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WHICH WAR PLANES TO BUY? VOLL ISSUE JUNE am AS 100 i GROWING CYBER COURTING MYANMAR’S MILITARY JUNTA COPING WITH US RUC StL ny COUT ey maritime Par CR aU A RU CUCL Cec) AC Lae what's your mission? Perret eee ues Cees eRe me nee Screen vehicles and cargo Intercept nuclear and radiological material eee Oe urn Cees Integrate, control and command with See CUE Cae etic Chie See ume ce Ror armed forces and emergency responders with the latest and most reliable detection PTT cca aera eat acs Our capabilities range from system integration to supplying advanced technologies ideal for a broad range ares Fe lec ae neta TC aU aed Bee eee CURT Pee cata) rey i eNO Ay TOU CaRSceti] ‘Simulation and Training an) ng frre OMe) rota Choppy Waters The Mumbai terrorist which are growing by the doy, be it terrorism, piracy or China's growing presence in the Indian Ocean, SPOTLIGHT (P30) IN-DEPTH (P46) a es DIVE FOR DETERRENCE Is extraordinary pressure being applied on India to favour US The imperative for India’ sea-based nuclear suppliers? The choice pertaining to the $11-billion 126 fighter deterrence fleet arises due to rapid developments aircraft deal for the IAF has set the tongues wagging, in offensive missile capabilities of other counties “BSF will do a better job Migration Blues in handling the Maoists” EN Rammoban, one ofthe BSF celebrated former Ditector Generals, speaks to Geowouncs onthe various challenges con- Coming to Pushkar ffonting the BSF today. from Bangladesh end 2% FOCUS (P50) DIPLOMACY (P54) TERRORISM (P58) HISTORY (P77) Given the China facwr, Tan has embarked upon Lashkar-e-Iaiba is gradually An except from the book foremost national secu- dhe path to forge cordial getting out ofthe control of Sepoy writen during t jrty should be the ties with all countries, writes its creator Pakistan to by Edmund Candler d development and operational Information MinisterJohnay become mul ing the peculiar caste fiekding of Agii missiles, Chiang, omganisation sciousness of Indian soldiers. NEIGHBOURS (P64) Himalayan Unrest Nepal today is passing through a period of uncertainty after failing to meet the deadline for drafting a new constitution, aeordunies cating thr VISHAL DUGGAL CConcepuased and designed by Newsline Publications Pvt. Lid. 11 Basement Naamoddin (Eas), New Delt 1100013, Tel: #911 410333812 Manoging Sito: TIRTHANKAR GHOSE A information in GEOPOLITICS i derive rom sources we consid seers witout any responslly on our pre: Opens ews exes diac 1 passed on or by thed pars in ast or in neviews are noe necestlyshafed by ue Mater appearing inthe magtaine cana be reprual in ole ura parts) hou pr embeon, THe public asumes no sepa oe ‘tera Kt ce damped i ans The publi eserves the ight wo elise, wha or ohare “fst wid ll advetsemens without eapanaton Al aversement mort comply wth he Ion ‘Advertemens Ce. The publisher wil notte ae for ny le come y any Slay n ableton, "Sto or fale of adveruseen o sppest ‘Owed and pushed by X Sivan, 4C Rocket 1, Maye Vibe, Phase, Del-97 and printed by hen [at Nec Photlchgraphes, 8240, Oks ire Are, Phase, Nw De 110020. gosoesen Reader ate weloome send th feedback at gvplila@newsln n DONLOOKER IN A swift about-tum, Canadian High Commission that had called the Border Security Force (BSP) “a notoriously violent paramilitary unit” went into the damage-control mode. “I ‘would like to stress that Canada has the highest regard for India's democratic institutions and processes. Canada has great respect for India's armed forces and related institutions” Cana~ a's Foreign Minisry spokesperson Catherine Loubier said in statement, The diplomatic gaffe ‘ook place when the Canadian High Commission ejected an immigration request from retired BSF head constable Fateh Singh Pandher (60), accusing the paramilitary unit of“systemade attacks on civilians" and said Pandher had not provided evidence of dissociating himsel! COMMANDER DILIP Donde, a naval fromthe foree. olficer, became the first Indian ever to “The about-turn came after Union Home Secretary G K Pia circumnavigate the world solo on a sail complained tothe Foreign Ministry about the “discrimination” boat when he steered into the Mumbai __-by dhe Canadian High Commission. Pllia had also writen to harbour on May 22 after an arduous _Foneign Secretary Nirupama Rao about Fateh Singh. Reacting (0 voyage spanning a litle over nine that, the Foreign Ministry had summoned the Canadian High months, The 42-year-old officer cov CComunssioner to protest the discriminatory aide. ered 21,600 nautical mi seas 10 achieve the mil reception on shore by Vice-President X mander Donde was given « rosg ~~ SHANKARAN HELD STOP mid Ansari, who ealled the occasion FORMER NAVAL eect Peeeeee! Iaponde Chet Newel SatAdmird tobe te alge ’ 1 said, “This is indeed a kingpin in the Navy ww Y 1 Rad memset ras eee peer iacoe ona eiecnnetated —aiiwamaneterniem | —uacdcrencoadrl i Steatinapegmatisanp) [edambasmerCeell mem ame er sic er eu eemeeciewats Peceucteg Crmieerae at eece eat O qualy ar ctcunevipiocs st astmonaferatpotGnmiapol faalicbaved 70: nancy Bgade peumeucestme tener) [iriemtceencteectstetet| [ictessrsernt ae steerer aes Deira prelnedollender 208 Mowry te Kari Wa, [Nigam iment rrr erates ee eee re ee Regge ces ee pase ae eee eh Paar Ren eae eee So eerce er mre eect ONLOOKER - Hello Jawan! ‘COMMON MILITARY helpline telephone number 155200 can now be accessed across he nation to provide assistance ro mil- itary personnel, “The number that is available at military police control ‘voms has been instituted to provide immodiateassistance and bbe instrumental in solving and mitigating criss being laced by ‘iltary personnal. In addition, it wil provide an excellent faci- ity forthe civil police and the public to contact the Army Mil- tary Police to provide first-hand information of any situation ‘where military persons are involved or has potential to affect the military persons. GENERALSPEAK Fresh inquiry indicts Lt-Gen Avadesh Prakash ‘THE FRESH court of inquiry (COD against former military secretary, Lt-Gen ‘Avadesh Prakash, in the Sukhna land seam (permission granted by the Sukhna-based 33 Corps for a spravling ‘educational institution on land adjacent twits headquarters, reversing its orig security concerns and plan to take over ‘the land belonging tothe West Bengal government) has indicted him, and has recommended disciplinary proceedings against him, The fresh report. was finalised after the Delhi-based Armed Forces Tribunal ordered. the Army authorities to permit L1-Gen Prakash (0 mine all the witnesses of the Kolkata-based inguiry. General Prakash, who retired fon January 31 as the tltary secretary,had ARMY CHIEF General VK Singh says the Meanwhile, Gen Singh is putting his moved the tribunal armed forces, DRDO and industry nced to weight behind a comprehensive review of ‘Questioning the COL come together to bolster the country’s the "quantification-based” promotion proceedings, and his high-volume, long-range firepower. "The policy for officers, which was ushered in Indictment, saying he user, developerand producerforma triad. by his predecessor Gen Deepak Kapoor it ‘wasnot allowed to cross-eamine all the Army is the user, which comes up with is January 2009, Reportedly, Gen Singh has ‘witnesses during the proceedings. The operational requirements, The developer tasked a committee led by Digector-Gen ‘new report is now with the jadge advo- is DRDO, which has made far progress on eral of Artillery Lt-Gen KR Raa to suggest cale-general’sbranch in the Army head- the Pinaka and Brahmos missile-arullery changes in the lanuary 2009 promotion ‘quarters for ts legal opinion, authoria- systems," said Gen Singh and added, policy. This comes in the backdrop of live sources said This opinion would be “Industry isthe producer which sets the "negative feedback" fom field onthe new DUC up to the Amy Chief, General VK pace for self-reliance. Great amount of policy. Under it, 95 percent marks ate giv Singh, who as the then Fastem Army interaction is required among the three, so en for “quantified parameters” Uke ACRS ‘Commander had recommended Gener- we get better artillery for armed forces. (annual confidential reports), courses, al Prakash’s summary dismissal based While attending an international seminar honours and awards, Only $ per cent a ‘onthe orginal COlreport Thehigh pro- on artillery technology, the Army Chief kept for “value judgement” by selection file case saw the Army investigating Said that artillery modemisation process board members on criteria like perform three serving Lt Generals and several is now underway but perhaps it came too ance, recommendations, potential for ‘ther oficers for dereliction of duty and ‘late the day as he lamented that oluers employability in higher ranks and, impor misuse of power, an unprecedented gone far ahead, tantly “degree of dificult” in tenures ‘exercise in its modern history. NUCLEAR-CAPABLE AGNI-II missile ‘with a range of 2000 km, was successfully test-fired by the Army as part of user tral from the Wheelers Island off Orissa coast con May 17 Aghi-ll Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile (IRBM) has aleeady been inducted into the services and the latest test was carried out by the Strategic Forces ‘Command (SFC) of the Army with logistic support from various laboratories. and Personnel of Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) The test was a training exercise to familiarise the end-users with diferent ‘operational conditions. The 20-meue long Agui-lisa wo-stage, solid: propelled ballistic missile. Ichas a launch weight of 17 tonnes and can carry a payload of 1000, kg overa distance of 2000 km. Agni-Il_ was developed by Advanced systems. Labo ‘other DRDO laborator Bharat Dynamics Limited, Hyde The missile is part of the Ag Which includes Agni-1 with a 700-km Fange and Agat-Il with a 3,500-km range Agni-l has already been inducted and ‘Agni-II1is in the process of induction, Tn fact, now India is al set to lis first Inter-Continental Bs Missle, Agni, in Mach-April 2011. Ag V is being designed by adding a third ‘composite stage to the two-stage 3,500: ki Agni-llL, having a range of over 5000 km carry multiple warheads and will have countermeasures against ant ballistic missile systems. DECKS CLEARED FOR DEFENCE VARSITY MORE THAN 40 years after it was moo! fd, the country will have its first Defence University near Gurgaon. It would aim at imparting education on strategic challenges to armed forces officials, bureaucrats, academicians, parliamen: and trainees at military ed Rs 300 crore, che institute would come lup on an area of about 200 acres, A sum of Rs 100 crore has been for land acquisition by a rked central Management, Secunderabad, National Suaff College, Wellington, and National Defence Academy, Pune, would also be affiliated to the INDU. At present, these institutions are attached t0 various uni sities across the county. The proposed university, which would be fully autonomous and constituted under an Act of Parliament, would promote policy-oriented research on all Aspects of national security as part of strategic national policy-making Ministry against hiking FDI limit ‘THE MINISTRY of Defence (MoD) plans to oppose a proposal from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry (MoCl to allow hike in PDL limit. The new Consolidated Foreign Direct “Investment Policy, effective from April 1, limits FDLin defence units 026 per cent. However, the Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion of the ‘commerce ministry i in favour of ris- {ng this limit. According to MoD, rais- ing the FDI cap significantly would seriously damage India's nascent defence industry, particularly the eight ‘MoD-owned defence public sector undertakings. Defence department {eels that the commerce ministry must notraise the FDI cap without fist con- salting defence ministry, and must not defintely allow 100 per cent FDI. ‘On the other hand, the industry department feels that ifthe defence sector is opened to FDI, its impact ‘upon the manufacturing sector in India will be great. Foreign defence ‘majors will be more likely to being in sensitive technology if the higher FDI {s allowed, Defence production requires technology, and ao huge capital investments. The MoCt claims that Indian private defence manfic- ’ turers, such as LAT and the Tata Group, support the raising of FDI caps {in onder to allow a larger share to for- feign companies. But the fact of the matter is that RAD-oriented private sector companies are apprehensive that global majors will use their Indian subsidiaries to getthe MoD to fund the development of weapons systems lunder the "Make" category of the Defence Procurement Polley of 2008, REPORT NAILS CRPF IN ALL likelihood, the CRPF battalion, which fst 76 men in the deadliest Maoist attack in Dantewada recently, violated every basic rule of operation and became sitting ducks by not proceeding with Its area domination mission as planned incident. “Available media reports say that information that was ‘made aailable to the une-member probe headed by EN ‘amnmohan intothe Aprlsixattack during his recent visit