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The survival function of the Weibull distribution with α = 2 and λ = 0.001 (using Table 2.2):
The probability that a rat will be tumor free at 30 days (in other words, the time the rat develops
a tumor is greater than 30 days) is
For x = 45 days,
For x = 60 days,
2.2 (b) From Table 2.2, the mean time to tumor with α = 2 and λ = 0.001 is
For x = 30 days,
For x = 45 days,
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BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012
For x = 60 days,
2.4 (a) Show that the hazard rate has a bathtub shape and find the time at which the hazard rate
changes from decreasing to increasing.
For α = 0.5,
The hazard rate for various values of λ is plotted as follows. The hazard rate has a bathtub shape
for positive λ. Here are several examples:
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BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012
5
λ=2
λ=1
4
λ = 0.5
3
h(x)
2
1
0
0 2 4 6 8
To find the time at which the hazard rate changes from decreasing to increasing for α<1, find the
local minimum:
For α = 0.5,
2.4 (b) If α = 2, show that the derivative of the hazard rate is positive for all x > 0.
Since ≥ 0 always, the other quantity in square brackets must be shown to be positive
for all x ≥ 0. For α = 2,
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BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012
which is positive for all x ≥ 0. Therefore, the hazard rate of x is monotone increasing.
2.6 (a) Let X denote the time to death (in months) of a randomly chosen mouse. The survival
function of the Gompertz distribution:
The probability that a randomly chosen mouse will leave at least one year is the probability it is
still alive at one year (12 months):
2.6 (b) The probability that a randomly chosen mouse will die within the first six months is
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BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012
In short, for (
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BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012
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BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012
The median residual lifetime is the length of the interval from time x to the time where one-half
of the individuals alive at time x will still be alive. The median residual lifetime is mrl such that
The value of mrl depends on x. Here is an example of how to find mrl. Let x=0, then ,
the median life time. First of all, find the value of
Second, find the interval [τj-1, τj) such that . Then falls into the interval [τj-1, τj)
and Solving for gives
.
Problem 1. Given the lifetime variable Y is exponentially distributed with a positive constant β ,
-y/β
we know that S(y) = e for y ≥ 0. Therefore for t ≥ 0 we can write:
exponentially distributed exhibits the memoryless property: S(y+t) = S(y)S(t), y≥0, t≥0