GASTO

MXIMO
Orden AO p(X>x) p(X<x) tr tr z
EN EL AO
(M3/S)
1 1981 60.41 0.04 0.96 26.00 -25.00 -1.77
2 2000 64.45 0.06 0.94 17.33 -16.33 -1.57

3 1998 99.92 0.08 0.92 13.00 -12.00 -1.43

4 2001 103.31 0.10 0.90 10.40 -9.40 -1.30

5 1974 130.80 0.12 0.88 8.67 -7.67 -1.20
6 1999 132.67 0.13 0.87 7.43 -6.43 -1.10
7 1955 142.00 0.15 0.85 6.50 -5.50 -1.02
8 1978 142.60 0.17 0.83 5.78 -4.78 -0.94
9 1972 142.84 0.19 0.81 5.20 -4.20 -0.87
10 1995 146.24 0.21 0.79 4.73 -3.73 -0.80
11 1989 173.70 0.23 0.77 4.33 -3.33 -0.74
12 1992 174.00 0.25 0.75 4.00 -3.00 -0.67
13 2006 184.69 0.27 0.73 3.71 -2.71 -0.62
14 1977 188.50 0.29 0.71 3.47 -2.47 -0.56
15 2009 193.15 0.31 0.69 3.25 -2.25 -0.50
16 1980 197.83 0.33 0.67 3.06 -2.06 -0.45
17 1997 210.41 0.35 0.65 2.89 -1.89 -0.40
18 1993 216.17 0.37 0.63 2.74 -1.74 -0.34
19 1991 240.72 0.38 0.62 2.60 -1.60 -0.29
20 1983 266.40 0.40 0.60 2.48 -1.48 -0.24
21 1975 269.80 0.42 0.58 2.36 -1.36 -0.19
22 2010 318.72 0.44 0.56 2.26 -1.26 -0.15
23 1965 337.70 0.46 0.54 2.17 -1.17 -0.10
24 2008 353.88 0.48 0.52 2.08 -1.08 -0.05
25 2002 360.46 0.50 0.50 2.00 -1.00 0.00
26 1958 393.71 0.52 0.48 1.93 -0.93 0.05
27 1985 395.45 0.54 0.46 1.86 -0.86 0.10
28 1959 396.56 0.56 0.44 1.79 -0.79 0.15
29 1973 402.80 0.58 0.42 1.73 -0.73 0.19
30 1966 407.00 0.60 0.40 1.68 -0.68 0.24
31 1969 415.30 0.62 0.38 1.63 -0.63 0.29
32 1988 422.79 0.63 0.37 1.58 -0.58 0.34
33 1979 427.23 0.65 0.35 1.53 -0.53 0.40
34 1994 433.03 0.67 0.33 1.49 -0.49 0.45
35 1961 435.00 0.69 0.31 1.44 -0.44 0.50
36 1971 466.00 0.71 0.29 1.41 -0.41 0.56
37 1982 466.60 0.73 0.27 1.37 -0.37 0.62
38 1957 482.50 0.75 0.25 1.33 -0.33 0.67
39 1964 486.50 0.77 0.23 1.30 -0.30 0.74
40 1987 490.00 0.79 0.21 1.27 -0.27 0.80
41 1990 493.55 0.81 0.19 1.24 -0.24 0.87
42 1962 514.00 0.83 0.17 1.21 -0.21 0.94
43 1968 515.16 0.85 0.15 1.18 -0.18 1.02
44 1960 553.00 0.87 0.13 1.16 -0.16 1.10
45 1963 570.00 0.88 0.12 1.13 -0.13 1.20
46 1984 615.28 0.90 0.10 1.11 -0.11 1.30
47 1970 704.64 0.92 0.08 1.08 -0.08 1.43
48 1986 768.00 0.94 0.06 1.06 -0.06 1.57
49 1967 768.43 0.96 0.04 1.04 -0.04 1.77
50 1976 1409.00 0.98 0.02 1.02 -0.02 2.07
51 1956 51.20 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00
52 2011 36.49 1.02 -0.02 0.98 0.02
1.00
1.00
Q m3/s (Q'-Q)^2
D.N

