Trabajo PCP Final 10-03-2018 Actualizado

EJEMPLO 1
Promedio Móvil Simple

n=3
Periodo(t) Dt Pronóstico (F t+1) Et (Ft+1 - Dt) Abs(Et) Et2
1 2558540
2 2874710
3 3482480
4 2828300 2971910.0 -143610.00 143610.00 20623832100.00
5 3110300 3061830.0 48470.00 48470.00 2349340900.00
6 3434540 3140360.0 294180.00 294180.00 86541872400.00
7 3350690 3124380.0 226310.00 226310.00 51216216100.00
8 2166410 3298510.0 -1132100.00 1132100.00 1281650410000.00
9 2893640 2983880.0 -90240.00 90240.00 8143257600.00
10 2563970 2803580.0 -239610.00 239610.00 57412952100.00
11 3031610 2541340.0 490270.00 490270.00 240364672900.00
12 2491580 2829740.0 -338160.00 338160.00 114352185600.00
Suma -884490.0 3002950.0 1862654739700.0
N = 9
DAM 333661.11
EMC 206961637744.45
PEMA 0.129
PME -0.056
SR -2.651
Promedio Móvil Ponderado

n=3
Periodo(t) Dt Pronóstico (F t+1) Et Abs(Et) Et2
1 2558540 0.1
2 2874710 0.1
3 3482480 0.8
4 2828300 3329309.0 -501009.0 501009.0 251010018081.0
5 3110300 2898359.0 211941.0 211941.0 44918987481.0
6 3434540 3119318.0 315222.0 315222.0 99364909284.0
7 3350690 3341492.0 9198.0 9198.0 84603204.0
8 2166410 3335036.0 -1168626.0 1168626.0 1365686727876.0
9 2893640 2411651.0 481989.0 481989.0 232313396121.0
10 2563970 2866622.0 -302652.0 302652.0 91598233104.0
11 3031610 2557181.0 474429.0 474429.0 225082876041.0
12 2491580 2971049.0 -479469.0 479469.0 229890521961.0
Suma -958977.0 3944535.0 2539950273153.0
N = 9
DAM 438281.67
EMC 282216697017.00
PEMA 0.168
PME -0.060
SR -2.188
Suavización Exponencial
α= 0.2 Ft= 3,482,480
1 2558540
2 2874710
3 3482480 3,482,480
4 2828300 3482480.0 -654180.0 654180.0 427951472400.0
5 3110300 3351644.0 -241344.0 241344.0 58246926336.0
6 3434540 3303375.2 131164.8 131164.8 17204204759.0
7 3350690 3329608.2 21081.8 21081.8 444443977.8
8 2166410 3333824.5 -1167414.5 1167414.5 1362856680185.5
9 2893640 3100341.6 -206701.6 206701.6 42725560702.8
10 2563970 3059001.3 -495031.3 495031.3 245055985920.4
11 3031610 2959995.0 71615.0 71615.0 5128702734.1
12 2491580 2974318.0 -482738.0 482738.0 233036006254.0
Suma -3023547.9 3471271.1 2392649983269.6
N = 9
DAM 385696.79
EMC 265849998141.06
PEMA 0.153
PME -0.138
SR -7.839
ANÁLISIS
PMSIMPLE PMPOND. SUAV.EXPO Regresión
DAM 333661.11 438281.67 385696.79 310966.17
EMC 206961637744.45 282216697017.00 265849998141.06 133498649742.12
PEMA 0.13 0.17 0.15 0.11
PME -0.06 -0.06 -0.14 -0.01
SR -2.65 -2.19 -7.84 0.56
Regresión
1 2558540 3059336.92
2 2874710 3030166.12
3 3482480 3000995.31
4 2828300 2971824.51 -143524.5 143524.5 20599285111.3
5 3110300 2942653.71 167646.3 167646.3 28105279793.5
6 3434540 2913482.90 521057.1 521057.1 271500499274.2
7 3350690 2884312.10 466377.9 466377.9 217508347565.2
8 2166410 2855141.29 -688731.3 688731.3 474350794930.3
9 2893640 2825970.49 67669.5 67669.5 4579162649.9
10 2563970 2796799.69 -232829.7 232829.7 54209662363.7
11 3031610 2767628.88 263981.1 263981.1 69686031125.7
12 2491580 2738458.08 -246878.1 246878.1 60948784865.2
Suma 174768.4 2798695.5 1201487847679.1
N = 9
DAM 310966.17
EMC 133498649742.12
PEMA 0.113
PME -0.011
SR 0.562
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
0.051 -0.051
0.016 0.016
0.086 0.086
0.068 0.068
0.523 -0.523
0.031 -0.031
0.093 -0.093
0.162 0.162
0.136 -0.136
1.2 -0.5
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
0.177 -0.177
0.068 0.068
0.092 0.092
0.003 0.003
0.539 -0.539
0.167 0.167
0.118 -0.118
0.156 0.156
0.192 -0.192
1.5 -0.5
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
0.231 -0.231
0.078 -0.078
0.038 0.038
0.006 0.006
0.539 -0.539
0.071 -0.071
0.193 -0.193
0.024 0.024
0.194 -0.194
1.4 -1.2
CONCLUSIÓN:
Se sabe que la regresión se ajusta por teoría más que los En este caso en el análisis con las serie
promedios móviles Pero para poder evaluar ello lo sería el mejor pronóstico el P.M. pond
tenemos que determinar en función a las mismas tiene el menor error.
condiciones por ello convertimos esos valores a DAM.
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt 3088507.727 de regresion lineal sheet3

-29170.8042
0.051 -0.051
0.054 0.054
0.152 0.152
0.139 0.139
0.318 -0.318
0.023 0.023
0.091 -0.091
0.087 0.087
0.099 -0.099
1.0 -0.1
n el análisis con las series de tiempos
pronóstico el P.M. ponderado; ya que
tiene el menor error.
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de0.257866679
Coeficiente d 0.066495224
R^2 ajustado -0.02685525
Error típico 413313.3815
Observacione 12
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 1.21684E+11 1.21684E+11 0.712317984 0.418407618
Residuos 10 1.70828E+12 1.70828E+11
Total 11 1.82996E+12
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 3088507.727 254376.8018 12.14146772 2.61633E-07 2521720.892 3655294.562 2521720.892
Variable X 1 -29170.8042 34563.00129 -0.84398933 0.418407618 -106181.97 47840.36181 -106181.97
Superior 95.0%
3655294.562
47840.36181
Año Periodo(t) Dt b 3088507.727
2017 1 2,558,540 a -29170.8042
2017 2 2,874,710
2017 3 3,482,480
2017 4 2,828,300
2017 5 3,110,300
2017 6 3,434,540
2017 7 3,350,690
2017 8 2,166,410
2017 9 2,893,640
2017 10 2,563,970
2017 11 3,031,610
2017 12 2,491,580
2018 13 2,709,287
2018 14 2,680,116
2018 15 2,650,946
2018 16 2,621,775
2018 17 2,592,604
2018 18 2,563,433
2018 19 2,534,262
2018 20 2,505,092
2018 21 2,475,921
2018 22 2,446,750
2018 23 2,417,579
2018 24 2,388,408
EJEMPLO 1
n=3
Periodo(t) Dt Pronóstico (F t+1) Et (Ft+1 - Dt) Abs(Et) Et2
1 3,451,850
2 3,332,720
3 3,352,760
4 2,270,930 3379110.0 -1108180.00 1108180.00 1228062912400.00
5 2,966,210 2985470.0 -19260.00 19260.00 370947600.00
6 3,080,930 2863300.0 217630.00 217630.00 47362816900.00
7 3,289,190 2772690.0 516500.00 516500.00 266772250000.00
8 3,433,280 3112110.0 321170.00 321170.00 103150168900.00
9 3,375,950 3267800.0 108150.00 108150.00 11696422500.00
10 3,267,830 3366140.0 -98310.00 98310.00 9664856100.00
11 2,754,170 3359020.0 -604850.00 604850.00 365843522500.00
12 2,244,950 3132650.0 -887700.00 887700.00 788011290000.00
Suma -1554850.0 3881750.0 2820935186900.0
N = 9
DAM 431305.56
EMC 313437242988.89
PEMA 0.166
PME -0.087
SR -3.605

