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DPM
15,3 An integrated approach to natural
disaster management
Public project management and its critical
396 success factors
Tun Lin Moe
School of Management, Shinawatra University,
Pathumthani, Thailand, and
Pairote Pathranarakul
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Abstract
Purpose – With an aim to develop an integrated approach for effectively managing natural disasters,
this paper has three research objectives. First, it provides a framework for effective natural disaster
management from a public project management perspective. Second, it proposes an integrated
approach for successfully and effectively managing disaster crisis. Third, it specifies a set of critical
success factors for managing disaster related public projects.
Design/methodology/approach – A detailed case study of the tsunami was carried out to identify
specific problems associated with managing natural disaster in Thailand.
Findings – The investigations reveal that the country lacked a master plan for natural disaster
management including prediction, warning, mitigation and preparedness, unspecified responsible
governmental authority, unclear line of authority, ineffective collaboration among institutions in
different levels, lack of encouragement for participation of local and international NGOs, lack of
education and knowledge for tsunami in potential disaster effected communities, and lack of
information management or database system.
Research limitations/implications – This study identifies the specific problems associated with
natural disasters management based on a detailed case study of managing tsunami disaster in
Thailand in 2004.
Practical implications – The proposed integrated approach which includes both proactive and
reactive strategies can be applied to managing natural disasters successfully in Thailand.
Originality/value – This paper highlights the importance of having proactive and reactive
strategies for natural disaster management.
Keywords Natural disasters, Tidal waves, Project management, Thailand
Paper type Conceptual paper
Introduction
According to the UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UN/ISDR, 2002),
there are two main origins of hazards, namely natural and technological disasters.
Disaster Prevention and Management Natural disasters include three specific groups:
Vol. 15 No. 3, 2006
pp. 396-413 (1) Hydro-meteorological disasters. Including floods and wave surges, storms,
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
0965-3562
droughts and related disasters (extreme temperatures and forest/scrub fires),
DOI 10.1108/09653560610669882 and landslides and avalanches.
(2) Geophysical disasters. Divided into earthquakes and tsunamis and volcanic Natural disaster
eruptions. management
(3) Biological disasters. Covering epidemics and insect infestations.
well known for their devastating impacts on human life, economy and environment.
With tropical climate and unstable landforms, coupled with high population density,
poverty, illiteracy and lack of infrastructure development, developing countries are
more vulnerable to suffer from the damaging potential of such disasters (Jayaraman
et al., 1997, p. 291). In the UN/ISDR (2002), the higher level of impact was found in
terms of number of people killed and economic damages due to natural and
technological disasters in developing and least developing countries during 1994 and
2003(Tables I and II). In Thailand, about 28.9 million people have been affected by the
disasters during 1994 and 2003 (UN/ISDR, 2002).
It is commonly agreeable that there is no way of neutralizing all negative impacts
resulted from disasters. However, efforts can be made in order to reduce their impacts.
In this regard, effective disaster management is a key element in good governance
services produced, its temporary nature, and its requirement of knowledge, skills
and tools reveal that the disaster management can be explained from a public
project management perspective.
This study’s unique contribution to the knowledge body of public project
management or disaster management is an integrated approach to managing disaster
with a basic goal to minimize effectively the impact of the disaster. In addition, basing
on lessons learned from managing tsunami disaster impacts, which were recently
caused by a hard-hit tsunami in December 2004; the study identifies the problems
associated with disaster management in Thailand. Then, comprehensive
recommendations are made for those concerned authorities and organizations.
The study’s objectives are threefold to:
(1) provide a framework for effective natural disaster management from a public
project management perspective;
(2) propose an integrated approach for successfully and effectively managing
disaster crisis; and
(3) provide a set of critical success factors (CSFs) for managing disaster related
public projects.
The project team manages the work of the projects, and the work typically involves:
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.
completing demands for scope, time, costs, risks, and quality;
.
stakeholders with differing needs and expectations; and
.
identified requirements.
Project Life Cycle Phases Disaster Management Phases Time Activities Approach
Initiation Mitigation
Before
Prediction Pro-active
Preparedness
Planning
Warning
During
Response
Emergency Releif
Executing
Rehabilitation Reactive
(short-term) Figure 1.
After
Disaster management can be viewed as public project management. First, the source of
funding is mainly come from government and international funding agencies. Second,
the main objective is to not-for-profit oriented with an aim of reconstruction of
infrastructures which are damaged during the disaster, and rehabilitation of effected
communities and natural resources.
Activities that are planned and conducted before the disaster impact with an aim to
effectively minimize the adverse impacts of the disasters are called proactive approach.
In contrast, activities of responses and recovery are conducted as reactive approach.
