Solution Math 483 Exam 1, Fall 2017 1. Lot the discrete random variable ¥ have « probability fuetion given by the table below. or G worm ry >ar 2-0 ae . (72) 15 a. “gy. PUeeraety Phy eee purely2-1) = Saya pan se 4 plie-D+ PO z9)4P MR apy?) —p St) = p= tg 2 AE poy7-n = eg (0) Bnd Varta +3) ly 2p @}) Ig (EWS - 207 )=l6(2-G vuelve) 2 aPyaty) = 16 Voly) = 16 Q =e oe ey) tats pee ee Ok) ape G \s galt 2245 2 . oe ee ely) rede ee th pee eee Boe ¥ ee ale 7 “2? PY ‘ + oe oe eee is ee 2@-& R + 2 -t 4 Ze tee ea |fe AMD $5 Bad WOT H4) 3), (52) (GAN F ce foun, (unre) Crd)» (ad) } Math 489 Exam 1, Fall 2017 2, Two dice are alle A= ‘sum of two dice equals 3* B= ‘sum of two di equals 7 C= at least one ofthe dice shows a 1" Ciseiarrien pracy 1D., BO BE = Per pa ae (ancy, Pune), Be 2% plain = RR = eer Me p= % » PB HS plele) 4 P(e) | Bec alsa atenit alc) # Pld) Ave ae" ee ae ERE find P(X = #), and Var(X) ielepenobat Ce ~ x wa (te5,P=%) , P\X=Al= o Rewall a) it KWBIMP) 5 prema s (adhe? meters ee ig Vorlx) = ra ° pypart teg tel: fe av eur Suds Mach 483 Beam 1, Fall 2017 44 Suppose that Ys random variable with distribution function below. PO ogee See ian Find the probability density function (pdf) f(y) of Y. Lg” A0)2 oF = 478 oe @ OV) and Var. % ~My? (7%, ely=S9 Pandy ejy ke “dy ye [+5 e ‘dy elvi-Jy ee ne » Valy) Ely] - Ely] = 8-4 = 4° a 5. Suppose X is a random variable with E(X) = § and Var(X) = 2. What is E(X?)? . ELC]: Val)+ El) 22425 + 27 fool aly) 2eU/)-E97Math 463° Exam 1, Fall 2017 6. Ifthe dsttbution function of X is given by Pl=3)-P XPS?) oof He ase Pe ply 9+ Ee BY 4) eaealte the probity mass function of K @ x o - 7 & 2 palit ¢ ¢ = spat t av G vrwen Pixxay- 3 2p KesdaP Ke3) 4 pul FZ % @ &) £0), 3% 28 Ells bE +E =FMath 483 Exan 2, Fall 2017 ee 2. Suppose thatthe joint probability function p(y) is tabled a shown, vey) o_1 25 oe TIF] = v2] 06 o 1s 4] +6 (0) Pt he nid roadie neton py) for Y. yp -2 2 P(eD=2 P (x= %Y22) pyyl 4-6 0b NDP NBT MG (2) Find the conitional probably fenton (X= r¥ = 2) plizolye) 2 © Mie L 25 eal 2 a ad, Plterlt9) Plke-y-2) 7K) ood 7, p(neslyea)= (e) Find conditional expectation ELX|¥ = 2} Elelyea] = L- ® Plrenly) 2 en(eg) 4 02) + UB) YRS) oF = LD (©) Compute pllY + x7] <2), euye2) | PlsxKa y= Plies) aPlre vy 2 | e4 4-l2= +l6Mach 463° Exam 2, Fall 2017 (a) Find Cov®.¥) cottiy) E15] ~ FLATEN Ely)* faye (-04) +04 (102) + 5)(-16) og BI (106) Fe + 28) + 5-24) = 4b () Are X wad ¥ Independent?” Esplin Y X BY ome inchp. 1 P(Xexit 29) = Pix) Py2) vy), aged i i a) arog eek va) v : p(xea, Yea) = Pl OP Ye” hel) Vv bt x-! PUts-Y22)=P (X= -0ply22) sob = 2 por all values oh xp the Joint canbe, witen 6s the ploduct al Hk 1 ae an aed ude sted wth mean and vane mG ds find Bx -Y¥ ay ¥ fate. ides ates] = BT X-0 “V1 : 2 a _2ely1 +ely ] 2 esa ela) * aehielyl + (nse 2 fe a ip xe Y be lwo - thy pofe: Volt) 61) ~E57 : 5 Ele] = Vortk) +E] Elxy] 2 ElyTeH]Mach 483 Exam 2, Fall 2017 ane. 3. Tho top 5% of applicants (as measured by GREE scores) will reve scholarships GRE seocesnze normaly distributed with men $00 and stondatl deviation 1 (4) how high does your GRE seore have to be to qualify fora scholasip? Xow(Goute!) gz 7B) 2°95 Plx>x)=* 5 PIZZ Web) #799 D(z7@e 8 4 & Bot ol-b4 = Boot (64) (12) oe = 664. (b) What isthe probability that the GRE score ofa randomly selected student be mnt as Opcx< 595) = PL aS Pope )° (SS 5 oe ay- pla7 te | - piers) 1 oo al 0b - TM 4. Suppose that the joint pf of the