Professional Documents
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'POVERTY
DEFINITION AND PERSPECTIVE
By
ROSE D. FRIEDMAN
February 1965
© 1965 American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research. 1200 17th Street, N.W.,
Washington, D. C. 20036. All rights reserved under International and Pan-American
Copyright Conventions. Library of Congress Catalog No. 65-15980
Price $1.00
11
AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE
For Public Policy Research
THE AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RESEARCH,
established in 1943, is a nonpartisan research and educational organization
which studies national policy problems.
Institute publications take two major forms:
1. LEGISLATIVE AND SPECIAL ANALYSES-factual analyses of current
legislative proposals and other public policy issues before the Congress
prepared with the help of recognized experts in the academic world
and in the fields of law and government. A typical analysis features:
(1) pertinent background, (2) a digest of significant elements, and
(3) a discussion, pro and con, of the issues. The reports reflect no
policy position in favor of or against specific proposals.
2. LONG-RANGE STUDIEs-basic studies of major national problems
of significance for public policy. The Institute, with the counsel of its
Advisory Board, utilizes the services of competent scholars, but the
opinions expressed are those of the authors and represent no policy
position on the part of the Institute.
ADVISORY BOARD
iii
OFFICERS
Chairman
CARL N. JACOBS
Vice Chairmen
W AL TER C. BECKJORD HENRY T. BODMAN H. C. LUMB
President Treasurer
WILLIAM J. BAROODY HENRY T. BODMAN
TRUSTEES
IV
CONTENTS
CONCLUSION _.. _ . _ _ _ __ __ ._ _ 43
v
INTRODUCTION
1
2 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
was in page proofs, recognizes some of lhese defecls; in particular, the undereslimalion
of the fraclion of the poor who are in large families. However, lhere is no recognilion of
lhe deficiency of the $3,000 figure for a family of four. In addilion, in mosl of ilS dis-
cussion, the Council conlinues lo use the earlier misleading procedures lo derive its
numerical eSlimales, laking no accounl even of the defecls il recognizes.
I.
POVERTY IN PERSPECTIVE
I nteenth
the eighteenth and early nine-
centuries, getting enough
cur to students of living standards
of that day that the working classes
to eat-that is, enough calories to might have essential needs over
eliminate hunger-was the major and above subsistence. The level
problem of the populace in almost of living per capita and per day of
the entire world, with the possible a working-class family "varied be-
exception of Great Britain and tween a maximum of about two
North America. A family that had and a half to three pounds of
enough bread was considered in wheat during the best years and an
easy circumstances. It did not oc- extremely low minimum which, as
5
6 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
1 Jean Fourastie, The Causes of Wealth, translated and edited by Theodore Caplan
(Glencoe, III.: The Free Press of Glencoe, 1960), p. 41.
• Ibid., p. 47.
3 See M. K. Bennett, The Wot1d's Food (New York: Harper and Bros., 1954).
• See Karl Brandt, "Food in the Market Place," a paper presented on May 16, 1964 at
the symposium, Food and Civilization, held under the auspices of the University of
California School of Medicine at the San Francisco Medical Center.
Poverty In Perspective 7
"Herman P. Miller. Rich Mfl11-P001' Ma'll (i'\ew York: Thomas Y. Crowell Co. 1964),
p. 30.
Poverty in Perspective 9
the United States, Household Food Consumption Survey. 1955. Report # 16, p. 9.
10 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
tailed evidence indicates that even sumption survey was made, a third
for the one exception, Niacin, the of the diets were classed as 'poor.'
amount consumed exceeded the al- When we apply the same standards
lowance for all groups except men to diets of the households sur-
18-35 and boys 12-18. veyed in 1955, only a little over a
One report from the Household tenth (13 percent) may be con-
Food Consumption Survey, 1955, sidered 'poor.' " 8
summarizes the improvement in As to how the poor fared rela-
nutrition as follows: "Diets in the tive to the rich, this same report
United States have improved mark- says, "Diets of families in the lowest
edly since the 1930's. In 1936 when income third showed much greater
a large-scale household food con- improvement between 1936 and
8 Ibid. p. 1.
Poverty in Perspective II
1942 and between 1942 and 1948 reached 62 percent by 1956. En-
than did diets of families in the rollment in institutions of high-
upper income third. Between 1948 er education-junior colleges, col-
and 1955 all of the income groups leges, and universiti~s-was less
shared fairly equally in the mod· than 2 percent of the relevant age
erate changes." 9 group in 1870, and more than 30
If a healthy body is the first percent in 1960. There is still scope
need, a healthy mind is the sec- for improvement, but much the
ond. Schooling is another example greater part of this particular road
of the far greater significance to the has already been traveled.