From the experience of tsunami disaster management, it is found that the lack of
proactive approach had caused more damage and dead. The main lesson learned was
to encourage more activities for proactive approach. There was a lead-time of 2 hours
that should be sufficient to evacuate people in the risk prone communities to mitigate
the tsunami. As a result of lack of risk identification system and warning, it had caused
more people dead. After the disaster or post-disaster management process, unclear line
of authorities, and unspecific responsible authority coupled with slow decision process
DPM had caused delay in carrying out activities (see summaries of problems and lessons
15,3 learned in disaster management in Table IV).
Since, these activities are mainly based on identified risk and thus prediction and
estimation of the risk is necessary and critical.
The reactive approach includes assessing impacts and its level. Depending on the
level of impacts from disasters, response and recovery activities can be carried out for
warning, emergency relief, rehabilitation, and reconstruction phases in the disaster
management. Thus, the impact assessment is crucial for successful implementation of
the disaster related public project management.
Disaster management
phases Activities conducted Problems identified Lesson learned
Prediction None No risk identification and assessment There should be a master plan for
No master plan for disaster management managing natural disasters
No single agency fully responsible to Application of technology in order to
overall management identify and assess risk, e.g. DART
No stand policy and procedure to manage Mooring System
disasters There should be policy priorities for
disaster management
Warning None No warning was done There was a lead-time of nearly 2 hours
Many people do not know what the before the tidal waves hit the effected
tsunami is areas
They lacked educational knowledge on Otherwise causalities should be
how to escape tsunami minimized
There should be media such as
televisions, and radio stations
disseminating information on time
Emergency relief High ranking officials Redundant commands given to Coordination is essential
visiting the areas authorities concerned Line of authority should be clear in such
Conflicts among provincial governors emergency situations
Confusion and indecisiveness More collective efforts should be made
Long waiting for commands from
supervisors
Lack of proper coordination among
provincial, district, and sub-district
administrative officers, NGOs and
volunteers
(continued)
management
Natural disaster
Thailand
recent natural disaster in
405
Table IV.
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15,3
406
DPM
Table IV.
Disaster management
phases Activities conducted Problems identified Lesson learned
Donations and supplies were Problems associated with logistics, Logistics plan should be drawn before
mobilized to the effected areas database management, Database management system should be
telecommunications, and transportation installed for effective distribution of
supplies
Ministries concerned approved Ministry of Finance approved emergency There should be faster action for
emergency funds withdrawal withdrawal on 28 December 14:00 emergency funds withdrawal
Ministry of Interior (MOI) still discussed
possibility of emergency fund
withdrawal on 29 December
Rehabilitation MOI appointed an expert for forensic Conflict between an expert and police There should be clear responsible unit for
treatment and investigation of dead department such kind of investigation associated
bodies in Phang Nga on 29 December Redundant in investigation of dead with disasters
2004 at 11:00 am bodies
MOI appointed Royal Thai Police as the
lead agency in forensic treatment and
investigation of dead bodies for all
provinces on 5 January 2005 8:00 am
Prime Minister assigned Minister of Many different ministries are taking There should be one centralized authority
Interior in Phuket, Minister of Natural control of the same kind of operations who could be in command for handling
Resources in Phang Nga, Deputy It results in conflict among governmental rehabilitation activities
Minister of Interior in Krabi, and Deputy departments For example, Department of Disaster
Prime Minister in Ranong on 26 Prevention and Mitigation under MOI
December should be fully responsible and fully
PM also assigned Minister and Deputy authorized
Minister of Interior and Director General
of Department of Disaster Prevention to
set up relief operation center
(continued)
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Disaster management
phases Activities conducted Problems identified Lesson learned
Natural resources and community based Lack of proper coordination on There should have been a master plan for
rehabilitation activities rehabilitation efforts local rehabilitation
Lack of holistic and integrated local More collective actions should be taken in
rehabilitation plan making efforts for rehabilitation
Participatory approach for long-term
sustainable development
Reconstruction Reconstruction projects are initiated and Clear goals and relevant information are Critical success factors for project
being implemented not included management for reconstruction were
Each phases of project life cycle, design, unaware
procurement, implementation, operation, Lack of competencies of project
and maintenance lack clear goals and managers
specific information Lack of coordination among different
levels of institutions
Lack of client participation
Sources: Tingsanchali (2005) and Pongquan (2005)
management
Natural disaster
407
Table IV.
DPM Project Life Cycle Disaster Management
Time Activities Legend Actors
Phases Phases
15,3
National DMPC
Proactive Approach
Risk Identification
Initiation Mitigation
Before
Provincial DMPC
Prediction
District DMPC
Preparedness
Planning Sub-District DMPC
Village DMPC
408 Warning
During
Response
Reactive Approach
Executing
Medium
Rehabilitation
(short-term) Provincial DMPC
After
Recovery
Reconstruction District DMPC
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Figure 2.