to Dantewada in Chhattisgarh suggested that the CRPF ‘company invited trouble by saying putin one single place Toran entire day, sources inthe know of events before the attack sald. ‘The 8l-member CRPF team along witha head constable ‘oF Chattisgarh police didnot eave for itsmission on April 4 a the time —1900 hours — mentioned in the log book. ‘The personnel eompesingeompanies ofthe CRPF's 62nd battalion in fact started moving into jungle areas only at (0500 hours the next day despite instructions no to venture ino forests during easly moming hour, the sources sid. ‘Information in the documents, whieh was accessed, showed thatthe CRPF company had spent its entire day in the same ground where i fell othe bullet of the Naxalites| in the wee hours of Apa 6. Senior personnel in the CRPF team had even summoned some people including the head of the nearby village — ‘Mukram — and asked for large utensils for preparing the ‘meals forthe entire group. ‘As per the operational dil, the CRPF and the police per- sonnel have been strictly askednotttake any help from the villagers or locals and maintain as much seeecy as possible ‘while moving out. ‘The element of secrecy was missing in the operation as. the CRPF company after spending the entire day in the ground shifted to a nearby “Ashram, a hostel, besides ‘ordering the villagers to bring cots and other material, the soures sid. “The Centre had ordered an inquiry by Rammohan, who submitted his report on Apsil26, in which he talked about Jack of coordination between Une Chhattisgarh Police and the CRE Teno SC UPSET OVER GOVERN- MENT'S ARMY POLICY ‘THE SUPREME Court of India has expressed displeasure over the way the lunion government is. teeating army personnel ike beggars in respect of emol- luments and pension and asked the authorides to adopt a more humane Approach towards those bravely defend- Jing the countrys borders. A bench of Jus- tices Markandeya Katju and A K Patnaik sald this while passing a dismissal order, ‘The apex court passed the order dis- missing the Cente appeal challenging 3 Punjab and Haryana High Court direction ‘to pay higher pension to aShort Commis- TELECOM AGENCY ON THE ANVIL CLOSE ON the heels of banning Chinese mobiles without IMEI numbers, and ng of telecom equipments from the Government is likely to create a rity Oo mn Agency to provide security clearance to telecom Supplies froma Ch Though most telecom operators includ {ng the public secior BSNL have been using Chinese supplies both for consumer-end equipments such as internet modems and for equipments in the exchange the Indian Government had nat so fr reacted propetly to this se wolved, Some th rators fear that any striction on Chinese equipments will Increase the cost of equipments and dent thei profit margin. Bul the Hore Ministry's proposed Agency will consider the security Angle to be more important. sioned Officer CS Siddu, whose right arm. hhad to be amputated following an acci- dent on duty at the high altitudes on November 21,1970, “The court expressed regret and said ‘that the army officers and army men in ‘the country are being trated ina shabby ‘manner by the government. In above ‘mentioned case, the respondent, who was posted ata high altitude field area and met with an accident during dis- ‘hangs of his duties, was granted a mea- ‘ge pension. This s a pittance (about Rs 1000) per month plus DA. Inthe past, Chinese manufacturers are reported to have even penetrated security regulatory agencies in India at the highest level and supplied equipments "and computer systems because of their price a) Every software directly or indice subject to peor security learan agency. b) The Agency should have the right to demand recall of equipments in the market and conduct sample checks even after the clearance is given. 6) It'should be ensure t fontrol is exercised on the possibility of equipments being manipulated several ‘months after supply through a “Mainte nance” or “Repair” ope ee even the AMC contracts are to be closely monitored from the 4) User companies need to be properly ted on the security risks and labtities fey do not comply with security owersight ©) The Age © powers : Sport to the Parliament pee ‘odically andits workitslf should be subject toa review by a high-powered commitee 1) The head of the ageney must be a {tory appointed d ‘contractual team and supported by a mult ng of persons ‘background and integiy ARBITRATOR IN BEL DISPUTE Lid (BEL), The Indian company placed owders for electronic ‘equipment and the foreign frm supplied it. However, after accepting the goods, the public sector company refused to pay the bills only on the ground tha Defence had issied a direc should discontinue dealings with the for n firm and all payments should be with invoked the arbitration clause contract, Then the government com pany disputed ts labiliy for payment and Fejected the name proposed. by Dencl Therefore, Denel approached the Supreme Court to naminate a person under the Adi SC CLEARS BORDER ROAD ‘THE SUPREME Court has given clearance to Army's long pending proposal to con. struct a strategic road near t-junction of ‘Tibet, Bhutan and Sikkim, Border Roads Organisation (BRO) has been entrusted ith the construction of two stategic roads ely Tack unetion Beem Base Dokala 11.48 km and Flag Hill Dokala h of 33.80 km near tr junction of id Sikkim, The Court has put certain conditions including payment Dffive percent of the estimated project cost to the Sikkim Government for compensa: tory afforestation ‘Cost of work on Track Junetion — Bheem Base - Dokala ris approx Rs. 15.12 crow, Work has commenced and probable date of ‘completion is 2012. Cost of work on Flag Hill - Dokala is approx Rs. 81.81 crore. Supreme Cour has cleared he alignment ia March 2010, The work on this road wil tart, after geting clearance of National Board of Te 200 AIRFIELD TO BE MODERNISED World Life and Forest clearance, Comple: tion of work wil lake five yeas after com. rncement of work. IAF VICE-CHIEF PREFERS CHINESE STYLE THE VICE-CHIEF of the Indian Air Force Air Marshal Pranab Kumar Barbora is stated to have suggested that India should go the Chinese way by gathering technical Sata to produce defence equipment rough reverse engineering. Reverse engineering is a process of analysing @ technology’ to ascertain how it_ was designed. The knowledge is then used 1 build the equipment or system or make Improvements to it without using any physical part of the original. India was technologically less literate than Russia and China because it had no access to iddle-level technologies following World War-IL ‘This, however, may not go down well with Americans and Euro peans, who are finding ic dificult o pro {ect thee intellectual property rights, The Nation's Finest We Train The Hardest. BHEL TO EXPAND BHEL IS expanding its portfolio in the defence sector. It aims (o supply higher ‘version of super rapid gun mount (SRGM) naval guns tothe Ministry of Defence. "Total revenue from this order could be in the range of Rs 4,000 crore 10 Rs 5,000 crore ‘The company is looking for a technology partner and expects to finalise one in the next 9-12 months. Currently, aver 75% of the company's revenue comes from the power sector However gradually the company is looking to expand its portfolio into other sectors ‘The company is aiminga turnover of $10 billion to $11 billion by 2011-12. BHEL will raise its manufacturing eapacity to 20,000 mu by March 2012 from the existing capac: ity of 15,000 mv DEFENCE RESERVATION ON CWG BATON ‘THE QUEEN'S Baton for the Common: THE INDIAN Air Force plans to begin its $200- rmillon Modernisation of Ald Infastructure project. This envisages, tobegn with upgrading 30airfields over the next few weeks. ‘Contact negotiations are under way with a leading Indian corporate, and the plot project vill bin atthe AE base at Hindan, Ghaziabad, fn the outskirts of Delhi. “The project includes supply, testing itegra- tion and sustenance ofthe Instrument Landing System (5), the Distance Measurement Equlp- ‘ment, the Tactical AirNavigation System, the Air Taffic Management System, and the CAT-2 Ae field Lighting System. Inthe fist phase, the IAF will modernise 30, fields, and the exercise is expected tobe com- pleted in 42 months. The Centre has made a provisional allocation of Rs.180 crore forthe project in the 2009-10 budge, and the sum wil be released after the contracts signed. Tn Phase I, 20-0dd airfields, i of the IAK the An « Ministry fels that based on the exper- fence gained during the implementation of the first phase, the requirements of the second ‘phase willbe consoidated.The second phase is expected tobe completed in 42 months. The Defence Ministry has cold the gov- ment thatthe Indian Ait Force will not be able to spare its aireraft to ferry the ‘baton to difficult areas such as Janu & Kashmir and the northeastern states, The Ministry has said that sparing alr- cra will not be feasible in view ofthe oper ational requirements of the defence esta lishment. It has advised the organising ‘committee ofthe Games touse commercial aircraft as much as possible to take the n around. re isa genuine problem in nercial plane, the Defence ‘Ministry has promised to «ry and coordi- nate the movement of defence aircraft on ‘operational sorties with the baton’s itinerary The baton — a symbol of the ui diversity ofthe Commonwealth of June 25 to be 190,000-kin-long, 100-day journey across all capital cities, before reaching the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium for the Games! ‘opening ceremony. Teo ag eee TES Ory ee

INTERNALSECURITY GRAVE CONCERN: Home Minister P-Chidambaram's task in dealing with [Naxals is getting tougher as the renegades ‘mount fresh strikes 20 PER CENT OF THE WORLD POPULATION INHABITING THE DEVELOPED COUNTRIES CONSUMES 86 PER CENT OF THE WORLD'S RESOURCES. {getting into the high consumption group. In 2008, China's share of energy consumption 1017.7 percent of total world con snd that of India surged up to 3.8 percent, so that their combined share shot Lup to 21.5 per cent. As part ofits strategic planning. China is invigorating itself by Investing generously in energy sectors of ‘African countries. However, in iew of the ‘unstable nature of Afiean economy and pol ities, Chinese strategy may not pay off. Obvi- ‘ously, in view ofthe size of African countries, and in case the present trends continue, it ‘Would not be dificult to foresee that in the ‘coming decades there will bea great scratn ble to appropriate energy resources among all the counties. ‘Usually, an acute competition for appro- priating resources among countries invari- (18) ably gives rise to conflict. Such competition among great powers has, orinstance result. fed in world wars in the past, In view of the ‘mpidly growing demand for enengy in China and India, the twosome might, inal ikel hhood, become heavily enmeshed in the ‘ongoing contest to master energy resources along with other developed countries. The ‘demperatic peace thesis propounds the the ‘ory that “democracies tend not to fight other ‘More specifically, liberal rnd nt 0 fight other liberal This proposition is founded on long-term quantitative studies undertaken in American universities. As such, going by the stipulation ofthe democratic peace the ‘is it should be smoothly possible for India to work out satislactory terms 1 keep peace ‘with mos of the big competitors inthe arena ff energy resources, as they are liberal ‘demcracies like India, However, i becomes Dbuta doubtiul conjecture whether the same patter of peaceful co-existence can apply (0 India’s big neighbour and adversary, China. (Considering the impracticalty ofa limited ‘or full war between two big nucleae coun: tries, China can be tempted to look fr other ‘options to fish in the roubled waters of the Maoist turmoil in india. tn the post Second World War era, proxy wars through fomenting low-intensity conflicts have been used more fen than actual wars. In such a scenario, ‘one of the most attractive options for an hina can be to fan Macist vio e supplies of arms e insurgents with aid of local conduits. However, while che Maoists are waging a declared war against the Indian stat, they shrilly maintain they are fighting for the country’s deprived and downtrodden masses, They do not seem to have receved any political support or recog nition from China so far, except that some ‘unofficial Chinese language Mao-loyalist, \websites have been posting reports depicting the exploits of indian Maoists in a favourable light. However, on thie part our des Maoists ‘do not consider the present-day Chinaa ev ‘lutionary communist county, as according to them, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) hhas betrayed. Marsism-Leninism-Maoism MLM) and the world’s proletarian move- ‘ment, For the Indian Maoists, Deng Xiao: Pingand his successors in China are revision ists. While Indian Mavis tke Mao as their {guide in all stages of their protmcted war, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and he present Chinese establishment have been critical of Mao's mistakes, particularly the (Cultural Revolution. However, pragmatsn ‘more often than not takes