masses than to the classes of the To go from the specifics of food
improvement that has occurred in and schooling to the level of living
the standard of living of the Amer- as a whole, we can use income per
ican people. Less than a century family as a rough index of level of
ago (1870), only 57 percent of all living-though as we shall see later
children between 5 and 17 years of it has many defects as a precise
age attended school. By the turn of measure. As Table 2 shows, just
the century, this had risen to 76 35 years ago, more than half of
percent, by 1920, to 82 percent, and the people in this country would
by 1960 to 89 percent. It was this have been labeled "poor" by the
low in 1960 only because children poverty line of $3,000 income so
were starting school at 6 years of popular today; 20 years ago, 30
age instead of at 5. Nearly 97 per- percent; today, 21 percent-and
cent of all children between 7 and these statements are based on sta-
17 years of age were in school in tistics that allow fully for changes
1960. Even more dramatic are the in the price level. In 1929, a year
figures on schooling at a higher of great prosperity, about II mil-
level. In 1870, only 2 percent of lion American families and indi-
the relevant age group graduated viduals had incomes below $2,000
from high school. This tripled to compared with 7 million in 1962.
6 percent by 1900, tripled again Despite a 63 percent rise in the
to 17 percent by 1920, and again total number of families and in-
to 50 percent by 1940. It had dividuals from 1929 to 1962, the
• Ibid. p. 2.
12 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
number with incomes below $2,000 come negligible before the end of
actually fell by 36 percent. 10 the century. Of course, if the
By almost any yardstick, there growth in real income continues,
surely has been a major reduction one of its manifestations will be a
in the number of families with low rise in what is regarded as the
income in this country over the standard of poverty so that the
past three decades. It simply is not poor will continue to be with us.
true that any large segment of the All groups will continue to share
American people has been left be-
in economic progress and the peo-
hind and has failed to share in the
ple then labeled poor will have a
country's economic progress. If the
higher standard of living than
trend in growth of real income of
the past 35 years were to continue, many labeled not poor today. How
the fraction of the population be- much poverty there is now or will
low the currently popular poverty be then depends on the yardstick
line of $3,000 per family would be- used to define poverty.
Table 2. Distribution of Consumer Units by Real Income Level
Family personal
income 1929 1947 1962
(in 1962 dollars) No. % No. % No. %
(before income tax) (millions) (millions) (millions)
Under $2,000 ________________________ 11.2 31 7.2 16 7.1 12
2,000· 3,000 ---------------------- 7.2 20 6.3 14 5.3 9
3,000· 4,000 ---------------------- 6.9 19 6.3 14 5.9 10
4,000· 6,000 ---------------.---.-- 5.6 15 11.7 26 12.2 21
6,000· 8,000 ---------------------- 2.4 7 6.0 14 10.8 18
8,000 . 10,000 ---------------------- 1.1 3 3.1 7 6.7 11
10,000 and over ____________________ 1.9 5 4.1 9 10.9 19
Total ---------------------------._- 36.1 100 44.7 100 58.6 100
Source: Jeanette M. Fitzwilliams, "Size Distribution of Income in 1962," Survey of Cur-
rent Business, April 1963, Table 3: Herman P. Miller, Rich Man-Poor Man; (New York:
Thomas Y. Crowell Co., 1964), p. 29.
10 The number of consumer units in Table 2 includes single individuals, i.e., family units
of I, as well as larger family units and therefore overstates the number of families at the
lower income levels, since single individuals in general have lower incomes than family
units. On the other hand, the income concept used is total income including, in addition
to money income, imputed income from an owned home and food produced at home.