n=3
1 3,451,850 0.1
2 3,332,720 0.1
3 3,352,760 0.8
4 2,270,930 3360665.0 -1089735.0 1089735.0 1187522370225.0
5 2,966,210 2485292.0 480918.0 480918.0 231282122724.0
6 3,080,930 2935337.0 145593.0 145593.0 21197321649.0
7 3,289,190 2988458.0 300732.0 300732.0 90439735824.0
8 3,433,280 3236066.0 197214.0 197214.0 38893361796.0
9 3,375,950 3383636.0 -7686.0 7686.0 59074596.0
10 3,267,830 3373007.0 -105177.0 105177.0 11062201329.0
11 2,754,170 3295187.0 -541017.0 541017.0 292699394289.0
12 2,244,950 2867714.0 -622764.0 622764.0 387834999696.0
Suma -1241922.0 3490836.0 2260990582128.0
N = 9
DAM 387870.67
EMC 251221175792.00
PEMA 0.150
PME -0.070
SR -3.202
α= 0.2 Ft= 3,352,760
1 3,451,850
2 3,332,720
3 3,352,760 3,352,760
4 2,270,930 3352760.0 -1081830.0 1081830.0 1170356148900.0
5 2,966,210 3136394.0 -170184.0 170184.0 28962593856.0
6 3,080,930 3102357.2 -21427.2 21427.2 459124899.8
7 3,289,190 3098071.8 191118.2 191118.2 36526181660.7
8 3,433,280 3136295.4 296984.6 296984.6 88199847885.4
9 3,375,950 3195692.3 180257.7 180257.7 32492828891.7
10 3,267,830 3231743.9 36086.1 36086.1 1302209419.3
11 2,754,170 3238961.1 -484791.1 484791.1 235022399873.0
12 2,244,950 3142002.9 -897052.9 897052.9 804703853578.9
Suma -1950838.5 3359731.8 2398025188964.8
N = 9
DAM 373303.53
EMC 266447243218.31
PEMA 0.147
PME -0.101
SR -5.226
ANÁLISIS
PMSIMPLE PMPOND. SUAV.EXPO Regresión
DAM 431305.56 387870.67 373303.53 357983.61
EMC 313437242988.89 251221175792.00 266447243218.31 193269961640.71
PEMA 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.13
PME -0.09 -0.07 -0.10 -0.04
SR -3.60 -3.20 -5.23 -1.03
Regresión
1 3,451,850 3298066.54
2 3,332,720 3256308.53
3 3,352,760 3214550.52
4 2,270,930 3172792.52 -901862.5 901862.5 813356000439.9
5 2,966,210 3131034.51 -164824.5 164824.5 27167119258.1
6 3,080,930 3089276.50 -8346.5 8346.5 69664120.6
7 3,289,190 3047518.50 241671.5 241671.5 58405115602.3
8 3,433,280 3005760.49 427519.5 427519.5 182772931849.2
9 3,375,950 2964002.48 411947.5 411947.5 169700757160.0
10 3,267,830 2922244.48 345585.5 345585.5 119429354727.0
11 2,754,170 2880486.47 -126316.5 126316.5 15955850222.3
12 2,244,950 2838728.46 -593778.5 593778.5 352572861387.0
Suma -368404.4 3221852.5 1739429654766.4
N = 9
DAM 357983.61
EMC 193269961640.71
PEMA 0.132
PME -0.038
SR -1.029
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
0.488 -0.488
0.006 -0.006
0.071 0.071
0.157 0.157
0.094 0.094
0.032 0.032
0.030 -0.030
0.220 -0.220
0.395 -0.395
1.5 -0.8
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
0.480 -0.480
0.162 0.162
0.047 0.047
0.091 0.091
0.057 0.057
0.002 -0.002
0.032 -0.032
0.196 -0.196
0.277 -0.277
1.3 -0.6
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
0.476 -0.476
0.057 -0.057
0.007 -0.007
0.058 0.058
0.087 0.087
0.053 0.053
0.011 0.011
0.176 -0.176
0.400 -0.400
1.3 -0.9
CONCLUSIÓN:
Se sabe que la regresión se ajusta por teoría más que los En este caso en el análisis con las serie
promedios móviles Pero para poder evaluar ello lo sería el mejor pronóstico el P.M. pond
tenemos que determinar en función a las mismas tiene el menor error.
Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt 3339824.545

-41758.007
0.397 -0.397
0.056 -0.056
0.003 -0.003
0.073 0.073
0.125 0.125
0.122 0.122
0.106 0.106
0.046 -0.046
0.264 -0.264
1.2 -0.3
n el análisis con las series de tiempos
pronóstico el P.M. ponderado; ya que
Resumen
Coeficiente de 0.34984244
R^2 ajustado 0.034628706
Observacione 12
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 2.49354E+11 2.49354E+11 1.394579551 0.264958278
Residuos 10 1.78802E+12 1.78802E+11
Total 11 2.03737E+12
Intercepción 3339824.545 260246.065 12.8333335 0.000000155 2759960.177 3919688.914 2759960.177
Variable X 1 -41758.007 35360.47712 -1.18092318 0.264958278 -120546.06 37030.04591 -120546.06
Superior 95.0%
3919688.914
37030.04591
2017 1 3,451,850 a -41758.007
2017 2 3,332,720
2017 3 3,352,760
2017 4 2,270,930
2017 5 2,966,210
2017 6 3,080,930
2017 7 3,289,190
2017 8 3,433,280
2017 9 3,375,950
2017 10 3,267,830
2017 11 2,754,170
2017 12 2,244,950
2018 13 2,796,970
2018 14 2,755,212
2018 15 2,713,454
2018 16 2,671,696
2018 17 2,629,938
2018 18 2,588,180
2018 19 2,546,422
2018 20 2,504,664
2018 21 2,462,906
2018 22 2,421,148
2018 23 2,379,390
2018 24 2,337,632
EJEMPLO 1
n=3
Periodo(t) Dt Pronóstico (F t+1) Et (Ft+1 - Dt) Abs(Et)
1 3,117,320
2 2,120,870
3 2,894,510
4 2,261,810 2710900.0 -449090.00 449090.00
5 2,236,070 2425730.0 -189660.00 189660.00
6 2,060,990 2464130.0 -403140.00 403140.00
7 2,801,270 2186290.0 614980.00 614980.00
8 2,262,490 2366110.0 -103620.00 103620.00
9 3,141,170 2374916.7 766253.33 766253.33
10 2,994,170 2734976.7 259193.33 259193.33
11 3,969,330 2799276.7 1170053.33 1170053.33
12 2,657,330 3368223.3 -710893.33 710893.33
Suma 954076.7 4666883.3
N = 9
DAM 518542.59
EMC 368647955245.68
PEMA 0.182
PME 0.006
SR 1.840

