDRISC en termes de prvision des anomalies de la glycorgulation
et du syndrome mtabolique dans la population grecque.
Mthodes. La validation a t ralise partir dun chantillon dindividus qui avaient accept de participer un programme de dpistage
dans le cadre de la prvention du diabte type 2 (DT2) (participation grecque ltude DEPLAN), en utilisant le score FINDRISC ainsi quune
hyperglycmie provoque par voie orale (HGPO). Lhyperglycmie modre jeun (IFG) a t dfinie par une glycmie jeun comprise entre
6,1 et 6,9 mmol/L et lintolrance au glucose (IGT) par une glycmie deux heures aprs glucose comprise entre 7,8 et 11,0 mmol/L. La valeur
prdictive du score FINDRISC a t value transversalement, en utilisant les caractristiques opratoires de la surface sous courbe (AUROC).
Corresponding author. Tel.: +30 213 2061061; fax: +30 210 7791839.
E-mail address: kmakrila@med.uoa.gr (K. Makrilakis).
1262-3636/$ see front matter 2010 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.diabet.2010.09.006
K. Makrilakis et al. / Diabetes & Metabolism 37 (2011) 144151 145
Rsultats. Un total de 869 sujets (379 hommes, gs de 56,2 10,8 ans) a t slectionn parmi la population gnrale de la ville et des environs
dAthnes. LHGPO a rvl un diabte mconnu chez 94 sujets (10,8 %), une IFG chez 85 sujets (9,8 %) et une IGT chez 109 sujets (12,6 %).
La sensibilit du score FINDRISC suprieur ou gal 15 (45 % de la population) pour la prdiction dun diabte mconnu tait de 81,9 % et sa
spcificit de 59,7 %. LAUROC pour le dpistage dun diabte mconnu tait de 0,716 (0,6800,752), lAUROC pour la mise en vidence du
syndrome mtabolique de 0,733 (0,6990,767).
Conclusion. Cette tude montre que le questionnaire FINDRISC savre tre un outil performant pour le dpistage du diabte, de lhyperglycmie
modre jeun, de lintolrance au glucose et du syndrome mtabolique dans un chantillon de la population grecque.
2010 Elsevier Masson SAS. Tous droits rservs.
Mots cls : Dpistage du diabte ; Questionnaire FINDRISC ; Diagnostic ; Intolrance au glucose ; Hyperglycmie modre jeun ; Prvention du diabte ; Diabte
de type 2 ; Grce
ipants weight, height, waist circumference and blood pressure ever, the prevalence of the MetS (38.4%) did not differ between
were measured, and their medical histories recorded. Plasma men and women.
glucose, total and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, Of the total 869-screened participants, 840 had complete
and triglyceride levels were also measured from fasting blood FINDRISC data, and a marked increase in the prevalence of
samples at a central, accredited university research laboratory, undiagnosed diabetes and dysglycaemia was observed as FIND-
using enzymatic assays. Low-density lipoprotein (LDL) choles- RISC score values increased (Table 2). The prevalence of
terol was calculated using the Friedewald formula [31]. unknown diabetes in those with a FINDRISC score greater than
Based on the OGTT results, participants were categorized as 15 (44.5% of the study population) was 19.3% whereas, for any
having either normal glucose tolerance (NGT, fasting plasma degree of dysglycaemia (IFG + IGT + T2D), the prevalence was
glucose less than 6.1 mmol/L and 2-h plasma glucose less than 51.1%.
7.8 mmol/L), impaired fasting glucose (IFG, fasting plasma glu- The AUROC curve for detecting unknown diabetes (Fig. 1A)
cose 6.16.9 mmol/L), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT, 2-h was 0.724 (95% CI: 0.6770.770) overall, with 0.731
plasma glucose 7.811.0 mmol/L) or diabetes (fasting plasma (0.6670.794) for men and 0.726 (0.6590.793) for women (NS,
glucose greater or equal to 7.0 mmol/L and/or 2-h plasma glu- not significant). The AUROC curve for any degree of dysgly-
cose greater or equal to 11.1 mmol/L) [32]. The MetS was caemia was 0.716 (0.680.752), with 0.721 (0.6680.724) for
defined according to National Cholesterol Education Program men and 0.720 (0.6710.770) for women (NS; Fig. 1B).
Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEPATP III) criteria [33]. The optimal cutoff value for detecting unknown diabetes was
a FINDRISC greater or equal to 15, at which the sensitivity was
2.1. Statistical analysis 81.1% and specificity was 59.8% (Table 3). With a FINDRISC
greater or equal to 10 (73% of the population), the sensitivity
Continuous variables were presented as means 1 standard was 96.7% and the specificity was 29.5%, whereas with a score
deviation (SD), and qualitative variables as absolute and rela- greater or equal to 7 (93.5% of the population), the sensitivity
tive frequencies (%). Comparisons between normally distributed was 100%, but its specificity was only 10.7%.
continuous variables were performed with calculations of Stu- The best cutoff value for detecting any dysglycaemia was
dents t test. Associations between categorical variables were again, a FINDRISC greater or equal to 15, with sensitivity of
tested with the use of contingency tables and calculations of 67.7% and specificity of 67.2%.
the Chi2 test. Patients characteristics according to their FIND- With the exception of total and LDL cholesterol, all other
RISC scores were compared by one-way analysis of variance measured CVD risk factors had strong, significant associ-
(ANOVA) for continuous variables. Those with IFG, IGT and ations with FINDRISC values (Table 2). Specifically, the
T2D were analyzed all together as a combined dysglycaemia FINDRISC was significantly correlated with systolic (r = 0.28,
group. Associations and correlation coefficients between the P < 0.001) and diastolic (r = 0.12, P = 0.001) blood pres-
FINDRISC and clinical parameters were evaluated by Pearsons sure, HDL cholesterol (r = 0.12, P < 0.001) and triglycerides
correlation test. The predictive value of FINDRISC to detect (r = 0.16, P < 0.001). Also, there was an inverse association
diabetes, dysglycaemia and the MetS was cross-sectionally eval- between the FINDRISC and smoking (r = 0.26, P < 0.001).
uated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic The prevalence of the MetS was also positively correlated
(AUROC) curve method. Sensitivity was plotted against the y with the FINDRISC (r = 0.39, P < 0.001). The AUROC curve for
axis, and false-positive rates (1specificity) against the x axis, detecting the MetS was 0.733 (95% CI: 0.6990.767) overall,
followed by plotting of the AUROC curve. The optimal cutoff with 0.707 (0.6530.760) for men and 0.757 (0.7130.801) for
levels used were the peaks of the curve, where the sum of sen- women. Yet again, the optimal cutoff value for detecting the
sitivity and specificity is at maximum. The AUROC curve (for MetS was a FINDRISC greater or equal to 15, with sensitivity
example, for detection of diabetes) can be regarded as reflecting of 67.3% and specificity of 70.6% (Table 3).
the probability that a randomly chosen subject with undiag-
nosed diabetes is more likely to be classified as diabetic than 4. Discussion
a randomly chosen subject without diabetes and, therefore, is
indicative of the overall ability of the risk score to correctly The American Diabetes Association (ADA) recommends
identify those with undiagnosed diabetes. All reported P values screening for T2D at 3-year intervals, beginning at age 45 years,
were derived from two-sided tests and compared with a signifi- especially in those with a BMI greater or equal to 25 kg/m2 [34].
cance level of 5%. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 16.0 However, these recommendations are not widely followed, as
software (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL, USA). indicated by the fact that one-third of those who have diabetes go
undiagnosed [1]. As the main reason for this problem is the cost
3. Results and inconvenience of diabetes testing [35], one way to address
the issue is to develop a simple, inexpensive tool that can identify
The demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics of those at high risk of having either pre-diabetes or undiagnosed
our study participants are presented in Table 1. The prevalence diabetes [36]. However, although a number of investigators have
of undiagnosed diabetes (based on OGTT results) was 10.8%, developed diabetes risk-assessment tools [1221], most of these
while that of dysglycaemia (IFG + IGT + T2D) was 33.6%, with have not been tested in populations other than those in which
significant differences between genders (higher in men). How- they were originally developed [28].
K. Makrilakis et al. / Diabetes & Metabolism 37 (2011) 144151 147
Table 1
Clinical, demographic and laboratory characteristics of the study participants by gender.