Low
(long-term) Sub-District DMPC
Level of crisis impacts and Completing Village DMPC
key actors
Note: DMPC= Department of Mitigation and Prevention Committee
high ground
Storm/cyclone 48 hours Saving lives by evacuation of people and livestock to
safe havens
Landslide 1-2 hours Saving lives by evacuation of people and livestock to
safe havens
Tornado 1-12 hours Saving lives by evacuation of people and livestock to Table V.
safe havens Lead-time and their
values for disaster
Source: APDC (2005) management
project owner and project manager, with both viewing the project as a
partnership (Turner and Muller, 2004). Thus, effective communication
mechanisms must be established among key stakeholders.
(8) Clearly defined goals and commitments by key stakeholders. It is common in
international development project that project team management and
stakeholders lack commitment (Youker, 1999; Daillo and Thuillier, 2004). A
project having clear and exact goal(s) with clearly stated purpose which is
accepted by all involved in the efforts, and with having their views are
integrated and a clear final date of completion is strongly and significantly
relate to project success, find that clear goal and objectives are the most
important CSF in their study which captured the “real world” experiences of
people active in project management. Thus, project goals must be clearly
defined. And key stakeholders must share agreement and commit to them.
(9) Effective logistics management. Effective logistics management is necessary
before, during, and after the disasters. Most transportation problems stem from
transportation bottlenecks, lack of coordination for relief works, and poor
national transport infrastructures (port, road, rail, and air). Disaster logistics
include people, expertise, and technology. Employing a new technology such as
geographic information system and remote sensing tools can enhance capacity
to coordinate among organizations for more effective logistics management.
(10) Sufficient mobilization and disbursement of resources. A resource planning
determines what resources (people, equipment, and materials) are needed in
what quantities to perform project activities (PMBOKw Guide, 2004). One of the
most commonly found problems associate with projects is ”shortage of
resources”. Lack of adequate resources and poor or no analysis of major risk
factors can lead to a number of problems resulting in termination and
suspension of the project (Youker, 1999; Diallo and Thuillier, 2004). “Adequate
funds/resources” is found as one of the most CSFs in practice.
Conclusions
This study has proposed an integrated approach for disaster management. The integrated
approach includes both proactive and reactive strategies aimed for disaster management
before, during and after periods. Disaster management can be conceived as public project
management. Similar project life cycle phases are compared between the disaster Natural disaster
management and project management. It is common that many developing countries, which management
are mostly prone to disaster lack proactive strategies for early warning, mitigation and
preparedness. When disaster occurs, without the proactive approach, severe damages and
devastation resulted in. The last tsunami, which caused many people dead and lost of
natural and personal property, has always reminded people of their careless mistakes for
disaster risk management. With the integrated approach, lives of many people can be saved. 411
This study analyzes and specifies the problems and discusses the lessons learned from the
recent case study of tsunami in the country. To successfully adopt the integrated approach,
the set of CSFs identified should be carefully considered for effective disaster management.
Above all, the principal stakeholder of the disaster management is the government. Thus,
motive and commitment of those political leaders and their willingness to adopt the
proposed integrated approach is critical for saving people’s lives, natural resources, and
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personal property and promoting sustainability for disasters prone areas in the country.
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Environmental Hazards, Vol. 5, pp. 35-45.
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Conference Proceedings of CIB 10th International Symposium Construction Innovation &
Global Competitiveness, Cincinnati, Ohio, September 9-13, pp. 1-7.
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International Journal of Project Management., Vol. 16 No. 3, pp. 139-44.
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working paper, Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok.
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Tun Lin Moe is a Faculty Member of School of Management, Shinawatra University, Thailand.
He was a postdoctoral fellow of Asian Institute of Technology at the School of Management.
Holding an MA in Business Management from the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce
(UTCC), Bangkok, Thailand and a PhD in Development Administration majoring in
Development Management from National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA),
Bangkok, Thailand, he is currently teaching graduate courses in management at Shinawatra
University. His research interests cover subject areas in the development management such as Natural disaster
international development projects management, public private partnership project
management, disaster project management and managerial networking. Tun Lin Moe is the management
corresponding author and can be contacted at: tunlinmoe@shinawatra.ac.th
Pairote Pathranarakul is Associate Dean for Planning and Development Affairs at the School
of Public Administration, National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA), Bangkok,
Thailand. Holding an MPA (Hons) in Public Policy and Project Management, School of Public
Administration, NIDA and a PhD in Regional and Rural Development Planning, Asian Institute 413
of Technology, he currently teaches graduate courses in management and project management
courses at NIDA.
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