n=3
Periodo(t) Dt Pronóstico (F t+1) Et Abs(Et)
1 3,117,320 0.1
2 2,120,870 0.1
3 2,894,510 0.8
4 2,261,810 2839427.0 -577617.0 577617.0
5 2,236,070 2310986.0 -74916.0 74916.0
6 2,060,990 2304488.0 -243498.0 243498.0
7 2,801,270 2098580.0 702690.0 702690.0
8 2,262,490 2670722.0 -408232.0 408232.0
9 3,141,170 2296218.0 844952.0 844952.0
10 2,994,170 3019312.0 -25142.0 25142.0
11 3,969,330 2935702.0 1033628.0 1033628.0
12 2,657,330 3788998.0 -1131668.0 1131668.0
Suma 120197.0 5042343.0
N = 9
DAM 560260.33
EMC 458067443416.56
PEMA 0.200
PME -0.027
SR 0.215
α= 0.2 Ft=
1 3,117,320
2 2,120,870
3 2,894,510 2,894,510
4 2,261,810 2894510.0 -632700.0 632700.0
5 2,236,070 2767970.0 -531900.0 531900.0
6 2,060,990 2661590.0 -600600.0 600600.0
7 2,801,270 2541470.0 259800.0 259800.0
8 2,262,490 2593430.0 -330940.0 330940.0
9 3,141,170 2527242.0 613928.0 613928.0
10 2,994,170 2650027.6 344142.4 344142.4
11 3,969,330 2718856.1 1250473.9 1250473.9
12 2,657,330 2968950.9 -311620.9 311620.9
Suma 60583.5 4876105.2
N = 9
DAM 541789.46
EMC 375233194638.00
PEMA 0.199
PME -0.039
SR 0.112
ANÁLISIS
PMSIMPLE PMPOND. SUAV.EXPO
DAM 518542.59 560260.33 541789.46
EMC 368647955245.68 458067443416.56 375233194638.00
PEMA 0.18 0.20 0.20
PME 0.01 -0.03 -0.04
SR 1.84 0.21 0.11
Regresión
1 3,117,320 2373427.31
2 2,120,870 2434581.89
3 2,894,510 2495736.47
4 2,261,810 2556891.05 -295081.0 295081.0
5 2,236,070 2618045.63 -381975.6 381975.6
6 2,060,990 2679200.21 -618210.2 618210.2
7 2,801,270 2740354.79 60915.2 60915.2
8 2,262,490 2801509.37 -539019.4 539019.4
9 3,141,170 2862663.95 278506.0 278506.0
10 2,994,170 2923818.53 70351.5 70351.5
11 3,969,330 2984973.11 984356.9 984356.9
12 2,657,330 3046127.69 -388797.7 388797.7
Suma -828954.3 3617213.6
N = 9
DAM 401912.62
EMC 234672410245.94
PEMA 0.152
PME -0.067
SR -2.063
Et2 Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt
201681828100.00 0.199 -0.199

35970915600.00 0.085 -0.085
162521859600.00 0.196 -0.196
378200400400.00 0.220 0.220
10737104400.00 0.046 -0.046
587144170844.45 0.244 0.244
67181184044.44 0.087 0.087
1369024802844.44 0.295 0.295
505369331377.78 0.268 -0.268
3317831597211.1 1.6 0.1
333641398689.0 0.255 -0.255

5612407056.0 0.034 -0.034
59291276004.0 0.118 -0.118
493773236100.0 0.251 0.251
166653365824.0 0.180 -0.180
713943882304.0 0.269 0.269
632120164.0 0.008 -0.008
1068386842384.0 0.260 0.260
1280672462224.0 0.426 -0.426
4122606990749.0 1.8 -0.2
2,894,510
400309290000.0 0.280 -0.280

282917610000.0 0.238 -0.238
360720360000.0 0.291 -0.291
67496040000.0 0.093 0.093
109521283600.0 0.146 -0.146
376907589184.0 0.195 0.195
118433991477.8 0.115 0.115
1563685024600.2 0.315 0.315
97107562880.1 0.117 -0.117
3377098751742.0 1.8 -0.4
Regresión CONCLUSIÓN:
401912.62
234672410245.94
Se sabe que la regresión se ajusta por teoría más que los
0.15 promedios móviles Pero para poder evaluar ello lo
-0.07 tenemos que determinar en función a las mismas
-2.06
Et2 Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt 2312272.727