random variables X and ¥ is givet . = 96023 faaa{ MER HO coe ely]e (‘Viz 214-2 J Wy) =6079- 60+ F Gne et ’ aly] = jigs yd E- a-8 Yee 4% 7) J Jeon [> dy oly = ata R © Suppose that ¥ i a random varie ditsbation funtion below. Find the probebiy density faction (pa) Fy) ofY rye age 4 at Lo fnea ov & 'e . = _—_— en rornroovw\m'- (|, -¥, 5 fore GAD fe 7Math 483 Make up Midterm Exas, Fall. 2017 eee 1. Let the dctete random vatible X have a probability function given by the table above. Find the probability function of ¥ =X? ~ 4 T= 72 pao | apa | war Far Sra an a PQs. ee fal bE eb BS ‘Let X be a random variable from a disteibution with pa a icr -% pono nobel ‘ wie pixee 2) = A) “% y fp She") Let s%u-e) 7 pe oie een ae emg) dla) | Zl A gu) = [te]-4-240-8) se cases ee ow aNath 483 Make up Kies Fal. 2017 ‘4 Suppose 52% of students at SIU are men and a random sample of 100 students fom SIU is selected. What is the approximate probability that atleast 0 ofthe Peove nthe sample we mex Yin (oo, +52) P(X 350) “5h, = P(K?5e~) PX) = PIZ 7 SET) Plz p-5)=1- 9085 21- p(27-5) 0.6915 5: In a tocal election between Levin and Sanches, a poll al week before clecion ies indicated that Sanchez would got 42% of the ote (p). What sample size » shoul! ‘be uscd in an exit poll on elotion day to estimate p to within a margin of evr of 9.06 with 95% confidence? (Do not forgot to round tp) 2p(2y Fe n-(Za)prep) = (2B) 0-7) = 25944 i £260 2.026 Zovvs > 4b 6. Researchers measured the weight of sample of sx adult mountain ons (28 months ot older) captured and released for the first time in New exico. Assume that these measurements follow a normal distribution, Suppose thee measurements have ¥ = 91.0 and s = 307. Find w 99% confidence interval for the mean weight of adit mountain Hons in New Mex ne s eT fo pe Xt nly, OR 1 unknoben 0 + 4.032 3 = 91 t 50-53 n26 fol you ttotvel. , (420-4 5 141-73) E24 oe 3 a weep 08Math 483 Make up Midters Eran, Fall_2017 [A SRS of THAD male college students and a SRS of 916 female college students were jig Litp, be the proportion of male md p> the proportion of female frequent Hinge drinkers. Assume that fy = 0.227 and py = 0.170, Find a 80% confidenco Snterval for pr ~ Po Ee 5 8 = i aed +227 - ol 1.6 [e227 (1-221) TT : a ee 780 | 996 a Heb (- 04 68> 0.06719) gg 214% teint darn sy ose inh . a eam mms of sek yeni (peptone CD sr tee perlaton 2) were the sample sls a acs om ro ror ump re en bo a Mean svaev Oc ux 6 02.8 33.8 Qe way 16 47.2 10.1 a) Find 90% oufilenceinteral for diforoncehatenen 09 peaion means Ct bt Wht (Ki Ke) thn ary, SPV Ee amas 72831 (626-412) + 2:83) (QhI8) Vee 0 a ( -10.85 41-65) 1b) Find «95% confidence interval forthe vriance of healthy people. : > ans? (a5 tq (to Ja (lot) : ps, Oy wm ( alien, tellett oe (ie | > (Sar 2 ee / sp ~ (D5. + a~ PP? Tame 7 natant | opel . rey nen = 448-82 [abet 2218Math 483° Quiz 1 Name 1) When Germany bombed London in World War IL rumor was spread that the ‘bombs were guided. ‘To test this eloim, intelligence dived London into 576 regions of, 0.25 square Klometers each. If the bombs wore hitting at random, theu the number of hits wonld have the probabilities given above. (It turned out that the bombs were indeed hits? falling at random.) What was the probability of «region geting 3 of hive in @ regionl Probability P(20/mo%) mae =1-P(x<3) a1 (44-97 +16) = +07 imme sa resins mt, Mole thet: p( kab) = p(AuB. xue os =P (Am 3 p(ave) = PW) +P) —piangy > PIAVE)=Pl 8) 1@ = 4 4-5 —piang) = Plane)= +4) =1- PLANE) . 