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HIROKAZU MIYAZAKI

Research Articles

The Temporalities of the Market

ABSTRACT Social theorists' recent interest in global capitalism is partially driven by their sense of "being behind" in a changed and
changing world. It is also part of their larger efforts to critique the present. In this article, I seek to find analogues of this sense of tem-
poral incongruity between knowledge and its objects in the Tokyo financial markets. My focus is on the anxieties and hopes animating
some Japanese securities traders' life choices. I argue that these traders' differing anxieties and hopes resulted from their divergent
senses of the temporal incongruity among trading strategies, workplaces, and Japan's national location vis-a-vis the United States.
Drawing on a parallel between social theorists' and traders' efforts to generate prospective momentum in their work, I propose that
anthropologists investigate the work of temporal incongruity in knowledge formation more generally. [Keywords: time, Utopian vision,
knowledge formation, financial markets, Japan]

T HIS ARTICLE AIMS TO CONTRIBUTE to the ongo-


ing efforts in social theory to theorize and critique
the current moment of global capitalism (e.g., Carrier and
their research objects at least temporarily generates its
own prospective momentum (cf. Strathern 1981). As Ju-
dith Butler, Biddy Martin, and Robyn Wiegman have com-
Miller 1998; Comaroff and Comaroff 2000; Coronil 2000; mented for the case of queer theory, however, the very ob-
Lee and LiPuma 2002; Leyshon and Thrift 1997; Maurer jectification of these new research objects tends to undo
1995, 1999; cf. Henwood 1998; Sassen 1998; Soros 1998; this prospective momentum (see Butler 1994; Martin
Strange 1986). The novelty of financial instruments such 1994; Wiegman 1999-2000). Confronting the limits of
as futures, options, and currency swaps, and the scale and novelty as the engine of knowledge formation, social
speed of economic transactions enabled by technological theorists' impulse has been to appeal to various open-
innovation has led social theorists to suggest that capital- ended modes of inquiry designed to foreground complex-
ism has entered a new phase (cf. Thrift 1996, 2001). This ity, provisionality, and indeterminacy such as the cur-
sense of novelty, however, is problematic from an anthro- rently popular tropes of becoming and emergence (see,
pological point of view not only because, as Daniel Miller e.g., Fischer 1999; Smith and Plotnitsky 1997:8; Wiegman
has noted, new financial instruments may just be perpetu- 2000). I wish to suggest, however, that these two seem-
ating the old unequal distribution of wealth and risk ingly mutually incompatible movesa move to update
(1998:210) but also because the sense of novelty is predi- knowledge through new research objects and a move to
cated on an old theoretical problem concerning how to ac- put knowledge in perpetual motion through open-ended
cess the now (see, e.g., Bloch 1998:120; Hanks 1996: modes of inquiryhave something in common, that is,
295-296; Mead 1959; Miyazaki in press; Munn 1992; cf. an anxiety about being behind and a hope for accomplish-
Hayek 1980:77-91). Ironically, in other words, in contem- ing the impossible task of achieving simultaneity with the
plating problems posed by the crisis of the "new" capital- present moment.
ism, social theorists may already be behind, that is, their The purpose of this article is to apprehend the anxiety
contemplations may be incongruous with the temporality and hope surrounding temporal incongruity between
of the market. At the heart of social theorists' turn to fi- knowledge and its objects by turning to its analogues (cf.
nancial markets and other new research objects is a more Strathern 1981, 1996) in financial markets. In more specific
general anxiety regarding the incongruity between the terms, I examine some economic actors' own encounters
temporal orientation of their knowledge and that of the with temporal incongruity and their implications for the
changed or changing world (Fox 1991; Marcus 1999; cf. possibility of knowing and acting in the market. Drawing
Miyazaki in press). This anxiety is perhaps intrinsic to all on 16 months of fieldwork from 1997-2000 among securi-
retrospective modes of knowing such as social theory. Yet, ties traders at a major Japanese securities firm, my focus is
for practitioners of such knowledge, the very novelty of on how a particular group of Japanese securities traders