61154.58042
87072825450.1 0.130 -0.130
145905381433.1 0.171 -0.171
382183863488.9 0.300 -0.300
3710662783.8 0.022 0.022
290541881913.7 0.238 -0.238
77565619302.3 0.089 0.089
4949329124.5 0.023 0.023
968958483173.3 0.248 0.248
151163645543.8 0.146 -0.146
2112051692213.4 1.4 -0.6
En este caso en el análisis con las series de tiempos
sería el mejor pronóstico el P.M. ponderado; ya que
Resumen
Coeficiente de0.393283244
R^2 ajustado 0.070138881
Observacione 12
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 5.34803E+11 5.34803E+11 1.829723576 0.205952258
Residuos 10 2.92286E+12 2.92286E+11
Total 11 3.45767E+12
Intercepción 2312272.727 332737.9251 6.949231069 3.95083E-05 1570886.429 3053659.026 1570886.429
Variable X 1 61154.58042 45210.18132 1.352672753 0.205952258 -39579.9811 161889.1419 -39579.9811
Superior 95.0%
3053659.026
161889.1419
2017 1 3,117,320 a 61154.58042
2017 2 2,120,870
2017 3 2,894,510
2017 4 2,261,810
2017 5 2,236,070
2017 6 2,060,990
2017 7 2,801,270
2017 8 2,262,490
2017 9 3,141,170
2017 10 2,994,170
2017 11 3,969,330
2017 12 2,657,330
2018 13 3,107,282
2018 14 3,168,437
2018 15 3,229,591
2018 16 3,290,746
2018 17 3,351,901
2018 18 3,413,055
2018 19 3,474,210
2018 20 3,535,364
2018 21 3,596,519
2018 22 3,657,673
2018 23 3,718,828
2018 24 3,779,983
PRODUCTO 1 PRODUCTO 2
Año Mes Total unid/mes Año Mes Total unid/mes
2018 1 2709287.273 27229.01782 2018 1 2796970.455 47975.47949
2018 2 2680116.469 26935.8439 2018 2 2755212.448 47259.21865
2018 3 2650945.664 26642.66999 2018 3 2713454.441 46542.95781
2018 4 2621774.86 26349.49608 2018 4 2671696.434 45826.69697
2018 5 2592604.056 26056.32217 2018 5 2629938.427 45110.43613
2018 6 2563433.252 25763.14826 2018 6 2588180.42 44394.17529
2018 7 2534262.448 25469.97435 2018 7 2546422.413 43677.91445
2018 8 2505091.643 25176.80044 2018 8 2504664.406 42961.65361
2018 9 2475920.839 24883.62652 2018 9 2462906.399 42245.39277
2018 10 2446750.035 24590.45261 2018 10 2421148.392 41529.13193
2018 11 2417579.231 24297.2787 2018 11 2379390.385 40812.87109
2018 12 2388408.427 24004.10479 2018 12 2337632.378 40096.61025
Operadores Lineas Producción Unidad
6 LINEA 1 99.5 Und/min
12 194.3 Und/min
16.1916666667
PRODUCTO 3
TOTAL UNID/MES
Año Mes Total unid/mes unidades
2018 1 3107282.273 85131.02117 8613540 160336
2018 2 3168436.853 86806.48913 8603766 161002
2018 3 3229591.434 88481.95708 8593992 161668
2018 4 3290746.014 90157.42504 8584217 162334
2018 5 3351900.594 91832.893 8574443 163000
2018 6 3413055.175 93508.36095 8564669 163666
2018 7 3474209.755 95183.82891 8554895 164332
2018 8 3535364.336 96859.29687 8545120 164998
2018 9 3596518.916 98534.76482 8535346 165664
2018 10 3657673.497 100210.2328 8525572 166330
2018 11 3718828.077 101885.7007 8515798 166996
2018 12 3779982.657 103561.1687 8506023 167662
1967984
Enero Febrero Marzo
Días laborables 30 30 30
Demanda (minutos) 160335.5184817 161001.5516866 161667.5848914
SI
Producción 160335.52 161001.55 161667.58

Producción +2% 163607.67 164287.30 164966.92
CONSTANTE Enero Febrero Marzo

Prod Requerida Min 163,608 164,287 164,967
Min. / HM mes 12,343 12,343 12,343
Hm Req 13.6 13.6 13.6
Hm Dispo 12
Contrato / Despido - 1.558
Producción 167,346 167,346 167,346

HN 167,346 167,346 167,346
Hex
Costos 49,953 47,453 47,453

HN 47,453 47,453 47,453
Hex
Inventarios - 3,058 2,379

Inventarios Acum 3,058 5,437
Costo de Inventario 0.90 - - -
Contrato / Despido 2500 2,500
Demanda Acum. 163,608 327,895 492,862

Produc. Acum. 167,346 334,691 502,037
Monto Producción
(US$) (unid)
Costo Directo 569,433 2,008,147
Gasto Administrativo 2,500 2,008,147
Total
PERSECUCIÓN Enero Febrero Marzo
Prod Requerida Unid 163,608 164,287 164,967
Unid. / HM mes 12,343 12,343 12,343
Hm Req 13 13 13
Hm Dispo 12
Contrato / Despido 1 - -
Producción 160,457 160,457 160,457

HN 160,457 160,457 160,457
Hex
Costos 48,000 45,500 45,500

HN 45,500 45,500 45,500
Hex -
Inventarios - 3,151 - 6,981 - 11,490
Costo de Inventario 0.90 - - -

Despido 5000
Contrato 2500 2,500 - -
Demanda Acum. 163,608 327,895 492,862

Produc. Acum. 160,457 320,914 481,371
Monto Producción
(US$) (unid)
Costo Directo 575,684 2,011,886
Gasto Administrativo 5,000 2,011,886
Total
Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre
30 30 30 30 30 30
162333.6180962 162999.651301 163665.6845059 164331.7177107 164997.7509155 165663.7841203
162333.62 162999.65 163665.68 164331.72 164997.75 165663.78

165646.55 166326.17 167005.80 167685.43 168365.05 169044.68

165,647 166,326 167,006 167,685 168,365 169,045
12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343
13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6
167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346

167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346
47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453

47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453
1,699 1,019 340 - 340 - 1,019 - 1,699

7,136 8,156 8,495 - - 1,019 - 2,719
- - - - - -
658,508 824,835 991,840 1,159,526 1,327,891 1,496,936

669,382 836,728 1,004,074 1,171,419 1,338,765 1,506,111
Costo Unitario
(US$/unid)
0.28
0.00124
0.28
165,647 166,326 167,006 167,685 168,365 169,045
12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343
13 13 14 14 14 14
- - 1 - - -
160,457 160,457 172,800 172,800 172,800 172,800

160,457 160,457 172,800 172,800 172,800 172,800
45,500 45,500 51,500 49,000 49,000 49,000

45,500 45,500 49,000 49,000 49,000 49,000
- 16,680 - 22,549 - 16,755 - 11,640 - 7,205 - 3,450
- - - - - -
-
- 2,500 - -
658,508 824,835 991,840 1,159,526 1,327,891 1,496,936

641,829 802,286 975,086 1,147,886 1,320,686 1,493,486
Costo Unitario
(US$/unid)
0.29
0.00249
0.29
Octubre Noviembre Diciembre
30 30 30
166329.8173252 166995.85053 167661.8837348
166329.82 166995.85 167661.88

169724.30 170403.93 171083.55

169,724 170,404 171,084 167,346
12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343
13.6 13.6 13.6 13.6
167,346 167,346 167,346 2,008,147

167,346 167,346 167,346 2,008,147
-
47,453 47,453 47,453 571,933

47,453 47,453 47,453 569,433
-
- 2,379 - 3,058 - 3,738

- 5,097 - 8,156 - 11,893
- - - -
2,500
1,666,660 1,837,064 2,008,147

1,673,456 1,840,802 2,008,147
169,724 170,404 171,084 167,346
12,343 12,343 12,343 12,343
14 14 14 14
- - -
172,800 172,800 172,800 2,011,886

172,800 172,800 172,800 2,011,886
49,000 50,820 52,365 580,684

49,000 49,000 49,000 570,500
- 374 2,022 3,738 - 94,514
- 1,820 3,365 5,184

- - -
- 5,000
1,666,660 1,837,064 2,008,147

1,666,286 1,839,086 2,011,886
Tiempo
Disponible Ausentismo Unidades
Productividad por operador 699480 0 Und/mes
Tiempo estandar por Operador 3600 0 Min/mes
Minutos diponibles 12343
T mIn 3600
Total De Operadores 12
Capacidad total de los operadores 194.3 Und/min
Minutos disponibles Hombre 16.1916666667 Und/min
Minutos disponibles Hombre 12343
Costo de inven 0.21 S/. X Sem
Planilla BL Costo
Costo de MOD 2330 0.61 3500
Personal Req Enero 13.255 operarios