-70.36 17102.00 Promedio 353.2803769

-23.81 7789.71 Desv.Est. 239.5064353
Nmero de
11.73 7778.22 52
datos
41.02 3880.79
66.26 4165.32
88.67 1936.08
108.97 1091.27
127.65 223.59
145.05 4.86
161.41 230.31
176.93 10.45
191.74 314.70
205.95 451.91
219.66 971.16
232.95 1584.26
245.88 2309.24
258.50 2313.23
270.87 2991.61
283.01 1788.67
294.98 817.02
306.81 1369.69
318.52 0.04
330.15 56.94
341.73 147.51
353.28 51.59
364.83 834.28
376.41 362.82
388.04 72.63
399.75 9.29
411.58 20.95
423.55 68.01
435.70 166.67
448.06 433.92
460.68 764.37
473.61 1490.65
486.90 436.70
500.61 1156.72
514.83 1044.91
529.63 1860.44
545.15 3041.27
561.51 4618.96
578.91 4213.77
597.60 6795.56
617.90 4211.45
640.30 4942.09
665.54 2526.54
694.83 96.14
730.37 1416.01
776.93 72.19
849.04 313560.59

SUMA 7953.79
ECM 89.18
 DATOS VS DN
800.00

700.00

600.00

500.00

400.00

300.00

200.00

100.00

0.00
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
100.00

200.00

PROBABILIDAD

GASTOS AFORADOS GASTOS TEORICOS

1.00 1.20
 GASTO
MXIMO
Orden AO LNQ tr p(X>x) p(X<x) z
EN EL AO
(M3/S)

1 1981 60.41 4.10 0.04 26.00 -25.00 -1.77

2 2000 64.45 4.17 0.06 17.33 -16.33 -1.57

3 1998 99.92 4.60 0.08 13.00 -12.00 -1.43

4 2001 103.31 4.64 0.10 10.40 -9.40 -1.30
5 1974 130.80 4.87 0.12 8.67 -7.67 -1.20
6 1999 132.67 4.89 0.13 7.43 -6.43 -1.10
7 1955 142.00 4.96 0.15 6.50 -5.50 -1.02
8 1978 142.60 4.96 0.17 5.78 -4.78 -0.94
9 1972 142.84 4.96 0.19 5.20 -4.20 -0.87
10 1995 146.24 4.99 0.21 4.73 -3.73 -0.80
11 1989 173.70 5.16 0.23 4.33 -3.33 -0.74
12 1992 174.00 5.16 0.25 4.00 -3.00 -0.67
13 2006 184.69 5.22 0.27 3.71 -2.71 -0.62
14 1977 188.50 5.24 0.29 3.47 -2.47 -0.56
15 2009 193.15 5.26 0.31 3.25 -2.25 -0.50
16 1980 197.83 5.29 0.33 3.06 -2.06 -0.45
17 1997 210.41 5.35 0.35 2.89 -1.89 -0.40
18 1993 216.17 5.38 0.37 2.74 -1.74 -0.34
19 1991 240.72 5.48 0.38 2.60 -1.60 -0.29
20 1983 266.40 5.58 0.40 2.48 -1.48 -0.24
21 1975 269.80 5.60 0.42 2.36 -1.36 -0.19
22 2010 318.72 5.76 0.44 2.26 -1.26 -0.15
23 1965 337.70 5.82 0.46 2.17 -1.17 -0.10
24 2008 353.88 5.87 0.48 2.08 -1.08 -0.05
25 2002 360.46 5.89 0.50 2.00 -1.00 0.00
26 1958 393.71 5.98 0.52 1.93 -0.93 0.05
27 1985 395.45 5.98 0.54 1.86 -0.86 0.10
28 1959 396.56 5.98 0.56 1.79 -0.79 0.15
29 1973 402.80 6.00 0.58 1.73 -0.73 0.19
30 1966 407.00 6.01 0.60 1.68 -0.68 0.24
31 1969 415.30 6.03 0.62 1.63 -0.63 0.29
32 1988 422.79 6.05 0.63 1.58 -0.58 0.34
33 1979 427.23 6.06 0.65 1.53 -0.53 0.40
34 1994 433.03 6.07 0.67 1.49 -0.49 0.45
35 1961 435.00 6.08 0.69 1.44 -0.44 0.50
36 1971 466.00 6.14 0.71 1.41 -0.41 0.56
37 1982 466.60 6.15 0.73 1.37 -0.37 0.62
38 1957 482.50 6.18 0.75 1.33 -0.33 0.67
39 1964 486.50 6.19 0.77 1.30 -0.30 0.74
40 1987 490.00 6.19 0.79 1.27 -0.27 0.80
41 1990 493.55 6.20 0.81 1.24 -0.24 0.87
42 1962 514.00 6.24 0.83 1.21 -0.21 0.94
43 1968 515.16 6.24 0.85 1.18 -0.18 1.02
44 1960 553.00 6.32 0.87 1.16 -0.16 1.10
45 1963 570.00 6.35 0.88 1.13 -0.13 1.20
46 1984 615.28 6.42 0.90 1.11 -0.11 1.30
47 1970 704.64 6.56 0.92 1.08 -0.08 1.43
48 1986 768.00 6.64 0.94 1.06 -0.06 1.57
49 1967 768.43 6.64 0.96 1.04 -0.04 1.77
50 1976 1409.00 7.25 0.98 1.02 -0.02 2.07
51 1956 51.20 3.94 1.00 1.00 0.00 #VALUE!
52 2011 36.49 3.60 1.02 0.98 0.02 Err:502
LN Q m3/s Q m3/s D.LN (Q'-Q)^2
D.N