For this reason, the number of consumer units is smaller at the lower levels than in the
statistics used later in this essay as well as the statistics used in the Economic Report
of the Council of Economic Advisers. Only money income is used in both these instances.
I I.
13
14 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
I In a paper discussing "Valid Lses and Inherent Limitations of the City Worker's
Family Budget," presented at the 87th Annual Forum of the 1 ational Conference on
Social Welfare on June 9, 1960, Helen Humes Lamale, Chief, Branch. of Consumption
Studies, Division of Prices and Cost of Living, says, when discussing the use of the budget
as a measure of income adequacy, "It is in this area where the greatest discrimination
must be shown in the use of the total budget cost. . . . It is essential that the level of
living described by the CWFB be judged il\ relation to the standard prescribed for the
particular program or problem." And afl;ain, later in the paper, she says: "It is not a
'minimum' budget in the sense that such budgets are usually defined, and thus cannot
be used without adjustment in minimum wage considerations or in establishing assistance
standards or allowances. For such uses, the CWFB level must be scaled downward to meet
the standards established for the program and to account for variations in the character-
istics of the families involved." In addition, Mrs. Lamale makes it perfectly clear that
comparison of the original, prewar CWfB and the revised 1959 budget, both in 1959
dollars, provides a valuable summary measure of the increase in this standard of living.
She estimates this increase at about 20 to 30 percent.
"Gabriel Kolko, Wealth and Power in America (New York: Frederick A. Praeger, 1962),
p. 101.
16 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
erty.3 Expenditures for food consti- teenth century, this nutrition stand-
tute well over three-fourths of the ard for judging poverty was appli-
total budget, and some kind of cable to almost the entire world,
cereal makes up well over half of with the possible exception of
the food consumed. Poverty can Great Britain and North America.
then be defined solely in terms of It is still applicable to over two-
nutrition in the basic sense of a thirds of the population of the
sufficient amount of food to satisfy world today, where some kind of
hunger. Even here, however, there cereal is the predominant food and
is clearly no precise amount of any food is the only significant item in
particular food such that one cal- the budget.
orie less means an individual is Clearly, by this standard, there
hungry. Clearly, also there is more is negligible poverty in the United
than one way to obtain the neces- States today. That is not to say
sary nourishment. that there may not be some fami-
Prior to the middle of the mne- lies who, because they are too
3 See Bennett. op. cit" chapter 12. for an excellent discussion of the change in the mean-
ing of hunger with the introduction of the science of nutrition.
18 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
'Dietary Evaluation of Food Used in Households in the United States, op. cit., Table
16, p. 10.
Criteria for Defining Poverty 21
Source: Family Food Plans and Food Costs, Home Economic Research Report #20,
p.53.
24 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
8. Applying this scale to the 1962 income for a family of 3.22 persons, I calculated
incomes at which households of varying size achieved nutritive adequacy-where nutritive
adequacy is defined as 75 percent of the families meeting two·thirds of the recommended
allowances of the National Research Council.
The scale for estimating equivalent income is:
Index Size of Household
69 . 2 persons
95 -- 3 persons
100 , . 3.22 persons
117 . 4 persons
136 . 5 persons
152 .. 6 persons
168 . 7 or more persons
Criteria for Defining Poverty 27
expenditure per equivalent unit gested for allowing for regional and
have been developed to take ac- size-of-community differences in
count of such differences in family level of living.
composition. Though there is not Though plagued by the many
complete agreement on the appro- difficulties which its use involves,
priate equivalent units, this kind aggregate value of a family's goods
of measure is used widely in com- and services per equivalent unit,
paring families of different size and roughly adjusted for regional and
composition. community differences in prices,
Similar difficulties arise when we probably comes as close as is pos-
try to compare families living in sible to ranking families by level
different parts of the country and of living.