1-4-9] TE APB beinkp- = Plane) =PCplB) 8) Suppose P(A) = 0.4 and PCB) 1) Fd P(A.) ons and B a independ PlAvB) = P(A) P(B)~ PLANE) " 514) p(B) -PLAYP(B) $B - (AN) 708 b) Find P(A oe) t ‘events A and B are disjoint (mutually excl ra) APB digit MB=% p(ane) =pip)=0 P(AvB) = P(A) +P0B) ~ PLAngy oe) 3 14) The table below displays the probability distribution fora discrete random variable a pisy [os 0a [OAT os ely PTypiye) <0l-8) + 1egaa)t ACH) 230) § a4 by Find BO), : 2 Ely] = TS PUD) = hers) 400%) + 2 (042) +3 (8) oe ) Find the standard deviation FY. 5. : varly) = Ely) - ely] = Fb1- (1 = +77 5 mansreringa quinn ample cole tx ast eros teaser or ques Supp esto tao the some ith prbabity 28 snd goes ith pect 1/8 Assune tha ste wie guess nthe sve ie comet with probability 1/5 (i. fve questions). Wha Is the conditional probability that a studet knows the anes to x question, given that Re ot she answered corrects? A: the cont thet t2 stltalast knows the answer B: He elent shepy answer coltechly plAlB) = prams) _ plBlar Pia) > J vey) J TR = -B54y CO PIB) PIBIAYPIA) + PIBIA) PA) ix Ya lo ee Us + BS iMath 483 Quiz 2 Fall 2017 Name 4 Find the expected value and the variance of the numnber of times ane sist tow a die until the outcome 6 bs occurred 5 tims, Xe pod Mor’ adie until obloa B tines the outiane & 2X~we(ME prs) B= 5 = Z +70 Wolk) 2 Had 2 5%. iGo 2. A colage basket player males 85% of hero thro. Suppose tkidadaite ithe ee fr ech ethene att (a) Find the probability that it takes more than three free throws before le makes Berit fe thow ob dhvorr until she makes har putt verge 38 i a x ~ Geol p ="85) _ Seasytish PUKD#)= Lp (as) -PO= £) Plea) -PU3)* ay 5p HEM = (©) Find the expecta number of fee tows required unt she makes her fist fee = «9939D thw of the on ei a 135 P85, Elx) oe ‘3, Suppose that the probability density function for a random variable ¥ is given by | a[eQ-v, tosys2 10)= {0 wi 9) Find 1 De"g fevdy «1 3 cl4- £4) 21 | 1 vehi: Fry hoete Shood «(ky EP -2-B-4 smu ee Eade 2EP E-H- vorl)2 %-@) = ¥ 4. Birth weights of fall term newbora babies X follow a normal distribution with ean je= 73 aud standard deviation ¢ = 1.15 pounds ao a XW (75 IS) (xx) eel KTS = 128 pe wey. dP We 5 ned 28) 2 ens (264 by ind the probed ea X wl be gree ha 9, we BATE plc) = pl27 2g? ep(z pis) = 6) Fin he probaly hat lb ete § and 8 eg 1: psy ee PC 5 F) i ps )= Ie iH) ee but bead y > x Oat? 2004 Fa PC (ysa)= J +! oly= L |’. a : Sac 7 AG) jis Dy <3 L D3 ° Wsl5 (3-«)* os BT ayy 2 Kee? a “>-18) Suppose ¥ isthe 1Q score ofa college graduate and that 1Q scores follow dst. Dbutign with mean js = 125 and SD ¢ = 0.5. Assure thatthe somple mean Y ie couipnted fiom a random sample of size n = 86. Find P(21 < ¥ < 128) # possible elt J ow (aor, =) 12-125 Pid < ¥ Ve)- p( Be sens < F Ee <2 aa (2 ) : % oF =p (-1052 <2 wor posible ! 2p (Z7 17142) - p(z>«7) = 12324Math 488 Quiz 4, Fall 2017 Name 1) Suppose that Yj... are independent random variables from a distribution with the following density dh tocyer 10 nti «) Find the method of moment gimator fr pe de ie pee ys Ph msi too etinatr of. (Make srt ou prove hat yar answer isthe MLE.) -1 -N oa 1 Li) = J fo > Te =] is Lit) = bh ae DEG? eB) B-Alirw « po BTae oa e ] Ep in) = fet 2 Tho) ject ie PaVolue = PC 2720) = PIZ7E42) = 2 cogigeh : : with Aisabibites 15 a 8 Thetifalay the. atelepe Teh | nondsabitedl Per ions: