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Two gas projects to nearly
triple gas production by Dec 2018(1)
This presentation may include certain forward looking statements. All statements
22 blocks / other than statements of historical fact, included herein, including, without
2.7 MM net acres limitation, statements regarding future plans and objectives of Canacol Energy
Ltd. (“Canacol” or the “Corporation”), are forward‐looking statements that
Natural Gas
involve various risks, assumptions, estimates, and uncertainties. These statements
reflect the current internal projections, expectations or beliefs of Canacol and are
based on information currently available to the Corporation. There can be no
Shale oil
assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, and actual results and
future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements.
All of the forward looking statements contained in this presentation are qualified
by these cautionary statements and the risk factors described above.
Furthermore, all such statements are made as of the date this presentation is
Light oil given and Canacol assumes no obligation to update or revise these statements.
Shale oil
Barrels of Oil Equivalent
S. Pacific Ocean
Barrels of oil equivalent (boe) is calculated using the conversion factor of 5.7 Mcf
Colombia
(thousand cubic feet) of natural gas being equivalent to one barrel of oil. Boes
may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 5.7
Heavy oil Mcf:1 bbl (barrel) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead.
In MM, except CDN $/share amounts
TSX $/share (6/28/17) CDN $4.24 • ‘17 corporate production guidance
• ↑ gas production 85 → 130 MMcf/d (Dec ’17 exit)
Fully diluted shares outstanding(1) 177
• Fully funded capex $89 MM
Market capitalization(2) US 575 • Production 18‐19k boepd
Net debt(3) $212 % gas 81%
Enterprise value US $787
+52% CAGR in 2P reserves • A conventional gas success story
In MMboe(1)
oil gas
• Recent 2P NPV‐10 $1.2 B(2)
85
79 • Gas exploration success 8/9 wells (89%)
13 • 1P / 2P reserve 166% /
14 replacement 194% y/y
• Avg. F&D cost $0.44 / MCF(3)
43
85%
35 72 gas • The lowest cost gas operator always wins
23 65
For the 3 months ended 3/31/17
18
$ / MCF % margin
Natural gas revenues $ 5.17
18 17 20 Royalties $ (0.61) 12%
8 11
7 Production expenses $ (0.33) 6%
'09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Operating netback $ 4.23 82%
Oil Gas
In US dollars unless otherwise noted
(1) Represents before tax corporate total (oil + natural gas) 2P reserves value as of 12/31/16
(2) Represents before tax natural gas only 2P reserves value as of 12/31/16 4
(3) Average over the trailing 2‐yr. period
A Conventional Natural Gas Success Story
X
• Canacol Gas
Bremen / Sincelejo
Strong base production and reserves
3 acquisitions ('12‐'14) 96 BCF
2 1 VIM 19 Trailing 3‐yr. 2P reserve adds 314 BCF
Recent 2p reserves 410 BCF (1)
Gas exploration success 8/9 wells (89%)
Producing wells 14
Large resource upside
SSJN7
VIM 5 Net acres 1.1 MM
Blocks 5
Gross mean unrisked resources 2 TCF (2)
BT EMV‐10 US $789 MM (3)
Prospects / leads 44
’17 Gaitero
(1) As of Dec ‘16 reserve reports, net of ~50 BCF produced
Oboe ’17 Pandereta (2) Gaffney, Cline & Associates (“GCA”)prospective conventional natural gas resource
report, effective Dec ‘16
(3) Expected Monetary Value discounted at 10%, GCA Dec ‘16
VIM 21
Clarinete
‘17 Canahuate Nispero Legend
Gas field
Jobo Prospects / leads
Trombon Facilities
Existing pipeline
Esperanza
‘17 Toronja SPV planned pipeline (12/1/17)
Promigas planned pipeline (12/1/18)
Nelson 5
20 km
Palmer
Two Gas Projects To Nearly Triple Gas Production By Dec ‘18
Chuchupa
Ballena
Barranquilla
1 SPV +40 MMcf/d
Pipeline Co.