Pronóstico Total 1,967,984
Inv. Inicial Periodo 1 -
Compras -
Inv. Final Periodo N -
Prod. Req. Total 1,967,984
Número de Períodos 12
Prod. Por Operario 12343
Número de Operarios 13.29
0.71
14.00
HM REQ. 13.29
13.00
-0.29
Costo de Inventario 4478563
Costo de Contrato 2500.00
Salario 32132.04
Costo Marginal 4513195.12
Número de Personas a Considerar en 13.0

AP Constante
Costo de Horas Extras 16211.83

Costo Marginal 16211.83
Minutos Nominales Disponible por Hombre al Mes 12343.00
Minutos Reales Disponible por Hombre al Mes 11725.85
TE Real All Productos (minutos/unidad) 0.02
Unidades hechas por 1 Hombre/minuto (unidades /minuto) 49.58
Costo unitario de inventario (sol/unidad) 0.90
Costo Mano de Obra H.Normal (Sol/hora) 18.25
Costo Mano de Obra H.Extra (Sol/hora) 22.90
Número de Períodos Proyectados (Meses) 12.00
PRODUCTO 1
Inventario disponible 60000
Lote 50000
PRODUCTO 1 ENERO
1 2 3 4 5
Demanda (pronostico) 574311 574312 574313 574314 574315
Pedidos 542311 542312 542313 542314 542315
Disponibles proyectado 1024622 0 25687 25687 25687
Disponibles promesa
PMP 21.0 600000.0 574313.7 574314.7
LOTES 12 11 11
PRODUCTO 2 ENERO
1 2 3 4 5
Pedidos 556384 562404 558794 560294 559894
Disponibles promesa
PMP 22.0 600000.0 560294.0 559894.0
LOTES 12 11 11
PRODUCTO 3 ENERO
1 2 3 4 5
Pedidos 556384 562404 549794 560294 560294
Disponibles promesa
PMP 23.0 600000.0 560294.0 560294.0
LOTES 12.00 11 11
FEBRERO MARZO
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
574316 574317 574318 574319 574320 574321 574322
542316 542317 542318 542319 542320 542321 542322
25687 25687 25687 25687 25687 25687 25687
574315.7 574316.7 574317.7 574318.7 574319.7 574320.7 574321.7

11 11 11 11 11 11 11
FEBRERO MARZO
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
688303 689303 688802 688804 542690 542692 542684
688503 689763 689502 688748 544990 543352 543384
40906 40906 40906 40906 40906 40906 40906
688503.0 689763.0 689502.0 688804.0 544990.0 543352.0 543384.0

14 14 14 14 11 11 11
FEBRERO MARZO
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
688003 689603 688702 688904 542690 542392 542984
688803 689763 688102 688748 544990 542032 543384
49934 49934 49934 49934 49934 49934 49934
688803.0 689763.0 688702.0 688904.0 544990.0 542392.0 543384.0

14 14 14 14 11 11 11
MARZO
13 14
574323 574324
542323 542324
25687 25687
574322.7 574323.7
11 11
MARZO
13 14
542698 542691
543098 543146
40906 40906
543098.0 543146.0
11 11
MARZO
13 14
542698 542691
543098 543146
49934 49934
543098.0 543146.0
11 11
TAMAÑO DE LOTES EN LOS SISTEMAS MRP
Datos: Producto 1
Costo por pedido o preparación (S) 400.0 $/pedido
Costo por llevar inventario 1000 $/unidad/semana
Número de Semanas por Año 365 dias
Números de Perídos 8 semanas
Demanda Total 4594513 unidades
Demanda Anual (D) 209624673 unidades
Costo Inventario Anual (H) 260 soles/unidad/año
EOQ 25397 unidades
LOTE POR LOTE (LPL)
Semana Requer. Netos Cant. Prod. Invent. Final Costo Prep. Costo Invent.
1 574310.67 574310.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
2 574311.67 574311.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
3 574312.67 574312.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
4 574313.67 574313.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
5 574314.67 574314.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
6 574315.67 574315.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
7 574316.67 574316.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
8 574317.67 574317.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
4594513.37 4594513.37 3200.0 0.0
COSTO TOTAL MÍNIMO (CTM)
Semana Volumen Pedido Costo Prep. Costo Invent. Costo Total

1 574310.67 400.0 0.0 400.0
1-2 1148622.34 Incia 2° Pedido 400.0 574311671.8 574312071.8
1-3 1722935.02 400.0 1722937015.5 1722937415.5
1-4 2297248.69 400.0 3445878031.0 3445878431.0
1-5 2871563.36 400.0 5743136718.3 5743137118.3
1-6 3445879.03 400.0 8614715077.4 8614715477.4
1-7 4020195.70 400.0 12060615108.4 12060615508.4
1-8 4594513.37 400.0 16080838811.2 16080839211.2
2 574311.67 400.0 0.0 400.0
2-3 1148623.34365634 400.0 574311671.8 574312071.8
1 574310.67 574310.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
2 574311.67 574311.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
3 574312.67 574312.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
4 574313.67 574313.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
5 574314.67 574314.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
6 574315.67 574315.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
7 574316.67 574316.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
8 574317.67 574317.67 0.00 400.0 0.0
4594513.37 4594513.3746254 3200.0 0.0
Datos: Producto 2
EOQ 26129 unidades
LOTE POR LOTE (LPL)
1 559384.00 559384.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
2 559404.00 559404.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
3 559094.00 559094.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4 559694.00 559694.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
5 559394.00 559394.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
6 688303.00 688303.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
7 689303.00 689303.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
8 688802.00 688802.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4863378.00 4863378.00 3200.0 0.0

1 559384.00 400.0 -25651233950.5 -25651233550.5
1-2 1118788.00 400.0 -9428517950.5 -9428517550.5
1-3 1677882.00 400.0 7344302049.5 7344302449.5
1-4 2237576.00 400.0 24694816049.5 24694816449.5
1-5 2796970.00 400.0 42595424049.5 42595424449.5
1-6 3485273.00 400.0 65309423049.5 65309423449.5
1-7 4174576.00 400.0 88745725049.5 88745725449.5
1-8 4863378.00 400.0 112853795049.5 112853795449.5
2 559404.00 400.0 -25889232764.7 -25889232364.7
2-3 1118808 400.0 -9666516764.7 -9666516364.7
1 559384.00 559384.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
2 559404.00 559404.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
3 559094.00 559094.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4 559694.00 559694.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
5 559394.00 559394.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
6 688303.00 688303.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
7 689303.00 689303.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
8 688802.00 688802.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4863378.00 4863378 3200.0 0.0
Datos: Producto 3
EOQ 26105 unidades
LOTE POR LOTE (LPL)
1 559384.00 559384.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
2 559404.00 559404.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
3 550066.00 550066.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4 559694.00 559694.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
5 559394.00 559394.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
6 688003.00 688003.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
7 689603.00 689603.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
8 688702.00 688702.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4854250.00 4854250.00 3200.0 0.0