Variable Men Women P* Total
Data are presented as means ( SD) unless otherwise specified; NS: not significant; BMI: body mass index; BP: blood pressure; HDL: high-density lipoprotein;
LDL: low-density lipoprotein; MetS: the metabolic syndrome; Dysglycaemia = combined impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes.
* Men vs women.
Table 2
Characteristics of the study participants by FINDRISC.
Variable Finnish Type 2 Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) P*
n (%) 18 (2.1) 63 (7.4) 190 (22.4) 201 (23.6) 299 (35.2) 79 (9.3) 840
Age (years) 46.5 (5.2) 48.6 (9.9) 54.0 (8.9) 57.5 (10.5) 57.1 (11.2) 61.8 (10.1) 56.2 (10.8) < 0.001
BMI (kg/m2 ) 23.6 (2.6 25.7 (2.7) 27.3 (3.9) 29.6 (4.5) 31.7 (5.0) 32.8 (4.4) 29.6 (5.0) < 0.001
Waist circumference (cm) 79.3 (10.4) 89.1 (9.9) 93.9 (11.4) 98.7 (12.0) 102.0 (11.6) 104.7 (10.0) 98.0 (12.6) < 0.001
Smoking (never/ex/current) (%) 43/14/43 29/21/50 32/24/44 55/21/24 47/25/28 44/29/27 45/20/35 0.004
Systolic BP (mmHg) 106.4 (19.4) 119.0 (15.5) 121.5 (17.3) 124.5 (19.5) 130.0 (18.3) 134.6 (16.7) 125.9 (18.8) < 0.001
Diastolic BP (mmHg) 68.7 (13.5) 76.6 (10.4) 77.2 (11.5) 76.8 (11.8) 79.4 (11.4) 78.6 (11.6) 77.8 (11.6) 0.01
Fasting glucose (mmol/L) 5.08 (0.53) 5.16 (0.53) 5.41 (0.72) 5.44 (0.93) 6.04 (1.31) 6.38 (1.28) 5.71 (1.12) < 0.001
Glucose at 120 min (mmol/L) 4.49 (1.53) 4.85 (1.51) 5.40 (1.87) 5.92 (2.19) 7.37 (3.1) 8.29 (3.58) 6.44 (2.84)) < 0.001
Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.66 (1.22) 5.68 (1.17) 5.77 (1.01) 5.71 (1.13) 5.73 (0.99) 5.76 (1.16) 5.73 (1.06) NS
Triglycerides (mmol/L) 0.92 (0.41) 1.22 (0.80) 1.29 (0.74) 1.31 (0.65) 1.38 (0.65) 1.67 (1.12) 1.34 (0.74) < 0.001
HDL cholesterol (mmol/L) 1.41 (0.27) 1.33 (0.24) 1.29 (0.24) 1.31 (0.24) 1.27 (0.22) 1.24 (0.23) 1.29 (0.24) 0.022
LDL cholesterol (mmol/L) 3.83 (1.10) 3.83 (1.08) 3.90 (0.93) 3.81 (1.02) 3.83 (0.84) 3.82 (1.06 3.84 (0.95) NS
Undiagnosed diabetes (%) 0.0 0.0 3.2 5.5 18.4 22.8 10.8 < 0.001
Dysglycaemia (%) 5.6 9.5 20.1 23.4 47.5 64.6 33.6 < 0.001
MetS (%) 11.1 9.8 20.0 30.5 56.0 71.8 38.9 < 0.001
Data are presented as means ( SD) unless otherwise specified; BMI: body mass index; BP: blood pressure; HDL: high-density lipoprotein; LDL: low-density
lipoprotein; NS: not significant; MetS: the metabolic syndrome; Dysglycaemia = combined impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes.
* One-way ANOVA or Chi2 test.
148 K. Makrilakis et al. / Diabetes & Metabolism 37 (2011) 144151
Table 3
Characteristics of the Finnish Type 2 Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) questionnaire, using different cutoff values for screen-detected unknown type 2 diabetes
(SDM), dysglycaemia (combined impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance and type 2 diabetes) and the metabolic syndromea .
Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV Study sample %
SDM
Cutoff = 7 100 10.7 11.7 100 90.5
Cutoff = 10 96.7 29.5 14.0 98.7 73.3
Cutoff = 15 81.1 59.8 19.3 96.4 44.5
Dysglycaemia
Cutoff = 7 97.5 13.1 36.2 91.4 90.5
Cutoff = 10 87.4 33.9 40.0 84.1 73.3
Cutoff = 15 67.7 67.2 51.1 80.5 44.5
MetS
Cutoff = 7 97.6 13.8 41.9 89.9 90.5
Cutoff = 10 89.0 37.0 47.4 84.1 73.3
Cutoff = 15 67.3 70.6 59.3 77.2 44.5
Nevertheless, the present study has demonstrated that the as hypertension and lipid abnormalities, which is again similar
FINDRISC questionnaire can perform reasonably well in pre- to the present findings (Table 2).
dicting undiagnosed T2D, glucose homoeostasis abnormalities The accuracy of the FINDRISC for predicting unknown dia-
and the MetS in cross-sections of the Greek population, and at betes and CVD risk was further investigated by Italys Impaired
least as well as it has in the other Caucasian populations stud- Glucose Tolerance and Long-Term Outcomes Observational
ied so far [12,2226]. Using an optimal cutoff value of greater (IGLOO) study [23], which recruited 1377 individuals, aged
or equal to 15, the questionnaire was able to identify 81.1% 5577 years, to assess an opportunistic screening strategy based
of those with unknown diabetes and 67.7% of those with any on the FINDRISC. Those with a score greater or equal to 9 and
dysglycaemic condition (pre-diabetes and unknown diabetes). a subsequent FPG of 5.66.9 mmol/L underwent OGTT, and
In the original FINRISK studies [12], the FINDRISC ques- these risk scores were found to represent a useful alternative
tionnaire was developed as a predictor of future drug-treated to indiscriminate FPG measurements, with an AUROC curve
diabetes in the Finnish population (in 1987), and was validated for predicting unknown diabetes of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.680.76),
5 years later (in 1992). The AUROC curve for a cross-sectional identical to that of our present study. The sensitivity and speci-
evaluation of the questionnaire to predict undiagnosed diabetes ficity for detecting unknown diabetes with a cutoff score greater
was 0.80 (compared with 0.72 in the present study). It is well or equal to 9 were 86% and 41%, respectively (which is lower
known that models generally perform best with the data on which than the 96.7% sensitivity, but higher than the 29.5% specificity,
they were initially developed, and that they perform better on found in the present study for a similar cutoff value greater or
training rather than test data [37]. However, as the original ques- equal to 10).
tionnaire comprised only seven items (excluding a family history A simplified version of the FINDRISC questionnaire, based
of diabetes) for a possible maximum score of 20 [12], direct on six questions (omitting diet and physical activity, and yield-
comparisons with the present study data are difficult. ing a maximum possible score of 23), was used to validate the
Nevertheless, the FINDRISC questionnaire was subse- questionnaire in a middle-aged and older German population
quently cross-sectionally validated in 2002 by a similar [24]. In that case, the AUROC curve for detecting unknown dia-
FINRISK survey in Finland, using the full questionnaire of eight betes was again similar to our present findings (0.745, 95% CI:
items and a possible maximum score of 26 [22], thereby allowing 0.6770.813).
direct comparison with the present study. The AUROC curves Two other studies evaluated the FINDRISC questionnaire and
for the prevalence of unknown diabetes (0.722 in men and 0.732 then compared it with other available screening tools for the
in women) in that study were almost identical to those found in detection of unknown diabetes [25,26]. The Cooperative Health
our present study. In addition, the prevalence of screen-detected Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) study used the
diabetes was also similar (11.6% in men and 6.4% in women). tool in a German population (aged 5574 years; n = 1353), and
The AUROC curve for the detection of abnormal glucose tol- found that its sensitivity (82%) and positive predictive value
erance (with IFG defined as an FPG greater than 6.1 mmol/L) (12%) were similar to those reported in the FINRISK survey
was lower than that of the present study (0.648 in men and 0.659 (using a cutoff value greater or equal to 9), although the speci-
in women compared with 0.721 for men and 0.720 for women, ficity (4%) and AUROC curve (65%) were somewhat lower [25].
respectively). Furthermore, the AUROC curve for the prevalence The FINDRISC also performed equally as well as the Rotter-
of the MetS (NCEPATP III definition) was also similar to the dam Diabetes Study tool [14] and the San Antonio Heart Study
present results (0.724 in men and 0.753 in women). Moreover, diabetes-prediction model [15] in terms of AUROC curves, all
the FINDRISC was associated with other CVD risk factors, such of which were lower than that of the present study. Validation
K. Makrilakis et al. / Diabetes & Metabolism 37 (2011) 144151 149
5. Conclusion
Conict of interest statement coronary heart disease start ticking before the onset of clinical diabetes?