precedence over HALEHEARTED MEASURE: Salwa Judum experiment has only produced severe backlash from Nawal outfits cology tn a conflict sicuation, There is at ast an ideological common ground thowew er nominal) between China and Indian Maoists This, along with other compulsions ofan escalating conflict, ean always provide fn ideological basis for circumventing the diferences and justify a cooperation dictated Futuristically speaking, fanning the flames of Mavist violence can be tempting for any adversary of India for many reasons. Firstly, Maoists have been active and strong fn the areas considered to be the sft bell of Indian economy. They have deliberately cho: sen the sparsely populated hilly and forested areas which are inaccessible and beyond the h of government agencies, Though the ly areas are situated on geological faults, coincidentally mineral deposits are generally found in fault zones, Therefore, though the Indl strategic reasons for Maoists to choose these areas appear to be the geographical features suitable for guerilla war, the state: se value of mineral deposits was not ost on them. Asitis, most of the mineral deposits of the country fallin the area referred to as the Red Corridor The mineral deposits not only serve the wily Maoists to extort money for ther activities, they also provide leverage to them to extend their influence people inhabiting these areas. I Violence isnot contained, controll brought down in the shortest possible time trary, escalates posing a threat to entire areas, it would adversely alec and weaken the country’s economy, as the supply of raw material and power from these areas will be choked. efit any of he competing for fue, Slace a weaker economy will retard Indias rising demand for fuel. Thirdly, a country’s military power depends a lot on its eco- ‘nomic power. Therefore, a weaker economy {s bound to weaken the country’s defensive power Loss of face in economic and mill. {ary power willin turn result in depletion of India’s bargaining power in the internation: ‘arena, Though this is only a futuristic Scenario building exercise based on the present tends, it strongly undetlines the potential of Mavistvioe fof worldwide resource crunch, The above visualisation of a probable future scenario ofthe Maoist muddle might be found wanting here and there, yet it has coherently attempted to highlight at least, ‘one definite policy implication: that the lib eral democratic state of India and those who are working for its preservation and revit ization have one more reason Mavist threat to India’s liberal d structure more seriously. (The author, an Additonal DGP in Madhya Pradesh, i a Visiting Research Fellow at Institute of Social Sciences, New Delhi dip SECURITY. erred hy ar that Men) ANTERNALSECURITY. ‘su Ne D4 IN THE EYE OF A STORM: The guest house from which the Chabad is being run at Pushkar USHKAR AND Jerusalem in true words are the cities known in the nile world. Hoth Pushkar anid Jerusalem are pilgrimages that are visited by not only Hindus or Jews but by people of all sets, easts and creeds. Sanctiied by religion and tradition, by history and theology, by holy places and houses of worship, Jerusalem is a city evered by Jews, CCirstans and Mastin ereflets the fervour and piety of the three major monotheistic faiths, each of whieh isbound wo Jerusalem by veneration and love, Thete are a lt of com: ‘mon things between Pushkar and Jerusalem. A stroll in the market place of Pushkar would surprise a visitor as there are more signages in Hebrew here than in English and fone gets the feeling as if strolling in a Jerusalem market. Pushkar thrives on Israel {ourists. More than 40 percent of the tourists that come to Pushkar are Israeli Jews. They ‘come round the year and siay fora few days ‘or few months, The large numberof Israel {ourists help the economy of Pushkar, but they ace not big spenders and stay in cheap, hotels or private accommodations that cost slow as Rs 200 per day. A large number ofthe Israclis come after serving the Israeli Defence Force (DF) doing strenuous compulsory military raining in Israel. After doing compulsory military ta l ing for three years, the Israeli men and women are given $2200 and are allowed to so on holiday. With this money they prefer to ‘ome to India and stay in different places for 8 few months before returning home. The Israelis have set up Chabad Houses in India, centres where the Jews assemble and slay and offer prayers. These Chabad Houses are run at international level by the Jews (0 propagate Judaism. Chabad Houses are places where the Jews can stay and observe Feligious rituals, These Chabad Houses are located in Mumbai, Gaa, Kasoli in Kullu ds trict, Manali, Delhi, Kesar Dev in Uttarak hhand, Kodaikanal and Dharamshala The Jews because oftheir large presence in Pushkar have posed a grave security prob lem as they could become the soft target for terrorist groups. The Lashkar--Toiba terror. {sts who attacked Mumbai chose Nariman House where the Jews had their prayer cen tte (Chabad House). Top intelligence reports suggest that the Israelis in Pushkar could, become targets for terrorists asthe place i, easy for them to operte The Jews have setup the Chabad House at Pushkar also but for those who understand the security problem connected with the Chabad House are happy that the Chabad House has been closed down for four ‘months. Theres also a speculation that the ‘Chabad House would be closed dovm for fever since it has become a security tsk, The caretaker of Chabad House Shimi Goldstein thas left fr Israel ater handing over the key to the landlord Chandrashekhar. He had {informed the landlord that he would return after four months tw Pushkar as no Iseaelh {ouriss would come during the summer. Bu, the people of Pushkar wish the Chabad should not open again, else i would remain a target ofthe teratists The hatred of Jes is intrinsie to ALQae- dais ideology and motivation, Al Qaeda has i JEWS IN JSHKAR HAVE POSE DA GRAVE SECI ST LEM AS TI COULD eOOM NM SOFT TARG GETS” 3 TERRORIST <> INTERNALSECURITY ‘ATTRACTING FOREIGNERS: Pushkar charms visitors from abroad been committed to the liberation ofall Mus- the AlAksa Mosque in Jerusalem. The focus on Jews may partially bea result of Al Qaeda’ fragmentation ft lowing the American invasion of Afghanistan, At that time, it began to rely ‘more on localy-based organizations, who tend to choose ‘soft targets ighty-guarded iathering spots such as night clubs oF tourists or buildings associated with the local Jewish community” admits Rohl Ben- Jamin who is a Jew of Indian origin, whose family worked fr railways in Kolkata, ‘Benjamin has recently completed his com ppulsory military training and chose India for his holidays because his family moved (0 Israel from India lie many other Jews of Mumbai and Pune. He was warned by his friends andl family members not to goto India asthe terorsts target the Jews. But Robi did rho heed the advice and came to Pushkar ‘The counter-terrorism bureau of Israel's National Security Council in Jerusalem Issued a new, mote severe warning against Luavelling to India in October last year There was a concrete threat against places fre quented by Israelis and Westerners, in par UUcular Chabad Houses and synagogues across India, including dhe one in Pusha, {errorisin experts warned. David Headley, the Pakistan-born US aii- zen who is under artest in US had come t0 Pushkar in September 2008 and stayed at Hotel Oasis which i located just opposite the Pushkar Chabad. He made arecee ofthe Pushkar holy city and studied the activities ‘at Chabad. Headley’ visit was aimed to plan an attack on the Chabad when almost hun dred jews on avisicw Pushlar would assem ‘le for Sabbath on a Friday. Headey had the DAVID HEADLEY, WHO IS UNDER ARREST IN US HAD COME TO PUSHKAR IN SEPTEMBER 2008 AND STAYED AT HOTEL OASIS Pushkar Chabad in mind as a large-scale kaling of the Jews in Pushkar would have attracted international attention. “The disclosure about Headley’ visit and the fact that he stayed at Hotel Oasis have alerted the hotel owners of Pushkar and they have become vigilant and taken all precau tions before providing rooms to the tourists. “Headley came with a specific purpose to set how the Chabad at Pushkar could be target ted as there isa large numberof presence of the Jews here.” says Chandra Shekhar, the ‘owner of the Bhagwati Guest House that has bbeen rented to Chabad, Chandra. Shekhar informs that the CChabads were granted permission to open centres in India by the Union government a few years ago." ented the place after ascer taining that their (Chabad) operations have official sanctity. In Chabad, they teach the Jews how to pray and it also serves as the cormctional centre where those whe indulge in drugs and alcohol are aught haw to give up the bad habits” says Chandra Shekhet. (22) The Chabad has hired some locals as domestic help but nobody is allowed entry Inside, not even landlord Chandra Shekhar, The local association of Pushkar Purohit Association, an organization of the Bramhin priests has demanded that the Chabad should be shut. “The large numbers of vis: tors from Israel to Pushkar pose a securi threat, And the Chabad ‘of Kinja Moi nd the holy shrine ‘at Ajmer have become emely sensitive locations, The visit of Headley was also speeific and ve are trying, to investigate why he visited Pushkar” says BP Singh, 1G, intelligence of Ajmer range. Several Israeli tourists come here belo the Pusha fair in late November and after stay back in various paying guest-houses and hotels striking @ deal on tariff with the ‘owners. Their main attraction is said 10 be ‘hatas and gan and liquor which are free available in Pushkar, The Pushkar Purohit Association has warned thatthe Chabad and the large number of Israeli tourists that Pushkar attracts could become the target of ety would face the n House had But the hotel owners and traders of Pushkar are of the opinion that elosing- down ‘of the Chabad would mean thac the Iseuelis ‘would stop coming to Pushkar because they hhave started coming in large number after the closing: dawn of the Mumbai Chabad fo lowing the Mumbai terror attack, “The demand for closing-dovm of Chabed would mean hitting the tourist industry as the Israelis form the large chunk of tourists vise ing Pushkar. I's not only Israelis, but Jews from other parts of the world also visit Pushkar in lage number and the closing: ‘down ofthe Chabad would senda wrong sig nal among the Jews all over the world and they would strike off Pushkar as a destin. tion,” says Parmanand Gidwani, a trader. “We, Jews, have something to offer the world, gained from centuries of experience at ‘bing ated for no reason other than that ve stand up for life and innocence. tn fact, ‘not clear whether the Chabad viewins were hit simply for being ews. in Mumbai 5000 indian, Jewsllve and there are smagogues there. But they were not attacked, The Jews are targeted as symbols of Western every, Zionism and Israel or — modemity globalisation, Wester civilization of some combination of all of them. Closing. down ofthe Pushkar Chaba s ‘no answer to counter terrorism’ says Natale Zeckheim, who works ina bounce in Tel Av ‘Whatever happens, the people of holy city continue to live in fear, praying that the bul: lets ofthe terrorists do not hit Pushkar. Further on. UO FINMECCANICA NZ aa Ue ELE Ser Lt} ORR "7 SELEX Se unreicr) GEOPOLITICS 124 MORE MBTs THE INDIAN Amy has placed @ fresh order fr an additional 124 Arjun main batletanks (METS), giving ‘ much-needed flip to the over three. decade-long Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) pro ramne. This is ovee and above the exis {ng order of 124 tanks, The additional 124 MITs would help the Army raise two ‘more regiments of the indigenous tanks, The Army already has a 45-tank. strong mgiment comprising Arjuns, Which were delivered to the Army by the Avadi-based Heavy Vehicles Factory GIVE) in the middle of last year. The Army had in 2004 placed its first order for 124 Arjun MBTs, of which nearly 50 hhave been delivered by the HVE. The Defence Ministry had recently decided to goin forthe development of second: generation Axjun tanks o give a boost to DRDO's efforts in this regard The Arjun tank project to design and develop an MBT for the Army was approved by the government in 1974 with an aim of giving the required CRPF gets THE HOME Ministry has placed an order for 59,000 bulletproaf jackets with aman facturor ofa defence solutions compan, MAU ENLLd, which is based out of Kanpur in dia The whole onder, which amounts Uw Rs one erore, will have wo be supplied within the next eight months, with the frst indigenous cutting edge to the mechanised forces. The Arjun project had in its initial days been besieged with troubles due to defects in its design such as those related to ‘weight, size, night-vision capability and fire control system, These defects were corrected one by one, over the years Aer many years of trials and tibula tions, the tank has now proved is worth by ts superb performance under various circumstances, such as driving ‘ross-country over rugged sand dunes, detecting, observing and quickly engag. ing