AMERICAN ANTHROPOLOGIST 1O5(2):255-265. COPYRIGHT 2003, AMERICAN ANTHROPOLOGICAL ASSOCIATION


256 American Anthropologist Vol. 105, No. 2 June 2003

came to terms with temporal incongruity of many kinds viewpoint of market participants and what uses they make
in the global financial markets. My ultimate goal is to of the incongruity.
carve out a space for a different kind of anthropological My investigation is grounded in a specific moment in
knowledge formation that finds an opportunity, rather the history of the Japanese financial markets. My field-
than a problem, in social theorists' collective sense of be- work took place in the midst of Japan's "Big Bang," or
latedness. I suggest that the explicit construction of tem- comprehensive financial deregulation, initiated by the
poral incongruity as an opportunity in financial transac- Japanese government in 1996. Under the banner of "free,
tions makes financial markets a particularly suitable site fair, and global," the government and news media pro-
for such exploration. moted a new set of standards for market practices, which
It is important to note that by temporal incongruity I they described as global standards (see Dore 1999). In-
do not simply mean the accelerated speed and simultaneity deed, during this period, in order to demonstrate its ad-
of financial transactions enabled by new electronic tech- herence to these new principles, the government allowed
nologies. In this sense, my approach to the problem of a number of prominent financial institutions to fail. Ja-
temporal incongruity in the market does not derive from pan's so-called convoy or fleet of mutually protecting bu-
the long-standing debate about the contradiction between reaucrats and corporations (see Johnson 1982) and keiretsu,
the old and new notions of time in the market (e.g., E. P. (or alliances of corporations [see Gerlach 1992]), once
Thompson's well-known discussion of "time-discipline" in celebrated as the secret of Japan's economic success, were
industrial capitalism as a radical departure from the concep- falling apart (see Katz 1998). Likewise, during this period,
tion of time in the preindustrial world; see Thompson 1967; Japanese corporations were abandoning longstanding prac-
cf. Postone 1996:186-225). My claim is that this popular tices of permanent employment-1
representation of financial trading as cause and effect of From 1997-2000, I was able to follow members of a
the ever increasing speed of exchange was actually very trading team at a securities firm I call Sekai Securities. The
distant from Japanese securities traders' own experience of team was a proprietary trading team, that is, a team de-
their work. What was salient from their point of view, voted to investing the firm's own assets in various mar-
rather, was the intersecting temporal orientations of fi- kets. In the midst of my fieldwork in 1998, Sekai Securities
nancial instruments, trading strategies, workplaces, and announced that it was to be taken over by a major U.S. fi-
Japan's location vis-a-vis the United States that came to- nancial conglomerate and that the merger would take
gether in traders' life choices. place in 1999. During the fall of 1998, I spent each day in
My attention to this temporal nexus of entities of dif- the team's trading room as negotiations proceeded with
ferent domains derives from recent efforts in science and the U.S. conglomerate concerning plans for the firm's re-
technology studies to examine the process by which dif- organization. Finally, in late 1998, Sekai offered each of its
ferent properties and possibilities of machines, concepts, employees aged 40 years or older an early retirement pack-
and other artifacts, temporal and otherwise, converge and age and encouraged them to leave the firm. By the spring
diverge, or are foregrounded and backgiounded over time of 1999, the team had been disbanded and many of its
(see, in particular, Callon 1998; Latour and Woolgar 1986; members aged 40 or older had accepted the package and
Pickering 1995). In particular, my approach to Japanese se- left the firm. Some younger traders had also moved to for-
curities traders' experience of temporal incongruity resonates eign securities firms or to other Japanese financial institu-
with Sharon Traweek's study of high-energy physicists' ex- tions. For 12 months from August 1999 to July 2000, I fol-
perience of incongruity between "the negotiable and cu- lowed the former members of the team as they sought out
mulative 'beamtime'pulses of the accelerator beam other opportunities in Tokyo or, in some cases, remained
and the intractable and limited lifetimes of their careers, in nontrading sections of Sekai Securities. This article
their detectors, and their ideas" (1988:xi). In more concrete draws, therefore, on these traders' shifting views of the
terms, my concern with temporal incongruity focuses on market during these tumultuous four years.
the intersecting temporal properties and possibilities con- The focus of my discussion is on Sekai traders' analogi-
tained in certain economic concepts and practices. Both cal extension of certain features of arbitrage trading to other
Karin Knorr Cetina and Urs Bruegger's study of currency facets of their life, and on various forms of temporal in-
traders in Zurich and Theodore Bestor's study of the congruity exposed in this process. Arbitrage is a kind of
Tsukiji seafood market have drawn attention to the prob- trading that seeks to exploit differences in the price of a
lem of "coordination" with regard to intersecting tempo- single asset in two different markets. Whereas speculators
ralities, or what Bestor terms "timescapes," in the global bet on the future direction of the price of an asset, arbitra-
flow of capital and commodities (Bestor 2001:92; Knorr geurs typically aim to lock in profits by simultaneously
Cetina and Bruegger 2000:162-163). In contrast to these selling and buying the same asset in the two markets in
studies, however, my focus is rather on the situation in which the asset is traded at different prices. The introduc-
which the different temporal properties of economic knowl- tion of new financial instruments such as futures and op-
edge and action become visible to actors themselves. tions2 in the late 1980s created numerous arbitrage oppor-
What is at stake, in other words, is the question of when tunities3 and it was in this environment that most of the
and how temporal incongruity becomes evident from the Sekai traders I knew had learned to trade. By the late
Miyazaki The Temporalities of the Market 257