1100.00
Promedio
4.29 5.63
73.2549212 164.991999 log
Desv.Est. 0.75434303
4.44 900.00
84.8236743 415.086603 Log
4.55 94.8688221 25.5143977
4.64 104.03703 0.52566873
4.72 112.646758 329.540182 700.00

4.79 120.882757 138.844823

4.86 128.864166 172.550147

M3/S
4.92 136.673924 35.1183791 500.00
4.97 144.373328 2.33884469
5.02 152.009982 33.3273221
5.07 159.622473 198.064157 300.00
5.12 167.243297 45.5989931
5.16 174.900783 95.8679281
5.21 182.620418 34.5694811 100.00
5.25 190.425806 7.41578602
5.29 198.339384 0.2645913
0.00 0.20 0.40
5.33 206.382996 16.1813456
-100.00
5.37 214.578356 2.53332977
5.41 222.947468 315.898428
5.44 231.512998 1217.10292
5.48 240.298641 870.3302 G
5.52 249.329494 4814.90349
5.56 258.632451 6251.67736
5.59 268.236626 7334.10241
5.63 278.173846 6771.50492
5.66 288.479204 11074.3622
5.70 299.191723 9266.54157
5.74 310.355133 7431.27908
5.77 322.018835 6525.59656
5.81 334.239067 5294.15336
5.85 347.080364 4653.91876
5.89 360.617398 3864.81079
5.93 374.937325 2734.35648
5.97 390.142828 1839.6526
6.01 406.356103 820.472831
6.05 423.724188 1787.2443
6.09 442.426198 584.372726
6.14 462.683346 392.699775
6.18 484.773146 2.98202637
 6.23 509.050046 362.904264
6.28 535.976343 1799.99455
6.34 566.170095 2721.71881
6.40 600.482594 7279.94508
6.46 640.130078 7591.65041
6.53 686.932226 13673.1454
6.61 743.780251 16512.3145
6.70 815.659841 12325.4052
6.82 912.253437 20809.0542
6.96 1056.32068 82881.6217
7.19 1325.65542 6946.31849
#VALUE! #VALUE!
Err:502 Err:502
SUMA 4970.58403
ERROR 70.5023689
 DATOS VS LN

0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

PROBABILIDAD

GASTOS AFORADOS GASTOS TEORICOS

1.20
 GASTO
MXIMO
Orden AO tr p(X>x) p(X<x)
EN EL AO
(M3/S)
1 1981 60.41 0.04 26.00 -25.00 353.28 0.00283061
2 2000 64.45 0.06 17.33 -16.33 353.28 0.00283061
3 1998 99.92 0.08 13.00 -12.00 353.28 0.00283061
4 2001 103.31 0.10 10.40 -9.40 353.28 0.00283061
5 1974 130.80 0.12 8.67 -7.67 353.28 0.00283061
6 1999 132.67 0.13 7.43 -6.43 353.28 0.00283061
7 1955 142.00 0.15 6.50 -5.50 353.28 0.00283061
8 1978 142.60 0.17 5.78 -4.78 353.28 0.00283061
9 1972 142.84 0.19 5.20 -4.20 353.28 0.00283061
10 1995 146.24 0.21 4.73 -3.73 353.28 0.00283061
11 1989 173.70 0.23 4.33 -3.33 353.28 0.00283061
12 1992 174.00 0.25 4.00 -3.00 353.28 0.00283061
13 2006 184.69 0.27 3.71 -2.71 353.28 0.00283061
14 1977 188.50 0.29 3.47 -2.47 353.28 0.00283061
15 2009 193.15 0.31 3.25 -2.25 353.28 0.00283061
16 1980 197.83 0.33 3.06 -2.06 353.28 0.00283061
17 1997 210.41 0.35 2.89 -1.89 353.28 0.00283061
18 1993 216.17 0.37 2.74 -1.74 353.28 0.00283061
19 1991 240.72 0.38 2.60 -1.60 353.28 0.00283061
20 1983 266.40 0.40 2.48 -1.48 353.28 0.00283061
21 1975 269.80 0.42 2.36 -1.36 353.28 0.00283061
22 2010 318.72 0.44 2.26 -1.26 353.28 0.00283061
23 1965 337.70 0.46 2.17 -1.17 353.28 0.00283061
24 2008 353.88 0.48 2.08 -1.08 353.28 0.00283061
25 2002 360.46 0.50 2.00 -1.00 353.28 0.00283061
26 1958 393.71 0.52 1.93 -0.93 353.28 0.00283061
27 1985 395.45 0.54 1.86 -0.86 353.28 0.00283061
28 1959 396.56 0.56 1.79 -0.79 353.28 0.00283061
29 1973 402.80 0.58 1.73 -0.73 353.28 0.00283061
30 1966 407.00 0.60 1.68 -0.68 353.28 0.00283061
31 1969 415.30 0.62 1.63 -0.63 353.28 0.00283061
32 1988 422.79 0.63 1.58 -0.58 353.28 0.00283061
33 1979 427.23 0.65 1.53 -0.53 353.28 0.00283061
34 1994 433.03 0.67 1.49 -0.49 353.28 0.00283061
35 1961 435.00 0.69 1.44 -0.44 353.28 0.00283061
36 1971 466.00 0.71 1.41 -0.41 353.28 0.00283061
37 1982 466.60 0.73 1.37 -0.37 353.28 0.00283061
38 1957 482.50 0.75 1.33 -0.33 353.28 0.00283061
39 1964 486.50 0.77 1.30 -0.30 353.28 0.00283061
40 1987 490.00 0.79 1.27 -0.27 353.28 0.00283061
41 1990 493.55 0.81 1.24 -0.24 353.28 0.00283061
42 1962 514.00 0.83 1.21 -0.21 353.28 0.00283061
43 1968 515.16 0.85 1.18 -0.18 353.28 0.00283061
44 1960 553.00 0.87 1.16 -0.16 353.28 0.00283061
45 1963 570.00 0.88 1.13 -0.13 353.28 0.00283061
46 1984 615.28 0.90 1.11 -0.11 353.28 0.00283061
47 1970 704.64 0.92 1.08 -0.08 353.28 0.00283061
48 1986 768.00 0.94 1.06 -0.06 353.28 0.00283061
49 1967 768.43 0.96 1.04 -0.04 353.28 0.00283061
50 1976 1409.00 0.98 1.02 -0.02 353.28 0.00283061
51 1956 51.20 1.00 1.00 0.00 353.28 0.00283061
52 2011 36.49 1.02 0.98 0.02 353.28 0.00283061
Q M3/S EXP (Q'-Q)^2

13.8559083 2167.28345 DATOS VS D.EXP

20.9931284 1888.49969
GASTOS AFORADOS GASTOS TEORICOS
28.2775179 5132.64524
1200.00
35.7152743 4569.31733
43.3129946 7653.97612
1000.00
51.077711 6656.6489
59.01693 6886.18991 800.00
67.1386757 5694.41147
75.4515387 4541.74385 600.00
M3/S

83.9647308 3877.83552
92.6881462 6562.27237 400.00
101.632431 5236.48612
110.809061 5458.68873 200.00
120.230429 4660.73432
129.909949 3999.17758 0.00
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80
139.862167 3359.69001
PROBABILIDAD
150.102895 3636.41624
160.649361 3082.54136
171.520384 4788.72523
182.736576 6999.56847
194.320577 5697.14326
206.29733 12638.6318
218.694405 14162.3317
231.54238 14965.5146
244.875297 13360.517
258.731206 18220.3548
273.152815 14957.7266
288.188292 11744.4271
303.892227 9782.74752
320.326836 7512.23738
337.563443 6042.97222
355.684358 4502.49618
374.785246 2750.28439
394.978192 1448.24451
416.395681 346.120672
439.195874 718.461147
463.569702 9.18270544
489.750594 52.5711195
518.028112 994.021869
548.767524 3453.62193
582.438741 7901.20822
619.660543 11164.1504
661.270979 21348.4181
708.444999 24163.1478
762.90341 37211.7254
827.314038 44958.4332
906.146276 40604.7792
1007.77871 57493.8282
1151.02157 146377.077
1395.89687 171.69201

SUMA 12146.2869
ERROR 110.210194
S D.EXP
GASTOS TEORICOS

0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

ABILIDAD
 GASTO
MXIMO
Orden AO p(X>x) TR p(X<x) TR Q M3/S
EN EL AO
(M3/S)
1 2011 36.49 0.04 26.00 0.96 1.04 24.9244045
2 1956 51.20 0.06 17.33 0.94 1.06 49.7436699
3 1981 60.41 0.08 13.00 0.92 1.08 69.5957453
4 2000 64.45 0.10 10.40 0.90 1.11 86.5930251
5 1998 99.92 0.12 8.67 0.88 1.13 101.729631
6 2001 103.31 0.13 7.43 0.87 1.16 115.560124
7 1974 130.80 0.15 6.50 0.85 1.18 128.428804
8 1999 132.67 0.17 5.78 0.83 1.21 140.566017
9 1955 142.00 0.19 5.20 0.81 1.24 152.134748
10 1978 142.60 0.21 4.73 0.79 1.27 163.255525
11 1972 142.84 0.23 4.33 0.77 1.30 174.020781
12 1995 146.24 0.25 4.00 0.75 1.33 184.503645
13 1989 173.70 0.27 3.71 0.73 1.37 194.763581
14 1992 174.00 0.29 3.47 0.71 1.41 204.850165
15 2006 184.69 0.31 3.25 0.69 1.44 214.805701
16 1977 188.50 0.33 3.06 0.67 1.49 224.667094
17 2009 193.15 0.35 2.89 0.65 1.53 234.467224
18 1980 197.83 0.37 2.74 0.63 1.58 244.236002
19 1997 210.41 0.38 2.60 0.62 1.63 254.001185
20 1993 216.17 0.40 2.48 0.60 1.68 263.78904
21 1991 240.72 0.42 2.36 0.58 1.73 273.624904
22 1983 266.40 0.44 2.26 0.56 1.79 283.533666
23 1975 269.80 0.46 2.17 0.54 1.86 293.540209
24 2010 318.72 0.48 2.08 0.52 1.93 303.669827
25 1965 337.70 0.50 2.00 0.50 2.00 313.948643
26 2008 353.88 0.52 1.93 0.48 2.08 324.404041
27 2002 360.46 0.54 1.86 0.46 2.17 335.065127
28 1958 393.71 0.56 1.79 0.44 2.26 345.963251
29 1985 395.45 0.58 1.73 0.42 2.36 357.132603
30 1959 396.56 0.60 1.68 0.40 2.48 368.610912
31 1973 402.80 0.62 1.63 0.38 2.60 380.440293
32 1966 407.00 0.63 1.58 0.37 2.74 392.668289
33 1969 415.30 0.65 1.53 0.35 2.89 405.349167
34 1988 422.79 0.67 1.49 0.33 3.06 418.545571
35 1979 427.23 0.69 1.44 0.31 3.25 432.330667
36 1994 433.03 0.71 1.41 0.29 3.47 446.790948
37 1961 435.00 0.73 1.37 0.27 3.71 462.030018
38 1971 466.00 0.75 1.33 0.25 4.00 478.173753
39 1982 466.60 0.77 1.30 0.23 4.33 495.377522
40 1957 482.50 0.79 1.27 0.21 4.73 513.836559
41 1964 486.50 0.81 1.24 0.19 5.20 533.801267
42 1987 490.00 0.83 1.21 0.17 5.78 555.600612
43 1990 493.55 0.85 1.18 0.15 6.50 579.67935
44 1962 514.00 0.87 1.16 0.13 7.43 606.660219
45 1968 515.16 0.88 1.13 0.12 8.67 637.454401
46 1960 553.00 0.90 1.11 0.10 10.40 673.473601
47 1963 570.00 0.92 1.08 0.08 13.00 717.08177
48 1984 615.28 0.94 1.06 0.06 17.33 772.709247
49 1970 704.64 0.96 1.04 0.04 26.00 850.300635
50 1986 768.00 0.98 1.02 0.02 52.00 981.585664
51 1967 768.43 1.00 1.00 0.00 #DIV/0!
52 1976 1409.00 1.02 0.98 -0.02 -52.00
1.00 SUMA
1.00 ERROR
 (Q'-Q)^2

133.832402 MEDIA 353.28

2.12089731 DESVIACION ESTANDAR 239.506435
84.3779165 NMERO DE DATOS 52
490.31356 ALFA 0.00535476
3.2747639 BETA 245.502481
150.016553
5.62257077
62.4102731
102.713125 DATOS VS GUMMBLE
426.650718 1600.00
971.991701 1400.00
1464.33612 1200.00
443.84295 1000.00
951.979475 800.00
M3/S

906.835009 600.00
1308.05868 400.00

1707.19568 200.00
0.00
2153.98115 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
1900.57501 PROBABILIDAD
2267.57297
1082.66691 GASTOS AFORADOS GASTOS TEORICOS
293.562527
563.597532
226.477606
564.126945
868.596384
645.051971
2280.13401
1468.57544
781.151526
499.956483
205.397935
99.0190847
17.9727549
26.0331239
189.253611
730.621879
148.200252
828.145783
981.979945
2237.40984
4303.44036
7418.26498
8585.91613
14955.9205
14513.8884
21633.0472
24783.9677
21217.0204
45618.836