JAMA 1990;263:28938.
[11] Kohli P, Greenland P. Role of the metabolic syndrome in risk assessment
None of the authors have any conflict of interest to declare.
for coronary heart disease. JAMA 2006;295:81921.
[12] Lindstrom J, Tuomilehto J. The diabetes risk score: a practical tool to
Acknowledgements predict type 2 diabetes risk. Diabetes Care 2003;26:72531.
[13] Glumer C, Carstensen B, Sandbaek A, Lauritzen T, Jorgensen T, Borch-
The present study was supported by the Commission of Johnsen K. A Danish diabetes risk score for targeted screening: the inter99
study. Diabetes Care 2004;27:72733.
the European Communities, Directorate CPublic Health and
[14] Baan CA, Ruige JB, Stolk RP, Witteman JC, Dekker JM, Heine RJ, et al.
Risk Assessment, Health & Consumer Protection, Grant Agree- Performance of a predictive model to identify undiagnosed diabetes in a
ment number 2004310, and the DEPLAN project. It was health care setting. Diabetes Care 1999;22:2139.
also co-funded by the private sector in this case, an unre- [15] Stern MP, Williams K, Haffner SM. Identification of persons at high risk
stricted educational grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb in Greece. for type 2 diabetes mellitus: do we need the oral glucose tolerance test?
Ann Intern Med 2002;136:57581.
We would also like to thank the following health centers and
[16] Griffin SJ, Little PS, Hales CN, Kinmonth AL, Wareham NJ. Diabetes
individuals for their help in implementing the present study: risk score: towards earlier detection of type 2 diabetes in general practice.
the medical staff of the Health Centre of Alimos (especially Diabetes Metab Res Rev 2000;16:16471.
Dr Ourania Zacharopoulou); the staff of the Centre for the [17] Colagiuri S, Hussain Z, Zimmet P, Cameron A, Shaw J. Screening for type
Elderly of Agioi Anargyroi; the medical and nursing staff of the 2 diabetes and impaired glucose metabolism: the Australian experience.
Diabetes Care 2004;27:36771.
Health Centre of Markopoulo (especially Mrs R. Salonikioti);
[18] Herman WH, Smith PJ, Thompson TJ, Engelgau MM, Aubert RE. A new
the medical and nursing staff of the Hellenic Telecommunica- and simple questionnaire to identify people at increased risk for undiag-
tions Company (especially Drs C. Pietris and C. Alexopoulos); nosed diabetes. Diabetes Care 1995;18:3823847.
the medical and nursing staff of the Hellenic Broadcasting Cor- [19] Kanaya AM, Wassel Fyr CL, de Rekeneire N, Shorr RI, Schwartz AV,
poration (especially Dr M. Katsorida); the medical and nursing Goodpaster BH, et al. Predicting the development of diabetes in older
adults: the derivation and validation of a prediction rule. Diabetes Care
staff of the Bank of Greece (especially Drs V. Spandagos and
2005;28:4048.
P. Konstantopoulou); the medical staff of the Olympic Village [20] Heikes KE, Eddy DM, Arondekar B, Schlessinger L. Diabetes risk calcu-
complex (especially Dr S. Tigas); the staff of the electrical equip- lator: a simple tool for detecting undiagnosed diabetes and pre-diabetes.
ment manufacturer Pitsos-Bosch; the medical and nursing staff Diabetes Care 2008;31:10405.
of the Health Centre of Vari (especially Dr M. Dandoulakis); and [21] Balkau B, Lange C, Fezeu L, Tichet J, de Lauzon-Guillain B, Czernichow
S, et al. Predicting diabetes: clinical, biological, and genetic approaches:
the medical and nursing staff of the Health Centre of Vyronas
data from the epidemiological study on the insulin resistance syndrome
(especially Dr K. Kyriakopoulos). (Desir). Diabetes Care 2008;31:205661.
[22] Saaristo T, Peltonen M, Lindstrom J, Saarikoski L, Sundvall J, Eriksson
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