Caribbean Sea Caracoli 130 MMcf/d
Dec ‘17
Paiva • Closing $40 MM equity placement in the
Cartagena
Reficar
SPV from private investors
Filadelfia
• In Aug ‘17, build 6‐in. pipeline Jobo →
Sincelejo
La Creciente
1 2
+100 MMcf/d
2
230 MMcf/d
Jobo facility Dec ‘18
• Twin Jobo → Sincelejo pipeline
8 gas fields
5 blocks • Construct new pipeline Cartagena→
1.1 MM net acres Baranquilla
Canacol gas blocks Compressor
Gas pipeline 10 km
‘17 pipeline Gas field 6
‘18 pipeline
From 85 → 130 → 230 MMcf/d
Canacol gas production is capital light
MMcf/d
• Facilities in place
~10 wells in 3‐yrs to
250 • Today ‐ 14 gas wells producing 85 MMcf/d
maintain production
→ Potential 140 MMcf/d
230 230 230
• Wells choked back / no decline
200
• 2017e
• Debottleneck gathering systems
150
• Additional flowlines
138
• Wells choked back / no decline
100
• 2018e
85 • Upgrade facilities capacity +100 MMcf/d
70
50 • Additional flowlines
• 2020e
0 • ~7% decline rate starting in 2020e
'16 '17e '18e '19e '20e '21e
Realized contractual natural gas sales (MMcf/d)
7
High Barriers To Enter Colombia’s Gas Market
On track to replace Chevron as the largest gas supplier to the Caribbean
Orca‐1
Dec ‘14
Guajira offshore Guajira onshore
• 3 Colombia basins with access to the
Caribbean gas market
• Guajira on‐, off‐shore, Lower Magdalena
Cartagena
• For 30‐yrs., Chevron had a monopoly
Lower Magdalena
• 3 basins experienced little drilling activity
< 5 exploration wells/yr. drilled yr.(1)
Gorgon‐1, May ‘17
• Competitive threats may occur, but the
Purple lowest cost operator always wins
Angel‐1, Mar ‘17
• LT take/pay contracts $5/Mcf
Kronos‐1 • Avg. gas F&D cost $0.44/mcf(2)
July ‘15
(1) Source ANH, measured on a trailing 10‐yr. basis 8
(2) Trailing 2‐year period
Canacol’s Sweet Spot
Replacing Chevron’s gas supply to the Caribbean
• Caribbean gas demand +3%/yr. through 2025e(1)
supply ‐20%/yr. decline ongoing
or ‐100 MMcf/d(2)
Excess demand 230
25 75 230
477 85 138
400 432
381
337
299
265
200
3 mature producing fields
Chuchupa, Ballena, & La Creciente
0
'15 '16 '17E '18E '19E '20E
Annual avg. MMcf/d
(1) Source: Wood Mackenzie and UPME Colombia estimates 9
(2) Average annual decline for the trailing 3 years
The Next Leg Up Is Right Around the Corner
Two steps → 130 → 230 MMcf/d
Canacol’s CDN $/share vs. average quarterly gas sales in MMcf/d
$4.75
86
84 • Dec ‘15 → Dec ‘16
83
• ↑ gas production 3.8x
$4.25 22 → 84 MMcf/d
70 • ↑ share price 1.7x
CDN $2.77 → $4.58/sh(1)
$3.75
$3.25 • Aim to execute again…and again…
$2.75
38 • ‘17 avg. → Dec ‘17 exit
• ↑ gas production 1.4x
$2.25
85 → 130 MMcf/d
22
20 • ’18 avg. → Dec ‘18 exit
$1.75 • ↑ gas production 1.8x
130 → 230 MMcf/d
$1.25
10
S E P‐1 5 D E C‐1 5 M A R ‐1 6 J U N ‐1 6 S E P‐1 6 D E C‐1 6 M A R ‐1 7 J U N ‐1 7 (1) Measured from 12/31/15 → 12/31/16
AVO Reduces Exploration Risk
Discovered 314 BCF from 8 gas fields over the trailing 3‐yrs.
