EJERCICIO # 2

Se sabe que de cada 10 semillas sembradas en un suelo de cultivo, solo 5 se convertirn en plantas de buen
sern de baja calidad y 2 no se desarrollarn. Adems se sabe que las ganancias por cada planta de buena y
calidad es respectivamente 7 y 3 pesos. Si se siembran 100 semillas, que resultados se tendrn?

100 SEMILLAS Buena Baja No se desarrolla

CADA (10) 5 3 2
PROBABILIDAD 0.5 0.3 0.2

X Ri(1) f(x) Y Ri(2) f(x)

1 1 0.20165237 0.20165237 3 0.23955755 0.71867265
2 2 0.91663955 1.8332791 6 0.34923206 2.09539237
3 3 0.04794016 0.14382049 9 0.71015333 6.39137995
4 4 0.0883712 0.35348479 12 0.93189503 11.1827403
5 5 0.38416782 1.92083912 15 0.99452949 14.9179424
6 6 0.10306884 0.61841302 18 0.17341554 3.12147977
7 7 0.53229718 3.72608023 21 0.98136038 20.608568
8 8 0.68205437 5.45643499 24 0.74674523 17.9218854
9 9 0.79793932 7.18145386 27 0.99731375 26.9274712
10 10 0.7498068 7.49806804 30 0.75649722 22.6949165
11 11 0.95693315 10.5262647 33 0.72613369 23.9624117
12 12 0.13674532 1.64094386 36 0.3723201 13.4035235
13 13 0.95406798 12.4028838 39 0.89942121 35.0774272
14 14 0.9245696 12.9439744 42 0.18186944 7.63851653
15 15 0.68475314 10.2712972 45 0.3312282 14.9052691
16 16 0.78621076 12.5793722 48 0.92540073 44.4192351
17 17 0.97160203 16.5172346 51 0.64125845 32.7041807
18 18 0.95987616 17.2777708 54 0.6830189 36.8830207
19 19 0.26486952 5.03252082 57 0.08924602 5.08702323
20 20 0.92734549 18.5469097 60 0.40993685 24.5962109
21 21 0.21224308 4.45710478 63 0.00596712 0.37592863
22 22 0.27428277 6.03422085 66 0.06518054 4.30191568
23 23 0.33037224 7.59856146 69 0.91613292 63.2131715
24 24 0.4384196 10.5220703 72 0.52739185 37.9722133
25 25 0.29426393 7.35659816 75 0.65112733 48.8345498
26 26 0.25698992 6.68173797 78 0.17112023 13.3473782
27 27 0.59214325 15.9878676 81 0.8714457 70.5871019
28 28 0.10625823 2.97523055 84 0.10483345 8.8060098
29 29 0.16717081 4.84795353 87 0.09136834 7.94904596
30 30 0.22923432 6.87702954 90 0.35869365 32.2824283
31 31 0.99404517 30.8154003 93 0.97539667 90.71189
32 32 0.58806962 18.8182277 96 0.30830371 29.5971566
33 33 0.31165561 10.2846352 99 0.07922824 7.84359547
34 34 0.68313087 23.2264495 102 0.36903768 37.6418436
35 35 0.12778432 4.47245122 105 0.94702364 99.4374827
36 36 0.8998109 32.3931924 108 0.06205293 6.70171605
37 37 0.16174594 5.98459995 111 0.83193914 92.3452446
38 38 0.92067094 34.9854956 114 0.93308957 106.372211
39 39 0.13671222 5.3317767 117 0.69292993 81.0728017
40 40 0.22007609 8.80304347 120 0.6699448 80.3933756
41 41 0.40499387 16.6047485 123 0.20542975 25.2678592
42 42 0.52266562 21.9519562 126 0.73523753 92.6399286
43 43 0.0662291 2.84785144 129 0.3457012 44.5954545
44 44 0.40832559 17.9663262 132 0.26617589 35.1352179
45 45 0.23267054 10.4701743 135 0.21555948 29.1005292
46 46 0.9515781 43.7725925 138 0.79420061 109.599684
47 47 0.01987091 0.93393269 141 0.16512987 23.2833118
48 48 0.61918314 29.7207907 144 0.28696819 41.323419
49 49 0.54845809 26.8744463 147 0.44660315 65.6506633
50 50 0.63054549 31.5272744 150 0.33382409 50.0736128
51 51 0.76715223 39.1247637 153 0.74378422 113.798986
52 52 0.96107261 49.9757757 156 0.02577061 4.02021492
53 53 0.57729089 30.5964171 159 0.89041331 141.575716
54 54 0.33615441 18.152338 162 0.97627934 158.157253
55 55 0.24810565 13.6458109 165 0.86897764 143.38131
56 56 0.45484105 25.4710991 168 0.02233049 3.75152266
57 57 0.13195607 7.52149624 171 0.02554151 4.36759802
58 58 0.73611828 42.6948602 174 0.38284681 66.6153446
59 59 0.87608374 51.6889409 177 0.21279035 37.6638911
60 60 0.67223582 40.3341493 180 0.91474103 164.653385
61 61 0.69072186 42.1340333 183 0.83462573 152.736508
62 62 0.41429347 25.6861951 186 0.21801981 40.5516842
63 63 0.88404777 55.6950097 189 0.70011957 132.322599
64 64 0.42680566 27.3155623 192 0.85230794 163.643124
65 65 0.63164907 41.0571894 195 0.84099123 163.99329
66 66 0.97043618 64.048788 198 0.58354166 115.541248
67 67 0.96480496 64.6419321 201 0.2558345 51.4227353
68 68 0.75368181 51.2503632 204 0.18831949 38.4171768
69 69 0.33999883 23.4599192 207 0.21601018 44.7141079
70 70 0.61273665 42.8915652 210 0.13441273 28.2266731
71 71 0.62267449 44.2098889 213 0.00648903 1.38216237
72 72 0.86050862 61.9566206 216 0.20902725 45.1498859
73 73 0.76627987 55.9384306 219 0.01661535 3.63876164
 74 74 0.34725467 25.6968457 222 0.72217121 160.322009
75 75 0.36454261 27.3406955 225 0.71397404 160.644159
76 76 0.63541797 48.291766 228 0.41827634 95.3670044
77 77 0.80837893 62.2451778 231 0.39236086 90.635359
78 78 0.04362014 3.4023706 234 0.97247954 227.560212
79 79 0.4270455 33.7365942 237 0.41316148 97.9192699
80 80 0.20505209 16.4041671 240 0.75404647 180.971154
81 81 0.81347218 65.8912464 243 0.38984361 94.7319965
82 82 0.27460803 22.5178584 246 0.54311816 133.607067
83 83 0.10243333 8.50196636 249 0.76017231 189.282906
84 84 0.36469231 30.6341536 252 0.0748605 18.8648451
85 85 0.75941182 64.5500043 255 0.038296 9.76548082
86 86 0.07618783 6.55215297 258 0.84500549 218.011418
87 87 0.61241063 53.2797246 261 0.33614146 87.732921
88 88 0.59419901 52.2895126 264 0.82214927 217.047407
89 89 0.12893161 11.4749129 267 0.78621834 209.920298
90 90 0.78068272 70.261445 270 0.43848485 118.390909
91 91 0.4239693 38.5812065 273 0.68663518 187.451405
92 92 0.49186422 45.2515079 276 0.94986612 262.163048
93 93 0.74874649 69.6334232 279 0.11142073 31.0863832
94 94 0.30510646 28.6800076 282 0.62873443 177.303108
95 95 0.59136299 56.1794839 285 0.73083862 208.289006
96 96 0.99459291 95.4809196 288 0.07788794 22.4317281
97 97 0.07158426 6.94367318 291 0.8710157 253.465569
98 98 0.90123234 88.3207691 294 0.78881924 231.912857
99 99 0.79080647 78.2898404 297 0.96734263 287.300761
100 100 0.27879194 27.8791941 300 0.86650218 259.950655
#2

