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CENTRAL INSTITUTE OF PLASTICS ENGINEERING AND TECHNLOGY

MF6601-COMPUTER INTEGRATED PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS

CAT-I

PART-A 5X2=10

1. Define Forecasting
2. What is the difference between concurrent engineering and sequential engineering
3. What is production planning
4. What is capacity planning
5. If you are a capacity planner, when will you encourage a short term out sourcing.

PART-B 4X10=40

1. (i)Discuss different types of production systems and suitable examples


(ii)Explain different types of forecasting system
2. The inventory balance of certain product for first 12 periods are given below

Period(T) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Inv. 60 70 85 60 88 68 106 78 86 124 122 87
Balance
Apply single exponential smoothing and forecast for the 13th period.
Assume S1(0)=X1, Smoothing constant α= 0.1

3. The owner of a small trucking company is interested in the relationship between the
age of a truck and annual repair expense he should expect to incur. In order to
determine this relationship the owner has accumulated the information in table
concerning the four trucks he presently own

Truck No Age of truck in Years Repair expense during last


year in 1000s of Rs
1001 5 7
1002 3 7
1003 3 6
1004 1 4
Develop simple linear regression
Compute standard error of estimate and coefficient of correlation
Compute the expected annual repair expense for the 4 and 6 years of old truck.

4. The super snow paint shop has recorded the demand for a particular colour during the past 6
weeks as shown below

Week Demand in litre


1st week May 19
nd
2 week May 17
3rd week May 22
th
4 week May 27
st
1 week June 29
2nd week June 33
(i) Calculate a 3 week moving average for the data to forecast demand for the next
week.
(ii)Calculate a weighted average forecast for the data, using a weight of 0.6 for the
most recent data and weights of 0.3 and 0.1 for successive older data.

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