OBOE‐1
FEB ‘16
PANDERETA‐1
The hunt for repeatable anomalies
CLARINETE‐1
CLARINETE‐1 PANDERETA‐1
Dec ‘14
AVO extraction over the Mid CDO
1,200
ACORDEON‐1 2.5 KM
1,400
Tubara Marker
1,600
• Applying AVO technology to gas‐
charged sandstones
Lower Tubara
• Exploration success 8‐for‐9 (89%)
1,800
• Avg. net pay/well 78 ft. TVD
Mid Miocene / Top CDO
• Avg. test rate/well 33 MMcf/d
•
2,000
Producers 14 wells
Upper CDO
2,200
Mid CDO
• >2 TCF of running room(1)
Basal CDO
2.400
Fluid Factor (AVO) section
(1) Represents gross unrisked mean resources from the
Gaffney, Cline & Associates prospective gas resource report, effective Dec ‘16 11
Drilling For Repeatable Anomalies In The Porquero VIM
19
Jun ’17: Toronja‐1 exploration wells tested 46 MMcf/d SSJN7
VIM 5
VIM 21
Esperanza
TORONJA‐1 NELSON‐6
Jun ‘17 Nov ‘16
1
1,200
1,400
1,600
NELSON‐5 Intra
Porquero
PORQUERO 1,800
NELSON‐4
NELSON‐6
2.000 Top CDO
NELSON‐2 2
2,200
2.400
1 2
Mid Porquero time structure 1KM Fluid Factor (AVO) section
• Tested 46 MMcf/d
• Exploration target Porquero reservoir sandstones • Work underway to tie Toronja into Jobo (3 kms)
• Well cost 41% below budget • Porosity 20%
12
Toronja‐1 Suggests Much More VIM
19
In Store For The Porquero SSJN7
VIM 5
VIM 21
Esperanza
Nelson‐5, Nelson‐6 added 25 Bcf
from the Porquero Formation(1)
• Nov ’16 Nelson‐6 spelled opportunity
• Net pay 39 ft. TVD
• Tested 23 MMcf/d
ARANDALA‐1
• Jun ‘17 Toronja‐1 says more running room…
TORONJA‐1 • Tested 46 MMcf/d
NELSON‐5
• Aranadala‐1, Breva‐1, Carambolo‐1 offer 3 follow‐up
exploration locations
NELSON‐6
AVO extraction over
Mid Porquero SST marker 1 KM
13
(1) Represents 2P reserves as of Dec ‘16 reserve report
VIM
19
Pandereta‐1 Exploration Target SSJN7
VIM 5
VIM 21
Esperanza
1 1 PANDERETA‐1 2
1,500
Tubara Marker
1,700
Lower Tubara Marker
PANDERETA‐1
1,900
Mid Miocene / Top CDO
2,100
Top Blue
Top Red
2
2,300
Top Basal
Basement
Mid CDO time structure 2KM Fluid Factor (AVO) section 1KM
• Estimated spud October 2017
• Exploration target Cienaga de Oro reservoir sandstones • 13 km from Clarinete discovery
• D&A / Depth $3.5 MM / ~9k ft. MD • On success, rapid tie‐in to 6” flow‐line
• Days to drill/test 6 weeks connecting Clarinete to Jobo 14
VIM
19
Mid Nov ‘17 Gaitero‐1 Exploration Target SSJN7
VIM 5
3‐way faulted anticline targeting the proven CDO
VIM 21
Esperanza
• D&A $3.5 MM
• Depth 9,500k ft. MD
• Days to drill/test 5 weeks
• On success
• Up to 2 development locations
• 12 km tieback to Clarinete
GAITERO‐1
Mid CDO depth structure
Contour interval 50’ 15
500 M
Financial Strength
Substantial liquidity enables execution
US$ in MM
• Senior secured term loan
• 1Q ‘17 debt $265 MM
• Credit Suisse + syndicate $265 MM(1) / L+5.50%
• ‘19e ebitdax ~$300 MM
~$300 • Green Shoe funds w/in 1‐yr. Up to $40 MM
• No re‐determination if oil prices fall
• Capital light gas business model
• 2017e capex $89 MM
$135 • Mar ’19 → Mar ’22 ~$22 MM principal/interest
payments for 13 consecutive
quarters
'16 '19e
16
(1) As of 3/31/17
Appendix
17
Conventional Oil Optionality
Divest or activate, if the oil price is right
• Canacol’s conventional oil opportunity
• Blocks / net acres 17 / 1.5 MM
• Llanos Basin, Colombia
• Production >1,800 bopd(2)
• 2P reserves 3 MMbls(3)
Llanos • Prospects and leads 17(1)
115k net acres
• Unrisked / risked resources 32 / 16 MMboe(1)
• Operating netback / Bbl $21.25(2)
Ecuador
La Luna Shale
depositional limit • Depositional area exceeds
• 1 million km2
• Source rock >2.3 trillion barrels in S.A.
Middle Magdalena
• Canacol’s unconventional portfolio
• Blocks / net acres 7 / 749k
Colombia
• Key partner ConocoPhillips
• DeGolyer & McNaughton unconventional oil
Upper Magdalena prospective resource report, Oct ‘14
in MMbls, unless otherwise noted
Best High Mean
P50 P10 NPV‐10
3 blocks(1) 168 263 185 $1.3 B
• Resource report evaluates only 3 of 7 blocks
Ecuador
Carolina Orozco
Director, Investor Relations
+571.621.1747
corozco@canacolenergy.com
Kevin Flick
VP, Investor Relations
214.235.4798
kflick@canacolenergy.com
Phil Heinrich
Investor Relations Manager
403.561.1648
pheinrich@canacolenergy.com
20