in communities of different size. Be- Cm ~ent discussions of poverty do
cause of different climatic condi- not use aggregate value of goods
tions, for example, the same aggre- and services per equivalent unit
gate value of heating and housing as a basis for ranking families by
means very different levels of com- level of living. Instead, they gen-
fort, i.e., levels of living, for fami- erally proceed by substituting in-
lies in the North and in the South. come for value of goods and serv-
The aggregate value of clothing ices, then money income for total
that represents the same level of income. They almost all pay lip
comfort in the two regions is very service to the need to take account
different. Cultural patterns in dif- of family size and composition as
ferent regions as well as in com- well as regional and size-of-com-
munities of different size affect the
munity differences in judging pov-
goods and services which represent
erty. Yet, in the final analysis,
the same level of living. Food pat-
families, regardless of size and com-
terns are very different for families
in the North and the South. And position and regardless of where
finally, prices differ by region and they live, who receive less than a
by city size. As in the adjustment specified money income are re-
for family size and composition, garded as at the bottom of the
various methods have been sug- heap, as constituting the "poor."
II I.
29
30 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
culates to be "poor." These have and what "needs" are basic, and in
now become the basic statistics of what amount? The Council, of
the poverty literature of 1964. course, recognizes that "there is no
How does the Council arrive at precise way to measure the number
its figure of $3,000? Are the families of families who do not have the
and individuals it classifies as the resources to provide minimum sat-
bottom one-fifth, the poorest one- isfaction of their own particular
fifth of the population? needs." (A third definition of pov-
The Council itself cautions that erty.) Hence, for its objective cri-
its measure of poverty is too simple terion the Council uses a fourth
to be "suitable for determining definition of poverty. A family with
eligibility for particular benefits or less than $3,000 a year of money
participation in particular pro- income is defined as poor. This
grams." But the Council nonethe- figure is said to constitute an "ap-
less uses it to pinpoint the sources proximate standard" of "an accept-
of poverty and thereby to indicate able minimum" "for our society
the programs needed to cope with today" for which "a consensus.
poverty. Is it a valid measure for can be found."
this purpose?
The Basis for the Council's
The Council's Concept of Poverty Figure of $3,000
In its qualitative discussion, the What is the basis for the Coun-
Council characterizes the poor as cil's "approximate standard" of
"those who are not now maintain- $3,000? The Council says that "one
ing a decent standard of living- such standard is suggested by a
those whose basic needs exceed recent study, described in a publi-
their means to satisfy them" (italics cation of the Social Security Ad-
added). Can these two definitions ministration, which defines a 'low-
provide us with an objective cri- cost' budget for a nonfarm family
terion for determining who and of four and finds its cost in 1962
how many are poor? Standards of to have been $3,955. The cost of
decency, like fashions, change from what the study defined as an 'econ-
year to year, and mean different omy-plan' budget was $3,165.
things to different people. How do Other studies have used different
we decide what wants are "needs" market baskets, many of them cost-
The Council of Economic Advisers' Report on Poverty 31
ing more. On balance, they pro- times the cost of the low-cost food
vide support for using as a bound- plan.)
ary, a family whose annual money (2) three times the "cost of the
income from all sources was $3,000 more restricted but still adequate
(before taxes and expressed in diet suggested in the economy
1962 dollars) . This is a weekly in- plan." Since the cost of the econ-
come of less than $60. omy plan was roughly estimated as
"These budgets contemplate ex- four-fifths of the cost of the low-
penditure of one-third of the total cost food plan, the income level
on food, i.e., for a $3,000' annual defined by the second criterion is
budget for a 4-person family about four-fifths that defined by the first.
$5 per person per week." In counting the poor, Miss Or-
The "recent study" referred to shansky herself computes the in-
by the Council is "Children of the come levels defined by these criteria
Poor" by Mollie Orshansky. It ap- separately for each size of family,
peared in the Social Security Bul- and separately for farm and non-
le'tin of July 1963. Miss Orshan- farm families. However, "by way
sky's study is not devoted to estab- of suggesting" to the reader "the
lishing criteria for determining the level of living implied by the pres-
poverty level. As its title suggests, ent approximation" she notes that
it is devoted to counting and class- "the income required for a hus-
ifying the children of the poor. To
band, wife and two children not
estimate the number of families
on a farm would be $3, I65 by the
with children who are poor and the
number of children in those fami- more conservative measure, or $3,-
lies, the author uses two "crude" 955 by the more liberal." These
criteria of "income adequacy": are the numbers quoted by the
Council.