tangets and accurately hitting targets, both stationary and moving with pinpointed accuracy, say officials. ts Superior fie-power is based on accurate fand quick target acquisition capability ‘during day and night in all types of ‘weather and shortest possible reaction time during combat engage its jackets supplies set to begin rom June to the Cen tral Reserve Police Force (CRDF). MKU ina span of almost 25 years has pioneered the feld of manufacturing protection and ‘ammoring solutions and has ventured into diversified avenues induding aviation aerodynamics & technology SRSAM for Army ‘THE ARMY is planning to procure a short range surface to air missile (SRSAM) sys tem to beef up the country’s extemal sec. fi. The procurement process was recently initiated with the release of Request for information (RF) in this regard The RFI specifics that the army wants a missle system that can be transported on both ral and road mobile launchers in all possible terrains in the country. The misike should also beable to target objects moving a speeds between zero and 500 meters per Second including hovering over targets such as Unmanned Aeial Vehicles (UAVS), fighter and surveillance irra and helicopters, The Army wants the new missle system to be capable of operating in both day and the REI, radar of tem should be eapable of nber of targets simultaneous ly and should have Electronic Counter Counter-Measures (ECCM) (0 be able (0 support the electronic warfare environ: nt. Furthermore, the system should be Biological (Chemical (NBC) warfare environment Loitering Missiles too! 7» loiter over a target for 30 minutes. The loitering missle would be able a send extieal data un ene my installations and later self-destruct on the target A global RFI, seeking details from the vendors on the mises cruising speed, the maximum range at which it can engage target, its loitering time, the range of ts data link, ts accuracy, ability to attack fa {op and if it can abort after locking onto & target and be redesignated toa new target has aleady been released, The missiles aw likely tobe procured bythe end of 21 NAVY SEEKS SURVEY VESSELS TO'TRAIN naval cadets on coastal and ocean sraphie survey, the Navy ison the lookout fo Duilder with the capability co build vessels chat underwater landscape, The vessels are required to carry out surv ports and harbours for deterinination of navigational approaches, channels and routes for defence tions, The Navy wants these survey vessels to celled on its owen INS Darshak, built by the Goa fand commissioned into naval service in 2001 Keeping in mind its future order for such su sel the Navy has is vey vessel with a length of approximately 85 me 1,800-tonne to 2,000-tonne standard displacement. The would have an expected life of 25 vessels the RF sai years and adhere o International Convention ‘vention of Pollution from Ships. The vessels’ machinery, sensors and equipment would have reliability and maintainability for time of eight weeks at a stretch. The new ships would have a single hull of proven design and made o steel with steel o aluminium super structure sda RFI shipyards, both in pub: Tic and private sector. Durshak isthe Navy's eighth sur pplica be mod. Shipyard welded Gorshkov on time RUSSIA HAS sald it will stick to the 2012 deadline of delivering modernised Admiral Gorshkov aircraft carier to India, Gorshkow will be inducted in the Indians Navy as INS. Vikramacdye India recently aged to pay an additional USS 2.33 billion wo Russia for Admiral Gor- shkow. As per the original contract signed bbeoween the two countries in 2004, Indian [Navy was to get the carver in 2008, However, the two countries were negotiating for the lastone year over Rusia’ demand for $2 bil: Hion over and above the S15 billion that New Delhi paid it in 2004, Russ the delivery ofthe vessel to 2012, The Government of India recently sid that the price spent on the repairing and refurbish ing Ofte areral carer was akin othe price of similar warships built in other countries. More ‘over, steaft caries are not easily available INS Chakra arrives in June ‘THE TRIAL of Indian Navy's Akula-II class nuclear attack submarine is rearing completion, paving the way for its leasing to India on schedule in June. The Russian designed Nerpa being acquired by Indian Navy in USS ‘650 million ona 10-year lease deal has been christened INS Chakra and would become the first advanced rnudlear submarine of the Indian Navy after its induction. “The Indian Navy had leased a Sovi- et nuclear submarine in late Bs which was returned to Moscoss, Nerpa was initially scheduled to be delivered in 2008, but its induction was delayed as it was hit by an accident in November 2008 while on factory trial sailing in the Sea of pan, Tem 5 er a it I i, e CBGs for Navy THE NAVY i steaming towards its aim of deploying two Carrer Battle Groups (CRGs) in Indian Ocean and beyond. By 2014-2015, there should be two fall fledged CBG, with thei accompanying fighters and other arma, destroyers, frigates and tankers. The first CBG will be centred around the 44,570-tonne Gorshkos, rechristened INS Vikrama lity, which India will naw get in early 2013 The second CBG will be around the 40,000-tonne indigenous aircraft carrier AC), whose Keel was laid at Cochin Shipyard in February 2009. The 45 MiG: 29K fighters, contacted from Russia for About 82 bilon, will operate both from Vikramaditya and IAC. Incidentally, a 65,000-tonne IACI i also on the draw ing boar ‘But for now, Navy's intention is 10 stretch” the operational life of the 28,000-tonne INS Viraat, even though its fet with only 11 offs Sea Harcer jump ets, IUTAC fs commissioned, With ny as 40 warships and submatines ‘on onder, coupled with a dedicated com munication satelite to be launched later this year by ISRO, Navy s fast emerging asa thre- dimensional blue-water force, Tis is ertical since India's geopolitic interests stretch right from Hormuz Strut down to Malacea Stat, BEL TIES UP WITH RAFAEL THE TIE-UP proposed between the Navarata defence enterprise BEL and Israel major Rafael Advanced Defence Ss tems to make missile looks set to come through this year. The two companies signed a term sheet more than wo years {ago Rafael is agreeable to holding a lower ‘equity of26 percent inthe proposed ven. ture. At present, the Government limits for ‘ign direct investment na defence venture 10 26 per cent The MoU of Bebruary 2008 had also provision forexports, IAF PHASING OUT MiG-21s THE DEFENCE Minister A K Antony has informed the Lok Saba that th ually phasing out its older MiG ‘which have been lost in crashes, old airraf. The nor. 34 years, The IA Ato the IAF is gad: 1 combat The MiG mal life ofan aircrafts 3 speratesa itl T21 have been upgrad Bison version and are lke The remaining 80-90 aie out inthe next two-three years. The IAF first acquired MiG-21. Between 1966 and 1984, the Hindustan Aeronauties Lid (HAL) bull four variants of the aircraft. In the mid-1990s, despite a series of crashes, to ly tl 2 the IAF decided to upgrade 121 planes of the fourth variant, the MiG-21bis, to the Bison However, the complete phase-out of the MIG-21 is also linked to the acquisition of new aircraft, The IAF is going to induct two Squadrons — 16 alreraft each — of the Indigenous Tejas ight combat alrcrat (LCA) nnd another six squadrons of the plano within six years The MoD is expected to camplete soon lus evaluation of the six jets contending for the order of 126 medium mulli-role com bat aircraft (MMRCA), a deal w S10 billion, AWACSIN IAF OKAYS PRS DECEMBER ‘THE DELIVERY of third AWACS aircraft 10 the Indian Air Force (AF) by bral is expect: fed by December this year. India had signed ‘contract with Isa! In 2004 for suppl¥ing {Hye Phakonaigbome wamingand contol system (AWACS) aircraft of which the fist ‘wo have een already delivered. "The additional AWACS would be pro- cured by India under the 12¢h, 13th and ih Hansard he DRDO alo developing anindigenous system for AJT DELIVERY DELAYED equipment and mismatch in raw materia supplied by Bish BAE Systems to Hindus- tan Aeronauties Limited for building Hak trainer jets have delayed delivery ofthe ar craftto the IA Under a 2004 agreement for 66 Hawk Advance Jet Trainers (AFT), 24 air were tobe builtin Betin and the rest were to be ‘manufacturedin India between 2007-08 and 2010-11. Of the 42, six were tobe built form. semi-knocked down (SKD) and completa Inockedl down (CKD) bits and 36 were to be built rum ra- material phase “The assembly jigs supplied by BAE also did not meet the requirements and there was mismatch inthe kits and components supplied, there were defets in major assem bile ke the wing spar etc, said Raju. These pratlems took tine 1 overcome and hence fected the production schedule at HAL. “The HAL has tll now manufactured 12 aircraft inthe lst two years including one ftom raw material phase IN THE absence of abasic aircralt incr train its fying cadets, the Indian Air Force ute recov has given clearance fora para ery system (PR Hindustan Piston The IAF's dec the recommendations made by a commit. tee headed by Air Vice Marshal Pradeep pefully revive the HPT-32, a and manufactured primary trainer that became operational with the defence forers in 1984, but was grounded last July after fatality two senior fig ‘he PRS will email a parachute being f- ted on the trainer. During an airborne emergency the piloc wil pull lever which in tum will deploy the parachute, bringing the trainer down safely The HAL authorities have reportedly said att foreign vendors have been ident fied and asked to give presentations/pro- posals on what they could offer. Once the endor is chosen the airframes of around 100 HPT-32s will be fitted with parachutes with the HAL most likely ta undertake the task under licence atrangement. I could take at leas three to four months before the first PRS-fittedHPT-X2 is aitbome, BRAHMOS PRODUCTION BEGINS INLINE with plans to At itin the IAF's Su OMI fighter aircraft by 2012, pilot pro: ‘duction of the air launched version of the India-Russia BrahMos missile has started in Russia The sea and ground-Iaunch ver sions of BrahMos missiles have already bbeen successfully tested and put into serv ice by the Indian Army and Navy. So far, the missiles have been assembled atthe Strela plant, and manufacturing facilities are aso being set up in Thiruvanamthapu- ram with Russian assistance. BrahMos Aerospace, a joint venture between India and Russia, has started designing a hyper sonic version of the BrahMos missile BrahMos The first few missiles for factory tests have been manufactured at the Sula pro- duction association in the Orenburg Region, The 2.55-tonne BrahMos super sonic anti-ship missle has been mouifed, shedding 500 kg and getinga new ignition engine to fie the missile at high altitudes. The Su-30MKI also required modifica tions to fit the missile under its belly and integrate it into the plane's fire con team, The Sukhoi Corporation is working to strengthen the wings so that two more missles can be fited in the fas Ieis believed that the BrahMos-armed Su-30MKI would be a game changer in the Indian Ocean, giving the IAF a deeper strategic reach and an extta deadly punch, With a range of 290 km, the missile will allow the pilot to hit enemy vessels while Staying well ouside the reach of thei defences, Traveling ata top speed of Mach 2.8 barely 3-4 metres above the sea surface, the missile cannot be intercepted by any known weapon system in the world. Te el AKASH FOR IAF BHARAT ELECTRONICS LID (BEL) is integrating various systems for Rs 10,000 crore ($2.5 billion) Akash surface-to-air missile (SAM) projet, Developed as part Of Indias Integrated Guided Missile Development Program by DRDO, Akash isan all-weather, medium-range, surface tocar missle system, It has a multidice tional, multtarget area defense capability and ean take on muliple air targets ina fully autonomous mode of operations The fist phase of deliveries tothe LAF ‘woud begin this year. The IAF has placed orders for two squadrons, and BEL is expecting to provide for four more ‘squadrons soon after the initial delivery schedule is complete, The Indian Armay may also order a diferent variant of the missile fortwo of its squadrons. The first two squadrons of IAE missiles will consist ‘of AB units exch, C-17 FOR INDIA ‘THE US Defence Security Cooperation Agency has notified the Congress of a ‘Potential sale of 10 Boeing C-17 transport aircraft to India. This isan important step {orward in the US Foreign Military Sales, (EMS) process and is a necessary prerey ‘iste 10 negotiations on the deal. “The C-17 is the workhorse of the US Air Force transport fleet and has proven ‘tobe highly reliable inthe harsh environ- ‘ments of Iraq and Afghanistan. The 1AF ‘would use the C-17s 10 modernise Indias armed forces with new cargo capabilities, land asa replacement for its ageing Russ. ian 1-76 feet. a ar ‘witha 75-tonne payload, the C-17 ean take off from a 7,000-foot airfield, fly 2.400 nautical miles in one go, and land feven on a small, austere airfield at 3,000 feet or les, In addition to the US Ai Force, the C-17 is currently in service ‘wih te British Royal AirForce, the Royal ‘Australian Air Force, the Canadian Forces, NATO and Qatar. The UAE wo has placed orders forthe arcral. ‘Although the official notification to Congress lists the potential value as USD 5.8 billion the actual cost will be based on IAF's requirements, which is ee wa YELIO be negotiated. SUCCESSFUL LCA FLIGHT THE MAIDEN test flight of the most advanced ofthe nine Light Combat Aircraft (LCA) Tejas aircraft has been carried out successfully, With this successful fi LCA (Iejas) programme is very clase to the ial Operations Clearance, which is to be completed by December 2010. The test air elt was flown by Wg Cd G Thomas ofthe National ight Test Centre at ADAL As per procedure the frst flight was = Tejas Trainer. The Mig airport in Bangalore and objectives were met within 52 minutes, DRDO sai, {otal number of test flights accumulated across nine test vehicles of Tejas pro: gramme has reached 1,350 and has logged about 800 hours of Hight UKRAINE OFFERS COOPERATION UKRAINE HAS offered to develop jointly ‘a medium weight transport alcraft with India that would be based on its alceady existing Antonov-148, commercial ar. craft. if the Ukrainian proposal is approved, this will be the second such co-development programme for trans: portairraft after India and Russa signed A contract for developing the Multirole Transport Aircraft (MA) few years back. TAF will procure 1220 tonne C-130)s. from America at over $1.5 billion and co- develop the MIA with Russia. It also plans to procure around 10 C-17 strategic lift azcrat from the US, which ean carry ‘ver 70 tonnes of ond. wvw edenigroup.com ADANI: BUSINESS OF SUCCESS When you're built on the definitive values of Innovation, Courage ond Trust, success naturally becomes your core business. Perhapsthat’swhat propelsus asone ofthe fastest growing business housesin India. A diversified conglomerate with ventures spanning Ports, SEZs, Logistics, Power, Commodities ond Infrastructure. Atthe base of this success lies our bility identify opportunities, build on them and synergize our varied expertise. Thor's what sels us ‘part and drives us. Not surprising, when you consider the vision ond strength we derive fromourvalves. Three small words. Innovation, Couragecnd Trust. ADANI is PORT ADANI is POWER ADANI is SEZ ADANI is ENTERPRISE Nd ADANI is LOGISTICS COURAGE reust PORTS > SEZs » LOGISTICS » POWER » COMMODITIES » INFRASTRUCTURE ADANI rusintss of success guy shores ond ae he Sacuttar ond Exchange Boo'd India. Acopy of tha Draft [ed Honig Ponpec ia crallctloenlirwobetioct Ar Pome Uneccturriodonipaer cons ta weit olSecer Never Ese se este yi eet tse ed Cs teen col yet ere eae reraacve webster of Book Running Leed Moneges ct www nam com, wn scan com, warmsccReeuay com, we <0 ‘ve dinencalin ww kotok comand ww orgertaiey cm, sa ene) OF ALL DEALS Is pressure being applied on India to favour US suppliers? The choice pertaining to the $11-billion 126 fighter aircraft deal for the IAF has set people talking in hushed tones, writes ABHIJIT BHATTACHARYYA. OREIGN MANUFACTURERS are all set to tap the cash-rich Indian farms bavaat. The accompanying, lable shows thesalent features the products ofthe six bidding slobal aerospace majors for the Supply of 126 mult-role combat aircraft for the Indian Air Force (AF). The two-year deadline forthe bids submaited by these six bidders against the global tender put out by India ended recently” However, these may oF may not be fully accepted or appreciated by ‘he potential buyer owing to some extra oF special stuf requirement o suit the local eon: ditions and the environment in which the nult-role fighters are likely ro operate. It ould, therefore, esultina fesh or additional request for proposal” for interfacing, say of Russian radar with Israc armament, French Ayingeontrols with American armament and avionics. Following that could be extensive “field” tial on an actual flight envelope encompassing the ultimate performance at the ‘edge ofthe" simulated “battle area ‘And finally, the cug-of-war on pricing and cost-benefit analysis could ensue among the six bidders, None can predict its outcome, but what the possible scenario would be one can safely visualise. There is bound to be Jobbying and counter lobbying, allegations and counter allegations, disinformation and nisinformation galore, resorted to by the val bidders to shake the confidence of the Indian establishment and delay the det sion- making process of the user All, simply because the quantum and quality of the worth S11-bilion deal are too big, important And too high for the survival of some and revival of fortunes for some others. Hence it isa virtual war-ke situation for the Bidders ofthe USA and Europe. Nevertheless as dhe vendors will continue fo fight in the board rooms and. the feustomer’s conference room w showease {heir product, it would also be the cll ofthe pleaders and lobbyists to prove what they sider wo be the best aircraft forthe Indian sky. And that would be a job wherein the quality ofethiesand moraltyare bound fll by the wayside. Ths the lobbyists may go t an emphatic cover-drive to prove that it would be an inher- enily better option for India to go fora twin, rather than a single, engine fighters the fr ‘mer will have a pure and pristi the single engine on combat ower, reserve power, emergency situation in «eases Where one engine becomes inoperative fete. Hence the plenders of twin engines, and critics ofthe single engine-powered aicraft ‘will come down heavily on the choice ofthe Swedish-made SAAB JAS-39 Gripen and the US- manufactured Lockheed Martin F-16, Regarding the protagonists ofthe opposi tion eamp, the counter logics likely to be the tradicional fighter inventory of the Indian Air Force which had the propensity 10 use the one-engined Vampire, Ouragon (Toofani) Mystere, Gnat, Hunter, MIG-21, MiG-23, THERE IS BOUND TO BE LOBBYING AND COUNTER: LOBBYING, ALLEGATIONS AND COUNTER ALLEGATIONS, BY THE BIDDERS Mig-27, Sukhol-7 10 Mirage-2000 and the ‘uninterupted, continuous mission capability and accomplishment theref, ln fact, one is apprehensive about the ‘opposition and the likely heat generated in the aftermath of any decision pertaining to fighter selection forthe LAE. The tension is already palpable as rivals are on aver-time land over drive to establish the credential of their respective flying machines and finding flaws and faults of the “other aircraft” for being “obsolete, “consistent mission failures “fying calfins”, “commissioned” machin manufacturer, “intelligence-leakage” opera tor and whatnot Inf nul-national *oge-fight” in allaltuce dep inside the Ind an airspace has begun wit ‘unusual, but not u the offing tradi versy” pertaining to fight Indian arms marke took place with the selec tion of Anglo-French Sepecat Jaguar in the 1970s, Though the aircraft subsequently proved to be useful and effective for the AF, {he selection took dhe le" ofthe then serving Defence Secretary Sushital Banerjee. “The ghost of Bofors of 1980s still haunts the Indian establishment. So much so, that thas virtually stymied the selection process of the fieldgun forthe Indian Amy thereby con fronting the force with the real possibility of going without guns at present, noewithstand- Ing the persistent call of the Army. Thus, espite its superb performance during the ‘arg war in 1999, Bofors and Sweden (being the county of origin) are the two possible ‘whipping points for those bidders who may case SAAB JAS-39 Gripen wins id manages to fly from the Indian The eritics of “obsolescence” factor may further question the wisdom of selection of Contec page 34 RUSSIA MIG-35 Multirole ghter Production of land-based MiG-29% ened in 90s. Prospects fornew production dependent upon Indian orderforcamier-based MiG-20K 2% MIG-55, the most recent suecessor ‘OFMIG-29, was adopted in 2005 ‘when MIG.29-OVT upgrade was redesigned for possible new ‘manufacture in India to meet re- {quicement for 125 irra > Emphasis from start on high ma noeuvrability to counter US E15, F-16 8 F-18 with target destruction at distances from 200 ‘meters to 37 miles. Fiy-by-wite, Retractable tricycle ype 2 Klimov /Sarkisov RD- 33 MK marinised” turbofan with 19180 Pound staie thrust with allesburner Pilot ony on 160 rearwai dined zero/ zero ection seat. 3 {ncernal mirors provide ‘warward views > Two independent hydraulic systemsand three separate pneumatic systems, > Expected toincomporate French, ussianand Indian ‘components % Mixtre of air-to-airand aic- tw surface missles, TV guided ‘bombs, ree fall bambs anda singe barrel gun. > Wing span 3 4 inch. Overall Jengih 568114 inet > Maxlevel speed 2100 kmph/1491 ‘mph at57420 fet. > Combat range with maximum fuel ke / 528 mes, Maltirole fighter Entered service n 1979, At Teas 12 versions available ‘Optimised for high aglty in air ‘combat, Pilot's ejection seat in ined 30 rearward. Baseline F-16 rframelife planned as 8000 fying hours y-by-wire-system. Retractable tricycle pe. 1 General Hletie/ Volvo Fygm: ‘or turbofan with afterburner Pot only on Martin Baker Mark 1OL zero/zerv ejection seat 2 wingtip mounted Sidewinder air-to-air missles and 6 other ex- teal hard points, Weapons in- ‘ude short and medium-range air-to-air missles, ant shipping ‘missiles, conventional r retarded ‘bombs airto-surface rockets or ‘external fuel tanks. Wing span 27.65% inch, Overall length 48.5 inch. rm ©) sass Design submitted February, 1972. Entered service January 05,1979 Atleast 12 versions available Optimised for high aii in ombat, Pot ejection seat inclined 30 rearward Baseline F-16 airframe ie planned as O00 fying hours > Four channel digital y-by > Hydeaulically retractable ype One General Hlctric or Prat and Whitney with 29000 pound static thrust and above Plot only on Boeing ACES I zero ze19 ejection seat Standard mounting foran aie ‘orair missle at each wingtip, ‘one under fuselage centerine ‘hard point and sixundenving, ‘har points for eaernal stores > Wing span 311 Overall erg 49 feainch > Wings gross 30059 ft © Male take off weight varies be- tween 14.66 tons (0 21.77 tons depending on the version Max level speed at 40000, ‘above Mach 20, USA Boeing F/A-18 Super Hornet > Multroefighter > Requirement issued 1991 Entered service on November 17, «three versions operate ‘present > Generally, as for fist generation, Homet, Additional 1.537 ton {emaland 1.40 on external fuel > Fulldigitaly-by-wie controls; Jeading and waiing edge Naps sched! automaticaly forhigh nanoeuvrability, fst cruiseand low approach speed > Retracable wicycle ype > Two General Electric turbofans, each rated at approximately 22000 pound static thrust with alter burning > Plot only on Mactin-Baker SIU-S/6NACES zero/zer0 jection seat 6D percent more electrical power than the earlier versions of F/A 18, > Atteast 29 weapons combina: tions cleared before service entry > Wingspan 44. 10% inch. Over- alllenglh Gof. 34 neh ‘Wings gross 50059. ‘Max external stores payload at take off 8.02 tons, Max takeoff weight (marine) 29.93 tons. Max. (ake olf weight and) 30.20 tons > Max, level speed avalide, ‘Mac 1.5 service eeiing 000. > Combat range between 2361 4/1467 miles ane 3074 km. 1910 miles imi +76 Q SEEING EUROFIGHTER ‘Typhoon Multroe fighter ‘Gonceived in 1983 itentered serv- ice June, 2008 Atleast 25 types exist ‘Agile igher; subsonic instability ‘exeeds 35%. Low-observables ‘specifications. Intended service Iie 6000 rs/25 years. Operational tum-round by 6 ground crewsin 25 Fllauthority quadruplex ACT (ac tive control technology) digital fy by-wie light controlaystem... ‘with earefee handling” Retractable ricycletype 2 Baroje J -200 advanced technol ‘oy turbofans; each of approx. 