3717.42182
60.9706636
1.00 1.20
 GASTO
MXIMO
Orden AO p(X>x) TR p(X<x) TR
EN EL AO
(M3/S)
1 2011 36.49 0.04 26.00 0.96 1.04 -0.0444988
2 1956 51.20 0.06 17.33 0.94 1.06 -0.0385845
3 1981 60.41 0.08 13.00 0.92 1.08 -0.0351618
4 2000 64.45 0.10 10.40 0.90 1.11 -0.0337267
5 1998 99.92 0.12 8.67 0.88 1.13 -0.0227647
6 2001 103.31 0.13 7.43 0.87 1.16 -0.0218625
7 1974 130.80 0.15 6.50 0.85 1.18 -0.0154142
8 1999 132.67 0.17 5.78 0.83 1.21 -0.0150296
9 1955 142.00 0.19 5.20 0.81 1.24 -0.0132015
10 1978 142.60 0.21 4.73 0.79 1.27 -0.0130893
11 1972 142.84 0.23 4.33 0.77 1.30 -0.0130439
12 1995 146.24 0.25 4.00 0.75 1.33 -0.0124231
13 1989 173.70 0.27 3.71 0.73 1.37 -0.0081068
14 1992 174.00 0.29 3.47 0.71 1.41 -0.0080663
15 2006 184.69 0.31 3.25 0.69 1.44 -0.006707
16 1977 188.50 0.33 3.06 0.67 1.49 -0.0062627
17 2009 193.15 0.35 2.89 0.65 1.53 -0.0057474
18 1980 197.83 0.37 2.74 0.63 1.58 -0.0052585
19 1997 210.41 0.38 2.60 0.62 1.63 -0.0040824
20 1993 216.17 0.40 2.48 0.60 1.68 -0.0036079
21 1991 240.72 0.42 2.36 0.58 1.73 -0.0019961
22 1983 266.40 0.44 2.26 0.56 1.79 -0.0009179
23 1975 269.80 0.46 2.17 0.54 1.86 -0.0008143
24 2010 318.72 0.48 2.08 0.52 1.93 -5.7785E-05
25 1965 337.70 0.50 2.00 0.50 2.00 -5.2939E-06
26 2008 353.88 0.52 1.93 0.48 2.08 2.9577E-10
27 2002 360.46 0.54 1.86 0.46 2.17 5.1867E-07
28 1958 393.71 0.56 1.79 0.44 2.26 9.2528E-05
29 1985 395.45 0.58 1.73 0.42 2.36 0.000105
30 1959 396.56 0.60 1.68 0.40 2.48 0.00011347
31 1973 402.80 0.62 1.63 0.38 2.60 0.00016997
32 1966 407.00 0.63 1.58 0.37 2.74 0.00021699
33 1969 415.30 0.65 1.53 0.35 2.89 0.00033391
34 1988 422.79 0.67 1.49 0.33 3.06 0.00046999
35 1979 427.23 0.69 1.44 0.31 3.25 0.00056601
36 1994 433.03 0.71 1.41 0.29 3.47 0.00071006
37 1961 435.00 0.73 1.37 0.27 3.71 0.00076388
38 1971 466.00 0.75 1.33 0.25 4.00 0.00200467
39 1982 466.60 0.77 1.30 0.23 4.33 0.00203686
40 1957 482.50 0.79 1.27 0.21 4.73 0.00302016
41 1964 486.50 0.81 1.24 0.19 5.20 0.0033094
42 1987 490.00 0.83 1.21 0.17 5.78 0.00357715
43 1990 493.55 0.85 1.18 0.15 6.50 0.0038631
44 1962 514.00 0.87 1.16 0.13 7.43 0.00581101
45 1968 515.16 0.88 1.13 0.12 8.67 0.00593775
46 1960 553.00 0.90 1.11 0.10 10.40 0.01115083
47 1963 570.00 0.92 1.08 0.08 13.00 0.01424754
48 1984 615.28 0.94 1.06 0.06 17.33 0.0251737
49 1970 704.64 0.96 1.04 0.04 26.00 0.06071565
50 1986 768.00 0.98 1.02 0.02 52.00 0.09984098
51 1967 768.43 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.10015114
52 1976 1409.00 1.02 0.98 -0.02 1.64698968
SUMA 1.66094095
 interpolacio GASTO
v y (Q'-Q)^2
n TEORICO