1 559384.00 400.0 -52015776950.5 -52015776550.5
1-2 1118788.00 400.0 -20129748950.5 -20129748550.5
1-3 1668854.00 400.0 11774079049.5 11774079449.5
1-4 2228548.00 400.0 44796025049.5 44796025449.5
1-5 2787942.00 400.0 78359665049.5 78359665449.5
1-6 3475945.00 400.0 120327848049.5 120327848449.5
1-7 4165548.00 400.0 163083234049.5 163083234449.5
1-8 4854250.00 400.0 206471460049.5 206471460449.5
2 559404.00 400.0 -52198647764.7 -52198647364.7
2-3 1118808 400.0 -20312619764.7 -20312619364.7
1 559384.00 559384.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
2 559404.00 559404.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
3 550066.00 550066.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4 559694.00 559694.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
5 559394.00 559394.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
6 688003.00 688003.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
7 689603.00 689603.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
8 688702.00 688702.00 0.00 400.0 0.0
4854250.00 4854250 3200.0 0.0
LOTE ECONÓMICO DEL PEDIDO (EOQ)
Costo Total Semana Requer. Netos Cant. Prod.

400.0 1 574310.67 25397
800.0 2 574311.67
1200.0 3 574312.67
1600.0 4 574313.67
2000.0 5 574314.67
2400.0 6 574315.67
2800.0 7 574316.67
3200.0 8 574317.67
3200.0 4594513.37 25397.00
COSTO MÍNIMO POR UNIDAD (CMU)
Difer. Semana Volumen Pedido

400.0 1° Pedido CTM 1 574310.67
574311271.8 1-2 1148622.34 Incia 2° Pedido
1722936615.5 1-3 1722935.02
3445877631.0 1-4 2297248.69
5743136318.3 1-5 2871563.36
8614714677.4 1-6 3445879.03
12060614708.4 1-7 4020195.70
16080838411.2 1-8 4594513.37
400.0 2° Pedido CTM 2 0.80
574311271.8 2-3 1.6
400.0 1 574310.67 574311
400.0 2 574311.67 574312
400.0 3 574312.67 574313
400.0 4 574313.67 574314
400.0 5 574314.67 574315
800.0 6 574315.67 574316
800.0 7 574316.67 574317
1200.0 8 574317.67 574318
3200.0 4594513.37 4594513

400.0 1 559384.00 26129
800.0 2 559404.00
1200.0 3 559094.00
1600.0 4 559694.00
2000.0 5 559394.00
2400.0 6 688303.00
2800.0 7 689303.00
3200.0 8 688802.00
3200.0 4863378.00 26129.00

25651234350.5 1 559384.00
9428518350.5 1-2 1118788.00
7344301649.5 1-3 1677882.00
24694815649.5 1-4 2237576.00
42595423649.5 1-5 2796970.00
65309422649.5 1-6 3485273.00
88745724649.5 1-7 4174576.00
112853794649.5 1-8 4863378.00
25889233164.7 2 0.80
9666517164.7 2-3 1.6

400.0 1 559384.00 559384
400.0 2 559404.00 559404
400.0 3 559094.00 559094
400.0 4 559694.00 559694
400.0 5 559394.00 559394
800.0 6 688303.00 688303
800.0 7 689303.00 689303
1200.0 8 688802.00 688802
3200.0 4863378.00 4863378

400.0 1 559384.00 26105
800.0 2 559404.00
1200.0 3 550066.00
1600.0 4 559694.00
2000.0 5 559394.00
2400.0 6 688003.00
2800.0 7 689603.00
3200.0 8 688702.00
3200.0 4854250.00 26105.00

52015777350.5 1 559384.00
20129749350.5 1-2 1118788.00
11774078649.5 1-3 1668854.00
44796024649.5 1-4 2228548.00
78359664649.5 1-5 2787942.00
120327847649.5 1-6 3475945.00
163083233649.5 1-7 4165548.00
206471459649.5 1-8 4854250.00
52198648164.7 2 0.80
20312620164.7 2-3 1.6

400.0 1 559384.00 559384
400.0 2 559404.00 559404
400.0 3 550066.00 550066
400.0 4 559694.00 559694
400.0 5 559394.00 559394
800.0 6 688003.00 688003
800.0 7 689603.00 689603
1200.0 8 688702.00 688702
3200.0 4854250.00 4854250
PRODUCTO 1
Req. NETOS x
Semana Semana
1 574311
2 574312
3 574313
4 574314
5 574315
6 574316
7 574317
8 574318
Invent. Final Costo Prep. Costo Invent. Costo Total

-548914 400.0 -548913671.8 -548913271.8
-1123225 0.0 -1123225343.7 -1672138615.5
-1697538 0.0 -1697538015.5 -3369676631.0
-2271852 0.0 -2271851687.3 -5641528318.3
-2846166 0.0 -2846166359.1 -8487694677.4
-3420482 0.0 -3420482031.0 -11908176708.4
-3994799 0.0 -3994798702.8 -15902975411.2
-4569116 0.0 -4569116374.6 -20472091785.8
400.0 -20472092185.8 -20472091785.8
Costo Prep. Costo Invent. Costo Total Costo Unidad

400.0 0.0 400.0 0.001 1° Pedido CMU
400.0 574311671.8 574312071.8 500.001
400.0 1722937015.5 1722937415.5 1000.001
400.0 3445878031.0 3445878431.0 1500.002
400.0 5743136718.3 5743137118.3 2000.004
400.0 8614715077.4 8614715477.4 2500.005
400.0 12060615108.4 12060615508.4 3000.007
400.0 16080838811.2 16080839211.2 3500.009
400.0 0.0 400.0 500.000 2° Pedido CMU
400.0 800.0 1200.0 750.000
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
3200.0 0.0 3200.0
PRODUCTO 2
Req. NETOS x
Semana Semana
1 559384
2 559404
3 559094
4 559694
5 559394
6 688303
7 689303
8 688802

-533255 400.0 -533255000.0 -533254600.0
-1092659 0.0 -1092659000.0 -1625913600.0
-1651753 0.0 -1651753000.0 -3277666600.0
-2211447 0.0 -2211447000.0 -5489113600.0
-2770841 0.0 -2770841000.0 -8259954600.0
-3459144 0.0 -3459144000.0 -11719098600.0
-4148447 0.0 -4148447000.0 -15867545600.0
-4837249 0.0 -4837249000.0 -20704794600.0
400.0 -20704795000.0 -20704794600.0