(I) "that the low-cost food plan
priced by the Department of Agri- Let us examine in some detail
culture in January, 1962 repre- the two elements of Miss Orshan-
sents no more than one-third of sky's crude criteria of income ade-
total income," (In other words, quacy: (a) the food plans; and
Miss Orshansky estimates that an (b) the fraction of income spent
income is adequate if it is three on food.
32 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
that it was set roughly equal to the basis for this multiplier is the
cost at which, in fact, 75 percent same survey on which the food
of the families surveyed met two- plans are based. According to that
thirds of the recommended allow- survey, average expenditures for
ances of the National Research food by all families in the sample,
Council. 'For example, in discuss- farm and nonfarm, and all income
ing per person food costs at which levels combined, amounted to 33
adequacy so 'defined was achieved, percent of their average money in-
Janet Murray says: "This 75 per- come after taxes. In addition, it
cent level seemed to represent those should be noted, these families re-
households on whose food pat- ceived some food without money
terns the low-cost food plans were payment-mostly by providing it
based. The per person food costS for themselves.
[at this level] fall well within the In using the multiplier of three,
range of the costs of the low-cost Miss Orshansky implicitly assumed
food plans in 1955." (Appendix, that the multiplier for all families
Report # 20) . should be used for families with
The first part of Miss Orshan- low incomes even though she stated
sky's more liberal criterion for explicitly that "poorer families
determining an adequate income generally devoted more than one-
therefore appears to be the same third of income to food, and those
as one of the criteria discussed better off used less of their in-
earlier in this paper, (pp. 22-24) come in this way." For the par-
namely, the cost of food at which ticular 1955 Food Consumption
75 percent of the nonfarm families Survey she used, the percentage
surveyed in 1955 had diets that spent on food varied from 131 per-
met two-thirds of the recommended cent at incomes under $1,000, to
allowances of the National Re- 60 percent at incomes of $1,000-
search Council. .$1,999, to 48 percent at incomes
of $2,000-$2,999 to 21 percent at
(b) The fraction of income spent incomes of $8,000 and over. The
on food fact that the families in the bot-
To get the income correspond- tom income class reported expendi-
ing to the specified food costs, Miss tures for food (based on one week's
Orshansky multiplies by three. The expenditure) that were higher than
34 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
• This estimate of 10 percent allows only for the effect of size of family; further correc-
tion for other factors like regional differences, non-money income, and a more realistic
estimate of funds available for current consumption would further reduce this estimate.
36 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
way in which the same criterion than twice as often among the
is applied. poor as among the total population
[are]: non-white families, families
Does the Council Correctly headed by women, families headed
Characterize the Poor? by individuals not in the civilian
The Council recognizes that labor force, families with no wage
"A family's ability to meet its earners, and rural farm families.
needs depends not only on its Of course, some of these groups
money income but also on its in- overlap considerably; but the data
come in kind, its savings, its prop- help to identify prospective targets
erty, and its ability to borrow. for an anti-poverty attack."
· . . Refined analysis would vary This characterization is seriously
the income cut-off by family size, misleading because of the inade-
age, location. A case could be made quacy of the Council's definition
· .. for setting the over-all income of poverty. The indiscriminate use
limit eit.her higher or lower than of the same income level for fam-
$3,000." Nevertheless, says the ilies of all sizes leads to a signifi-
Council, "the analysis of the cant overestimate of the relative
sources of poverty, and of the pro- incidence of poverty among the
grams needed to cope with it, aged and the young. This overesti-
would remain substantially un- mate is reinforced by the inade-
changed." The Council therefore quacy of money income as an in-
neglects the refinements in esti- dex of real income status-a de-
mating the characteristics of the fect common to both the Council's
poor. It concludes that "there are and the nutritive-adequacy defini-
substantial concentrations of pov- tion. This defect also leads to an
erty among certain groups. For overestimate of the relative in-
example, families headed by per- cidence of poverty among farm
sons 65 years of age and older families and Southern families.
represent 34 percent of poor fam- (a) Neglect of size of family
ilies. Moreover, they appear among Unfortunately, published data
the poor 2y:! times as frequently do not permit estimates of the
as they appear among all families. characteristics of the poor for the
· . . Five additional major cate- nutritive-adequacy definition of
gories of families that appear more poverty in anything like the detail
The Council of Economic Advisers' Report on Poverty 37
Incidence of poverty is the ratio of the number of poor families to the number of all
families of the same size.