1990s, arbitrage had become a popular metaphor among Beginning in 1988, the Futures and Options Promo-
Sekai traders for contemplating their life decisions. tion Team hired several mathematicians and engineers
It is important to note at this point that arbitrage is from manufacturing companies and graduate programs.
predicated on a faith in the market's inherent propensity These scientists set themselves to studying U.S. academic
toward a state of equilibrium. Secondly, it is assumed that articles about the complex workings of financial products
arbitrage plays an important role in facilitating this pro- and translated a number of these into Japanese. This pro-
pensity by taking advantage of price discrepancies in the ject coincided with and participated in a number of the
market. In other words, the act of arbitrage reduces arbi- firm's projects aimed at catching up with U.S. investment
trage opportunities. Arguably, this faith is premised on banks. For example, Sekai Securities established a research
false assumptions about market realities (see Soros 1998 center in California through which it funded a number of
for a critique of the economic rationale of arbitrage). How- U.S. finance professors' research, and it invited these pro-
ever, the arbitrageurs I knew understood this market pro- fessors to supervise its traders and analysts. Sekai also
pensity toward equilibrium to be a fact. formed a partnership with a Chicago-based options trad-
For the present purpose, what are crucial are the im- ing firm and brought U.S. traders to Sekai's trading room
plications of this faith for the temporal orientation of so that Sekai traders might observe these U.S. trading prac-
their practice. To the extent that arbitrage assumes the tices.
market's propensity toward a future moment of equilib- The animating ambition for all of these projects was
rium, a moment when, by definition, arbitrage opportuni- an appreciation of the time lag between Japanese and U.S.
ties will have disappeared, arbitrage trading demands an markets concerning the launching of new financial instru-
orientation toward a moment of its own erasure. In what ments, and between Japanese and U.S. firms concerning
follows, I turn to the Sekai trading team's history and in- expertise about these products. The outer frame of the
vestigate how this temporal feature of arbitrage has inter- Sekai proprietary trading team's activities, in other words,
sected with the temporal orientations of Japanese work- was the temporal orientation of modern Japan as in step
places embedded, for example, in the practice of with and yet behind the United States. As in the manufac-
permanent employment, or again in Japanese corpora- turing sector, this temporal orientation was experienced
tions' collective determination to "catch up" with and ex- in the modalities of learning by copying, and adapting.6
ceed their U.S. counterparts by borrowing, adapting, and Hence there was a doubleness to this time lag: In being be-
refining U.S. technology and knowledge. My focus is on hind the United States and, hence, in making of the
how a sense of temporal incongruity generated at these in- United States a model, Sekai and other financial firms
tersections has in turn resulted in divergent anxieties and were also being behind and making a model of the Japa-
hopes. nese manufacturing firms whose successes had led to the
glories of the bubble years. In retrospect, however, traders
BEING BEHIND were to conclude that the act of copying posed particular
Sekai's proprietary trading team was established in 1987 at temporal problems for finance that did not exist for the
the time of Japan's bubble economy. At that time the Japa- production of cars or transistors, for example. It is to these
nese economy as a whole seemed poised to take over a incongruities between the wider Japanese temporal orien-
leadership role in the global economy owing to the tation of being behind, and the temporal orientation of
strength of the Japanese manufacturing sector. Neverthe- the financial market that I now turn.
less, those within the financial industry saw themselves as
lagging far behind their U.S. counterparts. The 1980s saw THE TEMPORAL CONSEQUENCES OF COPYING
the Japanese government and financial industry strug- The founder of the Futures and Options Promotion Team,
gling to catch up. In particular, the Tokyo Stock Exchange Aoki, was familiar with U.S. investment banks' proprietary
launched trading in Japanese Government Bond futures in operations. Aoki had been posted to Sekai's New York of-
1985,4 and the Tokyo and Osaka Stock Exchanges intro- fice in the 1980s when proprietary trading was the most
duced stock index futures in 1988.s profitable activity of U.S. investment banks. At that time,
At the outset, the stated objective of Sekai's proprie- several U.S. investment banks had tried to hire him away
tary trading team, officially known as the "Futures and from Sekai, but as a former anti-Vietnam War activist with
Options Promotion Team," was to educate Japanese insti- nationalist tendencies, Aoki did not want to work for a
tutional investors such as banks and insurance companies U.S. firm. Aoki's ambition, rather, was to copy and exceed
about the uses of new financial instruments such as stock U.S. proprietary trading practices in Japan. Toward this
index futures and options. Another objective was to acquire end, Aoki assembled a team of young scientists and set
what they termed "know-how" (no-hau) from U.S. traders. them to learning all they could from the Americans.
In the late 1980s, Sekai Securities sent a number of employ- Under Aoki's leadership, Sekai's Futures and Options
ees to work as trainees at futures brokerage firms in Chicago. Promotion Team launched index arbitrage operations in
These trainees returned to Tokyo with an understanding of October 1988, only a few weeks after U.S. investment
the general workings of the U.S. futures markets- banks began their own arbitrage operations in Japan- Soon
258 American Anthropologist Vol. 105, No. 2 June 2003

after futures on the Nikkei 225 Index were launched at the of arbitrage required. The forms were in turn transferred to
Osaka Stock Exchange in 1988, U.S. investment banks in another section of the firm and eventually transmitted to
Japan had noticed that this newly established market was the stock exchange. Each time they did so, however, they
highly "inefficient" and, hence, that the index futures found that foreign firms had beaten them to their goal. In
were largely "mispriced" (cf. Adachi and Kurasawa 1993). index arbitrage, the time it took to execute orders to buy
In other words, this market presented numerous arbitrage the basket of individual stocks that corresponded to the
opportunities (Avril 2001:101; Dattel 1994:192-193; see index made all the difference. Sekai traders suspected that
also Brenner et al. 1991a, 1991b). Aoki assigned the task of U.S. investment banks had beaten them by illegally con-
developing arbitrage strategies to a mathematician who necting their computers to the exchange. As Aoki told me
had recently joined Sekai Securities from the University of in retrospect,
Tokyo's doctoral program and a recent college graduate
Foreign capital is go-getting. They look for prey. They
with a background in engineering. The arbitrage team have that instinct. The Japanese body doesn't know that
grew quickly with the recruitment of more young scien- instinct. Americans, the animals, have that instinct. They
tists. just look at Japan as a place with a lot of prey. Americans
Acting on such arbitrage opportunities was predicated will do what would be illegal in the U.S. markets in the
on certain assumptions about the nature of the relation- Tokyo market, while we Japanese cannot do it. Those
Japanese who move to foreign firms do the same. So
ship between the futures and cash markets. Index arbi- maybe it's Japanese culture [that holds us back], [personal
trage in the Japanese markets at the time typically entailed communication with author, October 1, 1998]
simultaneously taking a short (selling) position in the Nik-
kei 225 Index futures market and a long (buying) position More importantly, it was common knowledge that
in all 225 stocks that made up the index at the particular more participants meant less profit: More arbitrage would
moment at which the price of the index future exceeded reduce available arbitrage opportunities. Arbitrage oppor-
its theoretical value. The calculation of the theoretical tunities are moments at which assets are "mispriced" rela-
value of an index future was usually based on the value of tive to their theoretical value. However, this theoretical
the underlying basket of stocks that made up the index value is in turn predicated on the so-called efficient mar-
and transaction costs and taxes associated with the execu- ket hypothesis. The hypothesis is that if market partici-
tion of arbitrage (see Avril 2001:95-96). Generally speak- pants are behaving rationally, the market will quickly ab-
ing, traders regarded such index arbitrage as a risk-free op- sorb information about price disparities and correct itself.
eration because at the settlement date of the futures In this hypothesis, arbitrage is what makes the market effi-
contract, the value of the futures contract became identi- cient, therefore, but in the process arbitrage also closes off
cal to the value of the underlying basket of stocks, that is, its own arbitrage opportunities.
the value of all stocks that made up the index. Sekai traders' understanding of arbitrage resonates
Sekai's traders soon came to believe, however, that with Donald MacKenzie's observation that finance theory
they could not compete with U.S. investment banks in ar- is "performative," that is, that "finance theory itself [plays]
bitrage. First, the traders complained that management at an important role in its assumptions becoming more real-
Sekai did not understand arbitrage and regularly interfered istic" (2001:133). The proposition that arbitrage opportu-
with their activities- In Sekai, as in many other Japanese nities in the Nikkei 225 Index futures market disappeared
securities firms, the management did not value proprie- because of the increase in the number of arbitrageurs in
tary trading and sided with the firm's sales forces when that market is traders' own interpretation of events and
there was a conflict between the proprietary trading team like all interpretations cannot be read transparently as
and the firm's sales forces (and their clients)/ As a result, "fact." What is important for the present purpose, how-
the traders in the proprietary trading team were often ever, is the problem of how traders' own understanding of
forced to close their positions prematurely because of mo- arbitrage in turn made explicit to them incongruity be-
mentary loss caused by an unexpected movement in the tween the temporal orientation of their mode of engage-
market even though they believed that eventually they ment with the market, specifically, being behind, and that
would regain their positions.8 As one trader recollected, of arbitrage.
"We were just watching how foreign firms [gaishi] col- Sekai traders' understanding of arbitrage contained
lected money so easily after we closed our positions pre- within itself a particular temporal orientation. As soon as
maturely. [The traders at foreign firms] were so different. arbitrage opportunities arise, it was assumed, all rational
They could take huge risks. We were not like them" (per- actors would seize on them. Under this assumption, the mo-
sonal communication with author, February 28, 2000). ment of the arbitrage opportunity, then, is instantaneous
The traders faced other practical problems in import- and immediately foreclosed. What I wish to emphasize is
ing the U.S. arbitrage market to Japan. Because of stock ex- that the temporal orientation of arbitrage had a particular
change rules that prohibited traders from linking up directly implication for traders' wider temporal orientation of be-
with the information system at the exchange, traders and ing behind U.S. firms. In other markets from electronics to
their part-time assistants were forced to fill out individual automobiles, in which Japanese firms had found success
order forms for the hundreds of stock purchases each act in the temporal oiientation of being behind and had
Miyazaki The Temporalities of the Market 259

placed their hope in the fact that one could maintain such described to me as his "escape" (tohi) (personal communi-
a position, in arbitrage such a temporal orientation was cation with author, March 16, 2000) to complexity lay in
patently impossible- If the temporal orientation of arbi- the temporal orientation options trading shared with arbi-
trage was incongruous with the temporal orientation of trage. Where speculation required predicting the future of
being behind, however, Sekai's traders soon discovered market movements, arbitrage was agnostic about where
that arbitrage contained within itself other temporal pos- the market would go but entailed a faith that whatever its
sibilities- It is to these possibilities that I now turn. future position would be, it would be a position of equilib-
rium and efficiency. One could say that arbitrage repre-
REFINEMENT sented an anticipation of retrospectiona moment at which
the ending point would be given. For believers in the effi-
At the outset, this problem of what traders understood to
cient market hypothesis, anomalies, that is, arbitrage oppor-
be the self-closing propensity of arbitrage led them to seek tunities, are moments that are predestined to reach clo-
out ever more hidden arbitrage opportunities. When arbi- sure. In their opinion, finding such anomalies was a much
trage opportunities disappeared on the Nikkei 225 Index, more complex intellectual process than engineering rules
for example, their attention shifted to another index, the for predicting the future, and, for them, there lay the appeal.
TOPIX Index. The appeal of TOPIX, as compared to the As I have described, therefore, the orientation of arbi-
Nikkei 225, lay in its complexity. Unlike the Nikkei 225, trage toward self-closure, that is, the fact that arbitrage
which reflects the value of 225 stocks on the Tokyo Stock theoretically facilitates the market's propensity towards an
Exchange, the value of the TOPIX is based on the value of arbitrage-free state of equilibrium, has an associated pro-
all the stocks traded at the Exchange. Because it would be pensity for complexity. This turn to complexity in turn
impossible to buy all the stocks on the index, as the trad- has an interesting relationship to the temporality of being
ers had done with the 225 stocks that made up the Nikkei behind. If, as I have described, there was an incongruity
225, arbitrage in TOPIX required a far more complex between the temporality of being behind and the orienta-
method of replication: In order to find arbitrage opportu- tion of arbitrage toward self-closure, the drive for com-
nities, the traders would have to construct a basket of se- plexity that followed from arbitrage's propensity for self-
lected stocks that would move in price in the same way as closure had affinity with the temporal orientation of being
the index as a wholethey would have to replicate the in- behind. That is, the refinement of modeling that this turn
dex virtually. This demanded complex computer simula- to complexity required was an extension of the strategy of
tions and statistical modeling. It was in this complexity learning and copying that had always followed from being
that Sekai traders placed their hopes for success. From behind. This strategy is predicated on a linear cumulative
1992-95, they spent much effort and time researching form of knowledge formation. In the Sekai traders' com-
how to construct the best basket of stocks for TOPIX arbi- mon understanding, it was precisely this strategy of refine-
trage trading. ment that had been the secret of Japan's economic success
It is necessary to say something at this point about the in the postwar era (see Rohlen 1992). For them, therefore,
appeal of complexity for the traders I knew. Unlike their the appeal of arbitrage trading lay in stretching one aspect,
foreign counterparts, who habitually received a share of one of its propensitiesits propensity for complexity
the profits they earned, Sekai traders received no financial and backgrounding arbitrage's propensity for self-closure.
incentives. Their wages were calculated according to sen-
iority, and their jobs were secure. Their intense motivation IMPROVISATION
to succeed, therefore, stemmed from their commitment to
In retrospect, however, for some Sekai traders, the fit be-
knowledge and their sense of competition (cf. Cole 1979;
tween the propensity for refinement in the temporal ori-
Nonaka and Takeuchi 1995; Vogel 1979). It is here that
entation of being behind and the propensity for complex-
the complexity of arbitrage trading had its appeal. In
ity in arbitrage foiled their successes. Tanaka, one of the
1991, for example, Koyama, a trader in the team, devel-
Sekai traders involved in developing arbitrage strategies,
oped a computer model for forecasting the movements of
moved to a French securities firm in 1998. To his surprise,
the Nikkei 225 Index futures market. The program proved
he discovered that traders at foreign firms were not par-
very successful, and the firm's management, delighted
ticularly interested in constructing complex models:
with the results, asked Koyama to develop further pro-
grams of the same kind for other indexes. Koyama refused. Japanese traders tend to examine their trading model very
As he recalled in 2000, "Rules for futures trading are too carefully, like people at manufacturing companies used to
easy. . . . It is all about how to handle past market data. As do when they developed vacuum cleaners. Japanese are
really good at it and are content to say that they are simply
a game, it was not so interesting" (personal communica- trying hard whether they make or lose money. To tell you
tion with author, February 28, 2000). For Koyama, the the truth, that kind of attitude does not take you too far in
limits of technical analysis consisted in its simplicity. In- the world of derivatives. In fact, foreign firms have knowl-
stead, he turned to options trading, a form of trading edge of all the fancy theories about trading but we traders
predicated on the concept of arbitrage rather than the pre- [at foreign firms] do not pay attention to half of what we
diction of market movements.9 The appeal of what Koyama are told about those theories. We just keep repeating
whatever method has been effective [When I was at
260 American Anthropologist Vol. 105, No. 2 June 2003

Sekai,] a senior trader lost a million dollars in a single day trader, but he told me that he had lost interest in trading
and our boss was summoned by the firm's executives. Our because he had found the market limiting:
boss came back and told the trader to present a paper list-
ing points for improvement in his trading method. Here There is something deeper in the world of stocks than
[in a foreign firm] one just loses one's job if one loses trading, and that is growth. This is a much deeper world
money.. . . Sekai traders have placed too much emphasis than the world of winning and losing. .. . Trading is al-
on theories. There is no point in Studying theories. Theo- ways about yourself. . .. The time span of trading is two
ries exist for the purpose of making money. There is no to three weeks at the longest. The market moves every
point in refining one's trading model just for the sake of day. There is no time for self-reflection. Investing in busi-
its refinement, [personal communication with author, ness enterprises is different. The real question is whether
May 16, 2000] these business enterprises will grow.. . . Trading is fun be-
cause every day you get results [from your actions]. Even
In contrast, trading at a foreign firm was like jazz im- if you don't think or don't act, you can make yourself be-
provisation, according to Tanaka. When something ceased lieve that you are working because the market moves [and
to work, or when arbitrage opportunities were foreclosed, generates results.]... [In contrast,] in this world of invest-
ment, unless you move, nothing happens, [personal com-
foreign traders just tried something else. I want to empha- munication with author, May 16, 2000]
size here that the contrast Tanaka drew between refine-
ment and improvisation, as modalities of trading, was a In different ways, both Sudo and Nonaka pointed to
contrast between temporal orientations. Japanese traders' the alienating effect of securities trading. What generated
attraction to complex models was an effort to extend the this sense of alienation for them was neither the pace of
temporal orientation of being behind that had worked so the market nor its level of abstraction, but the incongruity
well for production and that was predicated on a correla- between the temporal orientation of work in the Japanese
tion between time spent and achievements. In contrast, context and the continually self-closing character of trad-
Tanaka's allusion to jazz improvisation reflected his acute ing. Sudo and Nonaka sought to ground their work in an-
sense of the irrelevance of such cumulative time to the fi- other kind of temporal orientation, that of personal and
nancial market and "the purpose of making money." If corporate growth. I now want to turn to one final alterna-
the strategy of refinement had an academic orientation tive contained within the temporal orientation of arbi-
(cf. Bernstein 1992:292-293), Tanaka's rendering of trad- trage, and embodied in the life choices of the team's
leader, who rather than abandoning arbitrage, sought to
ing as improvisation emphasized an artistic quality in
extend its Utopian possibilities.
which every moment was unique and succeeded or failed
for itself.
THE ONTOLOGY OF NOT-YET
GROWTH In early 1999, at the age of 47, Tada left Sekai and the
Japanese corporate world altogether. He entered into a
Tanaka's awareness of the incongruity between the tem-
partnership with a young Japanese trader who had just re-
poral orientation of the Japanese workplace and the finan-
turned to Japan from working at a U.S. investment bank in
cial market reflected a broader sense shared by other mem-
New York. Given Tada's age and standing in the Japanese
bers of the team that the time spent at work was decoupled
financial markets, the partnership itself defied Japanese
from its effects. By 1998, many of the members of the ideas of seniority, and this defiance was amplified in the
team had stopped trading altogether. Sudo left the firm in informal, ad hoc character of their business. Unlike other
early 1998 for a foreign consulting firm in which he pro- members of the team, Tada was single, and he emphasized
vided advice to securities firms on matters such as reor- that he had no financial obligations or expensive desires:
ganization, employment, and other aspects of their busi- "I could just be farming," he told me (personal communi-
ness unrelated to trading. In 2000, he recalled: cation with author, January 15, 2000). Working out of a
In 1997, the market was [so volatile] that 1 realized that small office, Tada used his substantial personal contacts to
the outcome of one's trading depended on one's sheer gather information about businesses of all kindsfrom
luck or innate talent. Sometimes I would go to the toilet cosmetics to used cars to fast food stands selling takoyaki
and come back to my desk to find that my gains had tri- (fried octopus), in search of potential investment opportu-
pled or quadrupled or that 1 had made huge losses. When
I thought that I had devoted my life to this kind of profes- nities.
sion, I felt empty. . . . In this profession, the length of Tada told me that his new business enterprise was
one's experience does not contribute to one's value. I "just like arbitrage" (personal communication with author,
thought that it might be better to move to a profession June 23, 2000) and his approach to investment was an ex-
where one's skills correlate to the time and efforts one has tension of his acutely developed arbitrage sensibility. His
spent, [personal communication with author, February
14, 2000] task was to discover what appeared to be mispriced invest-
ments wherever they might be. For example, he pointed
Nonaka, another member of the team, remained at out to me that memberships in golf courses in Japan are
Sekai after the team was disbanded but was transferred to a extremely expensive (and, hence, mispriced) and predi-
newly established section devoted to invest in start-up cated on norms of exclusivity, prestige, and hierarchy,
companies. Nonaka had been a particularly successful which, he asserted, have no intrinsic economic value.
Miyazaki The Temporalities of the Market 261

And, yet, he pointed out, many golf courses are in poor fi- possibility for the efficient market that, in turn, vanishes
nancial condition because of poor management. Why not the arbitrageur.
buy golf courses, he suggested with excitement, manage The dislocation of arbitrage from a market of arbitra-
them efficiently, and sell memberships to the public at geurs, such as the stock index futures market, to a market
large, thereby at once turning a profit and dealing a blow without arbitrageurs, such as the market for golf courses
to the irrational Japanese propensity to overvalue status? and religions, had a particular effect on the temporal ori-
However, there were some important differences be- entation of arbitrage. Where there were no other arbitra-
tween the arbitraging of index futures prices and the "arbi- geurs, the propensity of arbitrage for self-closure was
traging" of golf club memberships. First, strictly speaking, stretched out over time, since there was no competition
the latter is not really arbitrage. Arbitrage typically entails among arbitrageurs to snap up existing market anomalies.
a simultaneous execution of orders to sell and buy a single Under this condition, the agency of the invisible hand was
asset in two markets where the asset is traded at different assumed by Tada, since he alone corrected the market. As
prices. However, there is no market for golf club member- he told me, "my dream is to cast a net over the whole
ship futures. Behind Tada's use of arbitrage as a metaphor world, and to catch it all, in one fell swoop [ichimodajin]"
for his new adventure, in other words, was his effort to ex- (personal communication with author, June 23, 2000).
tend only one feature of arbitrage beyond the securities What is critical here for the present purpose is Tada's he-
markets, that is, its ostensible role in bringing the market roic conception of his mission to drive the market to its
into a state of equilibrium. Tada's accomplishment, in ex- own end.
tending arbitrage beyond finance, lay in his ability to strip Tada's analogical extension of arbitrage makes possi-
it down to a most simple orientation, or move, which ble some wider observations about the particular temporal
could be repeated in an infinite number of contexts. orientation of Utopian thought. As I have shown, the pos-
Tada's motivation for extending arbitrage to the mar- sibility of arbitrage rests on traders' perpetual efforts to lo-
ket, and even to society at large, lay in his faith that by cate gaps between actual and ideal prices. As Paul Ricoeur
making things efficient he was doing good. One late night has pointed out, Utopian thought depends on the mainte-
after many drinks over which I had described to him my nance of a gap between reality and the ideal (1986:
earlier work on the character of faith among Fijian Chris- 179-180; cf. Fox 1989:33; Mannheim 1985). From my
tians (Miyazaki 2000), he suddenly became excited. He point of view, what is more interesting is that by virtue of
told me that his ultimate dream was "to help people" (per- its emphasis on incompleteness, this Utopian gap gives the
sonal communication with author, March 24, 2000), and present moment a future orientation. It is this temporal
that he believed that this could be done by providing peo- orientation of the incomplete present, as it anticipates the
ple with a true religion, one that, unlike all the religions eschatological moment of market efficiency, which gives
that existed in Japan, did not overcharge their followers. arbitrage its Utopian propensity. In this sense, the present
In Japan, he explained, it is difficult to obtain tax-exempt moment of arbitrage entails what Ernst Bloch calls the on-
status for a new religion, but he had learned that if one tology of "not-yet" and a propensity for completion
were to buy an existing religion, one would also acquire its (1986:11).10 Like the task of Walter Benjamin's messianic
tax-exempt status. He had already identified several mis- historian who facilitates the fulfilment of unfulfilled hope
managed religions now in financial trouble. Why not buy in the past (1992:247; cf. Szondi 1986),11 the arbitrageur
one of these together, he proposed to me, and found a re- generates prospective momentum in the present by expos-
ligion on the Internet, based on my theory of faith, that ing a gap between realities and the ideal. My claim is that
would provide a religious product at an efficient price, such prospective momentum is a temporal feature of Uto-
and, hence, fulfill his dream of helping people while also pian thought of all kinds.12
turning a profit? I have examined a variety of techniques by which a
As Tada's image of arbitrage as a way of life and a particular group of Japanese securities traders sought to re-
blueprint for a better society suggests, arbitrage contains orient their knowledge in response to temporal incongrui-
within itself a particular Utopian visiona vision of effi- ties of many kinds. I have suggested that these temporal
cient markets in the form of correct prices. As I have ex- incongruities in turn derived from the intersecting tempo-
plained, the calculations inherent in arbitrage are predi- ralities of financial instruments, market strategies, organ-
cated on an assumption, a faith, that efficient markets will izational practices, and personal life choices. Yet, from a
develop, and hence that equilibrium will be reached at a broader perspective, it can also be said that temporal in-
future point. There is a recursive dimension to this faith congruity was already inherent in the Japanese self-loca-
because in acting upon this assumption through his ac- tion of being behind. The growth of the postwar Japanese
tions in the market, the arbitrageur helps the market to re- economy predicated on production has rested on a perva-
alize its inherent orientation toward efficiency. In other sive strategy of copying U.S. firms and exceeding them.
words, what is at stake is a particular self-image, of the ar- What is interesting about debates about capitalism in Ja-
bitrageur as both swept up in the "invisible hand" and part pan at the end of the 20th century, however, that finan-
of its agency (cf. Miyazaki 2000). In this view, the exist- cial transactions seemed to have replaced production as
ence of the arbitrageur as rational actor is the condition of the perceived engine of the economy (cf. Comaroff and
262 American Anthropologist Vol. 105, No. 2 June 2003