15490 pound stati dry a Pound thrust with after buri 1 Pilot for combat and 2 or trai ing with 2ro/ zero ejection seat Wings gross $51.1 sqft "Normal weapon payload 6.5 tons. (Overload 7.5 tons. Max. interceptor take off weight-16 tons Max. attack {ake off weight -21 tons. Overload BS tons ‘Max levelspeed Mach 2.0 Service ‘ling 55000 ft. Combat radius- ‘ggound attack 6O1 kam (374 miles); fr defence 185 kus/105 miles. g limits with fulload +9/-3 Wing span37 ft, Overall length 52 fa Minch, Design began on June, 1982 {ered service on May 1, 2001 Aleas five versions exist for do Imestic usealong with an exclusive ‘export version called Rafale Mark 2 Cffered to South Koeea Designated “omni role" co describe simultaneous aie-to-aie and air-fo-round capabiies, Mi {mum weight and volume s tohold costs o minimum Fully digital y-by-wire controls ‘Hydraulally retractable tricycle ‘ype 2SNBCMA M-88-264 augmented ‘urbotans, each rated 10950 pound stati thrust and 16400 pound stave thrust with aflerburning Piloc only on SEMMB Martin Baker (MK-16zer0/2er0 jection seat al hydraulic cic uis Triplex dig {al plus one dual analogue fy-by- ‘wire flight contol system: inegrated with engine c and linked with weapons syst tions, radar, ight, instruments tion, missan and seédefence ‘Mesternal sores attachments. ‘Normal external load 6 tons. Mai ‘nutn permissible 95 tons. Wing span 5 inch, Overall Jength 6 ft. 3 inch Wing goss 491.954. ‘Normal external payload 6 tons. ‘Maximum external payload 9.5, tons, Max. ake of weight varies fiom 1910 245 tons depending on the versions ‘Maaclevel speed Mach 1.8. Service ceiling 55000 fe. Radius of action: Jow level 1055 km655 miles. Long, ‘ange 1750 km. /1093 miles. limits 49/32, DASSAULT THE GREATEST HURDLE TO EUROFIGHTER TYPHOON OFFER TO INDIA COULD BE THE HIGH PRICE TAG ON THE FIGHTER AIRCRAFT Lockheed Martin £16 Fighting Falcon which has been in the at (it 519 aireat having been sold), close to 32 years, up gradation ot tthe machine and operational use of 24 cus tomers notwithstanding. Interestingly. dhe ‘main danger tothe selection process of F-16, may come more from is country val Boelng, (than the European bidders) since Washing: {on isalso showcasing its state of art” twin engine Super Hornet F/A-18 with an overall, superior capability” inall aspects owing tots boeing “bigger, larger, stronger and better” from take of to touch down, both on and off the shore with land and marinised versions ‘One of the consistent suppliers and per: sistent hardware producers to India since the ~ i> SPOTLIGHT ad ‘TYPHOON: The Eurofighter’s prized aireraft 1950s has been France and the dislike of US manufacturers of the French is too we ‘knowm t be freshly documented. However, ever since the discovery ofa camaraderie and ‘comradeship in joint exercises (2005-2006) (Gwalior) and Kalaikunda ‘Americans ae unlikely to let gp the unprecedented opportunity of serv saving” the Indlan Air Force from, the “monopoly clutches” of European manu: factuters, I india could start operating the landing ship Trenton inthe midst of Russian ‘made vessels of Foxtrot and Kashin, Krestas nd Krivaks, Osas and Tarantuls, why cannot the US enterprise showease its products in the squadrons ofthe IAP? FIGHTING FIT: IAP needs state-of-the-art fighting machines bidders, the combined might of the multinational EurofighterTyphoon is sure to tomtom is state-of-the-art machine with true mltcole capabiliy, thereby hinting at the “inferior” performance ofall others in the fray. But can that really be so? Eurotighter iniually had lle inclination and interest Indian market owing to its confidence co make money from the backyard of Europe itself. However, drastic cut in the budget of several European nations and the consequent ‘cancellation of confirmed orders compelled Eurofighter to look seriously to the east evertheless the greatest hur dle to Burofighter Typhoon offer to India ‘ould be the high price tag on the aitcraft ‘wing to high cost of research and develop: ‘and the traditional high input cost of production in Europe, Amidst all these bidders, where does Russia stand? Can the Russians — being the traditional suppliers of steraft and rotorerat of all types and varieties cose to fifty-five ‘years — give up so easily? Are not they pawer ful enough (0 influence the psyche of majority of actual users ofthe Moscow-made machines both in dhe air and in the mainte nance depots from Leh (o ‘Trivandrum and from Bhuj to Khumbhigran? Widh hundreds of ans, guns, MiGs, Antonovs, Sukhoi, Mis, “Tupolevs and yushins in the inventory of the Indian armed forces and the Moscow-made nuclear submarine “Akula” and airraf carrier Sergei Georgievich Gorshkov in the pipeline, no establishment of India would be able to ‘deal with Moscow with a kid-glave attitude In fact, the Russians have enough leverage to play both China and Pakistan cards to resort to pin-prick should they choose to do so. However, with the recent, March 2010 visi of the Rus ~ Minister Putin and the finalization of US $4 billion defence deal, ane jst cannot ignore in Delhi. Indias deeply embedded to ent hugo Rusia for (od longo extricate ‘overnight. "The moral ofthe story is very simple, The choice and decision pertaining to 125 fighter alcraft for the IAF ae fraught with turbulent notwithstanding whichever isthe go isthe Prime Minister femment and whosoe (othe day), (of War ofall against al” h thas turned into a war ery as was sen from the news item of September 10,2007 "Lett alleges. sellout on fighter aiscra.” WAITING FOR THE INDUCTION: MiG 3 SPOTLIGHT. Reportedly thas been alleged ‘that extraonlinary pressure i being applied on India to favour the US sup pliers fo the supply of 126 mult-role combat Aircraft, the global tender for which was put out by India last week we constitute any surprise? One does not el so, becaus are (00 high per taining to mor prestige power across the global market of “ world” One would be surprised only if evry- fone starts following ethies and morality preaching and teaching the truth, co be fo: lowed in deed and seal the deal for 126 fighter raft forthe IAE the possible worst scenario and further delay in equipping the IAP ifthe US seriously pushes its latest 5th generation needed to phase out MiG 21 THE STAKES ARE TOO HIGH PERTAINING TO MONEY AND MATTER, PRESTIGE AND POWER ACROSS THE GLOBAL MARKET “Joint Strike Fighter F.35", If media report, Is to be believed, the US has already “offered the hi-tech F-35", Though at pres: cent tis aircraft does not figure in th fighters in the “request for proposals” unlikely event ofa worseningall-out tions and counter-allegations of ‘under hand deal” and “raw deal” ete, the situation for India and her armed forces could indeed he -murkier than what one thas seen thus far. Hence the Indian estab- lishment needs to gear up for the future market war with a stoic resignation per. taining (0 life which may prove the words of the philosopher tobe true — solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short” with an fequally shorter shelf life ofthe figures, osals and disposals of the 126 aircralt fo e IKE. Till hen one cat only wait, watt and wait again with baited breath. (The author is an alumnus of the National Defence College) MIGRATION BLUES Immigrants have virtually made India their home While no part of the world is un: migration, itis highest between countries with contagious borders. ASHWANI SHARMA TH THE increasing fw of ‘migrants across the world, there has been a marked change in the charter of contemporary internation: al migration, South-South. migration is Acquiring inereasing salience in internation: migration matrix, Many developing nations which were ‘sending counties are Inewasingly becoming eeeiving countries for migrants There area substantial number ‘ofdeveloping nations that have been receiv ing migrants from other developing coun ‘wis with low-income, This continuing trend has been confirmed by a recent World Bank report which indicates that there is dis cernable shift from North-South migration ‘o South-South migration. Many developing countries like India, the Islamic Republic of Tran and Pakistan have now begun to appear jin the lst of top receivers of migrants world wide Acconding to World Bank estimates, South-South migration may be as high as Norih-South migration. This share may be ‘much higher if illegal immigrants are taken {nto account because egal immigration Is dip an important feature of South-South mig. tion: particularly between countries that share common borders. Nonetheless, flow been countries and across gions ofthe South has become a salient aspect of the Intemational migration system. Tegal as well a illegal, berween countries with cont is the highest. For ple, ninety per cent of migrants into fre from the neighbouring counties {In South Asia, more than fifty per cent oft migrants move to either the neighbouring ‘autres or other developing countries, The above analysis suggests that contem- porary migration is global in scope as there is ’o part of the world that is unaffected by ‘migration: the nature and intensity of is {impact may vary from region to region, and ‘ver time, In most host countries, particular ly In liberal democracies, once migration takes place it inevitably results in a substan: tial number becoming citizens of the host country and creating a cultural, linguistic and religious minority within the state. The immigrant community has the potential of affecting the political, economic and social conditions within the host county. Impor {andy this community ean affect ites ofthe host nation-state Inthecomtemporary world, many gover ments as well as cidzenshave been unable .o Appreciate the scale and significance of par cular patterns of movement, There ate ‘examples from the western world as well as the Third World to drive home this partic point, In 2006, the British government ‘admitted that it was unaware ofthe scale of ‘low of legal immigrants tothe United Ki don, Until the ate 1990s, the Indian gov ‘ment also had no idea ofthe scale ofthe ow of illegal immigrants from East Pakist Bangladesh to India, The migrants from Bangladesh are Increasingly pereived asa threat to national ‘wellbeing and security, This particular point was underscored in Apri 2008 by the deca ‘ation ofthe Parliamentary Standing Com: mittee that ‘a rge presence of illegal Bangladeshi immigrants poses a grave thea to the internal security (of India) and it should be viewed strongly. On the basis of ‘media reports of involvement of Bangladeshi {insurgent groups in recent terrorist acts in India, the 25-member committee recom: ‘mended that Bangladeshi migrants in the ‘county should be strictly monitored Ttis indeed dificult co have accurate and reliable estimates of the Bangladeshi ‘migrants in India. A recent study based on Indian Census data estimated that there ‘were 3.1 0 3.7 million Bangladeshis in 2001 rent of India estimated in’ 2001 there were 12 million Bangladeshis residing illegally in the coun- uy. There appears to be a general agreement ‘analysts of varying kleologieal incl ‘on the current. estimates of Bangladeshi migrants in India: 20 million in 2010, However, the most disconcerting fact Appears to be the revelation by the recent c geopol IN TERMS OF LOW, THE INDO: BANGLADESH CORRIDO! MOST ACTIN GLOBALLY, SECOND US-ME: Mi PERSPECTIVE NEED FOR A POLICY: Bangladesh Parliament World Bank study which contends that, in terms of flow, the Indo-Bangladesh corridor is one of the most active globally, and is a close second to lows across the US- exican border. The continuing migration of Bangladeshis to India has become a politically and socially nitive issue. The north-eastern states of India have received the largest inflows of, migrants due to their proximity to Bangladesh, Historically, a substantial num ber of refugees miggated to these states dur ing the partition ofthe Indian sub-con 1947 and subsequent fo independent nation-state of | 1971. The largest inflow of these migrants hhas been in the state of Assam. This has led to demographic and cultural changes within the state and provoked anti-Bengali move- ‘ments. Inthe late 1940s, the Bengal Kheda (drive away Bengalis) movement started in ‘Assam, And in the 1960s, a substantial num> ber of Bengali Hindus fled to the neighbour- ing states of West Bengal and Tripura. The All ‘Assam Students Union (ASU) led an ai foreigners’ movement during 1979-84. The ‘movement opposed the entry of illegal immigrants from Bangladesh, and demand- ed the expulsion of all Bengalis who had entered Assam since 1951, The violence that engulfed the movement led fo the killing of thousands of people: majority ofthese were Bengali-speaking Muslim immigrants. Ana- Iysts have argued that in these insurgent prone north-eastern states characterized by social and politically instability, the unabat- ‘ed low of Bangladeshi illegal immigrants has fuelled divisive and aggressive tendencies. ‘The motivating force underlying these l THE UNIQUE IDENTIFICATION CARD PROJECT COULD POSSIBLY HELP IN THE IDENTIFICATION OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS ‘movements has been a serious threat to cul- ‘ural/linguistc denties of the people inthe north-eastern states. The Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) party leader inan interview to the BBC in 2005 articulated the senti- ting: “Fhe ilegal immigrants ladesh are a major threat to our identity. We will become foreigners in out ‘own land unless we keep these people out of “Assam,” This view was reinforced by the ‘Supreme Court in its judgement which stat- fed "The presence of such large number of ‘migrants from Bangladesh, which run into million, i in fact an aggression on the state fof Assam and has also contributed signif cantly in causing serious internal distur Dances inthe shape of insurgency of alarm- ing proportions” “The grovsing concern about Islamic fun- damentalism and terrorist has raised the Drofie ofthe issue of ilegal immigrants from (38) Bangladesh in public discourse. In the per- ‘ception of analysts, policy-makers, journal {sts and the ordinary people, itis serious issue and requires elective solution. Accord ing to a leading journalist, “There are as many as 20 million Bangladeshis scattered across India, Some are genuine refugees, men and women fleeing persecution. But ‘many are seeking to make a quick buck at ‘the Indians’ expense, More worrying. an Increasing number are criminals alied to {erorists’ 8 comment by an ordinary citizen ‘encapsulates the sentiments ofa large sec- ‘of Indian people: "Too many Bangladeshis are coming here without pass- ports They take our jobs, some are terrorists, ‘They need to be stopped ‘The Indian policy-makers need o address the issue with short-term measures as well as long-term solution because ihas the poten tial of getting enmeshed with the Issues of ‘threat to internal security, identity, commu- nalism, human rights, and social harmony and political stabi finding a viable solution to legal migraion of ‘Bangladeshis India has the potential of mit. ‘gating the problemas both sides appearto be serious in resolving the issue. The Unique ‘Mentifcation Card project stated by the Indi an goverment could possibly help in the identification of legal immigrants in India, However, to deal with the existing illegal Bangladeshi immigrants with an appropriate response would remain a challenge for the policy makers in India. (The writers Associate Professorin Intema- tonal Relationsat the University of Dah The November 2008 terrorist attacks in Mumbai exposed India’s maritime vulnerability. The threats from sea are, in fact, growing by the day — be it terrorism, piracy or China's growing presence in the Indian Ocean. analyses ... STORY F LATE, India’s maritime security Is facing a growing complex the deployment of a three: ship squadron ofthe Chinas Peoples Liberation Army [Navy PLAN) tothe Gull of Aden in 2008; the {inflation of Pakistan-based militants into ‘Mumbai by sea ahead of mounting coordinat fed attacks on multiple targets in the city in November 2008 ora surge in maritime piracy {incidents in the Bay of Bengal and Gulf of ‘Aden, On the one hand, the Mkunbal terrorist attacks and China’ PLAN deployment to the Indian Ocean demonstrate competing pres sures on India’s maritime security needs between enhancing its naval power projec tion capabilities and protecting the Indian Sh ‘metrical and com ‘heats fare not mutually exclusive, Maritime teror. {sm and piracy are actualy proving state ors such as China with the justification to expand their presence in the Indian Ocean. Under the pretext of protecting Sea Lines of, Communication (SLOCS), China is achieving {ts ambitions of expanding its blue water naval eapabiles. As such, an integrated and tic approach is necessary to address the range of divergent but overlapping threats (0 Indias marine security Theee have been’ few incidents of maritime cerrorism i India although the {ingredients for such an attack are in place namely a porous, poorly demarcated and STORY disputed maritime border, a plethora of high-profile tary several motivat {to mount increasingly sophisti This was demonstrated with the terrorist attacks on Mumbai in November 2008 when 10 militants infiltrated the city by sea from the port of Karachi in Pakistan. They did so after hijacking an Indian fishing trawler and decap ew. Previous attacks in “Mumbai have also exploited the city’s lax smacitime secu used in the ‘multiple bomb blasts in Mumbai in March 1993 were reportedly smuggled into the country by sea with assistance from the Organised criminal syndicate of Dawood Ibrahim while the explosives used in the ‘Mumbai train blasts in July 2006 were also, reportedly smuggled into India throu porous Gulf of Kutch coastline. In none of {hese incidents were naval platfonns oF ves sels or port infrastructure the target of ter. rorist attacks. Instead, maritime capabilities were merely used by militant groups 10 transport their supplies and personnel for land-based attacks. However, the possibility Of future attacks on offshore targets cannot be discounted given the growing boldness of errorist tactics, Notably, reports. that Maldivian nationals are being trained by Pakistan-based mitant groups demonstrate « potential catalyst for maritime terorismin the Indian Ovean, ‘Complementing the latent maritime texror- {st theeat from Islamist extremist groups isthe REPORTS THAT MALDIVIAN NATIONALS ARE BEING TRAINED BY PAKISTAN-BASED MILITANT GROU! DEMONSTRATE A POTENTIAL CATA- LYST FOR MAR, ITIME TERRORISM IN THE INDIAN OCEAN. ANTI-PIRACY RATIONS. S DEEPER IN THE OCEAN precedent already set by other insurgent sroups that have well-established maritime terrorism capabilites, Until recently the most significant source of maritime terrorism in South Asia emanated from the separatist insurgeney of the Liberation Tigers of the Tami Eelam (LITE) in Si Lanka. The Tami Tigers perfected the use of maritime warfare for use in terrorist attacks, The LTTE navy nove as the Sea Tigers, had been used (0 smuggle arms and attack government-run, ‘vessels and pons, aswell as international mer. chant shipping. As recently as October 2008, the LTTE Blick Sea Tiger suicide squad rammed explosives-laden boats against two ‘merchant ships providing supplies to the gow cenment-held Jaina Peninsula in northern Se dip COVERSTORY RECURRENT THREAT: Captured Somalian pirates been neutralised following the los of the LITE’ territory, conventional military capa: bles and senior leadership in May 2009, the groupis tactics remain a model tobe emulated by other regional terrorist organisations, Reports thatthe LITE had provided taining. nd arms (0 other South Asian insurgent ‘soups including the Naxalte insurgency ate ‘evidence ofth ty to export its tac ths The fact thatthe ETTE retains a significant portion of overseas support base and funding ‘mechanisms while insurgent remnants’ tran sition tovards organised crime and merce nary activities creates the right ingredients for the export of LTTE tactics However, piracy represents a more imme GATEWAY TO TERROR? Terrorists infltrated Mumbai by sea in November 2008 diate threat to offshore security than mar itime teroristn, While the Indian coastline is ‘geographically separated from the focal point for maritime piracy inthe Gulf of Aden and ‘waters off the coast of Somalia, this does not mitigate treats to India given the importance ‘of these waterways to India’s trade, App mately 25 Indian-owned merchant ships sai through the Gulf of Aden every month and Indian nationals account for 6 pee cent of ‘sfobal seafarers. The threat to Indian interests from growing piracy incidents was most vis bly illustrated in March 2008 wher more 100 indian sailors were taker ight boats were hijacked in The growth in piracy incidents in Auden and off he coast of Somalia in 2000 with ‘almost 200 piracy’attempes, marking a62 per ‘ent increase over the previous year, has led the Indian Navyto step up operations int region. This was most visibly demonstrated by the INS Tabar sinking a pirate "modher- ship” inthe Gulf of Aden in November 2008, Furthermore growing international ant piracy operations off the coast of Somalia and in the Gul of Aden threaten to displace the Pirate attacks further from the Somali coast Tine to waters deeper in the Indian Ocean and potentially closer to Indias shores, as con- firmed by the hijacking of a Turkish vessel ‘waters eloser to India than Afsica in March 2010. Reports that Pakistani nationals were apprehended in connection wit ing ofa Russian vessel by Somali pirates in ial col April 2009 also demonstrate pot sion between Afi em groups. ACpresent, the most significant source of ‘maritime piracy in dhe South Asia region is olf the coast of Bangladesh where pirates are prone to targeting ships approaching and anchoring at Chittagong while s ‘wary in the Sunderbans remain crude compared tothe more sophist- cated measures being employed by pirates ‘near dhe Gull of Aden or inthe Sat of Malac ca, while pirates target relatively low-profile fishing vessels However, this could change if pirate tactics grow more sophisticated with Assistance from Bangladesh-based organised time or terrorist groups. The recent string of fmtests of operatives of Pukistan- based tertor Jst groups on Bangladeshi sol, coupled with the growingstrategic importance ofthe Bay of Bengal asa source of ollshore energy resources could lead the piracy threat to gain prominence unless prompt and coordinated Acton is taken by litoral states, The maritime threat has traditionally not been a source of interstate hostilities between India and Pakistan, which have Instead focused on their land borders. How fever, another high-profile terrorist attack on tis traced to arms or militants dia via sea from Pakistan could point of conflict shifting off This is complemented by the poorly ing sanc ion, Tactics lead the foc shove demarcated maritime boundaries in the region a evidenced by the frequent arrest of Indian and Pakistan fishermen, whiely has been exasperated by a maritime tereitorial dispute over Sit Creek in the Rann of Kutch, marshlands, With attacks on India by Pak {stan-based terorist groups having expande. beyond Kashmir int the Indian heardan, militants are increasingly infiltrating from, utes other than the Line of Control in Kash. Imig incadingacross the Rann of Kutch coast. line along Sindh-Gujarat border ‘A longer term inter-state teat facing India emanates from China's growing pres ence inthe Indian Ocean, The deployment of a 2 oe ee! rane TOILE “Mumbai attacks provided a glaring example of maritime terrorism water naval ambitions into a reality: While the decision by the PLAN to join the Shared Awareness and Deconfliction (Shade) naval taskforce has brought China into the mult eral framework of protecting sea-lines of ‘comnmunication (SLOCS) in the western Ind an Ocean, i has also expanded Chinals man: date in the Indian Ocean The hijacking of the Chinese cargo ship, De Xin Ha, in October 2008, the first Chinese vessel to be hijacked since the deployment of the PLAN taskforce has further empowered the PLAN presence in the Indian Ocean, ‘China has made its naval power projection goals increasingly transparent while shielding this under dhe thetoric of maintaining “Har ‘monious Seas". Chinas 2008 Defence White paper noted that the PLAN will “gradually ‘evelop is capabilites for cor tons in distant waters and countering hon: traditional security threats" Complementing its growing ambitions are the PLAN's growing capabilities — over the lst decade the PLAN hhas acquired some 30 submarines and 22 sur face ships while ithas ambitions toacquire an aircralt cari fleet by 2020, While these plat orm focus primarily on deterring US incr. vention in a coniMit in the Taiwan Stet, i could over the long-term be used to expand Ching’s sea-denial ‘capabilities in. other regions, including the Stait of Malacca and Indian Ocean. The grawing boldness of PLAN, imanocuvresin the East and South China se inecent months isa possiblesign of things 0 come in the Indian Ocean, “Meanie, China’ investment in Se Lan. ‘kas port infrastructure, inching the Colom bo South Harbour Development Project an THERE ARE CONCERNS IN 30TH AND THE UNITED STATES Wars MAY EMERGE A A STAGE O! GEOPOLITICAL RIVALRY THE NAVY WAS DESIG NATED THE CENTRAL AUTHORITY, RESPONSIBLE FOR SECUR TY OF THE COASTLINE COVERSTORY CChina has provided preferential loans at subsidised rates in addition to investment in Srategically and symbolically important Inrasructure projects. Chia-Se Lanka bila cal trade has grown fivefold between 2006, and 2008 while China has replaced Japan as SiLanla leading aid donor. Inaddition tits ‘economicassistance China also provided cru ‘al diplomatic supporto Sri Lanka, blocking attempts by the European Union to table a ‘solution athe UN Security Cound citi ing the Sei Lankan goverument’s conduct in its offensive against the Tamil Tigers, as well as defeating an EU motion against Sei Lanka for war crimes investigations at the UN Human Rights Council China was also able to suppl offensive armamentsto the Sei Lankan Despite delays in procuring some naval pla forms, such as the Russian aircraft catrier Admiral Gorshkov (INS Vikramaditya), India has stepped up the indigenous development ‘of naval platforms; including (Advanced Tech nology Vessel) nuclear-powered submarines; and stealth” figates as wellas developing a ‘ubmarine-launched supersonic missile that modifies its BrahMos crulse missile ‘With respect to power projection, nda has established a listening post in northe Madagascar in addition to developing u Andaman and Nicobar Islands as a strategic post and deploying coastal radars inthe Mal- dives. The Indian Navy has demonstrate is role in ensuring regional marine security through its high-profile operations includ SECURING THE WATERS: Indian Navy personnel during a sea exercise the Hambantota port project has revive the debate over Chinas sting of pearls’ strategy of constructing ports along strategically Importanc waterways. China’ growing inter fests in Sei Lanka emulate existing Chinese funded port projects at Gwadar in Pakistan, “Marao inthe Maldives, and sttwe in Myan: mar (Burma) and complement ambitions t0 develop overseas supply bases. The Rajapak sa government in Colombo has stepped up engagement with non-traditional donors suchas Chia as dhe westhas wiced eres over the government's human rights record while threatening wo curtail aid and invest ment suppart. military in its campaign against the Tamil Tiges, which taditiona ally India was unable toda, given domestic political considerations. This has prompted concerns in both India and the United States, as noted by a report from the US Senate Foreign Relations Com. ‘mittee that noted the potential for Sri Lanka {wemenge as a stage of geopolitical aly. The