Council's estimate therefore means For the aged, the chief defect
that it overestimates the incidence of money income is the neglect
of poverty in these two groups. of income from property. The aged
are at the opposite end of the in-
(b) Concept of money income
come cycle from the young fam-
The defects of one year's money ilies. They have passed their peak
income as a measure of resources earnings, and are on their way
available for consumption tend to down. Anticipating this well-estab-
produce a significant overstatement lished pattern of earnings over the
of the incidence of poverty among life cycle, many older families have
the young, the aged, farm families, accumulated assets in the form of
and Southern families. For the an owned home, stocks, bonds,
young and the aged, this overesti- savings accounts, insurance policies,
mate magnifies the error resulting as well as a share in the Social
from the neglect of size of family. Security benefits and other pension
For the young, the chief defect funds. These assets accumulated
of money income is that it neglects during the period of higher earn-
long-run income status. Families ings can be used to supplement
with young heads are just begin- lower earnings in three ways: (1)
ning their income cycle. It is ex- thro{.gh the nt/nmoney income de-
pected that their permanent in- rived from an owned home, (2)
come over a longer period of time through money incqme in such
will be higher than it is at the forms as interest, dividends, so-
beginning. Some have married cial security benefits, and other
while still in school and are com- pension payments, and (3)
pleting their education. Others through funds obtained by selling
may be in apprenticeship. Some assets.
have not found their niche in the The defini tion of money income
economy. Many are still being in the statistics used in deriving
helped by their parents. The real the estimates in Table 5 includes
income status of these young fam- item (2) above. But it excludes
ilies on the basis of a longer term completely items (1) and (3)-
estimate of their income is higher nonmoney income derived from an
than the status indicated by their owned home ar'.d. receipts from the
current money income. sale of assets.
40 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
refinements which, if made, would trary, they are so large that little
leave "the analysis of the sources confidence can be placed in the
of poverty, and of the programs Council's characterization of the
needed to cope with it . . . sub- poor.
stantially unchanged." On the con-
CONCLUSION
43
44 Poverty-Definition and Perspective
the 1930's-which is as far back as the West, poverty meant not hav-
we have satisfactory measurements. ing enough to eat. A diet provid-
In 1936, a third of American fam- ing 3,000 calories a day for a work-
ilies had diets that were classified ingman was a widely-accepted
as "poor"; in 1955, only an eighth dividing line between poverty and
had such diets, according to the comfort-if we may use that word
same standards. And diets of the as the complement of poverty.
families with the lowest incomes Even this dividing line, which
showed a much greater improve- seems so starkly simple to us, can
ment than diets at higher income cover a wide range when viewed
levels. through the eyes of people on the
Schooling, a second index of margin of starvation. The normal
progress, has become practically diet consisted of cereal but the
universal. Currently, 97 percent of kind and amount of cereal varied.
the children between the ages of The poorest made do with the
7 and 17 attend school; a century coarse cereals, rye and barley. The
ago, less than 60 percent did. slightly better off shifted to wheat
The income that in 1929, a year or rice according to the type of
of high prosperity, put a family agriculture.
in the top 25 percent of all con- Only three-tenths of the human
sumer units is today attained by race has even today progressed
fully two-thirds of all consumer beyond this bleak condition-
units-and this is, of course, after where the ideal is simply a full
adjusting for the change in the stomach. Adequate nutrition, the
purchasing power of the dollar. counterpart of a full stomach for
At the other end of the income this three-tenths, is judged not only
scale, the highest income of the by quantity, in terms of energy or
lowest third in 1929 is today ex- calories, but also by quality, in
ceeded by all but one-eighth of terms of nutrients provided.