400.0 -25651233950.5 -25651233550.5 -45856.216
400.0 -9428517950.5 -9428517550.5 -8427.439
400.0 7344302049.5 7344302449.5 4377.127
400.0 24694816049.5 24694816449.5 11036.415
400.0 42595424049.5 42595424449.5 15229.132
400.0 65309423049.5 65309423449.5 18738.682
400.0 88745725049.5 88745725449.5 21258.620
400.0 112853795049.5 112853795449.5 23204.817
400.0 -25889232764.7 -25889232364.7 32361540455.919
400.0 800.0 1200.0 750.000

0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
3200.0 0.0 3200.0
PRODUCTO 3
Req. NETOS x
Semana Semana
1 559384
2 559404
3 550066
4 559694
5 559394
6 688003
7 689603
8 688702

-533279 400.0 -533279000.0 -533278600.0
-1092683 0.0 -1092683000.0 -1625961600.0
-1642749 0.0 -1642749000.0 -3268710600.0
-2202443 0.0 -2202443000.0 -5471153600.0
-2761837 0.0 -2761837000.0 -8232990600.0
-3449840 0.0 -3449840000.0 -11682830600.0
-4139443 0.0 -4139443000.0 -15822273600.0
-4828145 0.0 -4828145000.0 -20650418600.0
400.0 -20650419000.0 -20650418600.0

400.0 -52015776950.5 -52015776550.5 -92987.602
400.0 -20129748950.5 -20129748550.5 -17992.460
400.0 11774079049.5 11774079449.5 7055.188
400.0 44796025049.5 44796025449.5 20100.992
400.0 78359665049.5 78359665449.5 28106.634
400.0 120327848049.5 120327848449.5 34617.305
400.0 163083234049.5 163083234449.5 39150.487
400.0 206471460049.5 206471460449.5 42534.163
400.0 -52198647764.7 -52198647364.7 65248309205.919
400.0 800.0 1200.0 750.000

0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 400.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
0.00 400.0 0.0 800.0
3200.0 0.0 3200.0
S
COMPONENTE TA SF OO SS LXL
1 2
Requerimientos brutos (PMP)
Recepciones Programadas
Disponibilidad 0 0
GLOBE 0 0 0 0
Requerimiento Neto
Recepción de Pedidos Planificados
Emisión de Pedidos Planificados
Disponibilidad 0 0
WING 0 0 0 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0 0
VICTOR 0 0 0 0
Requerimiento Neto
S
COMPONENTE
1 2
GLOBE Emisión de Pedidos Planificados
WING Emisión de Pedidos Planificados
VICTOR Emisión de Pedidos Planificados
Semana
3 4 5 6 7
600000 574314 574315 574316 574317
0 0 0 0 0
600000 574314 574315 574316 574317
600000 574314 574315 574316 574317
600000 574314 574315 574316 574317 2897261
600000 560294 559894 688503 689763
0 0 0 0 0
600000 560294 559894 688503 689763
600000 560294 559894 688503 689763
600000 560294 559894 688503 689763 3098454
600000 560294 560294 688803 689763
0 0 0 0 0
600000 560294 560294 688803 689763
600000 560294 560294 688803 689763
600000 560294 560294 688803 689763 3099154
Semana
3 4 5 6 7
600000 574314 574315 574316 574317
600000 560294 559894 688503 689763
600000 560294 560294 688803 689763
Q.REQ
COMPONENTE TA (SEMANAS) SF OO SS NIVEL X
PRODUCTO
GLOBE
GLOBE 0 0 0 1 1
SILICE 1 0 0 0 2 0.50251256
SODA 2 0 0 0 2 1.005
FELDESPATO 2 0 0 0 2 1.005
CALIZA 2 0 0 0 2 1.005
SEMANAS
DÍAS -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10
Requerimientos brutos
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Requerimientos brutos 0 0 0 0 0 0
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Emisión de Pedidos Planificados 0 0 0 43073 43073 43073
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
-9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1
85714
85714
0
85714
85714
85714
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43073
0
43073
43073
43073 43073 43073 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 86145
0
86145
86145
0 0 0 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457
43289 43289 43289 41436 41436 41436 41436 41436 41436 86145
0
86145
86145
0 0 0 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457
0 0 0 86578 86578 86578 86578 86578 86578 86145
0
86145
86145
0 0 0 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457
Semana
3 4
600000 574314
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 82045 82045 82045 82045
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 82045 82045 82045 82045
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 82045 82045 82045 82045
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 82045 82045 82045 82045
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 82045 82045 82045 82045
43073 43073 43073 43073 43073 43073 41229 41229 41229 41229
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
43073 43073 43073 43073 43073 43073 41229 41229 41229 41229
43073 43073 43073 43073 43073 43073 41229 41229 41229 41229
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 86145 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
Semana
4 5 6
574314 574315 5743
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
41229 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 82457 0 0
6
574316
22 23 24 25 26
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
0 0 0 0 0
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045
82045 82045 82045 82045 82045 2158854
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
0 0 0 0 0
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
41229 41229 41229 41229 41229
0 0 0 0 0 535972
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 2083557
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 2083557
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
82457 82457 82457 82457 82457
0 0 0 0 0 2083557
Q.REQ
PRODUCTO
GLOBE
GLOBE 0 0 0 1 1
SILICE 1 0 0 0 2 0.9009009
SODA 2 0 0 0 2 1.802
FELDESPATO 2 0 0 0 2 1.802
CALIZA 2 0 0 0 2 1.802
SEMANAS
DÍAS -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
-9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1
85714
85714
0
85714
85714
85714
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 77220
0
77220
77220
77220 77220 77220 72110 72110 72110 72110 72110 72110 72058
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 154440
0
154440
154440
0 0 0 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220
139135 139135 139135 129928 129928 129928 129928 129928 129928 154440
0
154440
154440
0 0 0 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220
0 0 0 278271 278271 278271 278271 278271 278271 154440
0
154440
154440
0 0 0 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220
Semana
3 4
600000 560294
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
77220 77220 77220 77220 77220 77220 72110 72110 72110 72110
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
77220 77220 77220 77220 77220 77220 72110 72110 72110 72110
77220 77220 77220 77220 77220 77220 72110 72110 72110 72110
72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 88610 88610 88610 88610 88610
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
144220 144220 144220 144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
144220 144220 144220 144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 154440 144220 144220 144220 144220
144220 144220 144220 144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117
Semana
4 5 6
560294 559894 6885
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
80042 80042 80042 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 98358
80042 80042 80042 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 98358
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
80042 80042 80042 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 98358
80042 80042 80042 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 98358
80042 80042 80042 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 79985 98358
72110 72110 72110 72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 88610
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
72110 72110 72110 72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 88610
72110 72110 72110 72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 72058 88610
88610 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
144117 144117 177221 177221 177221 177221 177221 177221 0 0
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
144117 144117 177221 177221 177221 177221 177221 177221 0 0
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
144220 144220 144220 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 144117 177221
144117 144117 177221 177221 177221 177221 177221 177221 0 0
6
688503
22 23 24 25 26
98358 98358 98358 98358 98358
98358 98358 98358 98358 98358
0 0 0 0 0
98358 98358 98358 98358 98358
98358 98358 98358 98358 98358
98358 98358 98358 98358 98358 2230349
88610 88610 88610 88610 88610
0 0 0 0 0
88610 88610 88610 88610 88610
88610 88610 88610 88610 88610
0 0 0 0 0 1036123
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
0 0 0 0 0
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
0 0 0 0 0 3864206
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
0 0 0 0 0
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
0 0 0 0 0 3864206
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
0 0 0 0 0
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
177221 177221 177221 177221 177221
0 0 0 0 0 3864206
Q.REQ
PRODUCTO
GLOBE
GLOBE 0 0 0 1 1
SILICE 1 0 0 0 2 1.4084507
SODA 2 0 0 0 2 2.817
FELDESPATO 2 0 0 0 2 2.817
CALIZA 2 0 0 0 2 2.813
SEMANAS
DÍAS -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
Disponibilidad 0
Requerimiento Neto
-9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1
85714
85714
0
85714
85714
85714
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 120724
0
120724
120724
120724 120724 120724 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 241449
0
241449
241449
0 0 0 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470
340069 340069 340069 317564 317564 317564 317564 317564 317564 241449
0
241449
241449
0 0 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470
0 0 0 680137 680137 680137 680137 680137 680137 241109
0
241109
241109
0 0 241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 225153
Semana
3 4
600000 560294
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 85714 80042 80042 80042 80042
120724 120724 120724 120724 120724 120724 112735 112735 112735 112735
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
120724 120724 120724 120724 120724 120724 112735 112735 112735 112735
120724 120724 120724 120724 120724 120724 112735 112735 112735 112735
112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 138592 138592 138592 138592 138592
241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470 225470 225470 225470
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470 225470 225470 225470
241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470 225470 225470 225470
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470
241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470 225470 225470 225470
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470 225470 225470 225470
241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 241449 225470 225470 225470 225470
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470
241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 225153 225153 225153 225153
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 225153 225153 225153 225153
241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 241109 225153 225153 225153 225153
225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153
Semana
4 5 6
560294 560294 6888
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 98400
80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 98400
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 98400
80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 98400
80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 80042 98400
112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 138592
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 138592
112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 112735 138592
138592 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 277184
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 277184
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 277184
225470 225470 277184 277184 277184 277184 277184 277184 0 0
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 277184
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 277184
225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 225470 277184
225470 225470 277184 277184 277184 277184 277184 277184 0 0
225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 276794
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 276794
225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 225153 276794
225153 225153 276794 276794 276794 276794 276794 276794 0 0
6
688803
22 23 24 25 26
98400 98400 98400 98400 98400
98400 98400 98400 98400 98400
0 0 0 0 0
98400 98400 98400 98400 98400
98400 98400 98400 98400 98400
98400 98400 98400 98400 98400 2230949
138592 138592 138592 138592 138592
0 0 0 0 0
138592 138592 138592 138592 138592
138592 138592 138592 138592 138592
0 0 0 0 0 1620699
277184 277184 277184 277184 277184
0 0 0 0 0
277184 277184 277184 277184 277184
277184 277184 277184 277184 277184
0 0 0 0 0 6042913
277184 277184 277184 277184 277184
0 0 0 0 0
277184 277184 277184 277184 277184
277184 277184 277184 277184 277184
0 0 0 0 0 6284362
276794 276794 276794 276794 276794
0 0 0 0 0
276794 276794 276794 276794 276794
276794 276794 276794 276794 276794
0 0 0 0 0 6275523
Botella vidrio
0.5 TN
1 TN
Silice Soda
1 2
Semana Semana
1
Botella vidrio
1 semana
1 TN 1TN kg
Feldespato Caliza
2
2
Semana semana
1 TN
Caliza 2
semana