growth ofthese conventional and non: conventional maritime security theeats has ‘come as India as continued to pursue is ca, aggressive naval power modernisation strate 19: he Indian Navy currenly has 34 warships dnd six submarines on order to ensure that ts force levels do not fall below 140 vessels, humanitarian assistance for Myan: ‘mar (Burma) following Cyele Nargis in May 2008 and fur countries devastated by the kn ‘Ocean tsunaml in December 2004. India ‘part of multiple bilateral and multilateral naval exercises, including with the United (Malabar), Russia (Indra), Frank (Varuna), the United Kingdom (Konkan), and the mulilateral Milan naval exercises, 1 2010 US Quadrennial Defense Review has ‘noted: “As its military capabilities grow, India ‘will contribute to Asia as a net provider of security inthe Indian Ocean and beyond.” J COVERSTORY (ON THEIR GUARD: A Navy helicopter during a security drill Hovseve, the terrorist attacks in Mumbai in November 2008 brought India maritime security needs‘clower to home by highlighting deficiencies in coastal defence and surveil: Jance amid the needto protect some 200 ports across its 7.500 cuasline, In an attempt develop amore integrated approach to coast security thenavy was designated the cent Authority responsible for security ofthe const Tine following the Murnbai attacks. This has entailed the establishment of joint operation feentres (JOCs) in four locations, which are joinly manned and operated by the navy, fast guard and state and centeal agencies and the development ofa new coastal com. nand to oversee the Coastal Security Scheme, which was unveiled by the Home Ministry in 2006. Improvements have also been made (0 ‘coastal surveillance through such initiatives 3s "upgrading radar coverage, creating additional INDIA, CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES HAV A SHARED INTEREST IN MAINTAINING OPEN SEA LANES. caastguard stations sea fences around the country’ bours as part of the Integrated Harbour Defence system. These initiatives are bringing, about a slow but steady improversent in the ‘country’s coastline defence The growing strategic importance of the indian Ocean. through which half of the Worlds maritime taffl and two-thirds of the worlds oil shipments transit requies a coor: inated approach by littoral and extra region al states, especially given the growth of iit activities, including piracy, and arms, nar. coties and people trafficking. The three ion Malacca Straits Patrols in Southeast Asia played a prominent role quelling the piracy threat in the South China Sea and a Smile model would be beneficial for the Indian Ocean, Former foreign secretary Shiv Shankar Menon indicated suppor forsich an inaive with a proposal foraMasitime Con: cert in wl ‘region's major maritime powers would have collective responsialityt0 protect the Indian Ocean from non-tadition al security threats At present the region is plagued by muli- ple overlapping forums 10 tackle issues of ‘maritime security, including the South Asia Regional Port Security Cooperative (SARP- SCO); the Regional Cooperation Agreement ‘on Combating Piracy and Armed Robbery against Ships in Asia (ReCAAP) and the Indian (Ocean Naval Symposium (IONS). The com. peting nature of these forums is in part a Feflecion ofthe climate of mistrust that per- vades the region amid the persistence of underlying inter-state rivalries. 1, despite the ongoing rap- the United States, India remains reluctant to sacrifice is strategic autonomy by embedding itself into the US ‘maritime security architecture, This. has accounted for the Indian government’ luke. ‘warm publi support for US multilateral ii tiatives such as the Prolferaion Security In tiative (PSD and "Thousand Ship Navy’ While India is party w several US-led maritime security frameworks such as the Intemational Ship and Port Facility Security Code (ISPS) land the Container Security iniative (CS) ts compliance has been patchy. Reservations Continue t be expressed over the presence of US customs officals on Indian soll under the terms of the ISPS iniatve. Simla despite being praised fr its role in the interception of a North Korean vessel Mu Sin near the Andaman Nicobar Islands in August 2000, India remains reluctant to join the PSL amid concerns that the provisions of the intative aginst “tates of proliferation concern” could ‘one day be used against Indi, Ultin powers, including India, Chi ted States have a shared interest in mai open sea lane {heough the Indian Ocean, given the stage Importance of these waterways as «ransit points for growing (rade and resource Imports However, despite the rhetoric of shared intrest, a climate of mistrust contin: tues to permeate the region. This has bee fexasperated by the shilting regional pow ‘dynamics rooted in the relative decline ofthe United States. This, the taditional US role of a guarantor af regional security which is creating a strategic void on issues related to securing the Global Commons, including securing Sea Lines of Communication (SLOG. Simultaneously, slobal economic downtum and its confirma tion ofthe shift in the world’s productive and ‘economic capacity eastwards have inadver tently made the stategc rivalries in the east, including the Sino-Indian relationship, of greater importance to the international sys tem. As China and India’s overseas interests grow, the importance of securing regional {rade routes will increase as well, setting the stage for a deepened rivalry om the Indian (Ocean in the absence of confidence- building and strategic cooperation. (The writers aSouth Asia Analyst at Con ‘rot Risks, a London-based political and security consultancy. He hus also worked with the Center for Strategic and intern ‘tonal Studies in Washington, DC, and the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies) dip GEOPOLITICS IN-DEPTH DIVE FOR DETERRENCE ‘The imperative for India’s sea-based nuclear deterrence fleet arises due to rapid developments in offensive missile capabilities of other countries. W LAWRENCE S PRABHAKAR takes a close look at India’ aspirations to build a formidable blue-water navy. HE MAGNITUDE of india’ techno: gical achiewement (dhough bela ed) weflects the cumulative progress registered in the related areas of submarine design, power propulsion, slo-housing of ballistic missiles ‘on board, synchronization of ‘old launch of ballistic missiles while submerged, in addition to the development of navigational and tar geting capabilities, all of which constitute che najor ares of India’s sea-based submerged nuclear deterrence In the architecture of nuclear deterrence and nuclear deployments, the pivotal senguhs le in the operationalization of the nuclear warfare doettines that aid and stabi- lize deterrence, Given the nature of surprise, stealth, speed and strike lethality of nuclear ‘weapons ina first stike mode, the defending State that receives the Gist strike ought (0 develop credibility survivability and adequate retaliatory capably that assure the de Jing stave as also signal he st strke aggressor state ofthe intense capabilides of the delend- Ing state of launching untold damage in a retaliatory strike that could even wipe out the faistence of the aggressor state. However, Sates that subscribe to a No-Fist-Use of ‘nuclear weapons ought to build superior capabilities of dispersing their nuclear assets Into relative levels of invulnerability 12 a decapitating fist strike that may attempt to ‘destroy all ealiatory capability of the defend: ing state. I isin this context that nuclear deterrence began to evolve in the 1960s into a triad of nuclear weapons that has land: launched, air-launched and) submarine launched legs of nuclear deterrence ‘With the development of sea-based nuclear deterrence, two operational platforms and ‘operational doctrines have evolved. The pri ‘mary doctrine isthe capability to launch bal listic missiles from submerged positions of submasine withthe guidance provided by the constellation of navigation satellites that ould accurately dec the targeting eapabil ‘es ofthe missiles. Yet another operational platform that auld deliver sea-based nucleartipped mis- siles is ship-launched cruise missiles A JEWEL IN THE SEA: AUS submarine (SLC) that ae air-breathing vehicles with tno endo-aumospheric or ex0-atmos} pathways but travel within the eae "These ‘missiles are launched from modified ncear Submarines of the attack or the ballistic type ‘known as SSGNS (Ship Submersible Nuclear) Thus the variants of ballistic cruise missile submarines are premier based platforms that could carry nucles deterrence at sea and are quite known for their relative invulnerabily ‘On the other hand, the contending doc- twine of sea-based deterrence isthe ant-sub- ‘marine warfare capabilities of nuctear attack submarines SSNs (Ship Submersible Nuclear Anack) that would wall and wage the relaive- |y invulnerable ballistic missile submarines SSIBNs (Ship Submersible Balstic-Nudleat) oe ‘he muckar cruise missile subman (Ship Submersl patrol stations. Sea-based deterence is operationalised on the following doctrnal-operational concepts, which are common to all nuclear powers that hha this capability: The primary capability of sea-based nuclear deterrence platforms is responsive: ‘nes, SSNS ae al weather platforms tallored strike and response to any ‘at 4 minimum notice. Given their stealth movements and disposition, SSNs ine to preempiive strike with a higher ‘of strvivailty. This enhances: the credible, assured response ofthe deterrent ‘Sea-based nuclear deterrence i primed on Aexibiliy. The SSBNs and SSGNS are well ‘known for the high degree of their inherer stealth nature which prewides them a robust Aexibily in deployment. SBNs, SSGNs and SSNs have operational capabiliies of high speed underwater and the sustained stealth ‘nature oftheir movement to reach the desired launch rea in theleast possible time enabling them for quick redeployment for omni tional targeting. ‘Operational deployment of SSHNs and SSSGNss pivoted on survivability that enables ‘the boals to launch the missiles and escape the launch area inthe quickest possible get- vay toa safe haven. This crtcal capability is {he sinew ofthe SSBNs since they are subject todetection and localization for destruction by anti-submarine warfare forces. Submergence and underwater patrols con- stitute the Basis ofthe invulnerability ofthe SSNs that aids the endurance af dhe plat- form. is nuclear power propulsion and its ability t sustain power for its operations fortis the platform for longer durations of ied ‘CROWNING GLORY: President Pratibha Devisingh Patil on the deck of the submarine, INS Sindhudhvaj in Vishakhapatnam Submergence than the conventional diese ects and even the newer generation of AIP (Air-Independent Propulsion) submarines ‘As submerged platforms, SSBNs, SSGNs and SSNs have enduring connectivity. With acoustic energy asthe most viable source for underwater communications, connectivity for the submerged boats is materialised through electro-magnetic waves of law frequency (VLE) and extra low frequency (ELE) which olf an elective, reliable, robust and suevo ablecommunication betwen the shote/com. ‘mand platform and the submarine, manta. ingsllence and submergence, Readiness constitutes the state of primacy In the operations of the SSBNs, SSGNs and SSNs The erew is primed for high levels of physical, mena and psychological endurance $0 as to perform long duration underwater tasks with utmost zealand peefection/ prec: son, Readiness signifies the eapabllty of the SSSBNs to be alert and ready at all umes (0 launch weapons ce shit areas of deployment at short notice. ‘These operational concepts and features constitute the essence ofthe sea-based stb- ‘merged nuclear deterrence that has been built and improved upon over the years The gal hhaval order of bate of nuclear submarines can be enumerated as follows, The United Slates currently operates 14 ballistic missile submarines, as out of its original stockpile of 18 boats, four have been. Converted into cruise missile submarines. I also operates 58 nuclear attack submarines, Russia operates 12 ballistic missile sub- marines, keeping four in mserve, besides fperating 12 nuclear attack submarines and three nuclear guided missile submarines. France operates four nuclear ballistic missle submarines and six nuclear attack sub- marines while the United Kingdom operates Tour ballistic missle submarines and seven nuclear attack submarines. China currently ‘operates two ballistic missile submarines and two nuclear attack submarines, besides ballistic and attack India’ need for a sea-based nuclear dete rence is structured on and rationalised by highly important considerations, As a sub: continental power with an entdement of 7516, km of macitime bou continental geographic maritime boundary fnd extensive territory almost equal to is landmass, viz. 29 million sq ken. Its maritime ‘Arabian Sea, the Hay of Bengal an theadjoin ing Indian Ocean provides India with a vast, ‘maritime theatre for ils sea-based nuclear terrence andits let of nuclear submarines, stipulation of Indias nuclear

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