consumer units. The need for a uniform yard-
One striking manifestation of stick to assess the adequacy of the
the improvement in economic con- quantities of food which people
ditions is the change in the mean- eat gave rise first to the so-called
ing attached to the concept of pov- London Standard drawn up in
erty. Two centuries ago, even in 1935-36 by the League of Nations
Conclusion 45
number of the poor results neither the wrong action to aid the wrong
from a different basic criterion of groups in the population.
adequate nutrition nor from the My own analysis is, I believe,
use of different data. The high free from gross error, but it is
estimate by the Council results based on data that are both rough
from the crudity of its analysis. and seriously incomplete. It clear-
First, the Council accepted an esti- ly does not provide a valid basis
mate of a poverty line that is not for action.
valid, according to the criterion on The many separate individuals
which that estimate is based. Sec- and organizations, each working in
ond, the Council uses the same their own area and its own field
income level to define poverty for of interest to relieve distress and
all families regardless of their size, alleviate misery, need no compre-
composition, or residence. The first hensive statistical blueprint to
error is primarily responsible for guide them. Voluntary cooperation
the magnification of the problem in charity, no less than in econ-
of poverty. The second results in omic production, can be and is
an erroneous characterization of guided by an invisible hand. But
the poor. if a centralized governmental pro-
gram is to be directed at anything
The error in the Council's de-
like the right problems, let alone
scription of poverty is so large that
succeed in mastering them, it must
it leads to a seriously mistaken be guided by a far more sophisti-
diagnosis of the problem of pov- cated and extensive study of just
erty. If its figures had any relation who are the poor ,and how poor
to action-which it is by no means they are than any that is now
clear they do-they would lead to available.
PUBLICATIONS
STUDIES
47
48 Pllblications
No. I-History and Powers of the House No.7-Tax Proposals and the Federal
Committee on Rules. Special Analysis Finances: Part III: Tax Issues of 1963.
Special Analysis
No.2-The Youth Employment Bill.
Bills by Sen. Humphrey; Rep. Perkins No.8-The Higher Education Facilities
Act of 1963. Bill by Rep. Green (Ore.)
No. 3-Tax Proposals and the Federal
Finances: Part I: Federal Expenditures. No.9-Tax Proposals and the Federal
Special Analysis Finances: Part IV: The Proposed Rev-
enue Act of 1963. Special Analysis
No.4-Tax Proposals and the Federal No. 100The Proposed Foreign Assist-
Finances: Part II: The American Tax ance Act of 1963. Bills by Sen. Ful-
System: Background for Studying Pro- bright; Rep. Morgan
posals for Change. Special Analysis
No. ll-The Interest Equalization Tax
No.5-Proposals to Increase the Na- Bill and the U. S. Balance-of-Payments
tional Debt Ceiling, Bill by Rep. Mills Situation. Bill by Rep. Mills
No.6-Area Redevelopment Act Amend- No. 12-A Bill to Prohibit Futures
ments of 1963. Bills by Sen. Douglas and Trading in Irish Potatoes. Bills by Sen.
Others; Rep. Patman Muskie; Rep. McIntire
No. I-Tax Proposals and the Federal No.6-Urban Mass Transportation Aid
Finances: Part V: Changes in the Pro- Bills. Bills by Sen. Williams; Rep. Rains
posed Revenue Act of 1964 Recommend-
ed by the Senate Committee on Finance. No.7-The Revised "War on Poverty"
Special Analysis Bill. Bill by Rep. Landrum
No. 8--Social Security Amendments of
No.2-Analysis of the Fiscal 1965 Fed- 1964. Bill by Rep. Mills
eral Budget.
No.9-Presidential Disability and Vice-
No.3-The Panama Canal-Its Past and Presidential Vacancies.
Future.
No. 100The Housing Act of 1964. Bill
No.4-The Federal Government in Be- by Sen. Sparkman
havioral Science: Fields, Methods, and No. II-Proposals Relating to Reappor-
Funds. Special Analysis tionment of State Legislatures and The
U.S. House of Representatives.
No.5-The Economic Opportunity Bill.
Bills by Sen. McNamara; Rep. Lan- No. 12-The Drug Safety Program. Spe-
drum cial Analysis
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