Comaroff 2000; Lee and LiPuma 2002). From the point of resulted from and, in turn, has intensified their own col-
view of the argument presented in this article, it can be lective sense of a temporal incongruity between their
said that at the very moment at which Japanese firms' col- knowledge and its object of contemplation, the market. In
lective determination to catch up with their U.S. counter- this article, my response to this condition has been to
parts had produced such spectacular economic growth point to analogues of such a sense of temporal incongruity
that it threatened to foreclose the very gap that had sus- in the financial markets themselves. I have argued that the
tained its own prospective momentum, finance replaced traders I knew generated prospective momentum in their
production and, thereby, recreated a temporal gap be- work precisely by reorienting the temporality of their work
tween reality and the ideal, between Japan and its model, so as to continually re-create various forms of temporal in-
"the United States," and once again situated Japan as "be- congruity. These analogues to the problems of social the-
ing behind." The temporal gap that had served as Japanese ory would suggest that the task of social theorists must be
firms' ontological foundation had been recreated. not so much to find new objects of contemplation on the
The example of Sekai's proprietary trading team show- constantly receding horizon of the new, such as financial
cases the encounter between this wider temporal gap that markets, as to reflect on the work of temporal incongruity
defined the Japanese condition as it was recreated in the as an engine of knowledge formation, more generally.
late 1980s and the particular temporal orientations of se-
curities trading. What compelled the Japanese traders I
knew to make these diverse life choices was not the in- HIROKAZU MIYAZAKI Department of Anthropology, Cornell
creased speed of economic transactions nor the associated University, Ithaca, NY 14853
heightened degree of abstraction and alienation of labor
from production process (cf. Carrier and Miller 1998). NOTES
Rather, it was the temporal incongruity deriving from the Acknowledgments. This article draws on a total of 16 months of
fieldwork among the members of a trading team of a major Japa-
intersecting temporalities of Japan's temporal location vis- nese securities firm in Tokyo from August to September 1997, from
a-vis the United States, of the Japanese workplace, and of September to November 1998, and from August 1999 to July 2000.
trading strategies themselves. As I have shown, for differ- The research was conducted under the auspices of the American
ent members of the team, the articulations of these tem- Bar Foundation. The 1999-2000 research was also supported by the
Abe Fellowship Program of the Social Science Research Council
poral orientations resulted in the emergence of a variety of and the American Council of Learned Society with funds provided
desires and possibilities such as a fantasy of refinement, an by the Japan Foundation Center for Global Partnership. I thank the
orientation towards improvisation, an interest in personal members of the trading team for their patience and interest. An
earlier version of this article was presented at the University of Chi-
and economic growth, and, finally, a faith in the possibil- cago, Cornell University, and the 2001 Annual Meeting of the
ity of the extension of arbitrage to economy, self, and soci- American Anthropological Association in Washington, D.C. I
ety at large. In extending certain temporal features of arbi- thank those who commented on my paper at these occasions, es-
pecially Andrew Apter, Jean Comaroff, John Comaroff, Webb
trage to all aspects of social life, Tada and other former Keane, Danilyn Rutherford, Steve Sangren, Terrence Turner, and
arbitragers exposed temporal incongruities in the market Katherine Verdery. Special thanks are due to Bernard Bate, Jane
and in turn once again generated hope for themselves in Campion, Jae Chung, Davydd Greenwood, Jane Guyer, Michael
Silverstein, and, especially, Annelise Riles for their extremely help-
an increasingly hopeless market. My argument has been ful comments on an earlier draft of the article. I also benefited very
that all of these efforts at temporal Teorientation resulted much from careful reading of the AA editors-in-chief Fran Mascia-
from efforts to maintain prospective momentum in trad- Lees and Susan Lees and the three reviewers, two of whom identi-
fied themselves as Bill Maurer and Ellen Hertz.
ers' work as it continually foreclosed its own source, that
1. This is not the first time Japanese corporations have deviated
is, what I have termed "temporal incongruity." Japanese from the so-called permanent employment system. See Rohlen
securities traders' experience of arbitrage trading points to 1979 for his discussion of Japanese corporations' employment
a need for attention to the specific configuration of tem- strategies during the recession of the 1970s. David Plath and others
poral possibilities and constraints in the formation of eco- also have shown that the temporal dimension of Japanese workers'
career choices is much more complex than the "permanent" in the
nomic knowledge. For social theorists, capturing the cur- idea of permanent employment suggests (see Plath 1983).
rent moment of global capitalism must begin with an 2. A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a certain asset
effort to understand the character of such temporal incon- at a preset price on a future date specified for the delivery of the as-
gruity, and the way in which it opens and closes possibili- set. An option is a right to buy or sell a specific asset at a preset
price before a specific date when the right expires.
ties for knowing and acting in the market.
3. Arbitrage has been one of the most essential strategies in the
Recent events in financial markets from the Asian fi- practice of derivatives trading (Mikami and Yotsuzuka 2000; U.S.
nancial crisis to the collapse of Long Term Capital Man- Congress 1988). For example, arbitrage was the engine of the once
agement and the Enron scandal have led social theorists to hugely successful hedge fund, Long Term Capital Management.
Long Term Capital Management was led by John W. Meriwether,
believe that capitalism has entered a new phase. Many the founder of the famous Government Arbitrage Group in Salo-
have argued that the novelty of these events demands a mon Brothers. Long Term Capital Management's near failure in
new kind of critical thought. I have sought to approach 1998 has drawn public attention to arbitrage trading (see Lewis
1999; Lowenstein 2000).
this question in a somewhat different way. At the begin-
ning of this article, I suggested that social theorists' atten- 4. Commodity futures such as futures contracts on agricultural
products have existed in Japan since the late 19th century or even
tion to financial markets as a new target of criticism has earlier if one regards the rice market in Dojima, Osaka, as a futures
Miyazaki The Temporalities of the Market 263