ertirn en plantas de buena calidad, 3

or cada planta de buena y baja
dos se tendrn?

RESULTADO DE LA SIEMBRA DE 100 SEMILLAS

DISTANCIA MODELO SELECCIN SEMILLA BUENA SEMILLA BAJA

0.20165237 1 TOTAL SEMILLA 35 38
1.8332791 2 PROBABILIDAD REAL 0.35 0.38
0.14382049 2 PROBABILIDAD TEORICA 0.5 0.3
0.35348479 2 DIFERENCIA 0.15 -0.08
1.92083912 1
0.61841302 3
3.72608023 3
5.45643499 2
7.18145386 2
7.49806804 1
10.5262647 3
1.64094386 3
12.4028838 1
12.9439744 2
10.2712972 1
12.5793722 2
16.5172346 2
17.2777708 3
5.03252082 3
18.5469097 1
4.45710478 2
6.03422085 3
7.59856146 3
10.5220703 1
7.35659816 2
6.68173797 3
15.9878676 3
2.97523055 3
4.84795353 1
6.87702954 2
30.8154003 2
18.8182277 1
10.2846352 2
23.2264495 2
4.47245122 1
32.3931924 3
5.98459995 2
34.9854956 2
5.3317767 3
8.80304347 1
16.6047485 3
21.9519562 3
2.84785144 3
17.9663262 2
10.4701743 2
43.7725925 1
0.93393269 3
29.7207907 3
26.8744463 3
31.5272744 1
39.1247637 1
49.9757757 1
30.5964171 2
18.152338 2
13.6458109 3
25.4710991 3
7.52149624 3
42.6948602 2
51.6889409 1
40.3341493 2
42.1340333 2
25.6861951 2
55.6950097 2
27.3155623 2
41.0571894 3
64.048788 3
64.6419321 1
51.2503632 3
23.4599192 3
42.8915652 2
44.2098889 3
61.9566206 2
55.9384306 1
25.6968457 3
27.3406955 3
48.291766 2
62.2451778 2
3.4023706 3
33.7365942 3
16.4041671 1
65.8912464 1
22.5178584 1
8.50196636 1
30.6341536 2
64.5500043 3
6.55215297 3
53.2797246 1
52.2895126 2
11.4749129 1
70.261445 3
38.5812065 2
45.2515079 2
69.6334232 1
28.6800076 1
56.1794839 1
95.4809196 3
6.94367318 3
88.3207691 1
78.2898404 2
27.8791941 3
E 100 SEMILLAS

NO SE DESARROLLA
27
0.27
0.2
-0.07