1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.2976 0.1488 94.4786511 3362.33573

1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.3984 0.1992 104.503363 2841.24855
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.4912 0.2456 113.732464 2843.28513
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.584 0.292 122.961564 3423.60312
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.6674 0.3337 131.25582 981.933615
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.7092 0.3546 135.412893 1030.46734
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.7926 0.3963 143.707149 166.594501
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.8761 0.43805 152.01135 374.242583
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0.9596 0.4798 160.315552 335.459431
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.0431 0.52155 168.619753 677.027537
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.1265 0.56325 176.914009 1160.7655
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.21 0.605 185.21821 1519.53474
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.3028 0.6514 194.44731 430.616881
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.3956 0.6978 203.676411 880.926773
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.4884 0.7442 212.905511 796.002194
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.5812 0.7906 222.134611 1131.28706
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.674 0.837 231.363711 1460.36416
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.7668 0.8834 240.592812 1829.08571
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.8132 0.9066 245.207362 1211.16262
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.906 0.953 254.436462 1464.32211
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 1.9988 0.9994 263.665562 526.452937
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.0916 1.0458 272.894663 42.1806412
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.1844 1.0922 282.123763 151.875129
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.2772 1.1386 291.352863 748.905453
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.37 1.185 300.581963 1377.74865
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.5092 1.2546 314.425614 1556.33298
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.6484 1.3242 328.269264 1036.43663
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.7876 1.3938 342.112914 2662.67203
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 2.9268 1.4634 355.956565 1560.09478
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.066 1.533 369.800215 716.086082
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.2052 1.6026 383.643866 366.957486
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.2748 1.6374 390.565691 270.086519
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.414 1.707 404.409341 118.60645
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.5532 1.7766 418.252992 20.5391006
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.6924 1.8462 432.096642 23.6997795
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.8316 1.9158 445.940292 166.572381
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 3.9708 1.9854 459.783943 614.243816
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 4.11 2.055 473.627593 58.1801763
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 4.3953 2.19765 502.001109 1253.23854
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 4.68 2.34 530.314955 2286.26988
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 4.966 2.483 558.758087 5221.23111
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 5.2513 2.62565 587.131603 9434.54831
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 5.5366 2.7683 615.505119 14873.0511
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 5.822 2.911 643.888581 16871.0434
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 5.9646 2.9823 658.070366 20423.3727
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 6.25 3.125 686.453827 17809.9241
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 6.874 3.437 748.511571 31866.3808
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 7.498 3.749 810.569314 38137.916
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 8.426 4.213 902.860316 39291.2938
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 10 5 1059.397 84912.2088
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0 64.8818813
1.44994526 198.903023 64.8818813 3 0 64.8818813
SUMA 6198.43105
ERROR 78.7301153
Media 353.28
Desviacion estandar 239.506435

GASTO VS GASTO GAMMA

GASTO AFORADO GASTO TEORICO
1600.00
1400.00
1200.00
PROBABILIDAD

1000.00
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
M3/S
 GASTOS AFORADOS VS DISTRIBUCION
1600.00

1400.00

1200.00

1000.00

800.00
m3/s

600.00

400.00

200.00

0.00
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60

-200.00

probabilidad

GASTOS AFORADOS DISTRIBUCION NORMAL DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUCION EXPONENCIAL

OS VS DISTRIBUCIONES

0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

probabilidad

AL DISTRIBUCION EXPONENCIAL DISTRIBUCION GUMMBLE DISTRIBUCION GAMMA

DISTRIBUCIN ERROR MEDIO
CUADRATICO
NORMAL 89.18
LOG NORMAL 70.50
EXPONENCIAL 110.21
GUMMBLE 60.97
GAMMA 78.73
Concluciones.

Gummble debido a que su error cuadratico medio es el mas bajo es la funcin que debe usar.