Trabajo PCP Final 10-03-2018 Actualizado

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Trabajo PCP Final 10-03-2018 Actualizado

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EJEMPLO 1

Promedio Móvil Simple

Promedio Móvil Ponderado

Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt 3088507.727 de regresion lineal sheet3

Promedio Móvil Ponderado

Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt 3339824.545

Promedio Móvil Ponderado

201681828100.00 0.199 -0.199

Et2 Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt

333641398689.0 0.255 -0.255

400309290000.0 0.280 -0.280

Et2 Abs(Et)/Dt Et/Dt 2312272.727

Producción 160335.52 161001.55 161667.58

CONSTANTE Enero Febrero Marzo

Producción 167,346 167,346 167,346

Costos 49,953 47,453 47,453

Inventarios - 3,058 2,379

Demanda Acum. 163,608 327,895 492,862

Producción 160,457 160,457 160,457

Costos 48,000 45,500 45,500

Inventarios - 3,151 - 6,981 - 11,490

Costo de Inventario 0.90 - - -

Demanda Acum. 163,608 327,895 492,862

162333.62 162999.65 163665.68 164331.72 164997.75 165663.78

Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre

167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346 167,346

47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453 47,453

1,699 1,019 340 - 340 - 1,019 - 1,699

658,508 824,835 991,840 1,159,526 1,327,891 1,496,936

160,457 160,457 172,800 172,800 172,800 172,800

45,500 45,500 51,500 49,000 49,000 49,000

- 16,680 - 22,549 - 16,755 - 11,640 - 7,205 - 3,450

658,508 824,835 991,840 1,159,526 1,327,891 1,496,936

166329.82 166995.85 167661.88

Octubre Noviembre Diciembre

167,346 167,346 167,346 2,008,147

47,453 47,453 47,453 571,933

- 2,379 - 3,058 - 3,738

1,666,660 1,837,064 2,008,147

172,800 172,800 172,800 2,011,886

49,000 50,820 52,365 580,684

- 374 2,022 3,738 - 94,514

- 1,820 3,365 5,184

1,666,660 1,837,064 2,008,147

Costo de inven 0.21 S/. X Sem

Personal Req Enero 13.255 operarios

Número de Personas a Considerar en 13.0

Costo de Horas Extras 16211.83

574315.7 574316.7 574317.7 574318.7 574319.7 574320.7 574321.7

688503.0 689763.0 689502.0 688804.0 544990.0 543352.0 543384.0

688803.0 689763.0 688702.0 688904.0 544990.0 542392.0 543384.0

LOTE POR LOTE (LPL)

COSTO TOTAL MÍNIMO (CTM)

Semana Volumen Pedido Costo Prep. Costo Invent. Costo Total

TAMAÑO DE LOTES EN LOS SISTEMAS MRP

LOTE POR LOTE (LPL)

COSTO TOTAL MÍNIMO (CTM)

Semana Volumen Pedido Costo Prep. Costo Invent. Costo Total

TAMAÑO DE LOTES EN LOS SISTEMAS MRP

LOTE POR LOTE (LPL)

COSTO TOTAL MÍNIMO (CTM)

Semana Volumen Pedido Costo Prep. Costo Invent. Costo Total

Costo Total Semana Requer. Netos Cant. Prod.