market (see Schaede 1991:339-340). Financial futures such as fu- To articulate the past historically does not mean to recognize
tures contracts on government securities were first introduced to it 'the way it really was' (Ranke). It means to seize hold of a
the U.S. markets during the 1970s. memory as it flashes up at a moment of danger. Historical ma-
5. A stock index is an indicator of value fluctuation of a specific terialism wishes to retain that image of the past which unex-
group of stocks. The method of computing an index varies from pectedly appears to man singled out by history at a moment of
one index to the next. For example, Standard and Poor's 500 is danger. The danger affects both the content of the tradition
based on the prices of 500 stocks and is a "value weighted" index and its receivers. . .. The Messiah comes not only as the re-
in which the weight of each individual stock in the index is adjusted deemer, he comes as the subduer of Antichrist. Only that his-
relative to the number of its outstanding shares (see http://www. torian will have the gift of fanning the spark of hope in the
spglobal.com/indexmain500_description.html, accessed January 30, past who is firmly convinced that even the dead will not be
2002). Unlike commodity futures, an index futures contract does safe from the enemy if he wins. [1992:247; emphasis removed]
not involve physical delivery. Instead, on the delivery date, the
contract is closed by cash settlement on the basis of the difference 12. My effort to recapture the Utopian content of economic
between the price of the futures contract and the index's closing knowledge parallels Bill Maurer's recent effort to uncover the re-
price on the last trading day of the futures contract (see Hull pressed theological content of the Black-Scholes options pricing
2000:33; Sharpe et al. 1995:751). Futures contracts on stock in- formula (2002). My interest, however, is not so much in disclosing
dexes were first introduced to the U.S. markets in the early 1980s. the hidden and unconscious content of economic knowledge as in
6. Of course, Japanese corporations' business strategies have been emulating actors' own effort to replicate the admittedly Utopian
much more complex and diverse (see, in particular, Aoki 1988, content of economic knowledge as their own hope (cf. Riles 2000).
1994). Moreover, when the Japanese model of management was
celebrated as an alternative model for management in the United
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FIRE IN THE PLACA THE COLOR OF CLASS THE SAVING LIE


CATALAN FESTIVAL POLITICS POOR WHITES AND THE PARADOX 1 RUTH AND METHOD IN THE
AFTER FRANCO OF PRIVILEGE SOCIAL SCIENCES
Dorothy Noyes Kirby Moss F. G. Bailey

Fire in the Plaga is the first full- What is it like to be white, poor, This book explores the distinction
length study in English of the and socially margnalized while, at between selflessness and self-
Patum, a Corpus Chnsti fire festi- the same time, surrounded by the interestedness, between acting for
val unique to Berga, Cataonia, glowng assumpton of racia privi- one's own advantage and acting,
Spam, celebrated annually since lege? Kirby Moss, an African even when disadvantageous, for
the seventeenth century. In collec- American anthropologist and jour- reasons of duty or conscience. This
tive performances such as the nalist, goes back to his hometown apparently straightforward contrast
Patum, tensions between cultural in the Midwest to examine ironies is a source of confusion This is so,
and political representation are of social class in the lives of poor F. G. Bailey argues, because peo-
made visible, and the gap between whites. He purposely moves ple polarize and essentialize both
aspiration and possibility is both beyond the most stereotypical actors and actions and uphold one
bridged and acknow edged, n this image of white poverty in the or the other side of (he contrast as
exceptionally rich ethnographic U.S.rural Appalachan culture concrete reality, as the truth about
study Dorothy Noyes explores the to illustrate how poor whites carve how the social world works The
predicament of provincial commu- out their existence within more task of The Saving Lie is to show
nities striving to overcome internal complex cultural and social mean-
that both versions are convenient
confl'ct and participate in a wider ings of whiteness.
fictions, with instrumental rather
world. than ontological significance, they
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